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The FORE-SCE model: Land Use Modeling ... - Farm Foundation

The FORE-SCE model: Land Use Modeling ... - Farm Foundation

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FY2008 development: DEMAND<br />

DEMAND in current <strong>FORE</strong>-<strong>SCE</strong><br />

applications has largely been<br />

based on extrapolations of<br />

historical (L.C. Trends) data<br />

Priority: Building a DEMAND<br />

module that instead is driven by<br />

policy, economic costs and<br />

returns, and biophysical<br />

conditions<br />

Prerequisite – Quantifying<br />

relationships between these<br />

drivers and actual land cover<br />

change<br />

USGS EROS Data Center<br />

Public policies<br />

Biofuel<br />

demands<br />

Commodity<br />

prices<br />

Climate<br />

Change<br />

Drivers<br />

and<br />

Feedbacks<br />

Drainage<br />

subsidies<br />

Site<br />

Conditions<br />

Irrigation<br />

incentives<br />

<strong>Land</strong> Cover Hectares<br />

Corn 18,500,000<br />

Soybeans 12,200,000<br />

Switchgrass 6,194,000<br />

Hay/Pasture 23,529,000<br />

Etc. Etc.

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