22.08.2013 Views

Disarmament and International Security - World Model United Nations

Disarmament and International Security - World Model United Nations

Disarmament and International Security - World Model United Nations

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> UN 2012<br />

Background Guide


Letter from the Secretary General...............................................................................<br />

Letter from the Under-Secretary General....................................................................<br />

Letter from the Chair....................................................................................................<br />

Introduction..................................................................................................2<br />

History of the Committee...........................................................................................2<br />

Topic A:<br />

History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem...................................................................................3<br />

Current Situation....................................................................................................................10<br />

Past UN Actions......................................................................................................................14<br />

Proposed Solutions..................................................................................................................15<br />

Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions........................................................................................................16<br />

Relevant Partners....................................................................................................................19<br />

QARMA................................................................................................19<br />

Suggestions for Further Research............................................................................................20<br />

Topic B:<br />

History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem..............................................................................20<br />

Current Situation....................................................................................................................29<br />

Past UN Actions.....................................................................................................................30<br />

Proposed Solutions..................................................................................................................32<br />

Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions........................................................................................................34<br />

Relevant Partners....................................................................................................................36<br />

QARMA..............................................................................................36<br />

Suggestions for Further Research...........................................................................................37<br />

Position Papers.........................................................................................................37<br />

Closing Remarks.......................................................................................................37<br />

Bibliography................................................................................................46<br />

Cover image courtesy of Vancouver Tourism Board.<br />

Table of ConTenTs


KATHLEEN TANG<br />

Secretary-General<br />

SAMIR PATEL<br />

Director-General<br />

KEVIN LIU HUANG<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

General Assemblies<br />

ANNA TROWBRIDGE<br />

Under-Secretary-General<br />

for Economic <strong>and</strong> Social<br />

Councils <strong>and</strong> Regional<br />

Bodies<br />

APARAJITA TRIPATHI<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Specialized Agencies<br />

RICHARD EBRIGHT<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Operations<br />

SAMUEL LEITER<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Administration<br />

SCOTT YU<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Business<br />

Letter from the Secretary-General<br />

Dear Delegates,<br />

My name is Kathleen Tang <strong>and</strong> I am serving as the Secretary-<br />

General of the <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 conference. After being a part<br />

of <strong>World</strong>MUN for the past few years it is a bittersweet experience<br />

to be running my last <strong>World</strong>MUN ever, but I could not be more<br />

excited to share this experience with all of you!<br />

Within the pages of this guide you will find the topics that the<br />

<strong>World</strong>MUN staff has been hard at work on over the past few<br />

months. Each chair worked hard to find a topic that they are truly<br />

passionate about <strong>and</strong> provide the best guides possible through<br />

extensive research. However, the background guide should<br />

only be the first step in your substantive learning process. Read<br />

through the guide thoroughly <strong>and</strong> note what areas of debate are<br />

particularly interesting for your chair <strong>and</strong> use this as a starting<br />

point for your own research on the topic. Remember that you<br />

will be representing a country, a people, <strong>and</strong> a culture outside of<br />

your own during your week of debate. What viewpoints does your<br />

country have on this topic? What would they say to the issues the<br />

chair brings up in the guide? In what ways would your country<br />

most like to see these issues ‘resolved’? There are always more<br />

sources to look at <strong>and</strong> more news to be up to date with so the<br />

learning never stops!<br />

Of course, if you ever need help along the way there are many<br />

resources up online for you - <strong>World</strong>MUN 101 <strong>and</strong> the Rules of<br />

Procedure are both up on our website (www.worldmun.org) <strong>and</strong><br />

will help you better underst<strong>and</strong> how to write a study guide <strong>and</strong><br />

how debate will run March 11-15th, 2012. Feel free to also reach<br />

out to your chair or USG via email. They are here to help you feel<br />

comfortable <strong>and</strong> prepared for the conference.<br />

I hope you enjoy the research presented here <strong>and</strong> also the learning<br />

process that comes with doing your own research on the topic.<br />

I look forward to meeting you in March!<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Kathleen Tang<br />

Secretary-General<br />

<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 2012<br />

secretarygeneral@worldmun.org


KATHLEEN TANG<br />

Secretary-General<br />

SAMIR PATEL<br />

Director-General<br />

KEVIN LIU HUANG<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

General Assemblies<br />

ANNA TROWBRIDGE<br />

Under-Secretary-General<br />

for Economic <strong>and</strong> Social<br />

Councils <strong>and</strong> Regional<br />

Bodies<br />

APARAJITA TRIPATHI<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Specialized Agencies<br />

RICHARD EBRIGHT<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Operations<br />

SAMUEL LEITER<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Administration<br />

SCOTT YU<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Business<br />

Dear Delegates,<br />

It is my sincere pleasure to welcome you to the General Assemblies!<br />

You are joining the largest organ of the conference <strong>and</strong> the<br />

primary policymaking body of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, where every<br />

nation is recognized as having an equal stake in the future of the<br />

world. The world has come a long way since the end of <strong>World</strong> War<br />

II; by gathering in such large numbers, the General Assemblies<br />

are a display of the international community’s seriousness <strong>and</strong><br />

commitment to solving world issues. Our conference, even if just<br />

a simulation, is a rare display of international unity about which I<br />

hope you are as delighted as I!<br />

My name is Kevin Liu Huang, <strong>and</strong> I am a junior at Harvard<br />

College, studying as a Government-Statistics double major. My<br />

home is a small town in New Jersey, where I grew up playing<br />

tennis <strong>and</strong> soccer <strong>and</strong> making weekend trips to New York City.<br />

At school, in addition to working Harvard’s many <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Model</strong> Congress simulations on campus, I also have<br />

taken up ballroom <strong>and</strong> Latin dancing.<br />

My job at this conference is to make your General Assembly<br />

experience as exhilarating <strong>and</strong> positive as possible. If you have<br />

any suggestions or complaints either throughout your conference<br />

experience or before it, feel free to get in touch with me directly<br />

or through your faculty advisor!<br />

Please feel free to connect with me through my e-mail! I am excited<br />

to serve as your Under-Secretary-General of General Assemblies<br />

for my very first Harvard <strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> conference,<br />

<strong>and</strong> I am looking forward to a conference like no other.<br />

See you in March!<br />

Sincerely,<br />

Kevin Liu Huang<br />

Under-Secretary-General of the<br />

General Assemblies<br />

ga@worldmun.org


KATHLEEN TANG<br />

Secretary-General<br />

SAMIR PATEL<br />

Director-General<br />

KEVIN LIU HUANG<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

General Assemblies<br />

ANNA TROWBRIDGE<br />

Under-Secretary-General<br />

for Economic <strong>and</strong> Social<br />

Councils <strong>and</strong> Regional<br />

Bodies<br />

APARAJITA TRIPATHI<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Specialized Agencies<br />

RICHARD EBRIGHT<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Operations<br />

SAMUEL LEITER<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Administration<br />

SCOTT YU<br />

Under-Secretary-General for<br />

Business<br />

Letter from the Chair<br />

Dear Delegates,<br />

It is my distinct pleasure to welcome you to the <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee at Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012.<br />

My name is Dominik Nieszporowski, <strong>and</strong> I am absolutely thrilled<br />

to be you committee chair during the fantastic week that you will<br />

spend in Vancouver next year, debating <strong>and</strong> learning from people<br />

from diverse backgrounds.<br />

Originally from Warsaw, Pol<strong>and</strong>, I have participated in <strong>Model</strong><br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> since high school, both as a delegate <strong>and</strong> committee<br />

chair at several conferences throughout Europe, Asia, <strong>and</strong> North<br />

America. My other passions include international development<br />

<strong>and</strong> public service – I have been particularly involved with<br />

programs creating educational opportunities for children in<br />

Africa.<br />

At Harvard, I am currently a senior in the glorious Kirkl<strong>and</strong><br />

House, concentrating in Applied Mathematics <strong>and</strong> Economics.<br />

On campus, I am mostly occupied serving as Secretary-General<br />

of Harvard National <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 2012, an annual<br />

college <strong>Model</strong> UN conference held in Boston in February, <strong>and</strong><br />

coordinating HNMUN’s expansion abroad in the form of our new<br />

international conference – HNMUN Latin America 2012.<br />

This year at <strong>World</strong>MUN, DISEC will be debating two of the most<br />

important contemporary issues concerning international security<br />

– the militarization of the Arctic <strong>and</strong> the safeguarding of nuclear<br />

materials. As you embark on your research into these topics, I<br />

hope you will find them both interesting <strong>and</strong> thought-provoking.<br />

Please feel free to e-mail me to questions you might have or just to<br />

introduce yourself. I am certainly looking forward to an exciting<br />

debate <strong>and</strong> meeting many great people at <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012!<br />

Best regards,<br />

Dominik Nieszporowski<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

Committee


I n t r o d u c t I o n<br />

The <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee,<br />

officially the First Committee of the General Assembly<br />

of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, is one of the six main committees<br />

of the UNGA. The scope of DISEC’s competences <strong>and</strong> the<br />

significance of the issues it deals with – from security to<br />

international law – make it one of the most crucial organs of<br />

the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />

The topics that will be discussed at our session at <strong>World</strong>MUN<br />

2012 could serve as paragons of the caliber of the issues that<br />

the First Committee usually addresses. The problem of safety<br />

<strong>and</strong> security of nuclear materials is a relatively long-lasting<br />

concern that has recently gained some urgency due to a<br />

combination of several geopolitical factors in the modern<br />

world. The proliferation of nuclear weapons that are now in<br />

possession of at least four countries outside of the original<br />

five-power nuclear club, combined with concerns over the<br />

protection levels of non-military nuclear materials, seem<br />

to justify these concerns. This global problem merits the<br />

attention of the general membership of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the First Committee is the most appropriate venue to<br />

address it. The other topic, the militarization of the Arctic,<br />

is a long-unsolved regional issue that has global implications<br />

because of the direct involvement of some of the world’s<br />

mightiest powers – the <strong>United</strong> States, Russia, Canada,<br />

Norway, <strong>and</strong> Denmark. In view of the international status<br />

of the area, as well as the conflicting interests of the nations<br />

involved, it is crucial that the questions of territorial claims<br />

<strong>and</strong> military presence in the region be addressed by the<br />

General Assembly of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />

As delegates to the <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

Committee, you have an opportunity to discuss these issues<br />

of supreme importance <strong>and</strong> to work collectively on designing<br />

viable solutions through the process of negotiation <strong>and</strong><br />

compromise.<br />

H I s t o r y of tHe commIt t e e<br />

The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> was established at the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

Conference on <strong>International</strong> Organization in San<br />

Francisco, at which representatives of 50 independent states<br />

congregated to discuss the creation of ‘a general international<br />

organization to maintain peace <strong>and</strong> security.’ The Charter of<br />

the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> was written <strong>and</strong> ratified there, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Organization was officially formed on 24 October 1945.<br />

The <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee,<br />

also known as the First Committee of the General Assembly of<br />

the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, is a consensus-building body that gathers<br />

representatives of all 192 member states to collectively discuss<br />

issues pertaining to world peace <strong>and</strong> to h<strong>and</strong>le all questions<br />

relating to security <strong>and</strong> international law. Initially established<br />

as the Political <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee (POLISEC), the First<br />

Committee was reorganized in the late 1970s in response<br />

to a growing number of additional political matters, <strong>and</strong><br />

the Special Political Committee was created. In view of the<br />

progress of decolonization movements <strong>and</strong> the declining<br />

number of issues to be addressed such as trust territories,<br />

the functions of the Special Political Committee were later<br />

merged during the 1990s into the Fourth Committee, which<br />

initially dealt with Trusteeship <strong>and</strong> Decolonization matters.<br />

The <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee,<br />

just as any other of the six committees of the General<br />

Assembly, allows every nation represented to suggest or<br />

consider proposals relevant to the substantive topics covered,<br />

<strong>and</strong> to recommend resolutions for adoption by the General<br />

Representatives from all Member States convene at a<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee<br />

meeting to debate key security issues. http://graphics8.<br />

nytimes.com/images/2006/09/18/world/18un.l.jpg<br />

Assembly. While these resolutions are not legally binding, the<br />

fact that each of them represents an agreement of the majority<br />

of the member states implies that resolutions adopted by the<br />

General Assembly have a significant normative role. This<br />

means that they can indicate the establishment of common<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards, customs <strong>and</strong> guidelines for the behavior of<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 2


states on the international scene. 1 Resolutions adopted by<br />

consensus have an additional role of featuring substantive<br />

areas of agreement concerning world peace <strong>and</strong> can lay<br />

foundations for the creation of international treaties <strong>and</strong> the<br />

emergence of international legal norms. 2<br />

Article 11 of the Charter of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> authorizes<br />

the General Assembly to discuss any questions relating to the<br />

maintenance of international peace <strong>and</strong> security <strong>and</strong> to make<br />

recommendations with regard to any such questions to the<br />

state or states concerned, to the <strong>Security</strong> Council, or to both. 3<br />

The First Committee provides a platform for member states<br />

to present their positions on disarmament-related matters,<br />

<strong>and</strong> provides an opportunity for nations to reach common<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ings <strong>and</strong><br />

to agree on universal<br />

norms of behavior.<br />

Instead of ensuring<br />

security through the<br />

size of their arsenals,<br />

all states can discuss<br />

ways of arriving at<br />

collective security<br />

arrangements<br />

through the process<br />

of multilateral<br />

disarmament.<br />

The First Committee<br />

convenes every year<br />

in October for a<br />

4-5 week session,<br />

following a general<br />

debate of the<br />

General Assembly.<br />

At the beginning<br />

of each session, the<br />

Committee elects a Chairman, three Vice Chairmen <strong>and</strong> a<br />

Rapporteur to conduct the workings of the body.<br />

The most significant past successes of the <strong>Disarmament</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee include the passage<br />

of the following treaties <strong>and</strong> acts: the Treaty on the Non-<br />

Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, the Biological Weapons<br />

Convention, the Chemical Weapons Convention <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Partial Test Ban Treaty, among others.<br />

t o p I c A r e A A: m I l I tA r I z At I o n o f t H e<br />

A r c t I c<br />

History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem<br />

Geographical Features of the Region<br />

The Arctic is a region around the North Pole of the Earth,<br />

which includes the Arctic Ocean <strong>and</strong> parts of Canada,<br />

Russia, the <strong>United</strong> States, Greenl<strong>and</strong>, as a territory of<br />

Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong>. There exist<br />

different concepts about the region’s borders. It can be defined<br />

as the area north of the Arctic Circle (66° 30’N), which is the<br />

approximate limit of the midnight sun <strong>and</strong> the polar night.<br />

The polar night<br />

refers to the<br />

periods when<br />

the sun does<br />

not set or it does<br />

not rise. 4 This<br />

borderline has<br />

no geographical<br />

meaning, since<br />

it does not<br />

correspond to<br />

any features<br />

of the terrain.<br />

Alternatively,<br />

the Arctic can<br />

be defined as the<br />

northernmost<br />

limit of the<br />

The Arctic Map. http://invisibleman.com/arctic-map.gif<br />

st<strong>and</strong> of trees,<br />

which is roughly<br />

followed by the<br />

isotherm at the<br />

boundary of the<br />

region where<br />

the average temperature for the warmest month does not<br />

exceed 10°C.<br />

Brief History of Arctic Exploration<br />

By the time the first European explorers, the Norsemen<br />

or Vikings, visited the Arctic area, many parts of the<br />

region had already been settled by the Eskimos <strong>and</strong> other<br />

people of Mongolic stock. 5 The quest to further explore the<br />

vast <strong>and</strong> mysterious l<strong>and</strong>s above the 50th parallel in North<br />

America <strong>and</strong> above the 70th parallel in Eurasia began in the<br />

16th century <strong>and</strong> led to numerous expeditions over the scope<br />

of the next four centuries. Probably the most illustrious goal<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 3


Peary’s boys claiming finders-keepers on the North Pole. http://freedy89.<br />

files.wordpress.com/2009/02/peary5.jpg<br />

in the early history of Arctic exploration was the discovery<br />

of the Northern Passage – the legendary connection between<br />

the Pacific <strong>and</strong> the Atlantic, around North America or<br />

Eurasia – which would constitute a possible attractive trade<br />

route.<br />

The initial driving force for finding an alternate trade route to<br />

the Orient was the capture of Constantinople by the Turks in<br />

1453, which allowed them to control the Strait of Bosphorus<br />

<strong>and</strong> to interrupt trade between Europe <strong>and</strong> the Orient. 6 The<br />

first known expeditions for a new trade route to the Orient<br />

began with Columbus in 1492, followed by John Cabot,<br />

who, in 1497, l<strong>and</strong>ed much farther north than Columbus,<br />

probably in Newfoundl<strong>and</strong>, Giovanni da Verrazzano, who<br />

looked for a northwest passage around the recently explored<br />

l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong>, in 1524, sailed as far north as Maine or Nova Scotia,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Jacques Cartier, who discovered the<br />

St. Lawrence River in 1535. 7 The journey<br />

further north <strong>and</strong> the passage through<br />

the Arctic Isl<strong>and</strong>s of Canada proved to be<br />

more dem<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> the early explorers<br />

had to contend with ice, Arctic weather,<br />

<strong>and</strong> scurvy, among other obstacles. The<br />

results of these early expeditions by<br />

European explorers <strong>and</strong> the subsequent<br />

ones – among them those by William<br />

Barentz, Martin Frobisher, William<br />

Baffin, Henry Hudson, <strong>and</strong> John Davis<br />

– were largely disappointing <strong>and</strong> caused<br />

the initial wave of interest to wane. 8 These<br />

expeditions played a great role, however, in<br />

adding to the Western Civilization’s initial<br />

knowledge of the Arctic.<br />

In the 19 th century, several new explorers<br />

took up the challenge of the Arctic –<br />

primarily British naval officers John<br />

Franklin, F. W. Beechey, John Ross, James<br />

Ross, W. E. Parry, P. W. Dease, Thomas<br />

Simpson, George Back, <strong>and</strong> John Rae. 9 In<br />

1845, one of the most famous expeditions<br />

ever to attempt the Northwest Passage, by<br />

Sir John Franklin, disappeared <strong>and</strong> gave<br />

rise to more than 40 searching parties<br />

that scoured the Arctic Isl<strong>and</strong>s for several<br />

decades vainly looking for Franklin <strong>and</strong><br />

his crew. 10 This drawback cooled Great<br />

Britain’s ambition to be the leader in the<br />

race for the Northern Passage <strong>and</strong> made<br />

most explorers shift their focus to the<br />

North Pole. These expeditions moved<br />

the ‘discovery line’ further north <strong>and</strong> explored <strong>and</strong> mapped<br />

Greenl<strong>and</strong>, together with some smaller Arctic isl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

The Northwest Passage between the Bering Strait, which<br />

separates Russia <strong>and</strong> Alaska, <strong>and</strong> Baffin Bay on the Atlantic<br />

Ocean was eventually conquered by Roald Amundsen in<br />

1903-1906, 25 years after the Northeast Passage had been first<br />

navigated by Nils A. E. Nordenskjöld. 11 In 1909, the race to the<br />

North Pole was arguably won by Robert E. Peary; however, his<br />

achievement was undermined by Frederic A. Cook’s subsequent<br />

announcement that he had reached the Pole a year before.<br />

There is still a considerable controversy as to whether either<br />

man actually reached the Pole, given the primitive navigation<br />

techniques of that period. In subsequent years, several field<br />

expeditions were sent out by British, Soviet, Norwegian, Danish,<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 4


Canadian <strong>and</strong> American organizations, but their objectives<br />

focused mainly on gathering meteorological, hydrological<br />

<strong>and</strong> magnetic data <strong>and</strong> establishing environmental <strong>and</strong> radio<br />

stations.<br />

During <strong>World</strong> War II, interest in studying the Arctic conditions<br />

was further fuelled by the need to transport supplies, <strong>and</strong> this<br />

interest continued also after the war had ended. Scientific<br />

work in the Arctic region increased greatly after 1945, with the<br />

intensified use of new methods of exploration. After 1947, the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States started carrying out routine weather-reporting<br />

flights over the Arctic Ocean <strong>and</strong> used icebreakers to conduct<br />

oceanographic work in the Beaufort Sea. The first American <strong>and</strong><br />

Soviet weather stations were established in the 1950s, <strong>and</strong> by<br />

the end of the decade there were several stations on ice isl<strong>and</strong>s,<br />

which were occupied <strong>and</strong> maintained until they drifted into a<br />

region where they ceased to be of interest to the scientists. 12 In<br />

regards to the Northwest Passage, in 1954 the first crossing by a<br />

deep-draught vessel was made by HMCS Labrador, a Canadian<br />

naval icebreaker, <strong>and</strong> in 1969 the Manhattan, one of the world’s<br />

largest commercial ships of that time, smashed through more<br />

than 1,000 km of ice between Baffin Bay <strong>and</strong> Point Barrow to<br />

assess the commercial feasibility of the passage. 13 Up to this<br />

day, however, the Northwest Passage has never been used as a<br />

regular commercial route.<br />

Presently, the discovery phase of the exploration of the<br />

Arctic region is over. Today, there remain no unexplored<br />

areas, as scientific research yielded reasonably accurate maps<br />

<strong>and</strong> technological progress has made this once elusive area<br />

increasingly accessible. Nowadays, commercial airlines can<br />

fly across the North Pole, <strong>and</strong> the Arctic regions have become<br />

the focus of research concerning global warming <strong>and</strong> climate<br />

change.<br />

Early Territorial Claims<br />

As a result of scientific exploration of the Arctic, it became<br />

increasingly attractive for many nations to claim their<br />

rights to territorial sovereignty over some portions of the<br />

region. From the very beginning, exploration of the Arctic<br />

often combined scientific, geopolitical, <strong>and</strong> even commercial<br />

purposes with the pursuit of national prestige. Therefore,<br />

arctic exploration was undertaken not only by the states<br />

bordering on the Arctic Ocean: the <strong>United</strong> States, the Soviet<br />

Union/Russia, Canada, Denmark-Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Norway,<br />

but also by actors such as Germany, the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom<br />

<strong>and</strong> Pol<strong>and</strong>. 14 However, territorial claims were mainly made<br />

by the former group of states – mainly the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />

the Soviet Union/Russia <strong>and</strong> Canada. As late as in the first<br />

decades of the 20th century, there was no international<br />

statute in place that would clearly regulate boundaries for<br />

all states in the Arctic region, but there seemed to be no<br />

urgent necessity to create one at that time. All countries of<br />

the Arctic rim traditionally accepted the sector principle,<br />

a version of the doctrine of contiguity, <strong>and</strong> facilely based<br />

their territorial claims on this agreement. According to the<br />

sector principle, the northern coastlines of the countries<br />

adjacent to the Arctic Circle were to indicate the northern<br />

boundaries of their respective sectors in the Arctic Ocean,<br />

while longitudinal parallels extending from their eastern<br />

<strong>and</strong> western borders bounded these sectors from the other<br />

two sides 15 .<br />

In the past, international law stated that national claims of<br />

sovereignty over particular areas in the Arctic Ocean were to<br />

be recognized only if accompanied by physical occupation.<br />

Initially, there were two competing theories regarding<br />

national sovereignty in the Arctic: (1) that no nation could<br />

achieve sovereignty over the Arctic, termed ‘res nullius’ <strong>and</strong><br />

(2) that every nation shared an undivided sovereignty over<br />

this region, called ‘res communes.’ According to current<br />

international law, sovereignty is considered to be a derivative<br />

of government control <strong>and</strong> of notoriety over new territory.<br />

Consequently, many claims of sovereignty over some portions<br />

of the Arctic region that were supported by existing exercise<br />

of the government functions became more plausible. On the<br />

other h<strong>and</strong>, claims resting solely on territorial justifications<br />

such as the sector principle were denied legal force by many<br />

nations, including the <strong>United</strong> States, which purchased Alaska<br />

from Russia in 1867, thus reaffirming its presence in the<br />

region.<br />

Extended sea sovereignty conflicts <strong>and</strong> disputes in the Arctic<br />

between the <strong>United</strong> States, Canada, the Soviet Union/Russia,<br />

Denmark-Greenl<strong>and</strong>, Norway, <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong> started in the<br />

1920s. The beginning of the wave of claims was marked by<br />

Norway’s acquisition of the Svalbard Archipelago, which was<br />

recognized by the Spitsbergen Treaty <strong>and</strong> which gave this<br />

country a large Arctic area. The littoral states of Canada <strong>and</strong><br />

the Soviet Union argued that their coastal reach should be<br />

extended northwards, repeating the argument that was made<br />

by claimants to the newly explored Antarctica. Canada’s claim<br />

involved extending their national boundaries up to the Pole,<br />

which would then cover the area between longitudes 60°W<br />

<strong>and</strong> 141°W <strong>and</strong> include the isl<strong>and</strong>s between the northern coast<br />

of Canada <strong>and</strong> the Pole. Russia followed suit, <strong>and</strong> established<br />

a claim to the area between the northern coasts of both its<br />

European <strong>and</strong> Asiatic parts <strong>and</strong> the North Pole. The Russian<br />

sector was to be bounded by two lines: from Murmansk to the<br />

North Pole (35°E) <strong>and</strong> from Chukchi Peninsula to the North<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 5


Svalbard serves as Norway’s Arctic refuge. http://www.etravelphotos.com/photos/2005sv/2005sv-0731-012d-w.jpg<br />

Pole (170°W). In the same manner, Norway decided to claim<br />

its sovereign rights to the sector between longitudes 5°E <strong>and</strong><br />

35°E, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States did the same, claiming the sector<br />

between 141°W <strong>and</strong> 170°W. Following this logic, Denmark<br />

could also claim its sovereignty over the sector between 60°W<br />

<strong>and</strong> 10°W, but it contented itself with Greenl<strong>and</strong>, which was<br />

internationally recognized as Danish territory in 1933.<br />

A new addition to the dispute over Arctic territory after<br />

<strong>World</strong> War II was the strategic military component, which<br />

emerged due to the new security situation when East-West<br />

tensions cemented. During the Cold War, all states bordering<br />

on the Arctic Ocean - the <strong>United</strong> States, the Soviet Union,<br />

Canada, Norway, Icel<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Denmark-Greenl<strong>and</strong> - divided<br />

themselves into the East-West confrontation framework. 16<br />

The Arctic’s strategic significance in this new era dramatically<br />

increased, as the region marked the shortest distance between<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union. Additional factors were<br />

also crucial in reviving the dispute over national sovereignty<br />

in the Arctic. From the Soviet Union’s perspective, the littoral<br />

coast of the Arctic Ocean played a key role in their naval<br />

build-up, in view of the fact that the Soviet Union had no<br />

warm-water ports with direct access to the world’s oceans. 17<br />

On the other h<strong>and</strong>, the <strong>United</strong> States had no direct way to<br />

respond to this naval threat – they had no access to the Arctic<br />

waters save for Alaska <strong>and</strong> had to rely on agreements with<br />

other states like Canada, Denmark, <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong> to build up<br />

their defenses.<br />

As the <strong>United</strong> States security policy became increasingly<br />

dependent upon the relatively free access to the Canadian<br />

Arctic, disputes arose over whether Canadian cooperation<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 6


which regulated the practical<br />

issues without addressing<br />

the sovereignty dispute.<br />

According to the agreement,<br />

no vessels that were engaged<br />

in research, including US<br />

Coast Guard vessels, could<br />

enter the Canadian Arctic<br />

waters without permission of<br />

the Canadian government. 22<br />

was strictly or legally necessary. 18 The <strong>United</strong> States rejected<br />

the Canadian jurisdiction over the Northwest Passage –<br />

while it still recognized Canada’s rights to sovereignty over<br />

the isl<strong>and</strong>s of the Arctic Archipelago, it considered the Arctic<br />

Ocean as international waters. The <strong>United</strong> States claimed that<br />

the Northwest Passage in its entirety should be regarded as an<br />

international strait where foreign vessels have the unrestricted<br />

right of transit passage. Canada, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, claimed<br />

the Northwest Passage <strong>and</strong> the waters of the Canadian Arctic<br />

Archipelago as internal waters based on a liberal application<br />

of the doctrine of straight baselines. 19<br />

This long-running dispute featured intermittent testing<br />

behavior. In 1969, the world’s largest commercial vessel –<br />

the American tanker Manhattan – traveled through the<br />

Northwest Passage to test whether Alaskan oil could be<br />

delivered to the east coast of the <strong>United</strong> States by this route. 20<br />

The trip itself was not a problem for the Canadians, but the<br />

fact that the voyage took place without asking for permission<br />

of the Canadian government spurred indignation in this<br />

northern country. A similar journey was made by the <strong>United</strong><br />

States icebreaker Polar Sea in 1985, again without previous<br />

consultation with the authorities in Ottawa. 21 The Convention of the Law<br />

of the Sea<br />

The issue of competing<br />

claims for sovereignty<br />

over territorial waters was<br />

raised in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

in 1967 by Malta, <strong>and</strong> this<br />

led to convening the Third<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Conference<br />

on the Law of the Sea in<br />

1973. In order to reduce<br />

the influence of organized<br />

groups of states influencing<br />

the negotiations, the st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

majority vote was replaced<br />

with a consensus process. This prolonged the negotiations,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the final agreement was reached only in 1982. The final<br />

treaty, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea<br />

(UNCLOS), was ratified in 1994 <strong>and</strong> became the single most<br />

significant international agreement regulating the rights <strong>and</strong><br />

responsibilities of nations in their use of the world’s high seas.<br />

Probably the single most important provision of the UNCLOS<br />

permitted coastal states to establish exclusive economic zones<br />

extending up to 200 nautical miles within which they could<br />

exercise sovereign rights over both the waters <strong>and</strong> the seabed.<br />

Furthermore, the treaty assured that this sovereign territory<br />

could be extended depending on how far the continental l<strong>and</strong><br />

mass belonging to a nation extended out under the ocean.<br />

As a result of<br />

these incidents, in 1988, the governments of Canada <strong>and</strong> of<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States signed an agreement, ‘Arctic Cooperation’,<br />

23 S.S. Manhattan’s epic journey through the Northwest Passage rendered Canada<br />

indignant. http://drake.marin.k12.ca.us/academics/rock/NWP_then_files/405_<br />

Manhattan.jpg<br />

To<br />

date, the Convention on the Law of the Sea has been ratified by<br />

158 countries, the <strong>United</strong> States being a noteworthy exception.<br />

Active Militarization<br />

Prior to <strong>World</strong> War II, the Arctic region was a complete<br />

military vacuum. During the War, its strategic role<br />

included mainly being a transit area for the Arctic convoys<br />

delivering vital supplies to the Arkhangelsk Soviet Union<br />

from the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States under the<br />

Lend-Lease Act. The region was also the area of a few smaller<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 7


engagements, like the Battle of the Barents Sea <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Battle of the North Cape. It was the post-war period, with its<br />

technological advances in the military sphere, however, that<br />

marked a boost in strategic importance of the Arctic. Defined<br />

solely in terms of its significance in scientific research, the<br />

Arctic started being<br />

regarded as the<br />

Circumpolar<br />

North – a potential<br />

core of national<br />

security interests of<br />

several countries. 24<br />

The Arctic region<br />

became an area<br />

for ballistic missile<br />

threats, early<br />

warning systems,<br />

<strong>and</strong> even potential<br />

naval conflicts. 25<br />

This development<br />

can be explained<br />

on the basis of the<br />

interplay of the<br />

following three<br />

factors: (1) the<br />

East-West conflict,<br />

which created<br />

the political<br />

framework for<br />

bloc formation; (2)<br />

the developments<br />

in military<br />

technology,<br />

including nuclear<br />

weapons <strong>and</strong> longrange<br />

means of<br />

delivery; <strong>and</strong> (3)<br />

the geo-strategic<br />

factors particular to<br />

the Arctic region. 26<br />

While the first<br />

two factors created a need for deployment areas in general,<br />

the universal features of the Arctic explain the particular<br />

significance of this region. These geo-strategic properties of the<br />

Circumpolar North are commonly known. First, the shortest<br />

distance between Europe, Asia <strong>and</strong> North America, <strong>and</strong> thus<br />

between the two superpowers of the Cold War period, the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union, is over the Arctic Ocean.<br />

The superpowers can be also said to have an almost common<br />

border in this area, where the Soviet Union is separated from<br />

Alaska by only 91 km of the Bering Strait. 27 Furthermore,<br />

eighty percent of the world’s industrial production takes place<br />

north of 30°N, while seventy percent of the world’s major<br />

cities are located north of 23.5°N. 28 These factors explain why<br />

the Arctic started being regarded as a natural route for any<br />

nuclear attack using<br />

or intercontinental<br />

missiles or strategic<br />

bombers <strong>and</strong> the rise<br />

of the Cold War.<br />

In addition to this,<br />

the Soviet Union<br />

gradually developed<br />

its Northern Fleet,<br />

based at the Kola<br />

Peninsula, to become<br />

its most powerful<br />

fleet. The reasons<br />

for this were purely<br />

pragmatic – the<br />

Soviet Union aspired<br />

to be a naval power,<br />

but being a partly<br />

l<strong>and</strong>locked country,<br />

it faced obvious<br />

geographical<br />

restrictions in its<br />

access to the world’s<br />

high seas. All of its<br />

fleets – the Black<br />

Sea, the Baltic, the<br />

Northern, <strong>and</strong> –<br />

partly – the Pacific<br />

Fleet were dependent<br />

on passing through<br />

straits that were<br />

controlled by powers<br />

with a history of<br />

imperfect relations<br />

with the Soviet<br />

Union. 29 The Soviets thus faced a constant risk of seeing these<br />

straits closed for passage at the most crucial moments. The<br />

Northern Fleet was an exception in this regard, having a direct<br />

access to the world’s oceans <strong>and</strong> thus played a crucial role in<br />

assuring the Soviet Union’s naval strength. The introduction<br />

of the Delta-class submarines in 1972 further increased the<br />

potential of the Northern Fleet, which did not have to rely on<br />

the barrier-protected GIUK gap, which is between Greenl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

Russia has crucial naval facilities in the Barents Sea. http://www.astrosol.<br />

ch/images/northernfleetmap.jpg<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 8


Icel<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom, anymore – since Delta<br />

submarines were capable of striking any target in Europe or<br />

North America from the Arctic waters. 30 This withdrawal of the<br />

Northern Fleet’s strategic forces to the Arctic Ocean has led the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States to follow suit <strong>and</strong> transformed this region into a<br />

military front. 31 Also the airspace over the Arctic Ocean began<br />

to be utilized for strategic deterrence in the 1950s <strong>and</strong> 1960s.<br />

Due to the long-range missile threat, the <strong>United</strong> States set up<br />

several chains of early warning systems against attacks from<br />

the Circumpolar North. The Distant Early Warning (DEW)<br />

stations were established between Alaska <strong>and</strong> Greenl<strong>and</strong>, in<br />

cooperation with Canada <strong>and</strong> Denmark. In addition to these,<br />

three additional chains of radars were built in North America:<br />

the Mid Canada line, the Pinetree line, <strong>and</strong> the Ballistic<br />

Missile Early Warning System (BMEWS). 32 Other countries<br />

also assured their safety in case of war. Sweden, even though<br />

it decided to remain neutral, also maintained substantial<br />

forces in its northern areas to ensure that no country would be<br />

tempted to utilize its territory to conduct an assault. Norway<br />

also made appropriate provisions to ensure it could respond<br />

to a Soviet attack.<br />

The climax of the process of militarization <strong>and</strong> of the role of<br />

the Arctic as a theatre for the operations of strategic weapons<br />

systems came in the 1980s. As l<strong>and</strong>-based intercontinental<br />

ballistic missiles (ICBMs) became increasingly vulnerable to<br />

counterforce strikes, submarine-launched ballistic missiles<br />

(SLBMs) began to play a pivotal role in military strategy of<br />

both the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union. At the same<br />

time, development of ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs)<br />

allowed military strategists to achieve huge advantages by<br />

deploying them in the Arctic. First, SSBNs in patrol stations<br />

in the Arctic Ocean could strike virtually all enemy targets<br />

without venturing far from their respective homel<strong>and</strong>s –<br />

for example, Soviet-built missiles mounted on Delta-class<br />

submarines stationed in Arctic waters could attack targets<br />

in North America <strong>and</strong> Europe. Similarly, American Trident<br />

submarines carrying C-4 missiles were able to deliver nuclear<br />

warheads to targets throughout the Soviet Union – all from<br />

the Arctic waters. Simultaneously, the operation of SSBNs in<br />

the Arctic Ocean was remarkably safe due to the difficulties<br />

of locating submarines in Arctic conditions. The effectiveness<br />

of acoustical monitoring devices like sonar systems was<br />

significantly compromised by the ambient noise of the pack<br />

of ice. 33<br />

These military advantages were eagerly exploited by both<br />

the Soviets <strong>and</strong> the Americans during the 1980s: over half<br />

of the Soviet SSBNs were stationed with the Northern Fleet<br />

in the Kola Peninsula, with an easy access to Arctic waters.<br />

Although the <strong>United</strong> States did not have a comparable base,<br />

their SSBNs that were stationed in Bangor, Washington were<br />

fully operational in Arctic waters even for extended periods<br />

of time. The <strong>United</strong> States accelerated the construction of its<br />

fleet of Ohio-class submarines, equipped with Trident II or<br />

D-5 missiles. In fact, the safety <strong>and</strong> ease of operation offered<br />

by Arctic waters convinced the American military strategists<br />

to deploy vessels extensively in this region, even though the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States did not share the Soviet Union’s problems such<br />

as penetrating the GIUK gap. 34<br />

The situation was largely similar with air-launched cruise<br />

missiles (ALCMs), which were developed so that they could<br />

deliver nuclear warheads with great precision. Their advantage<br />

over ballistic missiles results from their maneuverability –<br />

unlike SSBMs, ALCMs are subject to control at all points<br />

along their flight paths – <strong>and</strong> their ability to confuse ordinary<br />

radar scanners. By flying at low speeds <strong>and</strong> altitudes, they were<br />

often capable of avoiding conventional air defense systems.<br />

In the 1980s, long-range cruise missiles could travel up to<br />

3,000 km to their target areas <strong>and</strong>, when mounted on heavy<br />

bombers, were fully operational in the Arctic airspace. The<br />

<strong>United</strong> States had over a thous<strong>and</strong> long-range cruise missiles<br />

in their inventory <strong>and</strong> several squadrons of B-52G bombers<br />

to carry them. The Soviet Union lagged somewhat behind<br />

in this technology, but the Soviets were also in possession<br />

of long-range ALCMs that they mounted on their Backfire<br />

<strong>and</strong> Bear H bombers. The deployment of long-range ALCMs<br />

<strong>and</strong> the latest generations of manned bombers significantly<br />

increased the importance of the Arctic airspace as a potential<br />

battlefield. These missiles were capable of reaching most<br />

targets in North America, Europe <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union when<br />

launched from the airspace over the Arctic region, which<br />

potentially made st<strong>and</strong>off nuclear strikes relatively safe <strong>and</strong><br />

effective. 35<br />

As a result of these developments of offensive military<br />

systems in the Arctic, there emerged a much stronger need<br />

for sea <strong>and</strong> air defense systems in the region. In regards<br />

to sea defense, conventional methods of monitoring the<br />

movements of submarines from aircraft, satellites or other<br />

acoustical devices were rather useless in tracking the activities<br />

of SSBNs operating under the ice of the Arctic Ocean. The<br />

only measure of defense was deploying attack submarines<br />

in the Arctic, which increased the military presence in the<br />

region even further. A similar surge of interest in air defense<br />

systems, caused by the deployment of ALCMs, precipitated a<br />

modernization of the DEW line from the 1950s in the <strong>United</strong><br />

States. This resulted in creation of the North Warning System<br />

in cooperation with Canada, which was based on a military<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 9


agreement from 1985. The North Warning System contained<br />

13 medium-range microwave radars <strong>and</strong> 39 short-range<br />

radars. In a separate agreement, the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong><br />

agreed to construct two additional radar stations in Icel<strong>and</strong> to<br />

monitor Soviet activities in the Arctic. 36<br />

After the end of the Cold War, most Arctic nations reduced<br />

the accumulation of forces in their northern areas. The<br />

explanation for this change can be attributed to a combination<br />

of economic challenges faced by the newly transformed<br />

Russian Federation, <strong>and</strong> the growing need for US military<br />

resources to be deployed elsewhere. This led to the decreasing<br />

necessity for major Arctic powers to maintain their large<br />

military presence in the Arctic region.<br />

Current Situation<br />

The Arctic is presently re-emerging as a strategic area where<br />

vital interests of many countries coincide. The region’s<br />

geopolitical <strong>and</strong> geo-economic significance, combined with<br />

its wealth in natural resources, is transforming the Arctic<br />

into a hotly contested frontier of the 21st century.<br />

Natural Resources<br />

The <strong>United</strong> States<br />

Geological<br />

Survey estimates<br />

that the Arctic may<br />

contain a fifth of the<br />

world’s yet-to-bediscovered<br />

oil <strong>and</strong><br />

natural gas reserves.<br />

The assessment,<br />

which took four<br />

years, found that<br />

the region may<br />

hold as much as<br />

90 billion barrels<br />

of undiscovered<br />

oil reserves, which<br />

constitutes 13% of<br />

the estimated total<br />

world reserves,<br />

<strong>and</strong> 47.3 trillion<br />

cubic meters of<br />

undiscovered natural<br />

gas reserves, which<br />

is 30% of the world’s<br />

reserves. 37 At today’s<br />

consumption rate of<br />

86 million barrels per<br />

day, the potential oil to be drilled in the Arctic could meet<br />

global dem<strong>and</strong> for almost three years. 38 The Arctic’s potential<br />

natural gas resources are three times bigger <strong>and</strong> equal to<br />

Russia’s proven gas reserves, which are the world’s largest. The<br />

survey looked at resources believed to be recoverable using<br />

existing technology, but with the important assumptions for<br />

offshore areas that the resources would be recoverable even in<br />

the presence of permanent sea ice <strong>and</strong> oceanic water depth. 39<br />

Two regions of the Arctic st<strong>and</strong> out according to this survey.<br />

A third of the yet-to-be-discovered Arctic oil, or about 30<br />

billion barrels, is off the coast of Alaska. 40 Historically,<br />

the North Slope, which is the region of Alaska from the<br />

Canadian border on the east to the Chukchi Sea Outer<br />

Continental Shelf on the west has contributed significantly to<br />

US oil production. The <strong>United</strong> States Department of Energy<br />

reported that the North Slope potentially holds 36 billion<br />

barrels of oil <strong>and</strong> 3.8 trillion cubic meters of natural gas, close<br />

to Nigeria’s proven reserves. 41 These reserves are also quite<br />

unique <strong>and</strong> attractive because their development is much less<br />

limited by government legislation. Therefore, they are much<br />

more accessible to drilling than other similar oilfields. Last<br />

year, oil companies spent US$2.6 billion to acquire leases on<br />

Oil exploration <strong>and</strong> drilling damage the Arctic blossoms. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/<br />

news/bigphotos/images/070824-arctic-oil_big.jpg<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 10 10


government-controlled offshore tracts. 42 Currently, however,<br />

many oil fields in the North Slope are in decline <strong>and</strong> many<br />

people in America look toward the offshore areas to revive<br />

the Alaskan oil industry <strong>and</strong> enhance US energy security.<br />

For example, the 10-billion-barrel oil reserves in the Arctic<br />

National Wildlife Refuge could lead to an additional 1 million<br />

barrels per day in American production capacity, which<br />

would save the <strong>United</strong> States US$123 billion in petroleum<br />

imports <strong>and</strong> create US$7.7 billion in new economic activity 43 .<br />

The other area of the Arctic that is particularly rich in<br />

natural resources is the ‘Russian area of water proper,’<br />

composed of the Barents Sea, the Pechora Sea, the Kara Sea,<br />

the East Siberian Sea, the Chukchi Sea, <strong>and</strong> the Laptev Sea.<br />

According to a report by the Russian Ministry for Natural<br />

Resources, oil deposits there could reach 418 million tons,<br />

which is equivalent to 3 billion barrels, <strong>and</strong> proven natural<br />

gas reserves could amount to 7.7 trillion cubic meters.<br />

Unexplored reserves are far larger – this region could hold<br />

as much as 67.7 billion barrels of oil <strong>and</strong> 88.3 trillion cubic<br />

meters of gas. 44<br />

Beside oil <strong>and</strong> gas, the Arctic seabed could also hold other<br />

natural wealth, such as significant deposits of precious<br />

stones – gold, silver, copper, iron, platinum, lead, tin, nickel,<br />

manganese, zinc <strong>and</strong> even diamonds. In the current state<br />

of global economy, dem<strong>and</strong> for these commodities steadily<br />

increases. Furthermore, it has been proven that there are large<br />

deposits of methane hydrates located on the deep seabed<br />

of the Arctic Ocean. While no technology currently exists<br />

that would make extracting them possible, the emergence<br />

of this capability seems to be an imminent prospect. Several<br />

countries are interested in developing methane hydrate<br />

processing as a commercially viable energy source, including<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States, Japan, <strong>and</strong> South Korea. 45<br />

Climate Change<br />

Nowhere else on the planet have such dramatic<br />

consequences of climate change been observed as in<br />

the Arctic. Biologists <strong>and</strong> climate researchers observe with<br />

mounting fear how the sea ice<br />

in the Arctic Ocean is rapidly<br />

decreasing <strong>and</strong> the permafrost<br />

on the ground is melting.<br />

According to data gathered<br />

by satellites, it is apparent that<br />

there is less sea ice between<br />

Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Siberia than<br />

ever before. 46 In August 2006,<br />

the Russian ship Akademik<br />

Fyodorov successfully managed<br />

to cross the North Pole<br />

without needing assistance of<br />

icebreakers; there are hardly any<br />

ice floes left in the Northwest<br />

Passage. 47 Some researchers<br />

hypothesize that by the end of<br />

the century the Arctic Ocean<br />

could become completely free<br />

of all ice in the summer <strong>and</strong><br />

up to 90% of the hard-rock<br />

surface could melt, shifting the<br />

permafrost border hundreds of<br />

kilometers to the north. 48 The<br />

warming effect also threatens<br />

to bring massive changes to<br />

the region’s environmental<br />

condition, whose balance<br />

Arctic ice is melting faster than ever before. http://www.spiegel.de/international/ has already been shaken by<br />

spiegel/0,1518,409001,00.html<br />

pollution <strong>and</strong> higher levels of<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 11 11


ultraviolet rays.<br />

However, as scientists <strong>and</strong> conservationists worry about the<br />

potentially dire consequences of global warming, politicians<br />

<strong>and</strong> businessmen have already started battling over how to<br />

reap the economic benefits of the global meltdown. A broad<br />

range of potential opportunities is opening up as the ice is<br />

melting. Cargo may be able to travel from North America<br />

to Asia more quickly <strong>and</strong> cheaply, as the Northern Route<br />

just north of the coast of Siberia opens up. Similarly, the<br />

fabled Northern Passage becomes much more accessible <strong>and</strong><br />

becomes a feasible commercial route from the west to the east<br />

coast of the <strong>United</strong> States. Local governments <strong>and</strong> firms are<br />

A robotic arm of a Russian mini submarine planting a<br />

titanium capsutre with a Russian flag under the icecaps<br />

of the Arctice Ocean at the North Pole.<br />

http://wwwimage.cbsnews.com/images/2007/09/21/<br />

image3284091g.jpg<br />

also hoping for newly accessible fishing grounds, especially<br />

around the Bering Strait. 49 More than anything else, however,<br />

it is the wealth of newly available natural resources that sparks<br />

the imagination of many. If the environmental processes that<br />

are currently underway continue, excavating the Arctic’s vast<br />

oil <strong>and</strong> natural gas reserves will soon become financially<br />

viable. 50 Several Arctic nations have recently started lining<br />

up to claim their rights to explore the Arctic’s riches.<br />

Recent Territorial Claims<br />

Until the end of the 20th century, there was a general<br />

consensus among most countries that the North Pole<br />

<strong>and</strong> most of the Arctic Ocean should be regarded as an<br />

international territory. At the same time, several states have<br />

reinforced their pre-existing claims to national sovereignty<br />

over certain areas in the region in view of the recent<br />

phenomenon of global warming <strong>and</strong> the resulting Arctic<br />

shrinkage. These emerging opportunities have led others<br />

to even establish completely new claims. According to the<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea, countries<br />

are entitled to exclusive economic zones up to 200 miles<br />

from their shores, but some nations have recently filed claims<br />

to extend their respective areas.<br />

In 2001, Russia submitted to the UNCLOS a formal claim<br />

for an area of 1.2 million square kilometers that extends<br />

from the undersea Lomonosov Ridge <strong>and</strong> Mendeleev Ridge<br />

to the North Pole. 51 The claim stated that the Lomonosov<br />

<strong>and</strong> Mendeleev submerged ridges were in fact extensions of<br />

Russia’s continental shelf. The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> commission<br />

rejected the claim <strong>and</strong> asked for more evidence in support of<br />

the Russian sovereign rights to this area. In response, Moscow<br />

sent a scientific expedition in 2007 of a nuclear-powered<br />

icebreaker <strong>and</strong> two submarines to the region in question.<br />

The mission collected samples from the Lomonosov Ridge to<br />

prove that the ridge is part of the Eurasian l<strong>and</strong>mass. During<br />

a spectacular media event, the submarines also dropped a<br />

titanium capsule containing a Russian flag onto the seafloor<br />

at the North Pole at a depth of 4,261 meters. This symbolic<br />

act by the Russians suddenly transformed the question of<br />

sovereign rights in the Arctic region from a purely scientific<br />

<strong>and</strong> legal case into an urgent political issue. 52 On the basis<br />

of the samples found, Russia’s Ministry of Natural Resources<br />

said that a preliminary analysis ‘confirms the fact that the<br />

structure of the Lomonosov Ridge crust matches world<br />

analogs of continental crust’. The Russian government used<br />

this fact to announce that the North Pole is part of Mother<br />

Russia <strong>and</strong> that under international law, Russia can lay claim<br />

to the potentially oil-rich seabed under the Arctic ice. 53 Many<br />

experts challenge this view, however, saying that the samples<br />

only prove that the Lomonosov Ridge’s rocks are continental<br />

in nature, but this doesn’t necessarily mean that the ridge is<br />

part of Russia – it could as well be Canadian or Danish. 54<br />

Meanwhile, scientists from other Arctic nations are looking<br />

for evidence to support very different versions of the<br />

truth about the Lomonosov Ridge. Danish geologists are<br />

attempting to prove that the ridge is connected to Greenl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Canadian scientists are searching for connections<br />

between this geological formation <strong>and</strong> the Ellesmere Isl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

a Canadian territory. 55 The dispute over which country’s<br />

continental shelf extends to the Lomonosov Ridge is crucial<br />

in determining which country has sovereign rights over<br />

the seabed around the North Pole. Some of the other hotly<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 12 12


contested areas of the Arctic are the boundary between Alaska<br />

<strong>and</strong> Canada, <strong>and</strong> the East Barents Basins, where Russia <strong>and</strong><br />

Norway are involved in bilateral discussions concerning the<br />

offshore boundary. 56<br />

In 2006, Norway followed Russia <strong>and</strong> also made an official<br />

submission into the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Commission on the<br />

Limits of the Continental Shelf in accordance with the<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea (Article<br />

76, Paragraph 8). The claim to extend the Norwegian 200<br />

nautical miles (370 km) zone in three areas of the Arctic – the<br />

Western Nansen Basin in the Arctic Ocean, the Loop Hole in<br />

the Barents Sea <strong>and</strong> the Banana Hole in the Norwegian Sea<br />

– was backed by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> commission, <strong>and</strong> thus<br />

the extension was effective <strong>and</strong> the total gain for Norway<br />

amounted to 235,000 square kilometers. 57 In 2007, a US Coast<br />

Guard icebreaker USCGC Healy headed to the Arctic to map<br />

the bottom of the Arctic Ocean the Outer Continental Shelf.<br />

One of the purposes of mapping was to determine whether<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States had any legitimate claims to territory<br />

beyond its 200-nautical-mile exclusive economic zone. 58<br />

Recent Militarization<br />

In August 2007, shortly after sending the scientific<br />

expedition to the Lomonosov Ridge that placed the<br />

Russian flag on the seabed, Moscow ordered resumption of<br />

regular air patrols over the Arctic Ocean. Strategic bombers<br />

including the turboprop Tu-95 (Bear), supersonic Tu-160<br />

(Blackjack), <strong>and</strong> Tu-22M3, as well as the long-range antisubmarine<br />

warfare patrol aircraft Tu-142 have flown patrols<br />

since then. 59 According to the Russian Air Force, the Tu-<br />

95 bombers refueled in-flight to extend their operational<br />

patrol area. 60 American newspapers reported that Russian<br />

bombers penetrated the 12-mile air defense identification<br />

zone surrounding Alaska several times since 2007. 61 Also<br />

the Russian navy is intensifying its patrols in the Arctic –<br />

this is the first such phenomenon since the end of the Cold<br />

War. High ranking Russian army officers say that Russia’s<br />

military strategy might be reoriented to meet threats to<br />

the country’s interests in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> that the Northern<br />

Fleet’s operational radius is being extended. 62 In July 2008,<br />

the Russian Navy officially announced that it has resumed its<br />

warship presence in the Arctic.<br />

The intensified Russian military activity in the Arctic is<br />

interpreted as an attempt to increase its leverage vis-à-vis<br />

territorial claims in the region. Moscow’s strategy seems to be<br />

to display its military might while invoking international law.<br />

For example, the Russian Navy deployed an anti-submarine<br />

warfare destroyer <strong>and</strong> guided-missile cruiser designed<br />

Maritime zones as defined by international law. http://<br />

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Zonmar-en.svg<br />

to destroy aircraft carriers in the area of the Spitsbergen<br />

Archipelago. The Spitsbergen unambiguously belongs to<br />

Norway, but Russia refuses to recognize Norway’s rights to a<br />

200-nautical-mile economic zone around the Archipelago. 63<br />

The sorties of the Northern Fleet in the area are being justified<br />

by the Russian Navy as ‘fulfilled strictly in accordance with<br />

the international maritime law, including the UNCLOS 64 . In<br />

a recent report released in May 2009, the Russian <strong>Security</strong><br />

Council, which includes the Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin,<br />

<strong>and</strong> heads of the military <strong>and</strong> intelligence agencies, raised a<br />

possibility of war in the Arctic within a decade over control<br />

of the regions huge wealth of natural resources. 65<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 13 13


In response, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)<br />

partners re-supply the Thule Air Base in Greenl<strong>and</strong>, which<br />

operates under agreements with Denmark. Another example<br />

of this increased military attention given to the Arctic region<br />

is the strategic cooperation between the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong><br />

Canada in strengthening the North American Aerospace<br />

Defense Comm<strong>and</strong> (NORAD). There are also plans in the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States to establish a Joint Task Force–Arctic Region<br />

Comm<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> an Arctic Coast Guard Forum modeled after<br />

the highly successful North Pacific Coast Guard Forum. 66<br />

Canada joined the trend by announcing in 2007 <strong>and</strong> that<br />

it would build six to eight navy patrol ships to guard the<br />

Northwest Passage, as well as two military bases <strong>and</strong> a deepwater<br />

port inside the Arctic Circle. 67 \<br />

Past UN Actions<br />

The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea<br />

The questions of jurisdiction over the Arctic <strong>and</strong> the<br />

militarization of the region have not yet been the topics<br />

of any major international treaty. The single most important<br />

agreement regulating sovereign rights in the Arctic, as well<br />

as in the other sea areas of the world, is the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). The agreement,<br />

which is often described as the ‘constitution for the oceans’,<br />

was concluded in 1982 after nine years of work by the <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong> Conference on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS III) <strong>and</strong><br />

came into force in 1994 after the 60th country ratified the<br />

treaty. To date, 158 countries have ratified the Convention,<br />

but the <strong>United</strong> States has not yet done so, although it helped<br />

shape the Convention <strong>and</strong> signed the 1994 Agreement on<br />

Implementation.<br />

The Convention is crucial in regulating navigation in<br />

the Arctic waters, particularly in the Northwest Passage.<br />

According to the Convention, each country can extend its<br />

sovereign territorial waters to a maximum of 12 nautical<br />

miles (22 km) beyond its coast, but foreign vessels are<br />

granted the right of innocent passage through this zone, as<br />

long as they do not engage in hostile activities against the<br />

coastal state. The Convention also endorses a new concept of<br />

‘transit passage,’ which is in fact a compromise that combines<br />

the legally accepted provisions of innocent passage through<br />

territorial waters <strong>and</strong> freedom of navigation on the high seas.<br />

The concept of transit passage retains the international status<br />

of the straits <strong>and</strong> gives all countries the right to unimpeded<br />

navigation <strong>and</strong> flight over these waters that the world’s naval<br />

powers insisted on. The only conditions that have to be<br />

satisfied by vessels or aircraft in transit passage are observing<br />

international regulations on navigational safety <strong>and</strong> civilian<br />

air-traffic control, as well as proceeding without delay except<br />

in distress situations <strong>and</strong> refraining from any threat or use of<br />

force against the coastal State. 68<br />

However, the Convention is not perfect <strong>and</strong> tends to be<br />

slightly outdated, as critics point out its lack of clarity in some<br />

aspects. For example, the Convention does not expressly<br />

provide the right to submerged transit through international<br />

straits by submarines, which might mean that all submarines<br />

in transit passage have to surface to reveal their presence.<br />

Some international lawyers argue, however, that this right<br />

can be deduced from the provisions of the Convention,<br />

particularly from Article 39, which specifies common duties<br />

of vessels in transit passage. The article says that vessels<br />

exercising their right of transit passage shall ‘refrain from any<br />

activities other than those incidental to their normal modes<br />

of continuous <strong>and</strong> expeditious transit.’ 69 Most experts agree<br />

that, since submarines are by definition underwater vehicles,<br />

submerged passage is by definition the ‘normal mode’ of<br />

such craft. 70 Most experts affirm that the proceedings of the<br />

Convention <strong>and</strong> circumstances of the conclusion of the 1982<br />

Treaty seem to unquestionably confirm the interpretation<br />

given above. 71 Therefore, navigation through the Northwest<br />

Passage should be free <strong>and</strong> unencumbered if it is to be<br />

considered as an international strait. However, Canada<br />

regards the Passage as part of its internal waters, which is<br />

rejected by several countries <strong>and</strong> has led to several incidents.<br />

Such problems are usually resolved on the basis of subsequent<br />

bilateral treaties between the countries concerned, but some<br />

voices are being presently raised suggesting that it might be<br />

the time for a specific treaty regime for the Arctic.<br />

Another aspect of the militarization of the Arctic to<br />

which the Convention on the Law of the Sea is relevant is<br />

the issue of territorial claims in the region. According to<br />

the Convention, all coastal states can establish exclusive<br />

economic zones extending up to 200 nautical miles (370 km)<br />

within which they can exercise their sovereign rights over<br />

both the waters <strong>and</strong> the seabed. Furthermore, a country’s<br />

sovereign territory may be extended depending on how<br />

far the continental mass extends out under the ocean, if<br />

the outer boundaries of this so-called continental shelf<br />

are precisely defined <strong>and</strong> documented. 72 The Convention<br />

employs the definition of continental shelf adopted by the<br />

<strong>International</strong> Law Commission in 1958, which defined the<br />

continental shelf to include ‘the seabed <strong>and</strong> subsoil of the<br />

submarine areas adjacent to the coast but outside the area of<br />

the territorial sea, to a depth of 200 meters, or, beyond that<br />

limit, to where the depth of the adjacent waters admits of<br />

the exploitation of the natural resources of the said areas.’ 73<br />

Exact cut-off lines are determined by a number of factors,<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 14<br />

14


such as the structure of the ocean floor, sediment thickness,<br />

<strong>and</strong> ocean depth. Problems arise when these factors are<br />

a matter of dispute, as it is the case with the Lomonosov<br />

Ridge, where determining whether this geological<br />

formation is part of the continental shelf of Canada, Russia,<br />

or Greenl<strong>and</strong> is crucial to establishing which country has<br />

sovereign rights over the seabed around the North Pole. 74<br />

To control claims extending beyond 200 nautical miles, or<br />

to h<strong>and</strong>le conflicting claims, the Commission on the Limits<br />

of the Continental Shelf was established. The Commission<br />

considers evidence data submitted by coastal states <strong>and</strong><br />

makes recommendations to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />

From its very conclusion in 1982,<br />

the UNCLOS was not considered<br />

a final treatment of the Law of the<br />

Sea, but rather a ‘sea constitution’,<br />

intended to provide an essential<br />

framework for future solutions.<br />

The UNCLOS was supposed to<br />

serve as a basis for dealing with a<br />

myriad of legal issues that would<br />

arise in drafting more specific,<br />

regional treaties. Nowadays, some<br />

experts <strong>and</strong> politicians call for a<br />

new Arctic treaty, modeled on the<br />

Antarctic agreement.<br />

The Ilulissat Declaration<br />

In May 2008, representatives of the five coastal States<br />

bordering on the Arctic Ocean – Canada, Denmark,<br />

Norway, the Russian Federation, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States of<br />

America – met at the political level in Ilulissat, Greenl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

to hold discussions about the future of the Arctic region.<br />

The result of these discussions was the Ilulissat Declaration,<br />

adopted on 28 May 2008, which presents the common<br />

position of the five Arctic states in regards to climate change,<br />

maritime safety, <strong>and</strong> sovereign rights in the area. One major<br />

objective of the Declaration, accepted by nations gathered at<br />

the conference, was the blockage of any ‘new comprehensive<br />

international legal regime to govern the Arctic Ocean.’ 75<br />

The parties of the Declaration confirmed that the Law of<br />

the Sea Convention, along with the <strong>International</strong> Maritime<br />

Organization <strong>and</strong> the Arctic Council, form the core of<br />

the regime that governs the Arctic, <strong>and</strong> that within the<br />

framework of this regime the five Arctic states recognized<br />

their responsibility to manage activities in the region,<br />

including both development <strong>and</strong> environmental protection. 76<br />

In the Declaration, the five nations also pledged to ‘remain<br />

committed to this legal framework <strong>and</strong> to the orderly<br />

In the Declaration, the five<br />

nations also pledged to<br />

‘remain committed to this<br />

legal framework <strong>and</strong> to<br />

the orderly settlement of<br />

any possible overlapping<br />

claims.’<br />

settlement of any possible overlapping claims.’ 77<br />

The consequences of the Declaration were twofold. In<br />

reaffirming the role of the existing international law in<br />

governing the issues concerning the Arctic, the signatories<br />

also recognized that other states would participate in<br />

development <strong>and</strong> protection of the Arctic, through the<br />

international Maritime Organization, the Arctic Council,<br />

<strong>and</strong> other relevant international forums. However, the<br />

Declaration also made it clear that there will be no<br />

negotiation of an alternative regime for the Arctic Ocean<br />

that would be contrary to the provisions of the UNCLOS. 78<br />

Proposed Solutions<br />

An Arctic Treaty<br />

With the Arctic ice melting,<br />

an increased interest in<br />

the Arctic’s natural resources <strong>and</strong><br />

navigation, <strong>and</strong> a recent phenomenon<br />

of many nations piling up arms <strong>and</strong><br />

planting flags in the region, calls have<br />

emerged for a comprehensive Arctic<br />

Treaty to govern the ‘lawless’ Arctic<br />

region. Many non-governmental<br />

organizations <strong>and</strong> some politicians<br />

are arguing for an international<br />

agreement that would adopt a legal<br />

framework for dealing with issues<br />

such as polar oil <strong>and</strong> mineral exploration, commercial activity,<br />

maritime security, navigation <strong>and</strong> environmental regulation.<br />

Such an agreement could be achieved under the auspices of<br />

the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> could replace the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

Convention on the Law of the Sea as the primary piece of<br />

legislation concerning the Arctic region, being modeled after<br />

the Antarctic Treaty of the early 1960s. In the same way as<br />

the Antarctic Treaty does, an Arctic Treaty could set aside the<br />

Arctic as a scientific preserve <strong>and</strong> ban all military activity in that<br />

area, while freezing all territorial claims. Proponents of a new<br />

Arctic Treaty believe that such an agreement could facilitate<br />

arranging for sustainable development of Arctic resources,<br />

developing shipping shortcuts through the northern passages,<br />

setting technological st<strong>and</strong>ards for ships that navigate the icy<br />

waters <strong>and</strong> guarding the welfare of the more than one million<br />

indigenous people living within the Arctic Circle. 79<br />

On the other h<strong>and</strong>, many governments, including the major<br />

Arctic powers, are strongly opposed to establishing another<br />

treaty regime in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> believe that the UNCLOS <strong>and</strong><br />

other existing international law provides a comprehensive set<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 15 15


of rules governing use of the world’s oceans, <strong>and</strong> is sufficient<br />

to govern the Arctic region as well. The argument follows<br />

that since the situations in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> the Antarctic are<br />

hardly analogous – the Antarctic is a continent surrounded by<br />

oceans, while the Arctic is an ocean surrounded by continents<br />

– similar rules of suspension of claims to sovereignty cannot<br />

be applied. It is argued that the Arctic Ocean is already subject<br />

to international legislation, <strong>and</strong> that it has already been divided<br />

up, so few territorial disputes can emerge. The parties that<br />

oppose establishing a new treaty for the Arctic believe that<br />

in instances where the maritime claims of coastal nations<br />

overlap, international law sets forth principles for them to<br />

apply in resolving their disputes. 80 These actors customarily<br />

regard Russia’s planting of flags on the North Pole seabed as<br />

‘a symbolic act of no legal st<strong>and</strong>ing or material consequence,’ 81<br />

<strong>and</strong> they believe the real challenge in regulating the Arctic is<br />

the execution of the existing rules, rather than adopting new<br />

ones.<br />

Alternatively, those who believe the entire Arctic Ocean<br />

should be divided into national sovereignty zones present<br />

two major ways of delimitating the territory. One is ‘the<br />

sector method,’ which would divvy up the region by drawing<br />

lines south to the countries involved, using the North Pole<br />

as the centre, like slicing up a pie. Another way would be<br />

to divide the Arctic waters between countries according<br />

to the length of their nearest coastline to the Pole. Either<br />

way, a comprehensive <strong>and</strong> multidimensional international<br />

agreement would be necessary to legitimize such a novel<br />

solution, which could well be achieved by the General<br />

Assembly of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />

Arms Limitations<br />

Even if a political Arctic treaty should not be adopted,<br />

there is still a possibility of establishing an arms<br />

limitation agreement for the Arctic region. Although such<br />

an agreement is likely to be a regional one, global input is<br />

necessary as an objective voice of how demilitarization of<br />

the Arctic can assure that there would be no conflict in the<br />

area, which could potentially spread to the rest of the world.<br />

A successful implementation of strong confidence-building<br />

measures could help significantly reduce the need for Arctic<br />

countries to guard their national interests in the region<br />

with the use of military power. For example, an extensive<br />

cooperative surveillance system could be established for the<br />

area, in which many states could work together to assure that<br />

there are no national security risks for any nation. A naval<br />

arms limitation agreement could thus be adopted, <strong>and</strong> also<br />

include terms establishing a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone in<br />

the Arctic Ocean, to prevent any unnecessary tensions in the<br />

region. Furthermore, global agreements could be concluded<br />

concerning the safe usage of the Northern Passage. Such an<br />

agreement should be prepared as an effect of a consensus<br />

building process with participation of both the major Arctic<br />

powers <strong>and</strong> other nations interested in creating a stable<br />

policy system for the Arctic. Several national needs should<br />

be taken into account when drafting such a treaty to ensure<br />

its subsequent ratification. For example, if such agreements<br />

were to be acceptable for Canada, they would need to contain<br />

solutions to the potential problems of trafficking of drugs,<br />

arms, <strong>and</strong> illegal immigrants to the Canadian territory.<br />

Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions<br />

Russian Federation<br />

The Arctic region is of crucial significance to the country’s<br />

economic <strong>and</strong> strategic interests. In the first aspect, the<br />

Russian Arctic areas are an effective engine for the nation’s<br />

economy, producing 11% of Russia’s GDP <strong>and</strong> 22% of GDP<br />

growth, <strong>and</strong> representing a crucial resource base: up to<br />

80% of Russia’s discovered industrial gas potential. In the<br />

strategic aspect, the Arctic gives Russia an access to three<br />

oceans, <strong>and</strong> its military bases there are crucial for protecting<br />

the country’s extensive borderline. The current issues of<br />

concern for the Russian Federation in the Arctic region focus<br />

mainly on the delimitation of the boundary between Russia<br />

<strong>and</strong> Norway in the Barents Sea, <strong>and</strong> between Russia <strong>and</strong><br />

the <strong>United</strong> States in the Bering Sea, as well as on economic<br />

activities in Spitsbergen’s 200-nautical mile zone <strong>and</strong> the<br />

other overlapping EEZ claims.<br />

The Russian Federation strongly opposes the<br />

internationalization of the Arctic. Russia’s claims to<br />

sovereignty rights over the areas that were the object of<br />

the submissions to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Committee for<br />

Continental Shelf are expected to continue, perhaps with new<br />

evidence being produced by the Russians, who believe they<br />

will eventually be able to back their assertions <strong>and</strong> to begin oil<br />

exploration in the region. As expressed in a statement by the<br />

Russian <strong>Security</strong> Council, outlining the government’s policy<br />

for the next 10 years, Russia plans to deploy special military<br />

forces to protect its national interests in the disputed Arctic<br />

region, to ‘guarantee military security under various military<br />

<strong>and</strong> political situations.’ 82 The government in Moscow is<br />

determined to consider the Arctic as crucial to Russia’s<br />

national security <strong>and</strong> is likely to suggest that military threats<br />

could be used to resolve problems that would devastate the<br />

balance near Russia’s borders.<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 16<br />

16


US <strong>and</strong> Russian spheres of interest in the Arctic area. http://www.heritage.org/research/energy<strong>and</strong>environmen/<br />

images/b2202_map1.jpg<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 17 17


The <strong>United</strong> States<br />

In his last days in the Office of the President, George W.<br />

Bush signed a presidential security directive devoted to<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States Arctic policy, which focused on security<br />

issues <strong>and</strong> the economic utilization of the oil-rich region,<br />

<strong>and</strong> emphasized the strategic significance of the Arctic<br />

for the <strong>United</strong> States in relation to the missile defense <strong>and</strong><br />

early warning systems. 83 The directive states that ‘the <strong>United</strong><br />

States is an Arctic nation, with varied <strong>and</strong> compelling<br />

interests in the region’, including ‘broad <strong>and</strong> fundamental<br />

national security interests <strong>and</strong> is prepared to operate<br />

either independently or in conjunction with other states to<br />

safeguard these interests.’ 84 It is further stated that the <strong>United</strong><br />

States government will ‘take all actions necessary to establish<br />

the outer limit of the continental shelf appertaining to the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States, in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> in other regions, to the fullest<br />

extent permitted under international law,’ 85 which practically<br />

means that the <strong>United</strong> States is entering the scientific <strong>and</strong><br />

military race for sovereignty over parts of the Arctic. The<br />

policy also addressed the energy development in the Arctic<br />

region <strong>and</strong> its important role in meeting the growing global<br />

energy dem<strong>and</strong>s, but does not present an aggressive program<br />

for economic development. 86<br />

The Obama administration supports the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

Convention on the Law of the Sea, with the <strong>United</strong> States<br />

Secretary of State Hilary Clinton known to be its strong<br />

proponent. The Obama administration also indicated its<br />

commitment to ratifying the Convention. The <strong>United</strong> States<br />

government emphasizes the necessity of international<br />

cooperation <strong>and</strong> stresses the role of the Arctic Council.<br />

However, the <strong>United</strong> States does not wish to empower the<br />

Arctic Council to deal with <strong>Security</strong> issues, <strong>and</strong> believes it<br />

should stay neutered <strong>and</strong> operate within its limited m<strong>and</strong>ate.<br />

The <strong>United</strong> States has also always supported the need for<br />

freedom of navigation in the Arctic Ocean, emphasizing that<br />

its vessels have the right of international navigation both<br />

through the Northwest Passage <strong>and</strong> through straits along<br />

the Northern Sea Route, which may be a potential point of<br />

tension with Canada.<br />

Canada<br />

The Canadian government, headed by Prime Minister<br />

Stephen Harper, emphasized that the ‘northern strategy’<br />

played an important role in its foreign policy. On the<br />

occasion of announcing the creation of two military bases<br />

in the Canadian Arctic, Stephen Harper remarked that his<br />

country has only two choices regarding its position in the<br />

Arctic: ‘either we use it or we lose it.’ He then continued: ‘<strong>and</strong><br />

make no mistake, this government intends to use it. Because<br />

Canada’s Arctic is central to our identity as a northern nation.<br />

It is part of our history <strong>and</strong> it represents the tremendous<br />

potential of our future.’ 87 To underline the determination<br />

of Canada to maintain its sovereignty in the Arctic, Harper<br />

also announced that eight patrol vessels would be built <strong>and</strong><br />

deployed in this region. 88<br />

Canada regards the calls from the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the<br />

European Union for freedom of navigation in the Arctic as<br />

an attempt to question the Canadian jurisdiction regarding<br />

navigation <strong>and</strong> safety in the Northwest Passage. Canada sees<br />

the Passage as part of its internal waters <strong>and</strong> claims that it<br />

should be regulated by Canadian national law. Another<br />

issue of dispute between Canada <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States is<br />

the question of delimiting the border in the Beaufort Sea.<br />

Canada, following the path taken by the other Arctic nations,<br />

is also planning to launch a survey of its continental shelf in<br />

the fall of 2009, to determine where Canada can claim its<br />

sovereign rights. 89<br />

Norway<br />

Norway differs from its Nordic neighbors, Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Sweden, because it is the only Sc<strong>and</strong>inavian country to<br />

have direct access to the Arctic region. Norwegian territories<br />

in the high Arctic include the Svalbard archipelago <strong>and</strong> the<br />

isl<strong>and</strong> of Jan Mayen in the Norwegian-Greenl<strong>and</strong> Sea. 90<br />

In consequence, Norway’s Arctic focus is devoted mainly<br />

to issues such as resource management, the environment,<br />

<strong>and</strong> maritime transport, uncommon for other European<br />

countries. Norway considers the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention<br />

on the Law of the Sea an important set of rights <strong>and</strong><br />

obligations concerning issues related to the Arctic Ocean,<br />

such as the delineation of the outer limits of the continental<br />

shelf, protection of the marine environment, <strong>and</strong> freedom<br />

of navigation. 91 Norway is also committed to developing<br />

the Arctic cooperation further, within the framework<br />

of the m<strong>and</strong>ate of the Arctic Council, <strong>and</strong> welcomes the<br />

EU’s involvement in Arctic governance. On the issue of<br />

militarization, Norway is aware of Russia’s increased military<br />

presence in the Arctic region, <strong>and</strong> observes with concern<br />

Russian bombers flying near the Norwegian coast. Its air<br />

space monitoring, conducted within the NATO framework,<br />

is aimed at preventing the Russian Federation from viewing<br />

the area as part of the home ground for Russian bombers. 92<br />

Denmark<br />

The Danish government published its detailed policy<br />

on the Arctic in a 44-page document in May 2008,<br />

taking account of Greenl<strong>and</strong>’s interests <strong>and</strong> position within<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 18<br />

18


the Danish kingdom. 93 Danish interests in the region are<br />

manifold <strong>and</strong> concern both the eastern <strong>and</strong> the western side<br />

of Greenl<strong>and</strong>, which is the nearest coastline to the North<br />

Pole. Denmark argues that the Lomonosov Ridge is actually<br />

an extension of Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> attempts to prove it through<br />

several scientific expeditions, such as LORITA-1 <strong>and</strong><br />

LOMROG. 94 Denmark has a territorial dispute with Canada<br />

over the status of the Hans Isl<strong>and</strong> in the Kennedy Channel,<br />

but it is generally very supportive of Arctic cooperation<br />

<strong>and</strong> actively participates in the works of the Arctic Council.<br />

Furthermore, Denmark is the only Nordic country that is a<br />

member of both the European Union <strong>and</strong> the North Atlantic<br />

Treaty Organization – although this does not apply to<br />

Greenl<strong>and</strong> – <strong>and</strong> thus it could successfully play an important<br />

role as a bridge between many camps in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

General Assembly.<br />

The European Union<br />

Europe seems to be making steps towards joining the race<br />

for the Arctic’s vast natural resources, declaring for the<br />

first time that the oil <strong>and</strong> gas reserves from the region could<br />

play a role in enhancing the European Union’s energy security.<br />

In March 2008, the European Commission published a<br />

paper spelling out Europe’s interests in the Arctic’s energy<br />

resources, fisheries, new shipping routes, security concerns<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental perils, in what was called ‘the first step<br />

towards an EU Arctic policy.’ In the document, the European<br />

Commission highlighted the security threats for Europe as<br />

result of the melting Arctic ice, <strong>and</strong> mentioned the opening<br />

up of new waterways <strong>and</strong> international trade routes, as well as<br />

the changing geostrategic dynamics of the region due to the<br />

increased accessibility of enormous hydrocarbon resources.<br />

The Commission said that ‘exploitation of Arctic hydrocarbon<br />

resources <strong>and</strong> the opening of new navigation routes can be<br />

of benefit’ <strong>and</strong> that the aim was to ‘keep the right balance<br />

between the priority goal of preserving the environment <strong>and</strong><br />

the need for sustainable use of natural resources including<br />

hydrocarbons.’ 95 The European Union decisively opposes the<br />

idea of a new Arctic treaty – as the European Commission<br />

communication puts it, ‘The full implementation of already<br />

existing obligations, rather than proposing new instruments<br />

should be advocated.’ 96 With three member states – Denmark,<br />

Finl<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Sweden – bordering the Arctic, the EU also said<br />

it wanted a permanent observer status on the Arctic Council,<br />

in order to further its interests alongside the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />

Russia, Canada, Norway, <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Relevant Partners<br />

Probably the most important partner in determining<br />

the shape of the future status of the Arctic region is the<br />

Arctic Council, which is an intergovernmental forum formed<br />

by the eight Arctic countries: Canada, the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />

Russia, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Icel<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Finl<strong>and</strong>, to<br />

deal with political <strong>and</strong> social issues facing the region. The<br />

Council employs a significant number of experts who serve<br />

as advisors to national governments <strong>and</strong> who could help<br />

settle the debate over the Arctic in its proper framework<br />

in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly. Furthermore,<br />

although the decisions <strong>and</strong> formal documents of the council<br />

are non-binding, they usually represent consensus policies<br />

of its members – the most prominent actors on this arena<br />

– <strong>and</strong> thus constitute an excellent reference point for future<br />

discussions.<br />

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) could also<br />

serve as an important player on this issue, given its statutory<br />

aim of ensuring the safety of its members <strong>and</strong> providing them<br />

with means of collective defense in case of a hostile action<br />

by an external party. Five Arctic countries are members of<br />

the NATO – Canada, Denmark, Icel<strong>and</strong>, Norway <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States – <strong>and</strong> the Organization treats the region as<br />

one of immense significance for the security of its members,<br />

<strong>and</strong> thus the NATO attempts to exp<strong>and</strong> its presence in the<br />

Arctic Ocean by creating military bases there. Therefore, the<br />

NATO is an important actor to be considered when making<br />

decisions about the future of the region.<br />

Several other non-governmental organizations are capable of<br />

providing crucial expertise in areas related to the question<br />

of militarization of the Arctic, for example in regards to<br />

natural resource exploration, global warming <strong>and</strong> its effects<br />

on navigation, etc. Furthermore, more scientifically-oriented<br />

NGOs could offer advice in regard to the geotectonic status<br />

of some parts of the Arctic, which could prove a valuable<br />

objective voice in the consideration of national claims to<br />

sovereignty over these areas.<br />

Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />

Should the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />

the Sea remain as the single source of international<br />

legislation concerning the Arctic region, or is there a<br />

need for a new, region specific international agreement:<br />

an Arctic Treaty?<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 19<br />

19


How should claims for territorial sovereignty rights in the<br />

Arctic region be h<strong>and</strong>led? Should priority be given to<br />

the past claims, or should any new claims be accepted?<br />

What should be the status of the Arctic Ocean? Should<br />

it be regarded as international waters in its entirety,<br />

or should any national restrictions be considered<br />

legitimate?<br />

What should be done in regards to military presence in<br />

the Arctic? Should any particular nations be allowed to<br />

station weapons in the Arctic?<br />

What can further actions can the international community<br />

undertake to ensure peace, environmental stability, <strong>and</strong><br />

security in the region?<br />

Suggestions for Further Research<br />

As the Arctic is becoming an important focus of attention<br />

in the spheres of international relations, natural resource<br />

economy <strong>and</strong> most importantly international security, news<br />

on the developments in the region are frequently published<br />

in the world’s many mass media. Therefore, a good way of<br />

making sure you are well informed about the ongoing updates<br />

on the issue is to follow a couple of major international news<br />

services, such as the BBC or the CNN, perhaps by looking<br />

through their websites once in a while. The same applies<br />

to the many printed news sources, such as the Times, The<br />

Guardian, Le Monde, Der Spiegel, or the New York Times,<br />

whose online archives can provide information about the<br />

developments from the past 20 years, which is very difficult<br />

to obtain from scholarly publications. The Guardian’s website<br />

even has a special regional section devoted solely to the<br />

Arctic, which can offer the reader a comprehensive overview<br />

of the many issues concerning this area.<br />

“...5 kg of pure U-235<br />

could make a very<br />

powerful atomic<br />

bomb equivalent to<br />

several thous<strong>and</strong><br />

tonnes of dynamite.”<br />

Another excellent <strong>and</strong> reliable source of recent information is<br />

the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Foundation’s e-mail news service: the UN<br />

Wire. Upon subscription (http://www.smartbrief.com/un_<br />

wire/), you will be provided with daily e-mail news briefings<br />

covering the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> the world, including<br />

regional updates, also concerning the Far North. In addition<br />

to this, there are several international bodies, which devote<br />

their activity to monitoring the Arctic Ocean, <strong>and</strong> often<br />

touch upon issues like the international status <strong>and</strong> stability<br />

of the region. This includes several non-governmental<br />

organizations, but also some high-level intergovernmental<br />

forums such as the Arctic Council, which publishes its<br />

research online.<br />

When it comes to scholarly texts, the recent nature of the<br />

escalation of interest in the Arctic after a period of relative<br />

indifference – at least from the military perspective – implies<br />

that most publications on the issue were written before the<br />

end of the Cold War. The few most recent books could be<br />

rather hard to access, but there are definitely a couple that<br />

could deepen your research. I would personally recommend<br />

Arctic Politics, The Arctic: Choices for Peace, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> Negotiating the Arctic, because of their specific focus on<br />

the problems that our committee will be touching upon.<br />

t o p I c A r e A B: s A f e g u A r d I n g n u c l e A r<br />

m At e r I A l s<br />

History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem<br />

Nuclear Advancements<br />

The branch of science often referred to as nuclear<br />

physics <strong>and</strong> the corresponding issue of nuclear energy<br />

trace back to the turn of the 20th century, when the first<br />

discoveries in atomic radiation, atomic change, <strong>and</strong> nuclear<br />

fission were made. Ionizing radiation was discovered by<br />

Wilhelm Rontgen in 1895, <strong>and</strong> was later investigated <strong>and</strong><br />

developed by scientists such as Marie Curie-Sklodowska,<br />

Henri Becquerel, Ernest Rutherford, Niels Bohr, Enrico<br />

Fermi, <strong>and</strong> Albert Einstein, among many others. By 1939, it<br />

was clear that fission not only released a lot of energy but<br />

that it also produced additional neutrons which could cause<br />

fission in other uranium nuclei <strong>and</strong> possibly a self-sustaining<br />

chain reaction leading to an enormous release of energy. 97<br />

This realization sparked activity in many laboratories,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the final piece that made the idea of a fission bomb a<br />

plausible project was added in 1939 by Francis Perrin: this<br />

was the concept of the critical mass of uranium required<br />

to produce a self-sustaining release of energy. Scientists in<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 20 20


some countries, especially Britain, Germany, Russia <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States, began pressuring their governments to make<br />

use of this immense strategic opportunity, quoting as in<br />

the Frisch-Peierls Memor<strong>and</strong>um to the British government<br />

that an amount of about 5 kg of pure U-235 could make a<br />

very powerful atomic bomb equivalent to several thous<strong>and</strong><br />

tonnes of dynamite. 98 As further discoveries were made that<br />

provided evidence proving the enormous potential of the<br />

nuclear design <strong>and</strong> that achieved further advancements in<br />

regards to conceptualizing the process of construction of<br />

a nuclear bomb, the project began attracting the attention<br />

of the American government. What eventually swayed the<br />

cabinet of President Roosevelt to the idea of pursuing a<br />

nuclear weapons program was a popular suspicion that Nazi<br />

Germany was conducting one too. The final decision was<br />

made after the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor <strong>and</strong> America<br />

entered the war directly in December 1941.<br />

The Trinity atomic bomb test, culmination of the<br />

Manhatten Project, July 16, 1945. http://www.cfo.doe.<br />

gov/me70/manhattan/images/Trinity.jpg<br />

The Manhattan Project<br />

The result of the Anglo-American scientific cooperation in<br />

the nuclear field was the Manhattan Project, established<br />

under the supervision of the <strong>United</strong> States Army. Fullscale<br />

reactors were constructed to produce weapons-grade<br />

plutonium, together with heavy water plants designed to<br />

fabricate neutron moderators for the chain reaction process.<br />

A team led by Robert Oppenheimer worked at Los Alamos<br />

in New Mexico on the design <strong>and</strong> construction of both<br />

uranium <strong>and</strong> plutonium bombs <strong>and</strong> this huge effort yielded<br />

successful results in mid-1945 when<br />

the first nuclear bomb was finished<br />

<strong>and</strong> tested. The military aspect of the<br />

program was soon effectuated; in<br />

August 1945 both the uranium <strong>and</strong><br />

the plutonium bombs were dropped<br />

on Hiroshima <strong>and</strong> Nagasaki,<br />

Manhattan Project officials, including Dr. Robert J. Oppenheimer (white hat)<br />

<strong>and</strong> General Leslie Groves, inspect the detonation site of the Trinity atomic<br />

bomb test.. http://static.howstuffworks.com/gif/manhattan-project-7.jpg<br />

respectively. It became clear that<br />

a line in the military technology<br />

was crossed <strong>and</strong> that from then on,<br />

there was no return. In 1949, the<br />

Soviet Union tested its first nuclear<br />

bomb, based largely on the Nagasaki<br />

one, <strong>and</strong> a slow but persistent<br />

process of nuclear proliferation was<br />

initiated. Subsequent countries – the<br />

<strong>United</strong> Kingdom, France, China,<br />

India, Pakistan, <strong>and</strong> North Korea<br />

– have since produced <strong>and</strong> tested<br />

nuclear weapons of their own while<br />

some others are believed to either<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 21


also possess nuclear<br />

weapons, like Israel, or<br />

to be conducting their<br />

own national nuclear<br />

weapons programs – for<br />

example Iran. 99<br />

withdrawal cases like<br />

that of the North<br />

Korea <strong>and</strong> has proven<br />

insufficient.<br />

The Nuclear Non-<br />

Proliferation Treaty<br />

<strong>and</strong> its Breaches<br />

After the adoption<br />

of the Non-<br />

Proliferation Treaty<br />

(NPT) in 1970, further<br />

described in the ‘Past<br />

<strong>International</strong> Actions’<br />

section, which included<br />

provisions on nuclear<br />

disarmament <strong>and</strong> nonspreading<br />

of nuclear<br />

military technology,<br />

there have been<br />

several breaches of<br />

its non-proliferation<br />

clauses. Two of them<br />

are already history:<br />

Libya’s development of<br />

a nuclear program was<br />

discovered through<br />

intelligence <strong>and</strong><br />

solved through strong<br />

diplomacy, while that<br />

of Iraq was discovered<br />

<strong>and</strong> terminated as a<br />

result of the 1991 Gulf War. Furthermore, India, Pakistan<br />

<strong>and</strong> Israel are non-signatories <strong>and</strong> are all believed to have<br />

a nuclear weapons capability. 100 Since these states are not<br />

signatories of the NPT, the international community does<br />

not have any monitoring system to control the nuclear<br />

activities of these states. The treaty has also failed to stop<br />

the black market nuclear trade centering on a Pakistani<br />

scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan, whose proliferation scheme<br />

of nuclear weapons technology to Iran <strong>and</strong> North Korea<br />

was exposed early in 2004. 101 Nuclear Energy<br />

Production<br />

The first nuclear<br />

reactor to produce<br />

electricity, albeit a<br />

trivial amount, was the<br />

small Experimental<br />

Breeder reactor (EBR-1)<br />

in Idaho, in the <strong>United</strong><br />

States, which began<br />

operating in December<br />

1951.102 In 1953<br />

President Eisenhower<br />

proposed his ‘Atoms for<br />

Peace’ program, which<br />

reoriented significant<br />

research effort towards<br />

electricity generation<br />

<strong>and</strong> set the course for<br />

civil nuclear energy<br />

development in the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States.103<br />

The first commercial<br />

nuclear reactors started<br />

operating in the 1960s<br />

Abdul Qadeer Khan, the founder of Pakistan’s nuclear<br />

in the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />

weapons defense systems. http://prempanicker.files.wordpress. the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />

com/2009/09/aq-khan-time1.jpg<br />

Canada, France, <strong>and</strong> in<br />

the Soviet Union. After<br />

a period of stagnation in the 1970s, 1980s <strong>and</strong> 1990s, the<br />

new century brought a revival of prospects for nuclear<br />

power, due to several reasons: the realized scale of projected<br />

increased electricity dem<strong>and</strong> worldwide, the awareness of<br />

the importance of energy independence <strong>and</strong> the growing<br />

concern about carbon emissions <strong>and</strong> global warming.104<br />

North Korea’s announcement<br />

Nuclear Terrorism<br />

The threat of nuclear terrorism has existed for several<br />

decades, but it seems to have significantly escalated in<br />

that it was withdrawing from the treaty, which implied the recent years. This is due to several factors, which can be<br />

departure of <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) divided into two groups: on the <strong>and</strong> on the dem<strong>and</strong> side.<br />

inspectors <strong>and</strong> an open road for the country to pursue a On the supply side, it is obvious that nuclear technology is<br />

nuclear weapons program has been the biggest crisis in the being constantly spread around the world, even in view of<br />

history of the Treaty. The Treaty has no means to deal with the numerous anti-proliferation efforts by the international<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 22 22


community. Apart from the original five nuclear powers<br />

from the Non-Proliferation Treaty: <strong>United</strong> States, Russian<br />

Federation, <strong>United</strong> Kingdom, France <strong>and</strong> China, several<br />

other countries, including India, Pakistan, Israel, North<br />

Korea, have either confirmed the fact of having developed<br />

nuclear weapons, or are widely believed to have done so.<br />

The greater number of countries with nuclear arsenals is not<br />

the direct reason for the increased nuclear terrorism risk, but<br />

the levels of protection of these weapons <strong>and</strong> their related<br />

materials as well as the attitudes of some governments<br />

towards international terrorism pose significant threats to<br />

the international security. To mention only a few examples,<br />

Russia continues to deploy several of its most portable<br />

nuclear weapons on its front lines, where their security is<br />

severely reduced; these weapons are considered as the most<br />

attractive to terrorists, according to Senators Richard Lugar<br />

<strong>and</strong> Sam Nunn, authors of the Cooperative Threat Reduction<br />

Program. 109 Furthermore, new investigations have revealed<br />

unauthorized sales of sensitive nuclear technology by<br />

Pakistani nuclear scientists supportive of fundamentalist<br />

ideology, which raises doubts about the security of this<br />

country’s nuclear arsenal. 110<br />

Nuclear materials that could potentially be used in fabricating<br />

a nuclear bomb are even a greater cause of concern. Hundreds<br />

of tons of highly enriched uranium <strong>and</strong> plutonium in Russia<br />

<strong>and</strong> some former Soviet Republics have astoundingly little<br />

or no protection, making them easy targets for extremely<br />

well organized <strong>and</strong> determined terrorists. Several reactors<br />

throughout the world still use highly enriched, weaponsusable<br />

uranium, very attractive to the nuclear terrorists;<br />

even some fissile material stocks stored in the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />

under seemingly much greater security measures, may be<br />

vulnerable to terrorist attacks because of numerous proven<br />

flaws in their protection. 111<br />

Naturally, the most significant threat to international nuclear<br />

security is constituted by the so-called predator states,<br />

which are believed to possess nuclear weapons or at least to<br />

conduct active nuclear weapon programs. These states may<br />

not want to be associated with nuclear attacks, but assisting<br />

<strong>and</strong> equipping nuclear terrorists might present an attractive<br />

way of pursuing their aggressive foreign policy plans. For<br />

example, if the Iranian President’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s<br />

plans of ‘wiping Israel from the pages of history’ are to be<br />

considered serious <strong>and</strong> representative of the government’s<br />

policy, which are both, however, highly dubious, then<br />

equipping terrorists with nuclear arms might hypothetically<br />

seem to be a relatively sensible way for Iran to pursue this<br />

plan. Even if it would not completely eliminate the risk of<br />

retaliation from either Israel or one of its nuclear allies, the<br />

risk would be greatly reduced <strong>and</strong> Iran’s involvement would<br />

be much harder to prove.<br />

The Nature of the Threat<br />

The crucial reason for protecting nuclear materials is the<br />

threat of their usage in conducting terrorist attacks.<br />

Nowadays, terrorist organizations are extremely well<br />

organized <strong>and</strong> effectively financed, which opens completely<br />

new, appalling possibilities of operation. Nuclear terrorism<br />

is commonly being defined by diving it into four faces:112<br />

I. A theft <strong>and</strong> detonation of a ready-made nuclear<br />

weapon (INW – Intact Nuclear Weapon),<br />

II. A theft or purchase of fissile material <strong>and</strong> the<br />

subsequent fabrication <strong>and</strong> detonation of a<br />

crude nuclear weapon (IND – Improvised<br />

Nuclear Device),<br />

III. An acquisition of nuclear materials leading to<br />

the fabrication <strong>and</strong> detonation of a ‘dirty bomb’<br />

(RDD – Radiological Dispersion Device or<br />

RED - Radiation Emission Device),<br />

IV. An attack on a nuclear facility, with the sole<br />

intention of causing a release of large amounts<br />

of radioactivity.<br />

The fourth method does not require any nuclear acquisition<br />

by terrorists <strong>and</strong> resembles conventional terrorism both<br />

in its methods <strong>and</strong> related measures of prevention. ‘Dirty<br />

bombs’ – conventional explosives coupled with radioactive<br />

materials – also resemble conventional arms rather than<br />

nuclear weapons in the requirements of their fabrication,<br />

delivery <strong>and</strong> detonation in the target area. Naturally, they<br />

include nuclear materials, but these are only radioactive<br />

materials that have no fission potential anymore <strong>and</strong> can<br />

only serve dispersing dangerous radiation <strong>and</strong> no nuclear<br />

energy in the target area. The level of protection of these<br />

materials is quite different from the usual security st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

of fissile materials in respective countries; furthermore, the<br />

methods of acquisition <strong>and</strong> detonation of such bombs would<br />

be significantly different. 113<br />

There are four general key stages of a nuclear terrorist<br />

attack. 114 Each stage is simultaneously a condition that must<br />

be fulfilled for the act to be performed; should any link in the<br />

chain be spoiled, the whole plan would be unsuccessful:<br />

(1) A terrorist extreme group with sufficient resources<br />

– human, financial <strong>and</strong> other – must be formed,<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 23<br />

23


<strong>and</strong> it must decide to engage in an act of nuclear<br />

terrorism.<br />

(2) The group must obtain a nuclear weapon or fissile<br />

material or other radioactive material <strong>and</strong> adapt it<br />

for its specific purposes: bypass any safeguards in<br />

an INW; fabricate an IND or an RDD.<br />

(3) The terrorists must deliver the weapon to its desired<br />

target.<br />

(4) The weapon must be detonated.<br />

These seemingly obvious stages provide a framework for an<br />

analysis of the opportunities open to terrorists <strong>and</strong> constitute<br />

a basis for designing a comprehensive, layered defense. Today,<br />

probably no one believes that any measure of prevention can<br />

be one hundred per cent successful; therefore, the threat<br />

of nuclear terrorism can only be addressed by reducing<br />

the risk of success for terrorists on each successive step. At<br />

<strong>World</strong>MUN 2012, our committee will focus on designing<br />

solutions to prevent the second step of the above process<br />

(acquisition of nuclear weapons or materials) from being<br />

completed by a terrorist group.<br />

Nuclear Weapon Designs<br />

At this point, it seems worthwhile to look at two possible<br />

nuclear weapon designs – the gun-assembly <strong>and</strong> the<br />

implosion types – <strong>and</strong> to mention a few words about both<br />

of them before analyzing the feasibility of their fabrication<br />

by non-state actors.<br />

Nuclear weapons are based on the process commonly known<br />

as the chain reaction. When a neutron is projected into a<br />

uranium nucleus, one of the three possible results can be<br />

observed: it will be absorbed, scattered, or will induce fission.<br />

The latter situation initiates a chain reaction, by splitting the<br />

nucleus into smaller pieces <strong>and</strong> releasing new neutrons <strong>and</strong><br />

energy – these neutrons induce subsequent fissions, <strong>and</strong> as a<br />

result, additional releases of energy. This energy release can<br />

constitute an explosion. Two additional crucial things need<br />

to be added to this description. First, neutrons that strike<br />

different isotopes of uranium have different probabilities of<br />

inducing fissions – those that hit U-235 are much more likely<br />

to do so than those that strike U-238, which can additionally<br />

be captured by U-238 <strong>and</strong> disappear completely. Therefore,<br />

using the former isotope of uranium is much more efficient<br />

in sustaining the chain reaction – for this reason, uranium<br />

with large fractions of U-235 is called highly-enriched <strong>and</strong> is<br />

generally considered weapons-grade. The other thing to note<br />

is that there is a specific configuration of uranium that prevents<br />

the reaction from ceasing prematurely – otherwise, neutrons<br />

can escape through the surface of uranium, thus failing to<br />

The nuclear fission process releases enormous amounts of energy. http://web.mit.edu/nrl/www/reactor/fission.jpg<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 24 24


induce subsequent reactions. This specific size <strong>and</strong> shape of<br />

uranium is called critical, while any configuration that fails<br />

to sustain a chain reaction is called ‘subcritical.’ Therefore,<br />

both the enrichment <strong>and</strong> the criticality requirements must<br />

be satisfied for a nuclear device to have a successful yield.<br />

The general consensus among nuclear scientists <strong>and</strong><br />

experts is that fabricating a gun-assembly weapon by nonstate<br />

actors is not trivial, but definitely not impossible. The<br />

National Academy of Sciences asserts in its report: ‘Crude<br />

HEU weapons could be fabricated without state assistance.’ 116<br />

There are, certainly, several obstacles to be overcome by<br />

such groups. Apart from the most significant difficulty of<br />

acquiring a sufficient amount of highly enriched uranium,<br />

which will be addressed below, there are some challenges<br />

connected to this particular weapon design. Obtaining<br />

an appropriate gun would not probably pose a significant<br />

obstacle – a commercially available conventional artillery<br />

piece could be used; however, the group would need to test<br />

the gun at least once using some kind of uranium, which<br />

involves a probability of detection. 117 A more significant<br />

challenge could be posed by the need to reshape the uranium<br />

– in case the material acquired by the group was not critical<br />

in its current form. Some experts assert that ‘the methods of<br />

casting <strong>and</strong> machining nuclear materials, can be described in<br />

a straightforward manner, but their conduct is most unlikely<br />

to proceed smoothly.’ 118<br />

Gun-Assembly Design<br />

The most common type of nuclear weapons is the socalled<br />

gun-assembly design. Simply put, it involves<br />

bringing two subcritical pieces of uranium together to form<br />

a supercritical piece,<br />

which subsequently<br />

produces neutrons<br />

<strong>and</strong> releases energy;<br />

since one piece (the<br />

bullet) is usually fired<br />

at another (the target),<br />

this design is called the<br />

gun-type. The yield of a<br />

gun-assembly nuclear<br />

weapon depends on the<br />

degree of supercriticality<br />

of the system when the<br />

chain reaction occurs:<br />

a premature neutron<br />

emission can expedite<br />

the chain reaction, thus<br />

reducing the energy<br />

released. Therefore, to<br />

maximize the yield,<br />

one must ensure that<br />

the bullet speed is<br />

high enough, while<br />

maintaining the neutron<br />

emission at a possibly low<br />

level. Highly-enriched,<br />

weapons-grade uranium<br />

is characterized by very<br />

low neutron emission. 115<br />

Gun-assembly type of nuclear bomb. http://news.bbc.co.uk/<br />

nol/shared/spl/hi/sci_nat/05/nuclear_fuel/img/gun_trigger2_<br />

bomb300.gif<br />

Others claim that<br />

‘uranium can be cast<br />

<strong>and</strong> heat treated in<br />

conventional vacuum<br />

melting furnaces<br />

<strong>and</strong> machined using<br />

conventional machine<br />

tools.’ 119 In any case,<br />

it seems reasonable to<br />

conclude that this can<br />

be done, but it does<br />

not necessarily mean<br />

that it is easy or likely<br />

to succeed. 120 It seems<br />

that now the question is<br />

not whether each of the<br />

successive steps on the<br />

path to nuclear weapons<br />

can be achieved, but how<br />

likely it is to be achieved<br />

by non-state actors.<br />

The final challenges<br />

are generated by the<br />

difficulties connected to<br />

developing an initiator<br />

<strong>and</strong> a tamper, which can<br />

both maximize the weapon’s yield or reduce the amount of<br />

uranium necessary to obtain criticality, but both of these<br />

designs are optional <strong>and</strong> could be completely ignored by<br />

terrorists. 121<br />

Implosion Design<br />

The other type of a nuclear weapon is referred to as<br />

the implosion design. It typically uses weapons-grade<br />

plutonium – WGPU, composed mainly of the isotope<br />

Pu-239 – instead of uranium. By its nature, plutonium<br />

has much higher neutron emission levels, which has<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 25 25


important consequences for the probability of detection<br />

of an implosion bomb, that will be addressed later, <strong>and</strong><br />

therefore it is not feasible to use the gun-assembly design to<br />

make it supercritical: even at extremely high bullet speeds,<br />

chain reactions would be initiated before the material gets<br />

significantly supercritical, therefore hampering a successful<br />

yield. For this reason, plutonium is normally used only in<br />

the implosion design – it involves surrounding a subcritical<br />

shell of WGPU with chemical explosives arrayed to produce<br />

a symmetrical inward-moving (implosion) shock wave,<br />

compressing the material enough to be supercritical.122<br />

There exists a heated debate among experts about whether<br />

non-state actors could fabricate an implosion weapon.<br />

Some scientists consider such a possibility. 123 Others – like<br />

Robert Galluci, the Dean of the School of Foreign Service<br />

at Georgetown University, disagree. 124 It is often pointed<br />

out that Iraq’s nuclear weapon scientists required several<br />

years to obtain an effective implosion-type nuclear weapon<br />

design. 125 One consensus shared by most experts is that<br />

developing an implosion weapon would be extremely,<br />

<strong>and</strong> maybe even prohibitively, difficult relying solely on<br />

theoretical calculations. Such an enterprise would most<br />

probably require several experimental tests, which might<br />

in turn prove deterring for any groups, in view of the costs<br />

<strong>and</strong> the risk of detection. It is worth noting, however, that<br />

very few definite conclusions about the new developments<br />

concerning implosion-type designs can be reached without<br />

classified information. 126<br />

Terrorists would probably avoid attempting to construct<br />

an implosion-type nuclear bomb, <strong>and</strong> would rather try to<br />

develop a gun-assembly device in view of the differences in<br />

difficulty of construction, reliability, <strong>and</strong> risks in favor of the<br />

latter. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, they would not necessarily have to<br />

produce a weapon with a maximum possible yield. If only a<br />

subcritical mass of uranium were available, some terrorists<br />

could well consider fabricating a crude implosion-type<br />

weapon <strong>and</strong> conducting an attack with such a device, even<br />

sacrificing much of the potential yield. It would still have a<br />

considerable value in terms of provoking nationwide fear by<br />

just being a nuclear weapon, therefore convincing terrorists<br />

that it could potentially lead to fulfilling their dem<strong>and</strong>s; this<br />

argument seems to be validated by the popular response to<br />

the Three Mile Isl<strong>and</strong> accident in 1979 or the Fukushima<br />

disaster in 2011, which both caused nation- <strong>and</strong> region-wide<br />

fear. 127<br />

The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism: Weapon<br />

Acquisition<br />

Non-state actors can obtain nuclear weapons in several<br />

different ways – all of them can be attributed to one<br />

of the two categories: either by acquisition of an intact<br />

nuclear weapon, or by fabrication of a crude nuclear device<br />

using fissile material. Both of these ways involve very<br />

similar ranges of scenarios, in which an organization would<br />

need to obtain the necessary resources <strong>and</strong> knowledge.<br />

These scenarios include a deliberate transfer by a national<br />

government, an unauthorized assistance from senior<br />

officials or custodians of nuclear weapons, a seizure without<br />

insider help, or a downfall of government or a political<br />

unrest in an unstable state.128 In any of these scenarios,<br />

terrorists could be able to gain access to nuclear weapons,<br />

either directly or indirectly.<br />

Complicity of a National Government<br />

Potentially the easiest but also the least probable way<br />

for nuclear materials to get into the h<strong>and</strong>s of nonstate<br />

actors would be through complicity of a national<br />

government. The only governments that could be suspected<br />

of even considering such an option would be the ‘predator<br />

states’ that have access to nuclear technology. In this<br />

category, most experts include Iran, which openly supports<br />

the fundamentalist Islamic international terrorism <strong>and</strong><br />

is believed to have acquired at least some knowledge<br />

<strong>and</strong> resources necessary to build a nuclear weapon,<br />

even though no supporting evidence has been found so<br />

far by the <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency; North<br />

Korea, which has a long history of selling strategic arms,<br />

especially missiles, to the highest bidder129 <strong>and</strong> is known<br />

to have tested nuclear weapons130; <strong>and</strong> Pakistan, where the<br />

leading figure in nuclear weapons program, A. Q. Khan,<br />

has admitted providing Iran, Libya, <strong>and</strong> North Korea with<br />

nuclear material for their nuclear armament programs.131<br />

Although it remains unclear whether or not the government<br />

of Pervez Musharraf was complicit in the transfers, it was<br />

at least indifferent to the question of the final destination<br />

of the country’s nuclear developments.132 By leaking out<br />

nuclear materials, more aggressive states could count on<br />

achieving their foreign policy aims without inflicting the<br />

risk of imminent retaliation should they decide to use their<br />

nuclear arsenals in an offensive war. On the other h<strong>and</strong>,<br />

‘problem states’ are normally dictatorships, so their leaders<br />

might in fact be reluctant to relinquish their control inside<br />

the country, <strong>and</strong> therefore they may not be eager to transfer<br />

nuclear weapons to any groups.133<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 26<br />

26


Here, however, a distinction<br />

should probably be made<br />

between transferring intact<br />

weapons or nuclear materials.<br />

While some governments can<br />

be suspected of transferring<br />

nuclear materials to non-state<br />

groups, it seems that none<br />

of them would be willing to<br />

transfer intact weapons. This is<br />

because of the risk of retaliation<br />

- tracing the flow of materials<br />

is virtually impossible, while<br />

a missing nuclear weapon<br />

in a country’s arsenal would<br />

immediately raise serious<br />

suspicions by the international<br />

community. 134 On the other<br />

h<strong>and</strong>, a threat of an imminent<br />

overthrow <strong>and</strong> regime change<br />

could potentially convince<br />

some of the most desperate<br />

government leaders to resort<br />

to such reckless measures.<br />

This argument is only strengthened by the possibility of<br />

an internal chaos in a country possessing nuclear arsenals,<br />

which could be at least equally perilous. The most significant<br />

danger seems to exist in Pakistan <strong>and</strong> North Korea. In the<br />

former, there have been several violent clashes between the<br />

various political groups <strong>and</strong> the nature of the government<br />

of Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani seems to be far from<br />

stable; this is best proven by the relatively recent assassination<br />

attempt on him on 3 September 2008. 135 In North Korea, the<br />

economic collapse <strong>and</strong> impoverishment seems likely to lead<br />

to political instability <strong>and</strong> significant reduction in security of<br />

the country’s nuclear arsenal. Therefore, any solutions to the<br />

problem of safeguarding nuclear materials have to include<br />

provisions for political instability.<br />

Unauthorized Assistance<br />

Another possible way for nuclear materials to leak out is<br />

through unauthorized assistance: from a senior state<br />

official or from custodians of nuclear storages. If Mr. Khan<br />

<strong>and</strong> Mr. Musharraf are to be trusted, then the former has<br />

succeeded in transferring the country’s nuclear resources<br />

without the government’s knowledge. Similar possibilities<br />

cannot be ruled out in the case of North Korea, although<br />

the country’s cl<strong>and</strong>estine system of division of power<br />

precludes definite judgments. Furthermore, if lower-<br />

Russian Topol inter-continental ballistic missiles pictured during a rehearsal<br />

for the nation’s annual May 9 Victory Day parade. http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/<br />

pix/2008/08/28/article-0-0271899900000578-384_468x286_popup.jpg<br />

level officials <strong>and</strong> custodians of nuclear storages are to<br />

be considered, the list of endangered countries may well<br />

exp<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> contain even Russia or Ukraine, where experts<br />

point out that the low levels of protection <strong>and</strong> accounting of<br />

nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong> materials can create strong economic<br />

incentives for poorly-paid arsenal overseers to consider<br />

collaborating with the highest bidders. In countries such<br />

as Iran, incentives could also be of ideological or religious<br />

nature. Again, however, one should consider that ‘problem<br />

states’ are often dictatorship regimes; according to this line<br />

of argument, those just below the top level of authority<br />

would most probably not be granted access to the country’s<br />

nuclear arsenals.136<br />

Infiltration of a Nuclear Facility<br />

Finally, nuclear resources could be acquired by nonstate<br />

organizations without insider help. This would<br />

require significant preparations <strong>and</strong> infiltration of the<br />

target’s security measures, but it seems far from impossible.<br />

In case of weapons, it would obviously be much more<br />

difficult <strong>and</strong> riskier, but most probably it could hardly deter<br />

the extremely well organized <strong>and</strong> determined modern<br />

terrorists. According to experts, Russia can serve as an<br />

example in this matter – due to its huge number of bombs<br />

<strong>and</strong> relatively loose measures of security, compared to the<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 27 27


other nuclear states, it seems to be an attractive target. In a<br />

US General Accounting Office report published in March<br />

2003, several gaps in security of Russian nuclear weapons<br />

were identified <strong>and</strong>, even if there have been significant<br />

improvements made since then,137 several risks still exist.<br />

This is further exacerbated by Russia’s invariable tendency<br />

to locate its most portable nuclear weapons on its front<br />

lines, where they are most exposed to capture attempts.138<br />

It is impossible to analyze the security measures for<br />

protecting nuclear arsenals in all nuclear states, but it seems<br />

enough to note that even in the <strong>United</strong> States, which seems<br />

to devote much attention to the safety of its own weapons,<br />

several reports have suggested vulnerabilities at several of<br />

its nuclear weapons facilities.139 Therefore, even if a theft<br />

of intact nuclear bombs cannot be definitely proclaimed as<br />

feasible, such an option cannot be decisively ruled out.<br />

The situation is even more appalling in the case of nuclear<br />

materials. More than 130 research reactors in more than<br />

40 countries still use HEU as their fuel, <strong>and</strong> most of these<br />

facilities have very modest measures of protection – no<br />

more than a night watchman <strong>and</strong> a chain-link fence. 140<br />

Similar reactors are present not only in the least developed<br />

countries; six of them are reportedly on US university<br />

campuses. 141 It is, therefore, not surprising that security<br />

measures in reactors in countries such as Russia present<br />

significant concerns; as noted by one US official visiting<br />

the Kurchatov Institute, 160 pounds of weapons-grade<br />

uranium was stored in lockers secured only by chain<br />

through the h<strong>and</strong>les of the lockers, <strong>and</strong> only 20 per cent of<br />

these research facilities were secured by even the most basic<br />

electronic monitoring systems. 142 Such minimal security<br />

measures present an attractive opportunity for terrorists,<br />

<strong>and</strong> make acquisition by them of nuclear weapons a highly<br />

feasible option.<br />

Weapon Delivery: Military Technology<br />

Once a nuclear bomb has been acquired by a terrorist<br />

organization, the second <strong>and</strong> no less difficult phase<br />

of the enterprise begins: the process of delivering the<br />

bomb to the target <strong>and</strong> of detonating it. It seems that the<br />

military methods of delivery of nuclear warheads, such as<br />

gravity bombs, ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, etc., are<br />

probably far from the reach of any terrorist organization.<br />

This view seems justified if one considers the newly-nuclear<br />

or potentially-nuclear states, such as Iran or North Korea,<br />

<strong>and</strong> their significant problems with acquiring any military<br />

means of transporting nuclear weapons. It would be<br />

unreasonable to think that any terrorist organization could<br />

overcome these difficulties without assistance of a major<br />

nuclear power; <strong>and</strong> in case of obtaining such assistance,<br />

the enterprise could no longer be considered terrorism.<br />

Apart from that, almost any major target for terrorists in<br />

the Western world would be successfully protected by antimissile<br />

shield systems, which would effectively prevent any<br />

attempt by terrorists of striking their targets. Similarly in<br />

case of gravity bombs, dropped from airplanes, no country<br />

would allow a suspicious plane to enter its airspace, <strong>and</strong> no<br />

gravity nuclear bomb could be possibly taken aboard an<br />

airplane from a trusted airport. Finally, it is highly unlikely<br />

that any terrorist organization in possession of a nuclear<br />

weapon would take the risk of referring to such hazardous<br />

methods of delivery when easier possibilities are open – its<br />

supply or nuclear weapons would be strictly limited <strong>and</strong><br />

the organization would be completely compromised after a<br />

single failed attempt.<br />

Smuggling at Point Border Crossings<br />

Point border crossings, as contrasted to lines, are<br />

single spots on a country’s border which are open to<br />

international traffic, <strong>and</strong> include l<strong>and</strong> border checkpoints,<br />

airports, seaports, etc. They are characterized by large<br />

volumes of traffic, of which most is legal, so the task of<br />

national customs <strong>and</strong> border protection agencies is to<br />

keep the legal crossings open to legal flow of goods, while<br />

remaining closed to any illegal items – in this case nuclear<br />

weapons or materials. The measures of detection currently<br />

used against nuclear smuggling are the following: traditional<br />

gamma rays <strong>and</strong> x-ray-type imaging, physical inspection,<br />

<strong>and</strong> neutron activation. The latter means sending a burst<br />

of neutrons into an item to cause fission upon striking e.g.<br />

uranium-235, which in turn would release other neutrons<br />

<strong>and</strong> energy; any neutrons coming back would be highly<br />

suspicious, while the gamma rays produced would allow<br />

identification of the isotope because they would possess<br />

unique sets of energies.143 These measures are far from<br />

perfect; one must remember that, as stated before, most<br />

nuclear weapons have very low neutron emission levels; at<br />

least this is true for HEU; WGPU has significantly higher<br />

emission rates.<br />

Two tests conducted by ABC News in September 2002<br />

<strong>and</strong> 2003 illustrate how significant a challenge it is for<br />

border protection officials to detect an attempted nuclear<br />

smuggling. 144 In both cases, the reporters successfully<br />

smuggled a 15-pound cylinder of depleted uranium into the<br />

<strong>United</strong> States to verify whether the border protection was<br />

efficient, using no elaborate means of detection prevention,<br />

apart from just simple shielding. 145 Although CBP (US<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 28<br />

28


Customs <strong>and</strong> Border Protection) <strong>and</strong> some critics argued<br />

that DU was not a good surrogate for HEU because of lower<br />

detection signal, experts have shown that they could have<br />

easily shielded the same mass of HEU to produce similar<br />

detection signal. 146 This shows that the <strong>United</strong> States border<br />

protection, <strong>and</strong> probably those of several other countries,<br />

may be insufficient to prevent nuclear terrorism, even if the<br />

deterrent effect might be sufficient.<br />

biggest ones are even 396 meters in length <strong>and</strong> can carry<br />

500,000 deadweight tons of oil 151 , which greatly reduces the<br />

chances of detection of the bomb within the tank. The size<br />

of a super tanker <strong>and</strong> the thickness of the steel preclude<br />

successful use of x-ray-imaging, while the volume of oil <strong>and</strong><br />

its neutron absorption properties - deuterium or tritium<br />

would be formed of the hydrogen atoms in oil - would make<br />

neutron activation virtually useless. 152 On the other h<strong>and</strong>,<br />

detonating a nuclear weapon inside an oil tanker would<br />

pose a significant challenge, but would probably be far from<br />

impossible.<br />

Cargo Shipping<br />

Another scenario is smuggling a nuclear weapon in one<br />

of the several<br />

thous<strong>and</strong> million<br />

cargo containers that<br />

are shipped around<br />

the world each year,<br />

<strong>and</strong> whose size would<br />

easily allow shipping a<br />

nuclear weapon from<br />

a foreign port <strong>and</strong><br />

transporting it within<br />

the country by rail or<br />

truck. 147 Even security<br />

measures such as the<br />

Container <strong>Security</strong><br />

Initiative, which<br />

allows CBP agents<br />

to screen containers<br />

already at certain<br />

foreign ports so the<br />

foreign agents inspect<br />

the containers that<br />

seem suspicious, 148<br />

may be circumvented<br />

by terrorists if they<br />

acquire a trusted<br />

company to avoid<br />

suspicion, falsifying<br />

manifest data or<br />

infiltrating the CSI ports. 149 Furthermore, a nuclear weapon<br />

could be shipped from a non-CSI port <strong>and</strong> be detonated at<br />

a destination port before having been inspected. This would<br />

have very serious consequences for the world economy,<br />

which is highly dependent on the container traffic. Such<br />

an event would most likely cause many countries to<br />

immediately close their ports, thus bringing the global<br />

economy to its knees. 150 Current Situation<br />

Nuclear Weapons<br />

The accumulated<br />

threat posed by<br />

the estimated 27,000<br />

nuclear weapons in<br />

the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />

Russia, <strong>and</strong> the other<br />

Non-Proliferation<br />

Treaty nuclear<br />

weapons states, merits<br />

worldwide concern.<br />

Similar results could be achieved<br />

by using an oil tanker to transport a nuclear weapon. The<br />

153<br />

It is common to<br />

divide the process of<br />

proliferation of nuclear<br />

weapons into three<br />

waves of increasing<br />

level of threat. The<br />

first one, consisting of<br />

the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />

France, <strong>and</strong> China<br />

is often considered<br />

tolerable as the<br />

original group of<br />

Several thous<strong>and</strong> million cargo containers are shipped around the five nuclear weapon<br />

world each year. http://www.sustainabilityninja.com/wp-content/<br />

states, including<br />

uploads/2009/02/cargo-ship-pollution.jpg<br />

also the <strong>United</strong><br />

States <strong>and</strong> Russia,<br />

is characterized by stable political systems. According<br />

to this view, the second wave was already undesirable,<br />

because nuclear weapons were acquired by India, Pakistan<br />

<strong>and</strong>, probably, Israel – countries that claim that they are<br />

seriously endangered by terrorist acts <strong>and</strong> which might<br />

find it difficult to effectively protect their arsenals. These<br />

states could not be held responsible for violating the Non-<br />

Proliferation Treaty because they had never been parties<br />

to it. The third wave of proliferation, which included Iraq,<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 29 29


Iran, Libya, <strong>and</strong> North Korea is commonly seen as a mortal<br />

danger <strong>and</strong> has met with a much more forceful reaction<br />

by the international community. 154 In addition to these,<br />

any country that currently possesses nuclear enrichment<br />

facilities is technically able to produce materials that<br />

could be used in the production of weapons if intercepted<br />

by terrorists – this issue concerns for example Japan <strong>and</strong><br />

Brazil. It seems unjustified, however, to suggest that nuclear<br />

weapons in possession of some states pose no threat, while<br />

in the h<strong>and</strong>s of others they place the world in mortal<br />

jeopardy: governments change <strong>and</strong> all of them can act<br />

either sensibly or irresponsibly, <strong>and</strong> levels of protection of<br />

nuclear arsenals vary. Ultimately, while existing nuclear<br />

arsenals <strong>and</strong> stockpiles of fissile material represent the most<br />

immediate concern, the spread of nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong><br />

material has increased the probability of terrorists acquiring<br />

or constructing a nuclear device. 155<br />

The Current Shape of Nuclear Terrorism<br />

Nuclear terrorism, as contrasted to chemical <strong>and</strong><br />

biological, is currently at a very early stage <strong>and</strong><br />

probably mainly encompasses assessing the possibilities<br />

of using Radiological Dispersion Devices (RDD or dirty<br />

bombs) by terrorists. This is proved by several intelligence<br />

reports <strong>and</strong> recent cases of revealing of terrorist plans. In<br />

2001, two Pakistani scientists were arrested on accusations<br />

of transmitting technical knowledge on the design <strong>and</strong> the<br />

construction process of a dirty bomb to Al-Qaeda. 156 The<br />

plan involved using conventional explosives to detonate a<br />

used part of a fuel system of a nuclear reactor to disperse<br />

radioactive material around the target area. The <strong>United</strong> States<br />

military also found RDD blueprints in Afghanistan after<br />

having overthrown the Taliban regime in that country. 157<br />

Evidence of terrorists’ interest in other forms of possible<br />

nuclear weapons also exists. In November 2001, the CNN<br />

came into possession of a 25-page Al-Qaeda document<br />

entitled ‘The Super bomb,’ which was written in Arabic<br />

<strong>and</strong> concerned the design of an Improvised Nuclear Device<br />

(IND). 158 While both documents can be characterized by<br />

rather superficial display of technical knowledge of the<br />

issue, it shows the terrorists’ established interest in this type<br />

of activity. 159<br />

Nuclear terrorism in its present shape is also very closely<br />

related to attempts to capture radioactive materials,<br />

especially radiologic ones. The territories of some<br />

Caucasian <strong>and</strong> Central-Asian states constitute an area<br />

where several small-scale cases of smuggling of nuclear<br />

materials have been proved, <strong>and</strong> there exists an evidence<br />

base that Al-Qaeda has tried to purchase such radioactive<br />

materials from smugglers or to obtain it from other Islamic<br />

terrorist groups operating in the region. 160 Some facts also<br />

suggest that some Chechen terrorist groups have displayed<br />

interest in acquiring nuclear materials: the Russian army<br />

has discovered storages of radioactive materials in Chechen<br />

camps at several occasions. 161 The Chechens have already<br />

attempted to conduct an attack following the ‘dirty bomb’<br />

scheme: they buried a large radioactive parcel near the<br />

entrance to one of Moscow’s biggest <strong>and</strong> most heavily used<br />

public parks – the Izmailovsky Park - in 1995. 162 In 2002,<br />

a Brooklyn-born convert to Islam was accused of plotting<br />

to detonate a ‘dirty bomb’ in the <strong>United</strong> States, but these<br />

charges were later dropped as an investigation revealed<br />

that he had been planning to destroy two skyscrapers with<br />

just conventional explosives. 163 Other plans discovered by<br />

investigators, however, reveal that planning a use of nuclear<br />

materials is not alien to modern terrorists.<br />

Controlling the Production of Enriched Uranium <strong>and</strong><br />

Plutonium<br />

Most contemporary nuclear power reactors use as fuel<br />

uranium enriched to some 4%, which is produced in a<br />

technically difficult process that may also allow enrichment<br />

to levels suitable for use in nuclear weapons – 85% or<br />

more. 164 Therefore, technically any enrichment plant can be<br />

used for the production of bomb-grade material <strong>and</strong> it is<br />

only a matter of political will – or terrorist interception – to<br />

do so. It is for this reason that many governments express<br />

concerned about Iran’s development of uranium enrichment<br />

capacity. Intense diplomatic efforts have been under way<br />

to induce the Iranian government to terminate or defer its<br />

nuclear plans. A further risk is being posed by the current<br />

state in the global energy market, with fuel prices expected<br />

to continue rising – once the economic crisis is over – <strong>and</strong><br />

the growing concern about greenhouse gas emissions. This<br />

is likely to increase the global reliance on nuclear energy,<br />

which implies a growing dem<strong>and</strong> for uranium fuel leading<br />

to the construction of more enrichment <strong>and</strong> reprocessing<br />

plants. This increased flow of fissile material is likely to<br />

aggravate the risk of misuse <strong>and</strong> diversion. 165<br />

Past UN Actions<br />

The Non-Proliferation Treaty<br />

Adopted in 1970, the Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is<br />

the cornerstone of the global non-proliferation regime.<br />

The treaty was based on the common underst<strong>and</strong>ing by many<br />

countries that more fingers on nuclear triggers would results<br />

in a more dangerous world <strong>and</strong>, therefore, it was beneficial<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 30


The Three Mile Isl<strong>and</strong> nuclear facility in Pennsylvania -<br />

a potential target? http://www.astrosurf.com/luxorion/<br />

Physique/plant-three-mile-isl<strong>and</strong>.jpg<br />

for all states to reduce the nuclear threat by restricting access<br />

to military nuclear technologies. The original deal involved<br />

a resolution by non-nuclear weapon states not to pursue<br />

military nuclear program, <strong>and</strong> a commitment by the five<br />

nuclear states – USA, Russia, <strong>United</strong> Kingdom, France, <strong>and</strong><br />

China – to conduct nuclear disarmament. 171 These states<br />

were chosen based on the credential that they acquired<br />

nuclear facilities before 1970s. All parties also agreed to<br />

share peaceful nuclear technologies between themselves<br />

to facilitate non-military uses of nuclear power. Further<br />

provisions ensured that parties to the agreement entered<br />

into safeguard commitments to the <strong>International</strong> Atomic<br />

Energy Agency <strong>and</strong> promised to exercise control over their<br />

nuclear-related exports: the Safeguards Agreement. 172 The<br />

NPT was indefinitely extended in 1995, following decisions<br />

on its principles <strong>and</strong> objectives for non-proliferation <strong>and</strong><br />

disarmament, <strong>and</strong> a resolution to strengthen its review<br />

process. 173 At present, only four countries in the world are<br />

not parties to the Non-Proliferation Treaty: India, Israel,<br />

North Korea, <strong>and</strong> Pakistan. 174<br />

Despite its wide international appeal, the Non-Proliferation<br />

Treaty suffers from four general groups of problems that<br />

hinder its proper role. In fact, the NPT is the weakest<br />

of all international agreements concerning weapons<br />

of mass destruction in regards to its provisions about<br />

implementation. 175 The first group relates to the failure to<br />

make progress towards nuclear disarmament by the nuclear-<br />

weapons states. Nuclear tests were still conducted by the<br />

five powers for at least another 20 years after the NPT was<br />

adopted, 176 <strong>and</strong> presently all five states still maintain their<br />

nuclear arsenals <strong>and</strong> continue to develop new nuclear<br />

weapons. The second set of problems concerns the many<br />

breaches of the treaty by the originally non-nuclear states,<br />

such as Iraq, Libya, North Korea, <strong>and</strong> Iran that were not<br />

faced with any strong consequences, which created the risk<br />

of inducing a domino effect. Thirdly, the example of North<br />

Korea illustrates the lack of response measures to a country’s<br />

withdrawal as a party to the treaty. The only provision<br />

to address such cases was included in Chapter 2, which<br />

states that any notice of withdrawal must be brought to the<br />

attention of all other parties <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />

Council (UNSC), which will determine whether the planned<br />

withdrawal constitutes a threat to the world peace <strong>and</strong> the<br />

appropriate international response that should be adopted. 177<br />

If the UNSC fails to respond in a strong enough manner,<br />

it may encourage others to follow suit <strong>and</strong> also withdraw<br />

from the NPT. Finally, the last problem is of entirely<br />

technical nature – the lack of any provision for a st<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

secretariat of the Treaty to assist the parties in implementing<br />

the treaty has proven ineffective. 178 At least one reform to<br />

the Non-Proliferation Treaty should be easy to conduct –<br />

its states parties should establish a st<strong>and</strong>ing secretariat to<br />

h<strong>and</strong>le administrative matters, organize the treaty’s review<br />

conferences <strong>and</strong> their preparatory committee sessions, as<br />

well as other meetings to consider cases of possible noncompliance<br />

or withdrawal.<br />

<strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts<br />

of Nuclear Terrorism<br />

In 2005, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly<br />

addressed the issue of nuclear terrorism by adopting the<br />

<strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts of<br />

Nuclear Terrorism. The 191-member UN General Assembly<br />

unanimously approved the Convention, which provided<br />

that all party states would domestically criminalize all<br />

acts of nuclear terrorism <strong>and</strong> obligated them to cooperate<br />

internationally in the prevention, investigation, <strong>and</strong><br />

prosecution of acts of nuclear terrorism. 179 Specifically, the<br />

treaty criminalized the possession or use of radioactive<br />

materials or a nuclear device ‘to cause death or serious bodily<br />

injury,’ to damage property, to pollute the environment, or<br />

to attack a nuclear facility. 180 These legal provisions ensured<br />

that governments would amend national laws to prevent<br />

terrorists <strong>and</strong> their supporters from financing, planning,<br />

or participating in nuclear terrorism, <strong>and</strong> that the share<br />

of information, extradition proceedings, <strong>and</strong> criminal<br />

prosecution of individuals linked to such acts would be<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 31 31


facilitated. 181 The treaty obtained a broad support base<br />

when an agreement on language of the treaty was struck<br />

after members of the 57-nation Organization of the Islamic<br />

Conference were assured that the treaty would not be used<br />

to impose a generic definition of terrorism. 182 According<br />

to many experts, however, although the Convention is<br />

a welcome agreement <strong>and</strong> a step in the right direction, it<br />

offers no decisive solutions to the problem.<br />

Physical Protection<br />

The various measures of physical protection of nuclear<br />

weapons, materials <strong>and</strong> facilities refer to the controls<br />

designed to prevent sabotage, thefts, <strong>and</strong> other attacks.<br />

While all nuclear states have their own domestic laws <strong>and</strong><br />

procedures to maintain physical security of such items,<br />

there have also been several international efforts <strong>and</strong><br />

agreements to improve their st<strong>and</strong>ards of protection. The<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> adopted the Convention of the Physical<br />

Protection of Nuclear Material in 1979, which provides for<br />

certain levels of physical protection during international<br />

transport of nuclear material <strong>and</strong> establishes a general<br />

framework for cooperation among states in the protection,<br />

recovery, <strong>and</strong> return of stolen nuclear material. 183 The<br />

<strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency prepared a set of<br />

Physical Protection Objectives <strong>and</strong> Fundamental Principles<br />

in 2001, <strong>and</strong> has since issued several resolutions on<br />

Measures to Protect Against Nuclear Terrorism <strong>and</strong> has also<br />

The <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency sends its inspectors to nuclear<br />

facilities around the world. http://gstaadblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/06/iaea.<br />

jpg<br />

assisted states through its <strong>International</strong> Physical Protection<br />

Advisory Service. 184 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Council<br />

expressed its support for the increased efforts to strengthen<br />

the physical protection of nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong> materials<br />

in its Resolution 1540, which obligated all states to ‘develop<br />

<strong>and</strong> maintain appropriate effective physical protection<br />

measures.’ 185 It seems that the current system of international<br />

supervisions by the IAEA is relatively effective, <strong>and</strong> it is now<br />

an issue of ensuring compliance rather than of developing<br />

new multilateral rules.<br />

Proposed Solutions<br />

In view of the growing concern over the safety of nuclear<br />

materials, there is no single measure that can assure a<br />

100% certainty of success. A response should be based on<br />

the scheme called ‘layered defense,’ reflecting the idea that<br />

stealing nuclear materials would involve many steps from<br />

acquisition to transportation, <strong>and</strong> that attempting to thwart<br />

such attempts at each step has a higher likelihood of success<br />

than trying to block one step only. Whether this layered<br />

defense is an overarching strategy, or simply a name given to<br />

what would happen anyway as many agencies with different<br />

capabilities contribute in the ways each is able to, or a bit of<br />

both, is another matter. 190 In any case, there are four general<br />

categories of programs that are in place in order to prevent<br />

nuclear materials from falling into the wrong h<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

Efforts to Secure HEU <strong>World</strong>wide<br />

<strong>and</strong> Threat Reduction Programs<br />

Highly Enriched Uranium is still<br />

being widely used in reactors<br />

around the world, many of which<br />

are shockingly poorly guarded. This<br />

is an issue of particular concern,<br />

because obtaining these extremely<br />

dangerous materials is very valuable<br />

for terrorists, second only to<br />

acquiring an intact nuclear device.<br />

So far, however, the efforts to secure<br />

stocks of HEU worldwide have been<br />

largely ad hoc rather than part of a<br />

comprehensive plan. For example,<br />

projects Sapphire (1994) <strong>and</strong> Vinca<br />

(2002) reportedly removed HEU<br />

from poorly guarded research<br />

reactors in Kazakhstan <strong>and</strong> Serbia,<br />

respectively. 191 Several programs<br />

are in place with the objective of<br />

attempting to achieve a clean-up of<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 32 32


stocks of HEU worldwide. For example, the Global Threat<br />

Reduction aimed to secure both used <strong>and</strong> unused Russianorigin<br />

HEU supplies, <strong>and</strong> to convert the cores of civilian<br />

research reactors using HEU to be able to use uranium with<br />

lower-enriched uranium which would not be applicable<br />

in a nuclear bomb. As mentioned before, however, these<br />

efforts are prevalently unilateral <strong>and</strong> mono-national, <strong>and</strong><br />

thus such programs should be established through closer<br />

international cooperation, especially in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />

An important specific aspect of the problem that<br />

should be addressed by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> is the issue<br />

of h<strong>and</strong>ling of former Soviet nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong><br />

materials. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the <strong>United</strong><br />

States has established several nuclear disarmament<br />

programs, such as the Soviet Nuclear Threat Reduction<br />

Act of 1992, also known as the Nunn-Lugar Amendment,<br />

authorizing the <strong>United</strong> States Department of Defense to<br />

assist the Russians in the destruction of Soviet nuclear<br />

weapons. In addition, the <strong>United</strong> States also funds<br />

numerous non-proliferation programs to secure nuclear<br />

materials from the Soviet era, including the Cooperative<br />

Threat Reduction program, the <strong>International</strong> Nuclear<br />

Materials Protection <strong>and</strong> Cooperation <strong>and</strong> Elimination<br />

of Weapons-Grade Plutonium Production, 192 <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> should join in strengthening these efforts.<br />

In addition to nuclear materials, it is crucial to secure<br />

sources of knowledge in the field of nuclear weapons<br />

production, which is especially important in the former<br />

Soviet Union states where several experts reside whose<br />

knowledge can be dangerous if acquired by terrorists. It<br />

is important, therefore, to ensure safety of these scientists<br />

<strong>and</strong> to provide them with grant funding for research on<br />

non-nuclear projects. One idea would be to establish<br />

international scientific institutes run by the <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong> through its numerous agencies in countries such<br />

as Russia or Ukraine.<br />

Another unavoidable issue in this area is the problem of<br />

security of Iran or North Korea’s nuclear facilities, <strong>and</strong><br />

decisive diplomatic measures should be attempted to obtain<br />

agreements for international inspectors, e.g. from the IAEA,<br />

to inspect them. <strong>International</strong> guidance <strong>and</strong> assistance can<br />

be crucial in ensuring that terrorists do not gain access to<br />

these arsenals.<br />

Control of Borders<br />

<strong>International</strong> assistance is necessary to ensure that<br />

nuclear materials do not leak through the borders of the<br />

countries already involved in nuclear research. The already<br />

existing programs, such as the Second Line of Defense<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Export Control <strong>and</strong> Related Border <strong>Security</strong><br />

Assistance should be strengthened with more international<br />

participation <strong>and</strong> a new comprehensive program could be<br />

created under the auspices of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> to assist<br />

member states in their efforts to make their borders safe<br />

from nuclear trafficking. <strong>International</strong> cooperation is<br />

needed to ensure that current less-than-perfect methods of<br />

detection of nuclear materials, such as x-ray-type imaging,<br />

physical inspection, <strong>and</strong> neutron activation, are improved<br />

<strong>and</strong> that new methods are developed. For example, the<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, through one of its agencies, e.g. the IAEA,<br />

could establish programs deploying radiation monitors at<br />

strategic transit <strong>and</strong> border crossings, as well as airports<br />

<strong>and</strong> seaports throughout the world.<br />

Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative<br />

Shipping containers account for 90 percent of all world<br />

cargo, <strong>and</strong> an annual total of 9 million are offloaded in US<br />

ports only. 193 A significant risk exists that nuclear materials<br />

could be smuggled via this mode of transport. Therefore,<br />

it is beneficial for all nations to reduce this threat by<br />

cooperating in establishing security measures in the world’s<br />

shipping industry, by developing a network of inspections<br />

that would effectively screen containers at all ports around<br />

the world before they are shipped. With this in mind, the<br />

Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative was established in 2002 <strong>and</strong> is<br />

currently operational in 34 ports, with another 13 possible,<br />

where host countries’ border security officers work together<br />

with international inspectors in ensuring that all traffic is<br />

being properly inspected <strong>and</strong> that suspicious containers<br />

are detected <strong>and</strong> subjected to control. By participating in<br />

this mostly American program, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> could<br />

ensure greater international coverage <strong>and</strong> could provide<br />

more resources at its disposal.<br />

Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative<br />

The Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative started in 2003; by<br />

2005, 60 states were already party to the agreement.<br />

The participants seek to interdict sea or air shipments of<br />

weapons of mass destruction or their related materials to<br />

or by states of ‘proliferation concern’ trying to acquire or<br />

transfer such items. 194 Thanks to the multinational nature<br />

of the program, shipments can be interdicted not only at<br />

participating countries’ ports, but also in their national<br />

waters <strong>and</strong> airspace, <strong>and</strong> even on the high seas. According<br />

to press reports, the first interception under the PSI took<br />

place in 2003 when a Libya-bound cargo of a German ship,<br />

with thous<strong>and</strong>s of parts for special centrifuges for enriching<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 33 33


uranium, was confiscated. 194<br />

Fuel-Cycle Proposals<br />

While growth in nuclear power<br />

will take time, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

existing global capacity for uranium<br />

enrichment <strong>and</strong> reprocessing is<br />

enough to meet the needs arising from<br />

a considerable expansion, 196 some<br />

designs are needed to ensure a safe<br />

<strong>and</strong> steady supply of nuclear fuel in<br />

the future to match the rising number<br />

of reactors. One proposal would be to<br />

impose a moratorium of a few years<br />

on the construction of new facilities<br />

for the enrichment or reprocessing of<br />

uranium to ensure that appropriate<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards for international control<br />

of such facilities are developed. 197 A<br />

system could be designed under the<br />

supervision of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> the IAEA under which nuclear<br />

facilities of this kind would be built<br />

in a compromise-based location, so<br />

that all states could buy low-enriched<br />

nuclear fuel at market prices. In this<br />

internationally-managed project,<br />

all states – both producers <strong>and</strong><br />

consumers – would participate in<br />

the marketing process by deciding<br />

on prices. A somewhat similar<br />

scheme – The Global Nuclear Energy<br />

Partnership (GNEP) – was advanced<br />

in 2006 by the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> was<br />

discussed with the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />

France, Russia, China, India <strong>and</strong><br />

Japan. 198 Under this scheme, a limited<br />

number of countries would produce<br />

nuclear fuel <strong>and</strong> then ‘lease’ it to other<br />

states, accepting it back later on for<br />

reprocessing. This would serve the<br />

two purposes of both reducing the<br />

amount of nuclear waste, which is<br />

North Korea’s nuclear programme remains an issue of international<br />

controversy. http://neoavatara.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/<br />

northkoreaimage1.jpg<br />

dangerous for the environment <strong>and</strong><br />

Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions<br />

could be intercepted by terrorists for use in the production<br />

of a dirty bomb, <strong>and</strong> constituting a disincentive for many<br />

states from building enrichment plants of their own.<br />

North Korea<br />

North Korea acceded to the NPT in 1985, <strong>and</strong> in 1992<br />

its long-delayed safeguards agreement with the IAEA<br />

entered into force <strong>and</strong> IAEA inspections started. In the same<br />

year, the Joint Declaration on the Denuclearization of the<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 34 34


Korean Peninsula was signed, in which North Korea <strong>and</strong> its<br />

southern neighbor agreed not to develop nuclear weapons<br />

<strong>and</strong> not to possess uranium enrichment facilities. 199 A few<br />

years later, however, IAEA’s safeguard inspections revealed<br />

that North Korea must have produced more plutonium than<br />

it had declared, which prompted North Korea to announce<br />

its intent to withdraw from the NPT. 200 In 1994, after USorganized<br />

negotiations, North Korea signed an Agreed<br />

Framework declaring a freeze to its nuclear program, an<br />

acceptance of IAEA’s inspectors <strong>and</strong> rejoining the NPT.<br />

By 2005, however, it became clear that North Korea had<br />

been secretly developing its nuclear capabilities, which was<br />

confirmed when the country’s government claimed being<br />

in possession of nuclear weapons. 201 In 2009 North Korea<br />

conducted another nuclear test <strong>and</strong> it became clear that<br />

North Korea has become a ‘fully fledged nuclear power,’<br />

according to several experts, including the IAEA’s director<br />

Mohamed ElBaradei. 202 North Korea maintains that its<br />

nuclear weapons program is being conducted as part of<br />

the measures to bolster up its nuclear deterrent solely for<br />

self-defense, <strong>and</strong> refuses to ab<strong>and</strong>on its program or to allow<br />

IAEA inspectors into its nuclear facilities.<br />

Iran<br />

Iran has a long-st<strong>and</strong>ing tradition of developing its nuclear<br />

capability by enriching uranium without reporting this<br />

activity to the IAEA. Iran’s government firmly asserts that its<br />

efforts are intended only to give the country an indigenous<br />

source of low-enriched uranium fuel for its planned nuclear<br />

power plants, <strong>and</strong> rejects any accusations that Iran intends to<br />

use these capabilities to produce highly-enriched uranium<br />

to develop nuclear weapons. 203 The Iranian government<br />

believes that concerns about nuclear weapons proliferation<br />

are pretextual, <strong>and</strong> international calls for suspension of<br />

enrichment are simply intended to ultimately deprive Iran<br />

of the right to have an independent nuclear technology, <strong>and</strong><br />

thus maintains that its right to peaceful nuclear technology<br />

is inalienable. Iran is likely to object to any attempts to<br />

prevent it from possessing enrichment plants of its own,<br />

stating that it cannot simply trust the <strong>United</strong> States or<br />

Europe to provide Iran with nuclear energy fuel.<br />

<strong>United</strong> States<br />

The <strong>United</strong> States supports international cooperation<br />

among sovereign states, manifested by parallel or joint<br />

action towards common goals on a domestic or international<br />

level, accompanied by corresponding developments in<br />

treaty-based <strong>and</strong> UN-conceived international law. 204 The<br />

<strong>United</strong> States government spearheaded the Global Initiative<br />

to Combat Nuclear Terrorism, <strong>and</strong> supported the adoption<br />

of several UN resolutions addressing the issue, including<br />

the <strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts<br />

of Nuclear Terrorism. America’s extensive involvement in<br />

addressing the issue of safeguarding of nuclear materials<br />

is undeniable <strong>and</strong> is best displayed by its relentless efforts<br />

in promoting international systems of prevention from<br />

nuclear threats, such as the Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative.<br />

However, the <strong>United</strong> States government is highly suspicious<br />

of the role of international bureaucracies in achieving<br />

objectives of global importance, which is one of the main<br />

reasons it dislikes the <strong>International</strong> Criminal Court, <strong>and</strong> for<br />

this reason it might be reluctant toward any solutions that<br />

would emphasize the role of such instruments. 205 The <strong>United</strong><br />

States is also deeply involved in guaranteeing nuclear nonproliferation,<br />

<strong>and</strong> is one of the strongest critics of the North<br />

Korean <strong>and</strong> Iranian nuclear programs. At the same time, the<br />

American government tends to refrain from taking a strong<br />

diplomatic stance against some other countries involved in<br />

nuclear proliferation – such as Pakistan – because of their<br />

role in the war on terrorism.<br />

Russia<br />

Since its political transformations after the fall of the Soviet<br />

Union, the Russian Federation has been extensively<br />

involved in securing the former-Soviet nuclear arsenals <strong>and</strong><br />

material to prevent undesirable individuals from getting<br />

access to them, for example through its active support of<br />

the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program<br />

from 1992. It was the government of president Yeltsin that<br />

proposed a treaty to prevent rogue terrorists from getting<br />

their h<strong>and</strong>s on nuclear material from insecure facilities<br />

spread across the former Soviet Union, which resulted in<br />

the adoption of the Convention for the Suppression of Acts<br />

of Nuclear Terrorism by the General Assembly seven years<br />

later. The Russian Delegation to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> was also<br />

one of main authors of several international agreements on<br />

preventing nuclear terrorism, such as the Global Initiative<br />

to Combat Nuclear Terrorism. In regards to Iran’s nuclear<br />

program, Russia has maintained that is no evidence that<br />

Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons program, 206 <strong>and</strong> has been<br />

reluctant to accept any drastic measures of response. Russia’s<br />

attitude to the North Korean nuclear weapons program<br />

is significantly different, <strong>and</strong> the Russian government has<br />

taken a stance of strong condemnation of North Korea’s<br />

nuclear tests. 207<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 35 35


Arab League<br />

All member states of the Organization of the Islamic<br />

Conference are committed to responding to the<br />

Iranian nuclear program by preaching ‘full respect for<br />

equal <strong>and</strong> inalienable rights for all nations to explore<br />

modern technologies including nuclear energy for peaceful<br />

purposes.’ 209<br />

European Union<br />

Nuclear threats are a matter of special concern for<br />

the European Union because of the high level of<br />

nuclearization within the EU’s borders. Therefore, the<br />

European Union is fully committed to fighting against<br />

the proliferation of nuclear weapons as well as to<br />

safeguarding its nuclear materials, which is practically<br />

demonstrated by the active implementation of the<br />

Strategy Against the Proliferation of WMD adopted<br />

on 12 December 2003 by the European Council. 210 The<br />

Strategy contains a number of measures to prevent, deter,<br />

halt, <strong>and</strong> possibly eliminate proliferation programs that<br />

cause concern at the global level. In particular, it stresses<br />

that non-proliferation, disarmament <strong>and</strong> arms control<br />

can contribute significantly to the global fight against<br />

terrorism by reducing the risk of non state actors gaining<br />

access to weapons of mass destruction, radioactive<br />

materials, <strong>and</strong> means of delivery. 211 As expressed in<br />

the EU statement in support of the Global Initiative<br />

to Combat Nuclear Terrorism, the European Union<br />

<strong>and</strong> its Member States are committed to fulfilling their<br />

obligations under international law <strong>and</strong> frameworks,<br />

notably the Convention for the Suppression of Acts of<br />

Nuclear Terrorism, the Convention on the Physical<br />

Protection of Nuclear Material <strong>and</strong> its 2005 Amendment,<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Council Resolutions 1373 <strong>and</strong><br />

1540. 212<br />

Relevant Partners<br />

The <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency is probably the<br />

most prominent international institution dealing with<br />

issues such as nuclear safety, non-proliferation, <strong>and</strong> threat<br />

reduction. The Agency’s programs seek to promote peaceful<br />

uses of nuclear energy <strong>and</strong> to inhibit its application for<br />

military purposes. The IAEA’s experience in the field <strong>and</strong><br />

its highly-developed system of safeguards <strong>and</strong> procedures<br />

guarantee that the Agency’s advice would be helpful in<br />

designing a comprehensive response to the issue of nuclear<br />

terrorism.<br />

<strong>International</strong> Crisis Group is an international nongovernmental<br />

organization whose mission is to prevent<br />

<strong>and</strong> resolve deadly conflicts around the world through<br />

field-based analyses <strong>and</strong> high-level advocacy. 213 The ICG<br />

can offer advice to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly<br />

on the possible measures for safeguarding nuclear<br />

materials, based on its field-based analyses. In the past,<br />

the <strong>International</strong> Crisis Group has presented valuable<br />

<strong>and</strong> detailed proposals for a way forward in looking for a<br />

solution to the proliferation problems, <strong>and</strong> it is expected<br />

to continue having a very significant direct impact on the<br />

prevention <strong>and</strong> resolution of this problem.<br />

Several other non-governmental organizations can<br />

provide valuable inputs into the works of the <strong>Disarmament</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee debating the<br />

issue of safety of nuclear materials. Organizations like<br />

the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, which was founded<br />

for <strong>and</strong> noted for its opposition to nuclear weapons,<br />

or the Global Policy Forum, which has offered some<br />

new strategic thinking on the issue of Iran’s nuclear<br />

program, can be valuable in regards to their aggressive<br />

<strong>and</strong> unbiased advocacy of the common interest in global<br />

safety. Other, more scientific NGOs can also be helpful<br />

in providing some technical information on the safe<br />

storage, transportation, <strong>and</strong> usage of nuclear materials.<br />

Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />

How can member states strengthen cooperation <strong>and</strong><br />

collaboration to reduce the global concern over<br />

nuclear materials?<br />

What international st<strong>and</strong>ards should be adopted/<br />

reformed by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> to assist member<br />

states in protecting their nuclear arsenals <strong>and</strong><br />

stockpiles of nuclear materials?<br />

What can the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> its agencies do to<br />

secure HEU worldwide?<br />

Should any international schemes be established<br />

under the aegis of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> to provide<br />

member states with an opportunity to buy nuclear<br />

fuel <strong>and</strong> to discourage individual enrichment<br />

programs?<br />

What additional measures can be adopted to secure<br />

the world cargo shipping in regards to nuclear<br />

safety?<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 36 36


How can the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> ensure that member<br />

states do not violate its non-proliferation rules?<br />

Suggestions for Further Research<br />

Given the nature of the issue of nuclear safety – the fact<br />

that it is more of a potential problem whose harbingers<br />

are hardly prominent enough to be reported by mass media<br />

– it is difficult to obtain updates on the issue by just reading<br />

news columns in newspapers <strong>and</strong> on websites. Some useful<br />

articles can be found in the online archives of the world’s<br />

leading news sources such as TV news channels, e.g. BBC,<br />

CNN, ABC, <strong>and</strong> newspapers, e.g. The Times, Le Figaro, The<br />

New York Times. Some of them are based on interventionist<br />

journalism of the kind exhibited by ABC reporters who<br />

staged an attempted smuggling of a nuclear device.<br />

A more useful source in researching the developments in<br />

the area of nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong> their related materials<br />

can come from various UN agencies, particularly the<br />

<strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency. The IAEA’s website<br />

provides access to a plethora of highly informative reports<br />

<strong>and</strong> analyses by international experts, which can not<br />

only make you better informed on the current situation<br />

but can be also useful as sources of ideas for solutions<br />

to the problem. The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> resolution database<br />

is another interesting source that can provide you with<br />

excellent information on the course of action that the<br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> its various bodies have adopted so<br />

far regarding the issue in question.<br />

There are also several independent publications on the<br />

growing threat of nuclear terrorism, both by researchers<br />

affiliated with various academic institutions <strong>and</strong><br />

numerous non-governmental organizations that deal<br />

with this issue. For example, the book ‘Weapons of Terror,’<br />

published by the Stockholm-based Weapons of Mass<br />

Destruction Commission, contains a comprehensive<br />

analysis of the possible measures of response to the risk<br />

of nuclear terrorism. Another great resource is the 2004<br />

report by Harvard University’s Project on Managing<br />

the Atom, which investigates the prospects of nuclear<br />

weapons falling into the h<strong>and</strong>s of terrorists in the near<br />

future.<br />

p o s I t I o n pApers<br />

Writing a position paper is a crucial part of your<br />

preparation for the conference, even though it<br />

hardly seems as a fun part of the entire enterprise. Your<br />

position paper should concisely summarize your research<br />

on your country’s specific policy, reflecting the stance you,<br />

as a representative of your government, are going to take in<br />

committee. Make sure to carefully research <strong>and</strong> think about<br />

your country’s views on the issues in question, reflected both<br />

through its history, alliances <strong>and</strong> contemporary interests,<br />

<strong>and</strong> to present them coherently as you will in committee.<br />

Your position paper should address both topics in their<br />

entirety, but with reference to the specific issues that<br />

the committee will be focusing on. You are advised to<br />

include a brief discussion of your country’s views on a<br />

few basic aspects of both problems. In regards to the<br />

Arctic: the legitimacy of national sovereignty claims,<br />

the international status of Arctic waters, the rights<br />

of countries to station weapons in the region; in case<br />

of nuclear terrorism: the nuclear non-proliferation,<br />

uranium enrichment programs, threat reduction schemes<br />

<strong>and</strong> international cooperation in regards to border<br />

control. Within these branches, you should make sure<br />

to specify both the current position of your country <strong>and</strong><br />

the past actions that your country has taken, in addition<br />

to your proposed solutions to each problem. Be creative<br />

<strong>and</strong> do not hesitate to present a more active stance than<br />

your country ever has historically, but always remember<br />

that being on-policy should be your first priority.<br />

Your position paper should not exceed one single-spaced<br />

page; brevity is encouraged. Please use Times New<br />

Roman, size 12 point font.<br />

c l o s I n g remArks<br />

Congratulations on making it to the end! You are now<br />

more than welcome to give yourself a pat on the back,<br />

but please remember that this piece of writing is just a very<br />

general introduction to the complex issues that we will<br />

debate, <strong>and</strong> it certainly cannot provide you with enough<br />

knowledge to excel in committee. The next step is to do some<br />

significant research of your own, including reconstructing<br />

your country-specific position <strong>and</strong> conceptualizing the set<br />

of ideas that you are going to pursue through discussion<br />

<strong>and</strong> resolution-writing. Please take a serious look at the<br />

‘Suggestions for Further Research’ sections in both topic<br />

areas while planning your approach to these complicated<br />

<strong>and</strong> multidimensional issues.<br />

I am incredibly excited to meet you all in Vancouver<br />

next year. Let me assure you that the conference will be<br />

a memorable experience for each <strong>and</strong> every one of you.<br />

Do not hesitate to contact me to ask any questions or just<br />

to introduce yourself. I hope you enjoy the topic areas<br />

<strong>and</strong> I am sure that together we will make DISEC live up<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 37 37


to its ‘First Committee’ status by being the most exciting<br />

committee at <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012!<br />

e n d n o t e s<br />

1 General Assembly First Committee on <strong>Disarmament</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong>, Reaching Critical<br />

Will website. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/<br />

political/1com/1comindex1.html<br />

2 Ibidem.<br />

3 Charter of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />

website. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at<br />

http://www.un.org/en/documents/charter/chapter4.shtml<br />

4 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.britannica.com/<br />

EBchecked/topic/33100/Arctic<br />

5 History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic<br />

Encyclopedia, Columbia University Press. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.infoplease.com/ce6/world/A0921120.htm<br />

6 Bob Edwards, A Brief History of Arctic Exploration.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

geography.about.com/library/misc/ucarctic.htm<br />

7 Ibidem.<br />

8 History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic<br />

Encyclopedia.<br />

9 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica.<br />

10 Bob Edwards, A Brief History of Arctic Exploration.<br />

11 History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic<br />

Encyclopedia.<br />

12 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica.<br />

13 Ibidem.<br />

14 E. C. H. Keskitalo, Negotiating the Arctic. (New<br />

York: Routledge, 2004). 26<br />

15 Keskitalo 27<br />

16 Keskitalo 35<br />

17 Keskitalo 35<br />

18 Keskitalo 134<br />

19 Oran R. Young, Arctic Politics. (Hanover: University<br />

Press of New Engl<strong>and</strong> 1992). 162<br />

20 The Manhattan’s Epic Voyage, Time, 29 September<br />

1969. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />

at http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,844952,00.html<br />

21 The Polar Sea, CBC Digital Archives, 29 July<br />

1985. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

archives.cbc.ca/politics/federal_politics/topics/2349-13655/<br />

22 Canada <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States: Agreement<br />

on Arctic Cooperation, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> – Treaty<br />

Series, 27 January 1995. Accessed online<br />

10 August 2009 at http://untreaty.un.org/<br />

unts/60001_120000/30/4/00058175.pdf<br />

23 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie, Spiegel<br />

Online <strong>International</strong>, 23 March 2009. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.spiegel.<br />

de/international/world/0,1518,614900,00.html<br />

24 Keskitalo 34<br />

25 Ibidem.<br />

26 Thomas R. Berger, Alexei Rodionov <strong>and</strong> others,<br />

The Arctic: Choices for Peace <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong>. (West<br />

Vancouver: Gordon Soules Book Publishers Ltd.).<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 38 38


114<br />

27 Young 190<br />

28 Berger 114<br />

29 Berger 114<br />

30 Weapons of Mass Destruction, Global<strong>Security</strong>.<br />

org. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/russia/667B.<br />

htm<br />

31 Berger 118<br />

32 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica.<br />

33 Young 190-192<br />

34 Young 192-193<br />

35 Young 193-194<br />

36 Young 194-195<br />

37 Marsha Walton, Countries in tug-of-war over<br />

Arctic resources, CNN, 2 January 2009. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.cnn.<br />

com/2009/TECH/science/01/02/arctic.rights.<br />

dispute/index.html<br />

38 Jad Mouawad, Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches,<br />

The New York Times, 24 July 2008. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.<br />

com/2008/07/24/business/24arctic.html?_r=1<br />

39 USGS Arctic Oil <strong>and</strong> Gas Report, A USGS fact<br />

sheet from July 2008, Geology.com. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://geology.com/usgs/<br />

arctic-oil-<strong>and</strong>-gas-report.shtml<br />

40 Jad Mouawad, Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches.<br />

41 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />

Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic. The Heritage<br />

Foundation, 30 October 2008. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.heritage.org/<br />

research/energy<strong>and</strong>environment/bg2202.cfm<br />

42 Jad Mouawad, Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches.<br />

43 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />

Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />

44 Mikhail Krutikhin, Arctic Ocean Prospects,<br />

Kommersant, 30 May 2008. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.kommersant.com/<br />

p897663/Expert_shares_his_view_of_possible_oil_<br />

mining_in_the_Arctic_zone<br />

45 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />

Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />

46 Anthony Browne, Melting ice starts rush for<br />

Arctic resources, The Times, 28 January 2006. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article721377.<br />

ece<br />

47 Philip Bethge, Climate Change Sparks Scrap for<br />

Arctic Resources, Spiegel Online <strong>International</strong>, 31<br />

March 2006. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />

at http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,409001,00.html<br />

48 Ibidem.<br />

49 Anthony Browne, Melting ice starts rush for<br />

Arctic resources.<br />

50 Philip Bethge, Climate Change Sparks Scrap for<br />

Arctic Resources.<br />

51 Marsha Walton, Countries in tug-of-war over<br />

Arctic resources.<br />

52 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie.<br />

53 Richard A. Lovett, Russia’s Arctic Claim Backed<br />

by Rocks, Officials Say, National Geographinc News,<br />

21 September 2007. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 39 39


2009 at http://news.nationalgeographic.com/<br />

news/pf/47871933.html<br />

54 Ibidem.<br />

55 Marsha Walton, Countries in tug-of-war over-<br />

Arctic resources.<br />

56 Ibidem.<br />

57 Russian Strategic Bombers Patrol Arctic,<br />

Atlantic Oceans, Russian News <strong>and</strong> Information<br />

Agency Novosti, 20 June 2008. Accessed<br />

online 10 August 2009 at http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080620/111462629.html<br />

58 UN Backs Norway Claim to Arctic Seabed Extension.<br />

Accessed online 15 April 2009. Accessed online<br />

10 August 2009 at http://www.calgaryherald.<br />

com/Technology/backs+Norway+claim+Arctic+sea<br />

bed+extension/1499675/story.html<br />

59 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />

Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />

60 Russian Strategic Bombers Patrolling Arctic,<br />

Interfax, June 9, 2008.<br />

61 Rowan Scarborough, Russian Flights Smack of<br />

Cold War, The Washington Times, 26 June 2008.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

washingtontimes.com/news/2008/jun/26/russian-flights-smack-of-cold-war/<br />

62 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />

Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />

63 Navy Resumes Military Presence Near Spitsbergen,<br />

Russian News <strong>and</strong> Information Agency Novosti,<br />

14 July 2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />

at http://en.rian.ru/world/20080714/113914174.<br />

html<br />

64 Ibidem.<br />

65 Russia warns of war over Arctic resources, The<br />

Intelligence Daily, 14 May 2009. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.inteldaily.com/<br />

news/165/ARTICLE/10678/2009-05-14.html<br />

66 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />

Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />

67 Arctic Military Bases Signal New Cold War, The<br />

Times, 11 August 2007. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/<br />

news/world/us_<strong>and</strong>_americas/article2238243.ece<br />

68 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />

the Sea, Division for Ocean Affairs <strong>and</strong> the Law<br />

of the Sea website. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

www.un.org/Depts/los/convention_agreements/<br />

convention_historical_perspective.htm<br />

69 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />

the Sea. <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.lawofthesea.net/Konvencija/part3.txt<br />

70 Donat Phar<strong>and</strong>, Leonard H. Legault, The Northwest<br />

Passage: Arctic straits. (Boston: Martinus<br />

Nijhoff Publishers, 1984). 209<br />

71 Phar<strong>and</strong> 209<br />

72 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />

the Sea, Division for Ocean Affairs <strong>and</strong> the Law<br />

of the Sea website.<br />

73 Convention on the Continental Shelf, <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>Nations</strong> 1964. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://untreaty.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/conventions/8_1_1958_continental_shelf.pdf<br />

74 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie<br />

75 Ilulisat Declaration. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.oceanlaw.org/<br />

downloads/arctic/Ilulissat_Declaration.pdf<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 40 40


76 Ibidem.<br />

77 Ibidem.<br />

78 Ibidem.<br />

79 Scott Borgerson, An Ice Cold War, The New<br />

York Times, 8 August 2007. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.<br />

com/2007/08/08/opinion/08borgerson.html<br />

80 John Bellinger, Treaty on ice Arctic, <strong>International</strong><br />

Herald Tribune, 24 June 2008. Factiva<br />

81 Norway’s Policy in the High North – the Arctic<br />

Dimension, Utenriks Department website, 21 January<br />

2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/ud/dep/politisk_ledelse/elisabeth_walaas/taler/2008/arctic_frontiers.<br />

html?id=497558<br />

82 Michael Schwirtz, Russia – Arctic Deployment<br />

Planned, The New York Times, 27 March 2009. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

nytimes.com/2009/03/28/world/europe/28briefsbrfRUSSIA.html<br />

83 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie<br />

84 Thomas Omestad, Bush Signs Off on New U.S. Arctic<br />

Policy, U.S. News, 12 January 2009. Accessed online on<br />

10 August 2009 at http://www.usnews.com/articles/<br />

news/world/2009/01/12/bush-signs-off-on-new-usarctic-policy.html<br />

85 Owen Bowcott, Bush urges US to stake claim to<br />

Arctic territory in last-gasp energy grab, The Guardian,<br />

15 January 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />

at http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/<br />

jan/15/arctic-bush<br />

86 Thomas Omestad, Bush Signs Off on New US Arctic<br />

Policy.<br />

87 Harper on Arctic: ‘Use it or Lose it’, Canada.<br />

com, 10 July 2007. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.canada.com/topics/<br />

news/story.html?id=7ca93d97-3b26-4dd1-8d92-<br />

8568f9b7cc2a&k=73323<br />

88 Ibidem.<br />

89 Sheldon Alberts, U.S. supports Arctic Treaty in turf<br />

battled over oil riches, Edmonton Journal, 7 April 2009.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

edmontonjournal.com/Technology/supports+Arctic+t<br />

reaty+turf+battle+over+riches/1472398/story.html<br />

90 Norway, Arctic Council website. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://arctic-council.org/member_state/norway<br />

91 Flat, cold <strong>and</strong> increasingly crowded: What policies<br />

for the Arctic?, Norway’s Mission to the EU website,<br />

28 January 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />

at http://www.eu-norway.org/news/newsarchives/<br />

arctic+policy+briefing+jan+09.htm<br />

92 Bjorn Bjarnason, New Arctic Policies, 4 May 2009.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

bjorn.is/greinar/nr/4944<br />

93 Ibidem.<br />

94 Lomonosov Ridge off Greenl<strong>and</strong>, Geologi och<br />

Geokemi, Stockholmes Universitet website. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.geo.su.se/<br />

forsk-maringeologi-projects/lomrog-2007-2_en<br />

95 Ian Traynor, Europe joins international contest for<br />

Arctic’s resources, The Guardian, 21 November 2008.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

guardian.co.uk/world/2008/nov/21/arctic-energy-eu<br />

96 Ibidem.<br />

97 Outline History of Nuclear Energy, <strong>World</strong> Nuclear<br />

Association website, September 2005. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.world-nuclear.org/<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 41 41


info/inf54.htm<br />

98 Frisch-Peierls Memor<strong>and</strong>um, March 1940. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.atomicarchive.com/Docs/Begin/FrischPeierls.shtml<br />

99 Nuclear Weapons: Who Has What at a Glance,<br />

Strategic Arms Control <strong>and</strong> Policy, October 2007<br />

(Arms Control Association). Accessed online 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.armscontrol.org/<br />

factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat<br />

100 Non-Proliferation Treaty explained, BBC News,<br />

20 September 2004. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/2645379.stm<br />

101 Ibidem.<br />

102 Outline History of Nuclear Energy, <strong>World</strong><br />

Nuclear Association website.<br />

103 Ibidem.<br />

104 Ibidem.<br />

110 Charles D. Ferguson, William C. Potter, The<br />

Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism. (New York: Routledge,<br />

2005). 1<br />

111 Ferguson, Potter 2<br />

112 Ferguson, Potter 3<br />

113 Ferguson, Potter 3<br />

114 Matthew Bunn, Anthony Wier, Securing the<br />

Bomb: An Agenda for Action, Project on Managing<br />

the Atom. (Harvard University, May 2004). Accessed<br />

online November 28, 2008 at http://www.<br />

nti.org/e_research/analysis_cnwmupdate_052404.<br />

pdf. 20-31<br />

115 Michael Levi, On Nuclear Terrorism (Harvard<br />

University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2007). 37<br />

116 Making the Nation Safer: The Role of Science<br />

<strong>and</strong> Technology in Countering Terrorism, National<br />

Academy of Sciences. (Washington, National Academies<br />

Press, 2002). 45 [Amy L. Fitzgerald, Terrorism<br />

<strong>and</strong> National <strong>Security</strong>. (Nova Science Publishers,<br />

New York 2007). 3]<br />

117 Levi 39<br />

118 Carson Mark, Theodore Taylor, Eugene Eyster,<br />

William Maraman, Jacob Wechsler, Can Terrorists<br />

Build Nuclear Weapons? (Nuclear Control<br />

Institute). Accessed online 29 November, 2008 at<br />

http://www.nci.org/k-m/makeab.htm<br />

119 Andrew Bird, Simon Anthony, Casting Uranium:<br />

Experimental <strong>and</strong> <strong>Model</strong>ing Capabilities,<br />

Discovery, 5 July 2002 [Levi 40]<br />

120 Levi 40<br />

121 Levi 43-44<br />

122 Fitzgerald 3<br />

123 Mark, Taylor, Eyster, Maraman, Wechsler, op.cit.<br />

(online)<br />

124 Robert Galluci, Dean, School of Foreign Service,<br />

Georgetown University, wrote: ‘I do not believe that<br />

al-Qaida could build a nuclear weapon with a plutonium<br />

core, that is, a weapon with an implosion<br />

design’. Personal correspondence, 26 August 2002.<br />

125 Ferguson, Potter 137<br />

126 Ferguson p. 73<br />

127 Gavin Cameron, Nuclear Terrorism: A Threat<br />

Assessment for the 21st Century. (MacMillan Press<br />

LTD, London 1999). 133<br />

128 Ferguson, Potter 55-59<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 42 42


129 James Dao, U.S. Official Says North Korea Could<br />

Sell Bomb Material, New York Times, 5 February<br />

2003. [Ferguson, Potter 57]<br />

130 North Korea tests nuclear weapon ‘as powerful<br />

as Hiroshima bomb’, The Guardian online. Accessed<br />

online 6 August 2009 at<br />

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/may/25/<br />

north-korea-hiroshima-nuclear-test<br />

131 David Rhode, David E. Sanger, Pakistani Is Said<br />

to Admit Atom Transfers, New York Times, 1 February<br />

2004. A1<br />

132 Ferguson, Potter 56<br />

133 Levi 23<br />

134 Ferguson, Potter 57<br />

135 Wilkinson Isambard, Pakistan PM Yousuf Raza<br />

Giliani escapes assassination days before key elections,<br />

The Daily Telegraph website. Accessed online<br />

December 5, 2008 at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/<br />

news/worldnews/asia/pakistan/2675147/Pakistan-PM-Yousuf-Raza-Gilani-escapes-assassinationdays-before-key-elections.html<br />

136 Levi 23<br />

137 Ferguson, Potter 72-76<br />

138 Ibidem 71<br />

139 Ferguson 67<br />

140 Bunn, Wier, Securing the Bomb: An Agenda for<br />

Action, p. vii.<br />

141 Matthew Wald, Uranium Reactors on Campus<br />

Raise <strong>Security</strong> Concerns, New York Times, 15 August<br />

2004. 19 [Fitzgerald, Amy L. 4]<br />

142 Cameron, Gavin 3<br />

143 Fitzgerald 8<br />

144 The Nuclear Loophole, ABC News website.<br />

Accessed online November 30, 2008 at http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/popup?id=3398776<br />

145 The ABC News Smuggling Experiment – The<br />

Sequel, Natural Resources Defense Council website.<br />

Accessed online 30 November 2008 at http://www.<br />

nrdc.org/nuclear/furanium.asp<br />

146 Ibidem.<br />

147 Fitzgerald 7<br />

148 Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative, Department of<br />

Homel<strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong> website. Accessed online November<br />

30, 2008 at http://www.dhs.gov/xprevprot/programs/gc_1165872287564.shtm<br />

149 Fitzgerald 7<br />

150 Fitzgerald 7<br />

151 Oil Tanker, Wikipedia. Accessed online November<br />

30, 2008 at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/<br />

Oil_tanker<br />

152 Fitzgerald 8<br />

153 Weapons of Terror, The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />

Commission 2006. 60<br />

154 Weapons of Terror 60<br />

155 Nuclear Terrorism, Assessing the Threat,<br />

Developing a response. Accessed online 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.csbaonline.<br />

org/4Publications/PubLibrary/R.20090422.Nuclear_Terrorism/R.20090422.Nuclear_Terrorism.pdf<br />

156 Al-Qaeda’s WMD activities, James Martin Center<br />

for Non-Proliferation Studies. Accessed online<br />

10 August 2009 at http://cns.miis.edu/other/<br />

sjm_cht.htm<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 43 43


157 Ibidem.<br />

158 Was Al-Qaeda Working on a Super Bomb,<br />

CNN transcripts. Accessed online 10 August 2009<br />

at transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0201/24/<br />

se.00.html<br />

159 Jacek Adamski, Nowe Technologie w Sluzbie<br />

Terrorystow. (Warsaw: Trio 2007). 85<br />

160 Adamski 85<br />

161 Adamski 86<br />

162 Chechen Insurgents to Take Their Struggle to a<br />

Moscow Park, The New York Times, 24 November<br />

1995. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

www.nytimes.com/1995/11/24/world/checheninsurgents-take-their-struggle-to-a-moscow-park.<br />

html<br />

163 Kirk Semple, Padilla sentenced to 17 Years in<br />

Prison, The New York Times, 22 January 2008. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

nytimes.com/2008/01/22/us/22cnd-padilla.html<br />

164 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />

Commission 2006). 73<br />

165 Ibidem 74<br />

166 Adamski 87<br />

167 Adamski 88<br />

168 Robert Jonhston, Nuclear Terrorist Incident.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

johnstonsarchive.net/nuclear/wrjp1855.html<br />

169 Samuel Upton Newtan, Nuclear War I <strong>and</strong><br />

Other Major Nuclear Disasters of the 20th Century.<br />

(Authorhouse 2007). 259<br />

170 Adamski 89<br />

171 Treaty of the Non-Proliferation of Nulcear<br />

Weapons, IAEA Information Cicular. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.iaea.<br />

org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc140.pdf<br />

172 Ibidem.<br />

173 Brief Background, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.un.org/<br />

Depts/dda/WMD/treaty/<br />

174 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />

Commission 2006). 62<br />

175 Ibidem 63<br />

176 Ibidem 106<br />

177 Ibidem 63<br />

178 Ibidem 63<br />

179 Ibidem 84<br />

180 <strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression<br />

of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> website.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

untreaty.un.org/cod/avl/ha/icsant/icsant.html<br />

181 Colum Lynch, U.N. Votes To Outlaw Nuclear<br />

Terrorism, The Washington Post, 14 April 2005.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A51708-<br />

2005Apr13.html<br />

182 Ibidem.<br />

183 Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear<br />

Material. <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, 3 March 1980. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://treaties.un.org/<br />

untc//Pages//doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%20<br />

1456/volume-1456-I-24631-English.pdf<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 44 44


184 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />

Commission 2006). 85<br />

185 Resolution 1540, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, 28 April 2004.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N04/328/43/PDF/<br />

N0432843.pdf?OpenElement<br />

186 Nuclear Age Timeline, U.S. Department of Energy.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

em.doe.gov/Publications/timeline_pre40s.aspx<br />

187 Nuclear Age Timeline, Radiochemistry Society.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.radiochemistry.org/history/nuclear_timeline/50s.html<br />

188 Timeline of Nuclear Technology, PBS. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/<br />

amex/three/timeline/index_3.html<br />

189 Timeline of the Nuclear Age, AtomicArchive.com.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

atomicarchive.com/Timeline/Time2000.shtml<br />

190 Fitzgerald 9<br />

191 Fitzgerald 10<br />

192 Fitzgerald 9<br />

193 Fitzgerald 11<br />

194 Fitzgerald 11<br />

195 The Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative (PSI) At a<br />

Glance, Arms Control Association, October 2007.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

armscontrol.org/factsheets/PSI<br />

196 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />

Commission 2006). 74<br />

197 Ibidem 74<br />

198 Ibidem 75<br />

199 Ibidem 60<br />

200 Ibidem 60<br />

201 Ibidem 60<br />

202 North Korea is fully pledged nuclear power; experts<br />

agree, The Times, 24 April 2009. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/<br />

tol/news/world/asia/article6155956.ece<br />

203 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />

Commission 2006). 74<br />

204 Nuclear Terrorism Convention: <strong>International</strong> Convention<br />

for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism,<br />

<strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Law Project, 17 May 2005.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.cdi.<br />

org/news/law/ntc.cfm<br />

205 Ibidem.<br />

206 Mark Tran, Putin: no proof Iran is trying to make<br />

nuclear weapons, The Guardian, 10 October 2007.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

guardian.co.uk/world/2007/oct/10/iran.russia<br />

207 Blaine Harden, North Korean Nuclear Blast Draws<br />

Global Condemnation. The Washington Post, 26 May<br />

2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/25/AR2009052501672.html<br />

208 Colum Lynch, U.N. Votes To Outlaw Nuclear Terrorism.<br />

209 OIC supports Iran’s quest to go nuclear, AFP,<br />

February 2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />

at Http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_kmafp/<br />

is_200702/ai_n18655076/<br />

210 EU statement supporting Global Initiative to<br />

Combat Nuclear Terrorism, European Union Mission<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 45 45


B I B l I o g r A p H y<br />

A Brief History of Terrorism, Centre For Defence Information website. 2 July 2003. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.cdi.org/friendlyversion/printversion.cfm?documentID=1502.<br />

About Crisis Group, <strong>International</strong> Crisis Group website, July 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?id=208&l=1.<br />

Adamski, Jacek. Nowe Technologie w Sluzbie Terrorystow. (Warsaw: Trio 2007).<br />

Alberts, Sheldon. U.S. supports Arctic Treaty in turf battled over oil riches, Edmonton Journal, 7 April 2009. Ac<br />

cessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.edmontonjournal.com/Technology/supports+Arctic+trea<br />

ty+turf+battle+over+riches/1472398/story.html.<br />

Al-Qaeda’s WMD activities, James Martin Centre for Non-Proliferation Studies. Accessed online 10 August 2009<br />

at http://cns.miis.edu/other/sjm_cht.htm.<br />

Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/<br />

topic/33100/Arctic.<br />

Arctic Military Bases Signal New Cold War, The Times, 11 August 2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at<br />

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_<strong>and</strong>_americas/article2238243.ece.<br />

Bellinger, John. Treaty on ice Arctic, <strong>International</strong> Herald Tribune, 24 June 2008. Factiva.<br />

Berger, Thomas R. ; Rodionov, Alexei et al. The Arctic: Choices for Peace <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong>. (West Vancouver: Gordon<br />

Soules Book Publishers Ltd.).<br />

Bethge, Philip. Climate Change Sparks Scrap for Arctic Resources, Spiegel Online <strong>International</strong>, 31 March 2006. Ac<br />

cessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,409001,00.html.<br />

Bird, Andrew; Anthony, Simon. Casting Uranium: Experimental <strong>and</strong> <strong>Model</strong>ling Capabilities, Discovery, 5 July 2002<br />

Bjarnason, Bjorn. New Arctic Policies, 4 May 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.bjorn.is/<br />

greinar/nr/4944.<br />

Borgerson, Scott. An Ice Cold War, The New York Times, 8 August 2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at<br />

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/08/opinion/08borgerson.html.<br />

Brief Background, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.un.org/Depts/dda/WMD/<br />

treaty/.<br />

Owen Bowcott, Bush urges US to stake claim to Arctic territory in last-gasp energy grab, The Guardian, 15 January<br />

2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/jan/15/arctic-<br />

bush.<br />

Braune, Gerd. Countries Seek a Piece of Pie, Spiegel Online <strong>International</strong>, 23 March 2009. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,614900,00.html.<br />

Browne, Anthony. Melting ice starts rush for Arctic resources, The Times, 28 January 2006. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article721377.ece.<br />

Bunn, Matthew. Anthony Wier, Securing the Bomb: An Agenda for Action, Project on Managing the Atom. (Har<br />

vard University, May 2004). Accessed online November 28, 2008 at http://www.nti.org/e_research/analy<br />

sis_cnwmupdate_052404.pdf.<br />

Cameron, Gavin. Nuclear Terrorism: A Threat Assessment for the 21 st Century. (MacMillan Press LTD, London<br />

1999).<br />

Canada <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States: Agreement on Arctic Cooperation, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> – Treaty Series, 27 January 1995.<br />

Accessed online 10 August 2009 at http://untreaty.un.org/unts/60001_120000/30/4/00058175.pdf.<br />

Charter of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> website. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.un.org/<br />

en/documents/charter/chapter4.shtml.<br />

Chechen Insurgents to Take Their Struggle to a Moscow Park, The New York Times, 24 November 1995. Accessed<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 46<br />

46


online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.com/1995/11/24/world/chechen-insurgents-take-theirstruggle-to-a-moscow-park.html.<br />

Cohen, Ariel; Szaszdi, Lajos F. The New Cold War: Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic. The Heritage Founda<br />

tion, 30 October 2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.heritage.org/research/energyan<br />

denvironment/bg2202.cfm.<br />

Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative, Department of Homel<strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong> website. Accessed online November 30, 2008 at<br />

http://www.dhs.gov/xprevprot/programs/gc_1165872287564.shtm.<br />

Convention on the Continental Shelf, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 1964. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://untreaty.<br />

un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/conventions/8_1_1958_continental_shelf.pdf.<br />

Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material. <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, 3 March 1980. Accessed online on<br />

10 August 2009 at http://treaties.un.org/untc//Pages//doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%201456/volume-<br />

1456-I-24631-English.pdf.<br />

Dao, James. U.S. Official Says North Korea Could Sell Bomb Material, New York Times, 5 February 2003<br />

Edwards, Bob. A Brief History of Arctic Exploration. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://geography.about.<br />

com/library/misc/ucarctic.htm.<br />

EU statement supporting Global Initiative to Combat Nuclear Terrorism, European Union Mission to the <strong>United</strong> Na<br />

tions, 17 June 2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.europa-eu-un.org/articles/en/ar<br />

ticle_7960_en.htm.<br />

Ferguson, Charles D.; Potter, William C. The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism. (New York: Routledge, 2005).<br />

Fitzgerald, Amy L. Terrorism <strong>and</strong> National <strong>Security</strong>. (Nova Science Publishers, New York 2007).<br />

Flat, cold <strong>and</strong> increasingly crowded: What policies for the Arctic?, Norway’s Mission to the EU website,<br />

28 January 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.eu-norway.org/news/newsarchives/<br />

arctic+policy+briefing+jan+09.htm.<br />

Frisch-Peierls Memor<strong>and</strong>um, March 1940. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.atomicarchive.com/<br />

Docs/Begin/FrischPeierls.shtml.<br />

General Assembly First Committee on <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong>, Reaching Critical Will website. Ac<br />

cessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/political/1com/1comindex1.html.<br />

Harden, Blaine. North Korean Nuclear Blast Draws Global Condemnation. The Washington Post, 26 May 2009.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/25/<br />

AR2009052501672.html.<br />

Harper on Arctic: ‘Use it or Lose it’, Canada.com, 10 July 2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />

canada.com/topics/news/story.html?id=7ca93d97-3b26-4dd1-8d92-8568f9b7cc2a&k=73323.<br />

History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic Encyclopaedia, Columbia University Press. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.infoplease.com/ce6/world/A0921120.htm.<br />

Ilulisat Declaration. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.oceanlaw.org/downloads/arctic/Ilulissat_<br />

Declaration.pdf Keskitalo, E. C. H. Negotiating the Arctic. (New York: Routledge, 2004).<br />

<strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> website. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://untreaty.un.org/cod/avl/ha/icsant/icsant.html.<br />

Isambard, Wilkinson. Pakistan PM Yousuf Raza Giliani escapes assassination days before key elections, The Daily<br />

Telegraph website. Accessed online December 5, 2008 at http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/<br />

asia/pakistan/2675147/Pakistan-PM-Yousuf-Raza-Gilani-escapes-assassination-days-before-key-elec<br />

tions.html.<br />

Johnston, Robert. Nuclear Terrorist Incident. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.johnstonsarchive.<br />

net/nuclear/wrjp1855.html.<br />

Krutikhin, Mikhail. Arctic Ocean Prospects, Kommersant, 30 May 2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at<br />

http://www.kommersant.com/p897663/Expert_shares_his_view_of_possible_oil_mining_in_the_Arctic_<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012<br />

<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 47<br />

47


zone.<br />

Levi, Michael. On Nuclear Terrorism (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2007).<br />

Lomonosov Ridge off Greenl<strong>and</strong>, Geologi och Geokemi, Stockholmes Universitet website. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.geo.su.se/forsk-maringeologi-projects/lomrog-2007-2_en.<br />

Lovett, Richard A. Russia’s Arctic Claim Backed by Rocks, Officials Say, National Geographic News, 21 September<br />

2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/pf/47871933.html.<br />

Lynch, Colum. U.N. Votes To Outlaw Nuclear Terrorism, The Washington Post, 14 April 2005. Accessed online on<br />

10 August 2009 at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A51708-2005Apr13.html.<br />

Making the Nation Safer: The Role of Science <strong>and</strong> Technology in Countering Terrorism, National Academy of Sci<br />

ences. (Washington, National Academies Press, 2002).<br />

Mark, Carson; Taylor, Theodore; Eyster, Eugene; Maraman, William; Wechsler, Jacob. Can Terrorists Build Nuclear<br />

Weapons? (Nuclear Control Institute). Accessed online 29 November, 2008 at http://www.nci.org/k-m/<br />

makeab.htm.<br />

Mouawad, Jad. Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches, The New York Times, 24 July 2008. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/24/business/24arctic.html?_r=1.<br />

Navy Resumes Military Presence Near Spitsbergen, Russian News <strong>and</strong> Information Agency Novosti, 14 July 2008.<br />

Accessed online on 10 September 2009 at http://en.rian.ru/world/20080714/113914174.html.<br />

Newtan, Samuel Upton. Nuclear War I <strong>and</strong> Other Major Nuclear Disasters of the 20 th Century. (Authorhouse 2007)<br />

Non-Proliferation Treaty explained, BBC News, 20 September 2004. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />

news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/2645379.stm.<br />

North Korea is fully pledged nuclear power; experts agree, The Times, 24 April 2009. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article6155956.ece.<br />

North Korea tests nuclear weapon ‘as powerful as Hiroshima bomb’, The Guardian online. Accessed online 6 Au<br />

gust 2009 at http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/may/25/north-korea-hiroshima-nuclear-test.<br />

Norway’s Policy in the High North – the Arctic Dimension, Utenriks Department website, 21 January 2008. Ac<br />

cessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/ud/dep/politisk_ledelse/elisabeth_<br />

walaas/taler/2008/arctic_frontiers.html?id=497558.<br />

Nuclear Age Timeline, Radiochemistry Society. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.radiochemistry.<br />

org/history/nuclear_timeline/50s.html.<br />

Nuclear Age Timeline, U.S. Department of Energy. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.em.doe.gov/<br />

Publications/timeline_pre40s.aspx.<br />

Nuclear Terrorism, Assessing the Threat, Developing a response. Accessed online 10 August 2009 at http://www.csba<br />

online.org/4Publications/PubLibrary/R.20090422.Nuclear_Terrorism/R.20090422.Nuclear_Terrorism.<br />

pdf.<br />

Nuclear Terrorism Convention: <strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism, Interna<br />

tional <strong>Security</strong> Law Project, 17 May 2005. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.cdi.org/news/<br />

law/ntc.cfm.<br />

OIC supports Iran’s quest to go nuclear, AFP, February 2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at Http://findar<br />

ticles.com/p/articles/mi_kmafp/is_200702/ai_n18655076/.<br />

Oil Tanker, Wikipedia. Accessed online November 30, 2008 at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_tanker.<br />

Omestad, Thomas. Bush Signs Off on New U.S. Arctic Policy, U.S. News, 12 January 2009. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.usnews.com/articles/news/world/2009/01/12/bush-signs-off-on-new-us-arc<br />

tic-policy.html.<br />

Outline History of Nuclear Energy, <strong>World</strong> Nuclear Association website, September 2005. Accessed online on 10<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 48 48


August 2009 at http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf54.htm.<br />

Phar<strong>and</strong>, Donat; Legault, Leonard H. The Northwest Passage: Arctic straits. (Boston: Martinus Nijhoff Publishers,<br />

1984).<br />

Resolution 1540, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, 28 April 2004. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://daccessdds.un.org/<br />

doc/UNDOC/GEN/N04/328/43/PDF/N0432843.pdf?OpenElement.<br />

Rhode, David; Sanger, David E. Key Pakistani Is Said to Admit Atom Transfers, New York Times, 1 February 2004.<br />

Russian Strategic Bombers Patrol Arctic, Atlantic Oceans, Russian News <strong>and</strong> Information Agency Novosti, 20 June<br />

2008. Accessed online 10 August 2009 at http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080620/111462629.html.<br />

Scarborough, Rowan. Russian Flights Smack of Cold War, The Washington Times, 26 June 2008. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/jun/26/russian-flights-smack-of-coldwar/.<br />

Schwirtz, Michael. Russia – Arctic Deployment Planned, The New York Times, 27 March 2009. Accessed online on<br />

10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/28/world/europe/28briefs-brfRUSSIA.html.<br />

Semple, Kirk. Padilla sentenced to 17 Years in Prison, The New York Times, 22 January 2008. Accessed online on<br />

10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/22/us/22cnd-padilla.html.<br />

Testimony of Sam Nunn <strong>and</strong> Richard Lugar, 23 July 2002 in ‘The Next Steps in U.S. Nonproliferation Policy’ (Arms<br />

Control Today, December 2002).<br />

The ABC News Smuggling Experiment – The Sequel, Natural Resources Defence Council website. Accessed online<br />

30 November 2008 at http://www.nrdc.org/nuclear/furanium.asp.<br />

The Manhattan’s Epic Voyage, Time, 29 September 1969. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.time.<br />

com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,844952,00.html.<br />

The Nuclear Loophole, ABC News website. Accessed online November 30, 2008 at http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/<br />

popup?id=3398776.<br />

The Polar Sea, CBC Digital Archives, 29 July 1985. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://archives.cbc.ca/<br />

politics/federal_politics/topics/2349-13655/.<br />

The Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative (PSI) At a Glance, Arms Control Association, October 2007. Accessed online<br />

on 10 August 2009 at http://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/PSI.<br />

The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea, Division for Ocean Affairs <strong>and</strong> the Law of the Sea website.<br />

Accessed online on 10 August 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.un.org/Depts/los/<br />

convention_agreements/convention_historical_perspective.htm.<br />

The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly. Accessed online on 10<br />

August 2009 at http://www.lawofthesea.net/Konvencija/part3.txt.<br />

Timeline of the Nuclear Age, AtomicArchive.com. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.atomicarchive.<br />

com/Timeline/Time2000.shtml.<br />

Timeline of Nuclear Technology, PBS. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/three/<br />

timeline/index_3.html.<br />

Tran, Mark. Putin: no proof Iran is trying to make nuclear weapons, The Guardian, 10 October 2007. Accessed on<br />

line on 10 August 2009 at http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/oct/10/iran.russia.<br />

Traynor, Ian. Europe joins international contest for Arctic’s resources, The Guardian, 21 November 2008. Accessed<br />

online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/nov/21/arctic-energy-eu.<br />

Treaty of the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, IAEA Information Circular. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc140.pdf.<br />

UN Backs Norway Claim to Arctic Seabed Extension. Accessed online 15 April 2009. Accessed online 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.calgaryherald.com/Technology/backs+Norway+claim+Arctic+seabed+extensi<br />

on/1499675/story.html.<br />

USGS Arctic Oil <strong>and</strong> Gas Report, A USGS fact sheet from July 2008, Geology.com. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 49 49


2009 at http://geology.com/usgs/arctic-oil-<strong>and</strong>-gas-report.shtml.<br />

Wald, Matthew. Uranium Reactors on Campus Raise <strong>Security</strong> Concerns, New York Times, 15 August 2004.<br />

Walton, Marsha. Countries in tug-of-war over Arctic resources, CNN, 2 January 2009. Accessed online on 10 August<br />

2009 at http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/01/02/arctic.rights.dispute/index.html.<br />

Was Al-Qaeda Working on a Super Bomb, CNN transcripts. Accessed online 10 August 2009 at transcripts.cnn.<br />

com/TRANSCRIPTS/0201/24/se.00.html.<br />

Weapons of Mass Destruction, Global<strong>Security</strong>.org. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.globalsecu<br />

rity.org/wmd/world/russia/667B.htm.<br />

Young, Oran R. Arctic Politics. (Hanover: University Press of New Engl<strong>and</strong> 1992).<br />

Zalman, Amy. The History of Terrorism, About.com. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://terrorism.about.<br />

com/od/whatisterroris1/p/Terrorism.htm.<br />

Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 50 50

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!