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CHAPTER 4: ANSWERS TO CONCEPTS IN REVIEW

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<strong>CHAPTER</strong> 4: <strong>ANSWERS</strong> <strong>TO</strong> <strong>CONCEPTS</strong> <strong>IN</strong> <strong>REVIEW</strong><br />

4.1 The return on investment is the expected profit that motivates people to invest. It includes both<br />

current income and/or capital gains (or losses). Without a positive expected return, there is no<br />

benefit to investing and individuals have no reason to save and invest. Since net demanders are<br />

willing to pay net savers a positive return for their funds, the opportunity to earn a positive return<br />

exists.<br />

Return on investment can come from either current income or capital gains, or both. Current<br />

income, most commonly, is periodic payments, such as interest received on bonds, dividends on<br />

stock, or rent received from real estate. To be considered income, these payments must be<br />

received in cash or be readily convertible to cash. Capital gain refers to the change in the market<br />

value of the investment. The amount by which the proceeds from the sale of an investment<br />

exceed the original purchase is called a capital gain. If it is sold for less than the original<br />

purchase price, a capital loss is realized.<br />

The use of percentage returns is generally preferred to dollar returns to allow investors to directly<br />

compare different sizes and types of investments.<br />

4.2 Although future returns are not guaranteed by past performance, historical data often gives the<br />

investor a meaningful basis on which to form future expectations. Past return data, such as<br />

average returns or trends seen in certain time periods, can be used along with the investor’s<br />

insights about future prospects of the investment. Together the historical data and future<br />

prospects help the investor to formulate an expected return on the investment.<br />

The level of expected returns depends on many internal characteristics of the investment and the<br />

external forces on the investment. Internal characteristics include the type of investment, the<br />

quality of management, the method by which the investment is financed, and the customer base<br />

of the issuer. External forces include war, shortages, price controls, Federal Reserve actions,<br />

and political events, among others. External forces, unlike internal characteristics, cannot be<br />

controlled by the issuer of the investment. Investment vehicles are affected differently by these<br />

forces -- the expected return of one investment may increase while the expected return of<br />

another may decrease in response to external forces.<br />

4.3 History tells us that stock market returns have averaged well above the interest rates payable on<br />

savings accounts at banks. In recent years especially during the latter part of the 1990’s the<br />

returns were well above the stock market averages for the earlier part of the century.<br />

Unfortunately, the article does not provide a clear message for investors other than “history can<br />

repeat itself.” If the investor is looking for short-term gains over a year or two, the probabilities<br />

are mixed depending on what time periods are cited. The best advice, given these statistics, is to<br />

invest to hold for the long term in order to ride out the market’s twists and turns.<br />

4.4 Time value of money refers to the fact that, with the opportunity to earn interest on funds, the<br />

value of money depends on the point in time when the money is expected to be received. Thus,<br />

the sooner one receives money the better -- the more valuable is that money.<br />

Because money has time value, people willing to invest their money should be able to earn a<br />

positive return. For example, an investor expecting to receive a $100 interest payment for 2<br />

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different securities doesn’t necessarily value them equally. If the first investment pays the<br />

interest at the end of one year, but the second investment pays the interest at the end of two<br />

years, the first investment will be more valuable. The $100 can be reinvested to earn interest for<br />

an entire year. At the end of Year 2, the first investment has returned $100 + interest, the second<br />

has returned $100 to the investor. The $100 reinvestment has earned a positive return; the other<br />

$100 has not had a chance to accumulate interest.<br />

4.5 a. Interest is the current income you receive from placing available funds in a savings account,<br />

CD, bond, or by making a loan. It is in effect the “rent” paid on your money by those who<br />

obtain use of it.<br />

b. Simple interest is interest paid (earned) only on the initial balance for the actual amount of<br />

time it is on deposit. With simple interest, the stated interest rate is always equal to the true<br />

rate of interest (or return).<br />

c. Compound interest is interest paid not only on the initial deposit but also on interest<br />

accumulated from one period to the next. This is the method savings institutions generally<br />

employ. When interest is compounded annually, the simple, compound, and true rate of<br />

interest are the same.<br />

d. The true rate of interest (or return) takes the concept of compounding into account. When<br />

interest is compounded annually, the stated and true interest rates are equal. For more<br />

frequent compounding, the "true" rate of interest would be higher than the stated rate. Hence<br />

an APR of 15% on a credit card which is compounded daily has a true interest rate of<br />

16.18%.<br />

4.6 The true rate of interest rises as interest is compounded more frequently than annually. The true<br />

and stated rates are the same when interest is compounded annually. Continuous compounding<br />

occurs when interest is compounded over the smallest possible time period.<br />

4.7 The future value of a cash flow represents the amount to which a current deposit will grow over a<br />

given time period if it is placed in an account paying compound interest. Present value is<br />

concerned with finding the current value of a future sum, given that the investor earns a stated<br />

return – the discount rate (or opportunity cost) – on similar investments. The discount rate is the<br />

rate at which future sums are discounted to find their present values. The present value concept<br />

is the inverse of the future value concept.<br />

4.8 An annuity is a stream of equal cash flows that occur in equal intervals over time. These cash<br />

flows can be paid out or received. An ordinary annuity has cash flows occur at the end of each<br />

year. To simplify the calculation of the future value of an annuity, one can use the future value<br />

interest factor of the annuity table included in Appendix A, Table A.2. The present value of an<br />

annuity can be found similarly in the present-value interest factor of the annuity table in<br />

Appendix A, Table A.4.<br />

4.9 A mixed stream of returns is a series of returns that exhibits no pattern. To find the present value<br />

of a mixed stream, calculate the present value of each component of the mixed stream. The<br />

summation of the present value of individual components gives us the present value of the entire<br />

mixed stream.<br />

4.10 Ignoring risk, a satisfactory investment is one for which the present value of benefits<br />

(discounted) equals or exceeds the present value of costs. If the present value of benefits<br />

exceeds the cost, the investor would earn more than the discount rate i.e. the return on the<br />

investment is greater than the discount rate.<br />

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4.11 a. The real rate of return is the return earned in a certain, risk-free world. It would equal the<br />

nominal rate of return on a risk-free security less inflation. For risky securities, it would<br />

equal the nominal rate less inflation (plus risk premium).<br />

b. The expected inflation premium represents the expected average future rate of inflation. It is<br />

the compensation that investors demand for future expected inflation.<br />

c. The risk premium varies for different security issues and represents the additional return<br />

required to compensate an investor for the risk characteristics of the issue and the issuer. It is<br />

the return on a risk security (e.g. stocks, bonds) minus the risk-free rate of return, which is<br />

the rate on a 90-day T-Bill.<br />

The risk-free rate of return equals the real rate of return plus the expected inflation premium:<br />

RF = r* + IP. It is the return on a riskless security as measured by the 90-day T-Bill.<br />

The required rate of return equals the real rate of return plus the expected inflation premium<br />

(together, the risk-free rate) and the risk premium: ri = RF + IP. OR it equals the risk-free rate<br />

of return plus the risk premium.<br />

4.12 The holding period is simply the period of time over which the investor wishes to measure the<br />

return on an investment. In comparing alternative investment vehicles, it is essential to use<br />

equal-length holding periods so that the two vehicles being compared are judged under identical<br />

conditions. This adds objectivity to the comparison. Most interest rates are quoted on an annual<br />

basis, so it is generally convenient to use a one-year holding period.<br />

The holding period return (HPR) is the total return earned from holding an investment for a<br />

specified period of time. To calculate HPR, all that is needed is the beginning- and end-ofperiod<br />

investment values along with the value of current income received by the investor.<br />

Because HPR doesn’t account for the time value of money, the holding period is usually one<br />

year or less.<br />

4.13 The yield, or IRR, is the annual rate of return earned by a long-term investment. It is also<br />

defined as the discount rate that produces a present value of benefits received equal to the<br />

present value of costs/investments. Unlike the HPR, it takes into account the time value of<br />

money and can be used to calculate the return on investments held for over one year. The HPR<br />

is inappropriate for investments held for more than one year.<br />

4.14 The critical assumption underlying the use of yield as a return measure is an ability to earn a<br />

return equal to the calculated yield on all income received from the investment during the<br />

holding period. If you earn 10 percent on all income received from an investment during the<br />

holding period, your yield on the investment will be 10 percent. On the other hand, if you earn 0<br />

percent on the income received, your rate of return on the investment would actually be less than<br />

10 percent. If the interest-on-interest earned from the investment is less than its calculated yield,<br />

the investment’s return will fall below the yield. Clearly when using yield as a measure of<br />

investment return, the validity of this assumption must be recognized and evaluated. If the<br />

interest-on-interest assumption does not hold, use of the calculated yield could lead to poor<br />

investment decisions. (Note: The instructor may want to use the discussion of<br />

interest-on-interest and Figure 4.1 to demonstrate this somewhat complex, but extremely<br />

important, yield concept.)<br />

4.15 If the present value of returns from an investment is greater than the initial cost of the<br />

investment, it is a satisfactory investment and should be acceptable. If the yield from an<br />

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investment is greater than the appropriate discount rate for that investment, the present value<br />

and yield provide the same conclusion regarding acceptability.<br />

In the example given, Investment A is clearly acceptable since its yield (8 percent) is greater than<br />

the appropriate discount rate (7 percent). Investment B, on the other hand, is not acceptable<br />

since its present value of returns ($150) is $10 less than its cost ($160). Investment C is not<br />

acceptable since its yield (8 percent) is lower than the appropriate discount rate (9 percent).<br />

4.16 Risk is the chance that the actual return from an investment may differ from what is expected.<br />

The standard deviation is the statistic used to measure risk. The risk-return tradeoff is the<br />

relationship between the expected returns from an investment and the risk associated with them.<br />

The required returns from an investment increase as risk increases to provide an incentive for<br />

him or her to take higher risks i.e. in order to accept higher risks, the investors have to be<br />

compensated with higher returns.<br />

4.17 a. Business risk is concerned with the degree of uncertainty associated with an investment’s<br />

earnings and the investment’s ability to pay investors interest, dividends, and other returns<br />

owed them. Business risk is usually related to the firm’s line of business.<br />

b. Financial risk is the risk associated with the mix of debt and equity (capital structure) used to<br />

finance the firm. The greater the firm’s debts and interest obligations, the greater its<br />

financial risk.<br />

c. Purchasing power risk arises because of uncertain inflation rates and price-level changes in<br />

the future. When prices rise, each dollar invested has less value – it can buy less, and vice<br />

versa.<br />

d. Interest rate risk is risk associated with changes in the prices of fixed-income securities<br />

resulting from changing market interest rates. As the market interest rates change, the prices<br />

of these securities change in the opposite direction, thereby changing the level of return that<br />

an investor can expect to obtain from them. Another important aspect of interest rate risk<br />

involves the ability to reinvest income received at the initial rate of return in order to earn the<br />

fully compounded rate of return.<br />

e. Liquidity risk is the risk of not being able to liquidate an investment conveniently and at a<br />

reasonable price. In general, investment vehicles traded in markets with small demand and<br />

supply characteristics tend to be less liquid than those traded in broad markets.<br />

f. Tax risk is the risk that tax laws enacted by Congress will adversely affect certain types of<br />

investments and decrease their after-tax returns.<br />

g. Market risk is the risk of changes in investment returns caused by factors independent of the<br />

given investment vehicle. It results from factors such as political, economic, and social<br />

events, or changes in investor tastes and preferences.<br />

h. Event risk is the risk that comes from a largely or totally unexpected event which has a<br />

significant and usually immediate effect on the underlying value of an investment. The<br />

effect of this risk seems to be isolated in most cases, affecting only certain companies and<br />

properties.<br />

4.18 Standard deviation is the most common measure of an asset’s risk. It measures the dispersion of<br />

returns around an asset’s average or expected return. Standard deviation is an absolute measure<br />

of risk, and thus can be used to compare the riskiness of competing investments with the same<br />

expected return. The coefficient of variation (CV) measures the relative dispersion of an asset’s<br />

average or expected returns. Like standard deviation, the higher the CV, the higher the risk. CV<br />

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differs from standard deviation because it is a relative measure of risk and can be used to<br />

compare the riskiness of competing investments with different expected returns.<br />

4.19 Investors’ attitudes toward risk or their risk-return tradeoffs may be classified as one of the<br />

following:<br />

Risk-indifferent investors do not require a greater return in exchange for each unit of<br />

additional risk.<br />

Risk-averse investors require greater return in exchange for each unit of additional risk. The<br />

trade-off here is positive; return must increase as risk increases.<br />

Risk-taking investors accept a lower return in exchange for greater risk. This tradeoff is<br />

negative; such investors enjoy risk and are therefore willing to accept lower returns for<br />

increasing levels of risk.<br />

In general, most investors are risk-averse. They require increased returns from an investment as<br />

its risk increases. The risk preference of an investor is an important determinant of his/her<br />

investment decisions. Risk-averse investors may not make speculative investments, while<br />

risk-taking investors may. Thus, an investment that is considered unsatisfactory by a risk-averse<br />

investor may be deemed satisfactory by a risk-taking investor.<br />

4.20 The answer to the first part depends on the risk tolerance of the student.<br />

a. If the investor is conservative, the appropriate investment vehicles would be U.S.<br />

Government securities, savings accounts, Certificate of Deposits and high-quality bonds.<br />

b. If the investor is a moderate risk taker, the appropriate investment vehicles include bonds,<br />

preferred stocks, convertible securities, mutual funds and blue-chip common stocks.<br />

c. An aggressive investor can put his/her money in investment vehicles such as volatile stocks,<br />

real estate, and speculative securities such as options and futures.<br />

4.21 The investment process can be summarized in four steps:<br />

(1) Estimate the expected return over a given holding period using historical data or projected<br />

return data, or both. The time value of these returns must be considered for long-term<br />

investments.<br />

(2) Assess the risk of the investment returns through the subjective (judgmental) evaluation of<br />

historical returns and by using beta (for securities).<br />

(3) Evaluate the risk-return behavior of each alternative investment. The expected return must<br />

be “reasonable” given the level of risk possessed by the investment. Only investments<br />

offering the highest expected return for a given level of risk are considered reasonable.<br />

(4) Select the vehicles with the highest return for the level of risk the investor is willing to take.<br />

These fit the definition of a good investment.<br />

Fundamentals of Investing, by Gitman and Joehnk<br />

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