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Observing Requirements<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>NOAA</strong> Local Forecast & Warnings Program<br />

Andrew Stern<br />

<strong>Office</strong> <strong>of</strong> Climate, Water and Wea<strong>the</strong>r Services<br />

DOC/<strong>NOAA</strong>/National Wea<strong>the</strong>r Service<br />

Monday, 28 November 2011<br />

The views expressed are those <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> author and do not necessarily represent those <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> National Wea<strong>the</strong>r Service.


Presentation Overview<br />

• Observing Requirements Background<br />

• <strong>NOAA</strong> Program Structure<br />

• Local Forecast and Warnings (LFW) Program<br />

• LFW Requirements and Validation<br />

• <strong>NOAA</strong> Observing Requirements Availability<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

2


<strong>NOAA</strong>’s Charge <strong>for</strong> Observing Requirements<br />

• From 2002 <strong>NOAA</strong> Program Review Team Report : <strong>NOAA</strong> needs to<br />

centrally plan and integrate all observing systems:<br />

A. Develop an observational architecture commencing immediately.<br />

With this architecture, <strong>NOAA</strong> would be able to assess current<br />

capabilities and identify short term actions<br />

B. All prospective observing systems should be based on validated<br />

requirements, should be consistent with <strong>the</strong> developed target<br />

architecture, and should be presented with plans to address utilization<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data as well as long term archive <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data<br />

• <strong>NOAA</strong> Observing System Council (NOSC) established to implement this<br />

recommendation<br />

• Requirements segmented by <strong>NOAA</strong> Planning, Programming, Budgeting<br />

and Execution System (PPBES) Programs<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

3


<strong>NOAA</strong> Goal Structure under PPBES<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

4


Goal and Program Structure<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

5


Change <strong>of</strong> Planning/Budgeting Systems<br />

• At <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> FY 2010, <strong>NOAA</strong> dissolved PPBES and<br />

replaced it with Strategy, Execution and<br />

Evaluation or SEE<br />

• SEE does not have a similar Program structure<br />

• However, 9 <strong>NOAA</strong> Programs have completed<br />

requirements validation and remaining 8 must<br />

complete requirements by end <strong>of</strong> CY11<br />

• In <strong>the</strong> future, observing requirements will be<br />

mapped to Line <strong>Office</strong>s<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

6


The LFW Program<br />

• Local Forecast & Warnings (LFW) Program<br />

resided in <strong>NOAA</strong>'s Wea<strong>the</strong>r and Water<br />

Mission Goal<br />

• Due to <strong>the</strong> nature <strong>of</strong> its service delivery and<br />

outreach activities, it touched many o<strong>the</strong>r mission<br />

goals<br />

• Was considered one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most critical programs<br />

within <strong>NOAA</strong><br />

PREDECISIONAL


LFW Program Components<br />

• The LFW Program consisted <strong>of</strong>:<br />

• 122 Wea<strong>the</strong>r Forecast <strong>Office</strong>s (WFOs); 19 Wea<strong>the</strong>r Service<br />

<strong>Office</strong>s (WSOs); and two Data Collection <strong>Office</strong>s (DCOs)<br />

• Three NCEP centers (National Hurricane Center, Storm<br />

Prediction Center and NCEP Central Operations)<br />

• Six NWS Regional Headquarters (including CPHC, VAAC,<br />

AAWU)<br />

• World‐wide acquisition and delivery <strong>of</strong> wea<strong>the</strong>r and water<br />

data and in<strong>for</strong>mation via <strong>the</strong> Telecommunications<br />

Operations Center (TOC), <strong>the</strong> Master Ground Station, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> Network Control Facility<br />

• O&M <strong>for</strong> major systems such as NEXRAD, ASOS, Pr<strong>of</strong>iler<br />

Network, AWIPS, and <strong>NOAA</strong> Wea<strong>the</strong>r Radio<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

8


LFW Program Mission<br />

• Critical operations focused on protecting lives/property<br />

• Delivered essential <strong>NOAA</strong> services, especially those related<br />

to high‐impact events, to local communities through its<br />

distributed structure <strong>of</strong> field <strong>of</strong>fices and national centers.<br />

• Functional components included elements <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> end‐toend<br />

<strong>for</strong>ecast and warning process:<br />

• Observe <strong>the</strong> atmosphere<br />

• Produce numerical <strong>for</strong>ecast guidance<br />

• Syn<strong>the</strong>size environmental in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

• Make <strong>for</strong>ecast and warning decisions<br />

• Provide in<strong>for</strong>mation and decision assistance<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

9


LFW Requirements Methodology<br />

• Divided LFW Program into two subprograms<br />

• WFO/SPC requirements (Completed)<br />

• Tropical requirements (In Progress)<br />

• Requirements considerations<br />

• Focused on FY 12‐18 timeframe<br />

• Attempted to be technology independent<br />

• Considered requirements <strong>of</strong> overlapping mission areas<br />

(e.g., MWX/MTS <strong>for</strong> coastal waters, Aviation)<br />

• Classified requirements into categories<br />

• Surface‐based & Vertical Pr<strong>of</strong>iles<br />

• Marine (<strong>for</strong> Coastal Waters Operations)<br />

• Storm Area (<strong>for</strong> Convective Operations)<br />

• O<strong>the</strong>r (to capture remaining requirements)<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

10


Storm Area<br />

• "Storm Area" does not encompass a fixed<br />

time/space region. It is defined as:<br />

• "A relocatable, three dimensional region <strong>of</strong><br />

sufficient size to observe <strong>the</strong> pre‐convective,<br />

convective and near‐storm environments<br />

encompassing convective storm phenomena, from<br />

MCS‐scale down to tornado scale, <strong>for</strong> times 6‐12<br />

hours prior to anticipated convective initiation<br />

through dissipation <strong>of</strong> convective phenomena.”<br />

PREDECISIONAL


LFW WFO/SPC Requirements<br />

Priority 1 Requirement<br />

Storm<br />

Area<br />

Pr<strong>of</strong>ile<br />

Land<br />

Surface<br />

Marine O<strong>the</strong>r<br />

Air Temperature Pr<strong>of</strong>ile 1 1 1<br />

Cloud Base Height 1<br />

Dew Point/Water Vapor Pr<strong>of</strong>ile 1 1 1<br />

Imagery (Infrared, Microwave, Visible, Water Vapor) 4<br />

Ocean Winds: Surface (Dir & Speed) 2<br />

Precipitation Amount 1<br />

Precipitation Rate 1 1<br />

Precipitation Type 1 1<br />

Sea Surface Temperature 1<br />

Station Pressure 1<br />

Total Lightning 1<br />

Total Water Level 1<br />

Visibility (Land & Marine) 1 1<br />

Wave Height 1<br />

Winds (Pr<strong>of</strong>iles/Surface, Dir & Speed) 2 2 2<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

12


Sample Requirements Listing<br />

• Focus only on Priority 1 requirements –minimum acceptable threshold to<br />

support mission through FY18<br />

• Requirements strive to be technology independent<br />

• Based upon actual observations –not derived values (e.g., Heat Index)<br />

• Can be <strong>for</strong> one level, a pr<strong>of</strong>ile or <strong>for</strong> a region (e.g., storm area)<br />

• Each requirement contains attribute weights to illustrate relative<br />

importance<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

13


Confidence<br />

Level<br />

1<br />

Validation Criteria<br />

OBSERVING REQUIREMENTS VALIDATION CONFIDENCE LEVELS<br />

Color Criteria Examples<br />

Dark<br />

Green<br />

A scientific study proving data to a specified<br />

resolution/accuracy is needed to meet program<br />

objectives, irrespective <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r or not <strong>the</strong> data<br />

at that resolution are currently available. A study<br />

proving that if <strong>the</strong> data are not available at this<br />

level, <strong>the</strong> mission <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> pprogram will be<br />

degraded. This is <strong>the</strong> most scientific way <strong>of</strong><br />

validating <strong>the</strong> observing requirements.<br />

Observing System Simulation<br />

Experiment (OSSE)<br />

2<br />

Light<br />

Green<br />

A document showing that <strong>the</strong> data are being used<br />

in current operational set up. This may not prove<br />

<strong>the</strong> need <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> data at <strong>the</strong> specified attribute level,<br />

but provides justification <strong>for</strong> maintaining status<br />

quo.<br />

Operational user guides, customer<br />

requirements from outside agencies,<br />

operational s<strong>of</strong>tware documentation<br />

etc. Also, a review <strong>of</strong> requirements<br />

by high level bodies (Government<br />

Advisory Boards, National Reseach<br />

Council etc.) or international bodies<br />

(e.g., WMO) fall in this category<br />

3 Yellow<br />

4 Red<br />

In absence <strong>of</strong> validation documents, Subject Matter<br />

Expert statements that <strong>the</strong> data are needed to run<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir program.<br />

No validation documentation provided or <strong>the</strong><br />

documentation provided does not validate <strong>the</strong><br />

requirements at <strong>the</strong> specified attribute level.<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

Statements from experts within <strong>the</strong><br />

Program.<br />

14


Req<br />

Number<br />

LFW WFO/SPC Priority 1 Requirements<br />

Parameter<br />

Geographic Coverage<br />

Attribute Validated<br />

Vertical<br />

Resolution<br />

Horizontal<br />

Resolution<br />

Measurement<br />

Accuracy<br />

Sampling<br />

Interval<br />

1 Air Temperature Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 0.5 K 1 min<br />

2 Air Temperature: Pr<strong>of</strong>iles CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 km 0.5 K 5 min<br />

3 Air Temperature: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 0.1 K 1 min<br />

4 Cloud Base Height CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 8 m 1 min<br />

5 Dew Point Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 0.5 K 1 min<br />

6 Dew Point Temperature: Pr<strong>of</strong>iles CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 km 0.5 K 5 min<br />

7 Dew Point Temperature: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 0.1 K 1 min<br />

8 Imagery: Infrared CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2 km 1 km 5 min<br />

9 Imagery: Microwave CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 10 km 5 km 1 hr<br />

10 Imagery: Visible CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 1 km 0.5 km 5 min<br />

Note: all 31 requirements<br />

are included in <strong>the</strong> backup<br />

slides<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

15


LFW Requirements Validation<br />

• For <strong>the</strong> WFO/SPC Consolidated Observations<br />

Requirements List (<strong>CORL</strong>)<br />

• 31 priority one requirements validated<br />

• 96% validated via supporting documentation<br />

• SME validation <strong>for</strong> some marine and satellite requirements<br />

• 4 Independent Reviews<br />

• NCEP/Storm Prediction Center Lead Forecasters<br />

• Marine and Coastal Wea<strong>the</strong>r Services Branch<br />

• Aviation Wea<strong>the</strong>r Services Branch<br />

• Observing Services Branch<br />

• <strong>CORL</strong> validation endorsement by NOSC late Sept 2011<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

16


PORD Availability<br />

• <strong>NOAA</strong> Program Observation Requirements Documents<br />

(PORDS) are available on line from:<br />

https://www.nosc.noaa.gov/tpio/main/pords.html<br />

• The following documents are available:<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

17


PORDS in Development<br />

• National Wea<strong>the</strong>r Service (NWS)<br />

• Surface Wea<strong>the</strong>r<br />

• Local Forecast and Warnings – Tropical Operations<br />

• National Ocean Service (NOS)<br />

• Corals<br />

• Remap <strong>of</strong> Coastal Marine Resources requirements to:<br />

• National Center <strong>for</strong> Coastal Ocean Science<br />

• <strong>Office</strong> <strong>of</strong> National Marine Sanctuaries<br />

• Ocean and Coastal Resource Management<br />

• <strong>Office</strong> <strong>of</strong> Response and Restoration<br />

• National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)<br />

• S&T Ecosystems Observations (Fisheries Management)<br />

• Habitat<br />

• Ecosystems Research<br />

PREDECISIONAL


Additional In<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

• <strong>NOAA</strong> Observing Requirements are managed by<br />

<strong>the</strong> Technology, Planning and Integration <strong>for</strong><br />

Observations (TPIO) Program<br />

• Director: Pamela Taylor (at noaa.gov)<br />

• Web: https://www.nosc.noaa.gov/tpio/<br />

• Presenter: Andrew Stern (at noaa.gov)<br />

• NWS <strong>Office</strong> <strong>of</strong> Climate, Water and Wea<strong>the</strong>r Services<br />

PREDECISIONAL


Backup<br />

• PORD Requirements and Validation Documents<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

20


Req<br />

Number<br />

Validation Assessment<br />

WW‐LFW_WFO/SPC Priority ‐1<br />

Requirements<br />

Parameter<br />

Geographic Coverage<br />

Attribute Validated<br />

Vertical<br />

Resolution<br />

Horizontal<br />

Resolution<br />

Measurement<br />

Accuracy<br />

Sampling<br />

Interval<br />

1 Air Temperature Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 0.5 K 1 min<br />

2 Air Temperature: Pr<strong>of</strong>iles CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 km 0.5 K 5 min<br />

3 Air Temperature: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 0.1 K 1 min<br />

4 Cloud Base Height CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 8 m 1 min<br />

5 Dew Point Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 0.5 K 1 min<br />

6 Dew Point Temperature: Pr<strong>of</strong>iles CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 km 0.5 K 5 min<br />

7 Dew Point Temperature: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 0.1 K 1 min<br />

8 Imagery: Infrared CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2 km 1 km 5 min<br />

9 Imagery: Microwave CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 10 km 5 km 1 hr<br />

10 Imagery: Visible CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 1 km 0.5 km 5 min<br />

Direct Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

Associated Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

SME Consensus Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

Not Validated<br />

Attribute not applicable<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

21<br />

21


Req<br />

Number<br />

Validation Assessment<br />

WW‐LFW_WFO/SPC Priority ‐1<br />

Requirements<br />

Parameter<br />

Geographic Coverage<br />

Attribute Validated<br />

Vertical<br />

Resolution<br />

Horizontal<br />

Resolution<br />

Measurement<br />

Accuracy<br />

Sampling<br />

Interval<br />

11 Imagery: Water Vapor CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2 km 1 km 5 min<br />

12 Ocean Wind Direction: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2.5 km 10 deg 1 hr<br />

13 Ocean Wind Speed: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2.5 km 1 m/sec 1 hr<br />

14 Precipitation Amount CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2.5 km 0.5 mm 1 min<br />

15 Precipitation Rate CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2.5 km 0.1 in/hr 1 min<br />

16<br />

Precipitation Rate Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm<br />

Area<br />

CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 1 mm/hr 30 sec<br />

17 Precipitation Type CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km PT 1 min<br />

18 Precipitation Type: Storm Area CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m PT 30 sec<br />

19 Sea Surface Temperature CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 1 km 0.5 K 1 hr<br />

20 Station Pressure CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 0.1 hPa 1 min<br />

Direct Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

Associated Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

SME Consensus Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

Not Validated<br />

Attribute not applicable<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

22<br />

22


Req<br />

Number<br />

Validation Assessment<br />

WW‐LFW_WFO/SPC Priority ‐1<br />

Requirements<br />

Parameter<br />

Geographic Coverage<br />

Attribute Validated<br />

Vertical<br />

Resolution<br />

Horizontal<br />

Resolution<br />

Measurement<br />

Accuracy<br />

Sampling<br />

Interval<br />

21 Wind Direction: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 1 deg 1 min<br />

22 Wind Speed: Surface CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 25 km 0.5 m/sec 1 min<br />

23<br />

Total Lightning (Zones 1‐6, 16, 20‐<br />

22)<br />

CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 0.5 km 0.5 km 0.001 sec<br />

24 Total Water Level CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 10 km 1 cm 1 hr<br />

25 Visibility: Land (All Obscurations) CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 400 m 100 m 1 min<br />

26 Visibility: Marine CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 2 km 0.5 km 1 hr<br />

27 Wave Height CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories na 5 km 0.5 m 1 hr<br />

28<br />

Wind Direction Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm<br />

Area<br />

CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 1 deg 30 sec<br />

29 Wind Direction Pr<strong>of</strong>ile CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 km 1 deg 5 min<br />

30 Wind Speed Pr<strong>of</strong>ile CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 km 0.5 m/sec 5 min<br />

31 Wind Speed Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area CONUS+AK+HI+US Territories 100 m 100 m 0.5 m/sec 30 sec<br />

Direct Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

Associated Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

SME Consensus Validation Documentation Submitted<br />

Not Validated<br />

Attribute not applicable<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

23<br />

23


Validation Documents<br />

Submitted<br />

Doc #<br />

Validation Document<br />

1 SURFACE WEATHER OBSERVING (DOT/FAA) ‐ May 11, 2001<br />

2 Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) User’s Guide ‐ March 1998<br />

3 Aviation Priority 1 ‐ powerpoint slides (CT‐AWX & CT‐MWX Validation Slides)<br />

Mobile Doppler Radar Observations <strong>of</strong> a Tornado in a Supercell near Bassett, Nebraska, on 5 June 1999. Part I:<br />

4<br />

Tornadogenesis (OSSE)<br />

5 <strong>Federal</strong> Lightning Capability Requirements (OFCM), July 2008<br />

6 FEDERAL METEOROLOGICAL HANDBOOK No. 1 ‐ Surface Wea<strong>the</strong>r Observations and Reports<br />

7<br />

8<br />

FEDERAL METEOROLOGICAL HANDBOOK NO. 11 ‐ DOPPLER RADAR METEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATIONS, PART C,<br />

WSR‐88D PRODUCTS AND ALGORITHMS, April 2006<br />

Observing Wea<strong>the</strong>r and Climate FROM THE GROUND UP, A Nationwide Network <strong>of</strong> Networks, National Research<br />

Council, The National Academies Press<br />

9 A Phenomenological Approach to <strong>the</strong> Specification <strong>of</strong> Observational Requirements, 02 June 2005<br />

10 Large‐Eddy Simulation <strong>of</strong> a Tornado’s Interaction with <strong>the</strong> Surface<br />

11 NWS Marine Surface Data Requirements<br />

12 National Data Buoy Center, NDBC ‐ What are <strong>the</strong> sensorsreporting, sampling, and accuracy readings?<br />

13 Ships Synoptic Code snd Observing Methods: dd, Wind Direction<br />

14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION 10‐310: COASTAL MARINE FORECAST SERVICES, AUGUST 22, 2008<br />

PREDECISIONAL 24<br />

24


Validation Documents<br />

Submitted<br />

Doc #<br />

15<br />

Validation Document<br />

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION 10‐311: OFFSHORE, NAVTEX, HIGH SEAS, AND MARINE FORECAST<br />

SERVICES, AUGUST 22, 2008<br />

16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION 10‐312: GREAT LAKES MARINE SERVICES, OCTOBER 6, 2008<br />

17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION, NWSI 10‐1301, Feb 2010, Aviation & Synoptic Observations<br />

18<br />

An OSSE Framework Based on <strong>the</strong> Ensemble Square Root Kalman Filter <strong>for</strong> Evaluating <strong>the</strong> Impact <strong>of</strong> Data from<br />

Radar Networks on Thunderstorm Analysis<br />

19 Guide to Meteorological Instruments and Methods <strong>of</strong> Observation, WMO‐No. 8<br />

20 <strong>NOAA</strong> Operational Ocean Surface Vector Winds Requirements Workshop, NHC, July 2006<br />

21 Subject Matter Expert Statement<br />

22 WMO Manual on Marine Meteorological Services, Vol 1<br />

23 WMO Manual on <strong>the</strong> Global Data‐Processing and Forecasting System<br />

24 A Coastal Theme <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> IGOS Partnership, Report <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Coastal Theme Team, Jan 2006<br />

25 QuickSCAT Follow‐On Mission: User Impact Study Report<br />

26 Requirements <strong>of</strong> numerical wea<strong>the</strong>r prediction <strong>for</strong> observations <strong>of</strong> oceans<br />

27<br />

28<br />

A National Operational Wave Observation Plan, Prepared <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> Interagency Working Group on Ocean<br />

Observations, March 2009<br />

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION 10‐302, OCTOBER 2010: MARINE AND COASTAL SERVICES AREAS OF<br />

RESPONSIBILITY<br />

PREDECISIONAL 25<br />

25


Validation Documents<br />

Submitted<br />

Doc #<br />

Validation Document<br />

29 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MANUAL 10‐507, November 2009: PUBLIC GEOGRAPHIC AREAS OF RESPONSIBILITY<br />

30 Operations <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> National Wea<strong>the</strong>r Service Spaceflight <strong>Meteorology</strong> Group; AMS, Sept 1997<br />

31<br />

Satellite Observations <strong>of</strong> a Severe Supercell Thunderstorm on 24 July 2000 Made during <strong>the</strong> GOES‐11 Science Test;<br />

AMS, Feb 2002<br />

32 Fire Detection Using GOES Rapid Scan Imagery; AMS, June 2004<br />

33 A Quantitative Analysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Enhanced‐V Feature in Relation to Severe Wea<strong>the</strong>r; AMS, Aug 2007<br />

34<br />

Forecasting Convective Initiation by Monitoring <strong>the</strong> Evolution <strong>of</strong> Moving Cumulus in Daytime GOES Imagery; AMS,<br />

Jan2006<br />

35<br />

Objective Satellite‐Based Detection <strong>of</strong> Overshooting Tops Using Infrared Window Channel Brightness<br />

Temperature Gradients; AMS, Feb 2010<br />

36<br />

Prototyping a Generic, Unified Land Surface Classification and Screening Methodology <strong>for</strong> GPM‐eraMicrowave<br />

Land Precipitation Retrieval Algorithms; AMS, 2010<br />

37<br />

Many uses <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> geostationary operational environmental satellite‐10 sounder and imager during a high<br />

inclination state; AMS, Jan2009<br />

38 Convectively Induced Transverse Band Signatures in Satellite Imagery; AMS, Oct 2009<br />

39<br />

Understanding Satellite‐Observed Mountain‐Wave Signatures Using High‐Resolution Numerical Model Data;<br />

AMS, Feb 2009<br />

40<br />

Application <strong>of</strong> Airborne Passive Microwave Observations <strong>for</strong> Monitoring Inland Flooding Caused by Tropical<br />

Cyclones; AMS, Oct 2009<br />

41 MULTIFUNCTIONAL MESOSCALE OBSERVING NETWORKS, BAMS, July 2005<br />

42 Toward a New National Wea<strong>the</strong>r Service ‐ Assessment <strong>of</strong> NEXRAD Coverage and Associated Wea<strong>the</strong>r Services<br />

PREDECISIONAL 26<br />

26


Validation Document<br />

Mapping to Observation<br />

Requirement<br />

Req<br />

#<br />

Requirement<br />

Document Submitted<br />

1 Air Temperature Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area 8, 10, 18, 28, 29<br />

2 Air Temperature: Pr<strong>of</strong>iles 9, 18, 28, 29<br />

3 Air Temperature: Surface 1, 2, 6, 28, 29, 41<br />

4 Cloud Base Height 2, 6, 28, 29, 41<br />

5 Dew Point Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area 8, 10, 18, 28, 29<br />

6 Dew Point Temperature: Pr<strong>of</strong>iles 8, 9, 18, 28, 29<br />

7 Dew Point Temperature: Surface 1, 2, 6, 28, 29, 41<br />

8 Imagery: Infrared 21, 28, 29, 30, 31, 33, 34, 35, 37<br />

9 Imagery: Microwave 21, 28, 29, 36, 40<br />

10 Imagery: Visible 21, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

27<br />

27


Validation Document<br />

Mapping to Observation<br />

Requirement<br />

Req<br />

#<br />

Requirement<br />

Document Submitted<br />

11 Imagery: Water Vapor 21, 28, 29, 31, 32, 39<br />

12 Ocean Wind Direction: Surface 13, 20, 22, 23, 24, 25, 28, 29<br />

13 Ocean Wind Speed: Surface 20, 22, 23, 24, 25, 28, 29<br />

14 Precipitation Amount 2, 8, 17, 28, 29<br />

15 Precipitation Rate 2, 7, 8, 18, 28, 29<br />

16 Precipitation Rate Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area 4, 7, 18, 28, 29<br />

17 Precipitation Type 2, 28, 29, 41<br />

18 Precipitation Type: Storm Area 2, 8, 18, 28, 29, 41, 42<br />

19 Sea Surface Temperature 22, 23, 24, 26, 28, 29<br />

20 Station Pressure 2, 19, 28, 29, 41<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

28<br />

28


Validation Document<br />

Mapping to Observation<br />

Requirement<br />

Req<br />

#<br />

Requirement<br />

Document Submitted<br />

21 Wind Direction: Surface 2, 28, 29, 41,<br />

22 Wind Speed: Surface 2, 6, 28, 29, 41<br />

23 Total Lightning (Zones 1‐6, 16, 20‐22) 5<br />

24 Total Water Level 11, 12, 28, 29, 41<br />

25 Visibility: Land (All Obscurations) 1, 2, 17, 28, 29<br />

26 Visibility: Marine 14, 15, 16, 21, 22, 28, 29<br />

27 Wave Height 22, 24, 27, 28, 29<br />

28 Wind Direction Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area 2, 4, 8, 18, 28, 29, 42<br />

29 Wind Direction Pr<strong>of</strong>ile 2, 4, 8, 9, 24, 28, 29<br />

30 Wind Speed Pr<strong>of</strong>ile 2, 4, 8, 9, 28, 29<br />

31 Wind Speed Pr<strong>of</strong>ile: Storm Area 2, 4, 8, 18, 28, 29<br />

PREDECISIONAL<br />

29<br />

29

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