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Annual Report 2005 - Fields Institute - University of Toronto

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THE NATIONAL PROGRAM ON COMPLEX<br />

DATA STRUCTURES (NCPDS)<br />

Director: Jamie Stafford (<strong>Toronto</strong>)<br />

Program Committee: David Bellhouse (UWO), Richard<br />

Cook (Waterloo), Paul Gustafson (UBC) Mike Hidiroglou<br />

(Statistics Canada), Nancy Reid (<strong>Toronto</strong>), Randy Sitter<br />

(Simon Fraser), Ed Susko (Dalhousie), and Louis-Paul<br />

Rivest (Laval)<br />

NPCDS is a joint initiative between Canada’s Statistical<br />

Sciences Community and the nation’s three Mathematical<br />

Sciences <strong>Institute</strong>s, with funding provided by NSERC. Its<br />

goal is to foster nationally coordinated interdisciplinary<br />

research projects involving interactions between statisticians<br />

and scientists working with complex data sets. A<br />

two-stage mechanism is used in which an inaugural workshop<br />

gets the research network going, to be following by a<br />

proposal for a two-year research project.<br />

During the 2004–05 year projects and pilot projects<br />

within the National Program met April 9–4 at the Banff<br />

International Research Station. Leaders in Computer<br />

Experiments, Data Mining, Genomics and Survey Methods<br />

each organized a day <strong>of</strong> activity in their respective fields.<br />

An additional day was devoted to three pilot projects that<br />

had inaugural workshops planned in the areas <strong>of</strong> Biomedicine,<br />

Forestry and Marine Ecology. Research presentations<br />

were incredibly varied and included topics that concerned<br />

pharmacophore identification, complex HIV proteomic<br />

data structures, communications security, studies <strong>of</strong> complex<br />

traits, social behaviour, forest fires, high throughput<br />

genomics, tracking <strong>of</strong> leatherback turtles, turbulence, and<br />

so on. Underlying such a diverse set <strong>of</strong> topics was a genuine<br />

common interest in complex data, regardless <strong>of</strong> its origin.<br />

This, in effect, bonded participants in their vision <strong>of</strong> what<br />

NPCDS can bring to the statistical sciences community in<br />

Canada. As such the event was instrumental in generating<br />

considerable enthusiasm for the Program’s model. Concretely,<br />

the establishment <strong>of</strong> interdisciplinary projects with<br />

quantitative leadership was viewed as a vehicle that gives<br />

the statistical community a greater voice in the research<br />

agendas <strong>of</strong> other disciplines. These projects have the potential<br />

to create a culture in statistics where training takes<br />

place in intensely interdisciplinary environments ensuring<br />

young researchers become effective collaborators in the<br />

long run. This was evident by the number <strong>of</strong> excellent presentations<br />

given by graduate students, including Norberto<br />

Pantoja Galicia, Jason Loeppky, Pritam Ranjan and others<br />

T h e N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m o n<br />

C o m p l e x D a t a S t r u c t u r e s<br />

The event was timely as the Program is currently entering<br />

the second half <strong>of</strong> its four year funding cycle and it <strong>of</strong>fered<br />

an opportunity for participants to assess what has been<br />

accomplished thus far. The general view was “a lot!”. With<br />

potentially seven national projects established in a two year<br />

span the Program has engaged the broader community<br />

in a robust way. Credit must be attributed to the many<br />

individual researchers who are investing time and energy in<br />

this endeavour. During the week at Banff general meetings<br />

were held where progress, and the future <strong>of</strong> the program,<br />

was discussed openly. For example, issues concerning<br />

budget surpluses led to consideration <strong>of</strong> an RFP for training<br />

initiatives, which is now being drafted for the approval <strong>of</strong><br />

NPCDS governance. In addition, plans for the renewal <strong>of</strong><br />

the program have been set in motion, although these have<br />

been complicated by the uncertainty surrounding NSERC’s<br />

reallocation process. One positive development has been<br />

the consideration <strong>of</strong> expanding the Program as a joint<br />

CIHR/NSERC initiative. This appears to be an extremely<br />

exciting, if challenging, prospect. General enthusiasm for<br />

this comes not only from our own community, but also<br />

from key players within CIHR. This gives some cause for<br />

cautious optimism.<br />

Enthusiasm for the National Program from other disciplines<br />

was clearly evident during the inaugural workshop<br />

on Forests, Fires and Stochastic Modelling held at the <strong>Fields</strong><br />

<strong>Institute</strong> May 24–28, <strong>2005</strong> (see the detailed report later in<br />

this section). Forest fires are a natural component <strong>of</strong> many<br />

<strong>of</strong> Canada’s forested ecosystems but they also pose threats<br />

to public safety, property and forest resources. Every year,<br />

forest fires cause millions <strong>of</strong> dollars worth <strong>of</strong> damage and<br />

force the evacuation <strong>of</strong> some communities. Such problems<br />

will be exacerbated as people establish more homes and cottages<br />

in and near forested areas and climate change alters<br />

forest vegetation and weather. The purpose <strong>of</strong> the workshop<br />

was to bring together forestry researchers and statisticians<br />

to identify areas <strong>of</strong> potential collaboration. The event began<br />

with a day <strong>of</strong> introduction to the language <strong>of</strong> forest fires<br />

with contributions by researchers from the Ontario Ministry<br />

<strong>of</strong> Natural Resources, the Canadian Forest Service,<br />

Fire Science Lab and the US Forest Service. The remainder<br />

<strong>of</strong> the workshop focused more on statistical techniques,<br />

although even here applications abounded including modeling<br />

wildfires, lightning strikes, seismology, fire indices,<br />

visualization, weevil infestations, Boreal ecosystems and so<br />

on. Many keynote speakers such as David Vere-Jones, David<br />

Brillinger, Gail Ivan<strong>of</strong>f, Andre Dabrowski, Dean Slonowsky,<br />

focused on issues <strong>of</strong> considerable depth including spatial<br />

<strong>Fields</strong> <strong>Institute</strong> <strong>2005</strong> ANNUAL REPORT 47

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