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Microeconometric evaluation of active labour market policies - SFI

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Lechner, Smith (2003), Frölich, Lechner, Steiger (2003) - SAPS<br />

B. Identification? CIA as before<br />

C. Estimation:<br />

– Problem: Nonparametric estimates too imprecise in small cells<br />

– (Semi-) parametric estimators based on the propensity score<br />

– Results<br />

- case workers as effective as random number generators <br />

- considerable improvement possible if case workers use information about<br />

effect heterogeneity coming from a system based on ‘individual’ predictions<br />

<strong>of</strong> outcomes <strong>of</strong> different programmes<br />

SAPS<br />

statistically aided programme selection

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