Disarmament and International Security - World Model United Nations
Disarmament and International Security - World Model United Nations
Disarmament and International Security - World Model United Nations
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<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> UN 2012<br />
Background Guide
Letter from the Secretary General...............................................................................<br />
Letter from the Under-Secretary General....................................................................<br />
Letter from the Chair....................................................................................................<br />
Introduction..................................................................................................2<br />
History of the Committee...........................................................................................2<br />
Topic A:<br />
History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem...................................................................................3<br />
Current Situation....................................................................................................................10<br />
Past UN Actions......................................................................................................................14<br />
Proposed Solutions..................................................................................................................15<br />
Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions........................................................................................................16<br />
Relevant Partners....................................................................................................................19<br />
QARMA................................................................................................19<br />
Suggestions for Further Research............................................................................................20<br />
Topic B:<br />
History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem..............................................................................20<br />
Current Situation....................................................................................................................29<br />
Past UN Actions.....................................................................................................................30<br />
Proposed Solutions..................................................................................................................32<br />
Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions........................................................................................................34<br />
Relevant Partners....................................................................................................................36<br />
QARMA..............................................................................................36<br />
Suggestions for Further Research...........................................................................................37<br />
Position Papers.........................................................................................................37<br />
Closing Remarks.......................................................................................................37<br />
Bibliography................................................................................................46<br />
Cover image courtesy of Vancouver Tourism Board.<br />
Table of ConTenTs
KATHLEEN TANG<br />
Secretary-General<br />
SAMIR PATEL<br />
Director-General<br />
KEVIN LIU HUANG<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
General Assemblies<br />
ANNA TROWBRIDGE<br />
Under-Secretary-General<br />
for Economic <strong>and</strong> Social<br />
Councils <strong>and</strong> Regional<br />
Bodies<br />
APARAJITA TRIPATHI<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Specialized Agencies<br />
RICHARD EBRIGHT<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Operations<br />
SAMUEL LEITER<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Administration<br />
SCOTT YU<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Business<br />
Letter from the Secretary-General<br />
Dear Delegates,<br />
My name is Kathleen Tang <strong>and</strong> I am serving as the Secretary-<br />
General of the <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 conference. After being a part<br />
of <strong>World</strong>MUN for the past few years it is a bittersweet experience<br />
to be running my last <strong>World</strong>MUN ever, but I could not be more<br />
excited to share this experience with all of you!<br />
Within the pages of this guide you will find the topics that the<br />
<strong>World</strong>MUN staff has been hard at work on over the past few<br />
months. Each chair worked hard to find a topic that they are truly<br />
passionate about <strong>and</strong> provide the best guides possible through<br />
extensive research. However, the background guide should<br />
only be the first step in your substantive learning process. Read<br />
through the guide thoroughly <strong>and</strong> note what areas of debate are<br />
particularly interesting for your chair <strong>and</strong> use this as a starting<br />
point for your own research on the topic. Remember that you<br />
will be representing a country, a people, <strong>and</strong> a culture outside of<br />
your own during your week of debate. What viewpoints does your<br />
country have on this topic? What would they say to the issues the<br />
chair brings up in the guide? In what ways would your country<br />
most like to see these issues ‘resolved’? There are always more<br />
sources to look at <strong>and</strong> more news to be up to date with so the<br />
learning never stops!<br />
Of course, if you ever need help along the way there are many<br />
resources up online for you - <strong>World</strong>MUN 101 <strong>and</strong> the Rules of<br />
Procedure are both up on our website (www.worldmun.org) <strong>and</strong><br />
will help you better underst<strong>and</strong> how to write a study guide <strong>and</strong><br />
how debate will run March 11-15th, 2012. Feel free to also reach<br />
out to your chair or USG via email. They are here to help you feel<br />
comfortable <strong>and</strong> prepared for the conference.<br />
I hope you enjoy the research presented here <strong>and</strong> also the learning<br />
process that comes with doing your own research on the topic.<br />
I look forward to meeting you in March!<br />
Sincerely,<br />
Kathleen Tang<br />
Secretary-General<br />
<strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 2012<br />
secretarygeneral@worldmun.org
KATHLEEN TANG<br />
Secretary-General<br />
SAMIR PATEL<br />
Director-General<br />
KEVIN LIU HUANG<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
General Assemblies<br />
ANNA TROWBRIDGE<br />
Under-Secretary-General<br />
for Economic <strong>and</strong> Social<br />
Councils <strong>and</strong> Regional<br />
Bodies<br />
APARAJITA TRIPATHI<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Specialized Agencies<br />
RICHARD EBRIGHT<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Operations<br />
SAMUEL LEITER<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Administration<br />
SCOTT YU<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Business<br />
Dear Delegates,<br />
It is my sincere pleasure to welcome you to the General Assemblies!<br />
You are joining the largest organ of the conference <strong>and</strong> the<br />
primary policymaking body of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, where every<br />
nation is recognized as having an equal stake in the future of the<br />
world. The world has come a long way since the end of <strong>World</strong> War<br />
II; by gathering in such large numbers, the General Assemblies<br />
are a display of the international community’s seriousness <strong>and</strong><br />
commitment to solving world issues. Our conference, even if just<br />
a simulation, is a rare display of international unity about which I<br />
hope you are as delighted as I!<br />
My name is Kevin Liu Huang, <strong>and</strong> I am a junior at Harvard<br />
College, studying as a Government-Statistics double major. My<br />
home is a small town in New Jersey, where I grew up playing<br />
tennis <strong>and</strong> soccer <strong>and</strong> making weekend trips to New York City.<br />
At school, in addition to working Harvard’s many <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Model</strong> Congress simulations on campus, I also have<br />
taken up ballroom <strong>and</strong> Latin dancing.<br />
My job at this conference is to make your General Assembly<br />
experience as exhilarating <strong>and</strong> positive as possible. If you have<br />
any suggestions or complaints either throughout your conference<br />
experience or before it, feel free to get in touch with me directly<br />
or through your faculty advisor!<br />
Please feel free to connect with me through my e-mail! I am excited<br />
to serve as your Under-Secretary-General of General Assemblies<br />
for my very first Harvard <strong>World</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> conference,<br />
<strong>and</strong> I am looking forward to a conference like no other.<br />
See you in March!<br />
Sincerely,<br />
Kevin Liu Huang<br />
Under-Secretary-General of the<br />
General Assemblies<br />
ga@worldmun.org
KATHLEEN TANG<br />
Secretary-General<br />
SAMIR PATEL<br />
Director-General<br />
KEVIN LIU HUANG<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
General Assemblies<br />
ANNA TROWBRIDGE<br />
Under-Secretary-General<br />
for Economic <strong>and</strong> Social<br />
Councils <strong>and</strong> Regional<br />
Bodies<br />
APARAJITA TRIPATHI<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Specialized Agencies<br />
RICHARD EBRIGHT<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Operations<br />
SAMUEL LEITER<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Administration<br />
SCOTT YU<br />
Under-Secretary-General for<br />
Business<br />
Letter from the Chair<br />
Dear Delegates,<br />
It is my distinct pleasure to welcome you to the <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee at Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012.<br />
My name is Dominik Nieszporowski, <strong>and</strong> I am absolutely thrilled<br />
to be you committee chair during the fantastic week that you will<br />
spend in Vancouver next year, debating <strong>and</strong> learning from people<br />
from diverse backgrounds.<br />
Originally from Warsaw, Pol<strong>and</strong>, I have participated in <strong>Model</strong><br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> since high school, both as a delegate <strong>and</strong> committee<br />
chair at several conferences throughout Europe, Asia, <strong>and</strong> North<br />
America. My other passions include international development<br />
<strong>and</strong> public service – I have been particularly involved with<br />
programs creating educational opportunities for children in<br />
Africa.<br />
At Harvard, I am currently a senior in the glorious Kirkl<strong>and</strong><br />
House, concentrating in Applied Mathematics <strong>and</strong> Economics.<br />
On campus, I am mostly occupied serving as Secretary-General<br />
of Harvard National <strong>Model</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> 2012, an annual<br />
college <strong>Model</strong> UN conference held in Boston in February, <strong>and</strong><br />
coordinating HNMUN’s expansion abroad in the form of our new<br />
international conference – HNMUN Latin America 2012.<br />
This year at <strong>World</strong>MUN, DISEC will be debating two of the most<br />
important contemporary issues concerning international security<br />
– the militarization of the Arctic <strong>and</strong> the safeguarding of nuclear<br />
materials. As you embark on your research into these topics, I<br />
hope you will find them both interesting <strong>and</strong> thought-provoking.<br />
Please feel free to e-mail me to questions you might have or just to<br />
introduce yourself. I am certainly looking forward to an exciting<br />
debate <strong>and</strong> meeting many great people at <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012!<br />
Best regards,<br />
Dominik Nieszporowski<br />
<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />
Committee
I n t r o d u c t I o n<br />
The <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee,<br />
officially the First Committee of the General Assembly<br />
of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, is one of the six main committees<br />
of the UNGA. The scope of DISEC’s competences <strong>and</strong> the<br />
significance of the issues it deals with – from security to<br />
international law – make it one of the most crucial organs of<br />
the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />
The topics that will be discussed at our session at <strong>World</strong>MUN<br />
2012 could serve as paragons of the caliber of the issues that<br />
the First Committee usually addresses. The problem of safety<br />
<strong>and</strong> security of nuclear materials is a relatively long-lasting<br />
concern that has recently gained some urgency due to a<br />
combination of several geopolitical factors in the modern<br />
world. The proliferation of nuclear weapons that are now in<br />
possession of at least four countries outside of the original<br />
five-power nuclear club, combined with concerns over the<br />
protection levels of non-military nuclear materials, seem<br />
to justify these concerns. This global problem merits the<br />
attention of the general membership of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>,<br />
<strong>and</strong> the First Committee is the most appropriate venue to<br />
address it. The other topic, the militarization of the Arctic,<br />
is a long-unsolved regional issue that has global implications<br />
because of the direct involvement of some of the world’s<br />
mightiest powers – the <strong>United</strong> States, Russia, Canada,<br />
Norway, <strong>and</strong> Denmark. In view of the international status<br />
of the area, as well as the conflicting interests of the nations<br />
involved, it is crucial that the questions of territorial claims<br />
<strong>and</strong> military presence in the region be addressed by the<br />
General Assembly of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />
As delegates to the <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />
Committee, you have an opportunity to discuss these issues<br />
of supreme importance <strong>and</strong> to work collectively on designing<br />
viable solutions through the process of negotiation <strong>and</strong><br />
compromise.<br />
H I s t o r y of tHe commIt t e e<br />
The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> was established at the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
Conference on <strong>International</strong> Organization in San<br />
Francisco, at which representatives of 50 independent states<br />
congregated to discuss the creation of ‘a general international<br />
organization to maintain peace <strong>and</strong> security.’ The Charter of<br />
the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> was written <strong>and</strong> ratified there, <strong>and</strong> the<br />
Organization was officially formed on 24 October 1945.<br />
The <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee,<br />
also known as the First Committee of the General Assembly of<br />
the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, is a consensus-building body that gathers<br />
representatives of all 192 member states to collectively discuss<br />
issues pertaining to world peace <strong>and</strong> to h<strong>and</strong>le all questions<br />
relating to security <strong>and</strong> international law. Initially established<br />
as the Political <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee (POLISEC), the First<br />
Committee was reorganized in the late 1970s in response<br />
to a growing number of additional political matters, <strong>and</strong><br />
the Special Political Committee was created. In view of the<br />
progress of decolonization movements <strong>and</strong> the declining<br />
number of issues to be addressed such as trust territories,<br />
the functions of the Special Political Committee were later<br />
merged during the 1990s into the Fourth Committee, which<br />
initially dealt with Trusteeship <strong>and</strong> Decolonization matters.<br />
The <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee,<br />
just as any other of the six committees of the General<br />
Assembly, allows every nation represented to suggest or<br />
consider proposals relevant to the substantive topics covered,<br />
<strong>and</strong> to recommend resolutions for adoption by the General<br />
Representatives from all Member States convene at a<br />
<strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee<br />
meeting to debate key security issues. http://graphics8.<br />
nytimes.com/images/2006/09/18/world/18un.l.jpg<br />
Assembly. While these resolutions are not legally binding, the<br />
fact that each of them represents an agreement of the majority<br />
of the member states implies that resolutions adopted by the<br />
General Assembly have a significant normative role. This<br />
means that they can indicate the establishment of common<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ards, customs <strong>and</strong> guidelines for the behavior of<br />
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states on the international scene. 1 Resolutions adopted by<br />
consensus have an additional role of featuring substantive<br />
areas of agreement concerning world peace <strong>and</strong> can lay<br />
foundations for the creation of international treaties <strong>and</strong> the<br />
emergence of international legal norms. 2<br />
Article 11 of the Charter of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> authorizes<br />
the General Assembly to discuss any questions relating to the<br />
maintenance of international peace <strong>and</strong> security <strong>and</strong> to make<br />
recommendations with regard to any such questions to the<br />
state or states concerned, to the <strong>Security</strong> Council, or to both. 3<br />
The First Committee provides a platform for member states<br />
to present their positions on disarmament-related matters,<br />
<strong>and</strong> provides an opportunity for nations to reach common<br />
underst<strong>and</strong>ings <strong>and</strong><br />
to agree on universal<br />
norms of behavior.<br />
Instead of ensuring<br />
security through the<br />
size of their arsenals,<br />
all states can discuss<br />
ways of arriving at<br />
collective security<br />
arrangements<br />
through the process<br />
of multilateral<br />
disarmament.<br />
The First Committee<br />
convenes every year<br />
in October for a<br />
4-5 week session,<br />
following a general<br />
debate of the<br />
General Assembly.<br />
At the beginning<br />
of each session, the<br />
Committee elects a Chairman, three Vice Chairmen <strong>and</strong> a<br />
Rapporteur to conduct the workings of the body.<br />
The most significant past successes of the <strong>Disarmament</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee include the passage<br />
of the following treaties <strong>and</strong> acts: the Treaty on the Non-<br />
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, the Biological Weapons<br />
Convention, the Chemical Weapons Convention <strong>and</strong> the<br />
Partial Test Ban Treaty, among others.<br />
t o p I c A r e A A: m I l I tA r I z At I o n o f t H e<br />
A r c t I c<br />
History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem<br />
Geographical Features of the Region<br />
The Arctic is a region around the North Pole of the Earth,<br />
which includes the Arctic Ocean <strong>and</strong> parts of Canada,<br />
Russia, the <strong>United</strong> States, Greenl<strong>and</strong>, as a territory of<br />
Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong>. There exist<br />
different concepts about the region’s borders. It can be defined<br />
as the area north of the Arctic Circle (66° 30’N), which is the<br />
approximate limit of the midnight sun <strong>and</strong> the polar night.<br />
The polar night<br />
refers to the<br />
periods when<br />
the sun does<br />
not set or it does<br />
not rise. 4 This<br />
borderline has<br />
no geographical<br />
meaning, since<br />
it does not<br />
correspond to<br />
any features<br />
of the terrain.<br />
Alternatively,<br />
the Arctic can<br />
be defined as the<br />
northernmost<br />
limit of the<br />
The Arctic Map. http://invisibleman.com/arctic-map.gif<br />
st<strong>and</strong> of trees,<br />
which is roughly<br />
followed by the<br />
isotherm at the<br />
boundary of the<br />
region where<br />
the average temperature for the warmest month does not<br />
exceed 10°C.<br />
Brief History of Arctic Exploration<br />
By the time the first European explorers, the Norsemen<br />
or Vikings, visited the Arctic area, many parts of the<br />
region had already been settled by the Eskimos <strong>and</strong> other<br />
people of Mongolic stock. 5 The quest to further explore the<br />
vast <strong>and</strong> mysterious l<strong>and</strong>s above the 50th parallel in North<br />
America <strong>and</strong> above the 70th parallel in Eurasia began in the<br />
16th century <strong>and</strong> led to numerous expeditions over the scope<br />
of the next four centuries. Probably the most illustrious goal<br />
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Peary’s boys claiming finders-keepers on the North Pole. http://freedy89.<br />
files.wordpress.com/2009/02/peary5.jpg<br />
in the early history of Arctic exploration was the discovery<br />
of the Northern Passage – the legendary connection between<br />
the Pacific <strong>and</strong> the Atlantic, around North America or<br />
Eurasia – which would constitute a possible attractive trade<br />
route.<br />
The initial driving force for finding an alternate trade route to<br />
the Orient was the capture of Constantinople by the Turks in<br />
1453, which allowed them to control the Strait of Bosphorus<br />
<strong>and</strong> to interrupt trade between Europe <strong>and</strong> the Orient. 6 The<br />
first known expeditions for a new trade route to the Orient<br />
began with Columbus in 1492, followed by John Cabot,<br />
who, in 1497, l<strong>and</strong>ed much farther north than Columbus,<br />
probably in Newfoundl<strong>and</strong>, Giovanni da Verrazzano, who<br />
looked for a northwest passage around the recently explored<br />
l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong>, in 1524, sailed as far north as Maine or Nova Scotia,<br />
<strong>and</strong> Jacques Cartier, who discovered the<br />
St. Lawrence River in 1535. 7 The journey<br />
further north <strong>and</strong> the passage through<br />
the Arctic Isl<strong>and</strong>s of Canada proved to be<br />
more dem<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> the early explorers<br />
had to contend with ice, Arctic weather,<br />
<strong>and</strong> scurvy, among other obstacles. The<br />
results of these early expeditions by<br />
European explorers <strong>and</strong> the subsequent<br />
ones – among them those by William<br />
Barentz, Martin Frobisher, William<br />
Baffin, Henry Hudson, <strong>and</strong> John Davis<br />
– were largely disappointing <strong>and</strong> caused<br />
the initial wave of interest to wane. 8 These<br />
expeditions played a great role, however, in<br />
adding to the Western Civilization’s initial<br />
knowledge of the Arctic.<br />
In the 19 th century, several new explorers<br />
took up the challenge of the Arctic –<br />
primarily British naval officers John<br />
Franklin, F. W. Beechey, John Ross, James<br />
Ross, W. E. Parry, P. W. Dease, Thomas<br />
Simpson, George Back, <strong>and</strong> John Rae. 9 In<br />
1845, one of the most famous expeditions<br />
ever to attempt the Northwest Passage, by<br />
Sir John Franklin, disappeared <strong>and</strong> gave<br />
rise to more than 40 searching parties<br />
that scoured the Arctic Isl<strong>and</strong>s for several<br />
decades vainly looking for Franklin <strong>and</strong><br />
his crew. 10 This drawback cooled Great<br />
Britain’s ambition to be the leader in the<br />
race for the Northern Passage <strong>and</strong> made<br />
most explorers shift their focus to the<br />
North Pole. These expeditions moved<br />
the ‘discovery line’ further north <strong>and</strong> explored <strong>and</strong> mapped<br />
Greenl<strong>and</strong>, together with some smaller Arctic isl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />
The Northwest Passage between the Bering Strait, which<br />
separates Russia <strong>and</strong> Alaska, <strong>and</strong> Baffin Bay on the Atlantic<br />
Ocean was eventually conquered by Roald Amundsen in<br />
1903-1906, 25 years after the Northeast Passage had been first<br />
navigated by Nils A. E. Nordenskjöld. 11 In 1909, the race to the<br />
North Pole was arguably won by Robert E. Peary; however, his<br />
achievement was undermined by Frederic A. Cook’s subsequent<br />
announcement that he had reached the Pole a year before.<br />
There is still a considerable controversy as to whether either<br />
man actually reached the Pole, given the primitive navigation<br />
techniques of that period. In subsequent years, several field<br />
expeditions were sent out by British, Soviet, Norwegian, Danish,<br />
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Canadian <strong>and</strong> American organizations, but their objectives<br />
focused mainly on gathering meteorological, hydrological<br />
<strong>and</strong> magnetic data <strong>and</strong> establishing environmental <strong>and</strong> radio<br />
stations.<br />
During <strong>World</strong> War II, interest in studying the Arctic conditions<br />
was further fuelled by the need to transport supplies, <strong>and</strong> this<br />
interest continued also after the war had ended. Scientific<br />
work in the Arctic region increased greatly after 1945, with the<br />
intensified use of new methods of exploration. After 1947, the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States started carrying out routine weather-reporting<br />
flights over the Arctic Ocean <strong>and</strong> used icebreakers to conduct<br />
oceanographic work in the Beaufort Sea. The first American <strong>and</strong><br />
Soviet weather stations were established in the 1950s, <strong>and</strong> by<br />
the end of the decade there were several stations on ice isl<strong>and</strong>s,<br />
which were occupied <strong>and</strong> maintained until they drifted into a<br />
region where they ceased to be of interest to the scientists. 12 In<br />
regards to the Northwest Passage, in 1954 the first crossing by a<br />
deep-draught vessel was made by HMCS Labrador, a Canadian<br />
naval icebreaker, <strong>and</strong> in 1969 the Manhattan, one of the world’s<br />
largest commercial ships of that time, smashed through more<br />
than 1,000 km of ice between Baffin Bay <strong>and</strong> Point Barrow to<br />
assess the commercial feasibility of the passage. 13 Up to this<br />
day, however, the Northwest Passage has never been used as a<br />
regular commercial route.<br />
Presently, the discovery phase of the exploration of the<br />
Arctic region is over. Today, there remain no unexplored<br />
areas, as scientific research yielded reasonably accurate maps<br />
<strong>and</strong> technological progress has made this once elusive area<br />
increasingly accessible. Nowadays, commercial airlines can<br />
fly across the North Pole, <strong>and</strong> the Arctic regions have become<br />
the focus of research concerning global warming <strong>and</strong> climate<br />
change.<br />
Early Territorial Claims<br />
As a result of scientific exploration of the Arctic, it became<br />
increasingly attractive for many nations to claim their<br />
rights to territorial sovereignty over some portions of the<br />
region. From the very beginning, exploration of the Arctic<br />
often combined scientific, geopolitical, <strong>and</strong> even commercial<br />
purposes with the pursuit of national prestige. Therefore,<br />
arctic exploration was undertaken not only by the states<br />
bordering on the Arctic Ocean: the <strong>United</strong> States, the Soviet<br />
Union/Russia, Canada, Denmark-Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Norway,<br />
but also by actors such as Germany, the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom<br />
<strong>and</strong> Pol<strong>and</strong>. 14 However, territorial claims were mainly made<br />
by the former group of states – mainly the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />
the Soviet Union/Russia <strong>and</strong> Canada. As late as in the first<br />
decades of the 20th century, there was no international<br />
statute in place that would clearly regulate boundaries for<br />
all states in the Arctic region, but there seemed to be no<br />
urgent necessity to create one at that time. All countries of<br />
the Arctic rim traditionally accepted the sector principle,<br />
a version of the doctrine of contiguity, <strong>and</strong> facilely based<br />
their territorial claims on this agreement. According to the<br />
sector principle, the northern coastlines of the countries<br />
adjacent to the Arctic Circle were to indicate the northern<br />
boundaries of their respective sectors in the Arctic Ocean,<br />
while longitudinal parallels extending from their eastern<br />
<strong>and</strong> western borders bounded these sectors from the other<br />
two sides 15 .<br />
In the past, international law stated that national claims of<br />
sovereignty over particular areas in the Arctic Ocean were to<br />
be recognized only if accompanied by physical occupation.<br />
Initially, there were two competing theories regarding<br />
national sovereignty in the Arctic: (1) that no nation could<br />
achieve sovereignty over the Arctic, termed ‘res nullius’ <strong>and</strong><br />
(2) that every nation shared an undivided sovereignty over<br />
this region, called ‘res communes.’ According to current<br />
international law, sovereignty is considered to be a derivative<br />
of government control <strong>and</strong> of notoriety over new territory.<br />
Consequently, many claims of sovereignty over some portions<br />
of the Arctic region that were supported by existing exercise<br />
of the government functions became more plausible. On the<br />
other h<strong>and</strong>, claims resting solely on territorial justifications<br />
such as the sector principle were denied legal force by many<br />
nations, including the <strong>United</strong> States, which purchased Alaska<br />
from Russia in 1867, thus reaffirming its presence in the<br />
region.<br />
Extended sea sovereignty conflicts <strong>and</strong> disputes in the Arctic<br />
between the <strong>United</strong> States, Canada, the Soviet Union/Russia,<br />
Denmark-Greenl<strong>and</strong>, Norway, <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong> started in the<br />
1920s. The beginning of the wave of claims was marked by<br />
Norway’s acquisition of the Svalbard Archipelago, which was<br />
recognized by the Spitsbergen Treaty <strong>and</strong> which gave this<br />
country a large Arctic area. The littoral states of Canada <strong>and</strong><br />
the Soviet Union argued that their coastal reach should be<br />
extended northwards, repeating the argument that was made<br />
by claimants to the newly explored Antarctica. Canada’s claim<br />
involved extending their national boundaries up to the Pole,<br />
which would then cover the area between longitudes 60°W<br />
<strong>and</strong> 141°W <strong>and</strong> include the isl<strong>and</strong>s between the northern coast<br />
of Canada <strong>and</strong> the Pole. Russia followed suit, <strong>and</strong> established<br />
a claim to the area between the northern coasts of both its<br />
European <strong>and</strong> Asiatic parts <strong>and</strong> the North Pole. The Russian<br />
sector was to be bounded by two lines: from Murmansk to the<br />
North Pole (35°E) <strong>and</strong> from Chukchi Peninsula to the North<br />
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Svalbard serves as Norway’s Arctic refuge. http://www.etravelphotos.com/photos/2005sv/2005sv-0731-012d-w.jpg<br />
Pole (170°W). In the same manner, Norway decided to claim<br />
its sovereign rights to the sector between longitudes 5°E <strong>and</strong><br />
35°E, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States did the same, claiming the sector<br />
between 141°W <strong>and</strong> 170°W. Following this logic, Denmark<br />
could also claim its sovereignty over the sector between 60°W<br />
<strong>and</strong> 10°W, but it contented itself with Greenl<strong>and</strong>, which was<br />
internationally recognized as Danish territory in 1933.<br />
A new addition to the dispute over Arctic territory after<br />
<strong>World</strong> War II was the strategic military component, which<br />
emerged due to the new security situation when East-West<br />
tensions cemented. During the Cold War, all states bordering<br />
on the Arctic Ocean - the <strong>United</strong> States, the Soviet Union,<br />
Canada, Norway, Icel<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Denmark-Greenl<strong>and</strong> - divided<br />
themselves into the East-West confrontation framework. 16<br />
The Arctic’s strategic significance in this new era dramatically<br />
increased, as the region marked the shortest distance between<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union. Additional factors were<br />
also crucial in reviving the dispute over national sovereignty<br />
in the Arctic. From the Soviet Union’s perspective, the littoral<br />
coast of the Arctic Ocean played a key role in their naval<br />
build-up, in view of the fact that the Soviet Union had no<br />
warm-water ports with direct access to the world’s oceans. 17<br />
On the other h<strong>and</strong>, the <strong>United</strong> States had no direct way to<br />
respond to this naval threat – they had no access to the Arctic<br />
waters save for Alaska <strong>and</strong> had to rely on agreements with<br />
other states like Canada, Denmark, <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong> to build up<br />
their defenses.<br />
As the <strong>United</strong> States security policy became increasingly<br />
dependent upon the relatively free access to the Canadian<br />
Arctic, disputes arose over whether Canadian cooperation<br />
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which regulated the practical<br />
issues without addressing<br />
the sovereignty dispute.<br />
According to the agreement,<br />
no vessels that were engaged<br />
in research, including US<br />
Coast Guard vessels, could<br />
enter the Canadian Arctic<br />
waters without permission of<br />
the Canadian government. 22<br />
was strictly or legally necessary. 18 The <strong>United</strong> States rejected<br />
the Canadian jurisdiction over the Northwest Passage –<br />
while it still recognized Canada’s rights to sovereignty over<br />
the isl<strong>and</strong>s of the Arctic Archipelago, it considered the Arctic<br />
Ocean as international waters. The <strong>United</strong> States claimed that<br />
the Northwest Passage in its entirety should be regarded as an<br />
international strait where foreign vessels have the unrestricted<br />
right of transit passage. Canada, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, claimed<br />
the Northwest Passage <strong>and</strong> the waters of the Canadian Arctic<br />
Archipelago as internal waters based on a liberal application<br />
of the doctrine of straight baselines. 19<br />
This long-running dispute featured intermittent testing<br />
behavior. In 1969, the world’s largest commercial vessel –<br />
the American tanker Manhattan – traveled through the<br />
Northwest Passage to test whether Alaskan oil could be<br />
delivered to the east coast of the <strong>United</strong> States by this route. 20<br />
The trip itself was not a problem for the Canadians, but the<br />
fact that the voyage took place without asking for permission<br />
of the Canadian government spurred indignation in this<br />
northern country. A similar journey was made by the <strong>United</strong><br />
States icebreaker Polar Sea in 1985, again without previous<br />
consultation with the authorities in Ottawa. 21 The Convention of the Law<br />
of the Sea<br />
The issue of competing<br />
claims for sovereignty<br />
over territorial waters was<br />
raised in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
in 1967 by Malta, <strong>and</strong> this<br />
led to convening the Third<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Conference<br />
on the Law of the Sea in<br />
1973. In order to reduce<br />
the influence of organized<br />
groups of states influencing<br />
the negotiations, the st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />
majority vote was replaced<br />
with a consensus process. This prolonged the negotiations,<br />
<strong>and</strong> the final agreement was reached only in 1982. The final<br />
treaty, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea<br />
(UNCLOS), was ratified in 1994 <strong>and</strong> became the single most<br />
significant international agreement regulating the rights <strong>and</strong><br />
responsibilities of nations in their use of the world’s high seas.<br />
Probably the single most important provision of the UNCLOS<br />
permitted coastal states to establish exclusive economic zones<br />
extending up to 200 nautical miles within which they could<br />
exercise sovereign rights over both the waters <strong>and</strong> the seabed.<br />
Furthermore, the treaty assured that this sovereign territory<br />
could be extended depending on how far the continental l<strong>and</strong><br />
mass belonging to a nation extended out under the ocean.<br />
As a result of<br />
these incidents, in 1988, the governments of Canada <strong>and</strong> of<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States signed an agreement, ‘Arctic Cooperation’,<br />
23 S.S. Manhattan’s epic journey through the Northwest Passage rendered Canada<br />
indignant. http://drake.marin.k12.ca.us/academics/rock/NWP_then_files/405_<br />
Manhattan.jpg<br />
To<br />
date, the Convention on the Law of the Sea has been ratified by<br />
158 countries, the <strong>United</strong> States being a noteworthy exception.<br />
Active Militarization<br />
Prior to <strong>World</strong> War II, the Arctic region was a complete<br />
military vacuum. During the War, its strategic role<br />
included mainly being a transit area for the Arctic convoys<br />
delivering vital supplies to the Arkhangelsk Soviet Union<br />
from the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States under the<br />
Lend-Lease Act. The region was also the area of a few smaller<br />
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engagements, like the Battle of the Barents Sea <strong>and</strong> the<br />
Battle of the North Cape. It was the post-war period, with its<br />
technological advances in the military sphere, however, that<br />
marked a boost in strategic importance of the Arctic. Defined<br />
solely in terms of its significance in scientific research, the<br />
Arctic started being<br />
regarded as the<br />
Circumpolar<br />
North – a potential<br />
core of national<br />
security interests of<br />
several countries. 24<br />
The Arctic region<br />
became an area<br />
for ballistic missile<br />
threats, early<br />
warning systems,<br />
<strong>and</strong> even potential<br />
naval conflicts. 25<br />
This development<br />
can be explained<br />
on the basis of the<br />
interplay of the<br />
following three<br />
factors: (1) the<br />
East-West conflict,<br />
which created<br />
the political<br />
framework for<br />
bloc formation; (2)<br />
the developments<br />
in military<br />
technology,<br />
including nuclear<br />
weapons <strong>and</strong> longrange<br />
means of<br />
delivery; <strong>and</strong> (3)<br />
the geo-strategic<br />
factors particular to<br />
the Arctic region. 26<br />
While the first<br />
two factors created a need for deployment areas in general,<br />
the universal features of the Arctic explain the particular<br />
significance of this region. These geo-strategic properties of the<br />
Circumpolar North are commonly known. First, the shortest<br />
distance between Europe, Asia <strong>and</strong> North America, <strong>and</strong> thus<br />
between the two superpowers of the Cold War period, the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union, is over the Arctic Ocean.<br />
The superpowers can be also said to have an almost common<br />
border in this area, where the Soviet Union is separated from<br />
Alaska by only 91 km of the Bering Strait. 27 Furthermore,<br />
eighty percent of the world’s industrial production takes place<br />
north of 30°N, while seventy percent of the world’s major<br />
cities are located north of 23.5°N. 28 These factors explain why<br />
the Arctic started being regarded as a natural route for any<br />
nuclear attack using<br />
or intercontinental<br />
missiles or strategic<br />
bombers <strong>and</strong> the rise<br />
of the Cold War.<br />
In addition to this,<br />
the Soviet Union<br />
gradually developed<br />
its Northern Fleet,<br />
based at the Kola<br />
Peninsula, to become<br />
its most powerful<br />
fleet. The reasons<br />
for this were purely<br />
pragmatic – the<br />
Soviet Union aspired<br />
to be a naval power,<br />
but being a partly<br />
l<strong>and</strong>locked country,<br />
it faced obvious<br />
geographical<br />
restrictions in its<br />
access to the world’s<br />
high seas. All of its<br />
fleets – the Black<br />
Sea, the Baltic, the<br />
Northern, <strong>and</strong> –<br />
partly – the Pacific<br />
Fleet were dependent<br />
on passing through<br />
straits that were<br />
controlled by powers<br />
with a history of<br />
imperfect relations<br />
with the Soviet<br />
Union. 29 The Soviets thus faced a constant risk of seeing these<br />
straits closed for passage at the most crucial moments. The<br />
Northern Fleet was an exception in this regard, having a direct<br />
access to the world’s oceans <strong>and</strong> thus played a crucial role in<br />
assuring the Soviet Union’s naval strength. The introduction<br />
of the Delta-class submarines in 1972 further increased the<br />
potential of the Northern Fleet, which did not have to rely on<br />
the barrier-protected GIUK gap, which is between Greenl<strong>and</strong>,<br />
Russia has crucial naval facilities in the Barents Sea. http://www.astrosol.<br />
ch/images/northernfleetmap.jpg<br />
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Icel<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom, anymore – since Delta<br />
submarines were capable of striking any target in Europe or<br />
North America from the Arctic waters. 30 This withdrawal of the<br />
Northern Fleet’s strategic forces to the Arctic Ocean has led the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States to follow suit <strong>and</strong> transformed this region into a<br />
military front. 31 Also the airspace over the Arctic Ocean began<br />
to be utilized for strategic deterrence in the 1950s <strong>and</strong> 1960s.<br />
Due to the long-range missile threat, the <strong>United</strong> States set up<br />
several chains of early warning systems against attacks from<br />
the Circumpolar North. The Distant Early Warning (DEW)<br />
stations were established between Alaska <strong>and</strong> Greenl<strong>and</strong>, in<br />
cooperation with Canada <strong>and</strong> Denmark. In addition to these,<br />
three additional chains of radars were built in North America:<br />
the Mid Canada line, the Pinetree line, <strong>and</strong> the Ballistic<br />
Missile Early Warning System (BMEWS). 32 Other countries<br />
also assured their safety in case of war. Sweden, even though<br />
it decided to remain neutral, also maintained substantial<br />
forces in its northern areas to ensure that no country would be<br />
tempted to utilize its territory to conduct an assault. Norway<br />
also made appropriate provisions to ensure it could respond<br />
to a Soviet attack.<br />
The climax of the process of militarization <strong>and</strong> of the role of<br />
the Arctic as a theatre for the operations of strategic weapons<br />
systems came in the 1980s. As l<strong>and</strong>-based intercontinental<br />
ballistic missiles (ICBMs) became increasingly vulnerable to<br />
counterforce strikes, submarine-launched ballistic missiles<br />
(SLBMs) began to play a pivotal role in military strategy of<br />
both the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union. At the same<br />
time, development of ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs)<br />
allowed military strategists to achieve huge advantages by<br />
deploying them in the Arctic. First, SSBNs in patrol stations<br />
in the Arctic Ocean could strike virtually all enemy targets<br />
without venturing far from their respective homel<strong>and</strong>s –<br />
for example, Soviet-built missiles mounted on Delta-class<br />
submarines stationed in Arctic waters could attack targets<br />
in North America <strong>and</strong> Europe. Similarly, American Trident<br />
submarines carrying C-4 missiles were able to deliver nuclear<br />
warheads to targets throughout the Soviet Union – all from<br />
the Arctic waters. Simultaneously, the operation of SSBNs in<br />
the Arctic Ocean was remarkably safe due to the difficulties<br />
of locating submarines in Arctic conditions. The effectiveness<br />
of acoustical monitoring devices like sonar systems was<br />
significantly compromised by the ambient noise of the pack<br />
of ice. 33<br />
These military advantages were eagerly exploited by both<br />
the Soviets <strong>and</strong> the Americans during the 1980s: over half<br />
of the Soviet SSBNs were stationed with the Northern Fleet<br />
in the Kola Peninsula, with an easy access to Arctic waters.<br />
Although the <strong>United</strong> States did not have a comparable base,<br />
their SSBNs that were stationed in Bangor, Washington were<br />
fully operational in Arctic waters even for extended periods<br />
of time. The <strong>United</strong> States accelerated the construction of its<br />
fleet of Ohio-class submarines, equipped with Trident II or<br />
D-5 missiles. In fact, the safety <strong>and</strong> ease of operation offered<br />
by Arctic waters convinced the American military strategists<br />
to deploy vessels extensively in this region, even though the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States did not share the Soviet Union’s problems such<br />
as penetrating the GIUK gap. 34<br />
The situation was largely similar with air-launched cruise<br />
missiles (ALCMs), which were developed so that they could<br />
deliver nuclear warheads with great precision. Their advantage<br />
over ballistic missiles results from their maneuverability –<br />
unlike SSBMs, ALCMs are subject to control at all points<br />
along their flight paths – <strong>and</strong> their ability to confuse ordinary<br />
radar scanners. By flying at low speeds <strong>and</strong> altitudes, they were<br />
often capable of avoiding conventional air defense systems.<br />
In the 1980s, long-range cruise missiles could travel up to<br />
3,000 km to their target areas <strong>and</strong>, when mounted on heavy<br />
bombers, were fully operational in the Arctic airspace. The<br />
<strong>United</strong> States had over a thous<strong>and</strong> long-range cruise missiles<br />
in their inventory <strong>and</strong> several squadrons of B-52G bombers<br />
to carry them. The Soviet Union lagged somewhat behind<br />
in this technology, but the Soviets were also in possession<br />
of long-range ALCMs that they mounted on their Backfire<br />
<strong>and</strong> Bear H bombers. The deployment of long-range ALCMs<br />
<strong>and</strong> the latest generations of manned bombers significantly<br />
increased the importance of the Arctic airspace as a potential<br />
battlefield. These missiles were capable of reaching most<br />
targets in North America, Europe <strong>and</strong> the Soviet Union when<br />
launched from the airspace over the Arctic region, which<br />
potentially made st<strong>and</strong>off nuclear strikes relatively safe <strong>and</strong><br />
effective. 35<br />
As a result of these developments of offensive military<br />
systems in the Arctic, there emerged a much stronger need<br />
for sea <strong>and</strong> air defense systems in the region. In regards<br />
to sea defense, conventional methods of monitoring the<br />
movements of submarines from aircraft, satellites or other<br />
acoustical devices were rather useless in tracking the activities<br />
of SSBNs operating under the ice of the Arctic Ocean. The<br />
only measure of defense was deploying attack submarines<br />
in the Arctic, which increased the military presence in the<br />
region even further. A similar surge of interest in air defense<br />
systems, caused by the deployment of ALCMs, precipitated a<br />
modernization of the DEW line from the 1950s in the <strong>United</strong><br />
States. This resulted in creation of the North Warning System<br />
in cooperation with Canada, which was based on a military<br />
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agreement from 1985. The North Warning System contained<br />
13 medium-range microwave radars <strong>and</strong> 39 short-range<br />
radars. In a separate agreement, the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong><br />
agreed to construct two additional radar stations in Icel<strong>and</strong> to<br />
monitor Soviet activities in the Arctic. 36<br />
After the end of the Cold War, most Arctic nations reduced<br />
the accumulation of forces in their northern areas. The<br />
explanation for this change can be attributed to a combination<br />
of economic challenges faced by the newly transformed<br />
Russian Federation, <strong>and</strong> the growing need for US military<br />
resources to be deployed elsewhere. This led to the decreasing<br />
necessity for major Arctic powers to maintain their large<br />
military presence in the Arctic region.<br />
Current Situation<br />
The Arctic is presently re-emerging as a strategic area where<br />
vital interests of many countries coincide. The region’s<br />
geopolitical <strong>and</strong> geo-economic significance, combined with<br />
its wealth in natural resources, is transforming the Arctic<br />
into a hotly contested frontier of the 21st century.<br />
Natural Resources<br />
The <strong>United</strong> States<br />
Geological<br />
Survey estimates<br />
that the Arctic may<br />
contain a fifth of the<br />
world’s yet-to-bediscovered<br />
oil <strong>and</strong><br />
natural gas reserves.<br />
The assessment,<br />
which took four<br />
years, found that<br />
the region may<br />
hold as much as<br />
90 billion barrels<br />
of undiscovered<br />
oil reserves, which<br />
constitutes 13% of<br />
the estimated total<br />
world reserves,<br />
<strong>and</strong> 47.3 trillion<br />
cubic meters of<br />
undiscovered natural<br />
gas reserves, which<br />
is 30% of the world’s<br />
reserves. 37 At today’s<br />
consumption rate of<br />
86 million barrels per<br />
day, the potential oil to be drilled in the Arctic could meet<br />
global dem<strong>and</strong> for almost three years. 38 The Arctic’s potential<br />
natural gas resources are three times bigger <strong>and</strong> equal to<br />
Russia’s proven gas reserves, which are the world’s largest. The<br />
survey looked at resources believed to be recoverable using<br />
existing technology, but with the important assumptions for<br />
offshore areas that the resources would be recoverable even in<br />
the presence of permanent sea ice <strong>and</strong> oceanic water depth. 39<br />
Two regions of the Arctic st<strong>and</strong> out according to this survey.<br />
A third of the yet-to-be-discovered Arctic oil, or about 30<br />
billion barrels, is off the coast of Alaska. 40 Historically,<br />
the North Slope, which is the region of Alaska from the<br />
Canadian border on the east to the Chukchi Sea Outer<br />
Continental Shelf on the west has contributed significantly to<br />
US oil production. The <strong>United</strong> States Department of Energy<br />
reported that the North Slope potentially holds 36 billion<br />
barrels of oil <strong>and</strong> 3.8 trillion cubic meters of natural gas, close<br />
to Nigeria’s proven reserves. 41 These reserves are also quite<br />
unique <strong>and</strong> attractive because their development is much less<br />
limited by government legislation. Therefore, they are much<br />
more accessible to drilling than other similar oilfields. Last<br />
year, oil companies spent US$2.6 billion to acquire leases on<br />
Oil exploration <strong>and</strong> drilling damage the Arctic blossoms. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/<br />
news/bigphotos/images/070824-arctic-oil_big.jpg<br />
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government-controlled offshore tracts. 42 Currently, however,<br />
many oil fields in the North Slope are in decline <strong>and</strong> many<br />
people in America look toward the offshore areas to revive<br />
the Alaskan oil industry <strong>and</strong> enhance US energy security.<br />
For example, the 10-billion-barrel oil reserves in the Arctic<br />
National Wildlife Refuge could lead to an additional 1 million<br />
barrels per day in American production capacity, which<br />
would save the <strong>United</strong> States US$123 billion in petroleum<br />
imports <strong>and</strong> create US$7.7 billion in new economic activity 43 .<br />
The other area of the Arctic that is particularly rich in<br />
natural resources is the ‘Russian area of water proper,’<br />
composed of the Barents Sea, the Pechora Sea, the Kara Sea,<br />
the East Siberian Sea, the Chukchi Sea, <strong>and</strong> the Laptev Sea.<br />
According to a report by the Russian Ministry for Natural<br />
Resources, oil deposits there could reach 418 million tons,<br />
which is equivalent to 3 billion barrels, <strong>and</strong> proven natural<br />
gas reserves could amount to 7.7 trillion cubic meters.<br />
Unexplored reserves are far larger – this region could hold<br />
as much as 67.7 billion barrels of oil <strong>and</strong> 88.3 trillion cubic<br />
meters of gas. 44<br />
Beside oil <strong>and</strong> gas, the Arctic seabed could also hold other<br />
natural wealth, such as significant deposits of precious<br />
stones – gold, silver, copper, iron, platinum, lead, tin, nickel,<br />
manganese, zinc <strong>and</strong> even diamonds. In the current state<br />
of global economy, dem<strong>and</strong> for these commodities steadily<br />
increases. Furthermore, it has been proven that there are large<br />
deposits of methane hydrates located on the deep seabed<br />
of the Arctic Ocean. While no technology currently exists<br />
that would make extracting them possible, the emergence<br />
of this capability seems to be an imminent prospect. Several<br />
countries are interested in developing methane hydrate<br />
processing as a commercially viable energy source, including<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States, Japan, <strong>and</strong> South Korea. 45<br />
Climate Change<br />
Nowhere else on the planet have such dramatic<br />
consequences of climate change been observed as in<br />
the Arctic. Biologists <strong>and</strong> climate researchers observe with<br />
mounting fear how the sea ice<br />
in the Arctic Ocean is rapidly<br />
decreasing <strong>and</strong> the permafrost<br />
on the ground is melting.<br />
According to data gathered<br />
by satellites, it is apparent that<br />
there is less sea ice between<br />
Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Siberia than<br />
ever before. 46 In August 2006,<br />
the Russian ship Akademik<br />
Fyodorov successfully managed<br />
to cross the North Pole<br />
without needing assistance of<br />
icebreakers; there are hardly any<br />
ice floes left in the Northwest<br />
Passage. 47 Some researchers<br />
hypothesize that by the end of<br />
the century the Arctic Ocean<br />
could become completely free<br />
of all ice in the summer <strong>and</strong><br />
up to 90% of the hard-rock<br />
surface could melt, shifting the<br />
permafrost border hundreds of<br />
kilometers to the north. 48 The<br />
warming effect also threatens<br />
to bring massive changes to<br />
the region’s environmental<br />
condition, whose balance<br />
Arctic ice is melting faster than ever before. http://www.spiegel.de/international/ has already been shaken by<br />
spiegel/0,1518,409001,00.html<br />
pollution <strong>and</strong> higher levels of<br />
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ultraviolet rays.<br />
However, as scientists <strong>and</strong> conservationists worry about the<br />
potentially dire consequences of global warming, politicians<br />
<strong>and</strong> businessmen have already started battling over how to<br />
reap the economic benefits of the global meltdown. A broad<br />
range of potential opportunities is opening up as the ice is<br />
melting. Cargo may be able to travel from North America<br />
to Asia more quickly <strong>and</strong> cheaply, as the Northern Route<br />
just north of the coast of Siberia opens up. Similarly, the<br />
fabled Northern Passage becomes much more accessible <strong>and</strong><br />
becomes a feasible commercial route from the west to the east<br />
coast of the <strong>United</strong> States. Local governments <strong>and</strong> firms are<br />
A robotic arm of a Russian mini submarine planting a<br />
titanium capsutre with a Russian flag under the icecaps<br />
of the Arctice Ocean at the North Pole.<br />
http://wwwimage.cbsnews.com/images/2007/09/21/<br />
image3284091g.jpg<br />
also hoping for newly accessible fishing grounds, especially<br />
around the Bering Strait. 49 More than anything else, however,<br />
it is the wealth of newly available natural resources that sparks<br />
the imagination of many. If the environmental processes that<br />
are currently underway continue, excavating the Arctic’s vast<br />
oil <strong>and</strong> natural gas reserves will soon become financially<br />
viable. 50 Several Arctic nations have recently started lining<br />
up to claim their rights to explore the Arctic’s riches.<br />
Recent Territorial Claims<br />
Until the end of the 20th century, there was a general<br />
consensus among most countries that the North Pole<br />
<strong>and</strong> most of the Arctic Ocean should be regarded as an<br />
international territory. At the same time, several states have<br />
reinforced their pre-existing claims to national sovereignty<br />
over certain areas in the region in view of the recent<br />
phenomenon of global warming <strong>and</strong> the resulting Arctic<br />
shrinkage. These emerging opportunities have led others<br />
to even establish completely new claims. According to the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea, countries<br />
are entitled to exclusive economic zones up to 200 miles<br />
from their shores, but some nations have recently filed claims<br />
to extend their respective areas.<br />
In 2001, Russia submitted to the UNCLOS a formal claim<br />
for an area of 1.2 million square kilometers that extends<br />
from the undersea Lomonosov Ridge <strong>and</strong> Mendeleev Ridge<br />
to the North Pole. 51 The claim stated that the Lomonosov<br />
<strong>and</strong> Mendeleev submerged ridges were in fact extensions of<br />
Russia’s continental shelf. The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> commission<br />
rejected the claim <strong>and</strong> asked for more evidence in support of<br />
the Russian sovereign rights to this area. In response, Moscow<br />
sent a scientific expedition in 2007 of a nuclear-powered<br />
icebreaker <strong>and</strong> two submarines to the region in question.<br />
The mission collected samples from the Lomonosov Ridge to<br />
prove that the ridge is part of the Eurasian l<strong>and</strong>mass. During<br />
a spectacular media event, the submarines also dropped a<br />
titanium capsule containing a Russian flag onto the seafloor<br />
at the North Pole at a depth of 4,261 meters. This symbolic<br />
act by the Russians suddenly transformed the question of<br />
sovereign rights in the Arctic region from a purely scientific<br />
<strong>and</strong> legal case into an urgent political issue. 52 On the basis<br />
of the samples found, Russia’s Ministry of Natural Resources<br />
said that a preliminary analysis ‘confirms the fact that the<br />
structure of the Lomonosov Ridge crust matches world<br />
analogs of continental crust’. The Russian government used<br />
this fact to announce that the North Pole is part of Mother<br />
Russia <strong>and</strong> that under international law, Russia can lay claim<br />
to the potentially oil-rich seabed under the Arctic ice. 53 Many<br />
experts challenge this view, however, saying that the samples<br />
only prove that the Lomonosov Ridge’s rocks are continental<br />
in nature, but this doesn’t necessarily mean that the ridge is<br />
part of Russia – it could as well be Canadian or Danish. 54<br />
Meanwhile, scientists from other Arctic nations are looking<br />
for evidence to support very different versions of the<br />
truth about the Lomonosov Ridge. Danish geologists are<br />
attempting to prove that the ridge is connected to Greenl<strong>and</strong>,<br />
<strong>and</strong> Canadian scientists are searching for connections<br />
between this geological formation <strong>and</strong> the Ellesmere Isl<strong>and</strong>,<br />
a Canadian territory. 55 The dispute over which country’s<br />
continental shelf extends to the Lomonosov Ridge is crucial<br />
in determining which country has sovereign rights over<br />
the seabed around the North Pole. Some of the other hotly<br />
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contested areas of the Arctic are the boundary between Alaska<br />
<strong>and</strong> Canada, <strong>and</strong> the East Barents Basins, where Russia <strong>and</strong><br />
Norway are involved in bilateral discussions concerning the<br />
offshore boundary. 56<br />
In 2006, Norway followed Russia <strong>and</strong> also made an official<br />
submission into the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Commission on the<br />
Limits of the Continental Shelf in accordance with the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea (Article<br />
76, Paragraph 8). The claim to extend the Norwegian 200<br />
nautical miles (370 km) zone in three areas of the Arctic – the<br />
Western Nansen Basin in the Arctic Ocean, the Loop Hole in<br />
the Barents Sea <strong>and</strong> the Banana Hole in the Norwegian Sea<br />
– was backed by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> commission, <strong>and</strong> thus<br />
the extension was effective <strong>and</strong> the total gain for Norway<br />
amounted to 235,000 square kilometers. 57 In 2007, a US Coast<br />
Guard icebreaker USCGC Healy headed to the Arctic to map<br />
the bottom of the Arctic Ocean the Outer Continental Shelf.<br />
One of the purposes of mapping was to determine whether<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States had any legitimate claims to territory<br />
beyond its 200-nautical-mile exclusive economic zone. 58<br />
Recent Militarization<br />
In August 2007, shortly after sending the scientific<br />
expedition to the Lomonosov Ridge that placed the<br />
Russian flag on the seabed, Moscow ordered resumption of<br />
regular air patrols over the Arctic Ocean. Strategic bombers<br />
including the turboprop Tu-95 (Bear), supersonic Tu-160<br />
(Blackjack), <strong>and</strong> Tu-22M3, as well as the long-range antisubmarine<br />
warfare patrol aircraft Tu-142 have flown patrols<br />
since then. 59 According to the Russian Air Force, the Tu-<br />
95 bombers refueled in-flight to extend their operational<br />
patrol area. 60 American newspapers reported that Russian<br />
bombers penetrated the 12-mile air defense identification<br />
zone surrounding Alaska several times since 2007. 61 Also<br />
the Russian navy is intensifying its patrols in the Arctic –<br />
this is the first such phenomenon since the end of the Cold<br />
War. High ranking Russian army officers say that Russia’s<br />
military strategy might be reoriented to meet threats to<br />
the country’s interests in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> that the Northern<br />
Fleet’s operational radius is being extended. 62 In July 2008,<br />
the Russian Navy officially announced that it has resumed its<br />
warship presence in the Arctic.<br />
The intensified Russian military activity in the Arctic is<br />
interpreted as an attempt to increase its leverage vis-à-vis<br />
territorial claims in the region. Moscow’s strategy seems to be<br />
to display its military might while invoking international law.<br />
For example, the Russian Navy deployed an anti-submarine<br />
warfare destroyer <strong>and</strong> guided-missile cruiser designed<br />
Maritime zones as defined by international law. http://<br />
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Zonmar-en.svg<br />
to destroy aircraft carriers in the area of the Spitsbergen<br />
Archipelago. The Spitsbergen unambiguously belongs to<br />
Norway, but Russia refuses to recognize Norway’s rights to a<br />
200-nautical-mile economic zone around the Archipelago. 63<br />
The sorties of the Northern Fleet in the area are being justified<br />
by the Russian Navy as ‘fulfilled strictly in accordance with<br />
the international maritime law, including the UNCLOS 64 . In<br />
a recent report released in May 2009, the Russian <strong>Security</strong><br />
Council, which includes the Prime Minister, Vladimir Putin,<br />
<strong>and</strong> heads of the military <strong>and</strong> intelligence agencies, raised a<br />
possibility of war in the Arctic within a decade over control<br />
of the regions huge wealth of natural resources. 65<br />
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In response, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)<br />
partners re-supply the Thule Air Base in Greenl<strong>and</strong>, which<br />
operates under agreements with Denmark. Another example<br />
of this increased military attention given to the Arctic region<br />
is the strategic cooperation between the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong><br />
Canada in strengthening the North American Aerospace<br />
Defense Comm<strong>and</strong> (NORAD). There are also plans in the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States to establish a Joint Task Force–Arctic Region<br />
Comm<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> an Arctic Coast Guard Forum modeled after<br />
the highly successful North Pacific Coast Guard Forum. 66<br />
Canada joined the trend by announcing in 2007 <strong>and</strong> that<br />
it would build six to eight navy patrol ships to guard the<br />
Northwest Passage, as well as two military bases <strong>and</strong> a deepwater<br />
port inside the Arctic Circle. 67 \<br />
Past UN Actions<br />
The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of the Sea<br />
The questions of jurisdiction over the Arctic <strong>and</strong> the<br />
militarization of the region have not yet been the topics<br />
of any major international treaty. The single most important<br />
agreement regulating sovereign rights in the Arctic, as well<br />
as in the other sea areas of the world, is the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). The agreement,<br />
which is often described as the ‘constitution for the oceans’,<br />
was concluded in 1982 after nine years of work by the <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong> Conference on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS III) <strong>and</strong><br />
came into force in 1994 after the 60th country ratified the<br />
treaty. To date, 158 countries have ratified the Convention,<br />
but the <strong>United</strong> States has not yet done so, although it helped<br />
shape the Convention <strong>and</strong> signed the 1994 Agreement on<br />
Implementation.<br />
The Convention is crucial in regulating navigation in<br />
the Arctic waters, particularly in the Northwest Passage.<br />
According to the Convention, each country can extend its<br />
sovereign territorial waters to a maximum of 12 nautical<br />
miles (22 km) beyond its coast, but foreign vessels are<br />
granted the right of innocent passage through this zone, as<br />
long as they do not engage in hostile activities against the<br />
coastal state. The Convention also endorses a new concept of<br />
‘transit passage,’ which is in fact a compromise that combines<br />
the legally accepted provisions of innocent passage through<br />
territorial waters <strong>and</strong> freedom of navigation on the high seas.<br />
The concept of transit passage retains the international status<br />
of the straits <strong>and</strong> gives all countries the right to unimpeded<br />
navigation <strong>and</strong> flight over these waters that the world’s naval<br />
powers insisted on. The only conditions that have to be<br />
satisfied by vessels or aircraft in transit passage are observing<br />
international regulations on navigational safety <strong>and</strong> civilian<br />
air-traffic control, as well as proceeding without delay except<br />
in distress situations <strong>and</strong> refraining from any threat or use of<br />
force against the coastal State. 68<br />
However, the Convention is not perfect <strong>and</strong> tends to be<br />
slightly outdated, as critics point out its lack of clarity in some<br />
aspects. For example, the Convention does not expressly<br />
provide the right to submerged transit through international<br />
straits by submarines, which might mean that all submarines<br />
in transit passage have to surface to reveal their presence.<br />
Some international lawyers argue, however, that this right<br />
can be deduced from the provisions of the Convention,<br />
particularly from Article 39, which specifies common duties<br />
of vessels in transit passage. The article says that vessels<br />
exercising their right of transit passage shall ‘refrain from any<br />
activities other than those incidental to their normal modes<br />
of continuous <strong>and</strong> expeditious transit.’ 69 Most experts agree<br />
that, since submarines are by definition underwater vehicles,<br />
submerged passage is by definition the ‘normal mode’ of<br />
such craft. 70 Most experts affirm that the proceedings of the<br />
Convention <strong>and</strong> circumstances of the conclusion of the 1982<br />
Treaty seem to unquestionably confirm the interpretation<br />
given above. 71 Therefore, navigation through the Northwest<br />
Passage should be free <strong>and</strong> unencumbered if it is to be<br />
considered as an international strait. However, Canada<br />
regards the Passage as part of its internal waters, which is<br />
rejected by several countries <strong>and</strong> has led to several incidents.<br />
Such problems are usually resolved on the basis of subsequent<br />
bilateral treaties between the countries concerned, but some<br />
voices are being presently raised suggesting that it might be<br />
the time for a specific treaty regime for the Arctic.<br />
Another aspect of the militarization of the Arctic to<br />
which the Convention on the Law of the Sea is relevant is<br />
the issue of territorial claims in the region. According to<br />
the Convention, all coastal states can establish exclusive<br />
economic zones extending up to 200 nautical miles (370 km)<br />
within which they can exercise their sovereign rights over<br />
both the waters <strong>and</strong> the seabed. Furthermore, a country’s<br />
sovereign territory may be extended depending on how<br />
far the continental mass extends out under the ocean, if<br />
the outer boundaries of this so-called continental shelf<br />
are precisely defined <strong>and</strong> documented. 72 The Convention<br />
employs the definition of continental shelf adopted by the<br />
<strong>International</strong> Law Commission in 1958, which defined the<br />
continental shelf to include ‘the seabed <strong>and</strong> subsoil of the<br />
submarine areas adjacent to the coast but outside the area of<br />
the territorial sea, to a depth of 200 meters, or, beyond that<br />
limit, to where the depth of the adjacent waters admits of<br />
the exploitation of the natural resources of the said areas.’ 73<br />
Exact cut-off lines are determined by a number of factors,<br />
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such as the structure of the ocean floor, sediment thickness,<br />
<strong>and</strong> ocean depth. Problems arise when these factors are<br />
a matter of dispute, as it is the case with the Lomonosov<br />
Ridge, where determining whether this geological<br />
formation is part of the continental shelf of Canada, Russia,<br />
or Greenl<strong>and</strong> is crucial to establishing which country has<br />
sovereign rights over the seabed around the North Pole. 74<br />
To control claims extending beyond 200 nautical miles, or<br />
to h<strong>and</strong>le conflicting claims, the Commission on the Limits<br />
of the Continental Shelf was established. The Commission<br />
considers evidence data submitted by coastal states <strong>and</strong><br />
makes recommendations to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />
From its very conclusion in 1982,<br />
the UNCLOS was not considered<br />
a final treatment of the Law of the<br />
Sea, but rather a ‘sea constitution’,<br />
intended to provide an essential<br />
framework for future solutions.<br />
The UNCLOS was supposed to<br />
serve as a basis for dealing with a<br />
myriad of legal issues that would<br />
arise in drafting more specific,<br />
regional treaties. Nowadays, some<br />
experts <strong>and</strong> politicians call for a<br />
new Arctic treaty, modeled on the<br />
Antarctic agreement.<br />
The Ilulissat Declaration<br />
In May 2008, representatives of the five coastal States<br />
bordering on the Arctic Ocean – Canada, Denmark,<br />
Norway, the Russian Federation, <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States of<br />
America – met at the political level in Ilulissat, Greenl<strong>and</strong>,<br />
to hold discussions about the future of the Arctic region.<br />
The result of these discussions was the Ilulissat Declaration,<br />
adopted on 28 May 2008, which presents the common<br />
position of the five Arctic states in regards to climate change,<br />
maritime safety, <strong>and</strong> sovereign rights in the area. One major<br />
objective of the Declaration, accepted by nations gathered at<br />
the conference, was the blockage of any ‘new comprehensive<br />
international legal regime to govern the Arctic Ocean.’ 75<br />
The parties of the Declaration confirmed that the Law of<br />
the Sea Convention, along with the <strong>International</strong> Maritime<br />
Organization <strong>and</strong> the Arctic Council, form the core of<br />
the regime that governs the Arctic, <strong>and</strong> that within the<br />
framework of this regime the five Arctic states recognized<br />
their responsibility to manage activities in the region,<br />
including both development <strong>and</strong> environmental protection. 76<br />
In the Declaration, the five nations also pledged to ‘remain<br />
committed to this legal framework <strong>and</strong> to the orderly<br />
In the Declaration, the five<br />
nations also pledged to<br />
‘remain committed to this<br />
legal framework <strong>and</strong> to<br />
the orderly settlement of<br />
any possible overlapping<br />
claims.’<br />
settlement of any possible overlapping claims.’ 77<br />
The consequences of the Declaration were twofold. In<br />
reaffirming the role of the existing international law in<br />
governing the issues concerning the Arctic, the signatories<br />
also recognized that other states would participate in<br />
development <strong>and</strong> protection of the Arctic, through the<br />
international Maritime Organization, the Arctic Council,<br />
<strong>and</strong> other relevant international forums. However, the<br />
Declaration also made it clear that there will be no<br />
negotiation of an alternative regime for the Arctic Ocean<br />
that would be contrary to the provisions of the UNCLOS. 78<br />
Proposed Solutions<br />
An Arctic Treaty<br />
With the Arctic ice melting,<br />
an increased interest in<br />
the Arctic’s natural resources <strong>and</strong><br />
navigation, <strong>and</strong> a recent phenomenon<br />
of many nations piling up arms <strong>and</strong><br />
planting flags in the region, calls have<br />
emerged for a comprehensive Arctic<br />
Treaty to govern the ‘lawless’ Arctic<br />
region. Many non-governmental<br />
organizations <strong>and</strong> some politicians<br />
are arguing for an international<br />
agreement that would adopt a legal<br />
framework for dealing with issues<br />
such as polar oil <strong>and</strong> mineral exploration, commercial activity,<br />
maritime security, navigation <strong>and</strong> environmental regulation.<br />
Such an agreement could be achieved under the auspices of<br />
the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> could replace the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
Convention on the Law of the Sea as the primary piece of<br />
legislation concerning the Arctic region, being modeled after<br />
the Antarctic Treaty of the early 1960s. In the same way as<br />
the Antarctic Treaty does, an Arctic Treaty could set aside the<br />
Arctic as a scientific preserve <strong>and</strong> ban all military activity in that<br />
area, while freezing all territorial claims. Proponents of a new<br />
Arctic Treaty believe that such an agreement could facilitate<br />
arranging for sustainable development of Arctic resources,<br />
developing shipping shortcuts through the northern passages,<br />
setting technological st<strong>and</strong>ards for ships that navigate the icy<br />
waters <strong>and</strong> guarding the welfare of the more than one million<br />
indigenous people living within the Arctic Circle. 79<br />
On the other h<strong>and</strong>, many governments, including the major<br />
Arctic powers, are strongly opposed to establishing another<br />
treaty regime in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> believe that the UNCLOS <strong>and</strong><br />
other existing international law provides a comprehensive set<br />
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of rules governing use of the world’s oceans, <strong>and</strong> is sufficient<br />
to govern the Arctic region as well. The argument follows<br />
that since the situations in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> the Antarctic are<br />
hardly analogous – the Antarctic is a continent surrounded by<br />
oceans, while the Arctic is an ocean surrounded by continents<br />
– similar rules of suspension of claims to sovereignty cannot<br />
be applied. It is argued that the Arctic Ocean is already subject<br />
to international legislation, <strong>and</strong> that it has already been divided<br />
up, so few territorial disputes can emerge. The parties that<br />
oppose establishing a new treaty for the Arctic believe that<br />
in instances where the maritime claims of coastal nations<br />
overlap, international law sets forth principles for them to<br />
apply in resolving their disputes. 80 These actors customarily<br />
regard Russia’s planting of flags on the North Pole seabed as<br />
‘a symbolic act of no legal st<strong>and</strong>ing or material consequence,’ 81<br />
<strong>and</strong> they believe the real challenge in regulating the Arctic is<br />
the execution of the existing rules, rather than adopting new<br />
ones.<br />
Alternatively, those who believe the entire Arctic Ocean<br />
should be divided into national sovereignty zones present<br />
two major ways of delimitating the territory. One is ‘the<br />
sector method,’ which would divvy up the region by drawing<br />
lines south to the countries involved, using the North Pole<br />
as the centre, like slicing up a pie. Another way would be<br />
to divide the Arctic waters between countries according<br />
to the length of their nearest coastline to the Pole. Either<br />
way, a comprehensive <strong>and</strong> multidimensional international<br />
agreement would be necessary to legitimize such a novel<br />
solution, which could well be achieved by the General<br />
Assembly of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />
Arms Limitations<br />
Even if a political Arctic treaty should not be adopted,<br />
there is still a possibility of establishing an arms<br />
limitation agreement for the Arctic region. Although such<br />
an agreement is likely to be a regional one, global input is<br />
necessary as an objective voice of how demilitarization of<br />
the Arctic can assure that there would be no conflict in the<br />
area, which could potentially spread to the rest of the world.<br />
A successful implementation of strong confidence-building<br />
measures could help significantly reduce the need for Arctic<br />
countries to guard their national interests in the region<br />
with the use of military power. For example, an extensive<br />
cooperative surveillance system could be established for the<br />
area, in which many states could work together to assure that<br />
there are no national security risks for any nation. A naval<br />
arms limitation agreement could thus be adopted, <strong>and</strong> also<br />
include terms establishing a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone in<br />
the Arctic Ocean, to prevent any unnecessary tensions in the<br />
region. Furthermore, global agreements could be concluded<br />
concerning the safe usage of the Northern Passage. Such an<br />
agreement should be prepared as an effect of a consensus<br />
building process with participation of both the major Arctic<br />
powers <strong>and</strong> other nations interested in creating a stable<br />
policy system for the Arctic. Several national needs should<br />
be taken into account when drafting such a treaty to ensure<br />
its subsequent ratification. For example, if such agreements<br />
were to be acceptable for Canada, they would need to contain<br />
solutions to the potential problems of trafficking of drugs,<br />
arms, <strong>and</strong> illegal immigrants to the Canadian territory.<br />
Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions<br />
Russian Federation<br />
The Arctic region is of crucial significance to the country’s<br />
economic <strong>and</strong> strategic interests. In the first aspect, the<br />
Russian Arctic areas are an effective engine for the nation’s<br />
economy, producing 11% of Russia’s GDP <strong>and</strong> 22% of GDP<br />
growth, <strong>and</strong> representing a crucial resource base: up to<br />
80% of Russia’s discovered industrial gas potential. In the<br />
strategic aspect, the Arctic gives Russia an access to three<br />
oceans, <strong>and</strong> its military bases there are crucial for protecting<br />
the country’s extensive borderline. The current issues of<br />
concern for the Russian Federation in the Arctic region focus<br />
mainly on the delimitation of the boundary between Russia<br />
<strong>and</strong> Norway in the Barents Sea, <strong>and</strong> between Russia <strong>and</strong><br />
the <strong>United</strong> States in the Bering Sea, as well as on economic<br />
activities in Spitsbergen’s 200-nautical mile zone <strong>and</strong> the<br />
other overlapping EEZ claims.<br />
The Russian Federation strongly opposes the<br />
internationalization of the Arctic. Russia’s claims to<br />
sovereignty rights over the areas that were the object of<br />
the submissions to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Committee for<br />
Continental Shelf are expected to continue, perhaps with new<br />
evidence being produced by the Russians, who believe they<br />
will eventually be able to back their assertions <strong>and</strong> to begin oil<br />
exploration in the region. As expressed in a statement by the<br />
Russian <strong>Security</strong> Council, outlining the government’s policy<br />
for the next 10 years, Russia plans to deploy special military<br />
forces to protect its national interests in the disputed Arctic<br />
region, to ‘guarantee military security under various military<br />
<strong>and</strong> political situations.’ 82 The government in Moscow is<br />
determined to consider the Arctic as crucial to Russia’s<br />
national security <strong>and</strong> is likely to suggest that military threats<br />
could be used to resolve problems that would devastate the<br />
balance near Russia’s borders.<br />
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US <strong>and</strong> Russian spheres of interest in the Arctic area. http://www.heritage.org/research/energy<strong>and</strong>environmen/<br />
images/b2202_map1.jpg<br />
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The <strong>United</strong> States<br />
In his last days in the Office of the President, George W.<br />
Bush signed a presidential security directive devoted to<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States Arctic policy, which focused on security<br />
issues <strong>and</strong> the economic utilization of the oil-rich region,<br />
<strong>and</strong> emphasized the strategic significance of the Arctic<br />
for the <strong>United</strong> States in relation to the missile defense <strong>and</strong><br />
early warning systems. 83 The directive states that ‘the <strong>United</strong><br />
States is an Arctic nation, with varied <strong>and</strong> compelling<br />
interests in the region’, including ‘broad <strong>and</strong> fundamental<br />
national security interests <strong>and</strong> is prepared to operate<br />
either independently or in conjunction with other states to<br />
safeguard these interests.’ 84 It is further stated that the <strong>United</strong><br />
States government will ‘take all actions necessary to establish<br />
the outer limit of the continental shelf appertaining to the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States, in the Arctic <strong>and</strong> in other regions, to the fullest<br />
extent permitted under international law,’ 85 which practically<br />
means that the <strong>United</strong> States is entering the scientific <strong>and</strong><br />
military race for sovereignty over parts of the Arctic. The<br />
policy also addressed the energy development in the Arctic<br />
region <strong>and</strong> its important role in meeting the growing global<br />
energy dem<strong>and</strong>s, but does not present an aggressive program<br />
for economic development. 86<br />
The Obama administration supports the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
Convention on the Law of the Sea, with the <strong>United</strong> States<br />
Secretary of State Hilary Clinton known to be its strong<br />
proponent. The Obama administration also indicated its<br />
commitment to ratifying the Convention. The <strong>United</strong> States<br />
government emphasizes the necessity of international<br />
cooperation <strong>and</strong> stresses the role of the Arctic Council.<br />
However, the <strong>United</strong> States does not wish to empower the<br />
Arctic Council to deal with <strong>Security</strong> issues, <strong>and</strong> believes it<br />
should stay neutered <strong>and</strong> operate within its limited m<strong>and</strong>ate.<br />
The <strong>United</strong> States has also always supported the need for<br />
freedom of navigation in the Arctic Ocean, emphasizing that<br />
its vessels have the right of international navigation both<br />
through the Northwest Passage <strong>and</strong> through straits along<br />
the Northern Sea Route, which may be a potential point of<br />
tension with Canada.<br />
Canada<br />
The Canadian government, headed by Prime Minister<br />
Stephen Harper, emphasized that the ‘northern strategy’<br />
played an important role in its foreign policy. On the<br />
occasion of announcing the creation of two military bases<br />
in the Canadian Arctic, Stephen Harper remarked that his<br />
country has only two choices regarding its position in the<br />
Arctic: ‘either we use it or we lose it.’ He then continued: ‘<strong>and</strong><br />
make no mistake, this government intends to use it. Because<br />
Canada’s Arctic is central to our identity as a northern nation.<br />
It is part of our history <strong>and</strong> it represents the tremendous<br />
potential of our future.’ 87 To underline the determination<br />
of Canada to maintain its sovereignty in the Arctic, Harper<br />
also announced that eight patrol vessels would be built <strong>and</strong><br />
deployed in this region. 88<br />
Canada regards the calls from the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> the<br />
European Union for freedom of navigation in the Arctic as<br />
an attempt to question the Canadian jurisdiction regarding<br />
navigation <strong>and</strong> safety in the Northwest Passage. Canada sees<br />
the Passage as part of its internal waters <strong>and</strong> claims that it<br />
should be regulated by Canadian national law. Another<br />
issue of dispute between Canada <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States is<br />
the question of delimiting the border in the Beaufort Sea.<br />
Canada, following the path taken by the other Arctic nations,<br />
is also planning to launch a survey of its continental shelf in<br />
the fall of 2009, to determine where Canada can claim its<br />
sovereign rights. 89<br />
Norway<br />
Norway differs from its Nordic neighbors, Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
Sweden, because it is the only Sc<strong>and</strong>inavian country to<br />
have direct access to the Arctic region. Norwegian territories<br />
in the high Arctic include the Svalbard archipelago <strong>and</strong> the<br />
isl<strong>and</strong> of Jan Mayen in the Norwegian-Greenl<strong>and</strong> Sea. 90<br />
In consequence, Norway’s Arctic focus is devoted mainly<br />
to issues such as resource management, the environment,<br />
<strong>and</strong> maritime transport, uncommon for other European<br />
countries. Norway considers the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention<br />
on the Law of the Sea an important set of rights <strong>and</strong><br />
obligations concerning issues related to the Arctic Ocean,<br />
such as the delineation of the outer limits of the continental<br />
shelf, protection of the marine environment, <strong>and</strong> freedom<br />
of navigation. 91 Norway is also committed to developing<br />
the Arctic cooperation further, within the framework<br />
of the m<strong>and</strong>ate of the Arctic Council, <strong>and</strong> welcomes the<br />
EU’s involvement in Arctic governance. On the issue of<br />
militarization, Norway is aware of Russia’s increased military<br />
presence in the Arctic region, <strong>and</strong> observes with concern<br />
Russian bombers flying near the Norwegian coast. Its air<br />
space monitoring, conducted within the NATO framework,<br />
is aimed at preventing the Russian Federation from viewing<br />
the area as part of the home ground for Russian bombers. 92<br />
Denmark<br />
The Danish government published its detailed policy<br />
on the Arctic in a 44-page document in May 2008,<br />
taking account of Greenl<strong>and</strong>’s interests <strong>and</strong> position within<br />
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the Danish kingdom. 93 Danish interests in the region are<br />
manifold <strong>and</strong> concern both the eastern <strong>and</strong> the western side<br />
of Greenl<strong>and</strong>, which is the nearest coastline to the North<br />
Pole. Denmark argues that the Lomonosov Ridge is actually<br />
an extension of Greenl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> attempts to prove it through<br />
several scientific expeditions, such as LORITA-1 <strong>and</strong><br />
LOMROG. 94 Denmark has a territorial dispute with Canada<br />
over the status of the Hans Isl<strong>and</strong> in the Kennedy Channel,<br />
but it is generally very supportive of Arctic cooperation<br />
<strong>and</strong> actively participates in the works of the Arctic Council.<br />
Furthermore, Denmark is the only Nordic country that is a<br />
member of both the European Union <strong>and</strong> the North Atlantic<br />
Treaty Organization – although this does not apply to<br />
Greenl<strong>and</strong> – <strong>and</strong> thus it could successfully play an important<br />
role as a bridge between many camps in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
General Assembly.<br />
The European Union<br />
Europe seems to be making steps towards joining the race<br />
for the Arctic’s vast natural resources, declaring for the<br />
first time that the oil <strong>and</strong> gas reserves from the region could<br />
play a role in enhancing the European Union’s energy security.<br />
In March 2008, the European Commission published a<br />
paper spelling out Europe’s interests in the Arctic’s energy<br />
resources, fisheries, new shipping routes, security concerns<br />
<strong>and</strong> environmental perils, in what was called ‘the first step<br />
towards an EU Arctic policy.’ In the document, the European<br />
Commission highlighted the security threats for Europe as<br />
result of the melting Arctic ice, <strong>and</strong> mentioned the opening<br />
up of new waterways <strong>and</strong> international trade routes, as well as<br />
the changing geostrategic dynamics of the region due to the<br />
increased accessibility of enormous hydrocarbon resources.<br />
The Commission said that ‘exploitation of Arctic hydrocarbon<br />
resources <strong>and</strong> the opening of new navigation routes can be<br />
of benefit’ <strong>and</strong> that the aim was to ‘keep the right balance<br />
between the priority goal of preserving the environment <strong>and</strong><br />
the need for sustainable use of natural resources including<br />
hydrocarbons.’ 95 The European Union decisively opposes the<br />
idea of a new Arctic treaty – as the European Commission<br />
communication puts it, ‘The full implementation of already<br />
existing obligations, rather than proposing new instruments<br />
should be advocated.’ 96 With three member states – Denmark,<br />
Finl<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Sweden – bordering the Arctic, the EU also said<br />
it wanted a permanent observer status on the Arctic Council,<br />
in order to further its interests alongside the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />
Russia, Canada, Norway, <strong>and</strong> Icel<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Relevant Partners<br />
Probably the most important partner in determining<br />
the shape of the future status of the Arctic region is the<br />
Arctic Council, which is an intergovernmental forum formed<br />
by the eight Arctic countries: Canada, the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />
Russia, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Icel<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Finl<strong>and</strong>, to<br />
deal with political <strong>and</strong> social issues facing the region. The<br />
Council employs a significant number of experts who serve<br />
as advisors to national governments <strong>and</strong> who could help<br />
settle the debate over the Arctic in its proper framework<br />
in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly. Furthermore,<br />
although the decisions <strong>and</strong> formal documents of the council<br />
are non-binding, they usually represent consensus policies<br />
of its members – the most prominent actors on this arena<br />
– <strong>and</strong> thus constitute an excellent reference point for future<br />
discussions.<br />
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) could also<br />
serve as an important player on this issue, given its statutory<br />
aim of ensuring the safety of its members <strong>and</strong> providing them<br />
with means of collective defense in case of a hostile action<br />
by an external party. Five Arctic countries are members of<br />
the NATO – Canada, Denmark, Icel<strong>and</strong>, Norway <strong>and</strong> the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States – <strong>and</strong> the Organization treats the region as<br />
one of immense significance for the security of its members,<br />
<strong>and</strong> thus the NATO attempts to exp<strong>and</strong> its presence in the<br />
Arctic Ocean by creating military bases there. Therefore, the<br />
NATO is an important actor to be considered when making<br />
decisions about the future of the region.<br />
Several other non-governmental organizations are capable of<br />
providing crucial expertise in areas related to the question<br />
of militarization of the Arctic, for example in regards to<br />
natural resource exploration, global warming <strong>and</strong> its effects<br />
on navigation, etc. Furthermore, more scientifically-oriented<br />
NGOs could offer advice in regard to the geotectonic status<br />
of some parts of the Arctic, which could prove a valuable<br />
objective voice in the consideration of national claims to<br />
sovereignty over these areas.<br />
Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />
Should the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />
the Sea remain as the single source of international<br />
legislation concerning the Arctic region, or is there a<br />
need for a new, region specific international agreement:<br />
an Arctic Treaty?<br />
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How should claims for territorial sovereignty rights in the<br />
Arctic region be h<strong>and</strong>led? Should priority be given to<br />
the past claims, or should any new claims be accepted?<br />
What should be the status of the Arctic Ocean? Should<br />
it be regarded as international waters in its entirety,<br />
or should any national restrictions be considered<br />
legitimate?<br />
What should be done in regards to military presence in<br />
the Arctic? Should any particular nations be allowed to<br />
station weapons in the Arctic?<br />
What can further actions can the international community<br />
undertake to ensure peace, environmental stability, <strong>and</strong><br />
security in the region?<br />
Suggestions for Further Research<br />
As the Arctic is becoming an important focus of attention<br />
in the spheres of international relations, natural resource<br />
economy <strong>and</strong> most importantly international security, news<br />
on the developments in the region are frequently published<br />
in the world’s many mass media. Therefore, a good way of<br />
making sure you are well informed about the ongoing updates<br />
on the issue is to follow a couple of major international news<br />
services, such as the BBC or the CNN, perhaps by looking<br />
through their websites once in a while. The same applies<br />
to the many printed news sources, such as the Times, The<br />
Guardian, Le Monde, Der Spiegel, or the New York Times,<br />
whose online archives can provide information about the<br />
developments from the past 20 years, which is very difficult<br />
to obtain from scholarly publications. The Guardian’s website<br />
even has a special regional section devoted solely to the<br />
Arctic, which can offer the reader a comprehensive overview<br />
of the many issues concerning this area.<br />
“...5 kg of pure U-235<br />
could make a very<br />
powerful atomic<br />
bomb equivalent to<br />
several thous<strong>and</strong><br />
tonnes of dynamite.”<br />
Another excellent <strong>and</strong> reliable source of recent information is<br />
the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Foundation’s e-mail news service: the UN<br />
Wire. Upon subscription (http://www.smartbrief.com/un_<br />
wire/), you will be provided with daily e-mail news briefings<br />
covering the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> the world, including<br />
regional updates, also concerning the Far North. In addition<br />
to this, there are several international bodies, which devote<br />
their activity to monitoring the Arctic Ocean, <strong>and</strong> often<br />
touch upon issues like the international status <strong>and</strong> stability<br />
of the region. This includes several non-governmental<br />
organizations, but also some high-level intergovernmental<br />
forums such as the Arctic Council, which publishes its<br />
research online.<br />
When it comes to scholarly texts, the recent nature of the<br />
escalation of interest in the Arctic after a period of relative<br />
indifference – at least from the military perspective – implies<br />
that most publications on the issue were written before the<br />
end of the Cold War. The few most recent books could be<br />
rather hard to access, but there are definitely a couple that<br />
could deepen your research. I would personally recommend<br />
Arctic Politics, The Arctic: Choices for Peace, <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> Negotiating the Arctic, because of their specific focus on<br />
the problems that our committee will be touching upon.<br />
t o p I c A r e A B: s A f e g u A r d I n g n u c l e A r<br />
m At e r I A l s<br />
History <strong>and</strong> Discussion of the Problem<br />
Nuclear Advancements<br />
The branch of science often referred to as nuclear<br />
physics <strong>and</strong> the corresponding issue of nuclear energy<br />
trace back to the turn of the 20th century, when the first<br />
discoveries in atomic radiation, atomic change, <strong>and</strong> nuclear<br />
fission were made. Ionizing radiation was discovered by<br />
Wilhelm Rontgen in 1895, <strong>and</strong> was later investigated <strong>and</strong><br />
developed by scientists such as Marie Curie-Sklodowska,<br />
Henri Becquerel, Ernest Rutherford, Niels Bohr, Enrico<br />
Fermi, <strong>and</strong> Albert Einstein, among many others. By 1939, it<br />
was clear that fission not only released a lot of energy but<br />
that it also produced additional neutrons which could cause<br />
fission in other uranium nuclei <strong>and</strong> possibly a self-sustaining<br />
chain reaction leading to an enormous release of energy. 97<br />
This realization sparked activity in many laboratories,<br />
<strong>and</strong> the final piece that made the idea of a fission bomb a<br />
plausible project was added in 1939 by Francis Perrin: this<br />
was the concept of the critical mass of uranium required<br />
to produce a self-sustaining release of energy. Scientists in<br />
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some countries, especially Britain, Germany, Russia <strong>and</strong> the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States, began pressuring their governments to make<br />
use of this immense strategic opportunity, quoting as in<br />
the Frisch-Peierls Memor<strong>and</strong>um to the British government<br />
that an amount of about 5 kg of pure U-235 could make a<br />
very powerful atomic bomb equivalent to several thous<strong>and</strong><br />
tonnes of dynamite. 98 As further discoveries were made that<br />
provided evidence proving the enormous potential of the<br />
nuclear design <strong>and</strong> that achieved further advancements in<br />
regards to conceptualizing the process of construction of<br />
a nuclear bomb, the project began attracting the attention<br />
of the American government. What eventually swayed the<br />
cabinet of President Roosevelt to the idea of pursuing a<br />
nuclear weapons program was a popular suspicion that Nazi<br />
Germany was conducting one too. The final decision was<br />
made after the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor <strong>and</strong> America<br />
entered the war directly in December 1941.<br />
The Trinity atomic bomb test, culmination of the<br />
Manhatten Project, July 16, 1945. http://www.cfo.doe.<br />
gov/me70/manhattan/images/Trinity.jpg<br />
The Manhattan Project<br />
The result of the Anglo-American scientific cooperation in<br />
the nuclear field was the Manhattan Project, established<br />
under the supervision of the <strong>United</strong> States Army. Fullscale<br />
reactors were constructed to produce weapons-grade<br />
plutonium, together with heavy water plants designed to<br />
fabricate neutron moderators for the chain reaction process.<br />
A team led by Robert Oppenheimer worked at Los Alamos<br />
in New Mexico on the design <strong>and</strong> construction of both<br />
uranium <strong>and</strong> plutonium bombs <strong>and</strong> this huge effort yielded<br />
successful results in mid-1945 when<br />
the first nuclear bomb was finished<br />
<strong>and</strong> tested. The military aspect of the<br />
program was soon effectuated; in<br />
August 1945 both the uranium <strong>and</strong><br />
the plutonium bombs were dropped<br />
on Hiroshima <strong>and</strong> Nagasaki,<br />
Manhattan Project officials, including Dr. Robert J. Oppenheimer (white hat)<br />
<strong>and</strong> General Leslie Groves, inspect the detonation site of the Trinity atomic<br />
bomb test.. http://static.howstuffworks.com/gif/manhattan-project-7.jpg<br />
respectively. It became clear that<br />
a line in the military technology<br />
was crossed <strong>and</strong> that from then on,<br />
there was no return. In 1949, the<br />
Soviet Union tested its first nuclear<br />
bomb, based largely on the Nagasaki<br />
one, <strong>and</strong> a slow but persistent<br />
process of nuclear proliferation was<br />
initiated. Subsequent countries – the<br />
<strong>United</strong> Kingdom, France, China,<br />
India, Pakistan, <strong>and</strong> North Korea<br />
– have since produced <strong>and</strong> tested<br />
nuclear weapons of their own while<br />
some others are believed to either<br />
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also possess nuclear<br />
weapons, like Israel, or<br />
to be conducting their<br />
own national nuclear<br />
weapons programs – for<br />
example Iran. 99<br />
withdrawal cases like<br />
that of the North<br />
Korea <strong>and</strong> has proven<br />
insufficient.<br />
The Nuclear Non-<br />
Proliferation Treaty<br />
<strong>and</strong> its Breaches<br />
After the adoption<br />
of the Non-<br />
Proliferation Treaty<br />
(NPT) in 1970, further<br />
described in the ‘Past<br />
<strong>International</strong> Actions’<br />
section, which included<br />
provisions on nuclear<br />
disarmament <strong>and</strong> nonspreading<br />
of nuclear<br />
military technology,<br />
there have been<br />
several breaches of<br />
its non-proliferation<br />
clauses. Two of them<br />
are already history:<br />
Libya’s development of<br />
a nuclear program was<br />
discovered through<br />
intelligence <strong>and</strong><br />
solved through strong<br />
diplomacy, while that<br />
of Iraq was discovered<br />
<strong>and</strong> terminated as a<br />
result of the 1991 Gulf War. Furthermore, India, Pakistan<br />
<strong>and</strong> Israel are non-signatories <strong>and</strong> are all believed to have<br />
a nuclear weapons capability. 100 Since these states are not<br />
signatories of the NPT, the international community does<br />
not have any monitoring system to control the nuclear<br />
activities of these states. The treaty has also failed to stop<br />
the black market nuclear trade centering on a Pakistani<br />
scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan, whose proliferation scheme<br />
of nuclear weapons technology to Iran <strong>and</strong> North Korea<br />
was exposed early in 2004. 101 Nuclear Energy<br />
Production<br />
The first nuclear<br />
reactor to produce<br />
electricity, albeit a<br />
trivial amount, was the<br />
small Experimental<br />
Breeder reactor (EBR-1)<br />
in Idaho, in the <strong>United</strong><br />
States, which began<br />
operating in December<br />
1951.102 In 1953<br />
President Eisenhower<br />
proposed his ‘Atoms for<br />
Peace’ program, which<br />
reoriented significant<br />
research effort towards<br />
electricity generation<br />
<strong>and</strong> set the course for<br />
civil nuclear energy<br />
development in the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States.103<br />
The first commercial<br />
nuclear reactors started<br />
operating in the 1960s<br />
Abdul Qadeer Khan, the founder of Pakistan’s nuclear<br />
in the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />
weapons defense systems. http://prempanicker.files.wordpress. the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />
com/2009/09/aq-khan-time1.jpg<br />
Canada, France, <strong>and</strong> in<br />
the Soviet Union. After<br />
a period of stagnation in the 1970s, 1980s <strong>and</strong> 1990s, the<br />
new century brought a revival of prospects for nuclear<br />
power, due to several reasons: the realized scale of projected<br />
increased electricity dem<strong>and</strong> worldwide, the awareness of<br />
the importance of energy independence <strong>and</strong> the growing<br />
concern about carbon emissions <strong>and</strong> global warming.104<br />
North Korea’s announcement<br />
Nuclear Terrorism<br />
The threat of nuclear terrorism has existed for several<br />
decades, but it seems to have significantly escalated in<br />
that it was withdrawing from the treaty, which implied the recent years. This is due to several factors, which can be<br />
departure of <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) divided into two groups: on the <strong>and</strong> on the dem<strong>and</strong> side.<br />
inspectors <strong>and</strong> an open road for the country to pursue a On the supply side, it is obvious that nuclear technology is<br />
nuclear weapons program has been the biggest crisis in the being constantly spread around the world, even in view of<br />
history of the Treaty. The Treaty has no means to deal with the numerous anti-proliferation efforts by the international<br />
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community. Apart from the original five nuclear powers<br />
from the Non-Proliferation Treaty: <strong>United</strong> States, Russian<br />
Federation, <strong>United</strong> Kingdom, France <strong>and</strong> China, several<br />
other countries, including India, Pakistan, Israel, North<br />
Korea, have either confirmed the fact of having developed<br />
nuclear weapons, or are widely believed to have done so.<br />
The greater number of countries with nuclear arsenals is not<br />
the direct reason for the increased nuclear terrorism risk, but<br />
the levels of protection of these weapons <strong>and</strong> their related<br />
materials as well as the attitudes of some governments<br />
towards international terrorism pose significant threats to<br />
the international security. To mention only a few examples,<br />
Russia continues to deploy several of its most portable<br />
nuclear weapons on its front lines, where their security is<br />
severely reduced; these weapons are considered as the most<br />
attractive to terrorists, according to Senators Richard Lugar<br />
<strong>and</strong> Sam Nunn, authors of the Cooperative Threat Reduction<br />
Program. 109 Furthermore, new investigations have revealed<br />
unauthorized sales of sensitive nuclear technology by<br />
Pakistani nuclear scientists supportive of fundamentalist<br />
ideology, which raises doubts about the security of this<br />
country’s nuclear arsenal. 110<br />
Nuclear materials that could potentially be used in fabricating<br />
a nuclear bomb are even a greater cause of concern. Hundreds<br />
of tons of highly enriched uranium <strong>and</strong> plutonium in Russia<br />
<strong>and</strong> some former Soviet Republics have astoundingly little<br />
or no protection, making them easy targets for extremely<br />
well organized <strong>and</strong> determined terrorists. Several reactors<br />
throughout the world still use highly enriched, weaponsusable<br />
uranium, very attractive to the nuclear terrorists;<br />
even some fissile material stocks stored in the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />
under seemingly much greater security measures, may be<br />
vulnerable to terrorist attacks because of numerous proven<br />
flaws in their protection. 111<br />
Naturally, the most significant threat to international nuclear<br />
security is constituted by the so-called predator states,<br />
which are believed to possess nuclear weapons or at least to<br />
conduct active nuclear weapon programs. These states may<br />
not want to be associated with nuclear attacks, but assisting<br />
<strong>and</strong> equipping nuclear terrorists might present an attractive<br />
way of pursuing their aggressive foreign policy plans. For<br />
example, if the Iranian President’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s<br />
plans of ‘wiping Israel from the pages of history’ are to be<br />
considered serious <strong>and</strong> representative of the government’s<br />
policy, which are both, however, highly dubious, then<br />
equipping terrorists with nuclear arms might hypothetically<br />
seem to be a relatively sensible way for Iran to pursue this<br />
plan. Even if it would not completely eliminate the risk of<br />
retaliation from either Israel or one of its nuclear allies, the<br />
risk would be greatly reduced <strong>and</strong> Iran’s involvement would<br />
be much harder to prove.<br />
The Nature of the Threat<br />
The crucial reason for protecting nuclear materials is the<br />
threat of their usage in conducting terrorist attacks.<br />
Nowadays, terrorist organizations are extremely well<br />
organized <strong>and</strong> effectively financed, which opens completely<br />
new, appalling possibilities of operation. Nuclear terrorism<br />
is commonly being defined by diving it into four faces:112<br />
I. A theft <strong>and</strong> detonation of a ready-made nuclear<br />
weapon (INW – Intact Nuclear Weapon),<br />
II. A theft or purchase of fissile material <strong>and</strong> the<br />
subsequent fabrication <strong>and</strong> detonation of a<br />
crude nuclear weapon (IND – Improvised<br />
Nuclear Device),<br />
III. An acquisition of nuclear materials leading to<br />
the fabrication <strong>and</strong> detonation of a ‘dirty bomb’<br />
(RDD – Radiological Dispersion Device or<br />
RED - Radiation Emission Device),<br />
IV. An attack on a nuclear facility, with the sole<br />
intention of causing a release of large amounts<br />
of radioactivity.<br />
The fourth method does not require any nuclear acquisition<br />
by terrorists <strong>and</strong> resembles conventional terrorism both<br />
in its methods <strong>and</strong> related measures of prevention. ‘Dirty<br />
bombs’ – conventional explosives coupled with radioactive<br />
materials – also resemble conventional arms rather than<br />
nuclear weapons in the requirements of their fabrication,<br />
delivery <strong>and</strong> detonation in the target area. Naturally, they<br />
include nuclear materials, but these are only radioactive<br />
materials that have no fission potential anymore <strong>and</strong> can<br />
only serve dispersing dangerous radiation <strong>and</strong> no nuclear<br />
energy in the target area. The level of protection of these<br />
materials is quite different from the usual security st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />
of fissile materials in respective countries; furthermore, the<br />
methods of acquisition <strong>and</strong> detonation of such bombs would<br />
be significantly different. 113<br />
There are four general key stages of a nuclear terrorist<br />
attack. 114 Each stage is simultaneously a condition that must<br />
be fulfilled for the act to be performed; should any link in the<br />
chain be spoiled, the whole plan would be unsuccessful:<br />
(1) A terrorist extreme group with sufficient resources<br />
– human, financial <strong>and</strong> other – must be formed,<br />
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<strong>and</strong> it must decide to engage in an act of nuclear<br />
terrorism.<br />
(2) The group must obtain a nuclear weapon or fissile<br />
material or other radioactive material <strong>and</strong> adapt it<br />
for its specific purposes: bypass any safeguards in<br />
an INW; fabricate an IND or an RDD.<br />
(3) The terrorists must deliver the weapon to its desired<br />
target.<br />
(4) The weapon must be detonated.<br />
These seemingly obvious stages provide a framework for an<br />
analysis of the opportunities open to terrorists <strong>and</strong> constitute<br />
a basis for designing a comprehensive, layered defense. Today,<br />
probably no one believes that any measure of prevention can<br />
be one hundred per cent successful; therefore, the threat<br />
of nuclear terrorism can only be addressed by reducing<br />
the risk of success for terrorists on each successive step. At<br />
<strong>World</strong>MUN 2012, our committee will focus on designing<br />
solutions to prevent the second step of the above process<br />
(acquisition of nuclear weapons or materials) from being<br />
completed by a terrorist group.<br />
Nuclear Weapon Designs<br />
At this point, it seems worthwhile to look at two possible<br />
nuclear weapon designs – the gun-assembly <strong>and</strong> the<br />
implosion types – <strong>and</strong> to mention a few words about both<br />
of them before analyzing the feasibility of their fabrication<br />
by non-state actors.<br />
Nuclear weapons are based on the process commonly known<br />
as the chain reaction. When a neutron is projected into a<br />
uranium nucleus, one of the three possible results can be<br />
observed: it will be absorbed, scattered, or will induce fission.<br />
The latter situation initiates a chain reaction, by splitting the<br />
nucleus into smaller pieces <strong>and</strong> releasing new neutrons <strong>and</strong><br />
energy – these neutrons induce subsequent fissions, <strong>and</strong> as a<br />
result, additional releases of energy. This energy release can<br />
constitute an explosion. Two additional crucial things need<br />
to be added to this description. First, neutrons that strike<br />
different isotopes of uranium have different probabilities of<br />
inducing fissions – those that hit U-235 are much more likely<br />
to do so than those that strike U-238, which can additionally<br />
be captured by U-238 <strong>and</strong> disappear completely. Therefore,<br />
using the former isotope of uranium is much more efficient<br />
in sustaining the chain reaction – for this reason, uranium<br />
with large fractions of U-235 is called highly-enriched <strong>and</strong> is<br />
generally considered weapons-grade. The other thing to note<br />
is that there is a specific configuration of uranium that prevents<br />
the reaction from ceasing prematurely – otherwise, neutrons<br />
can escape through the surface of uranium, thus failing to<br />
The nuclear fission process releases enormous amounts of energy. http://web.mit.edu/nrl/www/reactor/fission.jpg<br />
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induce subsequent reactions. This specific size <strong>and</strong> shape of<br />
uranium is called critical, while any configuration that fails<br />
to sustain a chain reaction is called ‘subcritical.’ Therefore,<br />
both the enrichment <strong>and</strong> the criticality requirements must<br />
be satisfied for a nuclear device to have a successful yield.<br />
The general consensus among nuclear scientists <strong>and</strong><br />
experts is that fabricating a gun-assembly weapon by nonstate<br />
actors is not trivial, but definitely not impossible. The<br />
National Academy of Sciences asserts in its report: ‘Crude<br />
HEU weapons could be fabricated without state assistance.’ 116<br />
There are, certainly, several obstacles to be overcome by<br />
such groups. Apart from the most significant difficulty of<br />
acquiring a sufficient amount of highly enriched uranium,<br />
which will be addressed below, there are some challenges<br />
connected to this particular weapon design. Obtaining<br />
an appropriate gun would not probably pose a significant<br />
obstacle – a commercially available conventional artillery<br />
piece could be used; however, the group would need to test<br />
the gun at least once using some kind of uranium, which<br />
involves a probability of detection. 117 A more significant<br />
challenge could be posed by the need to reshape the uranium<br />
– in case the material acquired by the group was not critical<br />
in its current form. Some experts assert that ‘the methods of<br />
casting <strong>and</strong> machining nuclear materials, can be described in<br />
a straightforward manner, but their conduct is most unlikely<br />
to proceed smoothly.’ 118<br />
Gun-Assembly Design<br />
The most common type of nuclear weapons is the socalled<br />
gun-assembly design. Simply put, it involves<br />
bringing two subcritical pieces of uranium together to form<br />
a supercritical piece,<br />
which subsequently<br />
produces neutrons<br />
<strong>and</strong> releases energy;<br />
since one piece (the<br />
bullet) is usually fired<br />
at another (the target),<br />
this design is called the<br />
gun-type. The yield of a<br />
gun-assembly nuclear<br />
weapon depends on the<br />
degree of supercriticality<br />
of the system when the<br />
chain reaction occurs:<br />
a premature neutron<br />
emission can expedite<br />
the chain reaction, thus<br />
reducing the energy<br />
released. Therefore, to<br />
maximize the yield,<br />
one must ensure that<br />
the bullet speed is<br />
high enough, while<br />
maintaining the neutron<br />
emission at a possibly low<br />
level. Highly-enriched,<br />
weapons-grade uranium<br />
is characterized by very<br />
low neutron emission. 115<br />
Gun-assembly type of nuclear bomb. http://news.bbc.co.uk/<br />
nol/shared/spl/hi/sci_nat/05/nuclear_fuel/img/gun_trigger2_<br />
bomb300.gif<br />
Others claim that<br />
‘uranium can be cast<br />
<strong>and</strong> heat treated in<br />
conventional vacuum<br />
melting furnaces<br />
<strong>and</strong> machined using<br />
conventional machine<br />
tools.’ 119 In any case,<br />
it seems reasonable to<br />
conclude that this can<br />
be done, but it does<br />
not necessarily mean<br />
that it is easy or likely<br />
to succeed. 120 It seems<br />
that now the question is<br />
not whether each of the<br />
successive steps on the<br />
path to nuclear weapons<br />
can be achieved, but how<br />
likely it is to be achieved<br />
by non-state actors.<br />
The final challenges<br />
are generated by the<br />
difficulties connected to<br />
developing an initiator<br />
<strong>and</strong> a tamper, which can<br />
both maximize the weapon’s yield or reduce the amount of<br />
uranium necessary to obtain criticality, but both of these<br />
designs are optional <strong>and</strong> could be completely ignored by<br />
terrorists. 121<br />
Implosion Design<br />
The other type of a nuclear weapon is referred to as<br />
the implosion design. It typically uses weapons-grade<br />
plutonium – WGPU, composed mainly of the isotope<br />
Pu-239 – instead of uranium. By its nature, plutonium<br />
has much higher neutron emission levels, which has<br />
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important consequences for the probability of detection<br />
of an implosion bomb, that will be addressed later, <strong>and</strong><br />
therefore it is not feasible to use the gun-assembly design to<br />
make it supercritical: even at extremely high bullet speeds,<br />
chain reactions would be initiated before the material gets<br />
significantly supercritical, therefore hampering a successful<br />
yield. For this reason, plutonium is normally used only in<br />
the implosion design – it involves surrounding a subcritical<br />
shell of WGPU with chemical explosives arrayed to produce<br />
a symmetrical inward-moving (implosion) shock wave,<br />
compressing the material enough to be supercritical.122<br />
There exists a heated debate among experts about whether<br />
non-state actors could fabricate an implosion weapon.<br />
Some scientists consider such a possibility. 123 Others – like<br />
Robert Galluci, the Dean of the School of Foreign Service<br />
at Georgetown University, disagree. 124 It is often pointed<br />
out that Iraq’s nuclear weapon scientists required several<br />
years to obtain an effective implosion-type nuclear weapon<br />
design. 125 One consensus shared by most experts is that<br />
developing an implosion weapon would be extremely,<br />
<strong>and</strong> maybe even prohibitively, difficult relying solely on<br />
theoretical calculations. Such an enterprise would most<br />
probably require several experimental tests, which might<br />
in turn prove deterring for any groups, in view of the costs<br />
<strong>and</strong> the risk of detection. It is worth noting, however, that<br />
very few definite conclusions about the new developments<br />
concerning implosion-type designs can be reached without<br />
classified information. 126<br />
Terrorists would probably avoid attempting to construct<br />
an implosion-type nuclear bomb, <strong>and</strong> would rather try to<br />
develop a gun-assembly device in view of the differences in<br />
difficulty of construction, reliability, <strong>and</strong> risks in favor of the<br />
latter. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, they would not necessarily have to<br />
produce a weapon with a maximum possible yield. If only a<br />
subcritical mass of uranium were available, some terrorists<br />
could well consider fabricating a crude implosion-type<br />
weapon <strong>and</strong> conducting an attack with such a device, even<br />
sacrificing much of the potential yield. It would still have a<br />
considerable value in terms of provoking nationwide fear by<br />
just being a nuclear weapon, therefore convincing terrorists<br />
that it could potentially lead to fulfilling their dem<strong>and</strong>s; this<br />
argument seems to be validated by the popular response to<br />
the Three Mile Isl<strong>and</strong> accident in 1979 or the Fukushima<br />
disaster in 2011, which both caused nation- <strong>and</strong> region-wide<br />
fear. 127<br />
The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism: Weapon<br />
Acquisition<br />
Non-state actors can obtain nuclear weapons in several<br />
different ways – all of them can be attributed to one<br />
of the two categories: either by acquisition of an intact<br />
nuclear weapon, or by fabrication of a crude nuclear device<br />
using fissile material. Both of these ways involve very<br />
similar ranges of scenarios, in which an organization would<br />
need to obtain the necessary resources <strong>and</strong> knowledge.<br />
These scenarios include a deliberate transfer by a national<br />
government, an unauthorized assistance from senior<br />
officials or custodians of nuclear weapons, a seizure without<br />
insider help, or a downfall of government or a political<br />
unrest in an unstable state.128 In any of these scenarios,<br />
terrorists could be able to gain access to nuclear weapons,<br />
either directly or indirectly.<br />
Complicity of a National Government<br />
Potentially the easiest but also the least probable way<br />
for nuclear materials to get into the h<strong>and</strong>s of nonstate<br />
actors would be through complicity of a national<br />
government. The only governments that could be suspected<br />
of even considering such an option would be the ‘predator<br />
states’ that have access to nuclear technology. In this<br />
category, most experts include Iran, which openly supports<br />
the fundamentalist Islamic international terrorism <strong>and</strong><br />
is believed to have acquired at least some knowledge<br />
<strong>and</strong> resources necessary to build a nuclear weapon,<br />
even though no supporting evidence has been found so<br />
far by the <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency; North<br />
Korea, which has a long history of selling strategic arms,<br />
especially missiles, to the highest bidder129 <strong>and</strong> is known<br />
to have tested nuclear weapons130; <strong>and</strong> Pakistan, where the<br />
leading figure in nuclear weapons program, A. Q. Khan,<br />
has admitted providing Iran, Libya, <strong>and</strong> North Korea with<br />
nuclear material for their nuclear armament programs.131<br />
Although it remains unclear whether or not the government<br />
of Pervez Musharraf was complicit in the transfers, it was<br />
at least indifferent to the question of the final destination<br />
of the country’s nuclear developments.132 By leaking out<br />
nuclear materials, more aggressive states could count on<br />
achieving their foreign policy aims without inflicting the<br />
risk of imminent retaliation should they decide to use their<br />
nuclear arsenals in an offensive war. On the other h<strong>and</strong>,<br />
‘problem states’ are normally dictatorships, so their leaders<br />
might in fact be reluctant to relinquish their control inside<br />
the country, <strong>and</strong> therefore they may not be eager to transfer<br />
nuclear weapons to any groups.133<br />
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Here, however, a distinction<br />
should probably be made<br />
between transferring intact<br />
weapons or nuclear materials.<br />
While some governments can<br />
be suspected of transferring<br />
nuclear materials to non-state<br />
groups, it seems that none<br />
of them would be willing to<br />
transfer intact weapons. This is<br />
because of the risk of retaliation<br />
- tracing the flow of materials<br />
is virtually impossible, while<br />
a missing nuclear weapon<br />
in a country’s arsenal would<br />
immediately raise serious<br />
suspicions by the international<br />
community. 134 On the other<br />
h<strong>and</strong>, a threat of an imminent<br />
overthrow <strong>and</strong> regime change<br />
could potentially convince<br />
some of the most desperate<br />
government leaders to resort<br />
to such reckless measures.<br />
This argument is only strengthened by the possibility of<br />
an internal chaos in a country possessing nuclear arsenals,<br />
which could be at least equally perilous. The most significant<br />
danger seems to exist in Pakistan <strong>and</strong> North Korea. In the<br />
former, there have been several violent clashes between the<br />
various political groups <strong>and</strong> the nature of the government<br />
of Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani seems to be far from<br />
stable; this is best proven by the relatively recent assassination<br />
attempt on him on 3 September 2008. 135 In North Korea, the<br />
economic collapse <strong>and</strong> impoverishment seems likely to lead<br />
to political instability <strong>and</strong> significant reduction in security of<br />
the country’s nuclear arsenal. Therefore, any solutions to the<br />
problem of safeguarding nuclear materials have to include<br />
provisions for political instability.<br />
Unauthorized Assistance<br />
Another possible way for nuclear materials to leak out is<br />
through unauthorized assistance: from a senior state<br />
official or from custodians of nuclear storages. If Mr. Khan<br />
<strong>and</strong> Mr. Musharraf are to be trusted, then the former has<br />
succeeded in transferring the country’s nuclear resources<br />
without the government’s knowledge. Similar possibilities<br />
cannot be ruled out in the case of North Korea, although<br />
the country’s cl<strong>and</strong>estine system of division of power<br />
precludes definite judgments. Furthermore, if lower-<br />
Russian Topol inter-continental ballistic missiles pictured during a rehearsal<br />
for the nation’s annual May 9 Victory Day parade. http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/<br />
pix/2008/08/28/article-0-0271899900000578-384_468x286_popup.jpg<br />
level officials <strong>and</strong> custodians of nuclear storages are to<br />
be considered, the list of endangered countries may well<br />
exp<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> contain even Russia or Ukraine, where experts<br />
point out that the low levels of protection <strong>and</strong> accounting of<br />
nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong> materials can create strong economic<br />
incentives for poorly-paid arsenal overseers to consider<br />
collaborating with the highest bidders. In countries such<br />
as Iran, incentives could also be of ideological or religious<br />
nature. Again, however, one should consider that ‘problem<br />
states’ are often dictatorship regimes; according to this line<br />
of argument, those just below the top level of authority<br />
would most probably not be granted access to the country’s<br />
nuclear arsenals.136<br />
Infiltration of a Nuclear Facility<br />
Finally, nuclear resources could be acquired by nonstate<br />
organizations without insider help. This would<br />
require significant preparations <strong>and</strong> infiltration of the<br />
target’s security measures, but it seems far from impossible.<br />
In case of weapons, it would obviously be much more<br />
difficult <strong>and</strong> riskier, but most probably it could hardly deter<br />
the extremely well organized <strong>and</strong> determined modern<br />
terrorists. According to experts, Russia can serve as an<br />
example in this matter – due to its huge number of bombs<br />
<strong>and</strong> relatively loose measures of security, compared to the<br />
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other nuclear states, it seems to be an attractive target. In a<br />
US General Accounting Office report published in March<br />
2003, several gaps in security of Russian nuclear weapons<br />
were identified <strong>and</strong>, even if there have been significant<br />
improvements made since then,137 several risks still exist.<br />
This is further exacerbated by Russia’s invariable tendency<br />
to locate its most portable nuclear weapons on its front<br />
lines, where they are most exposed to capture attempts.138<br />
It is impossible to analyze the security measures for<br />
protecting nuclear arsenals in all nuclear states, but it seems<br />
enough to note that even in the <strong>United</strong> States, which seems<br />
to devote much attention to the safety of its own weapons,<br />
several reports have suggested vulnerabilities at several of<br />
its nuclear weapons facilities.139 Therefore, even if a theft<br />
of intact nuclear bombs cannot be definitely proclaimed as<br />
feasible, such an option cannot be decisively ruled out.<br />
The situation is even more appalling in the case of nuclear<br />
materials. More than 130 research reactors in more than<br />
40 countries still use HEU as their fuel, <strong>and</strong> most of these<br />
facilities have very modest measures of protection – no<br />
more than a night watchman <strong>and</strong> a chain-link fence. 140<br />
Similar reactors are present not only in the least developed<br />
countries; six of them are reportedly on US university<br />
campuses. 141 It is, therefore, not surprising that security<br />
measures in reactors in countries such as Russia present<br />
significant concerns; as noted by one US official visiting<br />
the Kurchatov Institute, 160 pounds of weapons-grade<br />
uranium was stored in lockers secured only by chain<br />
through the h<strong>and</strong>les of the lockers, <strong>and</strong> only 20 per cent of<br />
these research facilities were secured by even the most basic<br />
electronic monitoring systems. 142 Such minimal security<br />
measures present an attractive opportunity for terrorists,<br />
<strong>and</strong> make acquisition by them of nuclear weapons a highly<br />
feasible option.<br />
Weapon Delivery: Military Technology<br />
Once a nuclear bomb has been acquired by a terrorist<br />
organization, the second <strong>and</strong> no less difficult phase<br />
of the enterprise begins: the process of delivering the<br />
bomb to the target <strong>and</strong> of detonating it. It seems that the<br />
military methods of delivery of nuclear warheads, such as<br />
gravity bombs, ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, etc., are<br />
probably far from the reach of any terrorist organization.<br />
This view seems justified if one considers the newly-nuclear<br />
or potentially-nuclear states, such as Iran or North Korea,<br />
<strong>and</strong> their significant problems with acquiring any military<br />
means of transporting nuclear weapons. It would be<br />
unreasonable to think that any terrorist organization could<br />
overcome these difficulties without assistance of a major<br />
nuclear power; <strong>and</strong> in case of obtaining such assistance,<br />
the enterprise could no longer be considered terrorism.<br />
Apart from that, almost any major target for terrorists in<br />
the Western world would be successfully protected by antimissile<br />
shield systems, which would effectively prevent any<br />
attempt by terrorists of striking their targets. Similarly in<br />
case of gravity bombs, dropped from airplanes, no country<br />
would allow a suspicious plane to enter its airspace, <strong>and</strong> no<br />
gravity nuclear bomb could be possibly taken aboard an<br />
airplane from a trusted airport. Finally, it is highly unlikely<br />
that any terrorist organization in possession of a nuclear<br />
weapon would take the risk of referring to such hazardous<br />
methods of delivery when easier possibilities are open – its<br />
supply or nuclear weapons would be strictly limited <strong>and</strong><br />
the organization would be completely compromised after a<br />
single failed attempt.<br />
Smuggling at Point Border Crossings<br />
Point border crossings, as contrasted to lines, are<br />
single spots on a country’s border which are open to<br />
international traffic, <strong>and</strong> include l<strong>and</strong> border checkpoints,<br />
airports, seaports, etc. They are characterized by large<br />
volumes of traffic, of which most is legal, so the task of<br />
national customs <strong>and</strong> border protection agencies is to<br />
keep the legal crossings open to legal flow of goods, while<br />
remaining closed to any illegal items – in this case nuclear<br />
weapons or materials. The measures of detection currently<br />
used against nuclear smuggling are the following: traditional<br />
gamma rays <strong>and</strong> x-ray-type imaging, physical inspection,<br />
<strong>and</strong> neutron activation. The latter means sending a burst<br />
of neutrons into an item to cause fission upon striking e.g.<br />
uranium-235, which in turn would release other neutrons<br />
<strong>and</strong> energy; any neutrons coming back would be highly<br />
suspicious, while the gamma rays produced would allow<br />
identification of the isotope because they would possess<br />
unique sets of energies.143 These measures are far from<br />
perfect; one must remember that, as stated before, most<br />
nuclear weapons have very low neutron emission levels; at<br />
least this is true for HEU; WGPU has significantly higher<br />
emission rates.<br />
Two tests conducted by ABC News in September 2002<br />
<strong>and</strong> 2003 illustrate how significant a challenge it is for<br />
border protection officials to detect an attempted nuclear<br />
smuggling. 144 In both cases, the reporters successfully<br />
smuggled a 15-pound cylinder of depleted uranium into the<br />
<strong>United</strong> States to verify whether the border protection was<br />
efficient, using no elaborate means of detection prevention,<br />
apart from just simple shielding. 145 Although CBP (US<br />
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Customs <strong>and</strong> Border Protection) <strong>and</strong> some critics argued<br />
that DU was not a good surrogate for HEU because of lower<br />
detection signal, experts have shown that they could have<br />
easily shielded the same mass of HEU to produce similar<br />
detection signal. 146 This shows that the <strong>United</strong> States border<br />
protection, <strong>and</strong> probably those of several other countries,<br />
may be insufficient to prevent nuclear terrorism, even if the<br />
deterrent effect might be sufficient.<br />
biggest ones are even 396 meters in length <strong>and</strong> can carry<br />
500,000 deadweight tons of oil 151 , which greatly reduces the<br />
chances of detection of the bomb within the tank. The size<br />
of a super tanker <strong>and</strong> the thickness of the steel preclude<br />
successful use of x-ray-imaging, while the volume of oil <strong>and</strong><br />
its neutron absorption properties - deuterium or tritium<br />
would be formed of the hydrogen atoms in oil - would make<br />
neutron activation virtually useless. 152 On the other h<strong>and</strong>,<br />
detonating a nuclear weapon inside an oil tanker would<br />
pose a significant challenge, but would probably be far from<br />
impossible.<br />
Cargo Shipping<br />
Another scenario is smuggling a nuclear weapon in one<br />
of the several<br />
thous<strong>and</strong> million<br />
cargo containers that<br />
are shipped around<br />
the world each year,<br />
<strong>and</strong> whose size would<br />
easily allow shipping a<br />
nuclear weapon from<br />
a foreign port <strong>and</strong><br />
transporting it within<br />
the country by rail or<br />
truck. 147 Even security<br />
measures such as the<br />
Container <strong>Security</strong><br />
Initiative, which<br />
allows CBP agents<br />
to screen containers<br />
already at certain<br />
foreign ports so the<br />
foreign agents inspect<br />
the containers that<br />
seem suspicious, 148<br />
may be circumvented<br />
by terrorists if they<br />
acquire a trusted<br />
company to avoid<br />
suspicion, falsifying<br />
manifest data or<br />
infiltrating the CSI ports. 149 Furthermore, a nuclear weapon<br />
could be shipped from a non-CSI port <strong>and</strong> be detonated at<br />
a destination port before having been inspected. This would<br />
have very serious consequences for the world economy,<br />
which is highly dependent on the container traffic. Such<br />
an event would most likely cause many countries to<br />
immediately close their ports, thus bringing the global<br />
economy to its knees. 150 Current Situation<br />
Nuclear Weapons<br />
The accumulated<br />
threat posed by<br />
the estimated 27,000<br />
nuclear weapons in<br />
the <strong>United</strong> States,<br />
Russia, <strong>and</strong> the other<br />
Non-Proliferation<br />
Treaty nuclear<br />
weapons states, merits<br />
worldwide concern.<br />
Similar results could be achieved<br />
by using an oil tanker to transport a nuclear weapon. The<br />
153<br />
It is common to<br />
divide the process of<br />
proliferation of nuclear<br />
weapons into three<br />
waves of increasing<br />
level of threat. The<br />
first one, consisting of<br />
the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />
France, <strong>and</strong> China<br />
is often considered<br />
tolerable as the<br />
original group of<br />
Several thous<strong>and</strong> million cargo containers are shipped around the five nuclear weapon<br />
world each year. http://www.sustainabilityninja.com/wp-content/<br />
states, including<br />
uploads/2009/02/cargo-ship-pollution.jpg<br />
also the <strong>United</strong><br />
States <strong>and</strong> Russia,<br />
is characterized by stable political systems. According<br />
to this view, the second wave was already undesirable,<br />
because nuclear weapons were acquired by India, Pakistan<br />
<strong>and</strong>, probably, Israel – countries that claim that they are<br />
seriously endangered by terrorist acts <strong>and</strong> which might<br />
find it difficult to effectively protect their arsenals. These<br />
states could not be held responsible for violating the Non-<br />
Proliferation Treaty because they had never been parties<br />
to it. The third wave of proliferation, which included Iraq,<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 29 29
Iran, Libya, <strong>and</strong> North Korea is commonly seen as a mortal<br />
danger <strong>and</strong> has met with a much more forceful reaction<br />
by the international community. 154 In addition to these,<br />
any country that currently possesses nuclear enrichment<br />
facilities is technically able to produce materials that<br />
could be used in the production of weapons if intercepted<br />
by terrorists – this issue concerns for example Japan <strong>and</strong><br />
Brazil. It seems unjustified, however, to suggest that nuclear<br />
weapons in possession of some states pose no threat, while<br />
in the h<strong>and</strong>s of others they place the world in mortal<br />
jeopardy: governments change <strong>and</strong> all of them can act<br />
either sensibly or irresponsibly, <strong>and</strong> levels of protection of<br />
nuclear arsenals vary. Ultimately, while existing nuclear<br />
arsenals <strong>and</strong> stockpiles of fissile material represent the most<br />
immediate concern, the spread of nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong><br />
material has increased the probability of terrorists acquiring<br />
or constructing a nuclear device. 155<br />
The Current Shape of Nuclear Terrorism<br />
Nuclear terrorism, as contrasted to chemical <strong>and</strong><br />
biological, is currently at a very early stage <strong>and</strong><br />
probably mainly encompasses assessing the possibilities<br />
of using Radiological Dispersion Devices (RDD or dirty<br />
bombs) by terrorists. This is proved by several intelligence<br />
reports <strong>and</strong> recent cases of revealing of terrorist plans. In<br />
2001, two Pakistani scientists were arrested on accusations<br />
of transmitting technical knowledge on the design <strong>and</strong> the<br />
construction process of a dirty bomb to Al-Qaeda. 156 The<br />
plan involved using conventional explosives to detonate a<br />
used part of a fuel system of a nuclear reactor to disperse<br />
radioactive material around the target area. The <strong>United</strong> States<br />
military also found RDD blueprints in Afghanistan after<br />
having overthrown the Taliban regime in that country. 157<br />
Evidence of terrorists’ interest in other forms of possible<br />
nuclear weapons also exists. In November 2001, the CNN<br />
came into possession of a 25-page Al-Qaeda document<br />
entitled ‘The Super bomb,’ which was written in Arabic<br />
<strong>and</strong> concerned the design of an Improvised Nuclear Device<br />
(IND). 158 While both documents can be characterized by<br />
rather superficial display of technical knowledge of the<br />
issue, it shows the terrorists’ established interest in this type<br />
of activity. 159<br />
Nuclear terrorism in its present shape is also very closely<br />
related to attempts to capture radioactive materials,<br />
especially radiologic ones. The territories of some<br />
Caucasian <strong>and</strong> Central-Asian states constitute an area<br />
where several small-scale cases of smuggling of nuclear<br />
materials have been proved, <strong>and</strong> there exists an evidence<br />
base that Al-Qaeda has tried to purchase such radioactive<br />
materials from smugglers or to obtain it from other Islamic<br />
terrorist groups operating in the region. 160 Some facts also<br />
suggest that some Chechen terrorist groups have displayed<br />
interest in acquiring nuclear materials: the Russian army<br />
has discovered storages of radioactive materials in Chechen<br />
camps at several occasions. 161 The Chechens have already<br />
attempted to conduct an attack following the ‘dirty bomb’<br />
scheme: they buried a large radioactive parcel near the<br />
entrance to one of Moscow’s biggest <strong>and</strong> most heavily used<br />
public parks – the Izmailovsky Park - in 1995. 162 In 2002,<br />
a Brooklyn-born convert to Islam was accused of plotting<br />
to detonate a ‘dirty bomb’ in the <strong>United</strong> States, but these<br />
charges were later dropped as an investigation revealed<br />
that he had been planning to destroy two skyscrapers with<br />
just conventional explosives. 163 Other plans discovered by<br />
investigators, however, reveal that planning a use of nuclear<br />
materials is not alien to modern terrorists.<br />
Controlling the Production of Enriched Uranium <strong>and</strong><br />
Plutonium<br />
Most contemporary nuclear power reactors use as fuel<br />
uranium enriched to some 4%, which is produced in a<br />
technically difficult process that may also allow enrichment<br />
to levels suitable for use in nuclear weapons – 85% or<br />
more. 164 Therefore, technically any enrichment plant can be<br />
used for the production of bomb-grade material <strong>and</strong> it is<br />
only a matter of political will – or terrorist interception – to<br />
do so. It is for this reason that many governments express<br />
concerned about Iran’s development of uranium enrichment<br />
capacity. Intense diplomatic efforts have been under way<br />
to induce the Iranian government to terminate or defer its<br />
nuclear plans. A further risk is being posed by the current<br />
state in the global energy market, with fuel prices expected<br />
to continue rising – once the economic crisis is over – <strong>and</strong><br />
the growing concern about greenhouse gas emissions. This<br />
is likely to increase the global reliance on nuclear energy,<br />
which implies a growing dem<strong>and</strong> for uranium fuel leading<br />
to the construction of more enrichment <strong>and</strong> reprocessing<br />
plants. This increased flow of fissile material is likely to<br />
aggravate the risk of misuse <strong>and</strong> diversion. 165<br />
Past UN Actions<br />
The Non-Proliferation Treaty<br />
Adopted in 1970, the Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is<br />
the cornerstone of the global non-proliferation regime.<br />
The treaty was based on the common underst<strong>and</strong>ing by many<br />
countries that more fingers on nuclear triggers would results<br />
in a more dangerous world <strong>and</strong>, therefore, it was beneficial<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 30
The Three Mile Isl<strong>and</strong> nuclear facility in Pennsylvania -<br />
a potential target? http://www.astrosurf.com/luxorion/<br />
Physique/plant-three-mile-isl<strong>and</strong>.jpg<br />
for all states to reduce the nuclear threat by restricting access<br />
to military nuclear technologies. The original deal involved<br />
a resolution by non-nuclear weapon states not to pursue<br />
military nuclear program, <strong>and</strong> a commitment by the five<br />
nuclear states – USA, Russia, <strong>United</strong> Kingdom, France, <strong>and</strong><br />
China – to conduct nuclear disarmament. 171 These states<br />
were chosen based on the credential that they acquired<br />
nuclear facilities before 1970s. All parties also agreed to<br />
share peaceful nuclear technologies between themselves<br />
to facilitate non-military uses of nuclear power. Further<br />
provisions ensured that parties to the agreement entered<br />
into safeguard commitments to the <strong>International</strong> Atomic<br />
Energy Agency <strong>and</strong> promised to exercise control over their<br />
nuclear-related exports: the Safeguards Agreement. 172 The<br />
NPT was indefinitely extended in 1995, following decisions<br />
on its principles <strong>and</strong> objectives for non-proliferation <strong>and</strong><br />
disarmament, <strong>and</strong> a resolution to strengthen its review<br />
process. 173 At present, only four countries in the world are<br />
not parties to the Non-Proliferation Treaty: India, Israel,<br />
North Korea, <strong>and</strong> Pakistan. 174<br />
Despite its wide international appeal, the Non-Proliferation<br />
Treaty suffers from four general groups of problems that<br />
hinder its proper role. In fact, the NPT is the weakest<br />
of all international agreements concerning weapons<br />
of mass destruction in regards to its provisions about<br />
implementation. 175 The first group relates to the failure to<br />
make progress towards nuclear disarmament by the nuclear-<br />
weapons states. Nuclear tests were still conducted by the<br />
five powers for at least another 20 years after the NPT was<br />
adopted, 176 <strong>and</strong> presently all five states still maintain their<br />
nuclear arsenals <strong>and</strong> continue to develop new nuclear<br />
weapons. The second set of problems concerns the many<br />
breaches of the treaty by the originally non-nuclear states,<br />
such as Iraq, Libya, North Korea, <strong>and</strong> Iran that were not<br />
faced with any strong consequences, which created the risk<br />
of inducing a domino effect. Thirdly, the example of North<br />
Korea illustrates the lack of response measures to a country’s<br />
withdrawal as a party to the treaty. The only provision<br />
to address such cases was included in Chapter 2, which<br />
states that any notice of withdrawal must be brought to the<br />
attention of all other parties <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong><br />
Council (UNSC), which will determine whether the planned<br />
withdrawal constitutes a threat to the world peace <strong>and</strong> the<br />
appropriate international response that should be adopted. 177<br />
If the UNSC fails to respond in a strong enough manner,<br />
it may encourage others to follow suit <strong>and</strong> also withdraw<br />
from the NPT. Finally, the last problem is of entirely<br />
technical nature – the lack of any provision for a st<strong>and</strong>ing<br />
secretariat of the Treaty to assist the parties in implementing<br />
the treaty has proven ineffective. 178 At least one reform to<br />
the Non-Proliferation Treaty should be easy to conduct –<br />
its states parties should establish a st<strong>and</strong>ing secretariat to<br />
h<strong>and</strong>le administrative matters, organize the treaty’s review<br />
conferences <strong>and</strong> their preparatory committee sessions, as<br />
well as other meetings to consider cases of possible noncompliance<br />
or withdrawal.<br />
<strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts<br />
of Nuclear Terrorism<br />
In 2005, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly<br />
addressed the issue of nuclear terrorism by adopting the<br />
<strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts of<br />
Nuclear Terrorism. The 191-member UN General Assembly<br />
unanimously approved the Convention, which provided<br />
that all party states would domestically criminalize all<br />
acts of nuclear terrorism <strong>and</strong> obligated them to cooperate<br />
internationally in the prevention, investigation, <strong>and</strong><br />
prosecution of acts of nuclear terrorism. 179 Specifically, the<br />
treaty criminalized the possession or use of radioactive<br />
materials or a nuclear device ‘to cause death or serious bodily<br />
injury,’ to damage property, to pollute the environment, or<br />
to attack a nuclear facility. 180 These legal provisions ensured<br />
that governments would amend national laws to prevent<br />
terrorists <strong>and</strong> their supporters from financing, planning,<br />
or participating in nuclear terrorism, <strong>and</strong> that the share<br />
of information, extradition proceedings, <strong>and</strong> criminal<br />
prosecution of individuals linked to such acts would be<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 31 31
facilitated. 181 The treaty obtained a broad support base<br />
when an agreement on language of the treaty was struck<br />
after members of the 57-nation Organization of the Islamic<br />
Conference were assured that the treaty would not be used<br />
to impose a generic definition of terrorism. 182 According<br />
to many experts, however, although the Convention is<br />
a welcome agreement <strong>and</strong> a step in the right direction, it<br />
offers no decisive solutions to the problem.<br />
Physical Protection<br />
The various measures of physical protection of nuclear<br />
weapons, materials <strong>and</strong> facilities refer to the controls<br />
designed to prevent sabotage, thefts, <strong>and</strong> other attacks.<br />
While all nuclear states have their own domestic laws <strong>and</strong><br />
procedures to maintain physical security of such items,<br />
there have also been several international efforts <strong>and</strong><br />
agreements to improve their st<strong>and</strong>ards of protection. The<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> adopted the Convention of the Physical<br />
Protection of Nuclear Material in 1979, which provides for<br />
certain levels of physical protection during international<br />
transport of nuclear material <strong>and</strong> establishes a general<br />
framework for cooperation among states in the protection,<br />
recovery, <strong>and</strong> return of stolen nuclear material. 183 The<br />
<strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency prepared a set of<br />
Physical Protection Objectives <strong>and</strong> Fundamental Principles<br />
in 2001, <strong>and</strong> has since issued several resolutions on<br />
Measures to Protect Against Nuclear Terrorism <strong>and</strong> has also<br />
The <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency sends its inspectors to nuclear<br />
facilities around the world. http://gstaadblog.files.wordpress.com/2008/06/iaea.<br />
jpg<br />
assisted states through its <strong>International</strong> Physical Protection<br />
Advisory Service. 184 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Council<br />
expressed its support for the increased efforts to strengthen<br />
the physical protection of nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong> materials<br />
in its Resolution 1540, which obligated all states to ‘develop<br />
<strong>and</strong> maintain appropriate effective physical protection<br />
measures.’ 185 It seems that the current system of international<br />
supervisions by the IAEA is relatively effective, <strong>and</strong> it is now<br />
an issue of ensuring compliance rather than of developing<br />
new multilateral rules.<br />
Proposed Solutions<br />
In view of the growing concern over the safety of nuclear<br />
materials, there is no single measure that can assure a<br />
100% certainty of success. A response should be based on<br />
the scheme called ‘layered defense,’ reflecting the idea that<br />
stealing nuclear materials would involve many steps from<br />
acquisition to transportation, <strong>and</strong> that attempting to thwart<br />
such attempts at each step has a higher likelihood of success<br />
than trying to block one step only. Whether this layered<br />
defense is an overarching strategy, or simply a name given to<br />
what would happen anyway as many agencies with different<br />
capabilities contribute in the ways each is able to, or a bit of<br />
both, is another matter. 190 In any case, there are four general<br />
categories of programs that are in place in order to prevent<br />
nuclear materials from falling into the wrong h<strong>and</strong>s.<br />
Efforts to Secure HEU <strong>World</strong>wide<br />
<strong>and</strong> Threat Reduction Programs<br />
Highly Enriched Uranium is still<br />
being widely used in reactors<br />
around the world, many of which<br />
are shockingly poorly guarded. This<br />
is an issue of particular concern,<br />
because obtaining these extremely<br />
dangerous materials is very valuable<br />
for terrorists, second only to<br />
acquiring an intact nuclear device.<br />
So far, however, the efforts to secure<br />
stocks of HEU worldwide have been<br />
largely ad hoc rather than part of a<br />
comprehensive plan. For example,<br />
projects Sapphire (1994) <strong>and</strong> Vinca<br />
(2002) reportedly removed HEU<br />
from poorly guarded research<br />
reactors in Kazakhstan <strong>and</strong> Serbia,<br />
respectively. 191 Several programs<br />
are in place with the objective of<br />
attempting to achieve a clean-up of<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 32 32
stocks of HEU worldwide. For example, the Global Threat<br />
Reduction aimed to secure both used <strong>and</strong> unused Russianorigin<br />
HEU supplies, <strong>and</strong> to convert the cores of civilian<br />
research reactors using HEU to be able to use uranium with<br />
lower-enriched uranium which would not be applicable<br />
in a nuclear bomb. As mentioned before, however, these<br />
efforts are prevalently unilateral <strong>and</strong> mono-national, <strong>and</strong><br />
thus such programs should be established through closer<br />
international cooperation, especially in the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>.<br />
An important specific aspect of the problem that<br />
should be addressed by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> is the issue<br />
of h<strong>and</strong>ling of former Soviet nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong><br />
materials. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, the <strong>United</strong><br />
States has established several nuclear disarmament<br />
programs, such as the Soviet Nuclear Threat Reduction<br />
Act of 1992, also known as the Nunn-Lugar Amendment,<br />
authorizing the <strong>United</strong> States Department of Defense to<br />
assist the Russians in the destruction of Soviet nuclear<br />
weapons. In addition, the <strong>United</strong> States also funds<br />
numerous non-proliferation programs to secure nuclear<br />
materials from the Soviet era, including the Cooperative<br />
Threat Reduction program, the <strong>International</strong> Nuclear<br />
Materials Protection <strong>and</strong> Cooperation <strong>and</strong> Elimination<br />
of Weapons-Grade Plutonium Production, 192 <strong>and</strong> the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> should join in strengthening these efforts.<br />
In addition to nuclear materials, it is crucial to secure<br />
sources of knowledge in the field of nuclear weapons<br />
production, which is especially important in the former<br />
Soviet Union states where several experts reside whose<br />
knowledge can be dangerous if acquired by terrorists. It<br />
is important, therefore, to ensure safety of these scientists<br />
<strong>and</strong> to provide them with grant funding for research on<br />
non-nuclear projects. One idea would be to establish<br />
international scientific institutes run by the <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong> through its numerous agencies in countries such<br />
as Russia or Ukraine.<br />
Another unavoidable issue in this area is the problem of<br />
security of Iran or North Korea’s nuclear facilities, <strong>and</strong><br />
decisive diplomatic measures should be attempted to obtain<br />
agreements for international inspectors, e.g. from the IAEA,<br />
to inspect them. <strong>International</strong> guidance <strong>and</strong> assistance can<br />
be crucial in ensuring that terrorists do not gain access to<br />
these arsenals.<br />
Control of Borders<br />
<strong>International</strong> assistance is necessary to ensure that<br />
nuclear materials do not leak through the borders of the<br />
countries already involved in nuclear research. The already<br />
existing programs, such as the Second Line of Defense<br />
<strong>and</strong> the Export Control <strong>and</strong> Related Border <strong>Security</strong><br />
Assistance should be strengthened with more international<br />
participation <strong>and</strong> a new comprehensive program could be<br />
created under the auspices of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> to assist<br />
member states in their efforts to make their borders safe<br />
from nuclear trafficking. <strong>International</strong> cooperation is<br />
needed to ensure that current less-than-perfect methods of<br />
detection of nuclear materials, such as x-ray-type imaging,<br />
physical inspection, <strong>and</strong> neutron activation, are improved<br />
<strong>and</strong> that new methods are developed. For example, the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, through one of its agencies, e.g. the IAEA,<br />
could establish programs deploying radiation monitors at<br />
strategic transit <strong>and</strong> border crossings, as well as airports<br />
<strong>and</strong> seaports throughout the world.<br />
Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative<br />
Shipping containers account for 90 percent of all world<br />
cargo, <strong>and</strong> an annual total of 9 million are offloaded in US<br />
ports only. 193 A significant risk exists that nuclear materials<br />
could be smuggled via this mode of transport. Therefore,<br />
it is beneficial for all nations to reduce this threat by<br />
cooperating in establishing security measures in the world’s<br />
shipping industry, by developing a network of inspections<br />
that would effectively screen containers at all ports around<br />
the world before they are shipped. With this in mind, the<br />
Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative was established in 2002 <strong>and</strong> is<br />
currently operational in 34 ports, with another 13 possible,<br />
where host countries’ border security officers work together<br />
with international inspectors in ensuring that all traffic is<br />
being properly inspected <strong>and</strong> that suspicious containers<br />
are detected <strong>and</strong> subjected to control. By participating in<br />
this mostly American program, the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> could<br />
ensure greater international coverage <strong>and</strong> could provide<br />
more resources at its disposal.<br />
Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative<br />
The Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative started in 2003; by<br />
2005, 60 states were already party to the agreement.<br />
The participants seek to interdict sea or air shipments of<br />
weapons of mass destruction or their related materials to<br />
or by states of ‘proliferation concern’ trying to acquire or<br />
transfer such items. 194 Thanks to the multinational nature<br />
of the program, shipments can be interdicted not only at<br />
participating countries’ ports, but also in their national<br />
waters <strong>and</strong> airspace, <strong>and</strong> even on the high seas. According<br />
to press reports, the first interception under the PSI took<br />
place in 2003 when a Libya-bound cargo of a German ship,<br />
with thous<strong>and</strong>s of parts for special centrifuges for enriching<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 33 33
uranium, was confiscated. 194<br />
Fuel-Cycle Proposals<br />
While growth in nuclear power<br />
will take time, <strong>and</strong> the<br />
existing global capacity for uranium<br />
enrichment <strong>and</strong> reprocessing is<br />
enough to meet the needs arising from<br />
a considerable expansion, 196 some<br />
designs are needed to ensure a safe<br />
<strong>and</strong> steady supply of nuclear fuel in<br />
the future to match the rising number<br />
of reactors. One proposal would be to<br />
impose a moratorium of a few years<br />
on the construction of new facilities<br />
for the enrichment or reprocessing of<br />
uranium to ensure that appropriate<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ards for international control<br />
of such facilities are developed. 197 A<br />
system could be designed under the<br />
supervision of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> the IAEA under which nuclear<br />
facilities of this kind would be built<br />
in a compromise-based location, so<br />
that all states could buy low-enriched<br />
nuclear fuel at market prices. In this<br />
internationally-managed project,<br />
all states – both producers <strong>and</strong><br />
consumers – would participate in<br />
the marketing process by deciding<br />
on prices. A somewhat similar<br />
scheme – The Global Nuclear Energy<br />
Partnership (GNEP) – was advanced<br />
in 2006 by the <strong>United</strong> States <strong>and</strong> was<br />
discussed with the <strong>United</strong> Kingdom,<br />
France, Russia, China, India <strong>and</strong><br />
Japan. 198 Under this scheme, a limited<br />
number of countries would produce<br />
nuclear fuel <strong>and</strong> then ‘lease’ it to other<br />
states, accepting it back later on for<br />
reprocessing. This would serve the<br />
two purposes of both reducing the<br />
amount of nuclear waste, which is<br />
North Korea’s nuclear programme remains an issue of international<br />
controversy. http://neoavatara.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/<br />
northkoreaimage1.jpg<br />
dangerous for the environment <strong>and</strong><br />
Key Actors <strong>and</strong> Positions<br />
could be intercepted by terrorists for use in the production<br />
of a dirty bomb, <strong>and</strong> constituting a disincentive for many<br />
states from building enrichment plants of their own.<br />
North Korea<br />
North Korea acceded to the NPT in 1985, <strong>and</strong> in 1992<br />
its long-delayed safeguards agreement with the IAEA<br />
entered into force <strong>and</strong> IAEA inspections started. In the same<br />
year, the Joint Declaration on the Denuclearization of the<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 34 34
Korean Peninsula was signed, in which North Korea <strong>and</strong> its<br />
southern neighbor agreed not to develop nuclear weapons<br />
<strong>and</strong> not to possess uranium enrichment facilities. 199 A few<br />
years later, however, IAEA’s safeguard inspections revealed<br />
that North Korea must have produced more plutonium than<br />
it had declared, which prompted North Korea to announce<br />
its intent to withdraw from the NPT. 200 In 1994, after USorganized<br />
negotiations, North Korea signed an Agreed<br />
Framework declaring a freeze to its nuclear program, an<br />
acceptance of IAEA’s inspectors <strong>and</strong> rejoining the NPT.<br />
By 2005, however, it became clear that North Korea had<br />
been secretly developing its nuclear capabilities, which was<br />
confirmed when the country’s government claimed being<br />
in possession of nuclear weapons. 201 In 2009 North Korea<br />
conducted another nuclear test <strong>and</strong> it became clear that<br />
North Korea has become a ‘fully fledged nuclear power,’<br />
according to several experts, including the IAEA’s director<br />
Mohamed ElBaradei. 202 North Korea maintains that its<br />
nuclear weapons program is being conducted as part of<br />
the measures to bolster up its nuclear deterrent solely for<br />
self-defense, <strong>and</strong> refuses to ab<strong>and</strong>on its program or to allow<br />
IAEA inspectors into its nuclear facilities.<br />
Iran<br />
Iran has a long-st<strong>and</strong>ing tradition of developing its nuclear<br />
capability by enriching uranium without reporting this<br />
activity to the IAEA. Iran’s government firmly asserts that its<br />
efforts are intended only to give the country an indigenous<br />
source of low-enriched uranium fuel for its planned nuclear<br />
power plants, <strong>and</strong> rejects any accusations that Iran intends to<br />
use these capabilities to produce highly-enriched uranium<br />
to develop nuclear weapons. 203 The Iranian government<br />
believes that concerns about nuclear weapons proliferation<br />
are pretextual, <strong>and</strong> international calls for suspension of<br />
enrichment are simply intended to ultimately deprive Iran<br />
of the right to have an independent nuclear technology, <strong>and</strong><br />
thus maintains that its right to peaceful nuclear technology<br />
is inalienable. Iran is likely to object to any attempts to<br />
prevent it from possessing enrichment plants of its own,<br />
stating that it cannot simply trust the <strong>United</strong> States or<br />
Europe to provide Iran with nuclear energy fuel.<br />
<strong>United</strong> States<br />
The <strong>United</strong> States supports international cooperation<br />
among sovereign states, manifested by parallel or joint<br />
action towards common goals on a domestic or international<br />
level, accompanied by corresponding developments in<br />
treaty-based <strong>and</strong> UN-conceived international law. 204 The<br />
<strong>United</strong> States government spearheaded the Global Initiative<br />
to Combat Nuclear Terrorism, <strong>and</strong> supported the adoption<br />
of several UN resolutions addressing the issue, including<br />
the <strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression of Acts<br />
of Nuclear Terrorism. America’s extensive involvement in<br />
addressing the issue of safeguarding of nuclear materials<br />
is undeniable <strong>and</strong> is best displayed by its relentless efforts<br />
in promoting international systems of prevention from<br />
nuclear threats, such as the Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative.<br />
However, the <strong>United</strong> States government is highly suspicious<br />
of the role of international bureaucracies in achieving<br />
objectives of global importance, which is one of the main<br />
reasons it dislikes the <strong>International</strong> Criminal Court, <strong>and</strong> for<br />
this reason it might be reluctant toward any solutions that<br />
would emphasize the role of such instruments. 205 The <strong>United</strong><br />
States is also deeply involved in guaranteeing nuclear nonproliferation,<br />
<strong>and</strong> is one of the strongest critics of the North<br />
Korean <strong>and</strong> Iranian nuclear programs. At the same time, the<br />
American government tends to refrain from taking a strong<br />
diplomatic stance against some other countries involved in<br />
nuclear proliferation – such as Pakistan – because of their<br />
role in the war on terrorism.<br />
Russia<br />
Since its political transformations after the fall of the Soviet<br />
Union, the Russian Federation has been extensively<br />
involved in securing the former-Soviet nuclear arsenals <strong>and</strong><br />
material to prevent undesirable individuals from getting<br />
access to them, for example through its active support of<br />
the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program<br />
from 1992. It was the government of president Yeltsin that<br />
proposed a treaty to prevent rogue terrorists from getting<br />
their h<strong>and</strong>s on nuclear material from insecure facilities<br />
spread across the former Soviet Union, which resulted in<br />
the adoption of the Convention for the Suppression of Acts<br />
of Nuclear Terrorism by the General Assembly seven years<br />
later. The Russian Delegation to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> was also<br />
one of main authors of several international agreements on<br />
preventing nuclear terrorism, such as the Global Initiative<br />
to Combat Nuclear Terrorism. In regards to Iran’s nuclear<br />
program, Russia has maintained that is no evidence that<br />
Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons program, 206 <strong>and</strong> has been<br />
reluctant to accept any drastic measures of response. Russia’s<br />
attitude to the North Korean nuclear weapons program<br />
is significantly different, <strong>and</strong> the Russian government has<br />
taken a stance of strong condemnation of North Korea’s<br />
nuclear tests. 207<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 35 35
Arab League<br />
All member states of the Organization of the Islamic<br />
Conference are committed to responding to the<br />
Iranian nuclear program by preaching ‘full respect for<br />
equal <strong>and</strong> inalienable rights for all nations to explore<br />
modern technologies including nuclear energy for peaceful<br />
purposes.’ 209<br />
European Union<br />
Nuclear threats are a matter of special concern for<br />
the European Union because of the high level of<br />
nuclearization within the EU’s borders. Therefore, the<br />
European Union is fully committed to fighting against<br />
the proliferation of nuclear weapons as well as to<br />
safeguarding its nuclear materials, which is practically<br />
demonstrated by the active implementation of the<br />
Strategy Against the Proliferation of WMD adopted<br />
on 12 December 2003 by the European Council. 210 The<br />
Strategy contains a number of measures to prevent, deter,<br />
halt, <strong>and</strong> possibly eliminate proliferation programs that<br />
cause concern at the global level. In particular, it stresses<br />
that non-proliferation, disarmament <strong>and</strong> arms control<br />
can contribute significantly to the global fight against<br />
terrorism by reducing the risk of non state actors gaining<br />
access to weapons of mass destruction, radioactive<br />
materials, <strong>and</strong> means of delivery. 211 As expressed in<br />
the EU statement in support of the Global Initiative<br />
to Combat Nuclear Terrorism, the European Union<br />
<strong>and</strong> its Member States are committed to fulfilling their<br />
obligations under international law <strong>and</strong> frameworks,<br />
notably the Convention for the Suppression of Acts of<br />
Nuclear Terrorism, the Convention on the Physical<br />
Protection of Nuclear Material <strong>and</strong> its 2005 Amendment,<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Council Resolutions 1373 <strong>and</strong><br />
1540. 212<br />
Relevant Partners<br />
The <strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency is probably the<br />
most prominent international institution dealing with<br />
issues such as nuclear safety, non-proliferation, <strong>and</strong> threat<br />
reduction. The Agency’s programs seek to promote peaceful<br />
uses of nuclear energy <strong>and</strong> to inhibit its application for<br />
military purposes. The IAEA’s experience in the field <strong>and</strong><br />
its highly-developed system of safeguards <strong>and</strong> procedures<br />
guarantee that the Agency’s advice would be helpful in<br />
designing a comprehensive response to the issue of nuclear<br />
terrorism.<br />
<strong>International</strong> Crisis Group is an international nongovernmental<br />
organization whose mission is to prevent<br />
<strong>and</strong> resolve deadly conflicts around the world through<br />
field-based analyses <strong>and</strong> high-level advocacy. 213 The ICG<br />
can offer advice to the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly<br />
on the possible measures for safeguarding nuclear<br />
materials, based on its field-based analyses. In the past,<br />
the <strong>International</strong> Crisis Group has presented valuable<br />
<strong>and</strong> detailed proposals for a way forward in looking for a<br />
solution to the proliferation problems, <strong>and</strong> it is expected<br />
to continue having a very significant direct impact on the<br />
prevention <strong>and</strong> resolution of this problem.<br />
Several other non-governmental organizations can<br />
provide valuable inputs into the works of the <strong>Disarmament</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Committee debating the<br />
issue of safety of nuclear materials. Organizations like<br />
the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation, which was founded<br />
for <strong>and</strong> noted for its opposition to nuclear weapons,<br />
or the Global Policy Forum, which has offered some<br />
new strategic thinking on the issue of Iran’s nuclear<br />
program, can be valuable in regards to their aggressive<br />
<strong>and</strong> unbiased advocacy of the common interest in global<br />
safety. Other, more scientific NGOs can also be helpful<br />
in providing some technical information on the safe<br />
storage, transportation, <strong>and</strong> usage of nuclear materials.<br />
Questions a Resolution Must Answer<br />
How can member states strengthen cooperation <strong>and</strong><br />
collaboration to reduce the global concern over<br />
nuclear materials?<br />
What international st<strong>and</strong>ards should be adopted/<br />
reformed by the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> to assist member<br />
states in protecting their nuclear arsenals <strong>and</strong><br />
stockpiles of nuclear materials?<br />
What can the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> its agencies do to<br />
secure HEU worldwide?<br />
Should any international schemes be established<br />
under the aegis of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> to provide<br />
member states with an opportunity to buy nuclear<br />
fuel <strong>and</strong> to discourage individual enrichment<br />
programs?<br />
What additional measures can be adopted to secure<br />
the world cargo shipping in regards to nuclear<br />
safety?<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 36 36
How can the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> ensure that member<br />
states do not violate its non-proliferation rules?<br />
Suggestions for Further Research<br />
Given the nature of the issue of nuclear safety – the fact<br />
that it is more of a potential problem whose harbingers<br />
are hardly prominent enough to be reported by mass media<br />
– it is difficult to obtain updates on the issue by just reading<br />
news columns in newspapers <strong>and</strong> on websites. Some useful<br />
articles can be found in the online archives of the world’s<br />
leading news sources such as TV news channels, e.g. BBC,<br />
CNN, ABC, <strong>and</strong> newspapers, e.g. The Times, Le Figaro, The<br />
New York Times. Some of them are based on interventionist<br />
journalism of the kind exhibited by ABC reporters who<br />
staged an attempted smuggling of a nuclear device.<br />
A more useful source in researching the developments in<br />
the area of nuclear weapons <strong>and</strong> their related materials<br />
can come from various UN agencies, particularly the<br />
<strong>International</strong> Atomic Energy Agency. The IAEA’s website<br />
provides access to a plethora of highly informative reports<br />
<strong>and</strong> analyses by international experts, which can not<br />
only make you better informed on the current situation<br />
but can be also useful as sources of ideas for solutions<br />
to the problem. The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> resolution database<br />
is another interesting source that can provide you with<br />
excellent information on the course of action that the<br />
<strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> <strong>and</strong> its various bodies have adopted so<br />
far regarding the issue in question.<br />
There are also several independent publications on the<br />
growing threat of nuclear terrorism, both by researchers<br />
affiliated with various academic institutions <strong>and</strong><br />
numerous non-governmental organizations that deal<br />
with this issue. For example, the book ‘Weapons of Terror,’<br />
published by the Stockholm-based Weapons of Mass<br />
Destruction Commission, contains a comprehensive<br />
analysis of the possible measures of response to the risk<br />
of nuclear terrorism. Another great resource is the 2004<br />
report by Harvard University’s Project on Managing<br />
the Atom, which investigates the prospects of nuclear<br />
weapons falling into the h<strong>and</strong>s of terrorists in the near<br />
future.<br />
p o s I t I o n pApers<br />
Writing a position paper is a crucial part of your<br />
preparation for the conference, even though it<br />
hardly seems as a fun part of the entire enterprise. Your<br />
position paper should concisely summarize your research<br />
on your country’s specific policy, reflecting the stance you,<br />
as a representative of your government, are going to take in<br />
committee. Make sure to carefully research <strong>and</strong> think about<br />
your country’s views on the issues in question, reflected both<br />
through its history, alliances <strong>and</strong> contemporary interests,<br />
<strong>and</strong> to present them coherently as you will in committee.<br />
Your position paper should address both topics in their<br />
entirety, but with reference to the specific issues that<br />
the committee will be focusing on. You are advised to<br />
include a brief discussion of your country’s views on a<br />
few basic aspects of both problems. In regards to the<br />
Arctic: the legitimacy of national sovereignty claims,<br />
the international status of Arctic waters, the rights<br />
of countries to station weapons in the region; in case<br />
of nuclear terrorism: the nuclear non-proliferation,<br />
uranium enrichment programs, threat reduction schemes<br />
<strong>and</strong> international cooperation in regards to border<br />
control. Within these branches, you should make sure<br />
to specify both the current position of your country <strong>and</strong><br />
the past actions that your country has taken, in addition<br />
to your proposed solutions to each problem. Be creative<br />
<strong>and</strong> do not hesitate to present a more active stance than<br />
your country ever has historically, but always remember<br />
that being on-policy should be your first priority.<br />
Your position paper should not exceed one single-spaced<br />
page; brevity is encouraged. Please use Times New<br />
Roman, size 12 point font.<br />
c l o s I n g remArks<br />
Congratulations on making it to the end! You are now<br />
more than welcome to give yourself a pat on the back,<br />
but please remember that this piece of writing is just a very<br />
general introduction to the complex issues that we will<br />
debate, <strong>and</strong> it certainly cannot provide you with enough<br />
knowledge to excel in committee. The next step is to do some<br />
significant research of your own, including reconstructing<br />
your country-specific position <strong>and</strong> conceptualizing the set<br />
of ideas that you are going to pursue through discussion<br />
<strong>and</strong> resolution-writing. Please take a serious look at the<br />
‘Suggestions for Further Research’ sections in both topic<br />
areas while planning your approach to these complicated<br />
<strong>and</strong> multidimensional issues.<br />
I am incredibly excited to meet you all in Vancouver<br />
next year. Let me assure you that the conference will be<br />
a memorable experience for each <strong>and</strong> every one of you.<br />
Do not hesitate to contact me to ask any questions or just<br />
to introduce yourself. I hope you enjoy the topic areas<br />
<strong>and</strong> I am sure that together we will make DISEC live up<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 37 37
to its ‘First Committee’ status by being the most exciting<br />
committee at <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012!<br />
e n d n o t e s<br />
1 General Assembly First Committee on <strong>Disarmament</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong>, Reaching Critical<br />
Will website. Accessed online on 10 August<br />
2009 at http://www.reachingcriticalwill.org/<br />
political/1com/1comindex1.html<br />
2 Ibidem.<br />
3 Charter of the <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong><br />
website. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at<br />
http://www.un.org/en/documents/charter/chapter4.shtml<br />
4 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.britannica.com/<br />
EBchecked/topic/33100/Arctic<br />
5 History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic<br />
Encyclopedia, Columbia University Press. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.infoplease.com/ce6/world/A0921120.htm<br />
6 Bob Edwards, A Brief History of Arctic Exploration.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
geography.about.com/library/misc/ucarctic.htm<br />
7 Ibidem.<br />
8 History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic<br />
Encyclopedia.<br />
9 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica.<br />
10 Bob Edwards, A Brief History of Arctic Exploration.<br />
11 History of Exploration, The Columbia Electronic<br />
Encyclopedia.<br />
12 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica.<br />
13 Ibidem.<br />
14 E. C. H. Keskitalo, Negotiating the Arctic. (New<br />
York: Routledge, 2004). 26<br />
15 Keskitalo 27<br />
16 Keskitalo 35<br />
17 Keskitalo 35<br />
18 Keskitalo 134<br />
19 Oran R. Young, Arctic Politics. (Hanover: University<br />
Press of New Engl<strong>and</strong> 1992). 162<br />
20 The Manhattan’s Epic Voyage, Time, 29 September<br />
1969. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />
at http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,844952,00.html<br />
21 The Polar Sea, CBC Digital Archives, 29 July<br />
1985. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
archives.cbc.ca/politics/federal_politics/topics/2349-13655/<br />
22 Canada <strong>and</strong> the <strong>United</strong> States: Agreement<br />
on Arctic Cooperation, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> – Treaty<br />
Series, 27 January 1995. Accessed online<br />
10 August 2009 at http://untreaty.un.org/<br />
unts/60001_120000/30/4/00058175.pdf<br />
23 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie, Spiegel<br />
Online <strong>International</strong>, 23 March 2009. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.spiegel.<br />
de/international/world/0,1518,614900,00.html<br />
24 Keskitalo 34<br />
25 Ibidem.<br />
26 Thomas R. Berger, Alexei Rodionov <strong>and</strong> others,<br />
The Arctic: Choices for Peace <strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong>. (West<br />
Vancouver: Gordon Soules Book Publishers Ltd.).<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 38 38
114<br />
27 Young 190<br />
28 Berger 114<br />
29 Berger 114<br />
30 Weapons of Mass Destruction, Global<strong>Security</strong>.<br />
org. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/russia/667B.<br />
htm<br />
31 Berger 118<br />
32 Arctic. Encyclopaedia Britannica.<br />
33 Young 190-192<br />
34 Young 192-193<br />
35 Young 193-194<br />
36 Young 194-195<br />
37 Marsha Walton, Countries in tug-of-war over<br />
Arctic resources, CNN, 2 January 2009. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.cnn.<br />
com/2009/TECH/science/01/02/arctic.rights.<br />
dispute/index.html<br />
38 Jad Mouawad, Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches,<br />
The New York Times, 24 July 2008. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.<br />
com/2008/07/24/business/24arctic.html?_r=1<br />
39 USGS Arctic Oil <strong>and</strong> Gas Report, A USGS fact<br />
sheet from July 2008, Geology.com. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://geology.com/usgs/<br />
arctic-oil-<strong>and</strong>-gas-report.shtml<br />
40 Jad Mouawad, Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches.<br />
41 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />
Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic. The Heritage<br />
Foundation, 30 October 2008. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.heritage.org/<br />
research/energy<strong>and</strong>environment/bg2202.cfm<br />
42 Jad Mouawad, Oil Survey Says Arctic Has Riches.<br />
43 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />
Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />
44 Mikhail Krutikhin, Arctic Ocean Prospects,<br />
Kommersant, 30 May 2008. Accessed online on 10<br />
August 2009 at http://www.kommersant.com/<br />
p897663/Expert_shares_his_view_of_possible_oil_<br />
mining_in_the_Arctic_zone<br />
45 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />
Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />
46 Anthony Browne, Melting ice starts rush for<br />
Arctic resources, The Times, 28 January 2006. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article721377.<br />
ece<br />
47 Philip Bethge, Climate Change Sparks Scrap for<br />
Arctic Resources, Spiegel Online <strong>International</strong>, 31<br />
March 2006. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />
at http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,409001,00.html<br />
48 Ibidem.<br />
49 Anthony Browne, Melting ice starts rush for<br />
Arctic resources.<br />
50 Philip Bethge, Climate Change Sparks Scrap for<br />
Arctic Resources.<br />
51 Marsha Walton, Countries in tug-of-war over<br />
Arctic resources.<br />
52 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie.<br />
53 Richard A. Lovett, Russia’s Arctic Claim Backed<br />
by Rocks, Officials Say, National Geographinc News,<br />
21 September 2007. Accessed online on 10 August<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 39 39
2009 at http://news.nationalgeographic.com/<br />
news/pf/47871933.html<br />
54 Ibidem.<br />
55 Marsha Walton, Countries in tug-of-war over-<br />
Arctic resources.<br />
56 Ibidem.<br />
57 Russian Strategic Bombers Patrol Arctic,<br />
Atlantic Oceans, Russian News <strong>and</strong> Information<br />
Agency Novosti, 20 June 2008. Accessed<br />
online 10 August 2009 at http://en.rian.ru/russia/20080620/111462629.html<br />
58 UN Backs Norway Claim to Arctic Seabed Extension.<br />
Accessed online 15 April 2009. Accessed online<br />
10 August 2009 at http://www.calgaryherald.<br />
com/Technology/backs+Norway+claim+Arctic+sea<br />
bed+extension/1499675/story.html<br />
59 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />
Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />
60 Russian Strategic Bombers Patrolling Arctic,<br />
Interfax, June 9, 2008.<br />
61 Rowan Scarborough, Russian Flights Smack of<br />
Cold War, The Washington Times, 26 June 2008.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
washingtontimes.com/news/2008/jun/26/russian-flights-smack-of-cold-war/<br />
62 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />
Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />
63 Navy Resumes Military Presence Near Spitsbergen,<br />
Russian News <strong>and</strong> Information Agency Novosti,<br />
14 July 2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />
at http://en.rian.ru/world/20080714/113914174.<br />
html<br />
64 Ibidem.<br />
65 Russia warns of war over Arctic resources, The<br />
Intelligence Daily, 14 May 2009. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.inteldaily.com/<br />
news/165/ARTICLE/10678/2009-05-14.html<br />
66 Ariel Cohen, Lajos F. Szaszdi, The New Cold War:<br />
Reviving the U.S, presence in the Arctic.<br />
67 Arctic Military Bases Signal New Cold War, The<br />
Times, 11 August 2007. Accessed online on 10<br />
August 2009 at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/<br />
news/world/us_<strong>and</strong>_americas/article2238243.ece<br />
68 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />
the Sea, Division for Ocean Affairs <strong>and</strong> the Law<br />
of the Sea website. Accessed online on 10 August<br />
2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
www.un.org/Depts/los/convention_agreements/<br />
convention_historical_perspective.htm<br />
69 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />
the Sea. <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> General Assembly. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.lawofthesea.net/Konvencija/part3.txt<br />
70 Donat Phar<strong>and</strong>, Leonard H. Legault, The Northwest<br />
Passage: Arctic straits. (Boston: Martinus<br />
Nijhoff Publishers, 1984). 209<br />
71 Phar<strong>and</strong> 209<br />
72 The <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> Convention on the Law of<br />
the Sea, Division for Ocean Affairs <strong>and</strong> the Law<br />
of the Sea website.<br />
73 Convention on the Continental Shelf, <strong>United</strong><br />
<strong>Nations</strong> 1964. Accessed online on 10 August<br />
2009 at http://untreaty.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/conventions/8_1_1958_continental_shelf.pdf<br />
74 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie<br />
75 Ilulisat Declaration. Accessed online on 10<br />
August 2009 at http://www.oceanlaw.org/<br />
downloads/arctic/Ilulissat_Declaration.pdf<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 40 40
76 Ibidem.<br />
77 Ibidem.<br />
78 Ibidem.<br />
79 Scott Borgerson, An Ice Cold War, The New<br />
York Times, 8 August 2007. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.nytimes.<br />
com/2007/08/08/opinion/08borgerson.html<br />
80 John Bellinger, Treaty on ice Arctic, <strong>International</strong><br />
Herald Tribune, 24 June 2008. Factiva<br />
81 Norway’s Policy in the High North – the Arctic<br />
Dimension, Utenriks Department website, 21 January<br />
2008. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/ud/dep/politisk_ledelse/elisabeth_walaas/taler/2008/arctic_frontiers.<br />
html?id=497558<br />
82 Michael Schwirtz, Russia – Arctic Deployment<br />
Planned, The New York Times, 27 March 2009. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
nytimes.com/2009/03/28/world/europe/28briefsbrfRUSSIA.html<br />
83 Gerd Braune, Countries Seek a Piece of Pie<br />
84 Thomas Omestad, Bush Signs Off on New U.S. Arctic<br />
Policy, U.S. News, 12 January 2009. Accessed online on<br />
10 August 2009 at http://www.usnews.com/articles/<br />
news/world/2009/01/12/bush-signs-off-on-new-usarctic-policy.html<br />
85 Owen Bowcott, Bush urges US to stake claim to<br />
Arctic territory in last-gasp energy grab, The Guardian,<br />
15 January 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />
at http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/<br />
jan/15/arctic-bush<br />
86 Thomas Omestad, Bush Signs Off on New US Arctic<br />
Policy.<br />
87 Harper on Arctic: ‘Use it or Lose it’, Canada.<br />
com, 10 July 2007. Accessed online on 10 August<br />
2009 at http://www.canada.com/topics/<br />
news/story.html?id=7ca93d97-3b26-4dd1-8d92-<br />
8568f9b7cc2a&k=73323<br />
88 Ibidem.<br />
89 Sheldon Alberts, U.S. supports Arctic Treaty in turf<br />
battled over oil riches, Edmonton Journal, 7 April 2009.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
edmontonjournal.com/Technology/supports+Arctic+t<br />
reaty+turf+battle+over+riches/1472398/story.html<br />
90 Norway, Arctic Council website. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://arctic-council.org/member_state/norway<br />
91 Flat, cold <strong>and</strong> increasingly crowded: What policies<br />
for the Arctic?, Norway’s Mission to the EU website,<br />
28 January 2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />
at http://www.eu-norway.org/news/newsarchives/<br />
arctic+policy+briefing+jan+09.htm<br />
92 Bjorn Bjarnason, New Arctic Policies, 4 May 2009.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
bjorn.is/greinar/nr/4944<br />
93 Ibidem.<br />
94 Lomonosov Ridge off Greenl<strong>and</strong>, Geologi och<br />
Geokemi, Stockholmes Universitet website. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.geo.su.se/<br />
forsk-maringeologi-projects/lomrog-2007-2_en<br />
95 Ian Traynor, Europe joins international contest for<br />
Arctic’s resources, The Guardian, 21 November 2008.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
guardian.co.uk/world/2008/nov/21/arctic-energy-eu<br />
96 Ibidem.<br />
97 Outline History of Nuclear Energy, <strong>World</strong> Nuclear<br />
Association website, September 2005. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.world-nuclear.org/<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 41 41
info/inf54.htm<br />
98 Frisch-Peierls Memor<strong>and</strong>um, March 1940. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.atomicarchive.com/Docs/Begin/FrischPeierls.shtml<br />
99 Nuclear Weapons: Who Has What at a Glance,<br />
Strategic Arms Control <strong>and</strong> Policy, October 2007<br />
(Arms Control Association). Accessed online 10<br />
August 2009 at http://www.armscontrol.org/<br />
factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat<br />
100 Non-Proliferation Treaty explained, BBC News,<br />
20 September 2004. Accessed online on 10 August<br />
2009 at http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/2645379.stm<br />
101 Ibidem.<br />
102 Outline History of Nuclear Energy, <strong>World</strong><br />
Nuclear Association website.<br />
103 Ibidem.<br />
104 Ibidem.<br />
110 Charles D. Ferguson, William C. Potter, The<br />
Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism. (New York: Routledge,<br />
2005). 1<br />
111 Ferguson, Potter 2<br />
112 Ferguson, Potter 3<br />
113 Ferguson, Potter 3<br />
114 Matthew Bunn, Anthony Wier, Securing the<br />
Bomb: An Agenda for Action, Project on Managing<br />
the Atom. (Harvard University, May 2004). Accessed<br />
online November 28, 2008 at http://www.<br />
nti.org/e_research/analysis_cnwmupdate_052404.<br />
pdf. 20-31<br />
115 Michael Levi, On Nuclear Terrorism (Harvard<br />
University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2007). 37<br />
116 Making the Nation Safer: The Role of Science<br />
<strong>and</strong> Technology in Countering Terrorism, National<br />
Academy of Sciences. (Washington, National Academies<br />
Press, 2002). 45 [Amy L. Fitzgerald, Terrorism<br />
<strong>and</strong> National <strong>Security</strong>. (Nova Science Publishers,<br />
New York 2007). 3]<br />
117 Levi 39<br />
118 Carson Mark, Theodore Taylor, Eugene Eyster,<br />
William Maraman, Jacob Wechsler, Can Terrorists<br />
Build Nuclear Weapons? (Nuclear Control<br />
Institute). Accessed online 29 November, 2008 at<br />
http://www.nci.org/k-m/makeab.htm<br />
119 Andrew Bird, Simon Anthony, Casting Uranium:<br />
Experimental <strong>and</strong> <strong>Model</strong>ing Capabilities,<br />
Discovery, 5 July 2002 [Levi 40]<br />
120 Levi 40<br />
121 Levi 43-44<br />
122 Fitzgerald 3<br />
123 Mark, Taylor, Eyster, Maraman, Wechsler, op.cit.<br />
(online)<br />
124 Robert Galluci, Dean, School of Foreign Service,<br />
Georgetown University, wrote: ‘I do not believe that<br />
al-Qaida could build a nuclear weapon with a plutonium<br />
core, that is, a weapon with an implosion<br />
design’. Personal correspondence, 26 August 2002.<br />
125 Ferguson, Potter 137<br />
126 Ferguson p. 73<br />
127 Gavin Cameron, Nuclear Terrorism: A Threat<br />
Assessment for the 21st Century. (MacMillan Press<br />
LTD, London 1999). 133<br />
128 Ferguson, Potter 55-59<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 42 42
129 James Dao, U.S. Official Says North Korea Could<br />
Sell Bomb Material, New York Times, 5 February<br />
2003. [Ferguson, Potter 57]<br />
130 North Korea tests nuclear weapon ‘as powerful<br />
as Hiroshima bomb’, The Guardian online. Accessed<br />
online 6 August 2009 at<br />
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/may/25/<br />
north-korea-hiroshima-nuclear-test<br />
131 David Rhode, David E. Sanger, Pakistani Is Said<br />
to Admit Atom Transfers, New York Times, 1 February<br />
2004. A1<br />
132 Ferguson, Potter 56<br />
133 Levi 23<br />
134 Ferguson, Potter 57<br />
135 Wilkinson Isambard, Pakistan PM Yousuf Raza<br />
Giliani escapes assassination days before key elections,<br />
The Daily Telegraph website. Accessed online<br />
December 5, 2008 at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/<br />
news/worldnews/asia/pakistan/2675147/Pakistan-PM-Yousuf-Raza-Gilani-escapes-assassinationdays-before-key-elections.html<br />
136 Levi 23<br />
137 Ferguson, Potter 72-76<br />
138 Ibidem 71<br />
139 Ferguson 67<br />
140 Bunn, Wier, Securing the Bomb: An Agenda for<br />
Action, p. vii.<br />
141 Matthew Wald, Uranium Reactors on Campus<br />
Raise <strong>Security</strong> Concerns, New York Times, 15 August<br />
2004. 19 [Fitzgerald, Amy L. 4]<br />
142 Cameron, Gavin 3<br />
143 Fitzgerald 8<br />
144 The Nuclear Loophole, ABC News website.<br />
Accessed online November 30, 2008 at http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/popup?id=3398776<br />
145 The ABC News Smuggling Experiment – The<br />
Sequel, Natural Resources Defense Council website.<br />
Accessed online 30 November 2008 at http://www.<br />
nrdc.org/nuclear/furanium.asp<br />
146 Ibidem.<br />
147 Fitzgerald 7<br />
148 Container <strong>Security</strong> Initiative, Department of<br />
Homel<strong>and</strong> <strong>Security</strong> website. Accessed online November<br />
30, 2008 at http://www.dhs.gov/xprevprot/programs/gc_1165872287564.shtm<br />
149 Fitzgerald 7<br />
150 Fitzgerald 7<br />
151 Oil Tanker, Wikipedia. Accessed online November<br />
30, 2008 at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/<br />
Oil_tanker<br />
152 Fitzgerald 8<br />
153 Weapons of Terror, The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />
Commission 2006. 60<br />
154 Weapons of Terror 60<br />
155 Nuclear Terrorism, Assessing the Threat,<br />
Developing a response. Accessed online 10<br />
August 2009 at http://www.csbaonline.<br />
org/4Publications/PubLibrary/R.20090422.Nuclear_Terrorism/R.20090422.Nuclear_Terrorism.pdf<br />
156 Al-Qaeda’s WMD activities, James Martin Center<br />
for Non-Proliferation Studies. Accessed online<br />
10 August 2009 at http://cns.miis.edu/other/<br />
sjm_cht.htm<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 43 43
157 Ibidem.<br />
158 Was Al-Qaeda Working on a Super Bomb,<br />
CNN transcripts. Accessed online 10 August 2009<br />
at transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0201/24/<br />
se.00.html<br />
159 Jacek Adamski, Nowe Technologie w Sluzbie<br />
Terrorystow. (Warsaw: Trio 2007). 85<br />
160 Adamski 85<br />
161 Adamski 86<br />
162 Chechen Insurgents to Take Their Struggle to a<br />
Moscow Park, The New York Times, 24 November<br />
1995. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
www.nytimes.com/1995/11/24/world/checheninsurgents-take-their-struggle-to-a-moscow-park.<br />
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163 Kirk Semple, Padilla sentenced to 17 Years in<br />
Prison, The New York Times, 22 January 2008. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
nytimes.com/2008/01/22/us/22cnd-padilla.html<br />
164 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />
Commission 2006). 73<br />
165 Ibidem 74<br />
166 Adamski 87<br />
167 Adamski 88<br />
168 Robert Jonhston, Nuclear Terrorist Incident.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
johnstonsarchive.net/nuclear/wrjp1855.html<br />
169 Samuel Upton Newtan, Nuclear War I <strong>and</strong><br />
Other Major Nuclear Disasters of the 20th Century.<br />
(Authorhouse 2007). 259<br />
170 Adamski 89<br />
171 Treaty of the Non-Proliferation of Nulcear<br />
Weapons, IAEA Information Cicular. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.iaea.<br />
org/Publications/Documents/Infcircs/Others/infcirc140.pdf<br />
172 Ibidem.<br />
173 Brief Background, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.un.org/<br />
Depts/dda/WMD/treaty/<br />
174 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />
Commission 2006). 62<br />
175 Ibidem 63<br />
176 Ibidem 106<br />
177 Ibidem 63<br />
178 Ibidem 63<br />
179 Ibidem 84<br />
180 <strong>International</strong> Convention for the Suppression<br />
of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong> website.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
untreaty.un.org/cod/avl/ha/icsant/icsant.html<br />
181 Colum Lynch, U.N. Votes To Outlaw Nuclear<br />
Terrorism, The Washington Post, 14 April 2005.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A51708-<br />
2005Apr13.html<br />
182 Ibidem.<br />
183 Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear<br />
Material. <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, 3 March 1980. Accessed<br />
online on 10 August 2009 at http://treaties.un.org/<br />
untc//Pages//doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%20<br />
1456/volume-1456-I-24631-English.pdf<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 44 44
184 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />
Commission 2006). 85<br />
185 Resolution 1540, <strong>United</strong> <strong>Nations</strong>, 28 April 2004.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N04/328/43/PDF/<br />
N0432843.pdf?OpenElement<br />
186 Nuclear Age Timeline, U.S. Department of Energy.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
em.doe.gov/Publications/timeline_pre40s.aspx<br />
187 Nuclear Age Timeline, Radiochemistry Society.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.radiochemistry.org/history/nuclear_timeline/50s.html<br />
188 Timeline of Nuclear Technology, PBS. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/<br />
amex/three/timeline/index_3.html<br />
189 Timeline of the Nuclear Age, AtomicArchive.com.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
atomicarchive.com/Timeline/Time2000.shtml<br />
190 Fitzgerald 9<br />
191 Fitzgerald 10<br />
192 Fitzgerald 9<br />
193 Fitzgerald 11<br />
194 Fitzgerald 11<br />
195 The Proliferation <strong>Security</strong> Initiative (PSI) At a<br />
Glance, Arms Control Association, October 2007.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
armscontrol.org/factsheets/PSI<br />
196 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />
Commission 2006). 74<br />
197 Ibidem 74<br />
198 Ibidem 75<br />
199 Ibidem 60<br />
200 Ibidem 60<br />
201 Ibidem 60<br />
202 North Korea is fully pledged nuclear power; experts<br />
agree, The Times, 24 April 2009. Accessed online<br />
on 10 August 2009 at http://www.timesonline.co.uk/<br />
tol/news/world/asia/article6155956.ece<br />
203 Weapons of Terror. (The Weapons of Mass Destruction<br />
Commission 2006). 74<br />
204 Nuclear Terrorism Convention: <strong>International</strong> Convention<br />
for the Suppression of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism,<br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Law Project, 17 May 2005.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.cdi.<br />
org/news/law/ntc.cfm<br />
205 Ibidem.<br />
206 Mark Tran, Putin: no proof Iran is trying to make<br />
nuclear weapons, The Guardian, 10 October 2007.<br />
Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://www.<br />
guardian.co.uk/world/2007/oct/10/iran.russia<br />
207 Blaine Harden, North Korean Nuclear Blast Draws<br />
Global Condemnation. The Washington Post, 26 May<br />
2009. Accessed online on 10 August 2009 at http://<br />
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/25/AR2009052501672.html<br />
208 Colum Lynch, U.N. Votes To Outlaw Nuclear Terrorism.<br />
209 OIC supports Iran’s quest to go nuclear, AFP,<br />
February 2007. Accessed online on 10 August 2009<br />
at Http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_kmafp/<br />
is_200702/ai_n18655076/<br />
210 EU statement supporting Global Initiative to<br />
Combat Nuclear Terrorism, European Union Mission<br />
Harvard <strong>World</strong>MUN 2012 <strong>Disarmament</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>International</strong> <strong>Security</strong> 45 45
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