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the Mpingo Conservation Project - Coastal Forests of Kenya and ...

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The <strong>Mpingo</strong> <strong>Conservation</strong> <strong>Project</strong><br />

Final Draft<br />

<strong>Mpingo</strong> Survey 2000 Full Report<br />

Results<br />

Due to <strong>the</strong> low frequency <strong>of</strong> mpingo encounters, <strong>the</strong> density <strong>of</strong> adult mpingo is not readily susceptible<br />

to analysis by variations in plot characteristics. 16 However habitat preferences can be detected in <strong>the</strong><br />

mpingo frequency. Adult mpingo were more likely to be found in plots where <strong>the</strong> canopy cover was<br />

medium to high (i.e. between 26% <strong>and</strong> 75% inclusive, frequency 14.7%) than elsewhere (frequency<br />

5.3%) (binomial test, n = 229, r = 10.0%, p < 5%), <strong>and</strong> see Figure 4 above. O<strong>the</strong>r plot classifications,<br />

including slope, did not show evidence substantial variations. All attempts to construct any kind <strong>of</strong><br />

general linear model to predict <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> mpingo failed, at least partly as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> low total<br />

number seen.<br />

Size Structure<br />

The girth at breast height <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> thickest stem (maximum CBH) is <strong>the</strong> simplest indicator <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> age <strong>of</strong> a<br />

tree that can be obtained without cutting it down. Many mpingo trees have multiple stems, but usually<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are only one or two large ones, while <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs are much smaller.<br />

Max CBH<br />

(cm)<br />

Unburned Burnt Riverine All plots<br />

Mean 22 40 22 28<br />

St<strong>and</strong>ard error 8 41 9 25<br />

Max 35 127 46 127<br />

Table 7. Comparative thickness by plot type <strong>of</strong> stem size <strong>of</strong> adult mpingo to <strong>the</strong> nearest cm,<br />

qualifying requirement CBH ≥ 10cm.<br />

Figure 6 below repeats <strong>the</strong> analysis by size group performed on <strong>the</strong> data collected at Migeregere in<br />

1998, however <strong>the</strong> results are strikingly different, with a highly skewed size structure in favour <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

smaller trees, <strong>and</strong> echoing <strong>the</strong> size structure seen by Tanzanian <strong>Mpingo</strong> 96 at Mchinga, where 75% <strong>of</strong><br />

adult mpingo were poles, i.e. CBH < 30cm (Ball et al. 1998).<br />

30<br />

Poles Trees Big Trees<br />

VBTs<br />

28<br />

25<br />

20<br />

No. trees<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

7<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

10 - 30 30 - 55 55 - 80 80 - 105 105 - 130 130 - 180<br />

CBH (cm)<br />

Unburned Burnt Riverine All plots<br />

Figure 6. <strong>Mpingo</strong> frequency by size group <strong>and</strong> plot type. Note <strong>the</strong> change in <strong>the</strong> span <strong>of</strong> size groups for <strong>the</strong> end<br />

columns. VBTs = Very Big Trees – see methodology. Two middle groups split as per Figure 5, page 32 in Gregory et al.<br />

(1999(.<br />

16 Additionally mpingo density will be strongly influenced by those two plots in Mkoka with 4 <strong>and</strong> 7 adult mpingo<br />

respectively, such that any observable pattern is likely to be a result <strong>of</strong> at least one <strong>of</strong> those two plots.<br />

Page 17 <strong>of</strong> 31

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