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Job Market Paper - Personal Web Pages - University of Chicago

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Kim: Endogenous Choice <strong>of</strong> a Mediator<br />

Definition 2. (v, σ, ψ, ¯q) is an equilibrium ratification <strong>of</strong> γ when the status quo is G δ , if and only<br />

if γ satisfies the conditions (T1) – (T3) and for all i either<br />

(i) there does not exist a credible veto belief, or<br />

(ii) for every credible vote belief ¯q·,i such that the conditions (T4) – (T9) are all satisfied,<br />

∑<br />

¯q −i,i (t −i ) ∑ γ(d|t)u i (d, t) = ∑ ¯q −i,i (t −i ){ψ i,i (t i )u i (d 0 , t)<br />

d∈D<br />

t −i<br />

t −i<br />

+ (1 − ψ i,i (t i )) · (ψ −i,i (t −i )u i (d 0 , t)<br />

+ (1 − ψ −i,i (t −i )) ∑ σ i (r|t) ∑ δ(d|r)u i (d, t))}, ∀t i ∈ V i .<br />

r∈R d∈D<br />

Definition 3. An alternative mediator γ is ratifiable against the mediator δ if and only if there<br />

exists an equilibrium ratification <strong>of</strong> γ when the status quo is G δ .<br />

An alternative mediator γ is ratifiable against the mediator δ if and only if there exists a<br />

sequential equilibrium <strong>of</strong> the two-stage game in which γ is unanimously voted for at every pr<strong>of</strong>ile<br />

<strong>of</strong> types, where beliefs following disagreement are required to satisfy the credibility conditions. If<br />

after a veto, the players’ beliefs are restricted to credible vote beliefs, then the alternative mediator<br />

is ratifiable.<br />

An alternative mediator γ is not ratifiable against δ if and only if, for every equilibrium <strong>of</strong> the<br />

two-stage ratification game, there exists a pr<strong>of</strong>ile <strong>of</strong> types in which γ is not unanimously approved<br />

over δ. That is, there is no equilibrium to the two-stage game in which γ is unanimously approved<br />

over δ along every equilibrium path. The equation in (ii) <strong>of</strong> Definition 2 says that if for every<br />

credible vote belief there is some type t i that strictly gains by vetoing, then γ is not ratifiable<br />

relative to δ. This definition suggests that rejection <strong>of</strong> γ is not so severe. Given the definition <strong>of</strong> a<br />

ratifiable alternative mediator, I can now define a secure status quo mechanism and a threat-secure<br />

mediator.<br />

Definition 4. A status quo mechanism G δ is secure if and only if every interim incentive efficient<br />

mediator that is ratifiable against δ is an equilibrium <strong>of</strong> G δ under the prior beliefs.<br />

A secure mechanism cannot be overturned by a ratifiable alternative. Moreover, if δ is ratifiable<br />

against itself, then such a status quo mechanism G δ is not vulnerable to allowing players to send<br />

preplay cheap talk messages that might communicate information about their types.<br />

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