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Rebounding Demand in 2H12 Supports Growth<br />

Global oil demand growth rise to 1.1 mb/d in 2H12, compared to 0.5<br />

mb/d in 1H12 and 0.3 in 2H11<br />

mb/d<br />

3.5<br />

2.5<br />

1.5<br />

0.5<br />

-0.5<br />

-1.5<br />

-2.5<br />

Global Throughputs vs. Demand<br />

Annual growth<br />

-3.5<br />

1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12<br />

North America Europe Pacific<br />

China Other Asia Middle East<br />

Crude Runs Oil Product Demand Latin America Other<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

-1.0<br />

-2.0<br />

-3.0<br />

mb/d<br />

Global Crude Throughputs<br />

Annual Change<br />

• Since 2Q11 global refinery crude runs growth slows to only<br />

120 kb/d on average, as growth in oil product demand is eroded<br />

• 2Q12 and 3Q12 still sees modest growth in throughputs of 370<br />

kb/d annually.<br />

• 3Q12 growth in throughputs could be stronger than projected<br />

here, but demand also met by products bypassing refining system<br />

(NGLs, biofuels, GTLs and products from storage)<br />

• Throughput growth comes from China, Other Asia and in part from<br />

North America, on expanding capacity, robust demand and export<br />

opportunities<br />

© OECD/<strong>IEA</strong> - 2012<br />

Source: <strong>IEA</strong> Oil Market Report<br />

22

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