Climate change assessments Review of the processes and ...

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Kurt LAMBECK, Past President, Australian Academy of Science; Professor of Geophysics, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia Ralph CICERONE, President, U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC, USA Full responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authoring Committee and the InterAcademy Council. x Climate change assessments | Review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC
Acknowledgements Community input was an essential element of this review. The Committee thanks the individuals who participated in IAC Committee or subcommittee meetings (listed below), as well as the more than 400 individuals who provided other oral or written input (listed in Appendix C). Committee meetings. Guy Brasseur; Renate Christ; John Christy; Christopher Field; Michel Jarraud; Rajendra Pachauri; Janos Pasztor; Achim Steiner; Hans von Storch; and Robert Watson Brazil meeting. Tercio Ambrizzi; Paulo Artaxo; Marcos Buckeridge; Eduardo Calvo; Edmo José Dias Campos; Chou Sin Chan; Ulisses Confalonieri; Carolina Dubeux; Jose Marengo; Luiz Antonio Martinelli; Luiz Gylvan Meira Filho; José Roberto Moreira; Carlos Nobre; Jean Ometto; and Reynaldo Luiz Victoria China meeting. Yihui Ding; Zhongli Ding; Kiminori Itoh; Jiahua Pan; Dahe Qin; Yanhong Tang; Shaowu Wang; Songling Xu; and Guoguang Zheng The Committee also thanks the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences, The Royal Society, the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, the São Paulo Research Foundation, The Royal Society of Canada, McGill University, and Peking University for hosting these meetings. Several individuals facilitated the Committee’s work in essential ways. Renate Christ, IPCC Secretary, provided the extensive documentation requested by the Committee quickly and in a useful form, and clarified many issues for the Committee in the course of the review. Derek Rector and the Diamax Corp. designed and maintained the Committee’s website and communications systems and provided ongoing support. William Kearney, William Skane, Irene van Houten, Alice Henchley, and Bill Hartnett guided the Committee on public information issues and handled media relations. The Committee greatly appreciates their contributions. The Committee gratefully acknowledges the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), which provided financial support for the conduct of the review and the printing and distribution of this report. And last but by no means least, the Committee thanks the InterAcademy Council Board and especially Robbert Dijkgraaf and Lu Yongxiang, IAC Co-chairs, for providing the opportunity to undertake this important study. USA meeting. Richard Benedick; Diana Liverman; Jonathan Overpeck; Roger Pielke Jr.; Rich Richels; Cynthia Rosenzweig; Ben Santer; Steve Schneider; Susan Solomon; and John Weyant Climate change assessments | Review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC xi
Page 1 and 2: October 2010 Climate change assessm
Page 3 and 4: Climate change assessments
Page 5 and 6: Foreword In March 2010, the InterAc
Page 7 and 8: Contents Foreword iii Committee to
Page 9 and 10: Preface Since its founding more tha
Page 11: IAC report review This report was e
Page 15 and 16: management structure comprises the
Page 17 and 18: amount of evidence available and th
Page 19 and 20: 1. Introduction The Intergovernment
Page 21 and 22: assessment, they must carry out the
Page 23 and 24: Number of authors 1500 1200 900 600
Page 25 and 26: BOX 1.2 Roles of participants in IP
Page 27 and 28: The IPCC assessment process in brie
Page 29 and 30: Preparation of the Synthesis Report
Page 31 and 32: 2. Evaluation of IPCC’s assessmen
Page 33 and 34: authors are chosen and others are n
Page 35 and 36: efore incorporating them (Appendix
Page 37 and 38: ange of viewpoints offered and pote
Page 39 and 40: for rejected comments. In the case
Page 41 and 42: Summary for Policymakers A Summary
Page 43 and 44: in each of the three Working Group
Page 45 and 46: 3. IPCC’s evaluation of evidence
Page 47 and 48: Table 3.3 Likelihood scale used by
Page 49 and 50: models, conditional on the SRES sce
Page 51 and 52: 4. The likelihood scale used by Wor
Page 53 and 54: change. The area suitable for agric
Page 55 and 56: Fourth Assessment Report by present
Page 57 and 58: not consistently followed in the fo
Page 59 and 60: Recommendation ►The likelihood sc
Page 61 and 62: 4. Governance and management The IP
Page 63 and 64:
The IPCC makes all of its major dec
Page 65 and 66:
The IPCC Bureau The IPCC Bureau com
Page 67 and 68:
Ismail A.R. El Gizouli (Sudan - Act
Page 69 and 70:
ex officio member of the Executive
Page 71 and 72:
were interviewed by the Committee o
Page 73 and 74:
Working Groups and Technical Suppor
Page 75 and 76:
Recommendation ►The IPCC should c
Page 77 and 78:
5. Conclusions IPCC’S processes a
Page 79 and 80:
Editors could help them provide the
Page 81 and 82:
Increasing transparency. Transparen
Page 83 and 84:
making the assessment reports short
Page 85 and 86:
esponded to the Committee’s quest
Page 87 and 88:
dents have suggested testing the co
Page 89 and 90:
References Agrawala, S., 1998a, Con
Page 91 and 92:
Kahan, D., 2010, Fixing the communi
Page 93 and 94:
Appendix A Letters of request to th
Page 95 and 96:
Climate change assessments | Review
Page 97 and 98:
Climate change assessments | Review
Page 99 and 100:
Appendix B Questionnaire on IPCC pr
Page 101 and 102:
F. Crooks, CSIR/SABS, South Africa
Page 103 and 104:
Girma Orssengo, University of Weste
Page 105 and 106:
Appendix D Excerpts of IPCC procedu
Page 107 and 108:
IPCC review process (IPCC, 1999, Se
Page 109 and 110:
4.2.4.2 Second review (by governmen
Page 111 and 112:
Plan to treat issues of uncertainty
Page 113 and 114:
C. An order of magnitude can be giv
Page 115 and 116:
14. Likelihood, as defined in Table
Page 117 and 118:
Appendix E Committee biographies Ha
Page 119 and 120:
to 2001, he worked at the Frontier
Page 121 and 122:
Appendix F Acronyms and abbreviatio
Page 123:
IAC Secretariat Het Trippenhuis Klo
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