EXAM P SAMPLE SOLUTIONS
EXAM P SAMPLE SOLUTIONS
EXAM P SAMPLE SOLUTIONS
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54. Solution: B<br />
Let Y denote the claim payment made by the insurance company.<br />
Then<br />
⎧0<br />
with probability 0.94<br />
⎪<br />
Y = ⎨Max<br />
( 0, x−1<br />
) with probability 0.04<br />
⎪<br />
⎩14<br />
with probability 0.02<br />
and<br />
EY = 0.94 0 + 0.04 0.5003<br />
15<br />
− x /2<br />
x− 1 e dx+<br />
0.02 14<br />
[ ] ( )( ) ( )( ) ( ) ( )(<br />
( )<br />
15 15<br />
⎡ −x/2 −x/2<br />
xe dx e dx⎤<br />
∫1 ∫1<br />
= 0.020012<br />
⎢⎣ − + 0.28<br />
⎥⎦<br />
15 15<br />
−x/2 15 −x/2 −x/2<br />
= 0.28 + ( 0.020012) ⎡− 2xe | 1 + 2 e dx− e dx⎤<br />
⎢⎣ ∫1 ∫1<br />
⎥⎦<br />
15<br />
−7.5 −0.5 −x/<br />
2<br />
= 0.28 + ( 0.020012) ⎡− 30e + 2e<br />
+ e dx⎤<br />
⎢⎣ ∫1<br />
⎥⎦<br />
−7.5 −0.5 −x/<br />
2 15<br />
= 0.28 + ( 0.020012) ⎡<br />
⎣− 30e + 2e −2e<br />
| ⎤ 1 ⎦<br />
= 0.28 + 0.020012<br />
−7.5 −0.5 −7.5 −0.5<br />
− 30e + 2e − 2e + 2e<br />
∫<br />
( )( )<br />
( )( −7.5 e<br />
−0.5<br />
e )<br />
= 0.28 + 0.020012 − 32 + 4<br />
( )( )<br />
= 0.28 + 0.020012 2.408<br />
= 0.328 (in thousands)<br />
It follows that the expected claim payment is 328 .<br />
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />
55. Solution: C<br />
k<br />
The pdf of x is given by f(x) = 4<br />
(1 + x)<br />
, 0 < x < ∞ . To find k, note<br />
∞<br />
k k 1<br />
1 = ∫ dx =− 4 3<br />
(1 + x) 3 (1 + x)<br />
0<br />
k = 3<br />
∞<br />
0<br />
k<br />
=<br />
3<br />
∞<br />
3x<br />
It then follows that E[x] = ∫ dx and substituting u = 1 + x, du = dx, we see<br />
4<br />
(1 + x)<br />
∞<br />
∞<br />
0<br />
3 4<br />
−2 u<br />
−3<br />
u<br />
3( u −1)<br />
− − ⎡ ⎤ ⎡1 1⎤<br />
E[x] = ∫ du = 3 ( u − u ) du = 3⎢ − = 3 −<br />
4<br />
u ∫<br />
−2 −3 ⎥ ⎢<br />
⎣2 3⎥<br />
= 3/2 – 1 = ½ .<br />
1<br />
⎣ ⎦ ⎦<br />
1 1<br />
1<br />
Page 23 of 55<br />
∞<br />
)