Annual Report 2005 - Fields Institute - University of Toronto

The afternoon of the fourth day started with Doug Woolford
(Western) describing a data sharpening method for
clustering lightning strikes in space and time. Sylvia Esterby
(UBC-Okanagan) described an analysis of fire index data.
Bo Song (Clemson) ended the day with a fascinating talk on
fire data visualization techniques.
The final day was a half-day highlighted by an excellent
concluding talk by Charmaine Dean and Farouk Nathoo
(Simon Fraser) on the analysis of pine weevil infestations
using space-time mixture models. The rest of the morning
was devoted to a discussion of where to go from here;
clearly there is interest in developing collaborative ties
between the forestry community and statisticians. The
group decided to pursue a full proposal to the National
Program on Complex Data Structures (NPCDS) to further
this aim.
Speakers:
Larry Bradshaw (Fire Sciences Lab, MT)
Basics of the National Fire Danger Rating System
John Braun (UWO)
David R. Brillinger (UC Berkeley)
Risk analysis for two marked point process data sets
David T. Butry (USDA Forest Service, Southern Research
Station)
Estimating the effect wildfire management has on fire behavior:
a Propensity-Score Matching Approach
Irena Creed (UWO)
Steve Cumming (Boreal Ecoystems Research Ltd.)
A multivariate regionalisation of Canadian fire regimes
Andre Dabrowski (Ottawa)
Modeling distances between ignitions
Charmaine Dean (Simon Fraser)
Mixture models for Spatio-Temporal Multi-State processes
Sylvia R. Esterby (UBC-Okanagan)
Analysis of fire index data
Marie-Josee Fortin (Toronto)
Deforestation in Québec northern boreal forest due to fire
regime
T h e N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m o n
C o m p l e x D a t a S t r u c t u r e s
Marcia L. Gumpertz (USDA Forest Service, Southern
Research Station)
Wildfires in Florida – preliminary analysis
Fangliang He (Alberta)
Fuensanta Saura Igual (Jaume I, Spain)
Analysis of forest fires in Comunidad Valenciana (Spain)
using a spatial statistics methodology
Gail Ivanoff (Ottawa)
What is a multiparameter renewal process?
Edward A. Johnson (Calgary)
A process approach to predicting tree mortality in surface fires
David Vere-Jones (Victoria U., Wellington & Statistical
Research Associates Ltd.)
Some models and procedures for Space-Time Point Processes
Rafal Kulik (Ottawa)
Tutorial on point processes
Reg Kulperger (UWO)
David Martell (Toronto)
Forest fire management - a systems modelling perspective
Robert McAlpine (Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources)
Forest fire management in Ontario - a primer and manager’s
perspective
Haiganoush Preisler (Southwest Research Station, USDA
Forest)
Some statistical issues in predicting wildland fire risk
Rolf Turner (UNB)
Planar Point Pattern Analysis of New Brunswick forest fire
data
Rick Schoenberg (UCLA)
On the estimation of separable point processes and possible
improvements to the Burning Index
Dean Slonowsky (Manitoba)
Set-indexed martingales: tools for multidimensional stochastic
modelling and analysis
Fields Institute 2005 ANNUAL REPORT 52