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Final TANF Rule as published in the Federal Register 4/12/1999

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17790 <strong>Federal</strong> <strong>Register</strong> / Vol. 64, No. 69 / Monday, April <strong>12</strong>, <strong>1999</strong> / <strong>Rule</strong>s and Regulations<br />

it would also subject States with similar<br />

achievement levels to very different<br />

penalties. For example, with a 40percent<br />

participation rate, a State that<br />

reaches 35 percent would be subject to<br />

a full penalty, but a State that reaches<br />

38 percent would be subject to less than<br />

half <strong>the</strong> penalty. Although most<br />

commenters opposed hav<strong>in</strong>g a threshold<br />

at all, believ<strong>in</strong>g that any threshold is<br />

arbitrary, many suggested that if we<br />

found it essential to have one, it should<br />

be set significantly lower. Most<br />

recommended a threshold of 50 to 75<br />

percent. A few commenters suggested a<br />

lower threshold for <strong>the</strong> two-parent rate<br />

than for <strong>the</strong> overall rate.<br />

After review<strong>in</strong>g those comments and<br />

analyz<strong>in</strong>g prelim<strong>in</strong>ary data, we have set<br />

<strong>the</strong> threshold at 50 percent. We chose<br />

this threshold both because it w<strong>as</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

most widely recommended alternative<br />

level and because we believe it is a<br />

logical standard. Requir<strong>in</strong>g States to<br />

reach at le<strong>as</strong>t half of <strong>the</strong> target rate<br />

draws a clear l<strong>in</strong>e between achievers<br />

and nonachievers. We th<strong>in</strong>k it is<br />

re<strong>as</strong>onable not to grant penalty<br />

reduction to States that are closer to a<br />

participation rate of zero than <strong>the</strong>y are<br />

to achiev<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> requirement.<br />

Under <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al rules, we will reduce<br />

<strong>the</strong> penalty for any qualify<strong>in</strong>g State <strong>in</strong><br />

direct proportion to <strong>the</strong> State’s level of<br />

achievement above a threshold of 50<br />

percent. To achieve this, we will<br />

compute a ratio whose numerator is <strong>the</strong><br />

difference between <strong>the</strong> participation rate<br />

a State actually achieved and <strong>the</strong><br />

applicable threshold rate and whose<br />

denom<strong>in</strong>ator is <strong>the</strong> difference between<br />

<strong>the</strong> applicable required participation<br />

rate and <strong>the</strong> applicable threshold rate.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al rule, we have also<br />

clarified that <strong>the</strong> applicable required<br />

participation rate and <strong>the</strong> applicable<br />

threshold both reflect any c<strong>as</strong>eload<br />

reduction credit that <strong>the</strong> State receives<br />

pursuant to subpart D of part 261. In<br />

o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>the</strong> standard aga<strong>in</strong>st which<br />

we judge <strong>the</strong> degree of noncompliance<br />

recognizes that Congress wanted States<br />

to get credit for <strong>the</strong> c<strong>as</strong>eload reductions<br />

<strong>the</strong>y achieve, <strong>as</strong> long <strong>as</strong> <strong>the</strong>y are not due<br />

to eligibility changes. If we did not<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude this clarification, <strong>the</strong> threshold<br />

standard for some States could actually<br />

be higher than <strong>the</strong> target (i.e., full<br />

compliance) rate provided under <strong>the</strong><br />

statute.<br />

For example, <strong>as</strong>sume a State’s<br />

adjusted target rate (i.e., after apply<strong>in</strong>g<br />

its c<strong>as</strong>eload reduction credit) equals 30<br />

percent. Fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>as</strong>sume <strong>the</strong> State<br />

achieved 18 percent, which exceeds <strong>the</strong><br />

threshold of 15 percent (one half of 30<br />

percent) by 3 percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts. The 3<br />

percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts equal 20 percent of 15<br />

percent, <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong><br />

required rate and <strong>the</strong> threshold.<br />

Therefore, we would reduce <strong>the</strong> penalty<br />

amount by 20 percent.<br />

Commenters also urged us to consider<br />

a wide range of alternative means of<br />

me<strong>as</strong>ur<strong>in</strong>g noncompliance. On <strong>the</strong><br />

whole, <strong>the</strong>y urged us to give States<br />

credit for <strong>the</strong>ir level of effort, ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

look<strong>in</strong>g specifically to a percentage of<br />

<strong>the</strong> participation rate. One commenter<br />

offered that, if <strong>the</strong> purpose of penalties<br />

is to give States a strong <strong>in</strong>centive to<br />

take <strong>the</strong> requirements seriously ra<strong>the</strong>r<br />

than to punish those that fail, <strong>the</strong>n a<br />

broader view of State achievement is <strong>in</strong><br />

order. In particular, several commenters<br />

suggested variations of <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

alternative factors for determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

penalty reduction:<br />

• An <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> a State’s c<strong>as</strong>eload (<strong>in</strong><br />

ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> current year or prior year);<br />

• Improvement <strong>in</strong> a State’s<br />

performance over <strong>the</strong> prior year;<br />

• Incre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of<br />

participants <strong>in</strong> countable work activities<br />

<strong>in</strong> a State, or <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of<br />

participants <strong>in</strong> work activities but below<br />

<strong>the</strong> required number of hours to count<br />

for participation; and<br />

• The extent to which a State<br />

exceeded <strong>the</strong> overall rate, even though<br />

it missed <strong>the</strong> two-parent rate.<br />

Some also suggested that we should<br />

recognize a comb<strong>in</strong>ation of alternatives,<br />

perhaps without even specify<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

comprehensive list <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> regulation.<br />

One set of extensive comments on this<br />

issue put forward an argument for<br />

treat<strong>in</strong>g any penalty reduction factors<br />

that we adopt <strong>in</strong> a formulaic way so that<br />

a State’s penalty liability is clear.<br />

Although this can make for a complex<br />

provision, we have responded to this<br />

concern by add<strong>in</strong>g some detail to <strong>the</strong><br />

f<strong>in</strong>al rule. We believe that this formula<br />

will help States foresee <strong>the</strong> possible<br />

fiscal consequences of <strong>the</strong>ir policy<br />

decisions.<br />

We considered all <strong>the</strong>se alternatives<br />

me<strong>as</strong>ures from <strong>the</strong> perspective that our<br />

primary <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> participation<br />

rates is to encourage work. As a result,<br />

we have modified <strong>the</strong> regulations to<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude <strong>as</strong> our third me<strong>as</strong>ure of<br />

noncompliance an adjustment factor<br />

that reflects a State’s success <strong>in</strong><br />

engag<strong>in</strong>g additional recipients <strong>in</strong><br />

countable work activities. The factor<br />

rewards a State that <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>es <strong>the</strong><br />

number of <strong>in</strong>dividuals it engages <strong>in</strong><br />

work by at le<strong>as</strong>t 15 percent over <strong>the</strong><br />

previous fiscal year. If <strong>the</strong> number of<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividuals engaged <strong>in</strong> work decre<strong>as</strong>es,<br />

<strong>the</strong> State would not be eligible for a<br />

penalty reduction, beyond <strong>the</strong><br />

proportional reduction for fail<strong>in</strong>g only<br />

<strong>the</strong> two-parent rate. For this calculation,<br />

we will use <strong>the</strong> average monthly<br />

participation data, just <strong>as</strong> we do <strong>in</strong><br />

calculat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> participation rates<br />

<strong>the</strong>mselves.<br />

We calculate <strong>the</strong> adjustment factor by<br />

divid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> change <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> average<br />

number of <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>the</strong> State h<strong>as</strong><br />

engaged <strong>in</strong> work by 15 percent of <strong>the</strong><br />

number it engaged <strong>in</strong> work <strong>the</strong> prior<br />

year. For example, if <strong>the</strong> State engaged<br />

an average of 2,000 <strong>in</strong>dividuals each<br />

month <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> prior year, and 2,400<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> current year, we<br />

would divide 400 (<strong>the</strong> change) by 300<br />

(15 percent of 2,000, <strong>the</strong> prior year’s<br />

average monthly number engaged <strong>in</strong><br />

work). This would result <strong>in</strong> an<br />

adjustment factor of 1.33. In o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

words, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> example, <strong>the</strong> State’s<br />

<strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> participants exceeded 15<br />

percent of <strong>the</strong> prior year’s level by one<br />

third. Thus, under <strong>the</strong>se rules, <strong>the</strong><br />

State’s penalty reduction would<br />

<strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e by one third, compared to <strong>the</strong><br />

reduction it would have received if it<br />

had achieved only a 15-percent<br />

<strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e.<br />

We chose to tie <strong>the</strong> adjustment factor<br />

to a 15-percent <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e to approximate<br />

<strong>the</strong> average annual <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

overall participation rate.<br />

We b<strong>as</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> adjustment factor on an<br />

<strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of participants<br />

<strong>in</strong> work <strong>in</strong>stead of on an <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

percentage of participants <strong>in</strong> work for<br />

two re<strong>as</strong>ons. First, <strong>the</strong> proportional<br />

reduction above <strong>the</strong> threshold already<br />

takes a percentage of participants <strong>in</strong>to<br />

account through <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

participation rate. Second, commenters<br />

made a persu<strong>as</strong>ive argument that<br />

me<strong>as</strong>ur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dividuals would reward<br />

States that actually showed greater<br />

success with work, where participation<br />

percentages would be affected by<br />

c<strong>as</strong>eload changes that might have<br />

noth<strong>in</strong>g to do with work or <strong>the</strong> State’s<br />

efforts to engage <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>in</strong> work.<br />

Readers will note that, <strong>in</strong> addition to<br />

<strong>the</strong> threshold, <strong>the</strong> adjustment factor also<br />

serves <strong>as</strong> a trigger for penalty reduction;<br />

<strong>the</strong> State must have an adjustment factor<br />

above zero to qualify for penalty<br />

reduction beyond <strong>the</strong> proportional<br />

reduction for fail<strong>in</strong>g only <strong>the</strong> two-parent<br />

rate. We needed to cut off <strong>the</strong><br />

adjustment factor at zero because a<br />

negative number would actually<br />

<strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>the</strong> penalty above <strong>the</strong> amount<br />

described <strong>in</strong> § 261.50, which we have no<br />

authority to do. We <strong>the</strong>n l<strong>in</strong>ked <strong>the</strong><br />

presence of an adjustment factor to<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r penalty reduction because we<br />

did not want to reward a State with a<br />

decre<strong>as</strong>e <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> number of work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

recipients more than a State with a<br />

small <strong>in</strong>cre<strong>as</strong>e (under 15 percent) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

number engaged <strong>in</strong> work.<br />

<strong>F<strong>in</strong>al</strong>ly, we adjust <strong>the</strong> penalty<br />

reduction on <strong>the</strong> b<strong>as</strong>is of whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong><br />

State failed both participation rates <strong>in</strong>

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