The FORE-SCE model: Land Use Modeling ... - Farm Foundation

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Northern Great Plains Biomass for Biofuel: Key Research Questions What landscape patterns are likely to result from an expanded biomass-for-biofuel economy and what are our estimates of the uncertainties? What are the environmental consequences? What are the full economic costs and benefit of biomass production for energy, including agricultural sector profitability? How will projected climate change impact agricultural production and profitability? How will projected climate change impact the provision of ecosystem services? What are the feedbacks among land-use change, economic and policy drivers, climate, biophysical processes, and a variety of ecosystem services? USGS EROS Data Center
FY2008 development: Scenarios Corn for ethanol – Large-scale production already underway in the Northern Great Plains, with continued expansion Soybeans for biodiesel Grasses for cellulosic ethanol Switchgrass Miscanthus Mixed Prairie Species Climate – IPCC-defined scenarios No change, Low-IPCC, High-IPCC USGS EROS Data Center
Page 1 and 2: The FORE-SCE model: Land Use Modeli
Page 3 and 4: USGS EROS Data Center Land Cover Tr
Page 5 and 6: Monthly Minimum Temperature Anomaly
Page 7 and 8: Total C Change (Mg C/ha/yr) 2.5 2 1
Page 9 and 10: “The Influence of Historical and
Page 11 and 12: Technical Components Land cover da
Page 13 and 14: Historical Land Cover Reconstructio
Page 15 and 16: Biophysical Parameter Construction
Page 17 and 18: FORE-SCE: Model structure Issues o
Page 19 and 20: 1992 NLCD Climate (DAYMET) NED and
Page 21 and 22: Ancillary Data - Used in Logistic R
Page 23 and 24: Tracking Change through Time - HIST
Page 25 and 26: Controlling Transition Probabilitie
Page 27 and 28: Generating Change Polygons TRANSITI
Page 29 and 30: Controlling “Clumpiness” of LUL
Page 31 and 32: RAMS/LEAF2/GEMTM Modeling RAMS/LEA
Page 33 and 34: 1992 to 2050 Projected Change: Flor
Page 35 and 36: 1992 to 2050 Projected LULC Change:
Page 37 and 38: 1992 Conifer - Percent changed by 2
Page 39 and 40: Red-cockaded Woodpecker - Conifer S
Page 41 and 42: Scenario Comparison -- SW Kansas US
Page 43: FY2008 development: Northern Great
Page 47 and 48: FY2008 development: Parcel (field)
Page 49: FY2010 and Beyond USGS plans for n

The FORE-SCE model: Land Use Modeling ... - Farm Foundation

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