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Low-Cost, High-Grade, Sylvinite Potash Project (Presentation)

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Strong <strong>Potash</strong> Industry Fundamentals<br />

Robust <strong>Potash</strong> Demand Fundamentals<br />

● Sustained growth of potash consumption<br />

Average of 5.2% per year from 2002 - 2007<br />

IFA forecasts 4.5% per year from 2010 - 2014<br />

● Key demand drivers: world population growth, shrinking<br />

arable land per capita, changes in global diets and growth in<br />

alternative fuels<br />

● Potential for majors (BHP, Vale, Rio, etc) to build a presence<br />

via greenfields development or M & A<br />

● Elemental only advanced low cost, high grade sylvinite project<br />

to match Tier 1 projects in North America<br />

● Brazil, the world’s second largest potash importer, is forecast<br />

to more than double its potash imports from 2010 to 2025<br />

● Capacity expansions expected to service forecast demand<br />

Source: CRU<br />

KCl (Mt)<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

2000<br />

Nameplate Capacity Demand % of Nameplate Capacity<br />

Current Capacity<br />

2002<br />

2004<br />

2006<br />

2008<br />

2010<br />

2012<br />

2014<br />

2016<br />

2018<br />

2020<br />

2022<br />

2024<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

Demand as % of Namplate<br />

Population Growth<br />

Population (bn)<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Brazil China India U.S. World<br />

-<br />

1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050<br />

Arable Land Decline<br />

Arable land (Ha per Capita)<br />

Strategic World Class <strong>Potash</strong> <strong>Project</strong><br />

1.2<br />

1.0<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

0.0<br />

1961<br />

Source: FAO<br />

Brazil China India U.S. World<br />

1965<br />

1969<br />

1973<br />

1977<br />

1981<br />

1985<br />

1989<br />

1993<br />

1997<br />

2001<br />

2005<br />

2008<br />

7

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