Chapter X: Introduction to Fuzzy Set Theory Uncertainty is universal ...
Chapter X: Introduction to Fuzzy Set Theory Uncertainty is universal ...
Chapter X: Introduction to Fuzzy Set Theory Uncertainty is universal ...
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lim (A ∩w<br />
B)(x) = A(x) ∧ B(x) .<br />
w→0<br />
At the other end, i.e., the limits as w<br />
→<br />
∞ , generate the drastic union and intersection, defined by<br />
⎧A(x)<br />
if B(x) = 0<br />
⎪<br />
( A ∪d B)(x) = ⎨B(x)<br />
if A(x) = 0 and<br />
⎪<br />
⎩ 1 else<br />
⎧A(x)<br />
if B(x) = 1<br />
⎪<br />
( A ∩d B)(x) = ⎨B(x)<br />
if A(x) = 1.<br />
⎪<br />
⎩ 0 else<br />
Besides their use in what <strong>is</strong> <strong>to</strong> come, fuzzy opera<strong>to</strong>rs have been used extensively in multicriteria dec<strong>is</strong>ion<br />
making [Bellman and Zadeh, 1970; Yager, 1988; Yager, 2004]. We end th<strong>is</strong> section with an example of<br />
the use of fuzzy set opera<strong>to</strong>rs in multicriteria dec<strong>is</strong>ion making.<br />
Example X.1. As a particularly simpl<strong>is</strong>tic illustration, consider a dec<strong>is</strong>ion tree, as in Figure X.3, <strong>to</strong> assess<br />
cancer r<strong>is</strong>k based on the following observations. Suppose we decide that cancer r<strong>is</strong>k should be high if<br />
either internal fac<strong>to</strong>rs or environmental fac<strong>to</strong>rs are high. Th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> modeled by a union opera<strong>to</strong>r (OR). We<br />
define the internal fac<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> be the conjunction (AND) of genetic pred<strong>is</strong>position and genetic test results.<br />
In th<strong>is</strong> particular example, the rationale for using a conjunction might be that for some types of cancer, the<br />
test might be subject <strong>to</strong> a high rate of false positives, and so, these results can be offset by low genetic<br />
propensity. Environmental fac<strong>to</strong>rs are aggregated as the d<strong>is</strong>junction (OR) of amount of smoking,<br />
hazardous work r<strong>is</strong>k and the negation, or complement (NOT), of good nutrition. Clearly, th<strong>is</strong> <strong>is</strong> a gross<br />
oversimplification and <strong>is</strong> included <strong>to</strong> demonstrate the utility of fuzzy opera<strong>to</strong>rs in multicriteria dec<strong>is</strong>ion<br />
making more than focusing on reality. In Figure X.3, we model each of the opera<strong>to</strong>rs with the<br />
corresponding Yager connective (Equation X.1). The parameters for these four connectives will be<br />
labeled w 1 for the <strong>to</strong>p d<strong>is</strong>junction, w 2 for the conjunction of internal fac<strong>to</strong>rs, w 3 for the d<strong>is</strong>junction of<br />
external fac<strong>to</strong>rs and w 4 for the complement.<br />
Given the tree in Figure 2.4, suppose that we have determined the following fuzzy membership values for<br />
the leaf nodes: propensity = 0.2, test results = 0.8, smoking r<strong>is</strong>k = 0, job r<strong>is</strong>k = 0.1, and good nutrition =<br />
0.8. That <strong>is</strong>, a particular patient has a low genetic propensity but a reasonably high likelihood from a test,<br />
while living a good lifestyle. If the logical opera<strong>to</strong>rs are the classical binary ones, then the r<strong>is</strong>k of cancer<br />
would be zero for th<strong>is</strong> set, assuming that the fuzzy memberships are turned binary at a 0.5 threshold. The<br />
advantage of fuzzy set theory <strong>is</strong> that the opera<strong>to</strong>rs that govern complement, d<strong>is</strong>junction and conjunction