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Communicating the Value of Pharmacodynamic Modelling in Drug ...

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Summary <strong>of</strong> process so far ….<br />

Pre-Cl<strong>in</strong>ical<br />

Data<br />

Safety Trials<br />

Phase II Trials<br />

Competitor<br />

Label<br />

Information<br />

Response<br />

Scientific<br />

Literature<br />

Dose<br />

Population<br />

Model<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Techniques,<br />

Model<br />

qualification<br />

The model summarizes and<br />

quantifies what is known.<br />

The model assumptions detail<br />

what is not known.<br />

PK-PD Models<br />

C(t) = D / V<br />

(Ae -αt + Be -βt )<br />

E(t) = E 0<br />

+ (E max<br />

-E 0<br />

) • C(t)<br />

C(t) + EC 50<br />

+<br />

Model<br />

Assumptions<br />

1.<br />

2.<br />

3.<br />

Simulations<br />

Dimensions <strong>of</strong> Decision Space<br />

• X Endpo<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

• Y <strong>Drug</strong>s/Doses<br />

• Z Covariates<br />

X*Y*Z dimensions<br />

e.g.,1000 simulations/dimension<br />

= [X*Y*Z]* 10 3 data po<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

slide 31<br />

30 May 2008, ARCS<br />

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