International Balzan Foundation Luigi Luca Cavalli
International Balzan Foundation Luigi Luca Cavalli
International Balzan Foundation Luigi Luca Cavalli
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong><br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize<br />
for Science of Human Origins<br />
Excerpts from the publications:<br />
<strong>Balzan</strong> Prizes 1999 (enlarged and revised edition, 2009)<br />
Meeting the Challenges of the Future.<br />
A Discussion between “The Two Cultures”<br />
(Leo S. Olschki Editore, 2003)
Revised and enlarged excerpt published on the occasion<br />
of <strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza’s lectio magistralis<br />
held on 7 September 2009,<br />
at the Fondazione Corriere della Sera, Milano.<br />
© 2009, Fondazione Internazionale <strong>Balzan</strong>, Milano [www.balzan.org]
INDEX<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza,<br />
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Motivation for the Prize and laudatio 5<br />
Acceptance Speech 6<br />
A Comprehensive Outline of My Research 11<br />
The Developments of My Research after the <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize (1999-2009) 25<br />
Are there Limits to Knowledge? 29<br />
Biographical and bibliographical data 36<br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong> 41
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza,<br />
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Motivation of the Prize and laudatio<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
For his comprehensive work on human evolution by integrating genetic and<br />
cultural features.<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza is the world’s expert on human genetic diversity and<br />
what it tells us about the phylogenetic tree of human populations.<br />
He realised that an understanding of the evolution of mankind requires the<br />
knowledge of both genetic mechanisms and cultural, especially linguistic, features.<br />
By collecting genes from a great number of different populations and testing<br />
more than a hundred different alleles, as well as by analysing historical, demographic,<br />
linguistic, etc. data, he was able to reconstruct the origin of ancient<br />
migration, creating a model of diffusion of culture in the Neolithic Age.<br />
In his comprehensive works, his genetic investigations of primitive populations,<br />
especially pygmies of Africa (one of the few remaining groups of hunters-gatherers),<br />
played an important role.<br />
Also, the studies of the genetic consequences of technological development,<br />
particularly the spread of agriculture from its area of origin, the Middle-East, to<br />
Europe, were exemplary. All this, in combination with archaeological data, allowed<br />
the reconstruction of a complete tree of human descent, in which genes<br />
and languages go hand in hand, demonstrating that genetic and cultural data<br />
converge in furnishing a convincing explanation of human evolution.<br />
In summing up, <strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza has created a most comprehensive<br />
synthesis on the differentiation of populations by integrating various fields of research<br />
and providing convincing evidence for genetic and cultural co-evolution.<br />
5
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Acceptance Speech<br />
Berne - 16 November, 1999<br />
Mrs. President of the Swiss Confederation,<br />
Members of the <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong>,<br />
Ladies and Gentlemen,<br />
I would like to begin by thanking all my friends, and other people I do not<br />
know, for proposing my name for the <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize; the Prize Committee, for<br />
their decision to act on the nomination; and above all, Eugenio <strong>Balzan</strong> and his<br />
daughter Angela Lina <strong>Balzan</strong> for their great generosity to science and culture.<br />
For about the last thirty years I have been living in the United States where I frequently<br />
have cause to admire the large-scale sponsorship that exists there - particularly<br />
in the scientific field - and from which universities and cultural institutions<br />
benefit to a substantial extent. And I often think what a pity it is that there<br />
is so little sponsorship in Italy. One of the reasons, of course, is that Italian legislation<br />
does not particularly encourage generosity of this type, except in special<br />
cases, and then only recently. For this reason, the way of thinking that would encourage<br />
very wealthy people in Italy to donate part of their money to the country’s<br />
scientific, cultural and intellectual progress has never been able to establish<br />
itself there. However, I hope that the generosity of the <strong>Balzan</strong>s will stimulate<br />
more people in Italy to act in a similar manner. Based on what I know of the life<br />
and work of Eugenio <strong>Balzan</strong> and his daughter I feel enormous admiration for<br />
them, and I am sure their memory will be held in great respect by the many others<br />
who have benefited from their generosity in the same way as I have. I would<br />
like, once again, to express my deepest gratitude to those who decided to make<br />
the award to myself and my field of learning.<br />
The <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize has been awarded to me for my research into the origins of<br />
man. The first ten years of my work as a researcher were devoted to the genetics<br />
of bacteria. However, in 1952, in Italy, I remembered the original teachings<br />
of my great mentor in the field of genetics, Professor Adriano Buzzati-Traverso.<br />
I owe to him my interest in the genetics of population and evolution, and I<br />
decided to turn to this interest, and to concentrate it on humans. I feel the<br />
choice of humans was dictated by my university studies, which I completed in<br />
medicine.<br />
6
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
The study of evolution received a solid framework with the introduction of a<br />
mathematical theory which was developed between 1918 and 1950 by three<br />
great scientists, Sir Ronald A. Fisher, J. B. S. Haldane and Sewall Wright. From<br />
1948 to 1950 I had the good fortune to work with Sir Ronald Fisher in Cambridge<br />
and derived great benefit from the relationship. Soon after this, I found<br />
myself asking the question as to whether it would be possible to reconstruct the<br />
evolutionary history of man by analysing the genetic differences between humans<br />
living today. At that time there were not yet sufficient genetic population<br />
data. Knowledge was limited to the frequency distributions of certain blood<br />
groups, including the so-called ABO system used for blood transfusions, and<br />
the famous rhesus system, as well as a few others. So until enough additional scientific<br />
knowledge could be collected to form a critical mass, the time could be<br />
devoted to studying the theory of evolution. At that time, there were two fundamentally<br />
different views as to the significance of the two major evolutionary<br />
factors: natural selection, on the one hand, and on the other, the effects of<br />
chance due to the limited size of populations. This inevitably leads to fluctuations<br />
in the statistical frequency of occurrence of genetic characteristics, and<br />
their effects would accumulate over generations.<br />
There was absolutely no doubt that natural selection played a central role. The<br />
influence of chance had already been especially investigated by one of the fathers<br />
of the mathematical theory of evolution, Sewall Wright, but there were still<br />
no usable empirical data. In passing, I am pleased to be able to remind you that<br />
Sewall Wright was awarded the <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize in 1984, having outlived the other<br />
two great scientists by a good many years. The other geneticist who has so far<br />
had the honour of receiving this prize was John Maynard Smith, who was one of<br />
the most brilliant students of J. B. S. Haldane. So we have the interesting coincidence<br />
that of the three geneticists who have been awarded the <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize<br />
until now, Sewall Wright was the last of the three great names who was still alive,<br />
and the other two were students of Haldane and Fisher.<br />
I set out to solve the problem of how to measure the effects of chance on genetic<br />
variation by studying a population group in the neighbourhood of the University<br />
of Parma where I was teaching in the nineteen-fifties. The idea was that<br />
it should be easy to predict the effects of chance on the genetic differences between<br />
the various villages, by using demographic data reconstructed on the basis<br />
of church records of births, marriages and deaths going back to the year<br />
7
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
1500. This would permit us to calculate the genetic variation due to chance predicted<br />
theoretically, and compare it with actual observations. This work turned<br />
out successfully thanks to the assistance of two young students: the priest Antonio<br />
Moroni, and Franco Conterio, who are both now professors at Parma, the<br />
former of ecology and the latter of anthropology.<br />
By 1961 enough genetic data and observations from numerous populations in<br />
the world had been collected, and it was possible to make a first analysis of the<br />
evolutionary tree of human populations. Anthony Edwards of Cambridge University<br />
helped me to develop and use methods of reconstructing evolutionary<br />
trees. We performed the necessary heavy calculations with the Olivetti Elea<br />
computer recently purchased by the University of Pavia, to which I had moved<br />
and where I was continuing my research work. We could thus reconstruct the<br />
first evolutionary tree of human populations, whose basic structure is still valid<br />
today. Another working relationship very fruitful for me was with Sir Walter<br />
Bodmer, also a student of R. A. Fisher, with whom we published two books on<br />
human population genetics. One of these, The Genetics of Human Populations,<br />
was re-printed only a few months ago by Dover Publications, almost thirty years<br />
after it was first published.<br />
In the second half of the nineteen-sixties I extended the model of genetic research<br />
I had developed on the population of Parma – as far as this was possible<br />
– to a group of hunters and gatherers in the African bush: the pygmies. This is<br />
one of the few population groups still alive today with a pre-agricultural economy<br />
similar to that of the Palaeolithic period. Professor Marcello Siniscalco, at<br />
that time Professor at Leiden, was very helpful to me in carrying out in his laboratory<br />
the genetic analysis of countless blood samples I had collected in Africa.<br />
The contact with such a totally different culture stimulated me to embark on research<br />
into cultural evolution which I pursued after I moved to Stanford University<br />
in 1971. I began by analysing archaeological data on the spread of agriculture<br />
in Europe in the Neolithic period in collaboration with the archaeologist<br />
Albert Ammerman. Thanks to a mathematical theory developed by R. A. Fisher<br />
in 1937 we were able to measure the rate at which agriculture spread, and show<br />
that it was consistent with the hypothesis that it was the people themselves that<br />
spread, and not the knowledge of agriculture. In other words, it was a diffusion<br />
of farmers, which we called demic, and not of farming. In the second half of the<br />
nineteen-seventies we carried out with Alberto Piazza and Paolo Menozzi, now<br />
8
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
Professors of Human Genetics in Turin, and Ecology in Parma, an analysis of<br />
data on gene frequencies in Europe. This work enabled us to confirm that genetic<br />
and archaeological data are closely correlated and consistent with the idea<br />
that agriculture spread from the Middle East. This was the start of a 14-yearlong<br />
working relationship with Menozzi and Piazza. Thanks to it we extended<br />
these studies of genetic geography and history to the rest of the world, in the<br />
way they are described in the book The History and Geography of Human Genes<br />
published in 1994.<br />
In the nineteen-eighties the first methods of genetic analysis were used which<br />
made it possible to carry out direct investigations on DNA. This revolutionary<br />
development expanded the bandwidth of genetic variation from a few hundred<br />
genes to several tens of thousands, and genetic analysis could be shifted down to<br />
the smallest unit of DNA, the individual nucleotide. It also became possible to<br />
use new methods of collecting genetic data on significant factors in human evolutionary<br />
history, particularly on the spread of modern man beyond the area<br />
from which he originates: Africa. Four years ago, a researcher from my laboratory,<br />
Peter Underhill, together with Peter Oefner, a colleague from Ron Davis’<br />
laboratory, invented a new and particularly efficient method of investigating<br />
DNA differences. This made it possible to find many genetic variations in the Ychromosome.<br />
For a number of reasons this chromosome turned out to be extremely<br />
valuable, even though it had made practically no contribution to evolutionary<br />
research up to that time. Since then, however, we have entered a phase<br />
of great activity and fascinating discoveries.<br />
The explosive growth in knowledge in the last few years has also had an effect<br />
on certain socio-cultural fields of study such as linguistics and onomastics - the<br />
study of names. In connection with my studies of onomastics and blood relationships<br />
I would like to acknowledge the valuable support of Professor Gianna<br />
Zei of Pavia. We have observed a significant similarity between the development<br />
of language and of genes, which is in part due to common evolutionary<br />
mechanisms and historical expansionary processes of populations. With the<br />
studies of the development of language I have had the assistance of Joseph<br />
Greenberg and Merritt Ruhlen of Stanford, and Bill Wang of Berkeley. These<br />
latest studies result in part from thirty years of collaboration with Professor<br />
Marc Feldman of Stanford, with whom we developed a mathematical theory of<br />
cultural heredity. Until now the studies of cultural evolution have not aroused<br />
9
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
much interest among cultural anthropologists, with one important exception:<br />
the joint research on the pygmies with Professor Barry Hewlett of Washington<br />
University. The studies have, however, proved interesting to economists who<br />
find the mathematical approach more appealing.<br />
My research work has frequently led me into areas normally out of bounds to<br />
the natural sciences, and it can therefore promote a greater interchange between<br />
the “Two Cultures”. Multidisciplinarity is central to fields such as mine. On the<br />
other hand, science demands ever-increasing specialisation, because otherwise<br />
there is the danger of superficiality. However, it is always possible to become<br />
multidisciplinary by seeking out good co-workers in other disciplines. I am<br />
pleased I have had the opportunity to mention the most important ones and to<br />
thank them. My research work would not have been possible without them.<br />
10<br />
LUIGI LUCA CAVALLI-SFORZA
A Comprehensive Outline of My Research<br />
(1999 – revised July 2009)<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
by <strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
Professor Emeritus at the School of Medicine, Stanford University<br />
In my thanks I have given a very preliminary history of my research on human<br />
origins, taking the pleasure of naming all the main collaborators who have<br />
helped me. I now wish to give a summary of the main results.<br />
Drift vs. natural selection as factors of evolution and the importance of demography<br />
Jacques Monod published a great book called Chance and Necessity which, given<br />
its contents, could also have been named with the less attractive, but more<br />
descriptive title of “Mutation and Natural Selection”. In the book, chance was<br />
held partly responsible for evolution because of the randomness of mutation,<br />
but in reality it plays an even greater role, because of random genetic drift, that<br />
is the effect of statistical fluctuations of the frequencies of genes, due to population<br />
size, isolation and poverty of migratory exchanges. At the time I started my<br />
research, enthusiasts of selection tended to downplay the importance of drift.<br />
My early research proved that you can predict the extent and importance of<br />
drift by using demographic information of populations, especially their geographic<br />
structure and reciprocal migrations, and that drift is far from negligible.<br />
It is clear that human evolution is extremely favorable for the study of drift, because<br />
demography, which can predict it quantitatively, is especially easy to study<br />
in humans. But demography is also the basis of natural selection, which is the<br />
outcome of differential survival and reproduction. It is not surprising that Darwin<br />
was greatly influenced by Malthus’ insight on the manner of demographic<br />
growth of human populations. It is now clear that the understanding of evolution<br />
is largely based on the study of demography. In his famous book The Genetic<br />
Theory of Natural Selection, R.A. Fisher adopted Lotka’s equation expressing<br />
the rate of population growth to define the method of measurement of<br />
“Darwinian fitness” in natural selection, that is, the hereditary capacity for individual<br />
adaptation in natural selection, and to use its individual variation to predict<br />
the main aspects of evolution by natural selection.<br />
11
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Thanks to the Japanese population geneticist Motoo Kimura, molecular genetics<br />
has played a key role for understanding the major influence of drift in general<br />
evolution. Drift is important also when there is natural selection, but in its absence<br />
– that is for “selectively neutral” traits – it is almost the only factor, with<br />
mutation and migration, of evolutionary change. Many genetic variants discovered<br />
at DNA level are selectively neutral or nearly so. Kimura introduced the<br />
idea of “survival of the luckiest” to emphasize the role of chance as a counterpoint<br />
to natural selection, as defined by “survival of the fittest”.<br />
Population structure and migratory exchanges between populations are extremely<br />
important for understanding human evolution. They are also beginning<br />
to play a major role in medical genetics, for a simple reason: it is becoming clear<br />
that human population “isolates” are very common. These are populations who<br />
have gone through a demographic bottleneck at some stage in their lifetime and<br />
have had limited migratory exchange with their neighbors. They are strongly<br />
subject to drift, and the result is that their genetic epidemiology is quite different<br />
from that of the general human population as a whole. Many hereditary diseases<br />
common elsewhere are rare or absent in some of these isolates, while other<br />
genetic diseases rare or absent in the general population are common.<br />
Text-book examples of such population isolates are French Canadians, Afrikaners,<br />
Ashkenazi Jews, Sardinians and many other smaller populations like that of<br />
the island of Tristan da Cunha, and others. Most hereditary diseases like schizophrenia<br />
or allergies are due to many different genetic causes and are therefore<br />
difficult to study in the general population, but responsible genes are easier to<br />
identify in these isolates. In fact it is likely that a single gene is responsible for all<br />
of a given disease found in an isolated population, or at least it is much easier to<br />
dissect, through the study of an isolated one, a complex causal genetic system of<br />
diseases or other rare traits.<br />
Evolutionary trees<br />
The first approach I tried for reconstructing the history of human evolution was<br />
the use of evolutionary trees. Their application relies on the principle that the<br />
further the separation of two populations, the greater is, in probability, the magnitude<br />
of the genetic difference between them. This requires measurement of a<br />
quantity we have called “genetic distance”. When one examines the genetic distance<br />
between species which have been separated for very long times, tens or<br />
hundreds of millions of years, one usually examines one individual per species,<br />
12
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
and finds that species differ for many single genetic differences. The percentage<br />
of DNA units which happen to be different in two species is related, in a very<br />
simple way, to their evolutionary time separation. But human populations living<br />
today have been separated for a relatively short time. Archaeology shows that<br />
modern humans appeared only a little over one hundred thousand years ago, in<br />
Africa, and spread first to Asia, between 100,000 and 50,000 years ago, and<br />
from South East Asia to Oceania between 60,000 and 40,000 years ago. Europe<br />
was reached about 40,000 years ago from both West Asia and North Africa, and<br />
America from Siberia beginning 15,000 years ago.<br />
Mutation first appears in one individual, and then it spreads to other individuals<br />
only in successive generations, when the individual carrying the mutated type<br />
has several progeny carrying the mutation, either because mutants are favored<br />
by selection and survive easily or have more children, or they are favored by<br />
chance. It usually takes a great number of generations before the mutation is<br />
found in many individuals, and even more for it to replace completely the original<br />
type. Thus between the first appearance of a mutation and the replacement<br />
of the original type there will usually elapse a very long time. During that period<br />
the mutant type is “polymorphic”, i.e. there coexist in the population both the<br />
original (ancestral) type and the mutant one. There are extremely few mutations<br />
that have reached the whole of the human species after its origin in Africa.<br />
In fact, we established that, although the human population has enormous genetic<br />
variation between individuals, 85% of the total human variation is within<br />
single populations, and only 15% between them. We therefore cannot use for<br />
the comparison of different human populations the same measure of genetic<br />
distance useful for comparing different living species, for which an individual<br />
from each species would suffice. For instance, we find that the RH negative type<br />
has a frequency of 50% in some populations, e.g. in the Basque country, a lower<br />
one in England (40%), and 0% in East Asia. Genetic replacement means<br />
transition from 0% to 100%. The difference between Basques and English people<br />
is only 50%-40% = 10% of a complete replacement, and that between<br />
Basques and East Asians 50% . We actually employ slightly more sophisticated<br />
formulas to calculate the genetic distance between two populations, which is, on<br />
average, proportional to the time since the two were separated. It is also essential<br />
to calculate the averages of many genes for these measurements to be valid.<br />
When chance is one of the main factors responsible for change, the only way to<br />
eliminate the uncertainty it causes is to apply the law of large numbers, that is,<br />
use a large number of genetic differences. However, even if we could confine<br />
13
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
ourselves to studying the differences due to natural selection, we must always<br />
take the averages of many characteristics. The populations of which we can most<br />
usefully study separation by means of evolutionary trees are those which are<br />
most widely separated, and genetic separation is strictly proportional to geographical<br />
separation. Geographically close populations are very similar to each<br />
other, generally speaking, because migration is more frequent between neighbors.<br />
Husband and wife tend to be born at short distance from each other. Migration<br />
acts as a genetic homogenizer and tends to suppress genetic differences<br />
caused by natural selection or drift. But when two groups are located at a great<br />
distance, enough to repress genetic exchange between the original population<br />
and the new colony, differentiation will begin and will continue at a more or less<br />
constant rate, largely dictated by drift, and, if there are important environmental<br />
differences, by natural selection. For this reason, evolutionary trees of populations<br />
enable us to reconstruct their history, and are in reasonable agreement<br />
with archaeological observations.<br />
More recently, we reconstructed genetic trees of individuals, especially for genetic<br />
traits which are inherited through one parent only. These are based on mitochondrial<br />
DNA, which is transmitted through mothers only to all children,<br />
or on Y chromosomes DNA, transmitted only from fathers to sons. DNA sequencences<br />
make it possible to reconstruct the genealogies of mutations that<br />
took place over very long periods, and beautifully confirm the evolutionary<br />
trees made on populations, while being much more detailed and significant. In<br />
practice, they reconstruct the individual genealogy starting from a single “Eve”<br />
(through mitochondrial DNA), or from a single “Adam” (through a Y chromosome)<br />
respectively, who lived between one hundred and two hundred thousand<br />
years ago, but not because there was ever a moment in which only one<br />
couple or only one ancestor was alive. At the beginning of our species, there<br />
was probably one tribe of about a thousand people who lived at some place in<br />
Eastern Africa, but for statistical reasons, both for mitochondria and for Y<br />
chromosomes, there is only one ancestor common to all of the mitochondria<br />
and to all of the Y chromosomes present today: it is the only one that has been<br />
reproduced to this day; all the others have not had children, grandchildren or<br />
great-grandchildren who have survived until the present day. For those who<br />
think that there was actually a time when only one pair of individuals lived, as<br />
the Bible says, we must say that our genetic Adam and Eve lived in very separate<br />
times and perhaps places.<br />
14
Genetics and culture<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
I find it useful to call Culture the heritage of knowledge accumulating over generations,<br />
or, we may also say, culture is what we learn from others and affects our<br />
behavior: it is a much more general definition than the one normally used for the<br />
word “culture” by daily newspapers, which seems to concern only films and<br />
novels. Most animals have culture, though it is clear that humans are the most<br />
cultural animals of all. Culture evolves according to rules which are similar to<br />
those of biology, but the substrate is clearly very different, relying on neuronal<br />
states and relationships, rather than on DNA structure. There are cultural<br />
changes which are equivalent to genetic mutations, such as inventions or innovations,<br />
but they are not as random as biological mutations. On the contrary,<br />
they are often directed toward a specific aim. This is a major difference with biological<br />
evolution. Another great difference is that transmission is not confined<br />
to transmission from parents to children, but can take place, and does more often<br />
take place, between unrelated individuals. This makes cultural change much<br />
faster than biological change. However, there are also cultural traits which are,<br />
in evolutionary terms, much more stable. They are often transmitted from parents<br />
to children (what we call “vertical” transmission), and therefore imitate to<br />
some extent biological transmission, that is known to be very stable. Children<br />
are, to a certain extent malleable, but they also go through critical periods in<br />
which they are especially susceptible to learning specific things, e.g. their own<br />
language must be learned within the first three or four years of life. And the majority<br />
of people have difficulty in learning foreign languages after adolescence.<br />
Most cultural transmission is, however, “horizontal”, i.e. not necessarily influenced<br />
by kinship or age difference between transmitter and transmittee. This<br />
makes the acquisition of cultural novelties potentially very fast, and thus fast<br />
cultural evolution favors assimilation.<br />
What is learnt is not always necessarily favorable to survival or reproduction.<br />
Nevertheless, one can consider culture as an adaptive mechanism that developed<br />
out of the combined use of communication, observation of others, and<br />
learning skills. It obviously relies on the presence of neural structures which<br />
make this possible. Cultural change is not necessarily good or bad, though it<br />
contributes in a significant way to determining our behavior, and, therefore, is<br />
subject to natural selection. One can expect that this will continue to keep cultural<br />
change adaptive, on average, even though maladaptive cultural aberrations<br />
like crime, drugs and the like are to some extent inevitable.<br />
15
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
There has been a tendency in some sociobiological circles and their descendants<br />
to consider cultural traits as dominated by biology, but the reverse is becoming<br />
the rule. There is unquestionably a range of new genetic traits which have been<br />
introduced as an answer to cultural changes. Most of them have to do with acquired<br />
cultural traits introduced by new diets or customs, like getting dressed.<br />
The expansion toward northern Asia would have been impossible without<br />
clothing. Whether clothing was determined by the previous loss of hairiness, or<br />
whether it helped loss of hair is difficult to say, but it is likely that hair loss took<br />
place earliert and made clothing necessary. One may also venture that hair was<br />
lost because fire had become a major presence in human life, and hairiness is<br />
dangerous in proximity to fire. Another genetic change having specific racial<br />
consequences is paleness of the skin. That skin became pale was largely a consequence<br />
of a cereal-based diet, which, in dark-skinned people, causes rickets at<br />
northern latitudes. Wheat does not contain vitamin D, but a chemical substance<br />
that is its precursor, which can be converted into vitamin D only by an enzyme<br />
present in the lower layers of the skin. This enzyme, however, must be activated<br />
by ultraviolet rays, which are too scarce in Europe because of its high latitude.<br />
The melanin responsible for the dark color of the skin stops ultraviolet rays,<br />
whereas pale skin allows the formation of vitamin D in a diet based on cereals<br />
and cancels out the highly harmful consequences of rickets.<br />
Another example of the biological consequences of cultural evolution is intolerance<br />
to milk (and tolerance to it). Practically all mammals lose the ability to use<br />
lactose after being weaned, but among many herding peoples, the custom of<br />
drinking milk among adults became widespread, even though this may give rise<br />
to serious cases of lactose intolerance. A mutation that arose among herders in<br />
the Ural Mountains around 6000 years ago abolished the disappearance after<br />
weaning of the enzyme that makes it possible to use lactose, and the carriers of<br />
this mutation are totally lactose tolerant. Today this mutation is found in 90-<br />
95% of Scandinavians, is very frequent in northern Europe, a little less in central<br />
Europe and present in 20-40% of southern Italy.<br />
The heredity of acquired behavioral characteristics through cultural evolution is<br />
a reality that enables characteristics transmitted via cultural routes to overcome<br />
the great slowness with which normally favorable biological characteristics<br />
spread through populations: thanks to biological heredity alone. The spread of<br />
lactose tolerance is an example of one of the most rapid biological evolutions in<br />
humans, though it was undoubtedly helped enormously by the spread of milk<br />
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<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
consumption, especially among adults, which came about through a Lamarckian<br />
type of heredity (of acquired characteristics during lifetime). The genetic study of<br />
human evolution has shown with extreme clarity that the genetic success of a<br />
population, as proved by its expansion in numbers and across vast regions, was<br />
largely the result of major technological innovations in relatively recent times:<br />
food production (agriculture, stockbreeding and their various developments) or<br />
transportation (cattle, horses, camels, lamas, boats, oceanic navigation), or military<br />
power (bronze, iron, cattle and horses, camels) and, in more recent times,<br />
communication (roads, and again the horse, the telephone, radio, television, and<br />
so on), mathematics (agronomy, geography, astronomy, computers), the experimental<br />
method (engineering, chemistry, modern physics).<br />
With the modern triumph of communication cultural evolution is becoming<br />
more and more the directional force of human evolution, and genetic evolution<br />
may well end up be completely under its control. Even the evolution of animals<br />
and plants is undergoing intense acceleration as a result of cultural evolution in<br />
humans. The remote origins of the success of humans as a species lie in two innovations<br />
which are partly biological, but perhaps in part also cultural. The first<br />
is language, which certainly required a strong development of the essential<br />
parts of our brain, and which was hence largely a biological evolution. However,<br />
once it became possible to use it, it developed enormous driving force. The<br />
other was human ingeniousness, which brought about many cultural innovations,<br />
the usefulness – if not necessity – of which has been proved beyond a<br />
doubt. Unlike genetic innovations due to mutation, which are by chance, cultural<br />
innovations are responses to a necessity. However, they are not always<br />
wholly appropriate, and like all innovations, they may also have costs that are<br />
heavier than their benefits.<br />
Racism<br />
I do not like the word “race” because it corresponds to old subdivisions that are<br />
inconsistent with genetic reality and unjustifiable by a rational classification.<br />
Moreover, there is no real use for such classifications and, what is worse, there<br />
is always an associated racist flavor. Darwin had already recognized the difficulty<br />
of a rational classification of races in what is an almost perfect continuum, and<br />
noted the enormous variety of numbers and definitions of races, from two to almost<br />
one hundred. The current trend toward increased admixture can only<br />
make the idea of race even less clear.<br />
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1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
It is important, however, to note that current classifications depend on external<br />
appearance, which is due to very few genes (hereditary factors) affecting skin,<br />
hair and eye color. Body and face size and shape may involve a few more genes<br />
but, like the former, are the result of an adaptation to climate (including diet and<br />
clothing, which obviously also depend to a large extent on climate and also on<br />
culture). Common belief in the “existence” of races must depend on uniformity<br />
of skin color in different environments: definitely dark in tropical climates,<br />
brown at some distance from the equator, light brown in southern Europe,<br />
reaching the highest degree of paleness in the southern Baltic. To a very superficial<br />
examination, races do exist, in the sense that some groups of individuals<br />
are distinguishable and relatively uniform in terms of a few superficial traits.<br />
However, the existence of “pure” races is pure myth, generated by the fact that<br />
most Europeans are pale, sub-Saharan Africans black, many Asians brown, and<br />
a few other traits may help to distinguish more finely the geographic origin of individuals.<br />
There is no equal uniformity beneath the skin: genetic differences<br />
among populations or races, however defined, are small or trivial compared to<br />
those few perspicuous characteristics that inevitably attract our attention. Below<br />
the superficially uniform veneer created mainly by the color of the skin, there<br />
are no “pure races”. Moreover, cultural differences among ethnic groups have<br />
often been held to be of genetic origin, though the reality is that most of them<br />
disappear after two or three generations of assimilation into another culture,<br />
and if some last longer it is because some cultural traits are more highly conserved<br />
than others. Distinguishing nature from culture is extremely difficult for<br />
most behavioral traits, but cultural differences are often strong in appearance<br />
though only skin-deep when put to the test of time. Some who have studied<br />
twins have, I think, been betrayed by their enthusiasm for genetics, beginning<br />
with the classical example of Sir Cyril Burt, whose aberrations have been exposed.<br />
I am not pressing for a blanket condemnation of all students of twins, but<br />
I think the marvel that some of them have expressed at the fact that a few identical<br />
twins reared apart prefer the same brand of cigarettes should not be taken<br />
very seriously – and in any event, even if there is something genetic about it,<br />
there are many cultural differences that we do not see in twins who grew up together<br />
(and there are very few cases of twins separated at birth). Another myth<br />
which dominated nineteenth century Europe and continues in the present century<br />
is that interracial hybrids are inferior, and that race admixture is to be<br />
avoided at all costs. The degree of genetic differentiation in the human species<br />
is so small that it is impossible for racial admixture to be genetically dangerous.<br />
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<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
On the contrary, the exact opposite, the vigor of hybrids may be deemed probable.<br />
There are, in fact, a few recent examples of very successful interracial hybrids.<br />
They cannot be too many, because there still is a real social handicap confronting<br />
interracial hybrids in most societies, which limits their numbers and<br />
success. Revisiting the Italian translation of this text at a distance of ten years, in<br />
2009, I cannot refrain from making an addition: to note the great satisfaction at<br />
the recent election of a North American who is a hybrid of the two most different<br />
races, and how important that can be for the future of mankind.<br />
I consider racism one of the scourges of humanity. There are very few social environments<br />
from which it is absent, and racism is certainly not only a European<br />
or white social disease. My beloved African Pygmies are considered animals by<br />
most of their Bantu neighbors, who think themselves superior because of the superiority<br />
of an agricultural economy, however primitive, compared with that of<br />
hunter-gatherers. The Saami should not be called Lapps, as they usually are, because<br />
the name “Lapps” means “no good” and they are thus called by their<br />
proximate neighbors because they do not practice agriculture. I find that culture,<br />
not genetics, is more useful in distinguishing people. And every culture has<br />
merits, but these give very different chances of economic and educational success.<br />
Is racism innate in humanity ? I do not know, but I believe a strong educational<br />
effort to eradicate racism is one of the most urgent needs. It may be impossible<br />
to totally eliminate it, but it should be possible the reduce the<br />
criminality with which it is constantly associated.<br />
Political difficulties encountered by genetics<br />
There is today great disagreement on the practical applications of molecular genetics<br />
to plants and animals. It is a good thing that these discussions take place.<br />
Every innovation is associated with potential benefits and costs. The latter are<br />
more difficult to evaluate in advance, leaving room for pessimists to overworry,<br />
and for optimists to be careless. It is a good thing that different countries take<br />
different strategies, so that the overcautious can wait as long as they like, and the<br />
overconfident take the loss, if there is one and teach others in the process.<br />
The study of human evolution has had its share of political difficulties. This has<br />
come from the religious attitudes of primitive cultures and from some political<br />
arenas. At the beginning the Human Genome Project in Washington avoided<br />
the study of variation, mostly, I believe, because it was felt that dealing with one<br />
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1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
single genome was already ambitious enough. The international branch of the<br />
Human Genome Project (the Human Genome Organization, HUGO) helped<br />
me to study human genetic variation. The Human Genetic Diversity Project<br />
(HGDP) – unrelated to the Human Genome project – has been the outcome.<br />
Its aim is that of accumulating samples of DNA from the human world population,<br />
make them available to research workers in human population genetics,<br />
and put their results into a data bank available to the research community.<br />
(Writing ten years later, in 2009, I can say that coordinated effort has brought<br />
substantial advantages). It is a fact that new developments in medical genetics<br />
make this type of research very useful. Pharmaceutical and biotechnologies<br />
firms have promptly understood their interest in genetic variation and have<br />
started working on genetic isolates and patenting polymorphisms. Our work has<br />
been made particularly difficult by totally unjustified attacks full of lies by a special-interest<br />
group, a Canadian NGO, which has an established network among<br />
some indigenous populations of America and Oceania. It accused the Human<br />
Genome Diversity Project of being behind totally unrelated patenting efforts of<br />
cell lines by the U.S. National Institutes of Health, of being interested in profit<br />
and consorting with pharmaceutical industries, and various other lies. The truth<br />
is that the HGDP is a non-profit institution, and has always been against patenting<br />
DNA.<br />
Fortunately several countries and regions, including the European Union, China,<br />
some Moslem countries and Israel have started efforts in the systematic<br />
study of human variation. The Human Genome Project has begun to reverse its<br />
policy of avoiding the study of human variation.<br />
One of the unsolved problems is that a few indigenous populations that are politically<br />
organized are asking for a share in the possible profits from research in<br />
ethnic variation. This may be a reasonable request, especially considering the<br />
poverty of indigenous peoples, but these profits are difficult to predict and ascertain,<br />
and can only come on a very long term basis from medical research,<br />
which is very expensive. Rumours have been spread by some journalists that<br />
knowledge of ethnic variation could be used for new forms of biological warfare<br />
directed against special ethnic groups. This is a hypothetical form of warfare<br />
very unlikely to be ever possible or effective, given the extremely mixed and<br />
complex structure of human populations. We witness daily heinous examples of<br />
ethnic warfare very effectively delivered with conventional or even traditional<br />
weapons, between peoples among whom there cannot exist any, or almost any<br />
genetic difference, but only political or religious ones. Unfortunately there ex-<br />
20
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
ists already a very dangerous biological arsenal, but the weapons developed so<br />
far have fortunately no connection whatsoever with ethnic differences.<br />
The future of human genetics<br />
There are a few signs of directions which human evolution may take. There has<br />
been, especially in the last five hundred years, an increasing migration across<br />
countries and continents, which has already had some effects in increasing overall<br />
admixture. Le Comte de Gobineau, who feared that admixture would ruin<br />
the qualities of human races (especially of the white race, of course), could be<br />
reassured today. There is absolutely no danger, and possibly even some advantage,<br />
from increased admixture. Human individual variation is the best insurance<br />
against future challenges from parasites or other environmental dangers,<br />
and the genetic structure of populations guarantees that this will not change.<br />
Global variation will not change, but the distribution of variation between and<br />
within continents or “races” may change, with a decrease in the variation between,<br />
and an increase in that within populations. Today there is, however, a<br />
major difference between the net reproductive rates of different countries and<br />
continents. Europeans grew in numbers in the last millennium but went<br />
through a demographic transition in the last two centuries, which is almost completed,<br />
and are practically not increasing any more in numbers, except through<br />
immigration. The rest of the world, with the exception of northern America and<br />
part of Oceania is increasing at maximum rate. This is the result of the arrival in<br />
the developing countries of Western hygiene and medicine, even if still very limited.<br />
Unaccompanied by birth limitation, it is causing a very worrying jump in<br />
population numbers. With white people of European origin being demographically<br />
stationary and the rest of the world with an average darker skin multiplying<br />
actively, the consequence will be an average darkening of the skin at a world<br />
level. This change may chagrin white racists, but is really not worrying from a<br />
genetic point of view.<br />
What is more worrying is that medicine has a dysgenic effect, because it has become<br />
successful in curing diseases which have a genetic component, and therefore<br />
these diseases will increase in frequency in the future. In truth, there has<br />
been very little progress in curing hardcore hereditary diseases. The main hope<br />
seems to be mostly gene therapy, which is due in a not necessarily close future.<br />
Progress of medicine has been more common in surgical treatment of many diseases,<br />
and in that of infectious ones, where the genetic component is less dra-<br />
21
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
matic, though not absent. As diseases which will increase in frequency are those<br />
which are curable, there will be no worsening of general health, but there will be<br />
an increase in the global cost of medical treatment, which will be compounded<br />
with the increase due to the greater expense of modern medical treatment, independently<br />
of the augmented frequency of disease. This cost increase is already<br />
wrecking current systems of social medicine. A third cause of increase is the extension<br />
of medical treatment to developing countries, which however is very<br />
slow and in any event to be desired.<br />
In the last century and in the first part of the present one there was great confidence<br />
in eugenics, a movement which recommended improvement of the human<br />
species by encouraging the multiplication of people endowed with successful<br />
characters (positive eugenics), and discouraging that of antisocial and<br />
medically unfit individuals (negative eugenics). Basically this was inspired by the<br />
practice of animal and plant breeders, who try to improve breeds by artificial selection,<br />
i.e. the choice of the best reproducers. However, there are serious traps<br />
in eugenic policies: it is very difficult to tell “good genes” from “bad genes”, or<br />
even good people from bad people – even if, of course, some cases are clear. It<br />
has been noted that selecting against serious psychiatric diseases like schizophrenia<br />
and manic depressive psychosis might destroy major sources of entertainment<br />
and pleasure like the theater, literature, and the arts, given that there is<br />
a significant association between these diseases and artistic creativity. A very<br />
good geneticist, H.J.Muller, gave involuntarily another famous example. He was<br />
in favor of conserving sperm from famous people for insemination of female<br />
volunteers, and gave a list of examples of men whose sperm should be conserved<br />
for propagation of their genes. He was a communist and went to the<br />
USSR before World War II in the hope of convincing the Soviet authorities to<br />
try his program. But he was not successful and, on his return to the free world,<br />
he decided to cancel Lenin and Stalin from his list of great men who should donate<br />
their sperm for his eugenic program.<br />
We can now predict the birth of children with major genetic diseases in time for<br />
early and safe pregnancy interruption. This practice, which avoids many pains<br />
and expenses to families and potential patients of very serious diseases, has met<br />
with considerable success even in traditionally Roman Catholic countries, where<br />
religious views are still contrary to it. There is often confusion between it and<br />
eugenics, but this practice is neither eugenic nor dysgenic. It does almost exactly<br />
what natural selection does, by removing from reproduction individuals who<br />
22
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
would not ordinarily reproduce. With very few exceptions, it simply removes<br />
them before they are born, usually avoiding extreme pains to them and to their<br />
relatives. It therefore does not, in practice, change the genetic incidence of the<br />
disease, but kills it before it appears, in the unborn.<br />
Multidisciplinarity and historical studies<br />
The research of human origins has made it useful or necessary to study parallel<br />
events and phenomena in a number of related disciplines, ranging from genetics<br />
to paleoanthropology, archaeology, ecology, history, demography, sociology, cultural<br />
and physical anthropology, linguistics, toponomastics and anthroponymy,<br />
and this list will probably increase in the future. This has been made possible by<br />
many collaborators whom I have tried to thank in my acceptance speech. There<br />
are definite advantages in this multidisciplinarity. A major one is the intellectual<br />
pleasure of finding so many similarities between disparate fields of study, some<br />
of which belong traditionally to the two opposite sides of culture: science and<br />
the humanities. The unity of scientific method comes out very clearly from such<br />
an exercise. It is also clear that many basic paradigms, especially mathematical<br />
ones, are extremely useful in many different disciplines, including both sciences<br />
and humanities, and are sufficiently few and simple that they can be easily exported<br />
from one field to the other. The book The Two Cultures by C.P. Snow already<br />
gave reasons for not maintaining the gap existing between the two cultures,<br />
but little has happened since it was published.<br />
There is also a specific advantage in multidisciplinarity when studying evolution.<br />
Evolution, like all history, suffers from a major handicap: one cannot use<br />
the experimental method, because one cannot hope to replicate history with the<br />
aim of verifying the causes. For this reason, some philosophers of science have<br />
denied that the study of evolution is a science. But historical events have rarely<br />
had restricted meaning or influence. One finds again and again the same consequences<br />
of the same events in profoundly different things. To give an example,<br />
the history of the settlement of geographical areas by populations expanding demographically<br />
has often similar consequences in genetics and in linguistics, so<br />
much so that their evolutionary trees are similar, in spite of the profound difference<br />
of the physical substrate evolving in biology and language. There is much<br />
fear among some scientists of the possible superficiality of conclusions drawn on<br />
the basis of analogies between different sciences. But one of the great scientists,<br />
Darwin, noted, in chapter 14 of the Origin of Species (second edition), that if we<br />
23
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
knew the genealogical tree of humanity we could predict that of languages. We<br />
are now very close to this aim. In reality, we have seen that he was right, even if<br />
he may have had too much faith in the idea. Many researchers have noted independently<br />
the similarities between the evolution of genes, of languages, and,<br />
more generally, of culture. Without the study of demography, the study of genetic<br />
evolution, especially of the human species, would be fruitless. One could<br />
continue with these parallels, reciprocal interactions, and cross-fertilizations of<br />
different disciplines, but naturally, no two cases where the same model can apply<br />
are truly identical. Analogies, metaphors, and models are powerful instruments<br />
for novel ideas, but critical thinking remains our best protection against<br />
possible superficiality of conclusions derived from them.<br />
Increase in knowledge demands today extreme specialization, but in my experience<br />
the cooperation of scientists from different disciplines can give that degree<br />
of generality without which research would be penalized. Multidisciplinarity is<br />
a major enrichment, especially in those sciences in which, as in history, repetition<br />
of the experiment is impossible, and may provide a sort of analogue of it.<br />
24
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
The Developments of My Research after the <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize (1999-2009)<br />
by <strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
Professor Emeritus at the School of Medicine, Stanford University<br />
The <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong> has taken the kind initiative of republishing in English<br />
and Italian writings I had prepared for the <strong>Foundation</strong> on the occasion of receiving<br />
the <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize (1999). My scientific activity has since continued and I<br />
thought it useful to prepare a short update.<br />
In 1999 I was, (and had been since 1992, according to the rules then in force), a<br />
professor emeritus in the Department of Genetics at Stanford University Medical<br />
School, though I officially remained “active”, meaning that I kept the right<br />
to maintain my laboratory so long as I had the necessary research funds. In the<br />
USA the best known universities expect professors to finance their own research<br />
with funds from external foundations, which are much more numerous<br />
and active than in Italy.<br />
In 1992 I began to spend half of my year in Italy to continue research I had never<br />
fully abandoned, and also started some new projects. In the first of these I<br />
began a collaboration with my son Francesco to write science textbooks for<br />
Italian secondary schools, which continues. Three scientific projects were effectively<br />
started after the year 2000, even though they had been conceived of<br />
and partly begun long before. One of these, called the Human Genome Diversity<br />
Panel (HGDP) is a collection of lymphocyte cell lines from more than a total<br />
of 1000 individuals, belonging to 52 ethnic groups from the five continents,<br />
for obtaining DNA to distribute to non- commercial research laboratories – to<br />
avoid DNA patenting which would have ruined research. These laboratories<br />
made an undertaking to make their results public in detail before publications<br />
using them, in order to favor further research by laboratories of human population<br />
genetics, which are now numerous, from all over the world. This research<br />
needs a large number of data. The cell lines were collected with the help<br />
of several researchers, mostly personal friends, and are housed in the Paris<br />
CEPH (Centre d’Etudes des Polymorphismes Humains) founded by Jean<br />
Dausset, under the direction of Professor Howard Cann. The distribution of<br />
DNAs to laboratories interested in analyzing them was begun in 2002, and to-<br />
25
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
day over 130 laboratories have received the DNA collection. The richest series<br />
of results was generated, on my proposal, by a group of Stanford researchers<br />
mostly from the Department of Genetics and made available on the Internet in<br />
September 2007. The article analyzing them was published in “Science” in<br />
February 2008 (J.Li et al.). The 948 unrelated individuals of the HGDP collection<br />
were analyzed for 650,000 DNA nucleotides known to be most variable in<br />
humans, with Illumina Microarray, and they are at the moment the largest set<br />
of data available on the genetic variation of any species. Its full statistical analysis<br />
of it will probably take several years. Apart from this experimental work,<br />
collaboration with Stanford is maintained especially with Professor Marcus<br />
Feldman from the Department of Biology at Stanford on cultural evolution, my<br />
other major field of interest.<br />
New activity in Italy includes two major projects, one of which is close to giving<br />
its first results: the Italian Genome Project (PGI), which follows closely the<br />
HGDP model. We already have over 1000 samples of lymphocytes coming<br />
from a province for each Italian region, selected as representative of the<br />
province by anthroponymic methods, and some hundreds of cell lines prepared<br />
from them, designed to get a first analysis of the Italian population<br />
genome. The PGI samples come from blood donors of AVIS, the Italian Association<br />
of Voluntary Blood Donors (more than a million members), naturally all<br />
consenting and informed. BGT (Bio-Genomic Technology) is producing cell<br />
lines. DNA analysis with over one million nucleotides (Illumina) is beginning<br />
now. Results will be used for research on the genetics of the Italian human population,<br />
but its major application will be in terms of the collaboration we can<br />
offer to Italian medical geneticists who have started or are about to start investigations<br />
in the genetic determination of diseases they are researching. Once<br />
this was done by comparing patients with their close and not so close healthy<br />
relatives. Today it is believed that a more efficient method is that of comparing<br />
statistically the DNA (today we say the genome) of a group of patients with a<br />
group of “controls”, healthy people of the same ethnic origin. In spite of the<br />
very scarce support offered in Italy by the government or wealthy people and<br />
foundations there are a number of active medical geneticists. Perhaps it is relatively<br />
easier to find financial help for medical research: once this type of humanitarian<br />
investment went exclusively for increasing the chances of a donor to<br />
go to Paradise. Today medicine is clearly more efficient than it used to be and<br />
this investment is split between a desire to go to Paradise and that which allows<br />
to go there as late as possible.<br />
26
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
These projects are all slow: a second project had begun earlier, around 1995,<br />
and has therefore almost reached its conclusion. It is an encyclopedia called<br />
“Italian Culture”. I use the word “Culture” in the widest possible sense: everything<br />
that we learn at any age and from anybody. It is, in substance, the contribution<br />
to our personality that does not come from our genetic constitution<br />
(what we inherit with DNA), but that which comes from the environment in<br />
which we grew and continue to live, our socialization. From the maternal womb<br />
to what we learn from parents and relatives, teachers, schoolfellows, colleagues,<br />
friends and enemies, all those we encountered in our lives and who taught us<br />
something about real life, in writing, through words or examples, and via many<br />
other modes. Today we can study our genetic constitution in depth, even though<br />
things are not as simple as we hoped at first, and genetics can be more than plain<br />
DNA. And perhaps the contribution of genes and culture can be equally important,<br />
or vary a lot in individual cases.<br />
I have tried to learn more about how we Italians are made, and why. I paid a lot<br />
of attention to history, which is always a great teacher (at the beginning, the idea<br />
was to call the opus “History of Italian Culture”). Perhaps my curiosity was<br />
sharpened by having spent much time in other cultures, American, English,<br />
French and a little bit German. One of the reasons that impelled me was the disagreeable<br />
discovery that Italian-Americans are the Americans least interested in<br />
their origin, at least in the US, and have perhaps the least national pride. One<br />
understands the reasons, remembering that they needed much courage to face<br />
enormous difficulties in a new culture, in order to get away from a country that<br />
had condemned them to hopeless poverty, leaving 80% of them illiterate.<br />
But also Italians who remained in Italy know little about their countrypeople.<br />
Superficially at least, they seem to be divided into two groups: a large one believing<br />
they are better than everybody else, and an equally large one, also equally<br />
wrong, believing we are worse than everybody else. This work tries to tell us<br />
objectively who we were and who we became, with highs and lows, and tries to<br />
answer many questions that one may ask oneself. It was possible to do it because<br />
after many unsatisfactory trials I came across Vittorio Bo, who at the time was a<br />
director at Einaudi publishing house and later founded Codice Edizioni, and he<br />
was willing to take on himself a good share of the directing load. He also convinced<br />
UTET of Turin, a major publishing house with a great tradition, to accept<br />
the challenge. When the work is finished it will consist of twelve large size<br />
volumes, the last two of which are a very detailed index. The contents of the ten<br />
volumes of the text are: 1. Land and People, 2. Tongues and Languages, 3. City,<br />
27
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Home, Landscape, 4. Economy and Communications, 5. Structure of society, 6.<br />
Food, Games, Holidays, Fashion, 7. Humanistic Culture, 8. Science and Technology,<br />
9. Music, Shows, Photography, Design, 10. Art and the Visual. Five volumes<br />
are already out and the remaining five should come out next year. The volumes<br />
are in large size, with paper of excellent quality that allows to enjoy<br />
entirely the great colors that only some Italian publishers can produce. As scientific<br />
director I am already fairly familiar with the contents, but I must confess<br />
that this reading, the first in its final form, gives me extraordinary pleasure,<br />
which almost worries me because I am indulging in it so much that I am getting<br />
late with various urgent commitments.<br />
28
Are there Limits to Knowledge?<br />
by <strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
ForMem RS, Geneticist, Stanford University<br />
<strong>Balzan</strong> Symposium 2002<br />
MEETING THE CHALLENGES OF THE FUTURE<br />
A Discussion between “The Two Cultures”<br />
Royal Society, London; 13 May 2002<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
On one hand, I resent even this question being asked. It looks like an attempt at<br />
trying to limit my freedom of inquiry. It reminds me of the Great Inquisition, the<br />
condemnation of Galileo. Is someone trying to decide what I am allowed to<br />
learn and what I should not even try to learn? In a totally different perspective,<br />
it reminds me of the irrepressible impression of ignorance which every honest<br />
scientist feels when comparing the extent of what we know and what we don’t<br />
know in our own field of knowledge. On a less emotional footing, there is, of<br />
course, Heisenberg’s principle of indetermination. But all the innumerable attempts<br />
at applying it out of context are probably unacceptable. Nevertheless,<br />
we might wonder how many other comparable principles exist in other fields,<br />
ones that we have violated out of ignorance. I find it more interesting, however,<br />
to take a wholly pragmatic approach, and ask: what are the practical limits to<br />
knowledge? Here I find many real limitations.<br />
I find at least three important limits to knowledge. The first and most serious<br />
one is the ambiguity of language. Almost every word has, in most languages, an<br />
enormous variety of meanings. English probably has the greatest number of<br />
words of all languages. This would seem to guarantee that it is closer to an ideal<br />
situation, that there is only one meaning for each word, but the opposite is true.<br />
I know of no statistics, but I suspect that English also has the greatest number<br />
of meanings for each word. We think we are clear when we explain things, and<br />
that we understand what other people tell us. The expectation is usually correct<br />
in most real instances, but I suspect that it loses meaning when we approach<br />
philosophy, where the use of words of a high degree of abstraction is common<br />
and probably increasing. Examples are the verbs ’to be’, ’to exist’, ’to cause’,<br />
and substantives derived from them. It may be because of personal limitations<br />
29
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
that I often feel that I cannot comprehend what philosophers say, but it may also<br />
be that they often use words they do not define, which can be understood in<br />
a great number of different ways. The admiring listener or reader is prepared to<br />
understand, or thinks he understands. By contrast, the sceptic may have a mental<br />
block. Probably both are wrong, and we are all victims of ambiguity, which is<br />
very difficult to avoid.<br />
The failure of most automatic translations is notoriously the consequence of ambiguity,<br />
which can be resolved (when that is possible) only by appropriate consideration<br />
of the context. There are many entertaining examples. A famous one<br />
is the sentence ’Out of sight, out of mind’ which when translated from English<br />
into Chinese and back from Chinese into English became ’invisible idiot’. A<br />
probable therapy for the frequent failure of machine translation will be the use<br />
of an intermediate language completely devoid of ambiguity. This may reduce<br />
errors, especially for translation from this artificial language into a natural one,<br />
but translation into it from a natural language may always involve errors. A complete<br />
catalogue of idiomatic expressions in the language of origin could probably<br />
help to avoid most mistakes, but it remains very likely that a translation freed<br />
of ambiguity will always be horrible. It is said that translations are like women:<br />
if they are faithful they cannot be beautiful, and if they are beautiful they cannot<br />
be faithful. I apologize for an inexcusable macho joke.<br />
I would not have brought up the problems of automatic translation if I did not<br />
think that lack of understanding, or the frequency of misunderstanding, are<br />
among the major causes of unhappiness among people and even among nations.<br />
Communication is the greatest asset of humans compared with other species,<br />
but even in our species it is far from complete. Because of the great multiplicity<br />
of languages, the chance that two random individuals can understand each other<br />
is very small. And the chance of real understanding, implying a good knowledge<br />
of a common language by both individuals, is much lower. However, mutual<br />
understanding is increasing on one hand, and on the other, automatic<br />
translation of simple sentences is more and more able to be done. The cessation<br />
of misunderstanding at the higher levels of philosophical discussion is less likely<br />
to occur, but is also less necessary. Now I must ask the philosophers for forgiveness.<br />
One limit to our knowledge which is most distressing, especially for my work, is<br />
the impossibility of repeating history. I began my research as an experimenter,<br />
and I used to be convinced that science can lead to truth, because you can al-<br />
30
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
ways repeat an experiment and convince yourself, and others, that it is correct.<br />
But when I shifted to the study of human evolution, I was clearly trying to reconstruct<br />
past history, and there is no chance of repeating it when we would like<br />
to do so to solve problems that seem insoluble. There are, however, as Vico said,<br />
courses and recourses of history, so that there is a little room for using analogy,<br />
but it requires great caution. Another resource is more useful: interdisciplinary<br />
research. By and large, for major historical events history must be only one approach,<br />
and the same events may be traced by different routes from different<br />
disciplines, though there is always some shared ground, and synthesis is more<br />
persuasive than any single story. Thus it has been very productive for the history<br />
of human expansions of the last 100,000 years to put together information<br />
from many different disciplines: the genetics of living human populations, archaeology,<br />
and a hybrid between them, archaeogenetics – an important part of<br />
which is the study of fossil DNA – and even linguistics. It has been very gratifying<br />
to see how pieces from the various disciplines seem to be interwoven together<br />
in a single mosaic. There is a mutual complementarity that makes interdisciplinary<br />
research particularly useful. The same general picture of evolution<br />
is obtained for the last 100,000 years from different sources of information. In<br />
the last few years, we have seen some aspects of cultural evolution, especially the<br />
most conservative traits like family and social structure, joining the band-wagon.<br />
Even the evolution of some bacteria and viruses common in modern humans<br />
seems to follow the routes of their long expansion from their place of origin in<br />
East Africa some 100,000 years ago, first through all of Africa, and then, between<br />
40,000 and 60,000, to Asia by both a southern and a northern route, and<br />
finally from Asia to the other three continents. Why is there this concordance?<br />
The explanation is simple: many of these traits, be they cultural like language, or<br />
many of those familiar to cultural anthropologists, or parasitic diseases, are most<br />
probably transmitted not only by contact imitation, as in the accredited cultural<br />
route, but also, and sometimes predominantly, from parent to child, or more<br />
generally within the family. This is expected especially for traits acquired in the<br />
earliest years, a pattern well known to be true for mother tongues. As transmission<br />
from parent to child (also called vertical) is the only way by which genes are<br />
transmitted, it is not at all surprising that patterns of evolution determined by<br />
expansions, followed by divisions and periods of independent evolution in different<br />
territories, will be similar for elements that may have no mutual causal relations,<br />
like genes and languages or other cultural traits, but simply correlations<br />
due to a common general history of resettlement.<br />
31
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Whether it is called inter-, multi-, or trans-disciplinary, collaboration, especially<br />
that between the two cultures, is contributing in an important way to our present<br />
understanding of modern human evolution. Each discipline can generate<br />
knowledge of different aspects of this process: archaeology can generate especially<br />
information on dates, but also on demographic processes. Genetics has also<br />
contributed to understanding the routes and mechanisms of expansions, including<br />
dates, even if so far with large intervals of error. It will be possible to<br />
decrease error substantially in the future by a more organized approach to studies<br />
of ethnic groups, especially if the numbers of individuals and of genes studied<br />
are very substantially increased. A more systematic analysis of cultural and<br />
linguistic diversity can help us to understand better the sometimes truly surprising<br />
vagaries of cultural evolution. It is only a matter of adequate investment,<br />
which so far has been very modest. It is clear that this analysis also has the promise<br />
of helping us to fight racist prejudice effectively. The mosaic of information<br />
formed with pieces coming from different sciences, which usually fit together in<br />
remarkable ways, shows a multidisciplinary agreement that is perhaps the most<br />
pleasant aspect of this research, and also generates the strongest support for<br />
conclusions. It supplies an alternative to the desirable, but impossible, experimental<br />
repetition of history.<br />
Nevertheless, there are examples of spontaneous repetitions of history which do<br />
contain some useful common information. In the past I have been especially interested<br />
in the mechanism of the spread of agriculture from its places of origin.<br />
About 10,000 years ago, Palaeolithic life came to a crisis in the areas with temperate<br />
climates where it had been most successful, like the Middle East and<br />
Turkey, China, and Mexico. The crisis may have been stimulated by a change of<br />
climate or by the foraging population (hunting, gathering, fishing) having come<br />
too close to saturation. Successful attempts were made in all these areas, probably<br />
independently, to cultivate local crops, mostly cereals, and to domesticate local<br />
animals where possible. These innovations generated a new, food-producing<br />
economy which allowed new population growth and favoured expansion from<br />
the place of origin to neighbouring areas where this agropastoral economy could<br />
flourish. A causal nexus may not be excluded, either: the idea may have travelled<br />
from one place to another on the back of some courageous traveller. After<br />
all, someone able to face the perils of the journey and of misunderstanding may<br />
make on foot the tour of the world in a few years. Once, after I had lost my way,<br />
I came across a tent in which lived an Iranian family, a husband with his wife and<br />
two small children, and two goats, who had started out from Iran a year earlier<br />
32
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
and wanted to get to see the Atlantic Ocean. I did not ask why, but I can understand<br />
them: I, too, am motivated by very strong curiosity. However, the move<br />
from food gathering to food production, which started in very distant places at<br />
around the same times, about ten thousand years ago, brought about an almost<br />
exponential growth in population to a thousandfold increase which is now nearing<br />
its limits. Are we ready for a new crisis: expansion outside Earth, self-destruction?<br />
The spread of agriculture from its place of origin was very slow. P. Menozzi, A.<br />
Piazza and I have been able to calculate its rate fairly exactly in Europe, and it<br />
was possible to explain it by the combination of two demographic phenomena,<br />
growth and emigration, to generate population expansion from the area of origin.<br />
Population growth was made possible by the increased availability of food,<br />
and as soon as it reached a new level of saturation it caused geographic expansion<br />
by migration, mostly of family groups or small social nuclei, to neighbouring<br />
areas offering potentially fertile soil. In research in collaboration with archaeologist<br />
Albert Ammerman, we suggested the name of demic diffusion for<br />
this process. It took some time to have this hypothesis accepted by archaeologists,<br />
especially in northern Europe and the USA, because it was totally opposite<br />
to the trend of thought that had developed there, in opposition to ideas popular<br />
in the nineteen-twenties. Clarke, who was mostly responsible for these ideas, explained<br />
every archaeological variation by the movement of people. When, after<br />
the war, the pendulum swung to the opposite pole, the hypothesis of migration<br />
disappeared. Only traders moved, carrying with them products that have been<br />
found and used by archaeologists to describe such expansions : a fashion now<br />
called indigenism. But the idea that it was really the growth and migration of<br />
farmers who brought farming around the nuclear area has been tested by showing<br />
that there are gradients of genes of Middle Eastern origin across Europe,<br />
which follow rather precisely the archaeological paths of the penetration of<br />
farming. Dates and rates of expansion are also in agreement with genetic and<br />
demographic calculations. The observed genetic gradient could have formed<br />
only if, in addition to the demic diffusion of farmers, there was adoption of<br />
farming by local hunter-gatherers, either by marriage or by acculturation.<br />
Cosmologists and astronomers are also afflicted by the problem of the history of<br />
the world being unable to be repeated. One advantage they have is that they can<br />
make much more precise measurements of their observations, and theoretical<br />
predictions to test their hypotheses. Biology is beginning to follow this example.<br />
33
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Genetics is a quantitative science, though errors in measurements and predictions<br />
are usually much greater. But in the study of human evolution we are beginning<br />
to have reasonable measurements, for instance, of the rates of expansions.<br />
[Ten years on, reading this after it was published and translated into<br />
Italian, genome analysis has led to the complete sequencing of DNA, resulting<br />
in a level of precision which is one thousand times greater, and precision is increasing.]<br />
In Europe, the average rate of the advance of farming was of the order<br />
of one kilometre a year, somewhat faster in the expansion from its area of<br />
origin in the Middle East westwards, via the Mediterranean, than towards the<br />
north-west, to Turkey, Greece, the Balkans, and Central Europe. We have approximate<br />
measurements of other rates. That of the Bantus , which started in<br />
Cameroon about 3,000 years ago and ended around 300 years ago in South<br />
Africa, where they met Boer farmers, was 50% faster on average (they were able<br />
to make use of iron). The Malayo-Polynesian expansion originated in South-east<br />
Asia – the precise area of origin is debated – and crossed the Pacific Ocean. It<br />
reached Easter Island about 1,500 years ago, in many jumps from island to island,<br />
and was about five to six times faster. It also expanded towards the west,<br />
reaching Madagascar only slightly later. For earlier expansions we have only one<br />
estimate of some precision: during the last glaciation, between 29,000 and<br />
13,000 years ago, the ice covered most of northern Europe and the population<br />
retired into two non-communicating refuges: south-western France, and the<br />
Balkans and the Ukraine. At the end of the glaciation Palaeolithic hunters began<br />
resettling the north, at a rate of about 0.7 kilometres a year. This rate must have<br />
been to some extent controlled by the rate at which ice withdrew. In general,<br />
rates of expansion are determined by an average (a geometric mean) of the rate<br />
of population growth and that of individual migration. The first extension of<br />
Homo Sapiens from East Africa to South America took approximately 50,000<br />
years to cover 25,000 kilometers (0.5 km on average per year), though it is possible<br />
that the settlement of South America by hunter-gatherers from Alaska to<br />
Chile was much faster. The limit to the quality of such estimates is set by the<br />
quantity and quality of archaeological findings.<br />
Thinking of the genetics of the future, a very serious limit is set by ethical and<br />
practical considerations. Today we know about 10,000 genetic diseases. They<br />
are all Mendelian, that is, they follow Mendel’s laws for characters determined<br />
by single genes; fortunately, they are very rare, as almost all are very serious. The<br />
most important and common diseases, like arthritis, diabetes, hypertension,<br />
34
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
many immunological diseases, schizophrenia, manic-depressive syndrome, are<br />
very poorly known. We are sure there is a genetic component, but there is potentially<br />
a multitude of genes involved in each one, as well as external factors<br />
that are difficult to pin down. Knowledge of the human genome will help, but<br />
there is still much work to do. This ’polygenic or multifactorial inheritance’ can<br />
be studied in animals, in which controlled crosses and experimental treatments<br />
unthinkable in humans are possible, so there is hope, and there has already been<br />
some success in getting help from animals for solving human genetic problems.<br />
But there are serious ethical limits to understanding human physiology and<br />
pathology, caused by the unacceptability of almost all experimentation.<br />
Even so, when I try to imagine what science and technology can do in the remote<br />
future, I find it very difficult to foresee serious limits to our knowledge. All<br />
the imaginations of Jules Verne have come true, plus many more. Perhaps whatever<br />
limits we picture today will be food for laughter among our descendants.<br />
The most serious limit to growth is of another kind: will the world survive the<br />
machinations of a technologically very knowledgeable, very depressed Luddite?<br />
There is a finite probability, fortunately very small for the time being, that this<br />
may cause the end of the only part of the universe where, as far as we know, science<br />
is being practised.<br />
35
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Biographical and bibliographical data<br />
LUIGI LUCA CAVALLI-SFORZA, born on 25 January 1922 in Genoa, is a<br />
dual citizen of Italy and the United States. MD in Medicine and Surgery (1944)<br />
from the University of Pavia, and MA (1950) from the University of Cambridge,<br />
UK. Director of Research in Microbiology, Istituto Sieroterapico Milanese,<br />
Milan (1950-1957); Lecturer in Genetics and in Statistics, Faculty of<br />
Sciences, University of Parma and University of Pavia (1957-1960); Professor<br />
of Genetics, University of Parma (1960-1962); Professor of Genetics and Director<br />
of the Institute of Genetics, University of Pavia (1962-1970); at Stanford<br />
University: Professor of Genetics (1970-1992), Chairman of the Department of<br />
Genetics (1986-1990), and, at present, Professor Emeritus at the School of<br />
Medicine (since 1992). He returned to settle permanently in Milan in September<br />
2008.<br />
From among his many honours:<br />
– Cavaliere di Gran Croce della Repubblica italiana (2000)<br />
– Royal Anthropological Institute of Great Britain and Ireland, Huxley Lecture<br />
in Anthropology, Londra (1972)<br />
– R.A. Fisher Memorial Lecture, Londra (1974)<br />
– Premio Ibico Reggino, Reggio Calabria (1976)<br />
– Weldon Medal in Biometry, University of Oxford (1978)<br />
– Premio Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Roma (1982)<br />
– Fifth <strong>International</strong> San Remo Prize for Human Genetics, Berlin (1986)<br />
– Allen Award in Human Genetics (American Society of Human Genetics,<br />
1987)<br />
– Medaglia d’oro del Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche Italiano (1990)<br />
– <strong>International</strong> Catalonia Award (1992)<br />
– Fyssen <strong>International</strong> Award (1994)<br />
– Premio Nonino (1996)<br />
– Premio Chiron, Accademia Italiana di Medicina (1998)<br />
– President of the Biometric Society (1967-1968)<br />
– Vice President of the <strong>International</strong> Congress of Genetics, Tokyo (1968)<br />
– Foreign Honorary Member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences<br />
(1973) and of the Japanese Society of Human Genetics (1977)<br />
36
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
– Foreign Associate of the US National Academy of Sciences (1978)<br />
– Honorary Fellow of Gonville and Caius College, Cambridge UK (1982)<br />
– President of the American Society of Human Genetics (1989)<br />
– Membre associé du Musée d’Histoire Naturelle de Paris (1990)<br />
– Socio Nazionale dell’Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei (1991)<br />
– Foreign Member of the Royal Society, Londra (1992)<br />
– Doctor Honoris Causa of Columbia University, University of Cambridge and<br />
of the Italian universities of Calabria, Bologna, Cagliari, Roma and Sassari.<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza is the author and co-author of many scientific books<br />
and articles, as well as Popular Science publications.<br />
Scientific books:<br />
– La teoria dell’Urto e le Unità Biologiche Elementari (con A. Buzzati-Traverso),<br />
1948, Milano: Longanesi;<br />
– Analisi Statistica per Medici e Biologi, 1961, prima edizione; 1993, terza edizione,<br />
Torino: Boringhieri;<br />
– The Genetics of Human Populations (with W. Bodmer), 1971, San Francisco:<br />
Freeman, 1999, Mineola, N.Y., Dover Publications;<br />
– Genetics, Evolution, and Man (with W. Bodmer), 1976, San Francisco: Freeman;<br />
edizione italiana Mondatori 1977;<br />
– Cultural Transmission and Evolution: A Quantitative Approach (with M.W.<br />
Feldman), 1981, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press;<br />
– The Neolithic Transition and the Genetics of Populations in Europe (with A.<br />
Ammerman), 1984, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press; edizione italiana<br />
Bollati Boringhieri;<br />
– African Pygmies (ed.), 1986, Orlando, Florida: Academic Press;<br />
– History and Geography of Human Genes (with P. Menozzi e A. Piazza), 1994,<br />
Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press; edizione italiana Adelphi 1997,<br />
2000;<br />
– L’evoluzione della cultura, 2004, Milano: Codice edizioni.<br />
– Consanguinity, Inbreeding, and Genetic Drift in Italy (with Antonio Moroni<br />
and Gianna Zei), 2004, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.<br />
37
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Scientific articles:<br />
Among his over 500 scientific articles, some of the most recent are:<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL et al., 1988, Reconstruction of Human Evolution: Bringing<br />
Together Genetic Archeologic and Linguistic Data. PNAS. 85:6002-6006;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL et al., 1992, Coevolution of Genes and Languages Revisited.<br />
PNAS. 89:5620-4;<br />
Mountain JL et al., 1992, Evolution of Modern Humans: Evidence from Nuclear<br />
DNA Polymorphisms. Philos Trans R Soc Lond Biol Sci. 337<br />
(1280):159-65;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL et al., 1993, Demic Expansions and Human Evolution. Science.<br />
259:639-46;<br />
Zei et al., 1993, Barriers to Gene Flow Estimated by Surname Distribution in<br />
Italy. Ann Hum Genet. 57:123-40;<br />
– Bowcock AM et al., 1994, High Resolution of Human Evolutionary Trees with<br />
Polymorphic Microsatellites. Nature. 368:455-7;<br />
– Mountain JL e <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 1994, Inference of Human Evolution<br />
through Cladistic Analysis of Nuclear DNA Restriction Polymorphisms.<br />
PNAS. 91:6515-9;<br />
– Piazza A et al., 1995, Genetics and the Origin of European Languages. PNAS.<br />
92:5836-40;<br />
– Seielstad M et al., 1994, Construction of Human Y-chromosomal Haplotypes<br />
Using a New Polymorphic A to G Transition. Hum Mol Genet. 3:2159-61;<br />
– Mountain JL et al., 1995, Demographic History of India and mtDNA-sequence<br />
Diversity. Am J Hum Genet. 56:979-92;<br />
Goldstein DB et al., 1995, Genetic Absolute Dating Based on Microsatellites<br />
and the Origin of Modern Humans. PNAS. 92:6723-7;<br />
– Underhill PA et al., 1996, A Pre-Columbian Y chromosome-specific Transition<br />
and its Implications for Human Evolutionary History. PNAS. 93:196-200;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 1997, Genetic and Cultural Diversity in Europe. J Anthr<br />
Res. 53:383-404;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 1997, Genes, Peoples, and Languages. Proc Natl Acad Sci<br />
USA. 94:7719-24;<br />
– Barbujani AE et al., 1997, Apportionment of Human DNA Diversity. Proc<br />
Natl Acad Sci USA. 94:4516-9;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL e Minch E, 1997, Paleolithic and Neolithic Lineages in the<br />
European Mitochondrial Gene Pool [letter]. Am J Hum Genet. 61:247-54;<br />
38
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
– Underhill PA et al., 1997, Detection of Numerous Y chromosome Biallelic<br />
Polymorphisms by Denaturating High-performance Liquid Chromatography.<br />
Genome Res. 7:996-1005;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 1998, The Chinese Human Genome Diversity Project.<br />
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 95:111501-11503;<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 1998, The DNA Revolution in Population Genetics.<br />
Trends Genet. 14:60-65.<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 1998, Man and the diversity of his genome. An extraordinary<br />
phase in the history of population genetics. Pathol Biol, Paris. 46: 98-102<br />
– Risch N et al., 1999, A genomic screen of autism: evidence for a multilocus etiology.;<br />
Am J Hum Genet. 65:493-507<br />
– Jin L et al., 1999, Distribution of haplotypes from a chromosome 21 region<br />
distinguishes multiple prehistoric human migrations. Proc Natl Acad Sci<br />
USA. 96:3796-800<br />
– Shen P et al., 2000, Population genetic implications from sequence variation<br />
in four Y chromosome genes. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 97 :7354-9<br />
– Underhill PA et al., 2000, Y chromosome sequence variation and the history<br />
of human populations. Nat Genet. 26:358-61<br />
– Passarino G et al., 2000, Y chromosome binary markers to study the high<br />
prevalence of males in Sardinian centenarians and the genetic structure of the<br />
Sardinian population. Hum Hered. 52:136-9<br />
– Underhill PA et al., 2001, The phylogeography of Y chromosome binary haplotypes<br />
and the origins of modern human populations. Ann Hum Genet.<br />
65:43-62<br />
– Passarino G et al., 2001, The Werner syndrome gene and global sequence<br />
variation. Genomics. 71:118-22<br />
– Underhill PA et al., 2001, Maori origins, Y-chromosome haplotypes and implications<br />
for human history in the Pacific. Hum Mutat 17:271-80<br />
– Vlad MO et al., 2002, Neutrality condition and response law for nonlinear reaction-diffusion<br />
equations, with application to population genetics. Phys Rev<br />
E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 65:061110<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, Feldman MW, 2003, The application of molecular genetic<br />
approaches to the study of human evolution. Nat Genet. 33(Suppl):266-75<br />
– McIntire JJ et al., 2003, Immunology: hepatitis A virus link to atopic disease.<br />
Nature. 6958(425): 576<br />
– Cinniolu C et al., 2004, Excavating Y-chromosome haplotype strata in Anatolia.<br />
Hum Genet 114:127-48<br />
39
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
– Edmonds CA, Lillie AS, <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 2004, Mutations arising in the<br />
wave front of an expanding population. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 101:975-9<br />
– Vlad MO, <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, Ross J, 2004, Enhanced (hydrodynamic) transport<br />
induced by population growth in reaction-diffusion systems with application<br />
to population genetics. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 101:10249-53<br />
– Ramachandran S et al., 2005, Support from the relationship of genetic and geographic<br />
distance in human populations for a serial founder effect originating<br />
in Africa. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA<br />
– Kivisild T et al., 2005, The role of selection in the evolution of human mitochondrial<br />
genomes. Genetics 2005<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 2005, Studying diversity. EMBO Rep. 6:713<br />
– Vlad MO et al., 2005 Fisher’s theorems for multivariable, time- and space-dependent<br />
systems, with applications in population genetics and chemical kinetics.<br />
Proc Natl Acad Sci USA<br />
– <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza LL, 2005, The Human Genome Diversity Project: past, present<br />
and future. Nat Rev Genet. 6:333-40<br />
– Sengupta S et al., 2006, Polarity and temporality of high-resolution y-chromosome<br />
distributions in India identify both indigenous and exogenous expansions<br />
and reveal minor genetic influence of central asian pastoralists. Am J<br />
Hum Genet. 78:202-21<br />
Popular Science publications:<br />
– Chi Siamo - La Storia Della Diversità Umana (con F. <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza), 1995,<br />
2007, Milano: Mondadori;<br />
– Geni, Popoli e Lingue, 1996, Milano: Adelphi;<br />
– La Scienza della Felicità (con F. <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza); 1997, Milano: Mondadori.<br />
– Il caso e la necessità - Ragioni e limiti della diversità genetica, 2007, Roma: Di<br />
Renzo Editore.<br />
He has published many articles in Italian daily newspapers such as “La Stampa”,<br />
“Corriere della Sera”, “Il Sole 24 Ore” and “La Repubblica”.<br />
40
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong><br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
The <strong>International</strong> <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong> was established in Lugano in 1956 thanks to<br />
the generosity of Lina <strong>Balzan</strong>, who had come into a considerable inheritance on the<br />
death of her father, Eugenio. She destined this wealth to honour her father’s memory.<br />
Eugenio Francesco <strong>Balzan</strong> was born in Badia Polesine, near Rovigo (Northern<br />
Italy), on 20 April 1874, to a family of landowners. He spent almost his entire working<br />
life at Milan’s leading daily paper Corriere della Sera. After joining the paper in<br />
1897, he worked his way through, from editorial assistant, to editor-in-chief and then<br />
special correspondent. In 1903 editor <strong>Luigi</strong> Albertini made him managing director of<br />
the paper’s publishing company; he then became a partner and share-holder in the<br />
company. He was not only a clever and skilful manager but also a leading personality<br />
in Milan. In 1933 he left Italy due to opposition from certain milieus hostile to an<br />
independent Corriere. He then moved to Switzerland, living in Zurich or Lugano,<br />
where for years he had invested his fortune with success. He also continued his charitable<br />
activities in favour of institutions and individuals. After returning to Italy in<br />
1950, Eugenio <strong>Balzan</strong> died in Lugano, Switzerland, on 15 July 1953*.<br />
Today, the <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong>, international in character and scope, acts jointly<br />
through two <strong>Foundation</strong>s: one under Italian law and the other under Swiss law.<br />
In Milan, the <strong>International</strong> E. <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize <strong>Foundation</strong> – “Prize” has the aim to promote,<br />
throughout the world, culture, science, and the most meritorious initiatives in<br />
the cause of humanity, peace and brotherhood among peoples, regardless of nationality,<br />
race or creed. This aim is attained through the annual award of four prizes in<br />
two general fields: literature, the moral sciences and the arts; medicine and the physical,<br />
mathematical and natural sciences. Nominations for the prizes in the scientific<br />
and humanistic fields are received at the <strong>Foundation</strong>’s request from the world’s leading<br />
learned societies. Candidates are selected by the General Prize Committee, composed<br />
of eminent European scholars and scientists. Since 2001, each prize is worth<br />
one million Swiss francs (about 620,000 Euros), half of which the prizewinner must<br />
destine for research work, preferably involving young researchers. At intervals of<br />
not less than hree years, the <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong> also awards a Prize for Humanity,<br />
Peace and Brotherhood among Peoples, of varying amounts.<br />
In Zurich, the <strong>International</strong> E. <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize <strong>Foundation</strong> – “Fund” administers Eugenio<br />
<strong>Balzan</strong>’s estate.<br />
* Renata Broggini, Eugenio <strong>Balzan</strong> 1874-1953. Una vita per il “Corriere”, un progetto per l’umanità, Milano, 2001;<br />
Renata Broggini, Eugenio <strong>Balzan</strong> 1874-1953. A Biography, Milano, 2007.<br />
41
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
Members of the <strong>International</strong> <strong>Balzan</strong> <strong>Foundation</strong><br />
(June 2009)<br />
Board of the “Prize” <strong>Foundation</strong><br />
Bruno Bottai (Italy), Chairman<br />
Carlo Fontana (Italy), Vice-Chairman<br />
Marco Cameroni (Switzerland)<br />
Achille Casanova (Switzerland)<br />
Enrico Decleva (Italy)<br />
Paolo Matthiae (Italy)<br />
Alberto Quadrio Curzio (Italy)<br />
General Prize Committee<br />
Salvatore Veca (Italy), Chairman<br />
M.E.H. Nicolette Mout (Netherlands), Vice-Chairperson<br />
Werner Stauffacher (Switzerland), Vice-Chairman<br />
Enric Banda (Spain)<br />
Giovanni Busino (Italy/Switzerland)<br />
Nicola Cabibbo (Italy)<br />
Étienne Ghys (Francia)<br />
Bengt Gustafsson (Sweden)<br />
John Richard Krebs (United Kingdom)<br />
Nicole Le Douarin (France)<br />
Paolo Matthiae (Italy)<br />
Erwin Neher (Germany)<br />
Antonio Padoa Schioppa (Italy)<br />
Dominique Schnapper (France)<br />
Gottfried Scholz (Austria)<br />
Dmitry O. Shvidkovsky (Russia)<br />
Quentin Skinner (United Kingdom)<br />
Karlheinz Stierle (Germany)<br />
Marc Van Montagu (Belgium)<br />
Luzius Wildhaber (Switzerland)<br />
Suzanne Werder (Italy), Secretary General<br />
42
Board of the “Fund” <strong>Foundation</strong><br />
Achille Casanova (Switzerland), Chairman<br />
Bruno Bottai (Italy)<br />
Luisa Bürkler-Giussani (Switzerland)<br />
Maria Casutt Dietrich (Switzerland)<br />
Carlo Fontana (Italy)<br />
Claudio Generali (Switzerland)<br />
Arina Kowner (Switzerland)<br />
43<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
<strong>Balzan</strong> Prizewinners<br />
for literature, moral sciences, and the arts;<br />
for physical, mathematical and natural sciences, and medicine<br />
2008 WALLACE S. BROECKER (USA) The Science of Climate Change<br />
MAURIZIO CALVESI (Italy) The Visual Arts since 1700<br />
IAN H. FRAZER (Australia/UK) Preventive Medicine,<br />
including Vaccination<br />
THOMAS NAGEL (USA/Serbia) Moral Philosophy<br />
2007 ROSALYN HIGGINS (UK) <strong>International</strong> Law since 1945<br />
SUMIO IIJIMA (Japan) Nanoscience<br />
MICHEL ZINK (France) European Literature (1000-1500)<br />
JULES HOFFMANN (France)<br />
and BRUCE BEUTLER (USA)<br />
Innate Immunity<br />
2006 LUDWIG FINSCHER (Germany) History of Western Music<br />
since 1600<br />
QUENTIN SKINNER (UK) Political Thought; History and Theory<br />
PAOLO DE BERNARDIS (Italy) Observational Astronomy<br />
and ANDREW LANGE (USA) and Astrophysics<br />
ELLIOT MEYEROWITZ (USA)<br />
and CHRISTOPHER SOMERVILLE<br />
(USA/Canada)<br />
Plant Molecular Genetics<br />
2005 PETER HALL (UK) The Social and Cultural History<br />
of Cities since the Beginning<br />
of the 16th Century<br />
LOTHAR LEDDEROSE (Germany) The History of the Art of Asia<br />
45
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
PETER AND ROSEMARY GRANT Population Biology<br />
(USA/UK)<br />
RUSSELL HEMLEY (USA) Mineral Physics<br />
and HO-KWANG MAO (USA/China)<br />
2004 PIERRE DELIGNE (USA/Belgium) Mathematics<br />
NIKKI RAGOZIN KEDDIE (USA) The Islamic world from the end of<br />
the 19th to the end of the 20th century<br />
MICHAEL MARMOT (UK) Epidemiology<br />
COLIN RENFREW (UK) Prehistoric Archaeology<br />
REINHARD GENZEL (Germany) Infrared Astronomy<br />
ERIC HOBSBAWM (UK/Egypt) European History since 1900<br />
WEN-HSIUNG LI (USA/Taiwan) Genetics and Evolution<br />
SERGE MOSCOVICI<br />
(France/Romania)<br />
Social Psychology<br />
2002 WALTER JAKOB GEHRING Developmental Biology<br />
(Switzerland)<br />
ANTHONY THOMAS GRAFTON History of the Humanities<br />
(USA)<br />
XAVIER LE PICHON Geology<br />
(France/Vietnam)<br />
DOMINIQUE SCHNAPPER (France) Sociology<br />
2001 JAMES SLOSS ACKERMAN (USA) History of Architecture (including<br />
town planning and landscape design)<br />
JEAN-PIERRE CHANGEUX (France) Cognitive Neurosciences<br />
MARC FUMAROLI (France) Literary History and Criticism<br />
(post 1500)<br />
CLAUDE LORIUS (France) Climatology<br />
46
2000 ILKKA HANSKI (Finland) Ecological Sciences<br />
MICHEL MAYOR (Switzerland) Instrumentation and Techniques<br />
in Astronomy and Astrophysics<br />
MICHAEL STOLLEIS (Germany) Legal History since 1500<br />
MARTIN LITCHFIELD WEST (UK) Classical Antiquity<br />
1999 LUIGI LUCA CAVALLI-SFORZA Science of Human Origins<br />
(USA/Italy)<br />
JOHN ELLIOTT (UK) History, 1500-1800<br />
MIKHAEL GROMOV (France/Russia) Mathematics<br />
PAUL RICŒUR (France) Philosophy<br />
1998 HARMON CRAIG (USA) Geochemistry<br />
ROBERT MCCREDIE MAY<br />
(UK/Australia)<br />
Biodiversity<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza<br />
ANDRZEJ WALICKI (USA/Poland) History: The cultural and social<br />
history of the Slavonic world<br />
from the reign of Catherine<br />
the Great to the Russian revolutions<br />
of 1917<br />
1997 CHARLES COULSTON GILLISPIE History and Philosophy of Science<br />
(USA)<br />
THOMAS WILSON MEADE (UK) Epidemiology<br />
STANLEY JEYARAJA TAMBIAH Social Sciences: Social Anthropology<br />
(USA/Sri Lanka)<br />
1996 ARNO BORST (Germany) History: Medieval Cultures<br />
ARNT ELIASSEN (Norway) Meteorology<br />
STANLEY HOFFMANN Political Sciences: Contemporary<br />
(France/USA/Austria) <strong>International</strong> Relations<br />
47
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
1995 YVES BONNEFOY (France) Art History and Art Criticism<br />
(as applied to European Art<br />
from the Middle Ages to our times)<br />
CARLO M. CIPOLLA (Italy) Economic History<br />
ALAN J. HEEGER (USA) Science of New Non-Biological<br />
Materials<br />
1994 NORBERTO BOBBIO (Italy) Law and Political Science<br />
(governments and democracy)<br />
RENÉ COUTEAUX (France) Biology (cell-structure with special<br />
reference to the nervous system)<br />
FRED HOYLE (UK) Astrophysics (evolution of stars)<br />
and MARTIN SCHWARZSCHILD<br />
(USA/Germany)<br />
1993 WOLFGANG H. BERGER Paleontology with special reference<br />
(USA/Germany) to Oceanography<br />
LOTHAR GALL (Germany) History: Societies of the 19th and 20th centuries<br />
JEAN LECLANT (France) Art and Archaeology<br />
of the Ancient World<br />
1992 ARMAND BOREL (USA/Switzerland) Mathematics<br />
GIOVANNI MACCHIA (Italy) History and Criticism of Literatures<br />
EBRAHIM M. SAMBA (Gambia) Preventive Medicine<br />
1991 GYÖRGY LIGETI Music<br />
(Austria/Hungary/Romania)<br />
VITORINO MAGALHÃES GODINHO History: The emergence of Europe<br />
(Portugal) in the 15th and 16th centuries<br />
JOHN MAYNARD SMITH (UK) Genetics and Evolution<br />
48
990 WALTER BURKERT (Germany) Study of the Ancient World<br />
(Mediterranean area)<br />
JAMES FREEMAN GILBERT (USA) Geophysics (solid earth)<br />
PIERRE LALIVE D’EPINAY<br />
(Switzerland)<br />
Private <strong>International</strong> Law<br />
1989 EMMANUEL LÉVINAS<br />
(France/Lithuania)<br />
Philosophy<br />
LEO PARDI (Italy) Ethology<br />
MARTIN JOHN REES (UK) High Energy Astrophysics<br />
1988 SHMUEL NOAH EISENSTADT Sociology<br />
(Israel/Poland)<br />
RENÉ ETIEMBLE (France) Comparative Literature<br />
MICHAEL EVENARI (Israel/France) Applied Botany<br />
and OTTO LUDWIG LANGE (including ecological aspects)<br />
(Germany)<br />
1987 JEROME SEYMOUR BRUNER (USA) Human Psychology<br />
RICHARD W. SOUTHERN (UK) Medieval History<br />
PHILLIP V. TOBIAS (South Africa) Physical Anthropology<br />
1986 OTTO NEUGEBAUER (USA/Austria) History of Science<br />
ROGER REVELLE (USA) Oceanography/Climatology<br />
JEAN RIVERO (France) Basic Human Rights<br />
1985 ERNST H.J. GOMBRICH<br />
(UK/Austria)<br />
History of Western Art<br />
JEAN-PIERRE SERRE (France) Mathematics<br />
1984 JAN HENDRIK OORT (Netherlands) Astrophysics<br />
49<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza
1999 <strong>Balzan</strong> Prize for Science of Human Origins<br />
JEAN STAROBINSKI (Switzerland) History and Criticism of Literatures<br />
SEWALL WRIGHT (USA) Genetics<br />
1983 FRANCESCO GABRIELI (Italy) Oriental Studies<br />
ERNST MAYR (USA/Germany) Zoology<br />
EDWARD SHILS (USA) Sociology<br />
1982 JEAN-BAPTISTE DUROSELLE (France) Social Sciences<br />
MASSIMO PALLOTTINO (Italy) Sciences of Antiquity<br />
KENNETH VIVIAN THIMANN Pure and Applied Botany<br />
(USA/UK)<br />
1981 JOSEF PIEPER (Germany) Philosophy<br />
PAUL REUTER (France) <strong>International</strong> Public Law<br />
DAN PETER MCKENZIE, Geology and Geophysics<br />
DRUMMOND HOYLE MATTHEWS<br />
and FREDERICK JOHN VINE (UK)<br />
1980 ENRICO BOMBIERI (USA/Italy) Mathematics<br />
JORGE LUIS BORGES (Argentina) Philology, Linguistics<br />
and Literary Criticism<br />
HASSAN FATHY (Egypt) Architecture and Urban Planning<br />
1979 TORBJÖRN CASPERSSON (Sweden) Biology<br />
JEAN PIAGET (Switzerland) Social and Political Sciences<br />
ERNEST LABROUSSE (France)<br />
and GIUSEPPE TUCCI (Italy)<br />
History<br />
1962 PAUL HINDEMITH (Germany) Music<br />
ANDREJ KOLMOGOROV (Russia) Mathematics<br />
SAMUEL ELIOT MORISON (USA) History<br />
KARL VON FRISCH (Austria) Biology<br />
50
<strong>Balzan</strong> Prizewinners<br />
for Humanity, Peace and Brotherhood among peoples<br />
2007 KARLHEINZ BÖHM (Austria/Germany)<br />
2004 COMMUNITY OF SANT’EGIDIO<br />
2000 ABDUL SATTAR EDHI (Pakistan/India)<br />
1996 INTERNATIONAL COMMITTEE OF THE RED CROSS<br />
1991 ABBÉ PIERRE (France)<br />
1986 UNITED NATIONS REFUGEE AGENCY (UNHCR)<br />
1978 MOTHER TERESA OF CALCUTTA (India/Macedonia)<br />
1962 H.H. JOHN XXIII (Vatican City/Italy)<br />
1961 NOBEL FOUNDATION<br />
51<br />
<strong>Luigi</strong> <strong>Luca</strong> <strong>Cavalli</strong>-Sforza
Finito di stampare<br />
nel mese di settembre 2009<br />
da Àncora Arti Grafiche - Milano<br />
Printed in Italy