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Predicting and evaluating extreme weather events

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Large-scale indicators for Severe <strong>weather</strong><br />

CAPE×Shear WmSh=W max ×Shear (m 2 /s 2 )<br />

0.00000 0.00010 0.00020<br />

Non−severe<br />

Severe<br />

Significant Non−tornadic<br />

Significant Tornadic<br />

0.000 0.001 0.002 0.003<br />

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0<br />

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0<br />

W max = √ 2 · CAPE<br />

(m/s)<br />

0e+00 2e+05 4e+05<br />

0 2000 6000 10000

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