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OPEC Crude Supply Edges Lower In May<br />

Output Still Near 4-Year Highs<br />

mb/d<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

Quarterly Call on OPEC Crude +<br />

Stock Change<br />

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

Entire series based on OPEC Composition as of January 2009<br />

onwards (including Angola & Ecuador & excluding Indonesia)<br />

mb/d<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

OPEC Crude Oil Production<br />

Jan Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan<br />

2009 2010 2011 2012<br />

Entire series based on OPEC Composition as of January 2009<br />

onwards (including Angola & Ecuador & excluding Indonesia)<br />

© OECD/<strong>IEA</strong> - 2012<br />

• OPEC supply ended 7-month run of increased output in May, off<br />

a marginal 20 kb/d in May, to 31.87 mb/d<br />

• Higher output from Angola, Nigeria, and Libya was offset by reduced<br />

supplies from Saudi Arabia and Iraq<br />

• OPEC NGLs forecast to increase 400 kb/d to 6.2 mb/d in 2012,<br />

a downward revision of 100 kb/d from last month<br />

• Reduction in Iran and Algeria while growth stems from Qatar and the UAE<br />

• The ‘call on OPEC crude and stock change’ for 2012 is<br />

unchanged at 30.3 mb/d<br />

• The ‘Call’ is expected to increase from 29.8 mb/d in the Jan-June period to<br />

30.9 mb/d in the second half of the year<br />

Source: <strong>IEA</strong> Oil Market Report<br />

4

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