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Oil Supply Routes in the Asia Pacific: China's Strategic Calculations

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<strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Supply</strong> <strong>Routes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong>: Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s <strong>Strategic</strong> <strong>Calculations</strong><br />

respectively hav<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>the</strong> largest proportions (Qatar comes <strong>in</strong> a distant<br />

th<br />

6 —none<strong>the</strong>less it is strategically important because it is likely to be a major<br />

supplier of natural gas to Ch<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future). Consequently, <strong>the</strong>se are <strong>the</strong><br />

countries that are of long term importance to Ch<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong> terms of its energy<br />

supply needs. Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s oil imports from <strong>the</strong>se major players have grown<br />

rapidly <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last two decades. It can be argued that supply arrangements<br />

with o<strong>the</strong>r countries <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> region are likely to be short term engagements.<br />

Figure 3<br />

Percentage of Global <strong>Oil</strong> Reserves <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Middle East <strong>in</strong> 2010<br />

United Arab<br />

Emirates,<br />

7.1%<br />

Iran, 9.9%<br />

Iraq, 8.3%<br />

Saudi Arabia,<br />

19.1%<br />

Qatar, 1.9%<br />

Kuwait, 7.3%<br />

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2011<br />

In 1999, Ch<strong>in</strong>ese President Jiang Zem<strong>in</strong> visited Saudi Arabia on a state visit<br />

and pronounced a “strategic oil partnership” between <strong>the</strong> two countries. In<br />

November 2010, Ch<strong>in</strong>a overtook <strong>the</strong> US as Saudi Arabia's biggest oil<br />

customer. It buys more than a million bpd from Saudi Arabia—constitut<strong>in</strong>g<br />

approximately a fifth of its total imports. Ch<strong>in</strong>a's total imports have doubled<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce 2005; an <strong>in</strong>dication of <strong>the</strong> fast pace at which Ch<strong>in</strong>ese demand and<br />

bilateral ties are grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> what is today perhaps <strong>the</strong> world's most<br />

significant energy relationship. The relationship is enhanced by <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a has been grant<strong>in</strong>g many downstream projects to Saudi Aramco and<br />

Saudi Basic Industries Company <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a, and <strong>the</strong>re are about 90 Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

www.orfonl<strong>in</strong>e.org 7

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