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EXAM P SAMPLE SOLUTIONS

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54. Solution: B<br />

Let Y denote the claim payment made by the insurance company.<br />

Then<br />

⎧0<br />

with probability 0.94<br />

⎪<br />

Y = ⎨Max<br />

( 0, x−1<br />

) with probability 0.04<br />

⎪<br />

⎩14<br />

with probability 0.02<br />

and<br />

EY = 0.94 0 + 0.04 0.5003<br />

15<br />

− x /2<br />

x− 1 e dx+<br />

0.02 14<br />

[ ] ( )( ) ( )( ) ( ) ( )(<br />

( )<br />

15 15<br />

⎡ −x/2 −x/2<br />

xe dx e dx⎤<br />

∫1 ∫1<br />

= 0.020012<br />

⎢⎣ − + 0.28<br />

⎥⎦<br />

15 15<br />

−x/2 15 −x/2 −x/2<br />

= 0.28 + ( 0.020012) ⎡− 2xe | 1 + 2 e dx− e dx⎤<br />

⎢⎣ ∫1 ∫1<br />

⎥⎦<br />

15<br />

−7.5 −0.5 −x/<br />

2<br />

= 0.28 + ( 0.020012) ⎡− 30e + 2e<br />

+ e dx⎤<br />

⎢⎣ ∫1<br />

⎥⎦<br />

−7.5 −0.5 −x/<br />

2 15<br />

= 0.28 + ( 0.020012) ⎡<br />

⎣− 30e + 2e −2e<br />

| ⎤ 1 ⎦<br />

= 0.28 + 0.020012<br />

−7.5 −0.5 −7.5 −0.5<br />

− 30e + 2e − 2e + 2e<br />

∫<br />

( )( )<br />

( )( −7.5 e<br />

−0.5<br />

e )<br />

= 0.28 + 0.020012 − 32 + 4<br />

( )( )<br />

= 0.28 + 0.020012 2.408<br />

= 0.328 (in thousands)<br />

It follows that the expected claim payment is 328 .<br />

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

55. Solution: C<br />

k<br />

The pdf of x is given by f(x) = 4<br />

(1 + x)<br />

, 0 < x < ∞ . To find k, note<br />

∞<br />

k k 1<br />

1 = ∫ dx =− 4 3<br />

(1 + x) 3 (1 + x)<br />

0<br />

k = 3<br />

∞<br />

0<br />

k<br />

=<br />

3<br />

∞<br />

3x<br />

It then follows that E[x] = ∫ dx and substituting u = 1 + x, du = dx, we see<br />

4<br />

(1 + x)<br />

∞<br />

∞<br />

0<br />

3 4<br />

−2 u<br />

−3<br />

u<br />

3( u −1)<br />

− − ⎡ ⎤ ⎡1 1⎤<br />

E[x] = ∫ du = 3 ( u − u ) du = 3⎢ − = 3 −<br />

4<br />

u ∫<br />

−2 −3 ⎥ ⎢<br />

⎣2 3⎥<br />

= 3/2 – 1 = ½ .<br />

1<br />

⎣ ⎦ ⎦<br />

1 1<br />

1<br />

Page 23 of 55<br />

∞<br />

)

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