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Master Thesis - Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

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of Christiano, Eichenbaum and Evans (2005); Lubik and Schorfheide (2005)<br />

built up a small-scale two-country model. They are the pioneers in estimating<br />

their open economy models using Bayesian techniques.<br />

Following these advances in estimating the DSGE closed economy, Walque,<br />

Smets and Wouter (2005) launched a new initiative to estimate large scale<br />

models using over 20 shocks and time series in their model. Their theoretical<br />

setup explaining the international sector is successful in accounting for<br />

the role of the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods;<br />

current account is derived from the intertemporal decision, as the difference<br />

between savings and investment,and interest rate parity is modeled by introducing<br />

a stochastic component. This mirrors the imperfections in the<br />

international capital market and recoils on the capital account flows, and<br />

thereby on the current account through the balance of payments identity.<br />

The linkage between current account, international risk premiums, and exchange<br />

rate has been the subject of investigation for some of the authors’<br />

contemporaries. Mainly, the correlation between net foreign assets and the<br />

exchange rate through the intermediation of a risk premium in Bergin (2006)<br />

and Adolfson, Laséen, Lindé, and Villani (2005) is strongly supported by the<br />

data. An extensive body of research has provided evidence that fluctuations<br />

in fiscal policy seem to matter for the business cycle. In our contribution, we<br />

use a benchmark model where government issues no debt, which is consistent<br />

with Bergin (2005),and follows Baxter and King (1993) specifications.<br />

Another simplification used in our theoretical model is to assume increasing<br />

public debt (e.g. Trabant and Uhlig (2006)).<br />

8

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