07.01.2014 Views

User's Guide to the Model Validation Kit - Harmonisation within ...

User's Guide to the Model Validation Kit - Harmonisation within ...

User's Guide to the Model Validation Kit - Harmonisation within ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Note that a useful extension <strong>to</strong> FB and MG has been implemented in<br />

<strong>the</strong> current BOOT package. FB is of limited value because<br />

overpredictions and underpredictions compensate each o<strong>the</strong>r.<br />

However, FB and MG can be separated in<strong>to</strong> overpredicting and<br />

underpredicting components. Thus, FB fn<br />

(false negative) only<br />

considers underpredictions, while FB fp<br />

only considers<br />

overpredictions.<br />

Bootstrap resampling is used <strong>to</strong> estimate <strong>the</strong> confidence limits of a<br />

performance measure – hence <strong>the</strong> name BOOT of <strong>the</strong> package.<br />

Consult <strong>the</strong> BOOT <strong>User's</strong> <strong>Guide</strong> for a detailed discussion of <strong>the</strong><br />

interpretation of results from BOOT. The User’s <strong>Guide</strong> (Chang and<br />

Hanna, 2005) is part of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Model</strong> <strong>Validation</strong> <strong>Kit</strong>.<br />

(1): File with statistics<br />

Proceed as follows in order <strong>to</strong> generate a file containing statistics for<br />

data of quality 3 with <strong>the</strong> use of BOOT.<br />

As noted above, we assume that <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>ols reside in C:\MvK\Tools.<br />

BOOT can be launched in various ways. E.g., you can use Explorer <strong>to</strong><br />

show C:\MvK\Tools and <strong>the</strong>n double-click on <strong>the</strong> icon for BOOT.<br />

Alternatively (assuming some familiarity with DOS), BOOT can also<br />

be launched by <strong>the</strong>se steps:<br />

• Open a Command Prompt window (explained in Section 6.2.5)<br />

Table 12 Dialogue when using <strong>the</strong> BOOT programme.<br />

Name of input file:<br />

Run1\ki3.inp<br />

Name of output file:<br />

Run1\ki3.boo<br />

Select one from <strong>the</strong> following options:<br />

(1) straight Co and Cp comparison<br />

(4) consider ln(Co) and ln(Cp)<br />

1<br />

Use ASTM procedure? (y/)<br />

n<br />

Print out original data? (y/)<br />

n<br />

Use E- or F-format for mean, sigma, and bias? (/e)<br />

f<br />

Calculate partial correlation? (y/)<br />

That is, <strong>the</strong> influence from a certain model is removed.<br />

n<br />

Do <strong>the</strong> bootstrap resampling? (/n)<br />

y<br />

Print out detailed information on confidence limits? (y/)<br />

n<br />

Create files containing FB (with its 95% confidence limits) and NMSE that<br />

can later be plotted? (/n)<br />

n<br />

Reading data<br />

Calculating performance measures...<br />

Start resampling procedure...<br />

Computing c.l. of performance measures for each model...<br />

Make ano<strong>the</strong>r run? (y/)<br />

N<br />

43

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!