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Oil Supply Routes in the Asia Pacific: China's Strategic Calculations

Oil Supply Routes in the Asia Pacific: China's Strategic Calculations

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<strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Supply</strong> <strong>Routes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong>:<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s <strong>Strategic</strong> <strong>Calculations</strong><br />

Abstract<br />

The purpose of this paper is to re-exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> exist<strong>in</strong>g critiques of Ch<strong>in</strong>a's oil<br />

supply diversification strategies <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong>. It deconstructs <strong>the</strong> grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

energy relationship between Ch<strong>in</strong>a and <strong>the</strong> Middle East that has made <strong>the</strong><br />

security of <strong>the</strong> Hormuz Strait and <strong>the</strong> Malacca Strait vital to Ch<strong>in</strong>a's energy<br />

security. It analyses specific geographic and strategic chokepo<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a's oil<br />

supply route and concludes that supply diversification motivations are driven by<br />

<strong>the</strong> nation's political economy and military strategy.<br />

Introduction<br />

Energy security forms <strong>the</strong> backbone of most economic and political<br />

policies of nations around <strong>the</strong> world. Ch<strong>in</strong>a is no exception and is<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly follow<strong>in</strong>g a multi-pronged global strategy—one where its<br />

economic priorities do not necessarily overlap with its foreign policies. This<br />

has enabled Ch<strong>in</strong>a to <strong>in</strong>terface with a wide range of nations and bus<strong>in</strong>esses<br />

to secure its <strong>in</strong>terests <strong>in</strong> energy all around <strong>the</strong> world, particularly <strong>in</strong> oil.<br />

In 1993, Ch<strong>in</strong>a went from be<strong>in</strong>g a net exporter of oil to a net importer.<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> National Development and Reform Commission, Ch<strong>in</strong>a's<br />

1<br />

energy consumption <strong>in</strong>creased by 5.6% annually from 1980-2006 . It is <strong>the</strong><br />

second largest consumer of oil after <strong>the</strong> United States and is set to overtake<br />

it with<strong>in</strong> a decade. Today oil rema<strong>in</strong>s a resource without many practical<br />

substitutes for many of its end uses. Figure 1 shows <strong>the</strong> exponential growth<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> consumption of oil <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a, while oil production rema<strong>in</strong>s almost<br />

stagnant. This has left a big supply gap which is addressed through <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

imports–emphasis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> need for <strong>the</strong> country to ensure secure and<br />

efficient supply channels.<br />

www.orfonl<strong>in</strong>e.org 1

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