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Predicting and evaluating extreme weather events

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Weather Spells: Many ways to define them technically<br />

Photo from NCAR’s<br />

digital image library,<br />

DIO1492<br />

Do <strong>extreme</strong>s of lengths of spells follow EV df’s? (e.g., Cebrián <strong>and</strong><br />

Abaurrea (2006), J. Hydrometeorology, 7, 713–723, use a marked<br />

Poisson process approach)<br />

The same type of <strong>weather</strong> spell may or may not be important<br />

depending on where it occurs.

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