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Extreme winter precipitation in the Iberian Peninsula in 2010 ...

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Vicente-Serrano et al.: <strong>Extreme</strong> <strong>precipitation</strong> <strong>in</strong> Iberia<br />

61<br />

Fig. 9. Spatial distribution of <strong>the</strong> absolute frequency of <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> storm tracks (A) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> <strong>2010</strong>, (B) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> 1969, (C) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> 1996. Average frequency (D) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong>s with NAO values between 0 and –1 (1958–<strong>2010</strong>), (E) <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong>s with<br />

NAO values between –1 and –2 (1958–<strong>2010</strong>) and (F) for all <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong>s (1958–<strong>2010</strong>)<br />

Table 2. Frequencies of different wea<strong>the</strong>r types. The table <strong>in</strong>cludes <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> long-term means (1900–<strong>2010</strong>); <strong>the</strong> values correspond<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to <strong>the</strong> 10th and 90th percentiles of <strong>the</strong> series; <strong>the</strong> frequency of each wea<strong>the</strong>r type <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong>s of <strong>2010</strong>, 1969 and 1996; and <strong>the</strong> average<br />

frequency of wea<strong>the</strong>r types <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong>s with North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) values between 0 and –1 and between –1 and –2<br />

Wea<strong>the</strong>r type Mean frequency 90th 10th W<strong>in</strong>ter W<strong>in</strong>ter W<strong>in</strong>ter NAO NAO<br />

1900–<strong>2010</strong> percentile percentile <strong>2010</strong> 1996 1969 0 to –1 –1 to –2<br />

North 9 14 5 8 11 6 11 7<br />

Nor<strong>the</strong>ast 6 12 2 10 2 7 8 4<br />

East 6 11 2 6 8 2 7 5<br />

Sou<strong>the</strong>ast 6 10 2 3 9 8 4 4<br />

South 5 9 1 8 4 6 4 4<br />

Southwest 7 13 3 12 12 13 8 8<br />

West 7 12 2 12 9 12 8 13<br />

Northwest 9 13 4 5 12 8 8 11<br />

Cyclonic 18 28 9 28 36 25 20 27<br />

Anticyclonic 48 62 33 32 22 38 42 38<br />

age frequency of SW, W and C types and a low frequency<br />

of A types. The anomalous pressure pattern<br />

associated with a strong negative NAO and <strong>the</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d<br />

circulation observed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> <strong>2010</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

anomalous types of wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions affect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Iberian</strong> Pen<strong>in</strong>sula. Dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> <strong>2010</strong>, 32 d were<br />

classified as anticyclonic, whereas <strong>the</strong> long-term average<br />

frequency <strong>in</strong> <strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> was 48 d (Table 2). In contrast,<br />

28 d were classified as cyclonic, whereas <strong>the</strong> long-term<br />

<strong>w<strong>in</strong>ter</strong> average was 18 d. Simultaneously, <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong><br />

wea<strong>the</strong>r types driv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>precipitation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> western and<br />

south-western <strong>Iberian</strong> Pen<strong>in</strong>sula (i.e. south-western

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