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competition and entry in the gb electricity retail market.pdf - Frontier ...

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January 2011 | <strong>Frontier</strong> Economics 25<br />

counterparties by group<strong>in</strong>g requirements toge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>in</strong>to volumes above <strong>the</strong><br />

m<strong>in</strong>imum clip size.<br />

Equally, some of <strong>the</strong> proposals advanced by Ofgem follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir liquidity<br />

review (e.g. a m<strong>and</strong>atory auction of specifically def<strong>in</strong>ed products, or a <strong>market</strong><br />

mak<strong>in</strong>g agent <strong>in</strong> such products) could also address <strong>the</strong> barrier. However, s<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

<strong>the</strong>se arrangements would necessarily require an element of centralised design of<br />

product <strong>and</strong> process, <strong>the</strong>re is a risk that <strong>the</strong>y are less well targeted towards<br />

<strong>retail</strong>ers’ requirements <strong>and</strong> less responsive to changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>market</strong> dynamics than an<br />

aggregation agent.<br />

If any regulatory <strong>in</strong>tervention of a m<strong>and</strong>atory nature is considered, it would be<br />

important to consider carefully <strong>the</strong> likely cost of such arrangements relative to<br />

<strong>the</strong> expected benefits of new <strong>entry</strong>.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, it should be noted that if <strong>the</strong> objective of regulatory <strong>in</strong>tervention is to<br />

support new <strong>entry</strong> by smaller, less well capitalised <strong>retail</strong>ers (e.g. on <strong>the</strong> grounds<br />

that this type of <strong>entry</strong> is more likely, or more likely to stimulate <strong>the</strong> sort of<br />

<strong>in</strong>novation that <strong>the</strong> policy may be target<strong>in</strong>g), address<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> issue of access to<br />

forward <strong>electricity</strong> products is necessary but not sufficient. O<strong>the</strong>r issues, <strong>in</strong><br />

particular credit risk, would also need to be addressed.<br />

3.3 Credit risk<br />

The requirement for collateral can <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>ory be met <strong>in</strong> one of two ways:<br />

bilaterally, <strong>in</strong> which participants post collateral with each o<strong>the</strong>r, or through a<br />

clear<strong>in</strong>g house, <strong>in</strong> which collateral is posted with a central counterparty who <strong>the</strong>n<br />

assumes all credit risk.<br />

Virtually all OTC trades <strong>in</strong> GB were cleared bilaterally ra<strong>the</strong>r than through a<br />

clear<strong>in</strong>g house <strong>in</strong> 2007. 34 This is <strong>in</strong> stark contrast with Germany <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Nordic<br />

region, where centralised clear<strong>in</strong>g of bilateral contracts is a well established<br />

practice. Centralised clear<strong>in</strong>g can have a number of advantages over bilateral<br />

clear<strong>in</strong>g, particularly for smaller counterparties. Not least among <strong>the</strong>se is <strong>the</strong><br />

ability of <strong>the</strong> central counterparty to pool multilateral trad<strong>in</strong>g positions, <strong>and</strong><br />

require collateral to be posted on net positions ra<strong>the</strong>r than a series of gross<br />

positions.<br />

If it were <strong>the</strong> case that excessive requirements for collateral were be<strong>in</strong>g placed on<br />

smaller non-vertically <strong>in</strong>tegrated participants (relative to that which would be<br />

observed <strong>in</strong> a competitive <strong>market</strong>), <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>centive for those participants to<br />

encourage <strong>the</strong> creation of a centralised counterparty would be even greater. S<strong>in</strong>ce<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are entities <strong>in</strong> GB who could provide clear<strong>in</strong>g services (e.g. London<br />

34 Ofgem (2009).<br />

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