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Job Market Paper - Personal Web Pages - University of Chicago

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Kim: Endogenous Choice <strong>of</strong> a Mediator<br />

<strong>of</strong> G δ with respect to the posterior beliefs (¯q 2,i (t 2 ), ¯q 1,i (t 1 )) if and only if:<br />

U j (G δ |t j , Σ(¯q·,i )) = ∑ t −i<br />

¯q −j,i (t −j ){ψ j,i (t j )u j (d 0 , t) + (1 − ψ j,i (t j )) · (ψ −j,i (t −j )u j (d 0 , t)<br />

+ (1 − ψ −j,i (t −j )) ∑ r∈R<br />

σ i (r|t) ∑ d∈D<br />

δ(d|r)u j (d, t))}<br />

≥ U j (G δ , ˆr j , ψ ′ j,i|t j , Σ(¯q·,i ))<br />

= ∑ t −i<br />

¯q −j,i (t −j ){ψ ′ j,i(t j )u j (d 0 , t) + (1 − ψ ′ j,i(t j )) · (ψ −j,i (t −j )u j (d 0 , t)<br />

+ (1 − ψ −j,i (t −j )) ∑ r∈R<br />

σ i (r|t) ∑ d∈D<br />

δ(d|r −j , ˆr j )u j (d, t))},<br />

∀j, ∀t j ∈ T j , ∀ˆr j ∈ R j , ∀ψ ′ j,i ∈ [0, 1].<br />

(T2)<br />

Condition (T2) asserts that player j with type t j should not expect any other report ˆr j or any<br />

other war strategy ψ ′ j,i to be better for him in Gδ than the strategies selected by his σ j,i and ψ j,i<br />

when i vetoes and G δ is played.<br />

Let ¯q = {¯q·,1 , ¯q·,2 } be a collection <strong>of</strong> vote beliefs vectors following any veto by a single player<br />

when the other player votes for ratification. Let Σ(¯q) = {Σ(¯q·,1 ), Σ(¯q·,2 )} denote a corresponding<br />

collection <strong>of</strong> equilibria in the resulting play <strong>of</strong> G δ with those vote beliefs.<br />

Unanimous ratification <strong>of</strong> γ followed by truthful revelation in γ is a sequential equilibrium in<br />

the two-stage ratification game if and only if γ is incentive compatible and γ is individually rational<br />

relative to G δ , that is, there exists ¯q and Σ(¯q) such that for each i and each t i :<br />

∑<br />

¯p(t −i ) ∑ γ(d|t)u i (d, t)<br />

t −i d∈D<br />

≥ ∑ ¯p(t −i ) ∑ γ(d|t −i , ˆt i )u i (d, t);<br />

t −i d∈D<br />

and ∑ ¯p(t −i ) ∑ γ(d|t)u i (d, t)<br />

t −i d∈D<br />

≥ ∑ ¯p(t −i ){ψ i,i(t ′ i )u i (d 0 , t)<br />

t −i<br />

+ (1 − ψ ′ i,i(t i )) · (ψ −i,i (t −i )u i (d 0 , t)<br />

(T3)<br />

+ (1 − ψ −i,i (t −i )) ∑ r∈R<br />

σ i (r|t) ∑ d∈D<br />

δ(d|r −i , ˆr i )u i (d, t))},<br />

∀ˆt i ∈ T i , ∀ψ ′ i,i ∈ [0, 1], ∀ˆr i ∈ R i .<br />

That is, (T3) asserts that player i cannot gain by vetoing the alternative γ (and then going to war<br />

with probability ψ ′ i,i and reporting ˆr i if G δ is played) when t i is his true type and the other player<br />

28

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