Oil Supply Routes in the Asia Pacific: China's Strategic Calculations
Oil Supply Routes in the Asia Pacific: China's Strategic Calculations
Oil Supply Routes in the Asia Pacific: China's Strategic Calculations
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<strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Supply</strong> <strong>Routes</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Asia</strong> <strong>Pacific</strong>: Ch<strong>in</strong>a’s <strong>Strategic</strong> <strong>Calculations</strong><br />
Additional Time for One VLCC's <strong>Oil</strong> to Reach Ch<strong>in</strong>a through<br />
Alternative <strong>Routes</strong><br />
Alternative <strong>Routes</strong> Extra Days Total Days per Trip<br />
Malacca Strait 0 11.3<br />
Sunda Strait 2.5 13.8<br />
Lombok Strait 4.8 16.1<br />
1. Estimated at a speed of 14 knots<br />
2. 7000 km between Saudi Arabia and Ch<strong>in</strong>a. Extra 1600<br />
km to go through Sunda Strait. Extra 2960 km to go through Lambok Strait<br />
At present, <strong>the</strong>re are no viable alternative means for transport<strong>in</strong>g oil supplies<br />
from <strong>the</strong> Middle East. They must transit from <strong>the</strong> Persian Gulf to Ch<strong>in</strong>a by<br />
sea. However, as part of its hedg<strong>in</strong>g strategy to counter its “Malacca<br />
Dilemma”, Ch<strong>in</strong>a is construct<strong>in</strong>g a S<strong>in</strong>o-Burmese pipel<strong>in</strong>e from Kyaukphyu<br />
<strong>in</strong> Burma to Ruili <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Ch<strong>in</strong>ese prov<strong>in</strong>ce of Yunan. The oil<br />
pipel<strong>in</strong>e is be<strong>in</strong>g constructed <strong>in</strong> two phases (see table below).<br />
The work for <strong>the</strong> pipel<strong>in</strong>e is well underway, and <strong>the</strong>re are multiple pipel<strong>in</strong>es<br />
be<strong>in</strong>g constructed simultaneously (for oil and natural gas). The<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure under development comprises of multiple separate projects,<br />
<strong>the</strong> most important of which are a deep water natural gas development<br />
project and onshore gas term<strong>in</strong>al, and onshore oil and natural gas pipel<strong>in</strong>es<br />
from Western Burma to Ch<strong>in</strong>a. Also be<strong>in</strong>g constructed are a new deep water<br />
17<br />
crude oil unload<strong>in</strong>g port and oil storage facilities on Burma's Maday Island .<br />
The pipel<strong>in</strong>es are exclusively to hedge aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> risk of a supply disruption<br />
at Malacca. CNPC is f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> bulk of <strong>the</strong> construction costs for <strong>the</strong><br />
pipel<strong>in</strong>es. The table below estimates <strong>the</strong> total extra time taken (compared to<br />
one VLCC's cargo be<strong>in</strong>g shipped through <strong>the</strong> Malacca Strait) for Persian<br />
Gulf oil to reach Ch<strong>in</strong>a:<br />
www.orfonl<strong>in</strong>e.org 13