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competition and entry in the gb electricity retail market.pdf - Frontier ...

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Figure 2. Longer dated GB liquidity<br />

Source: Ofgem<br />

January 2011 | <strong>Frontier</strong> Economics 15<br />

Ofgem’s analysis also <strong>in</strong>dicates that <strong>the</strong>re is a higher proportion of peak products<br />

traded along <strong>the</strong> forward curve <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> German <strong>electricity</strong> <strong>market</strong> than <strong>in</strong> GB, with<br />

a greater proportion of products be<strong>in</strong>g traded both one year <strong>and</strong> two years ahead<br />

of delivery.<br />

Some metrics <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong> situation has been improv<strong>in</strong>g over time. The<br />

aggregate churn <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>market</strong> has, as shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 1, been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g over<br />

time. Similarly, <strong>the</strong> proportion of traded volume for longer term peak products<br />

has been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g as shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 3.<br />

Barriers to <strong>entry</strong>

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