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CII Communique - December, 2010

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sectoral synergies<br />

fmcg<br />

FMCG Industry Optimistic<br />

Despite Challenges<br />

The Indian FMCG industry has<br />

displayed high optimism, despite a<br />

moderate downswing in the second<br />

quarter (July-September <strong>2010</strong>). The<br />

latest <strong>CII</strong> FMCG survey reflects<br />

higher levels of growth in the current<br />

fiscal i.e. April-March <strong>2010</strong>-11. The<br />

survey covered 30 Fast Moving<br />

Consumer Goods (FMCG) items<br />

such as personal care products,<br />

cosmetics and toiletries and<br />

household products. The results are<br />

based on feedback received from industry associations<br />

and companies in the FMCG space and interactions with<br />

the representatives of various FMCG companies.<br />

FMCG has helped the Indian economy to emerge<br />

speedily from the impact of the global recession. Though<br />

rising food inflation and high input costs have hurt<br />

the FMCG sector in the first half of the financial year<br />

<strong>2010</strong>-11, the industry is optimistic about its performance<br />

during the full year.<br />

The <strong>CII</strong> FMCG survey reveals that the sector registered<br />

a growth of 11.4 percent in April-June <strong>2010</strong> compared<br />

to a growth rate of 12.0 percent in Q1 2009 -10. During<br />

the second quarter, the sector has, however, experienced<br />

a slight drop in growth rates to 11.0 percent, due to an<br />

increase in the costs of various inputs such as petroleum<br />

products and packaging materials, food inflation, etc.<br />

But the industry, according to the survey, expects to<br />

maintain higher growth at 13.0 per cent in the fiscal year<br />

April-March <strong>2010</strong>-11, as commodity prices are expected<br />

to cool down on the back of a good monsoon. The<br />

festive season spread over the second half of the year<br />

would also lead to more consumer spending spurred<br />

by the recent hike in the salaries of employees.<br />

The sectors which are projected to achieve excellent<br />

growth of above 20 per cent during April-March <strong>2010</strong>-11<br />

over April-March 2009-10 are: deodorants 41.5% (40%),<br />

anti-ageing creams 30.5% (30%), toothpastes 22% (20%),<br />

skin and fairness creams 18% (16%), men’s fairness<br />

products 32% (32%), hair colorants/dyes 22% (21%),<br />

cleaners and repellents 23% (22%), feminine hygiene<br />

products 22% (20%), baby diapers 21% (20)% and dish<br />

washes 27% (26%).<br />

The categories expected to witness high growth rate of<br />

A <strong>CII</strong> FMCG survey<br />

reflects higher levels<br />

of growth in the<br />

current fiscal year<br />

10-20 percent are: detergent powder<br />

16% (15%), washing cakes 13%<br />

(13%), toilet soaps 16% (15%), tooth<br />

brushes 13% (13%), fairness creams<br />

18% (16%), men’s hair grooming<br />

and styling products 20% (18%),<br />

branded coconut oil 10% (10%),<br />

shampoos 12% (9.8%), baby care<br />

products 17% (17%) and skin care<br />

products 15% (15%).<br />

The categories of toothpowders<br />

1.8% (2%), liquid soaps 7% (6%),<br />

shaving products 8% (7%), and coconut oil 2% (2%)<br />

are expected to register moderate growth of 0 to 10<br />

percent.<br />

The positive growth drivers for the industry relate to<br />

companies’ focused initiatives and strategies including<br />

mergers and acquisitions, overseas expansion, new<br />

product innovations and launches with smaller packs/<br />

sachets to tap vast niche segments, and aggressive<br />

rural market penetration. Growing incomes and changing<br />

lifestyles and preferences for branded products, as well<br />

as continued fiscal stimulus, pay hikes of government<br />

employees, resurgence of tier II and tier III cities, young<br />

population, rapid urbanization and increased allocation<br />

for rural development schemes like NREGA and Bharat<br />

Nirman have added to the positive momentum.<br />

The <strong>CII</strong> survey has also identified some major issues<br />

and constraints faced by the FMCG sector. Fake or<br />

counterfeit products are a serious challenge for the<br />

industry. According to estimates, they amount to a loss<br />

of around Rs 27 billion to the exchequer. Rising input<br />

cost including high cost of raw materials, increase in<br />

packaging cost and higher logistics cost due to fuel price<br />

increase are all affecting the profit margins of FMCG<br />

companies. Lack of proper infrastructure and logistics,<br />

multiple taxes, and absence of FDI into multi-brand<br />

retail are the other issues constraining the full take-off<br />

of the FMCG sector.<br />

The survey urges the need for pro-active government<br />

action in the form of early implementation of GST, strict<br />

monitoring and controlling of prices, enforcement of<br />

copyrights and better infrastructure facilities. All these steps<br />

are vital to achieve lower cost, improved quality and better<br />

performance in the competitive FMCG environment.<br />

28 | <strong>December</strong> <strong>2010</strong> Communiqué

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