the challenges facing landlocked developing countries: a case study ...
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THE CHALLENGES FACING LANDLOCKED DEVELOPING COUNTRIES:<br />
A CASE STUDY APPROACH<br />
Working Draft<br />
Not for quotation or attribution<br />
Comments welcome<br />
June 23, 2003<br />
BY MICHAEL FAYE, JOHN MCARTHUR<br />
JEFFREY SACHS, AND THOMAS SNOW<br />
Please send comments to:<br />
Michael Faye<br />
E-mail: michael.faye@unmillenniumproject.org<br />
Phone: +1-212-906-3652<br />
Fax: +1-212-906-6733<br />
We thank Malanding Jaiteh at <strong>the</strong> Center for International Earth Science Information Networks (CIESIN)<br />
at Columbia University for invaluable GIS data analysis and map construction. We also thank Nuño Limao<br />
and Anthony Venables for <strong>the</strong> use of <strong>the</strong>ir freight quote data, Michael Salter for research assistance and<br />
Pierre Yared for his valuable comments. An earlier version of this paper was produced as a background<br />
<strong>study</strong> for <strong>the</strong> Human Development Report 2003, with support from UNDP’s Human Development Report<br />
Office. This paper does not necessarily reflect <strong>the</strong> views of <strong>the</strong> United Nations Development Programme, its<br />
Executive Board or its Member States. All errors are our own. Please send any suggestions or corrections to<br />
<strong>the</strong> corresponding author.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
The Human Development Report 2002 (HDR) paints a stark picture for most of <strong>the</strong><br />
world’s <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. None of <strong>the</strong> non-European <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are<br />
classified as “high human development;” thirteen <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are classified as<br />
“low human development,” and nine of <strong>the</strong> world’s twelve least developed <strong>countries</strong> are<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong>.<br />
Although geographic location is just one of many factors contributing to economic and<br />
human development, <strong>the</strong>se summary indicators from <strong>the</strong> HDR highlight <strong>the</strong> difficult<br />
situation faced by so many <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. The most obvious challenge <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> encounter relative to <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors is that <strong>the</strong>y lie far<strong>the</strong>r from ports<br />
and thus incur higher transport costs when trading with global markets. Higher trade costs<br />
can reduce <strong>the</strong> welfare of a country’s citizens and impede prospects for economic growth<br />
by rendering goods expensive to import and locally produced goods uncompetitive for<br />
export. Lack of integration with external markets can also hinder growth by limiting<br />
what Adam Smith first identified as <strong>the</strong> scope of <strong>the</strong> market, which enables specialization<br />
in production and <strong>the</strong> efficient division of labor.<br />
However, distance forms just one component of <strong>the</strong> costs of being <strong>landlocked</strong>. Ano<strong>the</strong>r,<br />
often more important, challenge of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness lies in <strong>the</strong> dependence on neighbors<br />
for access to international shipping routes. This reliance can take several forms. First, if<br />
a transit neighbor, <strong>the</strong> country through which one must past to access a sea port, has not<br />
invested in its infrastructure, <strong>the</strong>n not only will <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> country’s face barriers to<br />
trade and opportunities for growth, but it will also reap limited benefits to investments in<br />
its own infrastructure. A second form of dependence is political. If a <strong>landlocked</strong> country<br />
and its transit neighbor are in conflict, ei<strong>the</strong>r military or diplomatic, <strong>the</strong> transit neighbor<br />
can easily block borders or adopt o<strong>the</strong>r impediments to trade. A third form of dependence<br />
is less direct but often equally costly. When neighbors suffer from civil war, transit<br />
routes can often be damaged or closed, requiring rerouting of major trade corridors or, in<br />
<strong>the</strong> worst <strong>case</strong>, stoppages of transit. A fourth category of dependence, administrative<br />
barriers, often imposes <strong>the</strong> greatest burden. Crossing a border typically means passing<br />
through customs, requiring long waits and additional paperwork. In some instances, it<br />
also means transferring goods between modes of transport, perhaps because rail lines<br />
change gauge width at a border or even stop altoge<strong>the</strong>r. In o<strong>the</strong>r instances, weak<br />
administrative systems might lend <strong>the</strong>mselves to corruption and bribe-payments as<br />
necessary costs of business.<br />
Given <strong>the</strong>se multiple components of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness, it would be misleading to generalize<br />
about what it means for a country to be <strong>landlocked</strong>. Instead, one needs to consider<br />
carefully how <strong>the</strong> problems of distance and dependence are interacting with a country’s<br />
economic structure in order to understand how <strong>landlocked</strong>ness is affecting that country’s<br />
development processes. This report aims to provide such an overview for <strong>the</strong> world’s 30<br />
least developed <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, as measured by HDI scores, through short <strong>case</strong><br />
studies that evaluate <strong>the</strong> extent to which each country’s transportation networks are able<br />
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to link to global markets. In doing so, <strong>the</strong> report describes how <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’<br />
direct infrastructure <strong>challenges</strong> and political relations in or with neighboring <strong>countries</strong><br />
combine to affect its prospects for external economic integration. Thus <strong>case</strong> studies are<br />
thus focused in <strong>the</strong>ir emphasis on transportation and political relations. They do not aim<br />
to present comprehensive reviews of economic and social development in each country.<br />
Nor do <strong>the</strong>y aim to argue that <strong>landlocked</strong>ness is <strong>the</strong> only issue affecting <strong>the</strong> development<br />
prospects of any country. They do, however, intend to consolidate into one text a<br />
standardized assessment of how <strong>landlocked</strong>ness is affecting <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> in<br />
consideration.<br />
In highlighting <strong>the</strong> various dimensions of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness, several interesting stories<br />
emerge from <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies. These include:<br />
• The <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of eastern Africa – Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda – are<br />
all subject to extremely high transport costs due to low infrastructure in transit<br />
nations and long distances that need to be covered to access ports in Kenya,<br />
Tanzania, or South Africa. Following <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor inland from<br />
Mombasa, <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r one travels <strong>the</strong> greater are <strong>the</strong> costs of distance to port. In<br />
Burundi and Rwanda, <strong>the</strong>se transit costs exacerbate <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> to economic<br />
development posed by recent civil wars.<br />
• In western Africa, <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> have <strong>the</strong> lowest average human<br />
development scores both on an absolute scale and relative to <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors. Not<br />
only are <strong>the</strong> inland <strong>countries</strong> far from ports, but of <strong>the</strong> eight transit <strong>countries</strong> in <strong>the</strong><br />
region, six have had at least one civil conflict over <strong>the</strong> past ten years that was<br />
severe enough to stop transit trade. As a recent example, Mali has suffered<br />
tremendously from <strong>the</strong> recent conflict in Côte d’Ivoire.<br />
• The consequences of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness vary tremendously across sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa.<br />
Botswana, with its well-managed diamond exports that are transported by air, is<br />
less affected by <strong>landlocked</strong>ness. Meanwhile Swaziland is <strong>landlocked</strong> by a middleincome<br />
country, South Africa, and is thus mostly encircled by a sizeable market<br />
with solid core infrastructure and capital to support inward investment. Malawi,<br />
on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, exports mostly primary commodities and suffered<br />
tremendously from <strong>the</strong> Mozambican civil war, which cut off Malawi’s main<br />
transit route to <strong>the</strong> Indian Ocean and caused long-term infrastructural damage.<br />
• In <strong>the</strong> former Soviet <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of central Asia, core infrastructure was<br />
generally built around <strong>the</strong> Soviet production networks that carried resources and<br />
industrial outputs from <strong>the</strong> outer republics to Russia. Now that <strong>the</strong> republics have<br />
independence, this transportation infrastructure is anachronistic. Not only does <strong>the</strong><br />
old hub and spokes system no longer fit current economic needs, but border<br />
crossings are also sometimes in awkward locations. Driving <strong>the</strong> main road from<br />
<strong>the</strong> north to east of Turkmenistan, for instance, requires crossing through<br />
Uzbekistan, a neighbor with whom Turkmenistan has had strained relations<br />
recently.<br />
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• In South America, Bolivia and Paraguay are surrounded by neighbors’ reasonably<br />
good infrastructure but <strong>the</strong>ir own infrastructure remains problematic. In Bolivia,<br />
much of this is due to <strong>the</strong> rugged topography that divides <strong>the</strong> country and makes<br />
infrastructure costly to build at high altitudes. Quite differently, in Paraguay <strong>the</strong><br />
domestic infrastructure <strong>challenges</strong> have more so been <strong>the</strong> product of low<br />
investments and weak infrastructure policy.<br />
• In south Asia, Bhutan benefits from its close official links to India, which allow it<br />
to manage its own transit trade through India without interference from Indian<br />
officials. This contrasts with <strong>the</strong> situation of Nepal, which is similarly dependent<br />
on India for transit trade but has less stable relations. Trade stoppages between<br />
India and Nepal have had significant effects in <strong>the</strong> latter country; <strong>the</strong>y are<br />
considered to have contributed to <strong>the</strong> fall of <strong>the</strong> panchayat government more than<br />
a decade ago.<br />
These are just a few of <strong>the</strong> broad points to emerge in this <strong>study</strong>, which aims to serve as a<br />
basic reference document on <strong>the</strong> nature of trade <strong>challenges</strong> in each country considered.<br />
The <strong>case</strong> studies <strong>the</strong>mselves review <strong>the</strong> transit and cross-border issues in as systematic a<br />
manner as possible. Inevitably, comparisons across <strong>countries</strong> are imperfect, due mainly to<br />
<strong>the</strong> lack of available information. In instances where references or descriptions are quite<br />
outdated, readers with updates are encouraged to send <strong>the</strong>m to <strong>the</strong> contact address listed<br />
on <strong>the</strong> cover page. All suggestions and comments are welcome.<br />
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TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................... 1<br />
TABLE OF CONTENTS ..................................................................................................... 4<br />
PART 1: INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND................................................................. 2<br />
1.1. INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................... 3<br />
1.2. OBSERVATIONS FROM THE CASE STUDIES ............................................................ 7<br />
1.2.1. Dependence Upon Infrastructure of Transit Countries................................. 7<br />
1.2.2. Political Relationship Between Landlocked and Transit Countries ............. 8<br />
1.2.3. Vulnerability to Civil Conflict Within transit Countries ............................ 10<br />
1.2.4. High Administrative Burden Due to Transit............................................... 11<br />
1.3 INDICATORS OF DEVELOPMENT ........................................................................... 14<br />
1.3.1. Comparison of Landlocked Countries and <strong>the</strong>ir Maritime Regional<br />
Neighbors.............................................................................................................. 14<br />
1.3.2. Comparisons Amongst Landlocked Countries ........................................... 15<br />
1.3.3. Measures of Relative Landlockedness........................................................ 17<br />
PART 2: COUNTRY CASE STUDIES ............................................................................... 18<br />
AFRICA - SOUTHERN .................................................................................................. 19<br />
Botswana............................................................................................................... 21<br />
Lesotho.................................................................................................................. 23<br />
Malawi .................................................................................................................. 25<br />
Swaziland.............................................................................................................. 28<br />
Zambia .................................................................................................................. 30<br />
Zimbabwe ............................................................................................................. 33<br />
AFRICA – EASTERN.................................................................................................... 35<br />
Uganda .................................................................................................................. 38<br />
Rwanda ................................................................................................................. 41<br />
Ethiopia................................................................................................................. 47<br />
AFRICA - WESTERN.................................................................................................... 50<br />
Burkina Faso ......................................................................................................... 53<br />
Central African Republic ...................................................................................... 56<br />
Chad ...................................................................................................................... 59<br />
Mali....................................................................................................................... 62<br />
Niger ..................................................................................................................... 65<br />
ASIA - CENTRAL ........................................................................................................ 68<br />
Afghanistan........................................................................................................... 72<br />
Kazakhstan............................................................................................................ 75<br />
Kyrgyzstan ............................................................................................................ 78<br />
Tajikistan............................................................................................................... 81<br />
Turkmenistan ........................................................................................................ 84<br />
Uzbekistan............................................................................................................. 87<br />
Moldova ................................................................................................................ 90<br />
Mongolia............................................................................................................... 92<br />
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CAUCASUS ................................................................................................................. 94<br />
Armenia................................................................................................................. 96<br />
Azerbaijan............................................................................................................. 99<br />
ASIA – SOUTH & SOUTH-EAST ................................................................................ 102<br />
Bhutan................................................................................................................. 105<br />
Laos..................................................................................................................... 107<br />
Nepal................................................................................................................... 110<br />
SOUTH AMERICA...................................................................................................... 113<br />
Bolivia................................................................................................................. 115<br />
Paraguay.............................................................................................................. 118<br />
GLOSSARY .................................................................................................................. 120<br />
BIBLIOGRAPHY........................................................................................................... 121<br />
GENERAL ................................................................................................................. 122<br />
AFRICA – SOUTHERN ............................................................................................... 125<br />
AFRICA - CENTRAL AND EASTERN ........................................................................... 132<br />
AFRICA - WESTERN.................................................................................................. 139<br />
ASIA - CENTRAL ...................................................................................................... 144<br />
CAUCASUS ............................................................................................................... 154<br />
ASIA - EASTERN....................................................................................................... 159<br />
SOUTH AMERICA...................................................................................................... 163<br />
APPENDICES................................................................................................................ 165<br />
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PART 1: INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND<br />
As by means of water-carriage a more extensive market is opened to every sort of industry than what<br />
land-carriage alone can afford it, so it is upon <strong>the</strong> sea-coast, and along <strong>the</strong> banks of navigable rivers,<br />
that industry of every kind naturally begins to subdivide and improve itself, and it is frequently not<br />
till a long time after that those improvements extend <strong>the</strong>mselves to <strong>the</strong> inland parts of <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
(Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations I.3.3)<br />
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1.1. INTRODUCTION<br />
The Human Development Report 2002 paints a stark picture for most of <strong>the</strong> world’s<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. None of <strong>the</strong> non-European <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are classified as “high<br />
human development;”<br />
1 thirteen <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are classified as “low human<br />
development;” and nine of <strong>the</strong> world’s twelve least developed <strong>countries</strong> are <strong>landlocked</strong>. The<br />
<strong>challenges</strong> of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are not new. Two hundred and twenty-six years earlier,<br />
Adam Smith (1776) observed that <strong>the</strong> inland parts of Africa and Asia were <strong>the</strong> least<br />
economically developed areas of <strong>the</strong> world.<br />
Why do <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> face such persistent <strong>challenges</strong>? Smith argued that, due to <strong>the</strong><br />
difficulty of trade, geographically remote areas had difficulty realizing gains to specialization<br />
and associated benefits. He based his analysis on <strong>the</strong> difficulty of land transportation over<br />
great distances – a problem that, despite huge technological advances, still remains today.<br />
High transportation costs typically place <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> at a distinct disadvantage<br />
relative to <strong>the</strong>ir coastal neighbors when competing in global markets.<br />
Of course, distance alone does not explain why <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> might be in a different<br />
situation from equally remote, inland regions of large <strong>countries</strong>. Indeed, some regions of<br />
China, India and Russia lie fur<strong>the</strong>r from <strong>the</strong> coast than many <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> like<br />
Azerbaijan and Moldova. While <strong>the</strong>se subnational regions are indeed at a transit cost<br />
disadvantage relative to <strong>the</strong>ir maritime counterparts, Smith identified an additional reason for<br />
why borders matter for transit trade:<br />
The commerce besides which any nation can carry on by means of a river… which runs into ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />
territory before it reaches <strong>the</strong> sea, can never be very considerable; because it is always in <strong>the</strong> power<br />
of <strong>the</strong> nations who possess that o<strong>the</strong>r territory to obstruct <strong>the</strong> communication between <strong>the</strong> upper<br />
country and <strong>the</strong> sea.<br />
(Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations I.3.8)<br />
In o<strong>the</strong>r words, <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> not only face <strong>the</strong> challenge of distance from port, but<br />
also <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> that result from <strong>the</strong> necessary passage through a sovereign transit<br />
country. 2 While rivers were a more common form of trade transit in Smith’s time, <strong>the</strong><br />
principle of dependence on neighbors applies equally to <strong>the</strong> more modern transport modes of<br />
roads and railways.<br />
In examining <strong>the</strong> nature of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’ dependence on transit nations, one realizes<br />
that obstruction of transit access to markets can take many forms, some of which are much<br />
less intentional than <strong>the</strong> power games suggested in Smith’s quotation above.<br />
1 The European <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> consist of Austria, Andorra, Belarus, Czech Republic, Holy See, Hungary,<br />
Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, San Marino, Slovakia, Macedonia, Moldova and Switzerland. Moldova is <strong>the</strong> only<br />
European <strong>landlocked</strong> country with a HDI of less than 0.76.<br />
2 This report defines a “transit country” as one through which trade from a <strong>landlocked</strong> country must pass in<br />
order to access international shipping markets.<br />
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First, <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are dependent on infrastructure levels of <strong>the</strong>ir neighboring transit<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. Neighbors’ infrastructure can be weak for many reasons, ranging from lack of<br />
resources to misgovernance to natural disasters. Regardless of <strong>the</strong> cause, weak infrastructure<br />
imposes direct costs on trade passing through <strong>the</strong> country and thus limits <strong>the</strong> ability of<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> country products to compete in global markets. Weak transit infrastructure also<br />
limits <strong>the</strong> return to investment on <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> internal infrastructure, since market<br />
opportunities are constrained. Second, <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> depend on <strong>the</strong>ir political<br />
relations with <strong>the</strong>ir transit neighbors. If a <strong>landlocked</strong> country and its transit neighbor are in<br />
conflict, ei<strong>the</strong>r military or diplomatic, <strong>the</strong> transit neighbor can easily block borders or adopt<br />
regulatory impediments to trade. A third form of dependence is less direct but often equally<br />
costly. When neighbors suffer from civil war, transit routes can often be damaged or closed,<br />
requiring rerouting of major trade corridors or, in <strong>the</strong> worst <strong>case</strong>, stoppages of transit. Third,<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> rely on <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors’ lack of civil conflict and continuing stability.<br />
When neighbors suffer from civil war, transit routes can often be damaged or closed,<br />
requiring rerouting of major trade corridors or, in <strong>the</strong> worst <strong>case</strong>, stoppages of transit. Fourth,<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are subject to <strong>the</strong> administrative burdens imposed in border crossing,<br />
with <strong>the</strong>se often adding <strong>the</strong> most amount to shipping costs. Crossing a border typically means<br />
passing through customs, requiring long waits and additional paperwork. In some instances,<br />
it also means transferring goods between modes of transport, perhaps because rail lines<br />
change gauge type at a border or even stop altoge<strong>the</strong>r. In o<strong>the</strong>r instances, weak administrative<br />
systems might lend <strong>the</strong>mselves to corruption and bribe-payments as necessary costs of<br />
business.<br />
Varying combinations of <strong>the</strong>se four factors affect all <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> differently. Some<br />
<strong>countries</strong> are lucky to have relatively well off neighbors with high levels of infrastructure and<br />
political stability. In such <strong>case</strong>s, goods can be moved to port quickly and cheaply. This is <strong>the</strong><br />
situation for <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of western Europe. In contrast, many <strong>developing</strong><br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> do not have <strong>the</strong> luxury of stable and highly developed neighbors. They<br />
are severely affected by varying combinations of weak surrounding infrastructure, political<br />
tensions with <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors, civil conflict in transit <strong>countries</strong>, and high levels of<br />
bureaucracy. In <strong>the</strong> extreme, a <strong>landlocked</strong> country can be completely cut-off from trade<br />
routes due to factors entirely beyond its own control.<br />
Given <strong>the</strong> multiple dimensions of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness, a central <strong>the</strong>me of this paper is that no<br />
single measure can easily capture <strong>the</strong> myriad constraints faced by a <strong>developing</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
country. The capital cities of Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan are both more than 3,600km from<br />
<strong>the</strong> nearest port, posing clear <strong>challenges</strong> to accessing global markets. However, relative<br />
proximity to a port far from guarantees low costs to <strong>landlocked</strong>ness. Armenia, for instance, is<br />
less than 700km from <strong>the</strong> nearest port, but has little access due to conflict in or with its transit<br />
neighbors. Meanwhile o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>countries</strong>, like Turkmenistan, face administrative burdens due to<br />
<strong>the</strong> borders drawn after <strong>the</strong> main transit routes were constructed. Turkmen vehicles taking <strong>the</strong><br />
main road from nor<strong>the</strong>rn Turkmenistan to eastern Turkmenistan need to pass through Uzbek<br />
borders, with significant associated costs due partially to increased political tensions between<br />
<strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>. Different again is <strong>the</strong> situation for Bolivia, which is surrounded by<br />
neighbors with good infrastructure, but situated at high elevations where infrastructure<br />
development is costly and still struggling to overcome tense relations with Chile.<br />
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On <strong>the</strong> positive side, a <strong>landlocked</strong> location can be less burdensome in some circumstances.<br />
Botswana, for instance, exports mainly diamonds, which are shipped by air and thus not<br />
dependent on accessing neighbors’ infrastructure. Ano<strong>the</strong>r example is Swaziland, which is<br />
mostly surrounded by upper middle-income South Africa, a country with good infrastructure,<br />
relatively large internal markets, and large amounts of capital for inward investment. These<br />
<strong>countries</strong> have thus prospered economically despite <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>landlocked</strong>ness.<br />
Aim<br />
While numerous planning papers, legal documents, and transport studies have addressed<br />
issues of transit through neighboring <strong>countries</strong>, near all focus on specific nations or regions,<br />
thus precluding a global cross-country analysis. 3 O<strong>the</strong>r papers focus on distance to port alone<br />
or consider agglomerated economic, social, and financial data for <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> 4<br />
<strong>the</strong>reby not addressing <strong>the</strong> specific problems of <strong>the</strong> political, transit and social environment.<br />
This report seeks to fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> discussion by presenting a set of 30 <strong>case</strong> studies to distill <strong>the</strong><br />
unique <strong>challenges</strong> each one faces. 5<br />
The <strong>case</strong> studies form <strong>the</strong> core of this paper, and are presented on a region-by-region basis in<br />
Part II. Highlighting <strong>the</strong> main lessons of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>case</strong> studies, <strong>the</strong> remainder of Part I proceeds<br />
in two sections. The first outlines key messages from <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies by describing <strong>the</strong><br />
regions most and least affected by infrastructural, political, conflict and administrative issues<br />
in each region. The second <strong>the</strong>n presents some key indicators of development across<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
A few caveats should be highlighted regarding <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies. They do not attempt to<br />
describe <strong>the</strong> general economic or political situations of <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> studies, unless <strong>the</strong>y are<br />
linked to transit routes. This paper forms a type of reference tool on transit linkages, one to<br />
which <strong>the</strong> reader can refer back when considering <strong>the</strong> details of a country’s economic<br />
situation. Thus <strong>the</strong>re is some repetition between <strong>case</strong> studies, since many of <strong>the</strong> issues that<br />
apply to an individual country also apply to <strong>the</strong> rest of its region. To minimize such<br />
repetition, a short overview of regional issues is included at <strong>the</strong> beginning of each geographic<br />
grouping of <strong>countries</strong>, along with a regional map.<br />
The structure of <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies is standardized throughout, but <strong>the</strong> reader will notice that it<br />
varies slightly across <strong>countries</strong> and regions. This is for two main reasons. First, <strong>the</strong> varying<br />
nature of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness in each country requires a different set of emphases in its <strong>case</strong><br />
description. Second, comparable data on <strong>landlocked</strong>ness are not available across most<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. There are no standardized assessments of rail, road or port quality in transit<br />
neighbors, nor of administrative procedures at borders or of transit-related political relations.<br />
This probably speaks to <strong>the</strong> low level of attention often paid to <strong>the</strong> nature of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness<br />
around <strong>the</strong> world. To build a somewhat standardized set of <strong>case</strong> studies, one has to pull<br />
3 As detailed in Glassner (1995).<br />
4 For example, Limao and Venables , MacKellar and Wörgötter (2000), Radelet and Sachs and Stone (2001)<br />
5 The <strong>countries</strong> included in <strong>the</strong> <strong>study</strong> are those with a Human Development Index less than 0.76.<br />
- 5 -
toge<strong>the</strong>r a wide variety of sources, often published across a wide range of dates. This report<br />
aims to provide a helpful step in that direction.<br />
To summarize <strong>the</strong> key messages for each country, every <strong>case</strong> <strong>study</strong> includes an overview box<br />
of key points. This includes an assessment of domestic and neighbors’ infrastructure levels<br />
on a scale of good/fair/poor. The reader should note that <strong>the</strong>se are only shorthand measures<br />
meant to highlight relevant issues. They are not meant to be definitive assessments of<br />
infrastructure.<br />
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1.2. OBSERVATIONS FROM THE CASE<br />
STUDIES<br />
This section outlines observations from <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies across four dimensions:<br />
infrastructure of transit neighbors; political relations with transit neighbors, vulnerability to<br />
civil conflict in transit neighbors; and administrative burdens encountered when shipping<br />
through transit neighbors. Least affected areas are also indicated under each category, as are<br />
successful strategies for overcoming <strong>the</strong> respective dimensions of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness.<br />
1.2.1. DEPENDENCE UPON INFRASTRUCTURE OF TRANSIT COUNTRIES<br />
Landlocked <strong>countries</strong> are completely dependent on <strong>the</strong>ir transit neighbors’ transport<br />
infrastructure to transport <strong>the</strong>ir goods to port. The process of shipping goods through a transit<br />
country is complex, requiring combinations of roads, rail, trucks, trains, ports, warehouses,<br />
containers and pipelines, and more general infrastructure such as telephones, banks and post.<br />
Given this complexity, it is not surprising that some <strong>countries</strong> are more affected by transit<br />
infrastructure problems than o<strong>the</strong>rs.<br />
Worst Affected Areas<br />
The <strong>challenges</strong> confronted by poor transit neighbor infrastructure are acute in eastern Africa.<br />
Burundi, for example, boasts a relatively good internal road network but is severely<br />
constrained by <strong>the</strong> surrounding infrastructure of its transit neighbors. The most direct route to<br />
<strong>the</strong> sea from Burundi is through Tanzania to Dar es Salaam, known as <strong>the</strong> Central Corridor,<br />
but infrastructure levels on this route are so poor that Burundi’s primary transit route still<br />
follows <strong>the</strong> more distant path to Mombasa, known as <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor. Reflecting <strong>the</strong><br />
severity of Burundi’s transport <strong>challenges</strong>, <strong>the</strong> Central Corridor is not even a great second<br />
alternative when to <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor. When <strong>the</strong> latter was closed due to political<br />
reasons, an alternative transit route was investigated, and used, to Durban via Mpulungu on<br />
Lake Tanganyika. The fact that this route was even considered, at a total distance of nearly<br />
4,500km with several border crossings and modal changes, highlights <strong>the</strong> transit <strong>challenges</strong><br />
faced by Burundi, already one of <strong>the</strong> world’s poorest <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Similar transit neighbor infrastructure problems exist for western African <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong>. Consider <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic, which does not have a dependable allwea<strong>the</strong>r<br />
route to <strong>the</strong> sea. Its corridor through Cameroon is often impassable during <strong>the</strong> rainy<br />
season, owing to <strong>the</strong> poor condition of Cameroonian roads. Its only o<strong>the</strong>r corridor, through<br />
<strong>the</strong> Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), travels on <strong>the</strong> Oubangui River, which is<br />
impassable during <strong>the</strong> dry season due to low water levels. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, this corridor is<br />
currently impassable due to <strong>the</strong> ongoing crisis in <strong>the</strong> DRC. Therefore, any domestic<br />
infrastructure investments will have limited returns.<br />
Least Affected Areas and Successful Strategies<br />
In contrast to <strong>the</strong> African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of south and<br />
sou<strong>the</strong>ast Asia and South America are surrounded by relatively high quality transport<br />
- 7 -
infrastructure. In <strong>the</strong>se <strong>case</strong>s <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> have often been unable to take<br />
advantage of <strong>the</strong> strong surrounding transit systems due to weak domestic networks. Laos,<br />
for example, which has not been able to effectively develop its internal transport network,<br />
borders Thailand’s modern infrastructure facilities. This example is particularly startling as<br />
Thailand’s transport system is characterized by four lane highways, while transport within<br />
Laos is quite limited. The Thai government has also recently extended its rail line to <strong>the</strong><br />
Laotian border, beyond which it does not continue <strong>the</strong> short distance to <strong>the</strong> Laotian capital,<br />
Vientiane.<br />
In rare <strong>case</strong>s, <strong>the</strong> level of transit infrastructure is less relevant. In <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of Botswana, <strong>the</strong><br />
economy’s heavy dependence on diamonds, which account for 84% of total export value,<br />
allows <strong>the</strong> country to bypass transit neighbor infrastructure by utilizing air transport. The<br />
high value/weight and value/volume ratios for diamonds make this possible, since air<br />
transport has a high cost/volume ratio.<br />
Bolivia has had moderate success in bypassing its neighbors’ transit network by trying to<br />
capitalize on its central geographic location to become <strong>the</strong> South American fiber optics hub.<br />
Modern technological advancements and <strong>the</strong> development of telecommunications have<br />
expanded opportunities for <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, where a central location can facilitate <strong>the</strong><br />
growth of industries less affected by transport costs.<br />
The low levels of infrastructure in Tanzania, discussed above, are being partially improved<br />
because Tanzania has started to compete for <strong>the</strong> transit business of Burundi and Rwanda<br />
following <strong>the</strong> re-opening of <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor through Uganda and Kenya. Tanzania has<br />
made material efforts to improve its rail infrastructure and has recently completed a dry dock<br />
at Isaka for <strong>the</strong> Burundi/Rwanda – Dar es Salaam transit trade. In addition, competition has<br />
encouraged a private company (<strong>the</strong> Trans Africa Railway Corporation) to build a<br />
transshipment facility at Kidatu (Tanzania) to allow a change in rail gauges. Due to this<br />
connection it is now possible to travel between Cape Town and Kampala by rail in ten days<br />
(InfraAfrica 2001).<br />
1.2.2. POLITICAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN LANDLOCKED AND TRANSIT<br />
COUNTRIES<br />
Political relations between <strong>landlocked</strong> and transit <strong>countries</strong> are crucial for trade as well. The<br />
<strong>developing</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> usually have little influence over <strong>the</strong>ir transit neighbors<br />
when negotiating transit routes. While <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> country is usually highly dependent<br />
upon its transit neighbor to access o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>countries</strong> and world markets, in most <strong>case</strong>s <strong>the</strong><br />
transit neighbor relies little upon its <strong>landlocked</strong> neighbor and may see a <strong>landlocked</strong> country’s<br />
demand for transit rights as an infringement on its own sovereignty.<br />
There is a legal basis for rights of transit as outlined in Article 125(1) of <strong>the</strong> United Nations<br />
Convention on <strong>the</strong> Law of <strong>the</strong> Sea (1982), which states:<br />
Land-locked States shall have <strong>the</strong> right of access to and from <strong>the</strong> sea... To this end, land-locked<br />
States shall enjoy freedom of transit through <strong>the</strong> territory of transit States by all means of transport.<br />
- 8 -
However in practice, this right of access must be agreed upon with <strong>the</strong> transit neighbor<br />
(Article 125(2) and (3)):<br />
The terms and modalities for exercising freedom of transit shall be agreed between <strong>the</strong> land-locked<br />
States and transit States concerned through bilateral, sub regional or regional agreements.<br />
Transit States, in <strong>the</strong> exercise of <strong>the</strong>ir full sovereignty over <strong>the</strong>ir territory, shall have <strong>the</strong> right to take<br />
all measures necessary to ensure that <strong>the</strong> rights and facilities provided for in this Part for land-locked<br />
States shall in no way infringe <strong>the</strong>ir legitimate interests.<br />
Thus a right of access is given to <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> country, but such a right is conditioned by<br />
<strong>the</strong> need for <strong>the</strong> transit country to grant such a right. Whe<strong>the</strong>r a transit country can legally<br />
deny <strong>the</strong> right of access is discussed in detail in <strong>the</strong> legal literature (Pechata 1973), but <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>case</strong> studies of this report show that transit access is in practice determined by <strong>the</strong><br />
relationship between <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> country and its transit neighbor.<br />
Worst Affected Areas<br />
The <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of <strong>the</strong> Caucasus and Central Asia have been most acutely affected<br />
by international disputes and ongoing tensions. After <strong>the</strong> dissolution of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union, <strong>the</strong><br />
former republics were divided according to previous administrative boundaries. Such<br />
boundaries have been <strong>the</strong> source of many disputes. As a result, borders are regularly<br />
defended with landmines and physical blockades, and regional cooperation has failed.<br />
Uzbekistan, for example, suffers from strained relations with four of its five neighbors – <strong>the</strong><br />
fifth being Afghanistan. In <strong>the</strong> Caucasus, fighting between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>,<br />
Armenia and Azerbaijan has not only closed <strong>the</strong> Armenia-Azerbaijan border but has also led<br />
to <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Armenia-Turkey border. Armenia’s only alternative routes, through<br />
Georgia and Iran, are restricted due to geographic obstacles (mountains) and relatively poor<br />
infrastructure (Tavitan 2001).<br />
Ethiopia, too, has suffered immensely from direct conflict with its transit neighbor, Eritrea.<br />
The conflict has restricted Ethiopia’s access to <strong>the</strong> Eritrean port of Assab where most<br />
Ethiopian trade (75%) passed through duty-free until 1997. There has now been a major shift<br />
of trading routes used by Ethiopia, away from Assab to <strong>the</strong> port of Djibouti, which now<br />
handles <strong>the</strong> large majority of Ethiopian trade. The Djibouti corridor, however, is hampered<br />
by an unreliable and poorly functioning railroad and limited port facilities.<br />
Relations with neighboring <strong>countries</strong> need not be openly hostile to severely hamper a<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> country’s economy. For example, as Nepal’s sole transit neighbor, India<br />
blockaded <strong>the</strong> border between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> in 1990, an action cited as a major cause of<br />
overthrow of <strong>the</strong> Nepalese panchayat government. 6 Moreover, between 2001 and 2002,<br />
India instituted significant trade restrictions on Nepal during <strong>the</strong> negotiation of a bilateral<br />
trade agreement. These restrictions were alleged to have been to extract concessions in<br />
negotiations. In <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of Bolivia, <strong>the</strong> effects of weakened international relations are even<br />
more subtle. For example, long standing tensions with neighboring Chile have recently<br />
delayed <strong>the</strong> export of newfound gas reserves as <strong>the</strong> Bolivian people protest <strong>the</strong> use of Chilean<br />
ports.<br />
6 Transit through China is effectively impossible due to <strong>the</strong> Himalayan Ranges<br />
- 9 -
1.2.3. VULNERABILITY TO CIVIL CONFLICT WITHIN TRANSIT COUNTRIES<br />
Even if a country has very good relations with its transit neighbor and core infrastructure in<br />
both <strong>countries</strong> is sound, it is still vulnerable to civil conflict within <strong>the</strong> transit country and<br />
consequent border closures. Not only can such conflict result in <strong>the</strong> closure of vital corridors,<br />
but it can also severely weaken <strong>the</strong> transit infrastructure for future use.<br />
Worst Affected Areas<br />
The <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of western Africa have been particularly affected by civil war.<br />
Mali, for example, has been recently recognized for its political stability and commitment to<br />
democracy, but has suffered tremendously from regional conflict and instability. Each of<br />
Mali’s coastal neighbors has been engaged in some form of violent civil conflict in <strong>the</strong> last<br />
decade, often making transport routes unusable: Togo was devastated by violent political<br />
protests and deep internal conflict in <strong>the</strong> early 1990s; Algeria was involved in a bloody civil<br />
war for much of <strong>the</strong> same decade; Ghana suffered from ethnic violence primarily between<br />
1993-1994; Sierra Leone’s ten year civil war has just recently come to a tenuous settlement;<br />
Guinea has been stricken by a series of coups and rebel wars; Liberia has spent most of <strong>the</strong><br />
decade in violent civil wars which have threatened to spillover into neighboring <strong>countries</strong>,<br />
thus jeopardizing regional stability even fur<strong>the</strong>r; finally, and most importantly for Mali, Cote<br />
d’Ivoire has recently fallen into a devastating political crisis, with severe effects on Mali’s<br />
most important corridor to <strong>the</strong> sea.<br />
The <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa, most notably Malawi, have also suffered<br />
significantly from <strong>the</strong> surrounding civil wars in Mozambique, Namibia and Angola. As a<br />
result much of <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn African Development Community’s (SADC) trade has been<br />
forced along longer north-south corridors, largely relying upon <strong>the</strong> port of Durban in South<br />
Africa. During <strong>the</strong> Mozambican civil war, Malawi was forced to reroute its freight, 95% of<br />
which normally passed through <strong>the</strong> ports of Beira and Nacala, to <strong>the</strong> much more distant ports<br />
of Durban and Dar es Salaam. It is estimated that <strong>the</strong> average surface costs to <strong>the</strong>se ports are<br />
more than double those to Nacala and Beira via <strong>the</strong> traditional rail routes. The average transit<br />
times to Durban (7 days) and Dar es Salaam (6 days) are also nearly double that to Nacala (4<br />
days) and Beira (3 days). The unavoidable rerouting cost Malawi an additional US$50m-80m<br />
(4 - 6% of GDP) per year, with insurance and freight costs doubling from 20% of <strong>the</strong> import<br />
bill in <strong>the</strong> early 1980s to 40% by <strong>the</strong> latter half of <strong>the</strong> decade (World Bank 1995). While <strong>the</strong><br />
corridors to Beira and Nacala have recently been reopened, infrastructure damage from <strong>the</strong><br />
war has thus far limited <strong>the</strong>ir use.<br />
Civil conflict has also been a significant impediment in central Asia and <strong>the</strong> Caucasus, where<br />
<strong>the</strong> dissolution of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union has led to several internal conflicts. The Georgian civil<br />
wars of <strong>the</strong> 1990s have had dramatic effects on <strong>the</strong> region by severely hampering <strong>the</strong> vital<br />
corridor link across <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea. These wars not only required that trade be rerouted<br />
during <strong>the</strong> war, but have also destroyed much of <strong>the</strong> internal infrastructure and significantly<br />
weakened <strong>the</strong> port of Poti.<br />
Least Affected Areas<br />
There have been few <strong>developing</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> which have been unaffected by civil<br />
conflicts in neighboring <strong>countries</strong>. Bolivia and Paraguay have been <strong>the</strong> most fortunate in this<br />
- 10 -
egard – <strong>the</strong>ir borders have never been closed due to a civil conflict in <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors. The<br />
<strong>countries</strong> of south and south-eastern Asia have also been similarly fortunate.<br />
1.2.4. HIGH ADMINISTRATIVE BURDEN DUE TO TRANSIT<br />
To transit a country, <strong>the</strong>re are a host of direct transit and customs charges 7 , some of which<br />
must be paid upfront and some en route. The direct costs, however, are only a small part of<br />
<strong>the</strong> picture. International transit also requires burdensome paperwork and bureaucratic<br />
procedures that are costly to deal with and place a high administrative burden on shippers. In<br />
almost all <strong>case</strong>s, <strong>the</strong> number of documents needed and <strong>the</strong> different authorities that must be<br />
consulted are high and could only be negotiated by using a firm experienced in transit<br />
operations such as a clearing and forwarding agent. 8 The need for such services adds<br />
significantly to <strong>the</strong> overall cost of transit. The cost of bribes and corruption, while considered<br />
to be significant, is difficult to estimate.<br />
In addition to <strong>the</strong> direct fees and costs of high administration, passing through border points<br />
of foreign <strong>countries</strong> imposes long delays on transit traffic. It is regularly noted that <strong>the</strong> time<br />
delays and <strong>the</strong> variability of time in transit are a greater concern to traders than direct costs,<br />
as <strong>the</strong>y hinder <strong>the</strong> ability to meet delivery contracts without large inventory stocks. These<br />
delays impose a large burden on trade: In <strong>the</strong> SADC alone, delays are estimated to impose a<br />
burden of US$48 million annually (InfraAfrica 2001). The cost of delays is estimated to be<br />
between $205 to $440 on a $10,000 cargo consignment from Rwanda or Burundi (Anyango<br />
1997). O<strong>the</strong>r border inconveniences also hamper transport. In many <strong>case</strong>s, for example,<br />
border fees must be paid in hard currency, where often <strong>the</strong>re are no facilities to convert local<br />
currencies.<br />
Worst Affected Areas<br />
While <strong>the</strong>re is little direct cross-country evidence on <strong>the</strong> fees and administrative burdens<br />
<strong>facing</strong> importers and exporters, <strong>the</strong>se costs are most regularly cited in reports on western<br />
Africa. In eastern Africa, <strong>the</strong>y are estimated at as much as 20 percent of <strong>the</strong> direct freight<br />
costs (Anyango 1997). Where <strong>the</strong>re is a necessity to cross more than one border, such as <strong>the</strong><br />
route from Burundi through Rwanda, Uganda and Kenya, it can be necessary to pay <strong>the</strong>se<br />
fees in several <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Delays are also a serious concern in Africa, where <strong>the</strong> average delay at a border crossing is<br />
estimated to be 24-48 hours (Evlo 1995, InfraAfrica 2001). However, <strong>the</strong>re are many areas<br />
within Africa where delays are significantly worse than this average. Customs procedures at<br />
7 Some of <strong>the</strong> transit and customs charges include transit goods licences, border fees, temporary road licences,<br />
foreign vehicle permits, toll charges, foreign commercial licences, cost of customs verification of containers,<br />
posting of security bonds, involvement with police and escort convoys and cancellation of bonds. The cost of<br />
bribes needed en route, while considered to be significant, is beyond <strong>the</strong> scope of this report.<br />
8 An example of <strong>the</strong> forms needed to transit from Bolivia (with one of <strong>the</strong> more simple transit regimes) are as<br />
follows: Commercial invoice or equivalent; Transport documents (air way bill, bill of lading, consignment note,<br />
original or copy); Report of reception, original; Certificate of previous inspection or custom declaration of value<br />
issued by <strong>the</strong> original importer; Certificate of insurance, copy; Invoice of port charges, original; Invoice of<br />
transport issued by <strong>the</strong> transport operator signing <strong>the</strong> transport manifest, copy; Packing list, original or copy;<br />
Certificate of origin, original; Certificate of previous licence, original; O<strong>the</strong>r documents pertaining to <strong>the</strong><br />
claimed regime; and a form listing all <strong>the</strong> documents outlined above (Castellón 2001).<br />
- 11 -
<strong>the</strong> Central African Republic - Cameroon border can take as long as two weeks, with goods<br />
often waiting at <strong>the</strong> border for <strong>the</strong> requisite information to be sent from Bangui. The full<br />
journey between <strong>the</strong> port of Doala and Bangui generally takes three weeks to a month. An<br />
average trip between Kampala and Mombasa (a route used by Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi)<br />
is estimated to take 21 days on average, with trips often taking as many as 60 days. The<br />
unreliability of <strong>the</strong> rail arrivals often make it impossible to book ships ahead of time at <strong>the</strong><br />
port of Mombasa, causing fur<strong>the</strong>r delays. Delays at <strong>the</strong> port of Abidjan, used by Burkina<br />
Faso, often take up to 10 days and waits at <strong>the</strong> port of Douala, used by <strong>the</strong> Central African<br />
Republic and Chad can often extend to 30 days. In addition, <strong>the</strong> two main transit routes for<br />
Burkina Faso have customs escorts only three times a week so <strong>the</strong>re are often significant<br />
delays in waiting for an escort 9 .<br />
Although such delays have varied causes, many stem from a lack of coordination between<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> and transit <strong>countries</strong>. In Burkina Faso, for example, <strong>the</strong>re exists a special anticompetitive<br />
provision to protect Burkinabe truck companies, reserving two thirds of transit<br />
freight for carriage by Burkinabe trucks. Thus, <strong>the</strong>re are often goods at maritime ports<br />
waiting for <strong>the</strong> arrival of vehicles from <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> despite <strong>the</strong> presence of vehicles<br />
from maritime <strong>countries</strong> at <strong>the</strong> port who would be willing to transport <strong>the</strong> goods inland.<br />
While <strong>the</strong> absolute levels of fees and administrative burdens are not as high in central Asia as<br />
in Africa, <strong>the</strong> administrative burdens due to transit are increasing in this region, largely due<br />
to <strong>the</strong> souring of international relations. During <strong>the</strong> Soviet era, transport across <strong>the</strong><br />
neighboring <strong>countries</strong> of Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan was largely free<br />
of administrative burdens. A 72-hour visa-free system was introduced in <strong>the</strong> late 1990s to<br />
allow transit through <strong>countries</strong> without <strong>the</strong> need for a visa, but is no longer in effect due to<br />
poor and worsening relations between <strong>countries</strong> in <strong>the</strong> region (Dion 2000; Mayhew 2002). 10<br />
Corruption has also imposed significant costs on trade in central Asia and <strong>the</strong> Caucasus.<br />
Least Affected Areas and Successful Strategies<br />
The most notable exception to such significant administrative burdens is Bhutan. All<br />
Bhutanese transit trade through is handled by Bhutan’s own customs agency. Hence, <strong>the</strong><br />
administrative burden for Bhutanese traders is as if <strong>the</strong> country were not <strong>landlocked</strong>. This is<br />
largely a result of strong Bhutanese-Indian relations and <strong>the</strong> minimal amount of Bhutanese<br />
transit trade. Similar bilateral arrangements between o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> and <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
neighbors would substantially reduce transit costs.<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r efforts to reduce administrative charges and delays have taken place at <strong>the</strong> regional<br />
level in an attempt to simplify regional transit procedures. SADC and <strong>the</strong> Common Market<br />
for Eastern and Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa (COMESA) for example, have introduced common licenses,<br />
which allow road freight to travel between participating <strong>countries</strong> without <strong>the</strong> need for a local<br />
9 Vehicles waiting for a convoy to form wait on <strong>the</strong> side of <strong>the</strong> road, not only hindering normal road traffic, but<br />
also contributing to road damage.<br />
10 Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are involved in a border dispute, Tajikistan has been in a civil war and claims<br />
Uzbekistan is abusing its border closure powers for political purposes, Kazakhstan fears <strong>the</strong> Islamic threat of<br />
militant Islam and terrorism from Tajikistan. Kyrgyzstan is reacting to <strong>the</strong> incursion of Tajik rebels (Dion<br />
2000).<br />
- 12 -
license or permit. 11 Ano<strong>the</strong>r interesting scheme is <strong>the</strong> COMESA Yellow Card, which<br />
guarantees third party insurance across signatory states, removing <strong>the</strong> need to purchase<br />
insurance at each border crossing, and thus providing significant cost savings. A Yellow<br />
Card for a truck between Harare and Nairobi, for example, costs about $70 per year. In <strong>the</strong><br />
absence of <strong>the</strong> card, insurance would cost $350 (Mulenga 1998). Similar efforts are being<br />
made in South America through <strong>the</strong> regional trade institutions to simplify transit procedures.<br />
11 As at July 2001, <strong>the</strong> license was not yet in use in all COMESA <strong>countries</strong> because many country’s road<br />
industries had not yet been liberalised.<br />
- 13 -
1.3 INDICATORS OF DEVELOPMENT<br />
1.3.1. COMPARISON OF LANDLOCKED COUNTRIES AND THEIR MARITIME<br />
REGIONAL NEIGHBORS<br />
It has often been suggested that <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, while <strong>facing</strong> unique <strong>challenges</strong>, do not<br />
perform worse than <strong>the</strong>ir maritime counterparts. In response, this chapter presents a<br />
comparison of several key indicators for <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> and <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors.<br />
While an in-depth statistical analysis is beyond <strong>the</strong> scope of this report, <strong>the</strong> figures below<br />
advance <strong>the</strong> notion that <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are, in fact, achieving lower average<br />
development levels than <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors.<br />
The first part of this section presents a comparison of <strong>the</strong> Human Development Index (HDI)<br />
for <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> with that of <strong>the</strong> regional maritime <strong>countries</strong>. Such a comparison<br />
demonstrates that most <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> lag far behind <strong>the</strong>ir maritime regional neighbors.<br />
A significant factor contributing to such poor overall performance is <strong>the</strong> increased cost and<br />
difficulty of trade faced by <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. Such <strong>challenges</strong> are considered in <strong>the</strong><br />
second part of this section, which presents both <strong>the</strong> cost of trade of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> and<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir export levels. The latter measure was included only as a proxy for <strong>the</strong> difficulties of<br />
trade, and to provide insight into <strong>the</strong> performance of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> relative to <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
maritime neighbors.<br />
Human Development<br />
The relative state of human development of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> is presented in Table 1,<br />
where <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are shaded. A brief examination of <strong>the</strong> table shows <strong>the</strong><br />
distribution of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> towards <strong>the</strong> bottom: Not one non-European <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
country is defined as having a high level of human development, and of <strong>the</strong> twelve <strong>countries</strong><br />
with <strong>the</strong> lowest HDI, nine (75%) are <strong>landlocked</strong>. Overall, <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> do worse<br />
than <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors in each component of <strong>the</strong> human development index: Average<br />
GDP of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> is approximately 57% that of <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors. Life<br />
expectancy is three years lower.<br />
Due to <strong>the</strong> high number of African <strong>countries</strong> at <strong>the</strong> bottom of Table 1, <strong>the</strong> above observations<br />
may appear to be merely a result of <strong>the</strong> majority of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> being located in<br />
Africa. Table 2 indicates o<strong>the</strong>rwise, presenting <strong>the</strong> same human development indicators as in<br />
Table 1, with <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> separated by region. With <strong>the</strong> exception of sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa,<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> have significantly worse levels of development than <strong>the</strong> maritime<br />
<strong>countries</strong> of <strong>the</strong>ir region. In fact, not one country outside of sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa has a higher level<br />
of human development than <strong>the</strong> average of its regional maritime <strong>countries</strong>. The <strong>countries</strong> of<br />
sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa exceed <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors for a number of reasons, as discussed in <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>case</strong> studies, but most notably <strong>the</strong> extended civil wars in Angola and Mozambique.<br />
Several o<strong>the</strong>r interesting observations can be made from this table. In particular: in eastern<br />
Africa <strong>the</strong> life expectancy of <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> is eight years less than that of <strong>the</strong><br />
maritime <strong>countries</strong>; The average GDP of western Africa <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> is 35% that of<br />
- 14 -
<strong>the</strong> regional maritime <strong>countries</strong>; and in east Asia <strong>the</strong> adult literacy rate of <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> is 28% less than that of <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors.<br />
Trade<br />
As discussed above, a primary challenge of being <strong>landlocked</strong> is <strong>the</strong> increased cost of trade.<br />
Such increased costs are reflected in Table 3, which presents <strong>the</strong> ratio of transport and<br />
insurance costs to <strong>the</strong> total value of exports. Overall, this ratio is roughly 9% greater for<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> than for <strong>the</strong> maritime <strong>countries</strong>. For a majority of regions, <strong>the</strong> average<br />
ratio for <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> is nearly double that of <strong>the</strong> maritime <strong>countries</strong>. The notable<br />
exceptions are south and south-east Asia and Swaziland. These <strong>countries</strong>, however, do not<br />
engage in significant volumes of transoceanic trade, instead exporting overwhelmingly to<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir immediate neighbors, India, Thailand or South Africa. This may reflect a diversion of<br />
trade due to <strong>the</strong> particularly high transit costs, as described in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies.<br />
Reflecting <strong>the</strong> higher trade costs, <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> on average export less than half <strong>the</strong><br />
per capita amount of <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors. Table 4 presents a regional breakdown of this<br />
measure. Nearly all <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> export less per capita than <strong>the</strong> average of <strong>the</strong><br />
regional maritime <strong>countries</strong>. The three exceptions, Kazakhstan, Swaziland and Botswana are<br />
all extraordinary <strong>case</strong>s. Kazakhstan exports primarily oil to its neighbors, Swaziland has a<br />
particularly open trade regime and exports a majority of its trade to South Africa, and<br />
Botswana has thrived on <strong>the</strong> diamond trade which depends on air transport, <strong>the</strong>reby<br />
bypassing <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> of land transport.<br />
1.3.2. COMPARISONS AMONGST LANDLOCKED COUNTRIES<br />
This section explores <strong>the</strong> variations among <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. For each indicator, both a<br />
regional and country level analysis are presented.<br />
Human Development<br />
Table A shows <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong><br />
average HDI of <strong>the</strong> regional maritime and<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. While <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are doing as<br />
well as <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors on average, 12 in all<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r regions <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> are<br />
on average doing worse than <strong>the</strong>ir maritime<br />
neighbors. The difference is most<br />
pronounced in western Africa and only<br />
slightly better in Latin America and eastern<br />
Asia.<br />
Table A: Average HDI of Maritime Countries –<br />
Average HDI of Landlocked Countries, by region<br />
HDI<br />
Region<br />
Difference<br />
0.00<br />
Figure 1 provides fur<strong>the</strong>r detail on variation<br />
among <strong>countries</strong> by plotting <strong>the</strong> HDI score of each <strong>landlocked</strong> country relative to <strong>the</strong> average<br />
of its regional HDI, allowing some interesting observations:<br />
Best<br />
Worst<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Africa<br />
Central Asia 0.04<br />
Eastern Africa 0.09<br />
Eastern Asia 0.11<br />
Latin America 0.11<br />
Western<br />
Africa<br />
0.12<br />
12 As already mentioned, in sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa <strong>the</strong> maritime <strong>countries</strong> have suffered dramatically from internal<br />
civil wars and sanctions.<br />
- 15 -
• The sou<strong>the</strong>rn African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> bordering South Africa perform<br />
significantly better than those not bordering South Africa.<br />
• The east Asian <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> have remarkably similar levels of human<br />
development, all considerably worse than <strong>the</strong> regional average.<br />
• In <strong>the</strong> east African region, <strong>the</strong> relative levels of HDI parallel <strong>the</strong> distance from <strong>the</strong><br />
coast following major transit route used by <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong>. The route passes from<br />
Kenya through Uganda and Rwanda to Burundi.<br />
• Niger is <strong>the</strong> worst performing <strong>landlocked</strong> country in absolute terms and relative to its<br />
regional maritime neighbors.<br />
Trade<br />
Closely paralleling <strong>the</strong> human development<br />
trends above, Table B presents a regional<br />
analysis of exports per capita of <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> in relation to that of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
maritime neighbors. Once again, <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of western Africa rate<br />
lowest relative to <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors,<br />
with only 12% <strong>the</strong> exports per capita of<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors. Such discrepancy<br />
exists despite <strong>the</strong> prolonged civil wars in<br />
many of <strong>the</strong> maritime western African<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. Also, as in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of HDI<br />
analysis above, <strong>the</strong> discrepancy between<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> and maritime <strong>countries</strong> is<br />
smallest in sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa.<br />
Table B: Ratio of Exports per capita of <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> to that of <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors, by<br />
region.<br />
Best<br />
Worst<br />
Ratio of<br />
Exports/Capita of<br />
Region<br />
Landlocked to<br />
Maritime<br />
Countries<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
0.68<br />
Africa<br />
Central Asia 0.41<br />
Eastern Africa 0.41<br />
Latin America 0.33<br />
Eastern Asia 0.14<br />
Western<br />
0.12<br />
Africa<br />
Closely paralleling <strong>the</strong> human development trends above, Figure 2 presents <strong>the</strong> performance<br />
of individual <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> in regard to exports per capita. A comparison of Figure 1<br />
and Figure 2 shows that even fewer <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> outperform <strong>the</strong> regional average for<br />
exports per capita than was <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> for HDI. Several o<strong>the</strong>r interesting observations can be<br />
drawn from this figure:<br />
• Uganda exports significantly more than <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r eastern African <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong>. As was <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> with HDI, <strong>the</strong> level of exports per capita roughly<br />
corresponds to <strong>the</strong> distance inland on <strong>the</strong> major transit route.<br />
• There is little variation in export levels in eastern or western Africa. All are<br />
extremely low.<br />
• Swaziland and Botswana export significantly more than o<strong>the</strong>r regional <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong>: Botswana benefits enormously from its diamond trade which utilizes air<br />
transport. Swaziland is a very small country, surrounded by South Africa, with an<br />
extremely open trade regime. As outlined in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> <strong>study</strong>, this is because it trades<br />
largely with its neighbor, South Africa, benefits from its close location to ports in<br />
both Mozambique and South Africa, and gained from <strong>the</strong> relocation of several South<br />
African firms during <strong>the</strong> period of economic sanctions on South Africa.<br />
- 16 -
1.3.3. MEASURES OF RELATIVE LANDLOCKEDNESS<br />
Table 5 presents some summary measures of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness. With <strong>the</strong> exception of distance<br />
to nearest port, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r variables have been normalized to a 0-1 scale to facilitate<br />
comparison across <strong>countries</strong>. As in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies, <strong>the</strong> information has been separated into<br />
four headings. The first three reflect direct transportation <strong>challenges</strong> to trade and <strong>the</strong> third<br />
reflects political <strong>challenges</strong>. The aforementioned administrative <strong>challenges</strong> are included in<br />
<strong>the</strong>se subheadings, where possible, but a systematic assessment of <strong>the</strong>m is prevented by a<br />
lack of consistent information.<br />
As <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies make evident, attempts to quantify levels of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness are largely<br />
imperfect given <strong>the</strong> varying nature of <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> each country faces and <strong>the</strong> limited<br />
availability of data. Highlighting <strong>the</strong> difficulty inherent in measuring <strong>landlocked</strong>ness, some<br />
different data sources sometimes provide very different information. Some of <strong>the</strong> most<br />
glaring discrepancies are between <strong>the</strong> quantified measures and <strong>the</strong> qualitative measures<br />
presented in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> studies. For example:<br />
• In <strong>the</strong> qualitative assessment Rwanda is noted for its relatively good internal road<br />
network, which not only provides adequate linkages to <strong>the</strong> main regional corridors<br />
but has an extensive system of secondary roads with <strong>the</strong> average distance from a<br />
household to a trunk road being only 4 km (a relatively low figure in Africa).<br />
However, according to <strong>the</strong> data presented in Table 5, Rwanda has one of <strong>the</strong> lowest<br />
proportions of paved roads amongst <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
• According to <strong>the</strong> quantitative data, Malawi appears to face negligible political<br />
<strong>challenges</strong>, having <strong>the</strong> lowest transit neighbor length and severity of civil conflict<br />
variable amongst all <strong>countries</strong>. Malawi, however, has been one of <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> to suffer most acutely from surrounding war: <strong>the</strong> Mozambican civil war<br />
forced Malawi to divert its freight previously shipped to <strong>the</strong> ports of Mozambique<br />
(95% of its total freight) via more expensive routes to <strong>the</strong> ports of South Africa and<br />
Tanzania.<br />
O<strong>the</strong>r interesting points emerge from <strong>the</strong> Table 5. For instance, Kazakhstan is <strong>the</strong> most<br />
remote <strong>landlocked</strong> country, being fur<strong>the</strong>st to port, but has <strong>the</strong> second lowest reported freight<br />
cost of all <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. It is not clear why this is <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong>. Compare this with<br />
Malawi, which has <strong>the</strong> highest freight cost but is only 803 km from port. As discussed in <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>case</strong> <strong>study</strong>, much of this is due to <strong>the</strong> infrastructural damage caused by Mozambique’s civil<br />
was and Malawi’s need to take more costly alternate routes to markets.<br />
- 17 -
PART 2: COUNTRY CASE STUDIES<br />
- 18 -
AFRICA - SOUTHERN<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF SOUTHERN AFRICA<br />
On average, <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn African <strong>countries</strong> of Botswana, Lesotho, Malawi,<br />
Swaziland, Zambia, and Zimbabwe have a higher level of human development than <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
maritime neighbors. This is unique among our sample of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>developing</strong> <strong>countries</strong><br />
and has been largely driven by <strong>the</strong> persistent civil conflict in Angola and Mozambique. It<br />
also reflects <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’ relatively high degree of regional transit integration,<br />
strong domestic infrastructure, relative domestic stability (with clear exceptions, for instance<br />
in Zimbabwe) and large quantity of mineral resources.<br />
- 19 -
Internal transport networks in <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> generally surpass<br />
those of <strong>the</strong>ir war-torn neighbors Angola and Mozambique. Unlike <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong><br />
of eastern Africa, <strong>the</strong>se sou<strong>the</strong>rn African <strong>countries</strong> have several routing options available to<br />
<strong>the</strong>m, including <strong>the</strong> well-developed South African corridors. Yet, despite <strong>the</strong>se relatively<br />
high domestic infrastructure levels, significant regional transport <strong>challenges</strong> remain. The<br />
Interconnected Regional Rail Network (IRRN) of <strong>the</strong> region, for example, does not reach <strong>the</strong><br />
Mozambique port of Nacala or any of <strong>the</strong> Angolan ports. Border delays also continue to be a<br />
significant problem. It is estimated that delays at <strong>the</strong> major border posts in <strong>the</strong> SADC region<br />
have cost US$48 million annually and often exceed 24 hours (InfraAfrica 2001). Reflecting<br />
<strong>the</strong>se <strong>challenges</strong>, <strong>the</strong> overall cost of freight and insurance for <strong>the</strong> SADC <strong>landlocked</strong> counties<br />
(14.8% of export values) is still higher than that for Angola and Mozambique (8.9% of<br />
exports) (IMF BOPS 2001).<br />
While most of sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa’s exports are to <strong>the</strong> EU, serious efforts are underway to<br />
promote intra-regional trade through SADC, SACU and COMESA. Through <strong>the</strong>se<br />
organizations, <strong>countries</strong> are working to upgrade physical integration and regional<br />
transportation. For example, <strong>the</strong> SADC has instituted <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn African Transport and<br />
Communications Commission to integrate transport policy, freedom of transit, and regional<br />
infrastructure. COMESA has created <strong>the</strong> Yellow Card initiative, which guarantees third party<br />
insurance across signatory states, removing <strong>the</strong> need to acquire additional insurance coverage<br />
for each country. O<strong>the</strong>r important agreements include: (1) <strong>the</strong> legally binding SADC Protocol<br />
on Transport, Communications and Meteorology (PTCM) which incorporates <strong>the</strong> SADC<br />
Regional Trunk Route Network (RTRN); (2) <strong>the</strong> SADC Protocol on Trade; (3) bilateral<br />
agreements including Corridor Planning Committees; (4) <strong>the</strong> COMESA Carriers license; (5)<br />
<strong>the</strong> SADC driver’s license; and (6) <strong>the</strong> Spatial Development Initiatives (SDI).<br />
Amidst <strong>the</strong>se commitments to promoting integration and harmonization, problems of<br />
implementation and issues of national sovereignty have hindered progress in some instances<br />
(UN 1999). For example, while Zambia and Zimbabwe both agreed to <strong>the</strong> COMESA freetrade<br />
zone, Zambia has banned on fourteen Zimbabwean products due to Zimbabwean<br />
currency devaluations.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r to <strong>the</strong> recent efforts at regional integration, <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Africa, with <strong>the</strong> exception of Zimbabwe, have benefited from relative domestic stability.<br />
Such internal stability has allowed <strong>the</strong> region to actively fur<strong>the</strong>r favorable regional relations.<br />
Civil conflicts in <strong>the</strong> maritime transit neighbors, Angola and Mozambique, however, have<br />
had led to a direct increase in trade costs and have limited potential transit options. During<br />
Mozambique’s civil war, for example, Malawi was forced to reroute its trade, which is<br />
estimated to have cost Malawi an additional US$50m-80m per year (approximately 4-6% of<br />
GDP) (World Bank 1995). While this vital corridor has been reopened, infrastructural<br />
damage has thus far limited its use.<br />
- 20 -
BOTSWANA<br />
Botswana’s economic dependence on diamond exports (84%<br />
of total exports), whose high value-to-volume ratio allow <strong>the</strong>m<br />
to be transported by air, strong domestic infrastructure and <strong>the</strong><br />
well-developed transport corridors of its primary transit<br />
country, South Africa, have limited Botswana’s costs of being<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong>. Botswana has also benefited from very strong<br />
relations with South Africa. The two <strong>countries</strong> regularly<br />
cooperate to foster regional security and democracy.<br />
Moreover, Botswana, itself, has been a model of domestic<br />
political stability. Reflecting such successes, Botswana boasts<br />
<strong>the</strong> highest GDP per capita of <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn African <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> and has been one of <strong>the</strong> world’s fastest growing<br />
economies over <strong>the</strong> past thirty years.<br />
Although Botswana’s geographical position allows it access to<br />
several regional corridors, including those of Namibia and<br />
Mozambique, <strong>the</strong> great majority of its non-diamond trade<br />
passes through <strong>the</strong> well-developed South African corridors.<br />
The Namibian and Mozambican corridors have suffered<br />
greatly from <strong>the</strong> civil wars, and are thus rarely used.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
The South African road network that Botswana depends on for<br />
its international freight is considered to be <strong>the</strong> best on <strong>the</strong><br />
continent. Botswana’s internal road network is also good and<br />
adequate for its trade purposes. The completion of <strong>the</strong> trans-<br />
Kalahari in 1998 has fur<strong>the</strong>r improved access to <strong>the</strong> country’s<br />
remote western districts. In addition to maintaining <strong>the</strong><br />
physical infrastructure of its road network, Botswana has<br />
taken part in several bilateral road transit agreements with its<br />
neighbors.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 126<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $7,184<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): N/A<br />
Distance to port:<br />
905km<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
(1999) 0.16<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Namibia, South Africa, Zambia,<br />
Zimbabwe<br />
Primary transit neighbor:<br />
South Africa<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: SACU (77.6%)<br />
Exports: United Kingdom (86%)<br />
-EIU 2003<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Diamonds (84%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: good<br />
Domestic Rails: good<br />
Transit Country Rails: good<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict :<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors:<br />
good<br />
Rail<br />
Botswana’s main railway runs from Gaborone on <strong>the</strong> South Africa border to Plumtree on <strong>the</strong><br />
Zimbabwe border. The infrastructure is in excellent condition and provides an important link<br />
for several mining towns to <strong>the</strong> South African corridors. Transport along this corridor is<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r facilitated by <strong>the</strong> bilateral working agreement between Botswana and Spoornet, South<br />
Africa’s rail service. Botswana has also recently undertaken a survey to assess <strong>the</strong> potential<br />
of a direct Botswana-Zambia connection.<br />
- 21 -
Ports<br />
Although Botswana’s geographic position allows it access to several regional ports, <strong>the</strong><br />
majority of its trade passes through <strong>the</strong> most efficient South African ones. The Mozambican<br />
and Namibian ports are of ancillary importance and have suffered from civil conflict. These<br />
ports, however, are still considered to be operating adequately.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Botswana’s relations with its most important regional trading partner, and transit country,<br />
South Africa, are particularly strong. Both <strong>countries</strong> are liberal democratic states and<br />
cooperate closely on many regional issues, including increased economic integration and<br />
conflict resolution. They have worked closely toge<strong>the</strong>r on <strong>the</strong> recent crises in <strong>the</strong> Democratic<br />
Republic of <strong>the</strong> Congo and Angola, as well as <strong>the</strong> instability in Mozambique, Swaziland and<br />
Zimbabwe. The two <strong>countries</strong> recently formed a joint commission on defense and security,<br />
which first met in November 2000.<br />
While Botswana’s relations with South Africa continue to streng<strong>the</strong>n, its relations with its<br />
western neighbor, Namibia, have recently been strained. A seven year border dispute over <strong>the</strong><br />
island of Kasikili; a dispute over water resource rights on <strong>the</strong> Okavango River; an influx of<br />
Namibian refugees to Botswana resulting from <strong>the</strong> uprising in <strong>the</strong> Caprivi Strip; and<br />
Botswana’s construction of a fence along <strong>the</strong> Namibian border have all contributed to <strong>the</strong><br />
rising tensions. Within <strong>the</strong> last year, however, both <strong>countries</strong> have made efforts to improve<br />
<strong>the</strong>ir relations and have launched several bilateral initiatives.<br />
Relations with Zimbabwe, which have traditionally been cool but proper, have recently<br />
suffered from that country’s continuing political instability. Botswana President Festus<br />
Mogae has publicly criticized Zimbabwe’s political and economic policies. The presence of<br />
Zimbabwean refugees in Botswana has also been noted as a contributor to deteriorating<br />
relations.<br />
- 22 -
LESOTHO<br />
Surrounded by South Africa, Lesotho is completely dependent<br />
on its only neighbor’s well-developed transport system for its<br />
external trade, which is primarily directed towards North<br />
America. Such unilateral dependence negates many of <strong>the</strong><br />
advantages associated with Lesotho’s proximity to <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Durban (575km) and <strong>the</strong> good condition of its surrounding<br />
infrastructure. Lesotho’s transport <strong>challenges</strong> are fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
complicated by <strong>the</strong> highly mountainous, rugged terrain of <strong>the</strong><br />
eastern highlands, which prevent <strong>the</strong> direct eastward transport<br />
of freight from <strong>the</strong> capital, Maseru, to <strong>the</strong> port of Durban.<br />
Reflecting <strong>the</strong> severe effects of Lesotho’s dependence and its<br />
geographical constraints, Limao and Venables (1999) reported<br />
that <strong>the</strong> cost of shipping a 40’ container from Baltimore<br />
(USA) via Durban to Maseru (Lesotho) is US$10,000,<br />
compared to only US$5,000 to Lusaka (Zambia) which is<br />
1,300km and several border crossings fur<strong>the</strong>r.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 132<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,031<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $126<br />
Distance to port:<br />
575km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.12<br />
Neighbors:<br />
South Africa<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
South Africa<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Lesotho’s main roads, many of which provide links to <strong>the</strong><br />
well-developed South African corridor roads, are generally<br />
good. A 1995 survey reported that 84% of Lesotho’s paved<br />
roads are in “good” condition, while only 5% are considered<br />
“poor.” Lesotho, however, continues to face <strong>the</strong> challenge of<br />
providing all-wea<strong>the</strong>r access to <strong>the</strong> highlands. To deal with<br />
this problem, <strong>the</strong> government initiated a US$40 million Road<br />
Rehabilitation and Maintenance Project in 1996. The<br />
construction of <strong>the</strong> Lesotho Highlands Water Development<br />
Project has led to <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r improvement of many such<br />
interior roads.<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: SACU (83%)<br />
Exports: North America (63%)<br />
-EIU<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Textiles, Footware<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: good<br />
Domestic Rails: n/a<br />
Transit Country Rails: good<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors:<br />
good<br />
Rail<br />
The only rail in Lesotho is a 2.6 km segment of <strong>the</strong> South African railway system that<br />
extends from <strong>the</strong> South African border to Maseru. The railway is both owned and operated<br />
by South Africa. The South African rail system to which Lesotho connects is of very good<br />
quality.<br />
Ports<br />
All of Lesotho’s import and export traffic is routed through South African ports, in particular<br />
Durban. These ports are considered to be <strong>the</strong> most efficient in <strong>the</strong> region.<br />
- 23 -
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Lesotho’s international affairs are strongly dominated by <strong>the</strong> bilateral relationship with its<br />
only neighbor and major trade partner, South Africa. From <strong>the</strong> time of independence (1966)<br />
until Lesotho’s military coup in 1986 <strong>the</strong>se relations remained largely strained. Since <strong>the</strong>n,<br />
however, relations have become increasingly close with diplomatic ties being established in<br />
1992. In fact, after a disputed election in 1998, South Africa intervened to protect <strong>the</strong><br />
precariously placed government and maintain stability. Following this intervention, <strong>the</strong> two<br />
<strong>countries</strong> agreed to a security pact that allows <strong>the</strong> government of Lesotho to invoke <strong>the</strong><br />
assistance of South Africa to maintain domestic stability. The two <strong>countries</strong> have also<br />
demonstrated close cooperation in <strong>the</strong> Lesotho Highlands Water Development Project, which<br />
promises to harness <strong>the</strong> water resources of Lesotho for <strong>the</strong> mutual benefit of both <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
As fur<strong>the</strong>r evidence of <strong>the</strong> improving relations, President Thabo Mbeki recently visited<br />
Lesotho and established a bilateral commission to support its economic development.<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong>se overall improving relations, some sources of tension remain between <strong>the</strong> two<br />
<strong>countries</strong>, including South Africa’s decision to offer permanent residence to qualifying<br />
Basotho migrant workers and <strong>the</strong> withdrawal of multiple-entry visas for Basotho traveling to<br />
and from South Africa. Cross-border raids also continue to be a problem but both<br />
governments have agreed to address <strong>the</strong> issue.<br />
- 24 -
MALAWI<br />
One of <strong>the</strong> world’s poorest <strong>countries</strong>, Malawi has suffered<br />
dramatically from being <strong>landlocked</strong>. For nearly two decades,<br />
its two cheapest and shortest corridors to <strong>the</strong> sea, through<br />
Mozambique to <strong>the</strong> ports of Beira and Nacala, remained<br />
closed due to Mozambique’s civil war (1975-1992). These<br />
routes had formerly accounted for approximately 95% of<br />
Malawi’s total freight. During <strong>the</strong> civil war, Malawi was<br />
required to reroute its transit freight via <strong>the</strong> significantly<br />
longer and costlier Durban and Dar es Salaam corridors. The<br />
average surface costs of <strong>the</strong>se corridors are more than double<br />
those through Mozambique. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> average transit<br />
times to Durban (7 days) and Dar es Salaam (6 days) are<br />
nearly double that to Nacala (4 days) and Beira (3 days). It is<br />
estimated that <strong>the</strong> rerouting cost Malawi an additional<br />
US$50m-80m per year (approximately 4-6% of GDP) (World<br />
Bank 1995), with insurance and freight costs doubling from<br />
20% of <strong>the</strong> import bill in <strong>the</strong> early 1980s to 40% by <strong>the</strong> latter<br />
half of <strong>the</strong> decade. While <strong>the</strong> corridors to Beira and Nacala<br />
have been recently reopened, infrastructure damage from <strong>the</strong><br />
war has thus far limited <strong>the</strong>ir use. It is hoped that as much as<br />
75% of Malawi’s trade will ultimately return to <strong>the</strong> Nacala<br />
corridor (EIU 2002).<br />
In addition to <strong>the</strong> profound external political <strong>challenges</strong> faced<br />
by Malawi, poor surrounding infrastructure has fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
exacerbated its <strong>landlocked</strong> position. Zambia, Tanzania, and<br />
Mozambique all have extremely poor infrastructure,<br />
considered to be worse than Malawi’s.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 163<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $615<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $43<br />
Distance to port:<br />
803km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1994): 0.55<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Mozambique, Tanzania,<br />
Zambia, Zimbabwe<br />
Primary transit neighbor:<br />
Mozambique<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: South Africa (48%),<br />
Zambia (14%)<br />
Exports: United States (18%),<br />
Germany (13%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Tobacco, tea and sugar (90%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
fair<br />
poor<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Malawi is surrounded by extremely poor transit road<br />
infrastructure. Zambia’s roads are noted for having more<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
craters than tarmac, while a truck driver reports that one of <strong>the</strong> main transit roads through<br />
Mozambique “was known as <strong>the</strong> Tete hell run - only <strong>the</strong> most mercenary of truck drivers<br />
dared to attempt <strong>the</strong> trip and many trucks were shot up” (TrekShare 2000).<br />
While Malawi’s domestic road system suffers from one of <strong>the</strong> highest accident rates in <strong>the</strong><br />
world 13 and poorly maintained rural feeder roads, it boasts an extensive highway system<br />
linking major towns and border crossings. These primary roads are considered to be of<br />
fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors:<br />
good<br />
13 The lack of road safety is estimated to cost <strong>the</strong> economy 2-3% of GDP (World Bank 1995).<br />
- 25 -
elatively better quality than most of Malawi’s neighbors’, with <strong>the</strong> exception of Zimbabwe.<br />
Malawi’s roads have recently suffered, however, from <strong>the</strong> increased stress placed on <strong>the</strong>m<br />
due to <strong>the</strong> increase in traffic associated with <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Mozambican railways.<br />
The Malawian government has made recent efforts to improve road safety and road<br />
maintenance including a World Bank funded US$30 million Road Maintenance and<br />
Rehabilitation Project in 1999. Malawi also has bilateral road transport agreements with<br />
Mozambique, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe which help facilitate international road<br />
traffic.<br />
Rail<br />
Prior to <strong>the</strong> war in Mozambique, Malawi depended heavily on <strong>the</strong> rail corridor to <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Nacala for its transit freight. The war, however, forced <strong>the</strong> closure of this corridor for nearly<br />
two decades and has left <strong>the</strong> railway in a state of disrepair. Recent projects have been<br />
undertaken by <strong>the</strong> World Food Programme and <strong>the</strong> Mozambican government to improve this<br />
vital corridor. 14 Moreover, <strong>the</strong> Central East African Railway Company (CEARC), which<br />
operates Malawi’s rail system, announced in 2000 an additional investment of US$26m over<br />
fifteen years. This will include a US$4.8m investment targeted at improving <strong>the</strong> company’s<br />
rolling stock. Improvements are already being seen, as <strong>the</strong> volume of external trade traffic<br />
increased by 63% over 2001. The Malawi government estimates that <strong>the</strong> refurbished rail<br />
corridor could save more than $700m a year in transport costs.<br />
Ports<br />
During Mozambique’s civil war, most of Malawi’s freight was redirected to <strong>the</strong> ports of<br />
South Africa and Tanzania, 15 with approximately 80% of Malawi’s total freight traffic<br />
passing through <strong>the</strong> South African ports. The recent reopening of <strong>the</strong> Mozambican corridors<br />
has reduced reliance on <strong>the</strong>se ports.<br />
Malawi has two domestic ports on Lake Malawi, at Chipoka and Chilumba (Simuyemba),<br />
which are used to transport goods north to <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian corridor and ultimately Dar es<br />
Salaam. The ports suffer from a lack of storage facilities, outdated infrastructure, and a lack<br />
of coordination with <strong>the</strong> road and rail systems. Given <strong>the</strong> diminishing importance of <strong>the</strong><br />
Nor<strong>the</strong>rn corridor, <strong>the</strong>se ports are not likely to play a major role in Malawi’s future freight<br />
transport.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Although Malawi boasts internal stability and strong relations with most of its neighbors and<br />
most important trading partner, South Africa, it has suffered extensively from <strong>the</strong><br />
Mozambican civil war. As mentioned, <strong>the</strong> war not only resulted in <strong>the</strong> closure of Malawi’s<br />
most important transit corridors for nearly two decades, but has also left its infrastructure in a<br />
state of disrepair. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> war strained bilateral relations between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>,<br />
as former Malawi President Dr. Hastings Kamuzu Banda was considered to have aided <strong>the</strong><br />
Mozambican rebels. Following his death in 1994, relations have shown considerable<br />
14 With a US$100 million loan from <strong>the</strong> World Bank<br />
15 The war in Mozambique led <strong>the</strong> SADC to develop <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn corridor route to <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es Salaam.<br />
The project costs US$863m and uses Malawi’s roads and lake transport to link to <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian rail system.<br />
- 26 -
improvement. This has been reflected by <strong>the</strong> recent cooperation to improve <strong>the</strong> Nacala<br />
corridor.<br />
Malawi’s cordial relations with its o<strong>the</strong>r neighbors have been fostered by its general policy of<br />
neutrality during regional conflicts. Malawi has also displayed a commitment to maintaining<br />
border security. After a conflict flared on <strong>the</strong> Malawi-Tanzania border in early 2001, for<br />
example, Malawi sent security personnel to meet with Tanzanian representatives and agreed<br />
to send more border patrols to prevent fur<strong>the</strong>r violence.<br />
While Malawi’s relations with its most important trading partner, South Africa, have also<br />
remained strong, bilateral tariffs between <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong> remain notably high. Malawi faces<br />
<strong>the</strong> highest average tariff rate (21%) amongst SADC <strong>countries</strong> from South Africa and<br />
imposes a higher average tariff against South African goods than any o<strong>the</strong>r sou<strong>the</strong>rn African<br />
country.<br />
- 27 -
SWAZILAND<br />
Despite being <strong>landlocked</strong>, Swaziland’s location allows it<br />
convenient and direct access to port. Unlike Lesotho,<br />
Swaziland is not completely dependent on South Africa for<br />
transit freight; it can ei<strong>the</strong>r use <strong>the</strong> Mozambican corridor to<br />
Maputo (224km) or South Africa’s corridors to Durban (562<br />
km) and Richards Bay (480 km). All of <strong>the</strong>se corridors<br />
require only one border crossing. Swaziland’s propitious<br />
location is complemented by its extensive, diverse and wellmaintained<br />
transport infrastructure. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> local<br />
focus of Swaziland’s trade, with 93% of total imports<br />
coming from South Africa, and 60% of total exports going<br />
to its neighbor, limit <strong>the</strong> effects of being <strong>landlocked</strong> on trade<br />
cost. Reflecting Swaziland’s marginal degree of<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong>ness, <strong>the</strong> country boasts <strong>the</strong> highest level of<br />
human development, most FDI received and lowest<br />
transport cost to export value ratio amongst <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Swaziland depends on <strong>the</strong> road corridors of both South<br />
Africa and Mozambique for its trade. While South Africa’s<br />
roads are of extremely good quality, Mozambique’s have<br />
suffered from its recent civil war. But unlike <strong>the</strong> problems<br />
faced by Malawian transit trade, <strong>the</strong> effects of<br />
Mozambique’s civil war on Swaziland’s trade have been<br />
limited due its close proximity to <strong>the</strong> port of Maputo.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 125<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $4,492<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $928<br />
Distance to port:<br />
193km<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
(2000) 0.02<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Mozambique, South Africa<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Mozambique, South Africa<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: South Africa (93%)<br />
Exports: South Africa (60%)<br />
-EIU 2002<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Miscellaneous Edibles (28%)<br />
Consumable Finished Goods (15%)<br />
Sugar (13%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: good<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
good<br />
good<br />
Swaziland’s domestic roads are in very good condition and<br />
are considered to be operating relatively efficiently. The<br />
main road from Mbabane to Manzini has recently been<br />
upgraded to a double carriage highway. Swaziland has also<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
successfully committed itself to providing transport links for rural communities to access <strong>the</strong><br />
main network.<br />
Rail<br />
Swaziland Railways (SR) is one of only a few profitable railways in Africa and is considered<br />
to run efficiently. With 300 km of internal rails, SR provides essential links to <strong>the</strong> rail<br />
systems of South Africa and Mozambique, which ultimately connect to <strong>the</strong> ports of Durban,<br />
Richards Bay and Maputo. The rail system has benefited from <strong>the</strong> recent US$67 million<br />
rehabilitation and expansion of <strong>the</strong> line to Mozambique. In 1995, Swaziland Railways<br />
signed an agreement with <strong>the</strong> Mozambican Railway Authorities that provides for <strong>the</strong><br />
good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
- 28 -
cooperation of <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>’ rail systems. The agreement promises to reduce railroad<br />
transit costs.<br />
Port<br />
Swaziland has traditionally been dependent primarily on <strong>the</strong> port of Maputo in Mozambique.<br />
During Mozambique’s civil war, much of this trade was diverted to <strong>the</strong> port of Durban in<br />
South Africa. Both of <strong>the</strong>se ports are among <strong>the</strong> largest and most efficient ports in <strong>the</strong> region.<br />
Swaziland’s transport system is fur<strong>the</strong>r aided by its dry port at Matsapha, which saves both<br />
time and money for importers and exporters. The port is in <strong>the</strong> process of being upgraded<br />
with a grant from <strong>the</strong> Taiwanese government.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Under its Tikundla system of dual monarchy, Swaziland has maintained an atmosphere of<br />
relative domestic stability. Its highly homogenous ethnic composition has helped maintain<br />
such stability and has precluded ethnic conflicts. The country’s monarchy, however, has<br />
recently come under increasing criticism, both domestic and international, and is being<br />
increasingly pressured to democratize.<br />
Relations with its most important trading partner, South Africa, are subject to some strains.<br />
While <strong>the</strong> governing African National Congress in South Africa has refused to openly assist<br />
progressive groups in Swaziland, it is said to maintain pressure in o<strong>the</strong>r ways. Moreover, <strong>the</strong><br />
South African Trade Unions and exiled Swazi pro-democracy supporters in South Africa<br />
continue to openly back progressive movements in Swaziland and have supported border<br />
blockades during national strikes. The SADC meanwhile declines to openly criticize<br />
Swaziland’s current regime.<br />
Relations between Swaziland and Mozambique are considered to be constructive, as reflected<br />
by <strong>the</strong> cooperation over new initiatives such as <strong>the</strong> trilateral Spatial Development Initiative.<br />
This initiative focuses on <strong>the</strong> joint development of regional transport infrastructure.<br />
- 29 -
ZAMBIA<br />
While Zambia shares its border with eight different <strong>countries</strong><br />
and could potentially have numerous outlets to <strong>the</strong> sea,<br />
surrounding conflicts (particularly those in <strong>the</strong> DRC and<br />
Angola) have limited <strong>the</strong> available options. Unable to<br />
transport westward through Angola because of <strong>the</strong> ongoing<br />
civil war, Zambia must rely primarily on <strong>the</strong> South African (to<br />
Durban), Tanzanian (to Dar es Salaam) and Mozambican (to<br />
Beira) corridors. Each of <strong>the</strong>se corridors presents significant<br />
transit difficulties: <strong>the</strong> Mozambican corridor was closed for<br />
most of <strong>the</strong> civil war and still suffers from severe<br />
infrastructure damage; <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian corridor has particularly<br />
poor infrastructure; and <strong>the</strong> South African corridor is by far<br />
<strong>the</strong> longest and requires several border crossings. Fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
exacerbating its transport difficulties, Zambia is noted for<br />
having some of <strong>the</strong> worst domestic transport infrastructure in<br />
<strong>the</strong> region. The product of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>challenges</strong> is Zambia’s high<br />
transport costs, which are estimated to account for 60-70% of<br />
<strong>the</strong> total cost of production for many goods (EIU 2002).<br />
Recognizing <strong>the</strong> seriousness of this issue, <strong>the</strong> Zambian<br />
government has recently demonstrated increased commitment<br />
to improving transport efficiency.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Zambia has become increasingly dependent on road corridors<br />
for its freight transport. The neighboring road corridors on<br />
which it depends vary greatly in quality: <strong>the</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>rn corridor<br />
to South Africa is of considerably better quality than <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
corridors through Mozambique and Tanzania.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 153<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $780<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $88<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,975km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1995): 0.17<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Angola, Botswana, Democratic<br />
Republic of Congo, Malawi,<br />
Mozambique, Namibia,<br />
Tanzania, Zimbabwe<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Mozambique, Tanzania,<br />
Zimbabwe, South Africa<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: South Africa (68%)<br />
China (4%)<br />
Exports: Malawi (10%)<br />
Thailand (9%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Metals (68%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails: poor<br />
Transit Country Rails: fair<br />
The <strong>challenges</strong> presented by <strong>the</strong>se international corridors are<br />
severely aggravated by Zambia’s extremely poor domestic<br />
roads – both trunk roads and <strong>the</strong> rural feeder network. In 1984,<br />
30% of Zambia’s paved roads were considered to be in poor<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
condition; by 1995 this proportion had risen to over 50%. The main roads are littered with<br />
craterous potholes often forcing vehicles to drive on <strong>the</strong> gravel shoulders for several hundred<br />
meters at a time. An estimated 90% of rural feeder roads were classified as poor according to<br />
a Zambian Roads Department <strong>study</strong>, fur<strong>the</strong>r complicating <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> faced by Zambia’s<br />
widely dispersed rural population. Zambia also has one of <strong>the</strong> highest road fatality rates<br />
amongst <strong>developing</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
- 30 -
To address <strong>the</strong>se problems <strong>the</strong> Zambian government has undertaken a US $70 million Road<br />
Sector Investment Project (1997-2007) with assistance from <strong>the</strong> World Bank, aimed at<br />
increasing <strong>the</strong> proportion of roads in “good condition” to at least 50%. The Project will also<br />
address <strong>the</strong> issue of road safety. In addition, <strong>the</strong> Zambian government has negotiated bilateral<br />
road transport agreements with Botswana, Zimbabwe, Malawi and Tanzania.<br />
Rail<br />
Zambia’s two railways TAZARA (jointly owned with Tanzania) and Zambia Railways are<br />
both operating at under half capacity and are plagued by old tracks, inadequate rolling stock,<br />
and poor maintenance. The Zambian government has recently undertaken a US$27 million<br />
Railways Restructuring Project “to enable Zambia Railways, through restructuring and<br />
privatization, to substantially increase its operating efficiency, reduce its cost of operations,<br />
and configure its freight services and tariffs to meet customers’ requirements and<br />
expectations, and consequently, to increase its share of <strong>the</strong> local, international, and transit<br />
freight traffic” (World Bank 1997). Zambia Railways has bilateral working agreements with<br />
<strong>the</strong> national railways of Zimbabwe, South Africa (Spoornet), and Tanzania.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Zambia’s primary transit ports are those of South Africa (mainly Durban), Mozambique<br />
(mainly Beira) and Tanzanian (Dar es Salaam). While Beira is closest, Durban is <strong>the</strong> best<br />
equipped and also directly accessible by rail. Both <strong>the</strong> ports of Beira and Durban have been<br />
expanding <strong>the</strong>ir market share in Zambia at <strong>the</strong> expense of <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es Salaam.<br />
Inland water transport holds potential for freight transport to DRC, Burundi and Tanzania via<br />
Lake Tanganyika but has been thus far underdeveloped and poorly maintained. The port of<br />
Mpulungu on <strong>the</strong> lake is considered to be in poor condition and is not linked with <strong>the</strong> railway<br />
network <strong>the</strong>reby limiting demand (World Bank 1997; EIU 2002).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Zambia is considered to be more politically stable than many of its neighbors. Despite such<br />
stability, Zambia has recently had to deal with conflicts in neighboring Angola and DRC, and<br />
rising tensions in Zimbabwe. The Angola conflict, which recently ended in April 2002, not<br />
only weakened <strong>the</strong> country’s infrastructure and rendered its corridors impassable, but also<br />
soured relations with Zambia. The Zambian government was accused of funding rebels and<br />
allowing Angolan rebel groups to take refuge on Zambian soil. Moreover, Zambia refused<br />
Angola <strong>the</strong> right to pursue <strong>the</strong> rebels on Zambian territory. The escalating tensions led to<br />
brief border skirmishes in 2000. Fur<strong>the</strong>r contributing to <strong>the</strong> escalating tensions, Angolan<br />
soldiers embarked on a series of cross-border raids in which <strong>the</strong>y plundered Zambian border<br />
villages in 2001. The end of <strong>the</strong> war and <strong>the</strong> establishment of a tripartite security mechanism<br />
with Namibia, however, promise to improve relations, although border regions still remain<br />
volatile.<br />
Zambia has also suffered from <strong>the</strong> civil war in <strong>the</strong> DRC: Congolese rebels have crossed into<br />
Western Zambia looting Zambian villages, and <strong>the</strong> influx of Congolese refugees is placing<br />
additional strain on an already weak Zambian economy. The Zambian government, however,<br />
has refused to become militarily involved in <strong>the</strong> crisis and remains neutral.<br />
- 31 -
Relations with South Africa have been strained over sour relations between <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’<br />
previous presidents, as well as <strong>the</strong> large trade imbalance- 68% of Zambia’s imports originate<br />
in South Africa. With <strong>the</strong> elections of President Patrick Levy Mwanawasa of Zambia and<br />
President Thabo Mbeki of South Africa, however, relations have been showing signs of<br />
improvement. The 2001 ratification of a trade protocol between SADC and SACU will also<br />
guarantee Zambian producers access to South African markets and should help fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
improve relations.<br />
- 32 -
ZIMBABWE<br />
For nearly fifty years, Zimbabwe’s trade and transit patterns<br />
have largely been a product of <strong>the</strong> local and surrounding<br />
political, ra<strong>the</strong>r than infrastructural, conditions. When<br />
Zimbabwe, <strong>the</strong>n known as Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Rhodesia, declared<br />
independence in 1965, <strong>the</strong> resultant international sanctions<br />
caused it to shift much of its trade towards South Africa.<br />
Around <strong>the</strong> same time it closed its border to Zambia. In<br />
1975, when Mozambique received independence, Zimbabwe<br />
lost access to <strong>the</strong> ports of Beira and Maputo (Mozambique)<br />
and was forced to divert most of its trade to <strong>the</strong> South African<br />
corridors. When <strong>the</strong> new government was installed in 1980,<br />
renaming Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Rhodesia as Zimbabwe, <strong>the</strong> Mozambican<br />
corridors were reopened but remained virtually impassable<br />
because of <strong>the</strong> ongoing Mozambican civil war. More recently<br />
during <strong>the</strong> apar<strong>the</strong>id era, <strong>the</strong> South African government<br />
regularly threatened to close its borders to Zimbabwe. Today,<br />
Zimbabwe faces increasing political and economic isolation<br />
resulting from <strong>the</strong> controversial rule of Rubert Mugabe.<br />
While Zimbabwe continues to face great political <strong>challenges</strong>,<br />
it boasts one of <strong>the</strong> best domestic transport systems in <strong>the</strong><br />
region. However, its most important corridor, to Beira, has<br />
suffered considerably from <strong>the</strong> recent Mozambican civil war.<br />
None<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> Mozambican ports remain of primary<br />
importance, having accounting for 82% of Zimbabwe’s total<br />
trade as of 1996. The South African ports of Durban, Port<br />
Elizabeth, and Capetown accounted for <strong>the</strong> remaining 18%<br />
(Pedersen 2002).<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 128<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,635<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $178<br />
Distance to port:<br />
464km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1994): 0.15<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Botswana, Mozambique, South<br />
Africa, Zambia<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Mozambique, South Africa<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: South Africa (46%)<br />
DRC (6%)<br />
Exports: United Kingdom (7%)<br />
Germany (7%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Tobacco (26%)<br />
Gold (13%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
good<br />
fair<br />
fair<br />
Road<br />
The primary road corridors that Zimbabwe depends on,<br />
through South Africa and Mozambique, have historically been<br />
of good quality, although <strong>the</strong> recent civil war in Mozambique<br />
caused significant destruction of <strong>the</strong> country’s main roads. Zimbabwe’s own domestic trunk<br />
road network is in good condition and provides adequate access to <strong>the</strong> region’s primary<br />
corridors. Most of <strong>the</strong>se main roads were inherited from Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Rhodesia’s government<br />
which actively promoted road development. The rural road network, however, was<br />
considerably less developed at <strong>the</strong> time of independence, but has benefited from significant<br />
improvements in <strong>the</strong> latter half of <strong>the</strong> 1990s.<br />
Rail<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors:<br />
fair<br />
- 33 -
Zimbabwe’s extensive rail network, which serves both domestic and international transport,<br />
has historically been considered one of <strong>the</strong> most efficient in Sub-Saharan Africa and has<br />
typically been <strong>the</strong> predominant mode of transit. The 1985 national transport <strong>study</strong> noted that<br />
“NRZ’s [National Railways of Zimbabwe] tracks are generally in excellent or good<br />
conditions.” (SWECO 1985). As late as 1990 <strong>the</strong> railways accounted for all of Zimbabwe’s<br />
trade through Mozambique, and 80% through <strong>the</strong> South African ports (Gleave 1992).<br />
Recently, however, <strong>the</strong> railways have lost a significant share of <strong>the</strong>ir transit traffic to <strong>the</strong><br />
roads systems, owing largely to a decrease in relative efficiency and increases in cost.<br />
Ports<br />
An increasing share of Zimbabwean trade is being shipped through <strong>the</strong> South African ports<br />
(most notably Durban) despite lower simple transport costs to <strong>the</strong> Mozambican ports of Beira<br />
and Maputo. The shift is largely seen as a product of <strong>the</strong> improved efficiency of <strong>the</strong> South<br />
African ports associated with economies of scale (i.e. container shipping). The South African<br />
corridors are also considered more reliable and provide more regular services than <strong>the</strong><br />
Mozambican corridors. Overall, <strong>the</strong> ports serving Zimbabwe are operating relatively<br />
efficiently.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
While Zimbabwe has not been subject to <strong>the</strong> violent border clashes common in western and<br />
eastern Africa, it has recently suffered from increased regional tensions and political isolation<br />
in <strong>the</strong> SADC. The deteriorating relations can be largely attributed to <strong>the</strong> regime of President<br />
Robert Mugabe, who has received international criticism not only from <strong>the</strong> SADC and <strong>the</strong><br />
Commonwealth but also from <strong>the</strong> EU and US governments. The Commonwealth has even<br />
suspended Zimbabwe. One of <strong>the</strong> primary sources of increased tension is Zimbabwe’s<br />
ongoing military involvement in <strong>the</strong> war in <strong>the</strong> DRC, despite pleas from its neighbors to<br />
withdraw. Moreover, personal disagreements between Mr. Mugabe and South African<br />
president Thabo Mbeki have weakened Zimbabwe’s relations with South Africa. These<br />
relations have been fur<strong>the</strong>r strained over several trade disputes. (EIU 2002).<br />
Zimbabwe’s relationship with Botswana has been strained over <strong>the</strong> recently constructed<br />
(1999) Bulawayo-Beitbridge railway link that allows Zimbabwe to transport freight more<br />
directly and efficiently to South African ports and bypass Botswana railways. In contrast,<br />
Botswanan freight destined for <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn tier of Sou<strong>the</strong>rn African <strong>countries</strong> still requires<br />
passage on Zimbabwean railways. Zimbabwe has fur<strong>the</strong>r aggravated <strong>the</strong> tension caused by<br />
this disparity by requiring that any freight passing through Zimbabwe from third <strong>countries</strong><br />
such as Zambia use this Bulawayo to Beitbridge route, <strong>the</strong>reby limiting transit freight on<br />
Botswanan rails.<br />
- 34 -
AFRICA – EASTERN<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF UGANDA, RWANDA AND BURUNDI<br />
- 35 -
TRANSIT ROUTES OF ETHIOPIA<br />
The <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of eastern Africa, Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi are intimately<br />
linked by <strong>the</strong> region’s “umbilical cord,” <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn transit corridor from Kenya through<br />
Uganda and Rwanda to Burundi that serves as a primary transit route for all three <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
The Central corridor to <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es Salaam provides an alternate route to <strong>the</strong> Indian<br />
Ocean. The exclusive dependence on <strong>the</strong>se corridors, and primarily <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn, by Uganda,<br />
Rwanda, and Burundi makes this region particularly interesting in <strong>the</strong> <strong>study</strong> of <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong>. Although a central message of this report is that distance to port is just one<br />
component of <strong>landlocked</strong>ness, in this region distance inland is a useful summary measure<br />
since infrastructural and political <strong>challenges</strong> faced en route are cumulative in that those faced<br />
by Uganda or Rwanda will most likely be faced by Burundi as well.<br />
The recent civil wars and regional tensions have highlighted <strong>the</strong> interconnectedness of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
<strong>countries</strong> and have severely weakened <strong>the</strong>ir transit systems. Rwanda’s recent brutal civil war,<br />
for example, rendered <strong>the</strong> country’s infrastructure virtually impassable not only for Rwandan<br />
- 36 -
transit, but Burundian transit as well. Tensions between Uganda and Rwanda over <strong>the</strong><br />
ongoing conflict in <strong>the</strong> Democratic Republic of <strong>the</strong> Congo, and <strong>the</strong> corresponding increased<br />
vulnerability of <strong>the</strong> border, have not only hindered Ugandan and Rwandan trade, but also<br />
Burundian trade.<br />
Yet, civil conflict and cross-border tensions are only a part of <strong>the</strong> problem. The east African<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> face <strong>the</strong> additional challenge of being surrounded by worse transport<br />
infrastructure than <strong>the</strong>ir domestic systems. Unlike o<strong>the</strong>r focus regions such as sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Africa, <strong>the</strong> east African maritime transit <strong>countries</strong> (Kenya and Tanzania) are plagued by poor<br />
transport infrastructure, not owing to war, but ra<strong>the</strong>r inadequate investment and neglect.<br />
Traversing such poor infrastructure is complicated by regional geographic conditions, which<br />
include a severe rainy season often responsible for flooding <strong>the</strong> main corridors.<br />
The absence of functioning rail corridors has also fur<strong>the</strong>r exacerbated <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> <strong>facing</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong>se <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. Burundi and Rwanda have no rail systems, and Uganda has let its<br />
railways fall into such a serious state of disrepair that an average trip from Kampala to<br />
Mombasa is now estimated to take 21 days. The absence of a reliable rail corridor not only<br />
limits <strong>the</strong> competition faced by road sector, but also places an increased burden on its<br />
physical structure and leads to quicker deterioration. A reliable rail corridor extending from<br />
Mombasa through Uganda and Rwanda to Burundi would significantly reduce <strong>the</strong> cost of<br />
trade for <strong>the</strong>se <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
In terms of regional market integration, despite recent efforts eastern Africa has thus far<br />
failed to make much progress. While COMESA and <strong>the</strong> East African Community (EAC)<br />
strive to facilitate intraregional commerce, progress has been slow in implementation. In fact,<br />
over <strong>the</strong> past thirty years <strong>the</strong> share of intraregional trade in total exports has fallen from 9%<br />
in 1970 to 7.7% is 1998 amongst COMESA <strong>countries</strong>. Burundi and Rwanda have not yet<br />
even been allowed to join <strong>the</strong> EAC, and despite Uganda’s national liberalization, it has<br />
chosen not to join <strong>the</strong> COMESA free-trade area due to concerns about <strong>the</strong> effects of a zero<br />
tariff on its manufacturing industries and government revenue. (EIU 2002)<br />
- 37 -
UGANDA<br />
Uganda’s location allows it two possible corridors to <strong>the</strong> sea:<br />
<strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor to <strong>the</strong> port of Mombasa, and <strong>the</strong> Central<br />
Corridor to Dar es Salaam. The Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor is in fair to<br />
poor condition due to lack of maintenance, while <strong>the</strong> Central<br />
Corridor is in poorer condition (InfraAfrica 2001).<br />
Since <strong>the</strong> early 19 th century, when <strong>the</strong> Kenya-Uganda railway<br />
was first constructed, <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor has played <strong>the</strong><br />
predominant role in Uganda’s trade flow. While it continues<br />
to do so, <strong>the</strong> rapid deterioration of <strong>the</strong> railroad after <strong>the</strong> East<br />
African Railway Corporation dissolved into three separate<br />
companies in 1977 has shifted <strong>the</strong> primary mode of transport<br />
from rail to road.<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> Central Corridor continues to be of ancillary<br />
importance due to particularly weak infrastructure – including<br />
a dilapidated rail system, poorly maintained road network, and<br />
relatively inefficient port system – recent improvements in<br />
Tanzania’s infrastructure have increased <strong>the</strong> corridor’s<br />
importance for Uganda. In addition to <strong>the</strong>ir direct benefits,<br />
such improvements have helped foster some competition<br />
between Kenya and Tanzania for <strong>the</strong> transit traffic of <strong>the</strong> east<br />
African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Accounting for over 90% of <strong>the</strong> country’s passenger and<br />
freight traffic, Uganda’s roads play a predominant role in its<br />
transport system; <strong>the</strong> primary transit route, <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Corridor, depends almost exclusively on <strong>the</strong> road from<br />
Kampala to Mombasa. The quality of this primary road<br />
corridor varies significantly by section, with Uganda’s portion<br />
in considerably better condition than Kenya’s. The Africa<br />
News Service writes that <strong>the</strong> “[Mombasa-Nairobi] road is a<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 150<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,208<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $28<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,187km<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
(1999) 0.35<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Democratic Republic of Congo,<br />
Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Kenya<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Kenya (44%),<br />
India (7%)<br />
Exports: Belgium (17%),<br />
Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (15%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Coffee (22%)<br />
Fish (17%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
perfect symbol of neglect. The current state of <strong>the</strong> road is appalling.” (Pod 1998)<br />
Globalsecurity.org agrees, highlighting <strong>the</strong> poor condition of <strong>the</strong> road and claiming that it<br />
takes twice as long to transport a container from Mombasa to Kampala than it does from<br />
London to Mombasa (Global Security 2002). The Ugandan section of <strong>the</strong> corridor, however,<br />
is reported to be in vastly improved condition, allowing for speeds of up to 120km/hr for<br />
passenger traffic.<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors:<br />
good<br />
- 38 -
Despite <strong>the</strong>se improvements, <strong>the</strong> road corridor continues to suffer from <strong>the</strong> volatile heavy<br />
rains of <strong>the</strong> region. The recent rains caused by El Niño, for example, destroyed several<br />
bridges on <strong>the</strong> Kampala-Mombasa route and precipitated landslides, resulting in <strong>the</strong> closure<br />
of “East Africa’s umbilical cord.” The failure of <strong>the</strong> railway to provide any significant<br />
competition has fur<strong>the</strong>r hindered <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> road corridor.<br />
In <strong>the</strong> late 1970s, Uganda’s notably good domestic road system (previously considered <strong>the</strong><br />
best in Eastern Africa) fell into a state of neglect and deterioration. It is estimated that <strong>the</strong>re<br />
was a 75% loss in road network investment due to deterioration during this period (World<br />
Bank 2001). Responding to <strong>the</strong> high transport costs and negative economic growth, <strong>the</strong><br />
Ugandan government committed itself to improving transport infrastructure. By 1995,<br />
approximately 70% of Uganda’s main roads were considered to be in good condition – a<br />
dramatic improvement from <strong>the</strong> 10% figure of 1986. Roads are generally considered to be<br />
better in <strong>the</strong> major centres of sou<strong>the</strong>rn Uganda and less well developed in <strong>the</strong> north.<br />
For details on <strong>the</strong> Central Corridor, see <strong>the</strong> section of this report on Burundi.<br />
Rail<br />
The Ugandan rail system has fallen victim to decades of poor maintenance, and now<br />
accounts for only 10% of total domestic freight and 30% of external trade freight. Only <strong>the</strong><br />
Kampala to Kenya line of <strong>the</strong> original colonial rail network remains operational, and only for<br />
freight (EIU 2002). While this line has <strong>the</strong> potential to reduce <strong>the</strong> burden of transit freight on<br />
<strong>the</strong> Kampala-Mombasa highway, its dilapidated condition and undependability prevent it<br />
from doing so in any significant quantity. It is estimated that an average freight trip from<br />
Kampala to Mombasa takes 21 days, with trips often taking as many as 60 days. The<br />
undependability of <strong>the</strong> rail arrivals often make it impossible to book ships ahead of time at<br />
<strong>the</strong> port of Mombasa, causing fur<strong>the</strong>r delays. To deal with <strong>the</strong>se shortcomings, East African<br />
<strong>countries</strong> are beginning to show increased cooperation. Tanzanian railways, for example, is<br />
now offering Ugandan businesses <strong>the</strong>ir own “dedicated wagons” which will help alleviate<br />
delays at ports. The possibility of creating a new rail network linking East, Central and<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa through Uganda and Zambia is also being discussed, with support from <strong>the</strong><br />
governments of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Zambia.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Uganda primarily uses <strong>the</strong> ports of Mombasa and Dar es Salaam, with Mombasa carrying <strong>the</strong><br />
bulk of Uganda’s freight. Efforts were recently made by Tanzania to improve <strong>the</strong> port of Dar<br />
es Salaam in order to attract trade from <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of <strong>the</strong> region. These have<br />
witnessed some success. Ugandan bound imports through <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es Salaam<br />
increased by 10,000 tons from January to October of 2000. The port of Mombasa has also<br />
witnessed recent improvements, most notably <strong>the</strong> US$65 million grain handling facility,<br />
which will help relieve general congestion and decrease ships’ turn-around times. Many of<br />
<strong>the</strong> recent improvements undertaken by <strong>the</strong>se ports can be seen as a product of <strong>the</strong> direct<br />
competition between Dar es Salaam and Mombasa for East Africa’s <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’<br />
trade.<br />
- 39 -
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
The formation of <strong>the</strong> East African Community in 2001 promises to improve <strong>the</strong> generally<br />
good diplomatic relations amongst Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda. Recent elections in Kenya<br />
should also fur<strong>the</strong>r improve Uganda’s relations with its eastern neighbor as Ugandan<br />
President Yoweri Museveni’s relationship with former Kenyan President Daniel Arap Moi<br />
had become somewhat strained.<br />
Uganda’s relationships with its o<strong>the</strong>r neighbors, however, are not nearly as strong and have<br />
typically been unstable. To <strong>the</strong> north, <strong>the</strong> civil war in Sudan frequently spills over into<br />
nor<strong>the</strong>rn Uganda making this border crossing nearly impossible. Sudan continues to support<br />
<strong>the</strong> Ugandan rebel group, <strong>the</strong> Lord’s Resistance Army, while Uganda supports <strong>the</strong> Sudanese<br />
People’s Liberation Army. Such alliances led to a diplomatic rift in 1995. While a peace<br />
agreement was signed in 1999, <strong>the</strong> treaty has never been implemented.<br />
To <strong>the</strong> south, relations with Rwanda continue to deteriorate as a result of conflicting agendas<br />
in <strong>the</strong> DRC civil war. Not only does each country support a different rebel faction, but <strong>the</strong>re<br />
also appear to be conflicts over resources found in eastern DRC. Such hostilities are said to<br />
have been aggravated by differences in opinion between Mr. Museveni and Rwanda’s<br />
President Paul Kagame. Escalating tensions brought <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> to <strong>the</strong> brink of war in<br />
2001, but mediation by <strong>the</strong> UK temporarily mollified both sides.<br />
- 40 -
RWANDA<br />
Despite having a relatively well-developed internal transport<br />
network, Rwanda faces extreme <strong>challenges</strong> as a <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
country. To reach global markets, its exports, mainly coffee<br />
and tea, must be shipped over 1500 km, and usually through<br />
two transit <strong>countries</strong>, to <strong>the</strong> nearest port. These <strong>challenges</strong> are<br />
in addition to <strong>the</strong> internal and surrounding conflict that has<br />
plagued Rwandan transport. The country has suffered twofold<br />
from <strong>the</strong> recent civil war. First, immediate damage was<br />
caused to existing infrastructure by <strong>the</strong> fighting; in particular,<br />
several key bridges were damaged rendering vital corridors<br />
impassable. Second, <strong>the</strong> Rwandan government was forced to<br />
focus its government policy on relief and humanitarian<br />
assistance ra<strong>the</strong>r than infrastructure maintenance. Since <strong>the</strong><br />
war, few government resources have been available for <strong>the</strong><br />
transport sector.<br />
As in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of Uganda, <strong>the</strong>re are two potential corridors by<br />
which Rwanda can access <strong>the</strong> high seas: <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor<br />
from Kigali through Uganda and Kenya to Mombasa, and <strong>the</strong><br />
Central Corridor from Kigali to Dar es Salaam (Tanzania).<br />
Like Uganda, Rwanda continues primarily to use <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Corridor, which accounts for more than 70% of imports and<br />
80% of exports. Yet Rwanda is even more dependent on<br />
coffee and tea exports than Uganda, and thus even more<br />
subject to <strong>the</strong> perils of high transport costs relative to <strong>the</strong><br />
prices of good shipped.<br />
The Nor<strong>the</strong>rn route is dominated by <strong>the</strong> road between<br />
Mombasa and Kigali, but also uses <strong>the</strong> rail from Kampala to<br />
Mombasa. The Central Corridor also has an all road route, and<br />
a recently developed road/rail route via Isaka (Tanzania),<br />
where a dry-dock was completed in 1999 to allow goods to be<br />
pre-cleared through customs at Isaka ra<strong>the</strong>r than in Dar es<br />
Salaam (TRC 2002). Despite such improvements, both <strong>the</strong><br />
Tanzanian and Ugandan railways play a minimal role in<br />
Rwanda’s flow of goods.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 162<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $943<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $18<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,867km<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
(2000) 0.51<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Burundi, Democratic Republic<br />
of Congo, Tanzania, Uganda<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Kenya, Uganda<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Kenya (22%),<br />
Belgium (8%)<br />
Exports: Germany (26%),<br />
Hong Kong (9%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Tea (37%)<br />
Coffee (34%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
none<br />
poor<br />
fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Rwanda’s transit trade is primarily dependent upon <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn and Central road corridors.<br />
The Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor to Mombasa is of reasonable quality and is discussed in detail in <strong>the</strong><br />
- 41 -
section on Uganda. The Central Corridor through Tanzania to Dar es Salaam is of poor<br />
quality and is discussed in detail in <strong>the</strong> Burundi section.<br />
Rwanda’s internal road network is in good condition and compares favorably with those of<br />
its neighbors. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> internal network has ra<strong>the</strong>r extensive coverage with an average<br />
distance from household to nearest trunk road of 4 km. The greatest problem <strong>facing</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
Rwandan road system is a general lack of funds – <strong>the</strong> Rwandan Road Fund has a budget of<br />
only US$4 million per annum, compared to US$10 million per annum before <strong>the</strong> civil war.<br />
Rail<br />
Rwanda has no railways. There are, however, plans to construct a rail line from Kigali to<br />
Isaka 16 (Tanzania) which would allow direct rail service from Kigali to <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es<br />
Salaam. Unfortunately, <strong>the</strong> government has not yet been able to secure funds for this<br />
proposal.<br />
The Tanzanian railway that Rwanda uses for some of its freight transport is considered to be<br />
unreliable and in poor condition (EIU 2002). Attempts to modernize are in progress ,<br />
including <strong>the</strong> construction of a dry dock at Isaka in 1999 which allows customs clearance at<br />
Isaka with no fur<strong>the</strong>r customs requirements at Dar es Salaam (TRC 2002).<br />
Ports<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es Salaam is consistently rated as <strong>the</strong> most efficient in East Africa,<br />
Rwanda continues to use <strong>the</strong> port of Mombasa for a majority of its international trade<br />
(College Publishers 2001). Both ports continue to improve <strong>the</strong>ir efficiency as a result of <strong>the</strong><br />
direct competition for <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’ trade.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Plagued by <strong>the</strong> remnants of a civil war and one of <strong>the</strong> worst genocides in modern history,<br />
Rwanda has only recently begun to establish a semblance of domestic stability. Regional<br />
conflicts and less-than-stable relations with neighboring <strong>countries</strong> have fur<strong>the</strong>r complicated<br />
<strong>the</strong> country’s prospects for development. The most significant of <strong>the</strong>se crises has been <strong>the</strong><br />
ongoing civil war in <strong>the</strong> DRC, in which Rwanda is directly involved. In 1999, Rwanda<br />
invaded DRC in an attempt to remove <strong>the</strong> current government of President Laurent Kabila<br />
and to protect its western border from Hutu rebel groups. Rwanda backs <strong>the</strong> Congolese Rally<br />
for Democracy - Goma (RCD-Goma). Some suggest that Rwanda’s continuing involvement<br />
is related to newly developed commercial and political interests in eastern parts of <strong>the</strong> DRC<br />
(Reuters 2002a). Earlier this year a tentative peace agreement was signed, providing for <strong>the</strong><br />
withdrawal of Rwandan troops (Reuters 2002b).<br />
The conflict in <strong>the</strong> DRC has also soured relations with Uganda. While Rwandan and<br />
Ugandan forces began <strong>the</strong> war fighting on <strong>the</strong> same side, a split in <strong>the</strong> Congolese rebel forces<br />
exposed <strong>the</strong> differing objectives of <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>. Such tensions have been fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
heightened by <strong>the</strong> personal tensions between President Museveni and President Kagame. In<br />
1999-2000, <strong>the</strong>re were several clashes between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> in <strong>the</strong> mineral-rich<br />
16 This is <strong>the</strong> location where goods traveling from Dar-es-Salaam on <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian railway are currently<br />
transferred to road.<br />
- 42 -
Congolese town of Kisangani. Both sides appeared close to war in 2001, but attempts at<br />
mediation by <strong>the</strong> UK calmed <strong>the</strong> situation. This tension between Rwanda and Uganda was<br />
not new – a 1990 dispute led to <strong>the</strong> temporary closing of <strong>the</strong> border between <strong>the</strong> two<br />
<strong>countries</strong>.<br />
The final transit country on <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor, Kenya, partially severed diplomatic ties<br />
with Rwanda in 1996 when it ordered <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Rwandan embassy in Nairobi. This<br />
followed <strong>the</strong> arrest of a Rwandan official connected to <strong>the</strong> assassination of <strong>the</strong> Rwandan<br />
Interior Minister. More recently, Kenya was accused of harboring genocide suspects from <strong>the</strong><br />
1994 killings.<br />
Rwanda’s relations with <strong>the</strong> Central Corridor transit country, Tanzania, remain cordial but<br />
have been strained by <strong>the</strong> lingering Rwandan refugee population. Tanzania called for <strong>the</strong><br />
repatriation of all refugees by December 31, 2002, which was largely accomplished on time.<br />
The Rwandan government also harbours suspicions that <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian government supports<br />
Rwandan rebel groups, fur<strong>the</strong>r contributing to <strong>the</strong> tension. Tanzania denies such accusations.<br />
- 43 -
BURUNDI<br />
In addition to lying over 1,200km from <strong>the</strong> nearest port,<br />
Burundi is faced with <strong>the</strong> constant challenge of navigating its<br />
international freight through <strong>the</strong> surrounding, and internal<br />
ebullitions of ethnic tensions and civil war. Unable to trade to<br />
<strong>the</strong> West because of <strong>the</strong> violent civil war in <strong>the</strong> DRC and<br />
limited trade routes, Burundi must rely on <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Corridor (via Rwanda, Uganda and Kenya) to <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Mombasa (Kenya) and <strong>the</strong> Central Corridor to <strong>the</strong> port of Dar<br />
es Salaam (Tanzania). The Nor<strong>the</strong>rn corridor includes three<br />
border crossings for Burundi, all of which have been<br />
particularly vulnerable to regional instability. The Central<br />
Corridor, while only necessitating one border crossing<br />
(Burundi-Tanzania), is marred by relatively poor<br />
infrastructure, and fur<strong>the</strong>r threatened by increasing tensions<br />
between Tanzania and Burundi.<br />
In dire circumstances, as during <strong>the</strong> period of regional<br />
sanctions (1996-7), a third corridor from Bujumbura to South<br />
Africa via Mpulungu on Lake Tanganyika is an alternative<br />
route. At a total distance of nearly 4,500km, and including up<br />
to four border crossings and three modal changes (depending<br />
on routing), this corridor is normally a poor substitute for <strong>the</strong><br />
more direct links.<br />
The intense <strong>challenges</strong> to Burundi’s transit trade, coupled with<br />
its low levels of overall development and high degree of<br />
market dependence on <strong>the</strong> low value-to-volume products<br />
coffee and tea, have resulted in extremely low overall export<br />
levels. At only $9 per capita, Burundi exports approximately<br />
half <strong>the</strong> amount per person of Rwanda’s already extremely<br />
low $18 per capita.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 171<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $591<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $9<br />
Distance to port :<br />
1,254km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.31<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Democratic Republic of Congo,<br />
Rwanda, Tanzania<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Rwanda, Uganda, Kenya,<br />
Tanzania<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Belgium (16%)<br />
Saudi Arabia (11%)<br />
Exports: United Kingdom (28%)<br />
Switzerland (26%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Coffee (73%)<br />
Tea (26%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
none<br />
poor<br />
fair<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
Road<br />
Both of Burundi’s direct transit corridors are largely dominated by road transport. The road<br />
to Dar es Salaam, by which Burundi transports a majority of its freight, is marked by poor<br />
conditions, and is considered to be significantly worse than <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Corridor roads.<br />
Flooding associated with <strong>the</strong> wet season fur<strong>the</strong>r hampers transport on <strong>the</strong>se corridors.<br />
However, a new EU-supported project in Tanzania will upgrade several segments of <strong>the</strong><br />
Central Corridor. The project will also include <strong>the</strong> construction of a weighbridge to ensure its<br />
sustainability. For more discussion on <strong>the</strong>se corridors, please refer to <strong>the</strong> Rwanda and<br />
Uganda studies.<br />
- 44 -
Burundi’s internal road network is in good condition. The trunk roads to <strong>the</strong> Rwanda and<br />
Tanzania border have both recently undergone improvements, including <strong>the</strong> construction of a<br />
modern parking facility at <strong>the</strong> Kobero (Tanzania) crossing.<br />
Rail<br />
Burundi has no internal rail system but depends on <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian rail from Kigoma<br />
(Tanzania) on Lake Tanganyika to Dar es Salaam for much of its transport. The Tanzanian<br />
railway is considered to be unreliable and in poor condition. In June 2002, <strong>the</strong> Tanzania<br />
Railways Corporation suffered one of <strong>the</strong> deadliest train crashes in <strong>the</strong> continent’s history<br />
when one of its trains lost power and rolled backwards down a slope crashing into a freight<br />
train and reportedly killing over 200 people.<br />
Burundi also uses <strong>the</strong> Ugandan railway from Kampala to Mombasa, although this corridor is<br />
dominated by road transport. While this line has <strong>the</strong> potential to reduce <strong>the</strong> burden of transit<br />
freight on <strong>the</strong> Kampala-Mombasa highway, its dilapidated condition and undependability<br />
prevent it from doing so to any significant extent. As mentioned in <strong>the</strong> Uganda section of this<br />
report, it is estimated that an average trip from Kampala to Mombasa takes 21 days. The<br />
unreliability of <strong>the</strong> rail arrivals often make it impossible to book ships ahead of time at <strong>the</strong><br />
port of Mombasa, causing fur<strong>the</strong>r delays (EIU 2002).<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Most of Burundi’s goods eventually pass through <strong>the</strong> port at Dar es Salaam, while a smaller<br />
percent use <strong>the</strong> port at Mombasa. Handling charges at <strong>the</strong> port of Dar es Salaam are cheaper<br />
than those at Mombasa: charges for a 20ft container at Dar es Salaam are about $1,470,<br />
compared to $1,870 at Mombasa. Both ports have benefited from recent infrastructural<br />
improvements, including <strong>the</strong> construction of a grain handling facility at <strong>the</strong> port of Mombasa.<br />
Many of <strong>the</strong> recent improvements undertaken by <strong>the</strong>se ports can be seen as a product of <strong>the</strong><br />
direct competition of <strong>the</strong>se ports for East Africa’s <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’ trade.<br />
The inland port of Bujumbura on Lake Tanganyika plays a major role in Burundi’s<br />
international flow of goods. Approximately 80% of Burundi’s external trade passes through<br />
this port on its way to Kigoma and ultimately Dar es Salaam. The port is operating at undercapacity,<br />
and is not considered to require additional capacity in <strong>the</strong> near future (UNCTAD<br />
1999a).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
For <strong>the</strong> last decade and much of its history Burundi has been marked by violent civil wars<br />
and unstable relations with its neighbors. The 1993 assassination of its first democratically<br />
president, Melchior Ndadaye, sparked a bloody war that has continued for over a decade<br />
between <strong>the</strong> minority Tutsi-dominated army and ethnic Hutu rebels. Destruction of<br />
infrastructure, regional economic sanctions, and aggravated tensions with neighbors due to<br />
increasing spillovers of violence and refugee migrations have all compounded Burundi’s<br />
position as a <strong>landlocked</strong> country. While a tenuous and long-sought cease fire was signed in<br />
December 2002, both sides accused each o<strong>the</strong>r of breaking <strong>the</strong> agreement only days later.<br />
- 45 -
In 1996, after Major Pierre Buyoya seized power, Burundi’s neighboring <strong>countries</strong> imposed<br />
strict sanctions on <strong>the</strong> country, including <strong>the</strong> closure of all transportation links. It is estimated<br />
that <strong>the</strong>se sanctions led to a 50 per cent loss in Burundi's export earnings and a 25 per cent<br />
increase in import costs in 1996. In addition to <strong>the</strong> sanctions, an international aid freeze was<br />
inflicted on Burundi. The sanctions necessitated <strong>the</strong> diversion of much of Burundi’s external<br />
trade to <strong>the</strong> ancillary Zambian corridor, and forced much of <strong>the</strong> regional trade into <strong>the</strong><br />
informal sector. Such instability has restricted Burundi’s former role as a regional exporter<br />
and re-exporter of manufactured goods.<br />
Burundi’s relations with its most vital transit neighbor, Tanzania, have been particularly<br />
strained as a result of its own ongoing civil war. Tanzania continues to strongly oppose Tutsi<br />
military rule, and led <strong>the</strong> campaign for regional sanctions in 1996. The hundreds of thousands<br />
of Burundian refugees now living in Tanzania have fur<strong>the</strong>r weakened relations (CNN 2000).<br />
The refugees are not only a strain on <strong>the</strong> Tanzanian economy, but also often lead rebel<br />
attacks on Burundi, undermining border security. Burundi accuses Tanzania of aiding such<br />
anti-government rebels (BBC 2002).<br />
Burundi is also involved in <strong>the</strong> civil war to its west in <strong>the</strong> DRC. Hostilities between <strong>the</strong> two<br />
governments are largely a product of <strong>the</strong> Congolese government’s weapons support for one<br />
of <strong>the</strong> main Burundian rebel groups, <strong>the</strong> CNDD-FDD. Similarly, <strong>the</strong> Burundian government<br />
has good relations with Rassemblement congolais pour la démocratie (RCD), <strong>the</strong> main rebel<br />
group opposing <strong>the</strong> DRC government.<br />
Burundi has meanwhile suffered from increasing tensions with its nor<strong>the</strong>rn neighbor<br />
Rwanda. Despite <strong>facing</strong> similar internal ethnic tensions, <strong>the</strong> two governments are said to<br />
mistrust each o<strong>the</strong>r. Rwanda took part in <strong>the</strong> 1996-99 economic sanctions levied on Burundi.<br />
Burundi’s trade <strong>challenges</strong> have been exacerbated by conflicts independent of its own. All<br />
three border crossings along <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Transit Corridor have been subject to instability: in<br />
addition to <strong>the</strong> problems on <strong>the</strong> Burundi-Rwanda border, <strong>the</strong> Rwanda-Uganda border has<br />
witnessed increasing violence as a result of differing objectives in <strong>the</strong> DRC war and <strong>the</strong><br />
Uganda-Kenya border has also been subject to periodic tensions and closures.<br />
- 46 -
ETHIOPIA<br />
Once a maritime country, Ethiopia now faces a difficult<br />
political challenge in accessing <strong>the</strong> sea, having lost its<br />
coastline to Eritrea in 1991. Throughout much of <strong>the</strong> 1990s<br />
Ethiopia continued to depend on <strong>the</strong> Eritrean port of Assab,<br />
which carried over 75% of its international trade. The recent<br />
border conflict with Eritrea, which began in 1998 and led to<br />
border closures dramatically reduced <strong>the</strong> viability of this port.<br />
This has resulted in a major shift of trading routes used by<br />
Ethiopia from Assab to <strong>the</strong> port of Djibouti, which now<br />
handles <strong>the</strong> large majority of Ethiopian trade. The Djibouti<br />
corridor, however, is hampered by both an unreliable and<br />
poorly functioning railroad and limited port facilities.<br />
Ethiopia’s o<strong>the</strong>r potential transit corridor, through Somalia, is<br />
not used due to tense political relations, extremely poor<br />
infrastructure and <strong>the</strong> Somali civil war.<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
As in most African <strong>countries</strong>, roads play a dominant role in<br />
Ethiopia’s trade, carrying approximately 95% of <strong>the</strong> country’s<br />
passenger and freight traffic (World Bank 2000).<br />
While <strong>the</strong> primary road corridors from Addis Ababa to Assab<br />
and Djibouti are considered to be of international standards<br />
(Giorgis 1995), <strong>the</strong> recent closing of <strong>the</strong> Ethiopia-Eritrea<br />
border has unduly shifted much of Ethiopia’s freight burden<br />
onto <strong>the</strong> Djibouti corridor, leading to increased wear on <strong>the</strong><br />
road. The road now requires significant investment to sustain<br />
present volumes of trade (EIU 2002).<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 168<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $668<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $15<br />
Distance to port:<br />
781km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0..29<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia,<br />
Kenya, Somalia<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Djibouti<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Saudi Arabia (29%)<br />
Italy (7%)<br />
Exports: Djibouti (14%)<br />
Italy (10%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000/1):<br />
Coffee (40%)<br />
Lea<strong>the</strong>r (17%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
Despite its relatively adequate transit road corridors, Ethiopia<br />
suffers from an inadequate internal transportation network. It<br />
has one of <strong>the</strong> lowest road densities in <strong>the</strong> world, with only<br />
20% its land area being within 10km of an all-wea<strong>the</strong>r road<br />
and 70% of its farms being more than a half-day walk from an<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
all wea<strong>the</strong>r-road. The spoke-like nature of <strong>the</strong> road system, with Addis Ababa at <strong>the</strong> centre,<br />
contributes to this problem and hinders direct transport and trade between rural areas.<br />
Moreover, those roads that do exist are often of extremely poor quality. Such an inadequate<br />
internal transport system has been particularly devastating where struggles with chronic food<br />
shortages in certain areas are juxtaposed with surpluses in o<strong>the</strong>rs. The last two years, for<br />
example, witnessed a bumper harvest of maize in Ethiopia. Poor infrastructure and its<br />
associated costs, however, have hindered <strong>the</strong> flow of this surplus to <strong>the</strong> deficit areas and have<br />
left 11 million people at risk of starvation.<br />
fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
- 47 -
Recognizing <strong>the</strong> dramatic effects that <strong>the</strong> poor domestic infrastructure system has on <strong>the</strong><br />
economy, <strong>the</strong> Ethiopian government has recently exhibited significant political commitment<br />
to improving <strong>the</strong> domestic road system. Matching its professed commitment to improving<br />
road infrastructure, as emphasized in <strong>the</strong> Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper, <strong>the</strong> Ethiopian<br />
government now allocates over 20% of its capital budget to improvements in <strong>the</strong> road<br />
system. It has launched <strong>the</strong> second Road Sector Development Project (RSDPII 2002-2007)<br />
hoping to improve upon <strong>the</strong> moderate successes of RSDPI. While RSDPI did not achieve<br />
many of its targets, significant improvements were made: <strong>the</strong> percentage of federal roads in<br />
good condition improved from 14% to 30% (<strong>the</strong> target was 60%), <strong>the</strong> percentage of regional<br />
roads in fair condition improved from 15% to 30%, and <strong>the</strong> road system witnessed a 30%<br />
increase in total length. Underscoring <strong>the</strong> importance of reliable coastal access, Ethiopia has<br />
granted priority, under <strong>the</strong> RSDPs, to those roads that provide access to ports.<br />
Rail<br />
Ethiopia is connected by railway to <strong>the</strong> port of Djibouti. The poor performance of this<br />
railway is one of <strong>the</strong> primary factors limiting growth on this corridor. The railway is more<br />
than 100 years old, has limited capacity, and is subject to excessive delays and inefficiencies.<br />
Since <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Eritrean transit corridor, <strong>the</strong>se inefficiencies have had a more<br />
pronounced effect on Ethiopia’s trade costs. Ethiopia has recently announced plans to<br />
revitalize <strong>the</strong> railway and reduce <strong>the</strong> number of checkpoints along its route. The EU has<br />
provided funding for <strong>the</strong> design and documentation phase of upgrading <strong>the</strong> line. Ethiopia<br />
plans to complete <strong>the</strong> rehabilitation project by 2004 (Africon 2002).<br />
Ports<br />
Shortly after losing its coastline, Ethiopia signed a transit services agreement with Eritrea in<br />
1992 that provided for <strong>the</strong> expeditious movement of international freight between <strong>the</strong> two<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. This agreement and <strong>the</strong> cooperative spirit between Ethiopia and Eritrea helped<br />
maintain Assab as <strong>the</strong> primary port for Ethiopian trade, accounting for over 75% of<br />
Ethiopia’s international cargo flow. The start of <strong>the</strong> Ethiopia-Eritrea conflict in 1998,<br />
however, shifted <strong>the</strong> majority of Ethiopian trade toward <strong>the</strong> port of Djibouti.<br />
Today, approximately 98% of Ethiopia’s international trade passes through <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Djibouti, amounting to 70% of all traffic passing through <strong>the</strong> port (World Bank 2001;<br />
Africon 2002). This dominance has yielded significant bargaining leverage for Ethiopia.<br />
Ethiopia benefits from <strong>the</strong> 1993 Djibouti Port Utilization Agreement, passed well-before <strong>the</strong><br />
Ethiopia-Eritrea conflict began, which allows Ethiopia <strong>the</strong> permanent right to use <strong>the</strong> port.<br />
The agreement also ensures that any preferential tariffs on services offered by <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Djibouti are enjoyed by Ethiopia and that Ethiopia can obtain plots of land in <strong>the</strong> duty-free<br />
area (Giorgis 1995). Given <strong>the</strong> increased traffic though <strong>the</strong> port of Djibouti, port authorities<br />
have now formulated a $15 million expansion of <strong>the</strong> port's terminal, including $2 million to<br />
pay for <strong>the</strong> computerization of <strong>the</strong> port facilities.<br />
The only o<strong>the</strong>r proximate ports to Ethiopia are those in Somalia. These suffer from problems<br />
of domestic disorder and are not significantly used by Ethiopia.<br />
- 48 -
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Ethiopia’s access to <strong>the</strong> sea has been severely hindered by recent civil conflict and regional<br />
wars. The most recent of <strong>the</strong>se has been <strong>the</strong> devastating war with Eritrea, which was ignited<br />
over a border dispute in 1998. Eritrea was annexed by Ethiopia in 1962 <strong>the</strong>n regained<br />
independence in 1993 after <strong>the</strong> conclusion of a bloody civil war. Tensions between <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> were momentarily relaxed, when <strong>the</strong> post-war Ethiopian government allied itself<br />
with <strong>the</strong> new Eritrean state. In 1998, however, such rapprochement was lost as a<br />
disagreement over <strong>the</strong> location of <strong>the</strong> border and bilateral trade disputes led to an explosive<br />
civil war. The war has cost Ethiopia not only thousands of lives, but also <strong>the</strong> loss of an<br />
important regional trading partner and valuable access to <strong>the</strong> sea.<br />
Relations with Somalia are also strained, dating back to <strong>the</strong> 1970s when Somalia launched a<br />
war to capture <strong>the</strong> Ogaden region of south-eastern Ethiopia. Tensions remain high between<br />
<strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> with Ethiopian troops repeatedly entering Somalia in pursuit of groups hostile<br />
to <strong>the</strong> Ethiopian government. Conversely, <strong>the</strong> Somali government has recently accused<br />
Ethiopia of providing support to Somali rebel factions (BBC 2001).<br />
Previous tensions with Sudan have recently abated, with both <strong>countries</strong> viewing <strong>the</strong>mselves<br />
as victims of Eritrean aggression. The two <strong>countries</strong> have tenuously united in an attempt to<br />
isolate Eritrea.<br />
- 49 -
AFRICA - WESTERN<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF BURKINA FASO, MALI AND NIGER<br />
- 50 -
TRANSIT ROUTES OF CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC AND CHAD<br />
Amongst <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of <strong>the</strong> world, those of western Africa have <strong>the</strong> lowest<br />
levels of human development both on an absolute scale and in relation to <strong>the</strong>ir maritime<br />
neighbors. These <strong>countries</strong> have suffered both from widespread internal strife and<br />
surrounding civil wars which have rendered most transit corridors impassable at least once<br />
over <strong>the</strong> past decade. Of <strong>the</strong> eight transit <strong>countries</strong> in <strong>the</strong> region, six have been involved in at<br />
least one civil conflict severe enough to have blocked transit trade in <strong>the</strong> last ten years. 17<br />
These conflicts not only impose significant direct costs through <strong>the</strong> need to use alternative<br />
ports, but also limit long-term foreign investment delay because of <strong>the</strong> associated uncertainty<br />
17 The only two <strong>countries</strong> not to have been involved in a significant civil conflict are Cameroon and Benin.<br />
Cameroon is characterized by very poor levels of infrastructure – unpaved roads susceptible to flooding form<br />
much of <strong>the</strong> transit route from Chad & <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic through Cameroon. Benin’s port at<br />
Cotonou is considered to be one of <strong>the</strong> least well equipped in <strong>the</strong> region.<br />
- 51 -
of transit. In fact, <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of western Africa receive only 23% of <strong>the</strong> already<br />
low levels of FDI per capita of <strong>the</strong>ir regional neighbors.<br />
The political <strong>challenges</strong> of this region are exacerbated by <strong>the</strong> extremely poor transport<br />
infrastructure, both in <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> and <strong>the</strong>ir transit neighbors. Contributing to<br />
such poor infrastructure are <strong>the</strong> difficult geographic conditions of <strong>the</strong> region, in particular <strong>the</strong><br />
heavy rainy seasons. These rains can often leave <strong>the</strong> main roads flooded for months at a time<br />
and have devastating effects on <strong>the</strong> rural feeder roads. Prolonged dry seasons, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
hand, often render <strong>the</strong> region’s many rivers impassable. The effects are particularly acute for<br />
<strong>the</strong> large <strong>countries</strong> Niger, Mali and Chad, where significant areas of land are often cut off<br />
from <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong> country for much of <strong>the</strong> year.<br />
Attempts to ease such transit <strong>challenges</strong> through regional integration have thus far been<br />
unsuccessful, largely as a result of continuing political instability. Reflecting such instability,<br />
severe corruption and bureaucratic limitations persist.<br />
- 52 -
BURKINA FASO<br />
Burkina Faso’s transit trade suffers from <strong>the</strong> concurrent<br />
problems of high levels of civil conflict in its neighbors, poor<br />
domestic infrastructure levels and cumbersome border and<br />
administrative procedures. In addition, despite Burkina Faso’s<br />
numerous potential routes to <strong>the</strong> sea, Burkinabe trade passes<br />
almost solely through its Francophone neighbors Côte d’Ivoire<br />
(to <strong>the</strong> port of Abidjan) and Togo (to <strong>the</strong> port of Lomé).<br />
Shorter trade routes through Ghana are less frequently used 18<br />
due to language difficulties, currency problems, and bad road<br />
conditions (UNCTAD 1999).<br />
Due to its dependence on <strong>the</strong>se two routes, Burkina Faso is<br />
highly vulnerable to <strong>the</strong> civil conflicts in Côte d’Ivoire and<br />
Togo. Between 1990-93, as a result of <strong>the</strong> crisis in Togo, <strong>the</strong><br />
volume of Burkina Faso transit through <strong>the</strong> port of Lomé fell<br />
by 60% (UNCTAD 1999). Similarly, <strong>the</strong> crises in Côte<br />
d’Ivoire (previously <strong>the</strong> outlet for 80% of Burkinabe trade)<br />
have significantly restricted transit movement, causing<br />
Burkina Faso to attempt to open up a new route to <strong>the</strong> Gulf of<br />
Guinea in Ghana (OECD/AfDB 2002)<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
While <strong>the</strong> two main transit road corridors from Ouagadougou<br />
to Abidjan and Ouagadougou to Lomé are in fair condition,<br />
<strong>the</strong> poor condition of road vehicles significantly hinders<br />
efficient trade. Most Burkinabe road vehicles are over 10<br />
years old and cannot be fastened or securely sealed to carry<br />
international freight. In fact, it is estimated that transporting<br />
using Burkinabe trucks costs up to 37.5% more than <strong>the</strong> same<br />
shipment using Ghanian trucks (UNCTAD 99). Vehicle<br />
overloading has also been a problem and has led to <strong>the</strong><br />
increasing deterioration of roads.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 169<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $976<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $21<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,154km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1994): 0.27<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Benin, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana,<br />
Mali, Niger, Togo<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Côte d’Ivoire, Togo<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Côte d’Ivoire (25%)<br />
France (24%)<br />
Exports: Singapore (15%)<br />
Italy (14%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Cotton Seed (57%)<br />
Livestock products (19%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
Cumbersome administrative processes and border crossings present ano<strong>the</strong>r significant<br />
problem for <strong>the</strong>se routes. It is estimated that delays at border crossing for customs procedures<br />
can range anywhere from 24-48 hours. Trade routes are also littered with rigorous police<br />
checkpoints that cost not only time, but often also money in <strong>the</strong> form of bribes. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,<br />
customs escorts are required for transport but only depart three times a week resulting in<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r delays. Vehicles waiting for a convoy to form often sit on <strong>the</strong> side of <strong>the</strong> road not<br />
18 Less <strong>the</strong>n 5% of Burkinabe transit passes through Ghana.<br />
- 53 -
only hindering normal road traffic but also contributing to road damage. In fact, an ironic<br />
consequence of a special anti-competitive provision that reserves two thirds of freight for<br />
carriage by vehicles from <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> has resulted in significant additional delays:<br />
goods at maritime ports wait for <strong>the</strong> arrival of vehicles from <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, despite <strong>the</strong><br />
presence of vehicles from maritime <strong>countries</strong>. 19<br />
Although still largely inefficient, Burkina Faso’s domestic transport network has seen<br />
significant improvements in recent years, reflecting <strong>the</strong> government’s prioritization of this<br />
sector and donors’ support for <strong>the</strong> recent US$360m transport sector adjustment programme.<br />
This has resulted in an increase in <strong>the</strong> road network from a single main road to 15,000km of<br />
good roads (OECD/AfDB 2002).<br />
Rail<br />
The Abidjan – Ouagadougou rail corridor is <strong>the</strong> principal railway serving Burkina Faso. Like<br />
much of Africa’s rail infrastructure, it is in poor condition and lacks proper maintenance. The<br />
average age of <strong>the</strong> rolling stock exceeds 25 years. A 1995 UNCTAD <strong>study</strong> reports that <strong>the</strong><br />
2,308 km round-trip between Abidjan and Ouagadougou takes approximately 30 days. 20 The<br />
deterioration of <strong>the</strong> railway is also having adverse effects on <strong>the</strong> road system since more<br />
freight must now be shipped by road. Recent efforts to improve this railway, including a<br />
$31m dollar loan from <strong>the</strong> World Bank, have resulted in sharp increases in carried freight<br />
(EIU 2002).<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
The primary ports serving Burkina Faso, Abidjan and Lomé, are considered to be two of <strong>the</strong><br />
best ports in Western Africa. Both are well-equipped, competitive, and in good condition<br />
with sufficient storage for processing Burkinabe cargo. Burkina Faso, however, only uses a<br />
small fraction of its allotted storage space at <strong>the</strong>se ports. The one problem lobbied in<br />
negotiations regarding <strong>the</strong> port of Abidjan concerns <strong>the</strong> delays caused by cumbersome<br />
customs formalities, which can often take up to 10 days. None of <strong>the</strong> three rivers passing<br />
through Burkina Faso are navigable for commercial ships.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
While Burkina Faso has witnessed domestic civil unrest, violence, and political instability,<br />
such internal tension has not been as explosive as that of surrounding <strong>countries</strong>. Ra<strong>the</strong>r,<br />
Burkina Faso’s international trade has been primarily hampered by <strong>the</strong> surrounding turmoil<br />
that has plagued <strong>the</strong> region for much of <strong>the</strong> last two decades. Its most serious constraint has<br />
been <strong>the</strong> recent outbreak of civil war in Côte d’Ivoire. The conflict has not only taken <strong>the</strong><br />
lives of several thousand, but also virtually halted transport within <strong>the</strong> country. With <strong>the</strong><br />
north of <strong>the</strong> country being controlled by <strong>the</strong> rebels, <strong>the</strong> primary railroad corridor to <strong>the</strong> port<br />
of Abidjan has been closed. Since <strong>the</strong> overwhelming majority of Burkinabe trade has<br />
traditionally passed through this corridor, this crisis has severe effects on Burkina Faso’s<br />
economy.<br />
19 Hence, while assisting trucking companies from <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, it significantly delays <strong>the</strong> transit trade<br />
of <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
20 This is approximately <strong>the</strong> same distance as Paris - Berlin or Los Angeles - Salt Lake City, roundtrips that take<br />
about 30 hours.<br />
- 54 -
The effects of <strong>the</strong> surrounding instability are not always as direct. In <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of Togo, for<br />
example, <strong>the</strong> broadly questioned results of <strong>the</strong> 1998 election provoked <strong>the</strong> EU, World Bank,<br />
and IMF to suspend financial assistance <strong>the</strong>reby limiting investment in <strong>the</strong> transport sector.<br />
The consequent deterioration of infrastructure has hurt Burkina Faso.<br />
Burkina Faso’s position as a <strong>landlocked</strong> country is fur<strong>the</strong>r weakened by poor relations with<br />
its most important neighbor, Côte d’Ivoire. The Burkina Faso-Côte d’Ivoire relationship is<br />
considered to have recently “hit rock bottom” (Vanguard 2003). Such escalated tensions have<br />
largely been <strong>the</strong> result of Ivorian accusations that Burkina Faso instigated <strong>the</strong> recent rebel<br />
war. Burkina Faso has now accused Côte d’Ivoire of persecuting and murdering Burkinabe<br />
citizens living within its border.<br />
Burkina Faso’s relations with its o<strong>the</strong>r neighbors have been mixed. In <strong>the</strong> mid 1990s Burkina<br />
Faso supported Liberian President Charles Taylor and <strong>the</strong> rebels in Sierra Leone thus<br />
isolating itself from <strong>the</strong> policies of some neighbors. Burkina Faso also engaged in a brief war<br />
with Mali in 1985 over a disputed border. However, recent attempts have been made to better<br />
integrate <strong>the</strong> area and bring about peace. Most notably, Burkina Faso has cooperated closely<br />
with Ghana in making <strong>the</strong> Economic Community of Western African States functional. The<br />
two <strong>countries</strong> agreed on bilateral relations recognizing <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’<br />
economic integration (News in Ghana 2002).<br />
- 55 -
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC<br />
With only two transport corridors, from Bangui to Douala<br />
(Cameroon) and Point Noire (Congo), Central African<br />
Republic’s transport system is particularly vulnerable to <strong>the</strong><br />
harsh and unpredictable wea<strong>the</strong>r patterns and to <strong>the</strong><br />
surrounding political crises of <strong>the</strong> region. The Cameroonian<br />
corridor, which includes both rail and road modalities, is<br />
highly susceptible to heavy rains and can often be impassable<br />
during <strong>the</strong> wet season. The Congo corridor, which depends on<br />
river transport on <strong>the</strong> Oubangui River, is only passable during<br />
<strong>the</strong> wet season when water levels are high. The result is that<br />
Central African Republic (CAR) does not have a dependable<br />
all-wea<strong>the</strong>r transport corridor to <strong>the</strong> coast. Moreover, both of<br />
<strong>the</strong>se corridors have suffered from regional political crises.<br />
The border post on <strong>the</strong> Cameroonian corridor was closed in<br />
2001 due to a dispute with Cameroon, effectively cutting CAR<br />
trade from international markets. The Congo corridor has<br />
been recently closed to CAR traffic due to <strong>the</strong> ongoing war in<br />
<strong>the</strong> DRC.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r complicating <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> faced by CAR, two of its<br />
lmain exports, coffee and cotton, are only harvested in <strong>the</strong> dry<br />
season, when <strong>the</strong> Point Noire corridor is closed. The volatility<br />
of world prices for <strong>the</strong>se commodities makes <strong>the</strong>m particularly<br />
vulnerable to high transport prices.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
In addition to <strong>the</strong> poor state of <strong>the</strong> transit road through<br />
Cameroon and its susceptibility to heavy rains, <strong>the</strong> Douala –<br />
Bangui transit corridor is subject to rigorous customs<br />
procedures and seemingly arbitrary checkpoints by police and<br />
<strong>the</strong> army, leading to fur<strong>the</strong>r delays and higher transport costs.<br />
Customs procedures at <strong>the</strong> border can take as long as two<br />
weeks, with goods often waiting at <strong>the</strong> border for <strong>the</strong> requisite<br />
information to be sent from Bangui. The full Doala-Bangui<br />
trip generally takes three weeks to a month. The Central<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 165<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,172<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $34<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,518km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1994): 0.26<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Chad, Cameroon, Congo,<br />
Democratic Republic of <strong>the</strong><br />
Congo, Sudan<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Cameroon, Congo<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Germany (29%),<br />
Spain (7%),<br />
Pakistan (7%)<br />
Exports: Belgium (57%),<br />
Spain (9%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Timber (41%)<br />
Diamonds (41%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
African Customs and Economic Union (UDEAC) has been less successful at streamlining<br />
such processes and introducing regional standards than <strong>the</strong> Economic Community Of West<br />
African States (ECOWAS).<br />
Beyond <strong>the</strong> difficulties of transport to Bangui, <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic faces immense<br />
difficulties with its internal transport network. Without any rail system, <strong>the</strong> Central Africa<br />
none<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: poor<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
- 56 -
Republic depends almost exclusively on its road network for internal transport. This road<br />
system, however, with only 450 km of paved roads centered around Bangui (ITDN 2001) is<br />
wholly inadequate for reaching much of <strong>the</strong> country. In fact, <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn and eastern parts of<br />
<strong>the</strong> country remain largely inaccessible for several months each year during <strong>the</strong> wet season.<br />
Rail<br />
The Central African Republic has no rail system. It depends on <strong>the</strong> Cameroonian railway for<br />
much of its trade passing through Douala. This railway is considered to be in good condition<br />
and is operating below capacity. There are, however, delays associated with inadequate<br />
transshipment facilities.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
The Oubangui River, which has traditionally played a vital role in <strong>the</strong> CAR’s trade, was<br />
recently rendered impassable by <strong>the</strong> conflict in <strong>the</strong> Democratic Republic of Congo. River<br />
transport is also severely limited by <strong>the</strong> season, only being possible during <strong>the</strong> wettest<br />
months of <strong>the</strong> year. Even when <strong>the</strong> river is passable, river transit is extremely slow with <strong>the</strong><br />
journey from Point Noire to Bangui normally taking 2.5 months. With peace hopefully<br />
returning to <strong>the</strong> DRC, allowing passage on <strong>the</strong> Oubangui River, <strong>the</strong> Lake Chad Basin<br />
Commission has begun discussed damming <strong>the</strong> river in order to make it passable year round.<br />
River transport in <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic also suffers from poorly equipped river ports<br />
(i.e. Belabo and Bangui). Now that river transport has reopened, however, plans are<br />
underway to develop Bangui’s port.<br />
The Douala port has facilities for general cargo, container terminals, and specialized berths<br />
for minerals and fruit, but suffers from extensive delays and limitations on access to larger<br />
vessels in <strong>the</strong> access channel, which need to be loaded lightly in order to access <strong>the</strong> port. Port<br />
and customs clearance can take as many as 30 days.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
The Central African Republic, like many of its Western African neighbors, has suffered from<br />
a decade of political instability, border disputes, and neighboring crises. With only two<br />
corridors to <strong>the</strong> sea, Central African Republic’s trade and economy have been particularly<br />
vulnerable to such situations.<br />
The recent political crisis in <strong>the</strong> DRC has had a dramatic effect on Central African Republic<br />
trade as <strong>the</strong> DRC closed its border with <strong>the</strong> CAR in order to prevent <strong>the</strong> cross-border flow of<br />
arms and to hinder <strong>the</strong> CAR’s involvement in <strong>the</strong> war. Not only had <strong>the</strong> DRC provided one<br />
of <strong>the</strong> major transport corridors for Central African Republic, but it had also served as one of<br />
<strong>the</strong> CAR’s major export destinations in Africa (IMF DOTS 2002). The crisis in <strong>the</strong> DRC also<br />
resulted in a fuel shortage in 2000, fur<strong>the</strong>r hampering <strong>the</strong> CAR economy (ITDN 2001).<br />
Meanwhile, <strong>the</strong> CAR has witnessed increasing tensions with Chad over accusations in both<br />
directions of supporting rebel groups. The CAR government has also accused Chad of trying<br />
to annex <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn part of <strong>the</strong> CAR for its rich oil reserves (EIU 2002).<br />
- 57 -
Relations with <strong>the</strong> eastern neighbor, Sudan, were soured in 1989 when Sudan did not grant<br />
<strong>the</strong> CAR government airspace for a trip to Israel. Diplomatic relations were temporarily<br />
severed, but have since <strong>the</strong>n been restored (Atlapedia 2001).<br />
In terms of multilateral economic agreements, <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic is a member of<br />
<strong>the</strong> Communauté économique et monétaire de l’Afrique centrale (CEMAC), and <strong>the</strong> Franc<br />
Zone. While CEMAC’s stated objective is <strong>the</strong> regional integration of <strong>the</strong> Central Africa<br />
<strong>countries</strong>, 21 implementation has lagged behind its sister organization Union Économique et<br />
Monétaire Ouest Africaine (UEMOA) due to regional instability and resistance from Gabon<br />
and Equatorial Guinea. According to <strong>the</strong> World Bank, only 2.6% of exports from CEMAC<br />
<strong>countries</strong> were traded within <strong>the</strong> bloc, compared to 11.1% of exports of UEMOA <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
21 CEMAC <strong>countries</strong> include Chad, Congo, Cameroon, Gabon, <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic, and Equatorial<br />
Guinea<br />
- 58 -
CHAD<br />
Chad’s notably long distances of over 1500km to <strong>the</strong> nearest<br />
ports of Douala, Port Harcourt and Point Noire are<br />
compounded by one of <strong>the</strong> worst transport systems in western<br />
Africa. Its domestic density of paved roads is <strong>the</strong> lowest<br />
among all <strong>landlocked</strong> states; most of <strong>the</strong> transport tracks are<br />
unusable during <strong>the</strong> wet season; and <strong>the</strong>re is no rail system.<br />
Moreover, Chad has fallen victim to a vicious cycle where<br />
poor transport infrastructure has led to <strong>the</strong> development of<br />
numerous regional enclaves making <strong>the</strong> development of<br />
effective transport networks more difficult and more<br />
necessary. With over 90% of <strong>the</strong> population living in rural<br />
areas, <strong>the</strong> development of an adequate transport system will be<br />
essential to Chad’s overall development. It is estimated that<br />
transport charges can be as much as much as 80% of <strong>the</strong> gross<br />
margin of local cereal prices in N’Djamena (Herman et al<br />
1994). Recent efforts to improve this system, including <strong>the</strong><br />
Transport Sector Adjustment Project 1989-1993 and <strong>the</strong><br />
Second Transport Sector Project 1994-1999, have seen limited<br />
results and a lack of sustainability (World Bank 1997).<br />
The primary transit corridors to N’Djamena (Chad) are from:<br />
(1) Douala (Cameroon) by rail to Ngaondéré (Cameroon),<br />
<strong>the</strong>n to N’djamena by road: this is Chad’s principal trade<br />
route; (2) Douala (Cameroon) to N’Djamena by road; (3)<br />
Point Noire (Congo) to Brazzaville (Congo) by rail, <strong>the</strong>n by<br />
river Oubangui to Bangui (CAR), and <strong>the</strong>n by road to<br />
N’djamena (less frequently used than <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r corridors); and,<br />
(4) Point Harcourt (Nigeria) by road, which passes briefly<br />
through Cameroon. However, goods considered to be sensitive<br />
(i.e. wheat, rice, maize, wines, vegetables, oils, etc.) do not<br />
use this last route, as <strong>the</strong> Cameroon border crossing presents<br />
addition difficulties and time delays.<br />
Given that Chad is almost completely dependent on <strong>the</strong><br />
Douala – N’Djamena corridor, and that all but 17 km of this<br />
route fall in Cameroon territory, Chad’s trade is deeply<br />
impacted by Cameroon’s infrastructure and border facilities,<br />
both of which are inadequate.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 166<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $871<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $30<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,669km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1994): 0.51<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Central African Republic,<br />
Cameroon, Libya, Niger,<br />
Nigeria, Sudan<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Cameroon, Central African<br />
Republic, Nigeria<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: United States (40%),<br />
France (27%)<br />
Exports: Portugal (28%),<br />
Germany (15%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Livestock (40%)<br />
Cotton (37%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
none<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: poor<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
- 59 -
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
While <strong>the</strong> roads of Chad’s neighbors are in poor to fair condition, with extensive delays<br />
during <strong>the</strong> wet season, Chad’s internal road network, both primary and rural 22 , is even worse.<br />
In fact, much of Chad’s primary road network is not passable for several months of <strong>the</strong> year.<br />
The failure of <strong>the</strong> rural roads to reach <strong>the</strong> aforementioned agricultural enclaves has been a<br />
major detriment to poverty eradication. For example, <strong>the</strong> Salamat region in sou<strong>the</strong>ast Chad,<br />
considered to be <strong>the</strong> breadbasket of <strong>the</strong> country, is unreachable to larger vehicles for almost<br />
half <strong>the</strong> year.<br />
Rail<br />
Compounding <strong>the</strong> difficulties of its poor road system, Chad does not have a rail system. It<br />
does, however, depend heavily on <strong>the</strong> Cameroonian railway from Douala to Ngaoundere,<br />
which is considered to be relatively good and is currently operating at under-capacity.<br />
Improvements in <strong>the</strong> rail system are also planned with <strong>the</strong> construction of <strong>the</strong> new Chad-<br />
Cameroon pipeline (ExxonMobil 2002).<br />
Ports and Waterways<br />
While <strong>the</strong> port of Douala has facilities for general cargo, container terminals, and specialized<br />
berths for minerals and fruit, it suffers from extensive delays and limitations to larger vessels.<br />
Port and customs clearance can take as many as 30 days (Evlo 1995).<br />
River transport is also severely limited by <strong>the</strong> climatic variability. The Oubangui river, a<br />
central component of <strong>the</strong> Point Noire transport route, for example, is normally impassable<br />
between February and May.<br />
Pipelines<br />
A 1,500km pipeline is under construction to transport up to 250,000 barrels a day from Chad<br />
through Cameroon to an offshore marine terminal near Kribi (World Bank 2003).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Chad has not suffered to <strong>the</strong> same extent as its neighbors from <strong>the</strong> regional turmoil of<br />
western Africa. It continues to maintain strong relations with its neighbors, with <strong>the</strong> notable<br />
exceptions of Libya and Central African Republic. It has recently signed an agreement with<br />
Sudan that provides for cooperation on issues relating to regional security, borders, and<br />
cross-border trade (CountryWatch 2002).<br />
Relations with Libya remain bitter over a disputed piece of land between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong><br />
known as <strong>the</strong> Aouzou strip, which is speculated to contain significant mineral resources.<br />
22 The distinctions between primary and rural roads in Chad are quite different than those for most African<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. While primary roads normally have an average of 200-500 vehicles per day in Africa, Chad’s primary<br />
roads generally have a traffic volume of 50 vehicles a day. Similarly, while rural roads have an average of 50<br />
vehicles a day in most of Africa, Chad’s rural roads have an average of less than 5 vehicles per day (Evlo 1995).<br />
- 60 -
While <strong>the</strong> International Court of Justice ruled in 1994 that <strong>the</strong> territory belongs to Chad,<br />
tensions have remained high amidst accusations that Libya has been supporting rebel groups<br />
in <strong>the</strong> north of Chad.<br />
Chad’s relations with CAR have seen a rapid deterioration stemming from accusations by<br />
CAR officials that <strong>the</strong> Chadian government supported <strong>the</strong> 2002 attack against its capital,<br />
Bangui. The CAR government has also accused Chad of trying to annex <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn part of<br />
CAR because of its oil resource (EIU Country Report). The Chadian government,<br />
meanwhile, accuses <strong>the</strong> CAR of supporting Chadian rebel groups. Chad also involved itself<br />
in <strong>the</strong> recent conflict in <strong>the</strong> Democratic Republic of Congo by sending 1,000 troops to assist<br />
President Laurent Kabila’s forces.<br />
Chad is a member of <strong>the</strong> Communauté économique et monétaire de l’Afrique centrale<br />
(CEMAC), and <strong>the</strong> Franc Zone. While CEMAC’s stated objective is <strong>the</strong> regional integration<br />
of <strong>the</strong> central African <strong>countries</strong> 23 , implementation has lagged behind its sister organization<br />
UEMOA due to regional instability and resistance from Gabon and Equatorial Guinea.<br />
23 CEMAC <strong>countries</strong> include Chad, Congo, Cameroon, Gabon, <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic, and Equatorial<br />
Guinea<br />
- 61 -
MALI<br />
Upon declaring independence in 1960, and <strong>the</strong>reby ending <strong>the</strong><br />
Federation of Mali (which had included Senegal), Mali lost its<br />
coastline and direct access to <strong>the</strong> sea. Since <strong>the</strong>n, an unstable<br />
border and civil conflicts in neighboring <strong>countries</strong> have posed<br />
significant barriers to trade and caused considerable damage<br />
to <strong>the</strong> Malian economy. This damage has been particularly<br />
acute given <strong>the</strong> importance of transit trade for <strong>the</strong> Malian<br />
economy. Mali not only depends more heavily on export trade<br />
than any o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>landlocked</strong> country of West Africa, but also<br />
since it has no domestic manufacturing sector, it must import<br />
nearly all of its consumer products and energy supply (i.e. oil).<br />
While Mali has seven neighbors, only two of <strong>the</strong>m offer<br />
effective transit routes – Senegal and Côte d’Ivoire.<br />
Unfortunately even <strong>the</strong>se routes provide poor access to <strong>the</strong><br />
coast: The road network from Bamako to Abidjan (Côte<br />
d’Ivoire) has been hampered by civil unrest, and <strong>the</strong> rail<br />
system from Bamako to Dakar (Senegal), is marred by poor<br />
infrastructure. There is also a third possible route through<br />
Burkina Faso to Lomé (Togo), which plays a very minor role<br />
due to <strong>the</strong> difficulty of transit through Burkina Faso (Evlo<br />
1995). Trade through o<strong>the</strong>r neighbors is hindered by poor<br />
infrastructure levels (Guinea), <strong>the</strong> physical barrier of <strong>the</strong><br />
Sahara (Algeria, Mauritania), or fur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>landlocked</strong>ness<br />
(Burkina Faso, Niger). Coupled with this is <strong>the</strong> high<br />
concentration of civil war in its neighbors: each of Mali’s<br />
coastal neighbors has been involved in violent civil conflict in<br />
<strong>the</strong> last decade, often rendering transit routes impassable.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 164<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $797<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $53<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,225km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1997): 0.35<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Algeria, Burkina Faso, Côte<br />
d’Ivoire , Guinea, Mauritania,<br />
Niger, Senegal<br />
Primary transit neighbor(s):<br />
Côte d’Ivoire , Senegal<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Côte d’Ivoire (16%)<br />
France (14%)<br />
Exports: Thailand (20%)<br />
Italy (7%)<br />
Primary Exports (2000):<br />
Gold (51%)<br />
Cotton (28%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
Road<br />
The primary transit road corridor for Malian trade is from<br />
Bamako to Abidjan (Côte d’Ivoire). As discussed in <strong>the</strong><br />
Burkina Faso <strong>study</strong>, this road is in relatively good condition<br />
but suffers from cumbersome border processes and delays<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
resulting from obligatory customs escorts. In addition to this, Mali’s road transport efficiency<br />
has suffered from a unique excess of vehicles, an indirect consequence of <strong>the</strong> emergency<br />
food aid delivered during <strong>the</strong> drought in <strong>the</strong> early 1980s. The excess capacity places a<br />
downward pressure on transport prices, often making <strong>the</strong> sector unprofitable, and leads to<br />
frequent overloading. Low transport prices have also discouraged investment, resulting in an<br />
ageing stock where over 95% of trailers and tankers are more than 11 years old.<br />
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Mali’s domestic transport system, consisting largely of <strong>the</strong> road network, is considered to be<br />
relatively poor, even by <strong>the</strong> standards of <strong>the</strong> region, resulting in inflated transport costs. 24 Its<br />
road density of 0.01 km of road/km 2 remains one of <strong>the</strong> lowest in Western Africa and is <strong>the</strong><br />
lowest amongst all <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. Moreover, maintenance backlogs and insufficient<br />
resources continue to contribute to fur<strong>the</strong>r deterioration. Internal delays in transport are<br />
acutely felt in Mali as <strong>the</strong> economy is agriculturally based. Perishables such as mangoes,<br />
tomatoes, and oranges can often spoil as a result of excessive delays. A recent World Bank<br />
(2002) <strong>study</strong> estimates that US$7-8m is needed annually for road maintenance. This is<br />
approximately US$3m more than <strong>the</strong> current expenditure of US$4.6 million a year.<br />
Rail<br />
Mali’s most important rail corridor from Bamako to Dakar is in poor condition. As is<br />
common in <strong>the</strong> region, recent deteriorations in <strong>the</strong> rail system have shifted trade towards <strong>the</strong><br />
road network: from 1993-1999 <strong>the</strong> market share of <strong>the</strong> railway fell by nearly 50%. Both <strong>the</strong><br />
rails and <strong>the</strong> rolling stock are old, and maintenance is inadequate. (Evlo 1995). The<br />
governments of Mali and Senegal, however, have made recent attempts to improve <strong>the</strong><br />
efficiency and commercialize <strong>the</strong> rail system, including an agreement to transfer <strong>the</strong> rail<br />
services to a private operator.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Mali trades primarily through <strong>the</strong> ports of Dakar and Abidjan, which are both in good<br />
physical condition. As in <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of Burkina Faso, due to <strong>the</strong> low trade volume, Mali does<br />
not fully utilize its exclusive port facilities (both warehousing and o<strong>the</strong>r physical capabilities)<br />
at Dakar or Abidjan (Evlo 1995). However, for <strong>the</strong> small amount of trade that does use <strong>the</strong><br />
port, <strong>the</strong>re are some complaints about <strong>the</strong> cargo handling and stowage services at Dakar.<br />
Before <strong>the</strong> current crisis in Cote d’Ivoire, most of Burkina Faso’s exports left from <strong>the</strong> port<br />
of Abidjan, since it is geographically closer to <strong>the</strong> center of Mali’s cotton production, while<br />
most imports entered from Dakar which is considered to have less cumbersome import<br />
customs procedures.<br />
River transport in Mali is minimal since it is highly dependent on <strong>the</strong> level of rains and<br />
limited to only a few months of <strong>the</strong> year.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
The primary problems <strong>facing</strong> Malian transit trade are <strong>the</strong> ongoing political crises and civil<br />
wars of its neighbors. Each of Mali’s coastal neighbors has been engaged in some form of<br />
violent civil conflict in <strong>the</strong> last decade, often making transport routes unusable: Togo was<br />
devastated by violent political protests and deep internal conflict in <strong>the</strong> early 1990s; Algeria<br />
was involved in a macabre civil war for much of <strong>the</strong> decade; Ghana suffered from significant<br />
ethnic violence in 1993-1994; Sierra Leone’s ten year civil war has just recently come to a<br />
tenuous settlement; Guinea has been stricken by a series of coups and rebel wars; and Liberia<br />
has spent most of <strong>the</strong> last decade in violent civil wars which have threatened to spillover into<br />
neighboring <strong>countries</strong>, thus jeopardizing regional stability even fur<strong>the</strong>r.<br />
24 The World Bank (2002) estimates that transport costs account for 20-30% of <strong>the</strong> total cost for Mali’s most<br />
essential products.<br />
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Finally, and most importantly for Mali, Cote d’Ivoire, a regional paradigm of stability, has<br />
recently fallen into a devastating political crisis which continues to deepen and has rendered<br />
Mali’s most important corridor to <strong>the</strong> sea effectively impassable. Given that 80% of Malian<br />
imports pass through Cote d’Ivoire, an increase in <strong>the</strong> Malian price level is expected.<br />
Shortages of basic necessities and significant increases in <strong>the</strong> prices of consumer products are<br />
already being reported although no official data are available. The local press has estimated<br />
“that 8m tons of imports, mainly rice, sugar and construction materials, were blocked in <strong>the</strong><br />
port of Abidjan after <strong>the</strong> outbreak of civil unrest” (EIU 2002). In addition, Cote D’Ivoire has<br />
traditionally been <strong>the</strong> primary source of imports for Mali, making <strong>the</strong> effects of <strong>the</strong> current<br />
crisis on Mali even more severe.<br />
Relations with Mauritania are tense and have suffered from deep-seated resentment between<br />
black Malians, and Mauritanian Arabs and Tuareg. 25 Moreover, a border dispute with<br />
Burkina Faso in 1985 erupted into armed violence and has led to a legacy of strained<br />
relations between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Mali is a member of several regional trade agreements including <strong>the</strong> Economic Community<br />
of West African States (ECOWAS), Franc Zone, Union economique et monetaire oustafricaine<br />
(UEMOA), and <strong>the</strong> Comite inter-Etats de lutte contre la secheresse ay Sahel<br />
(CILSS). It is has a relatively open trade regime compared to its neighbors and has been in<br />
compliance with <strong>the</strong> tariff reductions adopted by <strong>the</strong> UEMOA. Moreover, Mali has not<br />
implemented any of <strong>the</strong> safeguard measures (i.e. antidumping tariffs, decreasing protection<br />
tax) used by several o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>countries</strong> of <strong>the</strong> UEMOA (IMF 2002). Mali is also a member of<br />
<strong>the</strong> WTO, and receives preferential access to developed markets under <strong>the</strong> Generalised<br />
System of Preferences.<br />
25 Mauritania does not have diplomatic relations with Senegal, an ally to Mali.<br />
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NIGER<br />
Niger exports largely to its most important neighbor, Nigeria,<br />
and to France. Trade has suffered significantly from <strong>the</strong> civil<br />
crises of its transit neighbors as well as internal political<br />
conflict. The crisis in Togo in <strong>the</strong> early 1990s, for example,<br />
had serious effects as much Nigerien transit trade had to be<br />
diverted through o<strong>the</strong>r, less convenient, ports. Similarly,<br />
recent crises in Nigeria led to <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Lagos port<br />
and subsequent price increases in Niger. Even <strong>the</strong> ongoing<br />
conflict in Côte d’Ivoire is expected to have effects on <strong>the</strong><br />
Nigerien economy, as transport bottlenecks are expected to<br />
reduce <strong>the</strong> supply of intermediate inputs (EIU 2002). In<br />
addition to <strong>the</strong>se regional crises, continuing domestic turmoil<br />
since independence has plagued Niger. The last decade has<br />
been no exception with <strong>the</strong> continuing violence by <strong>the</strong> Tuareg<br />
rebels, several attempted political coups (two in <strong>the</strong> last three<br />
years), and <strong>the</strong> assassination of President Maïnassara in 1999.<br />
Niger is fortunate to have several access corridors to <strong>the</strong> sea<br />
via Togo, Benin, Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria and Ghana. Only two<br />
of <strong>the</strong>se corridors (Nigeria and Benin) provide direct access to<br />
<strong>the</strong> sea, with <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs requiring passage through a third<br />
country. It is <strong>the</strong>se two direct corridors that serve as <strong>the</strong><br />
primary transit routes for Nigerien trade – <strong>the</strong> Benin corridor<br />
(to Cotonou) accounts for 65%, while <strong>the</strong> Nigerian route (to<br />
Lagos) accounts for an additional 16%.<br />
Efforts are also being made to liberalize <strong>the</strong> transport sector,<br />
whose monopolistic nature has been traditionally responsible<br />
for escalated costs, although implementation has thus far been<br />
26<br />
slow. Despite <strong>the</strong>se efforts, <strong>the</strong> road transport union<br />
(Synidcat des Transporteurs Routiers du Niger, STRN) has<br />
implemented a system to “allocate domestic passenger traffic<br />
and international freight from Benin and Togo” that<br />
establishes tariffs at a rate two-thirds above those set by<br />
Beninese truckers (Evlo 1995).<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 172<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $746<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $26<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,057km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1995): 0.28<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Algeria, Benin, Burkina Faso,<br />
Chad, Libya, Mali, Nigeria<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Benin, Nigeria<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: France (19%)<br />
Côte d’Ivoire (15%)<br />
Exports: Nigeria (37%)<br />
France (36%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Uranium (35%)<br />
Livestock (17%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
none<br />
poor<br />
Transit Country Ports: fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
26 The Organisation commune Benin-Niger (OCBN), a joint parastatal railway company, had a monopoly of<br />
transit from Cotonou to Parakou, and a monopoly to organize transshipment and onward transit to Niamey; and<br />
<strong>the</strong> national road transport company, Societe Nationale des Transports du Niger (SNTN) held a monopoly on<br />
mining freight.<br />
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TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Niger’s primary international road corridors and domestic road network are both in relatively<br />
good condition. The principal <strong>challenges</strong> <strong>facing</strong> <strong>the</strong> Nigerien road system are police<br />
harassment, cumbersome border delays, poorly maintained vehicles, frequent accidents, and<br />
a lack of competition amongst transport services. The national road transport company<br />
(SNTN), for example, did not purchase any new vehicles between 1983 and 1995. Such poor<br />
upkeep contributes to a large annual number of road accidents. Moreover, shortly after <strong>the</strong><br />
Cotonou (Benin) – Niamey (Niger) road was freshly paved and upgraded it remained<br />
virtually unused for transport as <strong>the</strong> governments of Benin and Niger, having a monopoly on<br />
<strong>the</strong> rail route from Cotonou (Benin) – Parakou (Benin), refused to authorize its use.<br />
Rail<br />
Although <strong>the</strong>re is currently no domestic rail system in Niger, <strong>the</strong> Beninese railway to<br />
Parakou plays a major role in Niger’s transit trade, accounting for approximately 65% of <strong>the</strong><br />
total (Evlo 1995). The railway suffers from similar problems to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r rail networks of <strong>the</strong><br />
region: old, poorly maintained rolling stock and infrastructure, and inadequate transshipment<br />
facilities. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> current stock is often insufficient to handle <strong>the</strong> high volume of<br />
trade during <strong>the</strong> peak cotton harvest season. The construction of a railway from Parakou<br />
(Benin) to Niamey (Niger), which would allow direct rail access to <strong>the</strong> sea, has also been<br />
proposed.<br />
Ports<br />
The Cotonou port, <strong>the</strong> most important one serving Niger, is considered to be less well<br />
equipped and less efficient than some of its Western African counterparts (i.e. Abidjan or<br />
Lomé). Niger also uses <strong>the</strong> port of Lagos, which has recently suffered from extreme<br />
congestion as a consequence of <strong>the</strong> implementation of 100% inspection of imported cargoes.<br />
The congestion is estimated to have led to a 35% increase in <strong>the</strong> prices of certain<br />
manufactured goods (OTAL 2002). The Lagos port is also subject to political risks, having<br />
been temporarily closed in 1999 due to surrounding violence.<br />
In contrast, <strong>the</strong> third major port for Nigerien transit trade, Lomé, is scheduled to become a<br />
hub for central and western Africa with <strong>the</strong> new construction of a US$100m container<br />
handling facility. The facility will provide loading and unloading for large container ships,<br />
reducing shipping times significantly (OTAL 2002).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Niger continues to maintain a good relations with its neighbors. Economic and trade relations<br />
remain particularly strong with Nigeria, Niger’s most important export market. Relations<br />
with Libya also remain strong, abetted by President Khadafi’s commitment of Libyan aid to<br />
several development projects in Niger (CountryWatch 2002). Niger also signed an agreement<br />
with Sudan in 1998 to increase cooperation and facilitate trade amongst <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Fortunately, <strong>the</strong> one source of ongoing confrontation, a border dispute with Benin over <strong>the</strong><br />
island of Lété, appears to be nearing its conclusion with both sides agreeing to hand it over to<br />
- 66 -
<strong>the</strong> International Court of Justice for arbitration, and to abide by <strong>the</strong> ruling. Relations have<br />
improved with Benin in o<strong>the</strong>r ways with several bilateral treaties including <strong>the</strong> “Accord surle<br />
transit et l’utilization du port de Cotonou” which provides Niger with a duty-free area at<br />
<strong>the</strong> port of Cotonou.<br />
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ASIA - CENTRAL<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF CENTRAL ASIA<br />
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TRANSIT ROUTES OF MOLDOVA<br />
- 69 -
TRANSIT ROUTES OF MONGOLIA<br />
As part of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union, <strong>the</strong> Central Asian republics were integrated into <strong>the</strong> centralized<br />
Soviet command economy. Their role in this system was primarily to provide natural<br />
resources (in particular petroleum and metals) and agricultural products (namely cotton and<br />
grain) to <strong>the</strong> processing industries and principal markets located in today's Russia and<br />
Ukraine. Accordingly, transport corridors developed during <strong>the</strong> Soviet era mainly connect <strong>the</strong><br />
individual republics with Russia and Ukraine, ra<strong>the</strong>r than with <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors. As a result of<br />
this, <strong>the</strong> Central Asian <strong>countries</strong> face three main transit problems in <strong>the</strong> aftermath of <strong>the</strong><br />
collapse of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union. First, such corridors were built well before today's international<br />
borders were drawn. Important domestic transport arteries now often pass through<br />
neighboring <strong>countries</strong>, which can result in long delays and additional costs. Some <strong>countries</strong><br />
are now building costly alternative routes to mitigate this problem. Second, connections<br />
through China, Iran, and Afghanistan are limited and poorly developed. The consequent<br />
dependence on Russian and Ukrainian transport links are used by Russia and Ukraine as a<br />
political bargaining tool, seriously constraining <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>' ability to increase <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
- 70 -
oil and gas exports. Third, <strong>the</strong> Soviet command economy’s allocation of specific economic<br />
roles to each region led to poor diversification of exports for a number of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Ongoing regional tensions fur<strong>the</strong>r hinder trade routes. Poorly defined borders which may not<br />
reflect ethnic or political differences can fuel domestic and regional crises. Such tensions<br />
have precluded any regional cooperation and have contributed to severe corruption. Problems<br />
of international cooperation have limited <strong>the</strong> potential of this region to serve as a regional<br />
crossroads.<br />
Although Moldova is geographically removed from <strong>the</strong> former Soviet economies described<br />
above, it faces similar issues. Situated between Romania and Ukraine, it is close to <strong>the</strong> Black<br />
Sea, with its capital Chisinau only 170km from Odesa. However, its infrastructure is still<br />
based on <strong>the</strong> former Soviet networks to Russia, to which it still exports a large portion of its<br />
goods, so little of its trade actually uses <strong>the</strong> Ukrainian port. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, Moldova has<br />
struggled with domestic and external tensions between ethnic Rumanians, Ukrainians and<br />
Russians, weakening relations with both Russia and Ukraine.<br />
Mongolia was also closely linked to <strong>the</strong> Soviet economy, and faces similar issues of<br />
remoteness to many <strong>countries</strong> of central Asia but less of <strong>the</strong> regional ethnic and cross-border<br />
tensions. The second-least densely populated country in our <strong>study</strong>, Mongolia has made great<br />
progress in political reforms over <strong>the</strong> past decade, but still grapples with <strong>the</strong> fact that its<br />
capital city, Ulaanbaatar, lies nearly 1700km from <strong>the</strong> nearest port. The country has only one<br />
main highway, and relies mainly on rail for shipping. Railway infrastructure is in fair<br />
condition but even problematic for trading with neighboring China, <strong>the</strong> world’s fastest<br />
growing economy, since <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> use different rail gauges and shipments needed to<br />
be unloaded and reloaded at Zamyn Uud.<br />
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AFGHANISTAN<br />
Two decades of war, harsh geographic conditions (including<br />
earthquakes, mountainous terrain, harsh winters, and<br />
vulnerability to drought) and very poor infrastructure have all<br />
exacerbated Afghanistan’s severe <strong>landlocked</strong>ness, being over<br />
1960km from <strong>the</strong> nearest port, Karachi. While <strong>the</strong> Taliban<br />
government has been removed, warlords continue to dominate<br />
many of <strong>the</strong> main trade routes limiting access to <strong>the</strong> country.<br />
Afghanistan’s three potential trade corridors are northward<br />
through Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Russia to <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Riga (Latvia), south to <strong>the</strong> port of Karachi (Pakistan), and<br />
west to <strong>the</strong> port of Bandar-e Abbas (Iran). 27 The third of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
routes was not a significant transit corridor until after <strong>the</strong> war<br />
in 2002, when it became important for aid cargo. The nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
corridor through <strong>the</strong> former Soviet Union takes about 3 weeks<br />
and has declined in importance since <strong>the</strong> withdrawal of Soviet<br />
troops from Afghanistan. The corridor through Karachi<br />
remains Afghanistan’s principal corridor, but it has recently<br />
suffered from stricter Pakistani transit controls (primarily on<br />
Afghani exports) in response to illegal trafficking.<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank:<br />
N/A<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): N/A<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): N/A<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1960km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1989): 0.35<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Iran, Pakistan, Tajikistan,<br />
Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan<br />
Primary transit neighbor:<br />
Pakistan<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Pakistan (26%),<br />
Korea (17%)<br />
Exports: Pakistan (30%),<br />
India (14%)<br />
Road<br />
Little has been done to maintain Afghanistan’s road<br />
infrastructure since <strong>the</strong> initial American and Soviet<br />
construction of <strong>the</strong> system in <strong>the</strong> 1960s and 1970s, that was<br />
intended to better connect each superpower to <strong>the</strong>ir regional<br />
sphere of influence. Two decades of war and neglect have all<br />
but destroyed Afghanistan’s internal road network, with<br />
nearly 50% of <strong>the</strong> primary network being in very poor<br />
condition (Tahir and Dachiku 2002). Even <strong>the</strong> most essential<br />
transport corridors have fallen into a state of complete<br />
disrepair. The Salang Tunnel, which provides a main link<br />
between <strong>the</strong> north and south of <strong>the</strong> country and transports<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Natural Gas<br />
Fruit, vegetables, nuts<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
more than 70% of Kabul’s fuel supplies has become not only a source of inordinate<br />
bottlenecks but also a major hazard.<br />
Moreover, <strong>the</strong> road system was initially designed by <strong>the</strong> US and USSR to connect <strong>the</strong> major<br />
urban centres of <strong>the</strong> country. The resulting ring-like structure of <strong>the</strong> network, with few<br />
linking roads, provides limited access to rural communities.<br />
none<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
27 Through Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Russia.<br />
- 72 -
Since <strong>the</strong> fall of <strong>the</strong> Taliban regime in 2001, <strong>the</strong> international community has shown an<br />
increased interest in revitalizing Afghanistan’s transport infrastructure. Emphasis has been<br />
placed on improving <strong>the</strong> ring network and international links. The Asian Development Bank<br />
(ADB) estimates that it will cost $650 million to repair <strong>the</strong>se trunk roads. The primary donors<br />
so far involved include <strong>the</strong> ADB, <strong>the</strong> World Bank, <strong>the</strong> United States, <strong>the</strong> EU and Saudi<br />
Arabia.<br />
Rail<br />
In <strong>the</strong> late 19 th century Abdur Rehman, fa<strong>the</strong>r of <strong>the</strong> modern Afghan state, proclaimed “as<br />
long as Afghanistan has not arms enough to fight against any great attacking power, it would<br />
be folly to allow railways to be laid throughout <strong>the</strong> country” (CNN 2002). He continued by<br />
barring trains from <strong>the</strong> Afghan state. Over a century later, Afghanistan remains without a rail<br />
system, despite several attempts. Neighboring <strong>countries</strong>’ rails, constructed during <strong>the</strong> “Great<br />
Game” when Russia and British were rushing to lay tracks through Central Asia, terminate at<br />
or near <strong>the</strong> Afghan border. In an attempt to take better advantage of <strong>the</strong>se surrounding rail<br />
links, <strong>the</strong> Afghan government has recently proposed a $120 million project to develop a<br />
functional rail system.<br />
Ports<br />
Afghanistan depends primarily on <strong>the</strong> ports of Karachi (Pakistan) and Bandar Abbas (Iran)<br />
for its overseas freight traffic. Bandar Abbas is primarily used for humanitarian aid imports.<br />
It offers modern facilities and is considered to be operating relatively efficiently. The port of<br />
Karachi is a major regional port, with 98% of Pakistan’s total foreign trade traveling. It is<br />
being modernized with US$91.4m of assistance from <strong>the</strong> World Bank. According to a 1965<br />
agreement, called <strong>the</strong> Afghan Trade Transit Agreement, all goods can pass through Pakistani<br />
ports to Afghanistan duty-free. After <strong>the</strong> war in 2002, however, stricter border controls were<br />
introduced and <strong>the</strong> agreement abandoned. It is estimated that billions of rupees worth of<br />
goods lay at Peshawar (on <strong>the</strong> Afghan-Pakistini border) and Karachi, awaiting export and<br />
costing Rs3000-5000 per day. Pakistan has recently begun allowing goods destined for<br />
Afghanistan to pass duty free again.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Marred by over two decades of internal war, Afghanistan is just beginning to emerge from<br />
<strong>the</strong> resulting political isolation. Since <strong>the</strong> collapse of <strong>the</strong> Taliban in 2001, all three of<br />
Afghanistan’s strategic neighbors – Iran, Pakistan and Russia – have made an effort to<br />
establish closer links and preserve Afghanistan’s internal stability, which is vital for <strong>the</strong><br />
overall stability of <strong>the</strong> region. The Russian government has promised assistance to<br />
Afghanistan in rebuilding its economy and supporting its military. Russian President<br />
Vladimir Putin recently commented that “Russia has no o<strong>the</strong>r goals in Afghanistan except<br />
one- to see an independent, prosperous, neutral, and friendly Afghanistan” (Russia Journal<br />
2002). The past year has also witnessed unprecedented levels of cooperation between<br />
Afghanistan and Pakistan. After <strong>the</strong> Afghan government demonstrated an increased<br />
willingness to curb <strong>the</strong> re-export trade, Pakistan responded by reinstituting <strong>the</strong> Afghan Trade<br />
Transit Agreement. Afghanistan’s relations with Iran have also shown dramatic signs of<br />
improvement, symbolized by Iranian President Mohammad Khatami’s August 2002 visit to<br />
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Afghanistan, <strong>the</strong> first by an Iranian President in 40 years. This is vast improvement since<br />
1998, when tensions between Iran and <strong>the</strong> Taliban regime escalated after 10 Iranian<br />
diplomats were killed.<br />
Afghanistan is not a member of any major regional trade organizations and has not gained<br />
admission to <strong>the</strong> WTO.<br />
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KAZAKHSTAN<br />
Kazakhstan relies on two main commodities for <strong>the</strong> bulk of its<br />
export revenue: oil (49.3%) and base metals (24.4%), which<br />
are destined for a highly diversified group of <strong>countries</strong> (EIU<br />
2002). While infrastructure does exist to transport <strong>the</strong>se goods<br />
to market, utilising <strong>the</strong>se infrastructure links is highly<br />
politically dependent on Kazakhstan’s neighbors. Most<br />
Kazakh oil and gas, for example, must be transported through<br />
pipelines in ei<strong>the</strong>r Russia or Iran, both of which compete<br />
directly with Kazakhstan on <strong>the</strong> energy market.<br />
A pipeline has been constructed (through Russia) to transport<br />
oil to <strong>the</strong> Black Sea. However, <strong>the</strong> use of this route is limited<br />
because oil tankers must pass through <strong>the</strong> narrow Bosporus,<br />
where Turkey placed restrictions on passage as of October<br />
2002 (DOE EIA 2002). The significance of this problem is<br />
that an alternative route is being preliminarily investigated to<br />
bypass <strong>the</strong> Bosporus by transporting oil through Bulgaria.<br />
Base metals and o<strong>the</strong>r exports are shipped largely using <strong>the</strong><br />
railway system through Russia, which is ageing and suffering<br />
from maintenance troubles. Rail transport through to China is<br />
also limited by a required change in rail gauges at <strong>the</strong> border.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
Although Kazakhstan’s road system is well linked with <strong>the</strong><br />
Russian road system, its roads are less important for transit<br />
trade than those of most <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, as <strong>the</strong> rail<br />
system is <strong>the</strong> primary mode of transit. Due to <strong>the</strong><br />
underinvestment in infrastructure in Russia and o<strong>the</strong>r former<br />
Soviet states, <strong>the</strong> condition of <strong>the</strong> transit roads is relatively<br />
poor. Some traditional services linkages with neighboring<br />
<strong>countries</strong> have been severed in <strong>the</strong> wake of independence. For<br />
example, as of 2000 only very few of <strong>the</strong> original bus<br />
connections between Central Asian republics remained<br />
(Mayhew 2002).<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 79<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $5,871<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $722<br />
Distance to port:<br />
3,750km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.04<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Azerbaijan, China, Kyrgyzstan,<br />
Russia, Turkmenistan,<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Primary transit neighbor:<br />
Russia<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Germany (7%),<br />
United States (5%)<br />
Exports: Italy (11%),<br />
China (8%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Oil (49.3%)<br />
Metals (24.4%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
fair<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
Exacerbating <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> of relatively poor surrounding transit roads, Kazakhstan’s<br />
domestic roads are in poor condition. In 1996 only 10% of Kazakhstan roads could<br />
accommodate trucks with an axle load of 10 tons or more (UNESCAP 2002). While this is<br />
partly due to underinvestment, <strong>the</strong> Kazakh government states that difficult natural and<br />
climatic conditions as well as a lack of suitable exits to China, India, Islamic Republic of<br />
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Iran, Pakistan and Turkey constrain <strong>the</strong> development of domestic automobile transport. Yet,<br />
<strong>the</strong> domestic road system is extremely important for internal transport as it accounts for 74%<br />
of all domestic freight transport (Kazakhstan Statistics 2001).<br />
Rail<br />
Kazakhstan’s international transit trade depends heavily on its ageing and badly maintained<br />
rail system. This includes 13,600km of rail lines of which 5,500km are double-track and<br />
some 4,000km are electrified. Rolling stock and spare parts need to be imported from Russia<br />
and Ukraine and are in short supply (EIU 2002).<br />
The country recognizes <strong>the</strong> importance of international rail connections and has been actively<br />
expanding its network. With <strong>the</strong> opening of <strong>the</strong> Druzhba-Alashankou and Tedjen-Serakhs-<br />
Meshed transit routes, Beijing is now connected via Almaty to Istanbul as well as Western<br />
Europe. This transport corridor could potentially rival <strong>the</strong> Trans-Siberian railway and<br />
maritime routes. Rail traffic to China, however, is complicated by a difference in track gauge<br />
standards. This requires border terminals for changing <strong>the</strong> wheels on carriages. To that end,<br />
<strong>the</strong> Kazakh government has opened a new terminal in Druzhba in 1998 to facilitate<br />
transshipments to China.<br />
Pipelines<br />
Kazakhstan still relies heavily on <strong>the</strong> pipeline system that was designed during <strong>the</strong> Soviet<br />
Union to ship Kazakh oil from <strong>the</strong> Western part of <strong>the</strong> country to Russia and to bring<br />
Russia’s Siberian oil to Kazakh refineries. Unfortunately, <strong>the</strong> design of this system now<br />
requires Kazakh oil and gas exports to traverse <strong>the</strong> territory of two of Kazakhstan’s<br />
competitors in <strong>the</strong> global energy markets, Russia and Iran.<br />
Several efforts are underway to reduce this reliance. The first is <strong>the</strong> new Caspian Pipeline<br />
Consortium pipeline built in 2001 to transport oil from <strong>the</strong> west of <strong>the</strong> country to <strong>the</strong> Black<br />
Sea. The pipeline is expected to initially carry 28 million tons per year with a potential for 67<br />
million (KIPC 2000). However, most Black Sea traffic needs to pass through <strong>the</strong> Bosporus.<br />
This narrow waterway may impose constraints on <strong>the</strong> overall amount of oil that can be<br />
shipped to <strong>the</strong> Mediterranean. To date it is not clear how much of a constraint <strong>the</strong> narrow<br />
Bosporus may be on scaling up Kazakh oil production. The o<strong>the</strong>r effort is a proposed<br />
pipeline to China. Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan have signed a $9 billion contract with China<br />
to develop this pipeline (Nazar et al 1999).<br />
Production costs in Kazakhstan’s future Caspian Sea offshore fields are likely to be as high<br />
as $8/barrel – compared with $3/barrel in <strong>the</strong> Persian Gulf. Export pipeline fees through <strong>the</strong><br />
Caspian Pipeline Consortium add ano<strong>the</strong>r $3.6/b to <strong>the</strong> cost of production 28 . It is estimated<br />
that <strong>the</strong>se fields will probably need to earn $15/b to break even (EIU 2002).<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
The length of water routes in Kazakhstan is significant at around 6,000 kilometers. The Irtysh<br />
is <strong>the</strong> main navigable river in <strong>the</strong> country, accounting for about 80% of cargo transported by<br />
river. The Caspian is increasingly used for international shipment of dry cargo, crude oil and<br />
28 This compares very favorably with <strong>the</strong> cost of rail transport ($7/barrel)<br />
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oil products. Today it provides connections with Iran, Transcaucasia and, via <strong>the</strong> rivers and<br />
canals of Russia, with <strong>the</strong> Black and Baltic seas (KIPC 2000). The latter routes can only be<br />
used by barges.<br />
The closest ports on <strong>the</strong> high seas are on <strong>the</strong> Russian and Georgian Black Sea coasts. Kazakh<br />
barges can enter <strong>the</strong> Black Sea through <strong>the</strong> Volga-Don canal, but this is also a Russian<br />
sovereign waterway.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
After having had several border disputes with o<strong>the</strong>r former Soviet Republics after<br />
independence in 1991, Kazakhstan has now settled <strong>the</strong>se and maintains strong relations with<br />
its neighbors. The country has also settled its claims on <strong>the</strong> Caspian with Russia and<br />
Azerbaijan. Kazakhstan has so far not been drawn into <strong>the</strong> looming conflict between<br />
Azerbaijan and Iran over claims to <strong>the</strong> Caspian.<br />
Long-serving President Nursultan Nazarbayev is keen on regional cooperation schemes as<br />
building blocks for <strong>the</strong> promotion of free trade. However, recent initiatives such as <strong>the</strong><br />
Eurasian Economic Community (EEC) have so far not significantly enhanced intra-regional<br />
trade.<br />
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KYRGYZSTAN<br />
Over 3600 km from <strong>the</strong> nearest open seas port, Kyrgyzstan is<br />
<strong>the</strong> second most remote of all <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> (after<br />
Kazakhstan). Its extreme average elevation of 2,750m, with<br />
40% of its territory over 3,000m, fur<strong>the</strong>r exacerbates <strong>the</strong><br />
transit <strong>challenges</strong> it faces. Moreover, ongoing regional<br />
instability and border disputes with neighboring China,<br />
Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan have resulted in sporadic border<br />
closures, and have prevented <strong>the</strong> effective implementation of<br />
any multilateral agreements. And while it is slowly changing,<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s transportation network is primarily <strong>the</strong> remnant<br />
of <strong>the</strong> Soviet system, and does not reflect <strong>the</strong> changing nature<br />
of <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz economy and its trade patterns.<br />
There are six international routes from Kyrgyzstan. The most<br />
important of <strong>the</strong>se are two routes to Kazakhstan and one to<br />
Uzbekistan. Terrain and mediocre infrastructure levels,<br />
however, limit <strong>the</strong> efficiency of <strong>the</strong>se routes. Corridors to<br />
China and Tajikistan are very difficult to traverse and are<br />
closed in winter.<br />
To deal with <strong>the</strong>se transit trade <strong>challenges</strong>, Kyrgyzstan has<br />
avidly pursued a democratized liberal market economy, and<br />
boasts one of <strong>the</strong> most liberal trade regimes amongst <strong>the</strong><br />
former Soviet states. As of December 2002, Kyrgyzstan was<br />
still <strong>the</strong> only CIS state to gain accession into <strong>the</strong> WTO.<br />
Kyrgyzstan has also been relatively successful in diversifying<br />
its economy –its newly developed gold mining sector as well<br />
as its services sector now contribute 30% of GDP. Its<br />
dependence on fuel imports, however, has been a significant<br />
constraint to development.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 102<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,711<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $117<br />
Distance to port:<br />
Transport cost ratio: 0.13<br />
3,600km<br />
Neighbors:<br />
China, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan,<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Russia (18%),<br />
Kazakhstan (18%)<br />
Exports: Switzerland (26%),<br />
Germany (20%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Non-ferrous metallurgy (47%)<br />
Electricity (16%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
poor<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
Road<br />
While <strong>the</strong> Asian Highway connects Kyrgyzstan to neighboring<br />
Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and China, most of <strong>the</strong>se international corridors have<br />
presented significant <strong>challenges</strong>. First, <strong>the</strong> primary road to Tajikistan is not an all wea<strong>the</strong>r<br />
route, and is often rendered impassable during <strong>the</strong> harsh winter months of November-<br />
February. Transit is fur<strong>the</strong>r complicated by tensions with Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, and<br />
disputed boundaries between <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. From October-December 2002 Tajikistan erected<br />
an ad hoc border post to harass Kyrgyz travelers. In retaliation, Kyrgyzstan set up a similar<br />
post.<br />
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Second, <strong>the</strong> border with Uzbekistan suffers from similar geopolitical disputes, as boundaries<br />
are fiercely disputed. Uzbekistan also defends its border with particularly stringent border<br />
regulations, and sometimes even physical boundaries. In one recent <strong>case</strong>, Uzbekistan is<br />
reported to have placed cement blocks on a bridge at <strong>the</strong> Karu-Su border crossing.<br />
Finally, transit to China has <strong>the</strong> option of passing through two routes: ei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> tortuous<br />
Torugart Pass, which at 3900m presents serious physical obstacles, or <strong>the</strong> Irkeshtam crossing,<br />
which is new and presents o<strong>the</strong>r difficulties. As of January 2002, <strong>the</strong> border was still closed<br />
to vehicular traffic; freight needed to be unloaded and reloaded at <strong>the</strong> border. Such<br />
restrictions are largely a product of Kyrgyzstan’s failure to develop adequate border<br />
facilities, although <strong>the</strong> Chinese have already built a modern border facility.<br />
Internal transport in Kyrgyzstan faces <strong>the</strong> same difficulties as international transport: poor<br />
infrastructure, geographic constraints, and geopolitical difficulties. The 600 km journey<br />
between <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong>’ two main cities, Bishkek and Osh, for example, is reported to take 16<br />
hours. Mountains divide <strong>the</strong> country into distinct north-south regions, severely limiting<br />
transport between <strong>the</strong> two. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> presence of surrounding <strong>countries</strong>’ enclaves in<br />
Kyrgyzstan often requires internal transport to pass through international borders subject to<br />
<strong>the</strong> same strict control as <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r borders.<br />
Kyrgyzstan has begun road rehabilitation projects with assistance from international donor<br />
agencies. Attempts to streamline regional border crossings have faltered as a result of<br />
ongoing geopolitical tensions and corruption. The TIR Carnet, for example, which allows<br />
freight to journey to its final destination (often Russia) without undergoing intermediate<br />
customs procedures, was suspended in Russia on December 24, 2002. The suspension was<br />
levied by <strong>the</strong> International Road Transport Union in response to Russian customs officials<br />
who were using <strong>the</strong> system as “an effective tool for protecting organized crime.” (FT 2002)<br />
Rail<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s mountainous terrain makes rail transport particularly difficult. Moreover, <strong>the</strong><br />
rail network was constructed during <strong>the</strong> Soviet era and presents two problems: first, <strong>the</strong><br />
international rail corridors only provide links north through Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan to<br />
Russia, not to China; second, <strong>the</strong> rail network is not appropriate for <strong>the</strong> current political<br />
boundaries, as domestic transport through Kyrgyzstan now often requires passage through<br />
parts of Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, complicating internal transport. Both problems are<br />
presently being addressed. Kyrgyzstan has recently reached an agreement with China to<br />
construct a railway from Fergana (Uzbekistan) to Kashgar (China), which is linked to <strong>the</strong><br />
Chinese rail network. Plans for an internal north-south railway in Kyrgyzstan are also being<br />
discussed.<br />
Ports<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s freight is mainly shipped from <strong>the</strong> eastern Black Sea ports. Trade also passes<br />
through <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn Baltic Sea ports. These ports do not present any serious constraints to<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s freight transit.<br />
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POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Generally recognized as a paradigm of internal stability, Kyrgyzstan has actively pursued<br />
strong relations with its neighbors and regional CIS <strong>countries</strong>. It shares <strong>the</strong> closest political<br />
ties with CIS <strong>countries</strong> and has ambassadors in all CIS capitals. Despite <strong>the</strong>se attempts,<br />
however, tensions with neighboring Uzbekistan and Tajikistan persist, stemming largely<br />
from disputed boundaries.<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s strained relations with Uzbekistan are complicated by <strong>the</strong> former’s dependence<br />
on its larger neighbor for natural gas. Uzbekistan has used this dependence as a weapon to<br />
influence Kyrgyz policy: gas supplies were cut off in 1993 when Kyrgyzstan became <strong>the</strong> first<br />
former Soviet republic to introduce its own currency, and again in 1998 when it became <strong>the</strong><br />
first former Soviet Republic to gain accession into <strong>the</strong> WTO (Pannier 2001). Moreover,<br />
Uzbekistan has ardently defended its borders with strict controls. In 2000, it even erected<br />
fences and minefields around border areas.<br />
Tajikistan’s civil war has fur<strong>the</strong>r destabilized much of Kyrgyzstan’s western region and<br />
hampered bilateral discussions to reach a border agreement. Cross-border riots and tension is<br />
common, believed by most people to be <strong>the</strong> actions of Tajik separatists (RFE/RL 2003).<br />
Despite its immediate border tensions, Kyrgyzstan is <strong>developing</strong> closer relations with <strong>the</strong> two<br />
regional powers, Russia and China. In July 2000, Kyrgyz President Askar Akayev and<br />
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a Declaration on Eternal Friendship, Allied<br />
Relations and Partnership between Russia and Kyrgyzstan. Kyrgyz-Sino relations have also<br />
witnessed recent signs of improvement, including <strong>the</strong> joint venture to build a railway from<br />
Fergana to Kashgar. In 1999, <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> signed an agreement resolving a border<br />
dispute.<br />
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TAJIKISTAN<br />
Geographically positioned at <strong>the</strong> center of three culturally and<br />
politically distinct worlds, <strong>the</strong> Sino, Russian, and Islamic<br />
regions, Tajikistan could potentially serve as a regional<br />
crossroad. Instead, it has been an ongoing battleground<br />
amongst <strong>the</strong> three surrounding regions. Such tensions are<br />
reflected in <strong>the</strong> culturally and politically fragmented<br />
population, which has suffered from intense civil conflict.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r exacerbating Tajikistan’s <strong>landlocked</strong> situation, its<br />
mountainous terrain has not only contributed to <strong>the</strong> country’s<br />
atomization but has also severely hindered transit. Corruption<br />
and excessive bureaucratic constraints have also adversely<br />
affected transit costs. As Travel Tajikistan’s website warns,<br />
while driving <strong>the</strong> international corridor roads is possible “it is<br />
not advisable unless you have a great love of bureaucracy.”<br />
Such geopolitical, geographical, and bureaucratic <strong>challenges</strong><br />
have affected each of Tajikistan’s potential transit corridors:<br />
(1) The Uzbek corridors which carry 80% of Tajikistan’s<br />
international traffic are all subject to arbitrary and frequent<br />
border closures by <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government. (2) The highway to<br />
Kyrgyzstan presents ano<strong>the</strong>r possible route option but is<br />
hampered by frequent violence along <strong>the</strong> border. Moreover,<br />
this option is not particularly promising as Kyrgyzstan is also<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> and faces similar transport problems. (3) A<br />
potential corridor through Afghanistan would provide <strong>the</strong><br />
shortest route to <strong>the</strong> sea for Tajik freight but has not been<br />
viable because of conflict and poor infrastructure in<br />
Afghanistan. A fourth potential transit route through China<br />
could provide new opportunities but is currently under<br />
construction.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 112<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,152<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $130<br />
Distance to port:<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
3,100km<br />
NA<br />
Neighbors:<br />
China, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan,<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Uzbekistan (22%)<br />
Russia (18%)<br />
Exports: Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands (30%)<br />
Russia (16%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Aluminium (61%)<br />
Electricity (12%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
fair<br />
poor<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
Road<br />
Given its rugged natural terrain, Tajikistan is more dependent on road transport (82% of total<br />
freight in 1997 (ADB 2000)) than most o<strong>the</strong>r former Soviet states. The declining importance<br />
of trade with Russia will shift even more freight transport to <strong>the</strong> road system. And while<br />
Tajikistan’s road network, constructed under <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union, is extensive and relatively<br />
well developed it suffers from <strong>the</strong> harsh geographic conditions. Roads are regularly closed<br />
due to snow, mudslides, landslides and floods. As one indication of <strong>the</strong> severity of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
issues, it is estimated that from 1992 to 1999, natural disasters and civil war destroyed 10%<br />
of Tajikistan’s roads (Interfax 2003).<br />
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The country’s two major highways, from Dushanbe to Aini and Kalaikhum to Khorog, are<br />
normally closed for five to six months each winter. In order to access this province during <strong>the</strong><br />
winter, freight must be routed through Uzbekistan, which presents <strong>the</strong> problem of border<br />
closures. The Uzbek government has been described as using Tajikistan’s dependence on<br />
Uzbek roads for political leverage. Many though this was <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> when, after opening <strong>the</strong><br />
Tajik transit roads in early 2000, <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government closed <strong>the</strong>m again in December of<br />
that year and cited independence anniversary preparations as <strong>the</strong> reason.<br />
Tajikistan has also suffered from its lack of a road corridor linking to <strong>the</strong> Chinese road<br />
network. Despite <strong>facing</strong> severely constrained budgets, Tajikistan has begun constructing a<br />
road link to China and <strong>the</strong> Karakorum Highway, as well as a tunnel that will directly link <strong>the</strong><br />
nor<strong>the</strong>rn and sou<strong>the</strong>rn parts of <strong>the</strong> country. As of 2001 this road had not been completed.<br />
Rail<br />
Not only is Tajikistan’s rail network limited by its mountainous terrain, but <strong>the</strong> design of <strong>the</strong><br />
Soviet transport system has also been largely inappropriate for <strong>the</strong> emerging trade patterns<br />
among new republics. The remnants of <strong>the</strong> Soviet network are in fairly good condition, but<br />
remain concentrated in western Tajikistan. The rail system thus lacks links to emerging trade<br />
corridors, especially China, while traditional links to Russia now require administratively<br />
burdensome passage through at least two o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
For transit trade, <strong>the</strong> three primary rail lines are: (1) crossing <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn Fargana Valley<br />
from Andijan (Uzbekistan) through Khojand (Tajikistan) to Samarkand (Uzebkistan); (2)<br />
passing south from Dushanbe through Uzbekistan to Termiz at <strong>the</strong> Afghan border; and (3)<br />
directly south from Dushanbe to Tugul on <strong>the</strong> Aghan border. Afghanistan’s lack of railways<br />
and Uzbekistan’s aforementioned restrictions have hampered all three of <strong>the</strong>se corridors.<br />
Ports<br />
Tajikistan uses <strong>the</strong> Baltic Sea ports (primarily Riga), Russian ports (e.g., Novorossiysk) and<br />
European ports including Bremerhaven (Germany). These ports do not pose any significant<br />
constraints to Tajikistan’s trade flows.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Ethnically and culturally diverse, Tajikistan has suffered extensively from both internal<br />
conflict and tensions with its neighbors. Comprised largely of Russian, Uzbek, and Islamic<br />
ethnic groups, Tajikistan has witnessed extensive external involvement in its internal affairs<br />
as each of <strong>the</strong> surrounding regions has attempted to exert <strong>the</strong> greatest influence: Russia,<br />
seeking to protect its ethnic minority, is described as having actively involved itself in<br />
Tajikistan’s internal affairs. Uzbekistan is said to have done likewise. As <strong>the</strong> Federation of<br />
American Scientists describes <strong>the</strong> situation, “nei<strong>the</strong>r state [Uzbekistan or Russia] has<br />
behaved as if it considered Tajikistan a genuinely sovereign and independent country.”<br />
Such underlying ethnic and political tensions manifest <strong>the</strong>mselves in Tajikistan’s bloody civil<br />
war, which began in 1992. The war split <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> and its neighbors along religious and<br />
ideological lines (Islamic and Communist), and is considered one of <strong>the</strong> bloodiest wars to<br />
- 82 -
have taken place amongst <strong>the</strong> post Soviet Republics. It also resulted in <strong>the</strong> closure of some of<br />
Tajikistan’s borders as neighboring <strong>countries</strong> attempted to prevent <strong>the</strong> spread of war and<br />
inflow of refugees. While a peace agreement was signed in 1997, sporadic violence persists.<br />
In addition to such ethnic tensions, Tajikistan has been adversely affected by <strong>the</strong> weak<br />
delineation of borders in Soviet times. These have led to a high degree of tension with<br />
Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Much of this tension has centred on <strong>the</strong> Ferghana Valley, where<br />
all three <strong>countries</strong> dispute state boundaries (IRIN 2002, UNFVDP 2002). There have been a<br />
number of riots in <strong>the</strong> area, largely on <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz-Tajik border (EurasiaNet 2003). While<br />
Uzbekistan and Tajikistan have reached agreement on 86% of <strong>the</strong>ir common boundary,<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r demarcation has been highly problematic (ICG 2002).<br />
Such heightened tension with Uzbekistan has been of particular concern for Tajikistan, which<br />
depends heavily on Uzbekistan for transport. Moreover, concerns of Islamic guerilla groups<br />
operating from Tajikistan into Uzbekistan has led <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government to place landmines<br />
on <strong>the</strong> border (Turaev 2002). In fact, <strong>the</strong> border between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> is regularly closed<br />
by <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government (Travel Tajikistan 2002).<br />
Relations with Russia, a vital trading partner, have generally been close but have become<br />
more complicated due to Tajikistan’s allowance of overfly rights for US aircraft involved in<br />
Afghanistan and <strong>the</strong> large number of illegal Tajik migrants in Russia. The latter have led to a<br />
large number of Tajik citizens being deported from Russia (EurasiaNet 2003).<br />
Tajikistan’s relations with its o<strong>the</strong>r neighbors have been fair and improving. Since 1992,<br />
Tajikistan has maintained friendly and streng<strong>the</strong>ning relations with Iran, one of <strong>the</strong> first<br />
<strong>countries</strong> to open diplomatic relations with Tajikistan and helped mediate <strong>the</strong> 1997 domestic<br />
peace agreement. Sino-Tajik relations have also witnessed recent improvements with <strong>the</strong><br />
2002 settlement of a border dispute. The Chinese corridor could potentially become<br />
Tajikistan’s most important transit trade route (Najibullah 1997). Finally, <strong>the</strong> stability of<br />
Afghanistan will likely lead to stronger bilateral relations and a more reliable transit corridor.<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong>se bilateral successes, regional security and trade agreements have had little<br />
success in fostering <strong>the</strong> promotion of intra-regional cooperation and remain largely<br />
ineffective.<br />
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TURKMENISTAN<br />
With direct access to <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea, Turkmenistan is not as<br />
geographically isolated as <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of<br />
<strong>the</strong> central Asia. It has also benefited from its significant oil<br />
and gas reserves and an extensive transport system that<br />
surpasses those of its regional <strong>landlocked</strong> neighbors in both<br />
quantity and quality. However, like <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r former Soviet<br />
states, Turkmenistan suffers from having a large majority of<br />
its transport corridors directed toward Russia. To address this<br />
constraint, <strong>the</strong> government has made a serious commitment to<br />
<strong>developing</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r corridors. A rail link to Iran, for example,<br />
was opened in 1996.<br />
Interestingly, Turkmenistan’s relative political isolation due to<br />
its autocratic regime has been beneficial, since it has limited<br />
<strong>the</strong> influence of surrounding conflicts. Unlike many o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
central Asian <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, Turkmenistan has not<br />
suffered from a civil war. Poor international relations with<br />
Uzbekistan, however, have not only limited transport to<br />
Russia but also hindered domestic routes in <strong>the</strong> north of <strong>the</strong><br />
country, which require passage through Uzbekistan.<br />
Despite Turkmenistan’s relatively well-maintained domestic<br />
infrastructure and political stability, it faces both political and<br />
infrastructural <strong>challenges</strong> on its primary corridors. These<br />
include: (1) restrictive bureaucratic procedures on rail and<br />
road routes through Uzbekistan to Kazakhstan and Russia; (2)<br />
poorly developed and wea<strong>the</strong>r dependent road routes directly<br />
through Kazakhstan; (3) underinvestment in <strong>the</strong> port of<br />
Turkmenbashi; (4) poor infrastructure in Azerbaijan and<br />
Georgia on <strong>the</strong> corridor through <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea; and, (4) low<br />
infrastructure levels on routes through Iran.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Roads<br />
While Turkmenistan’s domestic road system is extensive and<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 87<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $3,956<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $533<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,700km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1997): 0.15<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Iran,<br />
Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan,<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: United States (18%),<br />
Ukraine (15%)<br />
Exports: Iran (20%),<br />
Ukraine (15%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Gas (57%)<br />
Oil & Refined products (26%)<br />
Domestic Roads: good<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
relatively well-developed, with over 82% of its roads paved (compared to 57% for<br />
neighboring Kazakhstan), it has suffered from <strong>the</strong> inappropriate positioning of <strong>the</strong> network<br />
during Soviet times. As with several of its Central Asian neighbors, key roads were built at<br />
times when no international borders existed in <strong>the</strong> area. As a result <strong>the</strong> main road connecting<br />
<strong>the</strong> north of <strong>the</strong> country with <strong>the</strong> East crosses through Uzbekistan. Similarly, important<br />
transport arteries to <strong>the</strong> East of <strong>the</strong> country pass through Uzbekistan. This imposes significant<br />
extra costs and visa requirements on all transit traffic (Mayhew 2002). In an effort to<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
moderate<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
- 84 -
overcome this problem, <strong>the</strong> government has launched a major highway construction project<br />
to link <strong>the</strong> capital Ashgabat with <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea and Dashoguz in <strong>the</strong> north of <strong>the</strong> country<br />
(EIU 2002).<br />
As discussed above Turkmenistan’s road transit <strong>challenges</strong> are exacerbated by its neighbors’<br />
low infrastructure levels. Weak infrastructure has so far limited development of <strong>the</strong> Iranian<br />
corridor, and severely limited <strong>the</strong> efficiency on transit through Azerbaijan and Georgia.<br />
Rail<br />
Turkmenistan inherited its limited and insufficient railroad system from <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union.<br />
With less than 2,500 km of poorly maintained railway track and a minimal supply of rolling<br />
stock and spare parts, <strong>the</strong> country faces serious constraints in this sector. Moreover, <strong>the</strong><br />
break-up of <strong>the</strong> Soviet rail network in 1991 has left Turkmenistan with a fragmented<br />
network. There are no main rail lines connecting <strong>the</strong> east or northwest with <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong><br />
country. To deal with <strong>the</strong>se issues <strong>the</strong> government is constructing new rail lines to improve<br />
domestic transport. The government has also actively promoted new rail corridors to link<br />
with surrounding rail systems. In 1996, Turkmenistan opened its first connection to Iran. See<br />
<strong>the</strong> rail section in <strong>the</strong> Uzbekistan chapter for a description of <strong>the</strong> major corridors and<br />
indicative pricing.<br />
Pipelines<br />
Turkmenistan’s key problem in exporting its gas is its reliance on Russian and former Soviet<br />
gas pipelines. To access world markets, gas must ei<strong>the</strong>r pass through pipeline routes through<br />
Russia, Iran or <strong>the</strong> Caucasus, each of which is constrained.<br />
The route via Russia is limited because Russia will not pay its debt accumulated in<br />
purchasing Turkmen gas. Hence, Turkmenistan has found it necessary to suspend <strong>the</strong> gas<br />
flow four times since 1991. 29 In addition, Russia’s gas distributor, Gazprom, refuses to allow<br />
Turkmen gas to transit to Europe, limiting Turkmenistan’s prospects for exporting gas<br />
outside <strong>the</strong> CIS.<br />
While a pipeline to Iran exists and is used for export, <strong>the</strong>se shipments have consistently fallen<br />
below <strong>the</strong> target and hence only account for a small share of total gas exports. The pipeline<br />
has had various problems, culminating in March 2002 when exports via this pipeline<br />
temporarily ground to a halt (Lelyveld 2002).<br />
Since independence, <strong>the</strong> government has been pursuing <strong>the</strong> construction of a pipeline through<br />
Afghanistan to Pakistan, which would give it access to deep-sea ports and possibly <strong>the</strong> Indian<br />
market. A construction agreement was signed in December 2002. However, it remains<br />
unclear whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> project will be able to attract <strong>the</strong> necessary investments. Key concerns<br />
include political volatility in Afghanistan and <strong>the</strong> low throughput of <strong>the</strong> planned pipeline,<br />
which may make <strong>the</strong> project economically unsustainable. Similarly, Turkmenistan and<br />
Kazakhstan have signed a $9 billion contract with China to develop a pipeline to ship oil and<br />
natural gas to China (Nazar et al 1999).<br />
29 Total arrears in gas bills accumulated by Russia and Ukraine are equivalent to 75% of Turkmenistan’s GDP<br />
(EIU 2002).<br />
- 85 -
Ports and Waterways<br />
Turkmenistan has direct access to <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea via its port at Turkmenbashi, which<br />
requires significant investment before it can be used as a major transit hub. The Caspian Sea<br />
<strong>the</strong>n allows access to two main transit routes. The most common route is <strong>the</strong> land route<br />
through Azerbaijan and Georgia, using <strong>the</strong> ports of Baku (Azerbaijan) and Bat’umi<br />
(Georgia). An alternative route is via <strong>the</strong> Volga-Don canal, which is capacity limited and is<br />
Russian sovereign territory. It is unclear <strong>the</strong> extent to which Turkmenistan uses this route.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Under <strong>the</strong> totalitarian government of Saparmurad Niyazov, Turkmenistan has pursued an<br />
official policy of neutrality, and limited its relationship with neighboring <strong>countries</strong> to a point<br />
of isolation. While Turkmenistan is ethnically fragmented like <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r former Soviet<br />
republics, it has not engaged in civil war and has not been involved in <strong>the</strong> region’s geo-ethnic<br />
positioning. Ra<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> country’s foreign policy focuses on <strong>the</strong> need to secure export routes<br />
and markets for its oil and gas exports. The most important of <strong>the</strong>se routes is via Russia, and<br />
<strong>the</strong> most important market, Ukraine. Relations with Russia have typically been cordial, but<br />
have been increasingly unstable as <strong>the</strong> Russian state-owned firm, Gazprom, has restricted<br />
Turkmenistan’s exports to Europe. Ukraine, however, has publicly mentioned <strong>the</strong> possibility<br />
of re-exporting Turkmen gas to Europe.<br />
Turkmenistan has also recently witnessed deteriorating relations with Uzbekistan.<br />
Competition on <strong>the</strong> gas market, domestic tensions with <strong>the</strong> Uzbek minority, and <strong>the</strong> recent<br />
expulsion of <strong>the</strong> Uzbek ambassador to Turkmenistan on accusations of participating in a plot<br />
to assassinate <strong>the</strong> president, have all hampered relations. A long running dispute over<br />
property rights on <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea has also weakened Turkmenistan’s relationships with<br />
some of its neighbors, most notably Azerbaijan.<br />
In contrast, relationships with Iran and <strong>the</strong> new government in Kabul are fair. Turkmenistan<br />
has recently signed an agreement with Afghanistan and Pakistan to build a 1,500km-long gas<br />
pipeline through both <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
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UZBEKISTAN<br />
As <strong>the</strong> only doubly <strong>landlocked</strong> country in our <strong>study</strong>, 30<br />
Uzbekistan faces <strong>the</strong> unique challenge of having to transit<br />
ano<strong>the</strong>r <strong>landlocked</strong> country to access <strong>the</strong> high seas.<br />
Uzbekistan’s neighbors not only are <strong>landlocked</strong>, but also<br />
suffer from severe political tensions and internal conflicts, as<br />
well as poor infrastructure. Moreover, domestic conditions<br />
have done little to mitigate such obstacles and have actually<br />
worsened <strong>the</strong> situation. Civil conflict between <strong>the</strong> Uzbek<br />
government and <strong>the</strong> Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU)<br />
continue to threaten <strong>the</strong> nation’s stability. The government<br />
also interferes heavily in <strong>the</strong> economy refusing to remove<br />
selective currency exchange restrictions and on occasion<br />
shutting down cross-border traffic. Corruption also continues<br />
to be a major problem for Uzbekistan.<br />
Although Uzbekistan’s transport system, like those of <strong>the</strong><br />
o<strong>the</strong>r CIS <strong>countries</strong>, is centered on corridors to Russia, it is<br />
one of <strong>the</strong> most extensive systems of <strong>the</strong> CIS <strong>countries</strong> and<br />
provides major links to all five of Uzbekistan’s neighbors.<br />
Each of <strong>the</strong>se links, however, presents significant <strong>challenges</strong>:<br />
<strong>the</strong> corridor through Afghanistan has been rendered virtually<br />
impassable by <strong>the</strong> past civil wars, and suffers from severely<br />
dilapidated infrastructure; tensions with Tajikistan have led<br />
<strong>the</strong> Uzbek government to plant landmines across <strong>the</strong> border<br />
and strictly limit access; <strong>the</strong> Kyrgyz corridor is hindered by an<br />
ongoing border conflict between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>; <strong>the</strong><br />
Turkmen corridor is hampered by increasingly poor relations<br />
between Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, which are considered<br />
to be at an all time low; and, finally, <strong>the</strong> routes passing<br />
through Kazakhstan are constrained by <strong>the</strong> ongoing struggle<br />
for regional power between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.<br />
None of <strong>the</strong>se Kazakh routes are all-wea<strong>the</strong>r.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 95<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,441<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $137<br />
Distance to port:<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
2,950km<br />
NA<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Afghanistan, Kazakhstan,<br />
Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,<br />
Turkmenistan<br />
Primary transit neighbors:<br />
Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan<br />
Main trading partners:<br />
Imports: Russia (12%),<br />
Korea (12%)<br />
Exports: Russia (17%),<br />
Ukraine (6%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Cotton fibre (28%)<br />
Energy (12%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
fair<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
Roads<br />
Uzbekistan has one of <strong>the</strong> most extensive road networks of <strong>the</strong> former Soviet republics,<br />
connecting it to <strong>the</strong> road systems of all of its neighbors. However, many of <strong>the</strong>se domestic<br />
corridor roads have fallen into a state of disrepair. In response, <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government has<br />
given priority to improving its international corridor links. Several are now in <strong>the</strong> process of<br />
<strong>the</strong> being upgraded to international standards.<br />
30 Liechtenstein is <strong>the</strong> only o<strong>the</strong>r doubly <strong>landlocked</strong> country.<br />
- 87 -
Domestic transport is hampered by <strong>the</strong> now anachronistic Soviet road network. The<br />
independence of <strong>the</strong> republics now requires several major domestic roads to pass through<br />
neighboring <strong>countries</strong>’ territory. 31 Due to complex and time-consuming border procedures,<br />
trade within <strong>the</strong> country is significantly hampered. In particular Turkmenistan charges high<br />
transit fees on a number of commodities passing through its territory and continues to require<br />
special transit visas for each trip (Mayhew 2002).<br />
Rail<br />
As in most of <strong>the</strong> former Soviet republics, Tajikistan being a leading exception, railways play<br />
<strong>the</strong> dominant role in Uzbekistan’s international freight traffic, accounting for 86% of all<br />
import/export cargo compared to 14% for air and road. Its primary rail corridors pass through<br />
Russia, Ukraine, <strong>the</strong> Baltic States, and <strong>the</strong>n onward through eastern Europe. These routes are<br />
plagued not only by political <strong>challenges</strong>, but also extreme distances. Poor maintenance and<br />
limited rolling stock fur<strong>the</strong>r hamper <strong>the</strong> rail system.<br />
The following table summarizes <strong>the</strong> costs and duration of rail transit of cotton for several of<br />
<strong>the</strong> main corridors:<br />
Port Country Distance Duration Cost Cost/ton per<br />
(km) (days) (/t cotton) 1000km<br />
Riga Latvia 3929 20-23 84.82 21.59<br />
Ilichebvsk Ukraine 4312 25-26 98.90 22.94<br />
Nakhodka Russia (Sea of Japan) 8622 45-50 156.29 18.13<br />
Brest<br />
Belarus (border Poland, 4179 21-23 74.25 17.77<br />
via road)<br />
Lyanyunganang China (Yellow Sea) 5991 20-25 215.49 35.97<br />
Farob-Poti Georgia (Black Sea) 2025 10-15 75.32 37.20<br />
Source: (US Embassy Tashkent 2001)<br />
Rates for Georgian ports are given with 50% discounts based on 1996 agreement. Rate for Lyanyunganang given<br />
with 30% liability mark-up<br />
Uzbekistan’s domestic rail system is hampered by <strong>the</strong> inopportune border delineations<br />
discussed above. A number of domestic connections (i.e. Bukhara to Urgench to Nukus)<br />
currently pass through Turkmenistan. And since Turkmenistan has not signed <strong>the</strong> 72 hour<br />
transit agreement, all train passengers must acquire a transit visa for Turkmenistan or risk<br />
fines (Mayhew et al. 2000). To address this problem, Uzbekistan is now building a new train<br />
line bypassing Turkmenistan.<br />
Pipelines<br />
While Uzbekistan exports natural gas to both Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, its gas is exported<br />
mainly to Ukraine via Kazakh pipelines. Like most of <strong>the</strong> Central Asian republics,<br />
Kazakhstan is not able to sell oil through to Europe due to Russian restrictions.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Uzbekistan uses <strong>the</strong> Baltic Sea ports (primarily Riga), Russian ports (e.g., Novorossiysk),<br />
European ports including Bremerhaven (Germany), and more recently <strong>the</strong> ports of Poti<br />
31 The principal road connecting Nukus in <strong>the</strong> east with <strong>the</strong> rest of <strong>the</strong> country passes twice through<br />
Turkmenistan. Similarly, The main eastbound road to <strong>the</strong> Fergana Valley crosses through Tajikistan.<br />
- 88 -
(Georgria) and Lianyungang. The only of <strong>the</strong>se ports that has posed a constraint to<br />
Uzbekistan’s trade is that of Poti. As outlined in <strong>the</strong> Armenian <strong>case</strong> <strong>study</strong>, <strong>the</strong> port of Potu<br />
was severely damaged during Georgia’s civil war in <strong>the</strong> 1990s.<br />
Uzbekistan has an internal port at Termiz on <strong>the</strong> Amu Darya Riverat <strong>the</strong> Afghan border. The<br />
river constitutes an important waterway to <strong>the</strong> Caspian, but its passage through Turkmenistan<br />
requires payments in scarcely available hard-currency.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Uzbekistan’s foreign policy has been characterized by an unusual mix of aspirations for<br />
regional influence, and tendencies toward isolation. This combination of policies is seen to<br />
be one of <strong>the</strong> main factors contributing to <strong>the</strong> failure of regional integration, as Uzbekistan is<br />
<strong>the</strong> only country that borders <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r four central Asian <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Recently, for example, <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government was accused by Turkmenistan of aiding <strong>the</strong><br />
attempted assassination of <strong>the</strong> Turkmen president. Relations have consequently weakened to<br />
what is considered an all-time low. As a CIS analyst notes, ‘“The issues between<br />
Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan right now are a little ill-defined and have led to increased<br />
security measures on <strong>the</strong> borders, an increased number of checkpoints” (Pannier 2003). Such<br />
increased border controls have a direct effect on international transport costs, and fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
weaken Uzbekistan’s position as a <strong>landlocked</strong> country.<br />
Relations with Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan have also been recently strained over issues of<br />
water resources, gas debts, and border delineations. Moreover, Kazakhstan is seen to be<br />
vying for regional influence and thus competing with Uzbekistan. As a result of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
increased tensions, <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government has closed its borders with both <strong>countries</strong> (Pannier<br />
2003).<br />
Internal strife between <strong>the</strong> government and <strong>the</strong> Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan,<br />
surrounding civil wars, and bitter relationships with all of its neighbors have severely<br />
crippled Uzbekistan’s transport system. The Islamic movement in Uzbekistan, while not as<br />
conspicuously violent as that in Tajikistan, remains a threat to domestic stability and is a<br />
serious concern of <strong>the</strong> Uzbek government. The ongoing tension has also weakened<br />
Uzbekistan’s relations with neighboring Tajikistan. As a result, <strong>the</strong>se corridors have been of<br />
limited use and will require significant restructuring before <strong>the</strong>y can play a major role in<br />
Uzbek transit. In contrast, relations with Russia, Uzbekistan’s most important trading partner,<br />
have been recently improving as a result of <strong>the</strong> continued cooperation between <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong><br />
in <strong>the</strong> fight against such Islamist extremism.<br />
- 89 -
MOLDOVA<br />
Although <strong>the</strong> former Soviet Republic country of Moldova is<br />
only 50km from <strong>the</strong> Black Sea - <strong>the</strong> shortest distance of all<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> in our <strong>study</strong> - and has relatively wealthy<br />
neighbors, it remains <strong>the</strong> poorest country in Europe, suffering<br />
acutely from its <strong>landlocked</strong> status. Located between Romania<br />
and Ukraine, Moldova has become <strong>the</strong> centre of a<br />
geopolitical tug of war between <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong>. With <strong>the</strong><br />
eastern part of <strong>the</strong> country controlled by ethnic Russians and<br />
Ukrainians, and <strong>the</strong> west by ethnic Rumanians, Moldova<br />
itself is a bitterly divided country suffering from <strong>the</strong> ongoing<br />
civil war over <strong>the</strong> separatist Transdniestr region in <strong>the</strong> east.<br />
The current situation has profoundly affected Moldovan<br />
trade, fur<strong>the</strong>r limiting its potential transit corridors. Trade<br />
through Romania is limited because of minimal connecting<br />
infrastructure. Moldova’s eastward orientated infrastructure<br />
still reflects its former position in <strong>the</strong> Soviet command<br />
economy. Trade through Ukraine is limited because of <strong>the</strong><br />
ongoing civil war in <strong>the</strong> separatist Transdniestr region.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Roads<br />
As part of <strong>the</strong> former Soviet Union, Moldova was deeply<br />
integrated into its centrally-planned economy. With little<br />
development after independence, Moldova’s road network<br />
reflects its former role: road connections between Chisinau<br />
and <strong>the</strong> Ukraine (in particular Kiev, Odessa and Western<br />
Ukraine) are reasonably extensive. In contrast, <strong>the</strong>re is only<br />
one major road that crosses into neighboring Romania. As a<br />
result, road-based exports to Western Europe generally pass<br />
via Ukraine and Poland.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 105<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,109<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $150<br />
Distance to port:<br />
170km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.10<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Romania, Ukraine<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Romania, Ukraine<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Romania (17%)<br />
Ukraine (14%)<br />
Exports: Russia (45%)<br />
Romania (8.2%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Food, beverages & tobacco (42%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: good<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
poor<br />
good<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
In addition to such design limitations, Moldova’s road network has suffered from a decade of<br />
neglect, leaving it in a severely dilapidated condition, with significantly worse roads than its<br />
neighbors’. Only four years after independence, Moldova’s road network had already<br />
deteriorated to a state where 20% of <strong>the</strong> roads were considered to be in a critical technical<br />
condition. Paralleling this rapid deterioration, <strong>the</strong> amount of transported goods fell by 31<br />
percent from 1993-4 (Library of Congress 1995).<br />
The road system has been fur<strong>the</strong>r hampered by <strong>the</strong> Transdniestr conflict, which has led to <strong>the</strong><br />
closure of <strong>the</strong> main road linking Chisinau with Kiev. Consequentially, all road traffic must<br />
- 90 -
now make a significant detour via Tiraspol on small and poorly-maintained roads (Williams<br />
and Wildman 2001).<br />
Rail<br />
Moldova’s rail network includes 1,140 km of tracks and forms <strong>the</strong> principal means of<br />
transporting cargo, accounting for 95% of transborder shipments (US Embassy Chisinau<br />
2001). Like <strong>the</strong> road network, <strong>the</strong> rail network suffers from dilapidated infrastructure, <strong>the</strong><br />
Transdniestr conflict and design <strong>challenges</strong> due to its former role in <strong>the</strong> Soviet economy.<br />
Links with Romania are made difficult by <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong> Moldovan railway network uses<br />
<strong>the</strong> wider Soviet gauge standard, implying that every carriage needs to be transferred onto a<br />
different rolling stock – a costly procedure that can take several days for cargo trains.<br />
Moreover, reflecting <strong>the</strong> geopolitical tensions of <strong>the</strong> regions, Russia has occasionally wielded<br />
its power by threatening to blockade Moldova’s rail system (Economist 2000).<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Since Moldova’s primary trading partners are still Russia and <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of <strong>the</strong> former<br />
CIS, which account for over 50% of total exports, coastal ports play a somewhat limited role<br />
in trade. With <strong>the</strong> recent development of inland waterways, including <strong>the</strong> construction of<br />
facilities at Giurgioulesti on <strong>the</strong> Danube, however, <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong> Romanian ports will<br />
increase significantly. One of <strong>the</strong> main purposes of constructions along <strong>the</strong> river is to<br />
facilitate oil import from non-CIS <strong>countries</strong> to reduce Moldova’s dependence on Russian<br />
primary energy sources.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
The geopolitical tensions that have marked Moldova’s short history have had severe effects<br />
on its trade costs. Initially belonging to Romania in <strong>the</strong> 19 th and early 20 th centuries, and <strong>the</strong>n<br />
<strong>the</strong> USSR as of 1940, Moldova did not gain its independence until 1991. Shortly <strong>the</strong>reafter,<br />
bitter ethnic tensions erupted into civil war in 1992, with <strong>the</strong> Russian and Ukrainian<br />
ethnically dominated Transdniestr region declaring its independence. The civil war had a<br />
polarizing effect on Moldova’s neighbors, with <strong>the</strong> Russian army supplying arms to <strong>the</strong><br />
Transdniestr separatists while Romania provided military support for Moldova. While a<br />
cease-fire was negotiated in 1992, tensions persist and have weakened Moldova’s relations<br />
with both Russia and Ukraine.<br />
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MONGOLIA<br />
As <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> country with <strong>the</strong> largest area and lowest<br />
population density 32 , Mongolian trade is significantly hindered<br />
by <strong>the</strong> distances required to travel within <strong>the</strong> country. This<br />
problem is exacerbated by <strong>the</strong> lack of good infrastructure:<br />
Mongolia has only one significant highway and <strong>the</strong> state of<br />
most roads are poor.<br />
While nearly half of Mongolia’s exports go to China, an<br />
overwhelming portion of <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r half go overseas to <strong>the</strong><br />
United States. For <strong>the</strong>se exports, transit routes through Russia<br />
(to St Petersburg, Vladivostok, Nakhoda or Vostochny) and<br />
China (to Tianjin) are used and are almost without exception<br />
by rail. Transit infrastructure levels are reasonable although a<br />
diversification of modes to facilitate competition between road<br />
and rail would be advantageous. Mongolia’s relations with<br />
Russia and China are reasonably good and improving.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 113<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,783<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $265<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,693km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1999): 0.16<br />
Neighbors:<br />
China, Russia<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
China, Russia<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
While Mongolia has significant road coverage on an absolute<br />
scale, <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> road network is limited relative<br />
to <strong>the</strong> needs of <strong>the</strong> country. Roads are largely unpaved and of<br />
poor quality (Canning 1998), leading to <strong>the</strong> dual problems of<br />
long transport times and <strong>the</strong> significant damage to goods. 33 On<br />
<strong>the</strong> positive side, <strong>the</strong> government is making efforts to upgrade<br />
roads, largely through external aid. A total of $US250m in<br />
development assistance was committed to improving transport<br />
infrastructure between 1990-99 (Stone 2001). Construction of<br />
an east-west arterial road began in 2001.<br />
Although roads are not used for transit through China nor<br />
Russia, <strong>the</strong>re is potential for a road route through to Tianjin<br />
(China). Currently <strong>the</strong> main obstacle to using such a road<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Russia (35%),<br />
China (20%),<br />
Exports: China (48%),<br />
US (31%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Copper, gold, cashmere<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
route is due to regulatory barriers: Mongolian, Russian and Chinese trucks have not been<br />
able to operate within each o<strong>the</strong>r’s territory (United Nations General Assembly 2000). Such<br />
regulations, however, are showing signs of easing: a protocol was signed with Russia to<br />
enable <strong>the</strong> transport of passengers by road in ei<strong>the</strong>r territory without taxes or fees (UNCTAD<br />
1999a). Negotiations are currently underway to allow <strong>the</strong> right of transit for Mongolian,<br />
fair<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
32 Mongolia has a land area of 1,566,500 sq km and population density of 1.5 persons/sq km. Botswana is <strong>the</strong><br />
second most sparsely populated with 2.7 persons/km 2 (WDI 2002)<br />
33 Drivers also suffer from limited supplies of fuel (EIU 2001).<br />
- 92 -
Russian and Chinese trucks, and <strong>the</strong> obligation to provide transit facilities (UNCTAD<br />
2002a).<br />
Rail<br />
The Ulaanbaatar Railway is Mongolia’s primary transportation infrastructure, linking freight<br />
and passengers with Russia and China. It serves <strong>the</strong> three largest industrial areas of<br />
Mongolia: Ulaanbaatar, Darkhan and Erdenet. There is little competition to <strong>the</strong> rail network<br />
from <strong>the</strong> road network.<br />
The three principal rail transit routes are via China to Tianjin (Xingang),via Russia to<br />
Vladivostok, Nakhoda or Vostochny, and via Russia to St Petersburg. Rail cargo to and from<br />
Russia and Europe is transported via a broad-gauge line with no interruption. Cargo to and<br />
from China however must be transshipped at Zamyn Uud because of two different rail<br />
gauges. Slow transshipment during peak harvest period in China is reported to remain a<br />
major concern to Mongolia (UNCTAD 1999a).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Mongolia has a free trade regime, with no quotas or onerous licensing requirements (USCS<br />
2001). China is Mongolia’s largest trade partner (IMF DOTS 2002) and <strong>the</strong> largest foreign<br />
investor (CountryWatch 2002). Relations with China had been mixed prior to 1989, with a<br />
general improvement since <strong>the</strong>n to <strong>the</strong> point where President Bagabandi was <strong>the</strong> first<br />
Mongolian head of state to visit China. Mongolia’s relationship with Russia has also been<br />
improving since <strong>the</strong> early 1990s and <strong>the</strong> Soviet troop withdrawal in September 1992. The<br />
two <strong>countries</strong> have signed a number of treaties on trade, security and stability, including a<br />
transit agreement allowing tax-free and fee-free transit.<br />
- 93 -
CAUCASUS<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF THE CAUCASUS<br />
The location of <strong>the</strong> Caucasus <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, Armenia and Azerbaijan, at <strong>the</strong> bridge of<br />
<strong>the</strong> traditional east-west Silk Route connecting East Asia to Europe, holds large potential<br />
benefits for both <strong>countries</strong>. The planned revival of <strong>the</strong> Silk Route as a network of major<br />
transport corridors could potentially help <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong> become vital transit links between<br />
East and West. Yet, in <strong>the</strong>ir current state, both Armenia and Azerbaijan suffer extensively as<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. Regional tensions, including boundary disputes over <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea,<br />
ethnic disputes and steadfast Russian alliances have hindered any serious attempts at regional<br />
integration. In fact, such disputes have resulted in <strong>the</strong> closure of both <strong>the</strong> Armenia-<br />
Azerbaijan and Armenia-Turkey border.<br />
Armenia and Azerbaijan have also suffered from surrounding civil conflicts that have limited<br />
<strong>the</strong> use of potential corridors. The Georgian civil war began in 1992, hindering <strong>the</strong> use of <strong>the</strong><br />
Georgian corridor and resulting in severely dilapidated infrastructure on <strong>the</strong> route. Similarly,<br />
- 94 -
<strong>the</strong> Chechen war has limited trade to <strong>the</strong> north and weakened Azerbaijan’s relations with<br />
Russia.<br />
Reflecting <strong>the</strong> weak political institutions of <strong>the</strong> region, corruption is widespread and has<br />
become a serious concern for Armenia and Azerbaijan. Having to transport <strong>the</strong>ir trade across<br />
international borders, where bribe paying is particularly persistent, <strong>the</strong>se <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
economies suffer hugely from both internal corruption and from <strong>the</strong> corruption of <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
neighbors. Such institutional issues will need to be addressed immediately if <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong> hope to play a substantial role in <strong>the</strong> revival of <strong>the</strong> Silk Route.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r complicating <strong>the</strong> situation, <strong>the</strong> ongoing ethno-politic conflicts and political instability<br />
of <strong>the</strong> region have left <strong>the</strong> transport infrastructure in a severe state of dilapidation. The<br />
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development estimated that nearly 40% of Armenian<br />
roads were in need of immediate repair in 1998, while 56% of Azerbaijan’s main road<br />
network has been described as being in a poor state of repair. The infrastructure of<br />
neighboring Georgia infrastructure is in even worse condition. Significant investment will be<br />
required to restore <strong>the</strong> regional transit system.<br />
- 95 -
ARMENIA<br />
While Armenia’s central geographic position in <strong>the</strong> Caucasus<br />
potentially allows it to serve as a regional crossroad like it did<br />
prior to independence in 1991, this has not been possible over<br />
<strong>the</strong> last decade due to conflicts with neighbors Turkey and<br />
Azerbaijan and severely deteriorated infrastructure. Such<br />
<strong>challenges</strong> have contributed to Armenia’s high transport costs,<br />
which are significantly greater than those of most former<br />
Soviet Union republics. One estimate of <strong>the</strong>se costs,<br />
calculated by <strong>the</strong> World Bank, suggests that if Armenia’s<br />
average freight factor was that of <strong>the</strong> EU - 8 times less than<br />
Armenia’s - it could save approximately US$100 million per<br />
year. 34<br />
The trade costs of conflict have been severe. Armenia’s<br />
traditional trade route through Azerbaijan, which accounted<br />
for over 85% of Armenian trade flows, was blockaded in 1991<br />
as a result of <strong>the</strong> conflict over Nagoro-Karabakh. Shortly<br />
<strong>the</strong>reafter <strong>the</strong> Turkish border was also closed to transport.<br />
With transit corridors undeveloped to <strong>the</strong> south, Armenia was<br />
forced to reroute nearly all of its trade through Georgia. This<br />
too presented problems for Armenia when a ravaging civil war<br />
broke out in Georgia. A recently developed corridor to Iran<br />
has been witnessing an increased trade flow.<br />
TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
With <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Azerbaijan rail corridor, most of<br />
Armenia’s freight transit traffic has been rerouted to <strong>the</strong> road<br />
corridor from Yerevan to Georgia. This increasing<br />
dependence on <strong>the</strong> road network has been accompanied by<br />
significant deterioration in <strong>the</strong> infrastructure, resulting from<br />
years of neglect following independence. A 1998 European<br />
Bank for Reconstruction and Development <strong>study</strong> estimated<br />
that nearly 40% of Armenian roads were in need of immediate<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 76<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,559<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $118<br />
Distance to port:<br />
693km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(1999): 0.29<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Azerbaijan, Georgia, Iran,<br />
Turkey<br />
Primary transit neighbor:<br />
Georgia<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: United States (16%)<br />
Russia (11%)<br />
Exports: Russia (20%)<br />
United Kingdom (10%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Precious stones & metals (36%)<br />
Prepared foodstuffs (14%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
repair. Many of <strong>the</strong>se roads are considered to be so dilapidated that rehabilitation will soon<br />
no longer be possible. The lack of upkeep has been aggravated by <strong>the</strong> country’s harsh<br />
winters, extreme altitudes, and susceptibility to earthquakes such as <strong>the</strong> one that devastated<br />
<strong>the</strong> country in 1988. In an attempt to address <strong>the</strong> deteriorated condition of <strong>the</strong> domestic road<br />
system, Armenia initiated a US$16 million Highway Project and more recently, in 2000, a<br />
US$40 million Transport Sector Project, both with assistance from <strong>the</strong> World Bank.<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
Transit Country Ports: poor<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
34 The ratio of freight costs to merchandise value.<br />
- 96 -
Rail<br />
Prior to its collapse, <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union depended heavily on its extensive railway network for<br />
internal movement of raw materials. As part of this network, <strong>the</strong> Armenian railway played a<br />
significant role as a central transport corridor in <strong>the</strong> Caucasus. Since <strong>the</strong> fall of <strong>the</strong> Soviet<br />
Union, however, rail traffic has declined significantly. Freight traffic in Armenia is estimated<br />
to be only 5% of <strong>the</strong> level prior to independence (World Bank 2000). The closure of <strong>the</strong><br />
Turkish and Azerbaijani borders, <strong>the</strong> dissolution of <strong>the</strong> Soviet command economy, and <strong>the</strong><br />
dilapidated state of <strong>the</strong> rail infrastructure have all contributed to this decline. As of 2000,<br />
only 350 km out of 796 km (44%) of Armenian railways were in operation. This has<br />
contributed to <strong>the</strong> high cost of Armenia’s rail transport, as has <strong>the</strong> poor state of Georgia’s<br />
connecting railway and <strong>the</strong> monopolistic nature of Armenia Railways.<br />
The launch of <strong>the</strong> European Union Transport Corridor Europe Caucasus Asia (TRACECA)<br />
program, intended to better integrate Europe, <strong>the</strong> Caucasus, and Asia through <strong>the</strong><br />
development of an interconnected transport network, would place Armenia at <strong>the</strong> center of<br />
<strong>the</strong> inter-continental traffic route. Process has been delayed, however, since <strong>the</strong> governments<br />
of Azerbaijan and Turkey refuse to cooperate with Armenia.<br />
Ports<br />
With <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Azerbaijan and Turkey corridors, Armenia has relied exclusively on<br />
<strong>the</strong> ports of Georgia and Iran. Georgia’s primary port, Poti, was established in 1858 and is<br />
considered to be outdated. The port’s infrastructure was damaged in Georgia’s two civil wars<br />
in <strong>the</strong> mid 1990s. It has traditionally been used to transport cargo in bulk and will require<br />
significant improvements if it is to serve as one of <strong>the</strong> principle ports along <strong>the</strong> TRACECA<br />
route. Recent efforts have been made to improve <strong>the</strong> efficiency and increase <strong>the</strong> overall<br />
capacity of <strong>the</strong> port.<br />
The primary Iranian port for Armenian freight traffic has been Bandar Abbas, which is now<br />
Iran’s major port and handles over 75% of Iran’s total port cargo. Bandar Abbas offers<br />
modern facilities and is considered to be operating relatively efficiently.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
The <strong>challenges</strong> Armenia faces as a <strong>landlocked</strong> nation have been severely aggravated by its<br />
conflict with neighboring Azerbaijan, which has resulted in <strong>the</strong> closure of not only <strong>the</strong><br />
Azerbaijan-Armenia border but also <strong>the</strong> Turkey-Armenia border. Dating back to <strong>the</strong> 1920s,<br />
<strong>the</strong> conflict originated in a debated boundary demarcation by <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union. It was not<br />
until <strong>the</strong> late 1980s that <strong>the</strong> conflict exploded into a full scale military conflict with <strong>the</strong><br />
resulting border closure. The ongoing conflict, which continues to dominate Armenia’s<br />
geopolitical relations, has at its root <strong>the</strong> disputed Nagorny Karabakh territory. The conflict<br />
has resulted in severed relations with not only Azerbaijan, but also Turkey, which supports<br />
Azerbaijan and continues to maintain an effective blockade against Armenian trade. With<br />
continuing pressure from <strong>the</strong> United States and Europe, however, Turkey has begun to ease<br />
restrictions on Armenia as relations begin to thaw.<br />
- 97 -
With <strong>the</strong> closure of <strong>the</strong> Turkish and Azerbaijani borders, Armenia has become increasingly<br />
dependent on Georgia and Iran. Armenia’s relations with Iran are warm, and have witnessed<br />
increased efforts by both governments to fur<strong>the</strong>r political relations in order to facilitate <strong>the</strong><br />
nations’ increasing economic interdependence. Relations with Georgia have also seen recent<br />
improvements, deriving largely from an increasing economic interdependence. Tensions<br />
between Armenia and Georgia, however, still exist, stemming largely from Georgia’s<br />
increasing alliance with <strong>the</strong> West and political distance from Russia, its cooperation with<br />
Azerbaijan and Turkey in <strong>the</strong> construction of <strong>the</strong> Baku-Ceyhan pipeline, and discrimination<br />
against Armenians in Georgia. Attempting to improve <strong>the</strong>ir bilateral relations, Georgia and<br />
Armenia signed an agreement in 2001 promising not to enter into alliances considered to be<br />
hostile to <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r country. Political instability in Georgia, most notably <strong>the</strong> two recent civil<br />
wars, also placed on this trade route for Armenia.<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong> ongoing tensions with its neighbors, Armenia continues to maintain extremely<br />
close political relations with its most important trade partner, Russia. In fact, Russia<br />
maintains a military presence in Armenia, controlling its borders and protecting its national<br />
security.<br />
- 98 -
AZERBAIJAN<br />
“Ever since ancient man first began to migrate, Azerbaijan has been <strong>the</strong> key<br />
landbridge between Europe and Asia. The country also sits astride <strong>the</strong> main<br />
route between Russia and Iran and onward points in <strong>the</strong> Middle East and<br />
South Asia. So, <strong>the</strong> country truly is <strong>the</strong> crossroads of North-South and East-<br />
West traffic.” – (Azerbaijan Special Report 2002)<br />
Azerbaijan’s strategic location has placed it at <strong>the</strong> centre of<br />
discussions for <strong>the</strong> restoration of both <strong>the</strong> traditional eastwest<br />
Silk Route and a north-south corridor being discussed<br />
by India, Iran and Russia. In addition to its fortuitous<br />
geographic position, Azerbaijan has benefited from a<br />
favorable climate, geography, and abundant natural<br />
resources. All of <strong>the</strong>se domestic factors contributed to <strong>the</strong><br />
development of an extensive transportation network during<br />
<strong>the</strong> period of <strong>the</strong> former Soviet Union. However, Azerbaijan<br />
still faces extremely high transport costs due to serious<br />
neglect of its infrastructure; dilapidated infrastructure in its<br />
most vital transit country, Georgia; widespread corruption,<br />
considered to be <strong>the</strong> worst in <strong>the</strong> region; and, regional<br />
disputes following <strong>the</strong> collapse of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union have<br />
resulted in relative transport costs (measured as ratio of<br />
freight costs to value of merchandise) more than five times<br />
<strong>the</strong> EU average (World Bank 2001). The vast majority of<br />
<strong>the</strong> country’s export are oil products, a majority of which go<br />
to Italy.<br />
The three main transport corridors linking Azerbaijan to <strong>the</strong><br />
sea are through Georgia, Iran, and Russia. Each of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
corridors has presented significant obstacles to Azerbaijani<br />
trade: <strong>the</strong> Georgian corridor has suffered from particularly<br />
poor infrastructure on <strong>the</strong> Georgian side of <strong>the</strong> border as well<br />
as <strong>the</strong> Georgian civil wars of <strong>the</strong> 1990s; <strong>the</strong> Iranian corridor<br />
is <strong>the</strong> longest of <strong>the</strong> three, generally taking 10-12 days by<br />
road; and <strong>the</strong> Russian corridor has been subject to <strong>the</strong><br />
tensions between Russia and Georgia (e.g., <strong>the</strong> 1994<br />
blockade) as well as <strong>the</strong> Chechnyan war.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 88<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,936<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $267<br />
Distance to port:<br />
870km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.07<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Armenia, Georgia, Iran, Russia<br />
Primary transit neighbor(s):<br />
Georgia<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: United States (16%),<br />
Russia (11%)<br />
Exports: Italy (57%),<br />
Georgia (4%)<br />
Primary Exports (2001):<br />
Oil Products (91%)<br />
Food and associated products (2%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: poor<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Road<br />
Since <strong>the</strong> collapse of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union, road transport has become increasingly important for<br />
Azerbaijan. The east-west transit corridor from Baku through Alyat (Azerbaijan) to Georgia<br />
has now become <strong>the</strong> most important corridor for Azerbaijani trade. While <strong>the</strong> Azerbaijani<br />
portion of this route is in poor/bad condition, <strong>the</strong> Georgian section is considered to be even<br />
poor<br />
poor<br />
Transit Country Ports: poor<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
high<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
- 99 -
worse (World Bank 2000). In fact, while shipment of a container via this highway only takes<br />
3-5 days, <strong>the</strong> average cost is US$2,200; shipment to Bandar Abbas (Iran) takes 10-12 days<br />
and costs US$700-800 (World Bank 2002). The highway’s incorporation into <strong>the</strong> new<br />
Transport Corridor Europe Caucasus Asia (TRACECA ) Silk Route project should bring<br />
about significant improvements. A US$40 million World Bank sponsored Highway Project<br />
has already been initiated to improve this route.<br />
Azerbaijan’s internal road network, while extensive, is also in a severely dilapidated state<br />
due to poor maintenance; Kocks Consult recently estimated that 56% of <strong>the</strong> main road<br />
network was in a poor state of repair while funding for maintenance is only one quarter of <strong>the</strong><br />
required level (World Bank 2002). The poor condition of <strong>the</strong> roads has not only contributed<br />
to costs associated with delays and accidents but is considered to have increased vehicle<br />
operating costs by between 28 and 44 percent (World Bank 2001). The dilapidated condition<br />
of Azerbaijani roads can largely be attributed to minimal road funding since independence –<br />
only one quarter of <strong>the</strong> required level.<br />
Rail<br />
Since <strong>the</strong> fall of <strong>the</strong> Soviet Union, Azerbaijan’s railways have witnessed a precipitous decline<br />
in freight traffic to 10% of previous levels. Lines are now in a state of disrepair: <strong>the</strong> EU<br />
estimates that nearly 900 km of rail need to be replaced and only 30 locomotives out of an<br />
“inherited fleet” of 560 are operable (TRACECA 2002). On <strong>the</strong> positive side, recent efforts<br />
associated with TRACECA have already brought about significant improvements in rail<br />
efficiency. Most of <strong>the</strong> improvements have been focused on improving <strong>the</strong> east-west rail<br />
corridor, from Baku to Georgia, which is Azerbaijan’s most important. The European Bank<br />
for Reconstruction and Development has specifically allotted US$20.2m for rehabilitation of<br />
<strong>the</strong>se railways.<br />
Azerbaijan has also benefited from <strong>the</strong> recent (1999) construction of a rail line to Russia that<br />
bypasses Chechnya, <strong>the</strong>reby avoiding <strong>the</strong> Chechen war. The rail corridor to Iran remains of<br />
minimal importance, suffering from limited capacity, disrepair, and vandalism.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
As part of <strong>the</strong> new Silk Route <strong>the</strong> port of Poti (Georgia) will continue to play <strong>the</strong> leading role<br />
in Azerbaijan’s freight traffic. For more information on this port, see <strong>the</strong> section on Armenia.<br />
Azerbaijan’s own port of Baku on <strong>the</strong> Caspian sea primarily serves as a transshipment point<br />
for trade with <strong>the</strong> Central Asian states. Since Azerbaijan’s primary trading partners are<br />
Russia and member states of <strong>the</strong> EU, <strong>the</strong> port does not handle much Azerbaijani freight<br />
traffic. The port is currently operating at only 30% of capacity and its potential efficiency<br />
suffers from low levels of infrastructure.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Although Azerbaijan has been adversely affected by internal civil war in its main transit<br />
neighbor, Georgia, <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> maintain warm relations. Earlier this year <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong><br />
- 100 -
met and promised to seek greater political and economic cooperation. Both <strong>countries</strong> have<br />
been cooperating on <strong>the</strong> construction of <strong>the</strong> new Baku-Ceyhan pipeline.<br />
Unfortunately, Azerbaijan’s recent political history has o<strong>the</strong>rwise been marked by domestic<br />
instability and regional boundary conflicts. Since independence, Azerbaijan has suffered<br />
several coups and attempted coups, many of which have related directly to <strong>the</strong> current level<br />
of success of <strong>the</strong> Azerbaijani war against Armenia over Nagorny Karabakh. The ongoing<br />
struggle with Armenia over this enclave, situated between <strong>the</strong> two Azerbaijani territories,<br />
continues to dominate Azerbaijan’s political scene. Dating back to <strong>the</strong> 1920s, <strong>the</strong> conflict’s<br />
roots lie in a debated Soviet boundary demarcation. It was not, however, until <strong>the</strong> late 1980s<br />
that <strong>the</strong> conflict exploded into a full scale military conflict and <strong>the</strong> resulting border closure.<br />
The dispute has left <strong>the</strong> country of Azerbaijan divided into two disjoint sections, severely<br />
complicating transport to and from <strong>the</strong> western enclave.<br />
Boundary disputes over <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea and its rich natural resources have fur<strong>the</strong>r weakened<br />
Azerbaijan’s regional relations. The most notable of <strong>the</strong>se disputes has been with<br />
Azerbaijan’s sou<strong>the</strong>rn neighbor Iran. Tensions escalated in July 2001 when two Azerbaijani<br />
ships surveying <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea were confronted by an Iranian gunboat and forced to turn<br />
back. Azerbaijan’s economic ties to <strong>the</strong> US and Israel and <strong>the</strong> presence of separatist<br />
Azerbaijani groups in Iran have fur<strong>the</strong>r weakened relations between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
Paralleling <strong>the</strong> deteriorating relations, Azerbaijan’s exports to Iran have fallen from 24% of<br />
total exports in 1997 to less than 0.5% in 2001.<br />
Azerbaijan’s relations with Russia have shown recent signs of improvement, but have<br />
traditionally been uneasy as a result of Azerbaijan’s support for Chechnya. During <strong>the</strong> first<br />
Chechen conflict in 1994, Russia imposed a complete transport blockade of Azerbaijan,<br />
closing both its maritime and overland borders. At that time, Russia was a vital trading<br />
partner of Azerbaijan accounting for 70% of its exports (Hadjy-zadeh 2000). Russia’s close<br />
ties and military support for Armenia, as well as property right disputes on <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea<br />
have fur<strong>the</strong>r contributed to <strong>the</strong> strained relations. Current Russian President Vladimir Putin,<br />
however, has demonstrated a new resolve to streng<strong>the</strong>n relations with Azerbaijan, including a<br />
proposed settlement over <strong>the</strong> disputed areas of <strong>the</strong> Caspian Sea.<br />
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ASIA – SOUTH & SOUTH-EAST<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF BHUTAN AND NEPAL<br />
- 102 -
TRANSIT ROUTES OF LAOS<br />
- 103 -
With <strong>the</strong> exception of western Africa, <strong>the</strong> south and sou<strong>the</strong>ast Asian <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>,<br />
Nepal, Bhutan and Laos are performing worse relative to <strong>the</strong>ir neighbors in human<br />
development than <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of any o<strong>the</strong>r region. Yet, <strong>the</strong> region is <strong>the</strong> only<br />
one where <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> have a lower ratio of transportation and insurance costs<br />
to value of exports than <strong>the</strong>ir maritime neighbors. This discrepancy seems to be accounted<br />
for by <strong>the</strong> fact that all three of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong> trade predominantly with <strong>the</strong>ir immediate<br />
neighbors. In <strong>the</strong> <strong>case</strong> of Bhutan and Nepal, India is <strong>the</strong> main trading partner, while for Laos<br />
it is Thailand and Viet Nam.<br />
The minimal transoceanic trade of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong> appears to result from <strong>the</strong> limited number<br />
of transit corridors. With <strong>the</strong> exception of Lesotho, <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of Nepal and Bhutan are<br />
unique in <strong>the</strong> fact that <strong>the</strong>y have only one transit neighbor, India. This implies complete<br />
dependence on India for access to <strong>the</strong> coast, giving India enormous negotiating power.<br />
Interestingly, each has a very different political relationship with India. Bhutan has enjoyed a<br />
very close working relationship with India, and as a result has been granted liberal access to<br />
transit through India. In fact, India allows Bhutanese transit trade to be conducted under <strong>the</strong><br />
supervision of Bhutanese customs, yielding little administrative hassle. In contrast, Nepal’s<br />
relations with India have often been strained, with India often seen to have more influence in<br />
<strong>the</strong> negotiation of treaties and disputes. In 2001/2002, for example, India placed restrictions<br />
on Nepalese trade while <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> renegotiated trade treaties.<br />
Relatively poor domestic infrastructure has fur<strong>the</strong>r complicated transit for <strong>the</strong> south and<br />
sou<strong>the</strong>astern Asian <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> and has precluded <strong>the</strong>m from taking full advantage<br />
of <strong>the</strong> better surrounding infrastructure. Transit trade entering Laos on <strong>the</strong> Thai rail system,<br />
for example, must currently be unloaded and placed on trucks since Laos has not yet<br />
developed a rail system.<br />
- 104 -
BHUTAN<br />
Bhutan is overwhelmingly dependent on trade with India –<br />
which accounts for 94.6% of Bhutan’s exports and 69.4% of<br />
Bhutan’s imports – and <strong>the</strong> export of hydroelectricity. Thus,<br />
Bhutan is less dependent on transit corridors (IMF 1999) than<br />
most <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>. For its limited exports to overseas<br />
markets, Bhutan is dependent on India for transit since <strong>the</strong><br />
Himalayan mountain range blocks <strong>the</strong> route to China. Its<br />
bilateral relationship with India is <strong>the</strong>refore critically<br />
important and remains very strong.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 140<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,412<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $179<br />
Distance to port:<br />
775km<br />
Reflecting such strong relations, <strong>the</strong> small amount of<br />
Bhutanese transit trade through India is not subject to customs<br />
duties and trade restrictions by Indian authorities. In fact,<br />
Bhutan’s transit trade from Calcutta is controlled by <strong>the</strong> Royal<br />
Bhutan Customs and not Indian Customs. This relative<br />
freedom of transit contrasts greatly with <strong>the</strong> <strong>challenges</strong> faced<br />
by Nepalese transit, which has been historically subject to<br />
significant interference (Chakra Infrastructure Consultants<br />
2001).<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
While Bhutan boasts a high percentage of paved roads, nearly<br />
67%, and fair quality road infrastructure, its mountainous<br />
terrain presents significant <strong>challenges</strong>. The harsh topography<br />
limits not only <strong>the</strong> speed of vehicles but also <strong>the</strong> size of trucks<br />
that can use <strong>the</strong> roads: Bhutan’s roads generally only handle<br />
trucks under 10 tons. Since most of <strong>the</strong> transit goods coming<br />
from India are transported break-bulk in larger trucks, <strong>the</strong>se<br />
trucks must often stop at <strong>the</strong> border for goods to be unloaded<br />
and reloaded on smaller trucks for continuation. Such delays<br />
Transport cost ratio:<br />
Neighbors:<br />
China, India<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
India<br />
fur<strong>the</strong>r aggravate <strong>the</strong> inefficiencies associated with <strong>the</strong> Indian road system – considered to be<br />
worse than many African roads (Canning 1998).<br />
Rail<br />
Bhutan has no rail system and depends primarily on road transport for transit through India.<br />
While it is possible for Bhutan to use <strong>the</strong> Indian rail system from <strong>the</strong> Indian/Bhutanese<br />
border, information is not available as to whe<strong>the</strong>r this mode of transport is used.<br />
Ports<br />
For its small amount of trade with regions outside of India, Bhutan depends almost<br />
exclusively on Calcutta Port. It estimated that only 6,000 tons per year of Bhutanese imports<br />
N/A<br />
Main trading partners (1997):<br />
Imports: India (69.4%)<br />
Exports: India (94.6%)<br />
Primary Exports (1997):<br />
Hydroelectricity (31.9%)<br />
Wood products (13.3%)<br />
Domestic Roads: fair<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
none<br />
fair<br />
Transit Country Ports: fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
- 105 -
and exports pass through <strong>the</strong> port per year. While this port is reported to be struggling with<br />
inefficiencies, cumbersome procedures, and weak infrastructure, it is unclear <strong>the</strong> extent to<br />
which this affects Bhutanese trade. Since so much of Bhutan’s trade is with India,<br />
procedures at Calcutta’s port might not have a large direct impact. Alternative routes have<br />
not been developed since <strong>the</strong>y would offer limited benefits to Bhutan’s low volume of transit<br />
traffic. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r nearby ports in Bangladesh are less attractive due to <strong>the</strong><br />
constraint of two border crossings.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Given Bhutan’s overwhelming economic and transit dependence on India, a strong bilateral<br />
relationship is crucially important for Bhutan. Fortunately, this relationship has been<br />
historically consolidated with Bhutan and India signing a Treaty of Friendship in 1949.<br />
Under this Treaty, Bhutan is required to consult India on its external affairs. Conversely,<br />
India protects Bhutan’s borders from external threat. India also continues to be Bhutan’s<br />
largest donor. More recently, <strong>the</strong> relationship has been slightly strained due to <strong>the</strong> use of<br />
sou<strong>the</strong>rn Bhutan by north-east Indian militant groups fighting against India. To minimize <strong>the</strong><br />
strain, <strong>the</strong> Bhutanese military has provided cooperation with <strong>the</strong> Indian military<br />
(CountryWatch 2002).<br />
While Bhutan does not have formal diplomatic ties with its o<strong>the</strong>r neighbor, China, relations<br />
have shown recent improvements. The central source of historic tensions has been border<br />
disputes. Negotiations between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> over <strong>the</strong> disputed land are progressing<br />
positively with several recent high-level visits and <strong>the</strong> 1998 agreement “to maintain peace<br />
and tranquility on <strong>the</strong> Sino-Bhutanese border" (EIU 2003). Relations, however, are still far<br />
from being tension free.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> multilateral level, Bhutan is a member of <strong>the</strong> South Asian Association for Regional<br />
Cooperation (SAARC) with Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka<br />
(WDI 2002). The SAARC has established a Preferential Trading Arrangement (SAPTA) to<br />
promote trade and economic cooperation amongst <strong>the</strong> region (WDI 2002). While SAARC<br />
has had some success in promoting cooperation among its members, <strong>the</strong> level of integration<br />
and cooperation does not match that of o<strong>the</strong>r regions such sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa.<br />
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LAOS<br />
Laos trades primarily with its neighbors Thailand and Viet<br />
Nam, which account for 44% of Laos’ total exports and 74%<br />
of imports. While transit through Viet Nam is limited by <strong>the</strong><br />
mountainous terrain, Thailand continues to provide extremely<br />
strong transport links which are <strong>the</strong> primary routes for Laos’<br />
overseas trade. Thailand has also been actively cooperating to<br />
promote Laotian transit and bilateral trade, having developed<br />
facilities and legal frameworks to facilitate <strong>the</strong> movement of<br />
Laotian goods through <strong>the</strong> country (UNCTAD 1999a). Laos’<br />
large dependence on Thailand’s corridors, due to limited<br />
alternative, has limited <strong>the</strong> opportunities for competition<br />
between corridors. Transit routes through Cambodia are not<br />
yet operational but will potentially provide a link through <strong>the</strong><br />
port of Sihanoukville in Cambodia (Cabanius and Bouaphanh<br />
2001). There are no alternate routes through Myanmar due to<br />
mountainous terrain, poor infrastructure and political issues.<br />
m ntma ie limited us terrain, poor infrastructure and political<br />
issues.<br />
Unfortunately, Laos’ poor levels of domestic infrastructure<br />
have precluded it from taking full advantage of <strong>the</strong>se strong<br />
surrounding systems. It is reported to have an extremely poor<br />
road system with single-carriage highways made worse during<br />
<strong>the</strong> rainy season. There is no rail system. Any freight not<br />
shipped by roads is transported by river.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Road<br />
While two thirds of Laos’ domestic freight traffic is<br />
transported by road, <strong>the</strong> country’s 23,300 km of roads are<br />
considered to be of poor quality (EIU 2002). As of 1998,<br />
fewer than half <strong>the</strong> roads were paved and of those highways<br />
that were, most were single-carriage. Approximately 41% of<br />
<strong>the</strong> population lives more <strong>the</strong>n 6km from a main road and<br />
many dirt roads are unusable in <strong>the</strong> rainy season, which<br />
generally lasts for five months (EIU 2001).<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 143<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,575<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): N/A<br />
Distance to port:<br />
620km<br />
Transport cost ratio: 0.08<br />
(1998)<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Cambodia, China, Myanmar,<br />
Thailand, Viet Nam<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Thailand<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Thailand (62%),<br />
Viet Nam (12%)<br />
Exports: Viet Nam (25%),<br />
Thailand (19%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Wood & wood products (31%)<br />
Hydroelectricity (28%)<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: good<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
none<br />
good<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: good<br />
The surrounding Thai road system is of notably high quality. There are three main road<br />
transit corridors between Bangkok and Laos. The first is through Vientiane, <strong>the</strong> second is<br />
through Savannaket, where a bridge across <strong>the</strong> Mekong is under construction, and <strong>the</strong> third is<br />
through Pakse. Unfortunately, Thai-owned freight trucks (which are run as a monopoly on<br />
Laos trade) cannot enter Laos, and vice versa. Hence, transshipment must occur at Nong<br />
- 107 -
Khai (at <strong>the</strong> Thai-Laos border) to transfer between Thai and Laotian owned trucks. In<br />
contrast, Laotian and Viet Namese trucks may carry transit goods freely between <strong>the</strong> two<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. This transshipment of goods through Thailand increases <strong>the</strong> prices of Laos’ goods<br />
greatly, between 60 – 300% depending on <strong>the</strong> good and source of data (Cabanius and<br />
Bouaphanh 2001).<br />
Laos’ o<strong>the</strong>r main transit neighbor, Viet Nam, carries only a small proportion of its transit<br />
export trade as Thai routes are generally cheaper and more reliable. The main routes between<br />
Laos and Vietnamese pass through steep mountains and are <strong>the</strong>refore somewhat difficult for<br />
truck traffic (Cabanius and Bouaphanh 2001).<br />
Road links with Laos’ o<strong>the</strong>r neighbors are of minimal importance. Routes through Myanmar<br />
are severely hindered by <strong>the</strong> mountainous terrain, poor infrastructure and political issues.<br />
The road link between China and Laos involves a 100 km stretch of dirt track passable only<br />
during <strong>the</strong> dry season (Library of Congress 2002).<br />
Rail<br />
Laos has no domestic rail system. Thus, while Thailand has shown its willingness in<br />
supporting Laos – Thai trade by completing a railway section from Bangkok to <strong>the</strong> centre of<br />
<strong>the</strong> Friendship Bridge on <strong>the</strong> Mekong River at Nong Khai, Laos still must unload <strong>the</strong> cargo at<br />
<strong>the</strong> border and reload it on trucks. The short link on <strong>the</strong> Laos side from <strong>the</strong> Friendship<br />
Bridge to Vientiane is still under survey. (Cabanius and Bouaphanh 2001)(Library of<br />
Congress 2002).<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
The majority of Laos’ transit trade passes through <strong>the</strong> port of Bangkok. While <strong>the</strong> port offers<br />
modern facilities, Thailand’s growth has put increasing pressure on its capacity. To deal with<br />
<strong>the</strong> congestion, Thailanda has constructed two new deep sea ports. Much of Laos’ transit<br />
trade through Viet Nam passes through <strong>the</strong> port of Da Nang, and to a lesser extent, <strong>the</strong> ports<br />
of Cua Lo, Xuan Hai and Quy Nhon. The port of Vung Ang is currently under construction<br />
and is envisaged to be dedicated to Lao PDR transit goods.<br />
Lao’s extensive internal waterways have provided an alternate means of transport. The<br />
Mekong River has 4600km of navigable waterways available along <strong>the</strong> river and its<br />
tributaries (EIU 2001). The government is encouraging waterway use by upgrading river<br />
ports and improving river access. However, <strong>the</strong> river is only navigable upstream to China by<br />
small craft and passage through Cambodia to <strong>the</strong> sea is prevented by Phapheng Falls.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
Laos’ relations with its most important transit neighbor, Thailand, have often been tense.<br />
The two <strong>countries</strong> recently fought a border war in 1987 and, although <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> have<br />
grown closer through trade and investment, political relations are still strained and<br />
characterized by border disputes. Laos also has a history of border disputes with Cambodia<br />
and Myanmar. Cambodia and Laos have held four rounds of talks since 1995, agreeing to<br />
recognize <strong>the</strong> internationally accepted principles of border limitation. Myanmar and Laos<br />
- 108 -
have had improved relations following <strong>the</strong> signing of <strong>the</strong> Treaty on <strong>the</strong> Demarcation of<br />
Boundaries in 1994.<br />
Internationally, Laos is a member of <strong>the</strong> ASEAN Free Trade Agreement (AFTA), which<br />
allows <strong>the</strong> free movement of capital and is also expanding to include primary products.<br />
- 109 -
NEPAL<br />
Due to <strong>the</strong> Himalayan range to <strong>the</strong> north of <strong>the</strong> country<br />
limiting trade and contact with China, Nepal remains heavily<br />
dependent for both bilateral and transit trade upon its only<br />
o<strong>the</strong>r neighbor, India. India has had a strong role in Nepalese<br />
politics for many years, but since India’s 1990 trade blockade<br />
of Nepal was followed by <strong>the</strong> internal overthrow of <strong>the</strong><br />
Nepalese panchayat government, many have questioned <strong>the</strong><br />
degree to which Nepal is actually independent of India. One<br />
Indian commentator stated that Nepal only maintains an<br />
“image of independence.” (Spotlight, May 1991, as cited in<br />
Mishra (2002). A more recent example of this influence came<br />
in 2001 and 2002, when India placed restrictions on Nepalese<br />
trade while <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong> renegotiated trade treaties. Nepal<br />
often has little leverage in such negotiations due to its<br />
dependence on India for transit trade.<br />
Today, transit operations between India and Nepal are mainly<br />
governed by <strong>the</strong> Indo-Nepal Treaty of Transit, which was<br />
renewed in 2002 and assists in <strong>the</strong> development of multimodal<br />
transport systems to and from Nepal through India<br />
(Government of Nepal 2002). When blockades or restrictions<br />
are not in place, Nepal is able to use <strong>the</strong> good quality Indian<br />
rail network as well as several Indian road corridors to <strong>the</strong><br />
ports of Calcutta and Haldia. 35 India has also recently agreed<br />
to provide facilities for Nepalese transit trade through Mumbai<br />
and Kandla in addition to <strong>the</strong> existing facilities at Calcutta and<br />
Haldia (UNCTAD 1999b). This India-Nepal transport network<br />
has recently been enhanced by <strong>the</strong> construction of three inland<br />
container depots (dry ports) on <strong>the</strong> border. They allow for <strong>the</strong><br />
stuffing, customs clearance and loading of containers at <strong>the</strong><br />
border so that <strong>the</strong>re is only a modal change and no customs<br />
procedures at <strong>the</strong> land/sea port.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 142<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $1,327<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $57<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1160km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.05<br />
Neighbors:<br />
China, India<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
India<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: India (44%),<br />
China (12%)<br />
Exports: United States (35%),<br />
India (34%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Carpets<br />
Ready-made Garments<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: fair<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
While Nepal could potentially also transit through Bangladesh<br />
or China, <strong>the</strong>se routes face serious limitations and are currently not used. The Bangladesh<br />
corridor would still require Nepalese trade to transit India, and routes through China are<br />
limited by <strong>the</strong> Himalayan mountains. However, potential Nepal – China routes are being<br />
investigated (WTNN 1995).<br />
fair<br />
good<br />
Transit Country Ports: fair<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: poor<br />
35 There are now a total of 15 transit routes available.<br />
- 110 -
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Roads<br />
The bulk of Nepal’s transit trade has traditionally traveled by road over India’s poorly<br />
maintained and highly congested road system. With <strong>the</strong> newly constructed containerized<br />
cargo facilities at Biratnagara and Bhairava at <strong>the</strong> border, road transport from Nepal through<br />
India is significantly faster and cheaper than before.<br />
Domestically, Nepal has a 5,500km road network of, less <strong>the</strong>n one third of which is paved.<br />
The majority of roads are graveled or dirt roads, and wash out frequently during <strong>the</strong> June-<br />
September rainy season. Most hill and mountain trails are only suitable for pedestrians and<br />
pack animals (EIU 2001). Construction and maintenance of paved highways is heavily reliant<br />
on foreign aid. Development assistance to <strong>the</strong> transport sector totaled $US 450m between<br />
1990-99 (Stone 2001).<br />
Rail<br />
Despite only having 59km of rails, <strong>the</strong> Nepalese rail system provides direct and adequate<br />
transport of cargo to Indian ports. The recent construction of a 5.2 km railway connecting<br />
<strong>the</strong> new inland container port of Birganj directly to India’s rail network has fur<strong>the</strong>r improved<br />
this system and is predicted to increase rail traffic significantly. The port offers an<br />
improvement in cost, speed (up to 10 days faster) and reliability of transit (Chakra<br />
Infrastructure Consultants 2001). Moreover, <strong>the</strong> Indian rail network, to which this railway<br />
connects, is of good quality. Shipping costs on <strong>the</strong> rail system, however, are alleged to be<br />
high since freight transport is used to subsidize passenger transport.<br />
Ports<br />
Transit trade passes mainly through Calcutta Port (425,000 tons p.a.) and Haldia Port<br />
(160,000 tons p.a., mainly imports), both of which have been described as having inefficient<br />
management, excessive delays and high costs (Subramanian and Arnold 2001). The ports are<br />
operating at excess capacity and can have turnaround times of several days, with <strong>the</strong> average<br />
at Indian ports being 4.7 days (EIU 2002).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
As discussed, Nepal’s geographic location requires transit trade to pass through India. Such<br />
dependence has rendered Nepal subject to political pressure from India, which has often been<br />
able to leverage its strategic position in trade negotiations, with implications for Nepalese<br />
politics. An Indian blockade of Nepal in 1990, for example, is considered to have<br />
precipitated <strong>the</strong> downfall of <strong>the</strong> Nepalese panchayat government. And while several bilateral<br />
treaties such as <strong>the</strong> 1950 Peace and Friendship Treaty and <strong>the</strong> Treaty of Trade and Commerce<br />
provide <strong>the</strong> basis for <strong>the</strong> free movement of goods between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>, <strong>the</strong>se have not<br />
been uniformly applied. In 1989, for example, India declared several transit treaties expired<br />
and closed all but two border crossings. Such limitations on trade and transit are considered<br />
to have been imposed in retaliation for Nepal’s importation of weapons from China.<br />
- 111 -
More recently, India delayed <strong>the</strong> automatic renewal of a preferential trade treaty agreement in<br />
late 2001 so that <strong>the</strong> original rules could be renegotiated. The ultimate renewal in March<br />
2002 places quota restrictions on several key Nepalese exports and is considered to be<br />
anti<strong>the</strong>tical to <strong>the</strong> spirit of <strong>the</strong> initial treaty. As stated by <strong>the</strong> EIU, it “effectively bring[s] an<br />
end to <strong>the</strong>ir [Nepal’s] preferential treatment beyond a certain level.” (EIU 2001) Beyond<br />
tensions stemming from trade relations and Nepal’s dependence on India’s transit corridors,<br />
ongoing border disputes have fur<strong>the</strong>r weakened relations.<br />
While relations with India have often been strained, Nepal has maintained a cordial<br />
relationship with China since establishing diplomatic relations in 1955. This relationship has<br />
been streng<strong>the</strong>ned by increasing aid flows and technical assistance from China in addition to<br />
several high-level visits in recent years. Trade between <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong>, however, is limited by<br />
<strong>the</strong> natural barrier of <strong>the</strong> Himalayan Mountains.<br />
At <strong>the</strong> multilateral level, Nepal is a member of <strong>the</strong> South Asian Association for Regional<br />
Cooperation (SAARC) with Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.<br />
The SAARC has established a Preferential Trading Arrangement (SAPTA) to promote trade<br />
and economic cooperation amongst <strong>the</strong> region (WDI 2002). While SAARC has had some<br />
success in promoting cooperation among its members, <strong>the</strong> level of integration and<br />
cooperation does not match that of o<strong>the</strong>r regions such sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa.<br />
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SOUTH AMERICA<br />
TRANSIT ROUTES OF SOUTH AMERICA<br />
Unlike <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of o<strong>the</strong>r regions, most notably those of central Asia and<br />
sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa, Bolivia and Paraguay do not share deep historical, cultural, or political<br />
bonds nor are <strong>the</strong>y geographically similar. Bolivia is most closely integrated with <strong>the</strong><br />
members of <strong>the</strong> Andean Community (CAN) customs union, while Paraguay is integrated in<br />
<strong>the</strong> MERCOSUR region. Bolivia’s landscape is dominated by mountains, while Paraguay is<br />
primarily planar. And Bolivia has a large indigenous population, while Paraguay is<br />
predominantly mestizo. None<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong> face strikingly similar <strong>challenges</strong>.<br />
Both suffer from poor domestic infrastructure, and unlike most African <strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong>,<br />
are surrounded by relatively extensive and well maintained transport corridors. The poor<br />
maintenance and operation of domestic linkages, however, have prevented <strong>the</strong>se <strong>countries</strong><br />
from benefiting from such strong external transit corridors. Paraguay’s railroad, for example,<br />
- 113 -
links to <strong>the</strong> railways of Argentina, Uruguay and Brazil, and could serve a primary role in<br />
international transport, but has fallen into a state of disuse.<br />
Bolivia and Paraguay also both face political <strong>challenges</strong> with <strong>the</strong>ir transit neighbors. While<br />
<strong>the</strong>y are not subject to <strong>the</strong> same level of domestic or surrounding strife of <strong>the</strong> <strong>countries</strong> of<br />
Africa, nor <strong>the</strong> frequent border closures of <strong>the</strong> central Asia region, <strong>the</strong> South American<br />
<strong>landlocked</strong> <strong>countries</strong> have suffered from political tensions with <strong>the</strong>ir transit neighbors. Most<br />
recently, for example, an ambitious Bolivian plan that could double exports by exporting<br />
natural gas via Chilean ports has been delayed by ongoing domestic protest in Bolivia against<br />
<strong>the</strong> use of Chilean corridors. Such protest is largely a product of <strong>the</strong> ongoing and century-old<br />
tensions between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>.<br />
On <strong>the</strong> positive side, Bolivia and Paraguay also have similar opportunities: both are<br />
advantageously located in <strong>the</strong> heart of South America, potentially allowing <strong>the</strong>m to serve as<br />
<strong>the</strong> South American trade cross-roads, between MERCOSUR and <strong>the</strong> Andean Community.<br />
This central location could allow <strong>the</strong>m to serve as regional hubs for new technologies less<br />
dependent on transport costs, such as telecommunications. Both Bolivia and Paraguay also<br />
hold <strong>the</strong> potential to be major regional energy hubs since <strong>the</strong>y both possess significant<br />
reserves. Bolivia recently discovered expansive reserves of natural gas and oil, and Paraguay<br />
has <strong>the</strong> potential to be a major exporter of hydroelectric power. Since <strong>the</strong>se sectors are not<br />
primarily dependent on road and rail infrastructure, it will be possible to develop and benefit<br />
from <strong>the</strong>m even before domestic transport infrastructure is improved to an adequate level.<br />
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BOLIVIA<br />
Bolivia lost access to <strong>the</strong> Pacific coast in its 1878-1883 war<br />
with Chile. Its harsh natural environment, dominated by a<br />
topography of steep mountains that bisect <strong>the</strong> country, with a<br />
mean elevation of over 1,000m and mountain ranges with<br />
heights of 3,650-3,900m, has presented significant <strong>challenges</strong><br />
to transport. Extremely poor internal infrastructure and tense<br />
relations with neighboring Chile fur<strong>the</strong>r exacerbate Bolivia’s<br />
situation as a <strong>landlocked</strong> country. Its central location,<br />
however, provides <strong>the</strong> opportunity to serve as a regional trade<br />
and transport hub between <strong>the</strong> Andean and MERCOSUR<br />
<strong>countries</strong>. Large natural gas and oil reserves may also<br />
contribute to <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> country as a regional<br />
energy centre. According to Castellón (2001), “it is expected<br />
that within 10 years, 80% of regional trade could be passing<br />
through Bolivia’s Tax Free Zone, making it a potential<br />
regional centre of energy and trade.” Bolivia has also seen<br />
significant growth in its telecommunications sector after<br />
privatization and has become a fiber optics cable network<br />
distribution centre for South America.<br />
While more than a fifth of Bolivia’s exports are to Brazil,<br />
smoothly functioning sea-access corridors are critical for its<br />
significant volume of trade with overseas markets (primarily<br />
<strong>the</strong> US). The dominant corridors have traditionally been those<br />
accessing <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn Chilean ports of Arica, Iquique and<br />
Antofagasta, which account for nearly 80% of Bolivia’s<br />
export and import trade. The recent development of <strong>the</strong><br />
sou<strong>the</strong>rn Peruvian ports and concerted efforts to improve this<br />
corridor will provide Bolivia with a significant alternative.<br />
Corridors to <strong>the</strong> ports of Brazil and Argentina are being<br />
developed, but are of ancillary importance.<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 114<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $2,424<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $175<br />
Distance to port:<br />
414km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.21<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Argentina, Brazil, Chile,<br />
Paraguay, Peru<br />
Primary transit neighbor(s):<br />
Chile, Peru<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Argentina (17%),<br />
United States (17%)<br />
Exports: Brazil (22%),<br />
Colombia (14%)<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Hydrocarbons<br />
Gas & Oil<br />
Domestic Roads: poor<br />
Transit Country Roads: good<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Road<br />
While 95% of Bolivia’s exporting firms do so by road, <strong>the</strong> country’s roads are considered <strong>the</strong><br />
least developed in South America (World Bank 2002). Only 5-20% of <strong>the</strong> road system is<br />
paved (Castellón 2001, EIU 2002), and approximately 70% consists of unmade earth.<br />
Moreover, <strong>the</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> roads is extremely poor with only 10-15% considered passable<br />
(Langman 2000). The US Department of State warns that road conditions in Bolivia are<br />
“extremely hazardous” (US Dept. of State). Many of <strong>the</strong>se difficulties stem from <strong>the</strong> harsh<br />
topography, frequent flooding, low population density, and weak management systems. To<br />
address <strong>the</strong>se issues, <strong>the</strong> Bolivian government has recently affirmed its commitment to better<br />
poor<br />
good<br />
Transit Country Ports: good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict:<br />
low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
- 115 -
<strong>developing</strong> <strong>the</strong> nation’s road infrastructure. The plan emphasizes streng<strong>the</strong>ning domestic<br />
road links to Peru, Chile, Argentina and Brazil.<br />
The road corridors of <strong>the</strong>se surrounding transit neighbors are in reasonably good condition<br />
and have recently benefited from significant improvements. Efforts to develop <strong>the</strong> Andean<br />
Highway System will fur<strong>the</strong>r streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> surrounding transit routes.<br />
Rail<br />
To compensate Bolivia for <strong>the</strong> loss if its coast, Chile helped Bolivia develop its rail corridors<br />
with <strong>the</strong> inauguration of <strong>the</strong> Arica-La Paz railway in 1913 under <strong>the</strong> 1904 Peace and<br />
Friendship treaty. Unfortunately, <strong>the</strong> Bolivian rail system is now considered extremely<br />
inefficient and largely inadequate, with many of <strong>the</strong> rails in a state of disuse. Many of <strong>the</strong><br />
recent difficulties faced by <strong>the</strong> system can be directly attributed to low levels of investment,<br />
<strong>the</strong> disconnection of <strong>the</strong> two rail networks (one on each side of <strong>the</strong> Andean ranges) and a lack<br />
of forwarders to consolidate cargo, <strong>the</strong>reby limiting <strong>the</strong> amount of container traffic.<br />
The weak rail system has had serious consequences for Bolivian traders. In 1995, for<br />
example, less than half of <strong>the</strong> soya produced was able to be transported due to a lack of<br />
hauling capacity of <strong>the</strong> railroad system. The system continues to face difficulties dealing with<br />
<strong>the</strong> peak soya season, which poses a particular problem since it is essential to reach <strong>the</strong> ports<br />
during winter (in <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn hemisphere) when <strong>the</strong> prices are high. Much of <strong>the</strong> Bolivian<br />
soya does not reach <strong>the</strong> ports until <strong>the</strong> prices have begun falling.<br />
Ports/Waterways<br />
Bolivia has traditionally depended on <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn Chilean ports of Arica, Iquique and<br />
Antofagasta for its international freight trade. Recent improvements to <strong>the</strong> Peruvian ports of<br />
Ilo and Matarani, however, have increased <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong>se ports and helped foster<br />
competition between Chile and Peru for Bolivia’s transit trade.<br />
While river transport has yet to play a significant role in trade due to a lack of technology and<br />
resources, it holds <strong>the</strong> potential to do so. In 1996 <strong>the</strong> Accord of Fluvial Navigation on <strong>the</strong><br />
Paraguay-Paraná Rivers was signed by Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay. It<br />
provides for “free navigation, equal treatment, free transit and reciprocity, multilateral<br />
treatment of cargo reservations, transport and trade facilitation, and port and navigational<br />
services.” Bolivia is also in <strong>the</strong> process of constructing a road that will<br />
connect La Paz with Puerto Suárez on <strong>the</strong> Paraguay River (St. John 2001).<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
While Bolivia has good political relationships with neighboring Peru, Brazil, Paraguay, and<br />
Argentina – streng<strong>the</strong>ned by regional groupings such as <strong>the</strong> Organisation of American States,<br />
<strong>the</strong> Rio Group, and MERCOSUR – tensions with its most important transit country, Chile,<br />
have remained high since <strong>the</strong> war of 1878-1883 when Bolivia lost control of <strong>the</strong> coastal<br />
province of Atacama. Since <strong>the</strong>n Bolivia has gained preferential rights of access to some of<br />
Chile’s Pacific coast, but has never regained sovereign access to <strong>the</strong> land lost – a longstanding<br />
goal of Bolivia’s foreign policy. Many of <strong>the</strong> arrangements between Bolivia and<br />
Chile are considered largely inadequate by <strong>the</strong> Bolivians and continue to fuel tension. In fact,<br />
- 116 -
official diplomatic ties have been severed between <strong>the</strong> two <strong>countries</strong>, with Bolivia only<br />
maintaining consular relations with Chile. The underlying tension has been manifest in<br />
recent social upheaval and opposition to a proposal to develop a gas pipeline to a Chilean<br />
port. The pipeline would allow Bolivia to take advantage of <strong>the</strong> recent increase in gas supply<br />
and a proposed multinational $5 billion project. Despite such problems, relations have been<br />
slowly improving; in 2000, Bolivia and Chile’s Ministers of Defense met to discuss <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
border problem (EIU 2002).<br />
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PARAGUAY<br />
Dependent primarily on trade with its neighbors (its<br />
immediate neighbors account for over 50% of total exports)<br />
and <strong>the</strong> export of hydroelectricity, Paraguay is not as directly<br />
affected by its <strong>landlocked</strong> position as most o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>landlocked</strong><br />
<strong>countries</strong>. The well-developed transport infrastructure of<br />
Paraguay’s maritime neighbors, Argentina and Brazil, fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
limits <strong>the</strong> immediate <strong>challenges</strong> of being <strong>landlocked</strong>. Yet<br />
Paraguay has been unable to take full advantage of <strong>the</strong>se high<br />
infrastructure levels as a result of its poor internal transport<br />
system. Such internal infrastructure problems are exacerbated<br />
by a historically volatile domestic situation characterized by<br />
coups and infighting. This internal conflict has fostered a<br />
sense of distrust between Paraguay and its neighbors.<br />
Paraguay’s primary transit corridors are by road through<br />
Brazil to <strong>the</strong> ports of Paranagua and Santos, and through<br />
Argentina to <strong>the</strong> ports of Rosario and Buenos Aires. Internal<br />
river transport, once of primary importance, is now considered<br />
ancillary, but has seen a recent increase in trade via <strong>the</strong><br />
Hidrovia.<br />
BASIC INFORMATION<br />
HDI Rank: 90<br />
GDP per capita<br />
2000 (PPP$): $4,426<br />
Exports per capita<br />
2000 (current USD): $278<br />
Distance to port:<br />
1,022km<br />
Transport cost ratio<br />
(2000): 0.17<br />
Neighbors:<br />
Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil<br />
Primary transit <strong>countries</strong>:<br />
Argentina, Brazil<br />
Main trading partners (2001):<br />
Imports: Brazil (31%),<br />
Argentina (21%)<br />
Exports: Brazil (26%),<br />
Argentina (23%)<br />
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE<br />
Roads<br />
Having become <strong>the</strong> primary mode of transit freight in <strong>the</strong><br />
1980s, Paraguay’s road system is of critical importance for<br />
both domestic and international trade - over 80% of domestic<br />
freight being transported via roadways. This network is<br />
largely inadequate and of poor quality, with only 3,224 km<br />
(6%) of roads paved. Castellón suggests that <strong>the</strong>re has been a<br />
significant improvement over <strong>the</strong> past fifteen years (Castellón<br />
2001). Such poor domestic road infrastructure has not<br />
Primary Exports:<br />
Hydoelectricity<br />
Agricultural Products<br />
Domestic Roads:<br />
Transit Country Roads:<br />
Domestic Rails:<br />
Transit Country Rails:<br />
Transit Country Ports:<br />
allowed Paraguay to benefit from <strong>the</strong> strong surrounding road networks of Argentina and<br />
Brazil. Recognizing <strong>the</strong> weaknesses of its road system, <strong>the</strong> Paraguayan government has<br />
placed emphasis on its development and has negotiated a $82.3 million dollar loan from <strong>the</strong><br />
IADB for several road system projects. The government will have to compensate for<br />
significant damage to roads and bridges caused by excessive flooding of <strong>the</strong> Paraguay River<br />
during <strong>the</strong> mid-1990s El Niño cycle (UN DHA 1997).<br />
Rail<br />
Paraguay’s 135 year old railroad, The Ferrocarril Central del Paraguay, is no longer<br />
functioning. The main line, which links Asunción with Encarnación will need substantial<br />
poor<br />
good<br />
poor<br />
good<br />
good<br />
Neighboring Civil Conflict: low<br />
Relations w/ Neighbors: fair<br />
- 118 -
enovation to become operational. It would provide links with railroads in Argentina,<br />
Uruguay, and Brazil. While <strong>the</strong> Paraguayan government has tried to privatize <strong>the</strong> railroad, <strong>the</strong><br />
substantial investment needed to upgrade <strong>the</strong> current system has so far precluded any private<br />
interest.<br />
Ports /Waterways<br />
Paraguay’s major transit ports are Paranagua and Santos, Brazil and Buenos Aires and<br />
Rosario, Argentina. All of <strong>the</strong>se ports offer Paraguay duty free zones or sheds and are of<br />
international standards.<br />
The potential of Paraguay’s extensive domestic river system for transport has not been fully<br />
realized owing to insufficient storage facilities, severe financial constraints in <strong>developing</strong> and<br />
upgrading inland ports, irregular services, very high freight charges, and a lack of shipping<br />
space. These problems are complicated by navigational difficulties, in particular shallow<br />
waters which limit <strong>the</strong> size of container traffic. To address <strong>the</strong>se issues and facilitate <strong>the</strong><br />
interconnection of <strong>the</strong> region, <strong>the</strong> Paraguay-Paraná Hidrovia Project was proposed. If<br />
completed, it would allow for <strong>the</strong> year-round passage of freight from <strong>the</strong> Atlantic Ocean<br />
through Paraguay all <strong>the</strong> way to Bolivia. This project, however, has been delayed due to<br />
environmental concerns.<br />
POLITICAL RELATIONS<br />
While Paraguay has emerged from <strong>the</strong> isolation associated with <strong>the</strong> authoritarian rule of<br />
General Alfredo Stroessner (1954-1989), relations with its MERCOSUR partners Argentina,<br />
Brazil and Uruguay remain strained. These tensions stem largely from Paraguay’s ongoing<br />
domestic instability that has been characterized by attempted coups and impeachments,<br />
assassinations, resignations, and frequent changes in political leadership. Following a<br />
political upheaval in 1996, <strong>the</strong> MERCOSUR partners jointly announced that democratic<br />
governance would be a prerequisite of membership in <strong>the</strong> trading bloc.<br />
Fur<strong>the</strong>r tensions with MERCOSUR partners have resulted from Paraguay’s role as a centre<br />
for contraband and re-exports. In response, Brazil recently decided to increase border<br />
enforcement and limit duty-free purchases. This has had dramatic consequences for <strong>the</strong><br />
Paraguayan economy, including a doubling of its trade deficit (Castellón 2001).<br />
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BOPS<br />
Break Bulk<br />
CAN<br />
CAR<br />
CEEAC/ECCAS<br />
CEMAC<br />
CEPGL<br />
CIF<br />
CILSS<br />
COMESA<br />
DAF<br />
DRC<br />
EAC<br />
ECOWAS<br />
EU<br />
FEZ<br />
FDI<br />
FOB<br />
FTAA<br />
HDI<br />
IMF<br />
LDC<br />
LLC<br />
MERCOSUR<br />
NTB<br />
OCBN<br />
Rake<br />
RCD-Goma<br />
SAARC<br />
SADC<br />
SAPTA<br />
SNTN<br />
STRN<br />
TC<br />
Transit Country<br />
UDEAC<br />
UEMOA<br />
UN<br />
UNCTAD<br />
WDI<br />
GLOSSARY<br />
IMF Balance of Payment Statistics.<br />
Cargo which is shipped as a unit ( i.e. palletized cargo, boxed cargo, large machinery,<br />
trucks and pre-slung cargo). This type of cargo is not containerized.<br />
Comunidad Andina (Andean Community).<br />
Central African Republic.<br />
Communauté Economique des Etats de l’Afrique Centrale (Economic Community of<br />
Central African States).<br />
Communauté économique et monétaire de l’Afrique centrale (Central African Economic<br />
and Monetary Community).<br />
Communauté économique des pays des grands lacs (Economic Community of <strong>the</strong> Great<br />
Lakes Countries).<br />
Cost of a good, including insurance and freight. See also FOB and CIF/FOB ratio.<br />
Comite inter-Etats de llutte contre la secheresse ay Sahel (Permanent Interstate<br />
Committee for Drought Control in <strong>the</strong> Sahel).<br />
Common Market for Eastern and Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa.<br />
Delivered at Frontier.<br />
Democratic Republic of Congo.<br />
East African Community.<br />
Economic Community Of West African States.<br />
European Union.<br />
Foreign Economic Zones/Foreign Trade Zones.<br />
Foreign Direct Investment.<br />
Cost of a good, free on board. That is, cost of a good without <strong>the</strong> cost of freight and<br />
insurance. See also CIF and CIF/FOB ratio.<br />
Free Trade Area of <strong>the</strong> Americas.<br />
Human Development Index.<br />
International Monetary Fund.<br />
Least Developed Country.<br />
Landlocked Country.<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Common Market/Treaty of Asunción.<br />
Non-tariff barrier.<br />
Organisation commune Benin-Niger (Benin-Niger Organisation).<br />
Wagons/carriages semi permanently joined in an articulation.<br />
Congolese Rally for Democracy – Goma.<br />
South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation.<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn African Development Community.<br />
SAARC Preferential Trading Arrangement.<br />
Societe Nationale des Transports du Niger (Niger National Transport Society).<br />
Synidcat des Transporteurs Routiers du Niger (Niger Transport Route Syndicate).<br />
Transit Country.<br />
A country over which a <strong>landlocked</strong> country’s trade usually passes in order to reach a<br />
port.<br />
Douanière des Etats de l'Afrique Centrale (Central African Customs and Economic<br />
Union).<br />
Union economique et momonetaire oust-africaine (West African Economic and<br />
Monetary Union).<br />
United Nations.<br />
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.<br />
World Bank World Development Indicators.<br />
- 120 -
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- 121 -
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AFRICA - CENTRAL AND EASTERN<br />
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October 2001.<br />
Mwamunyange, J. (1998). Tanzania Dry Port Plan for Rwanda Cargo. The East African. 20<br />
July 1998.<br />
Omondi, V. (2001). 'Big Bro<strong>the</strong>r' Fights Back as Dar Closes in. The East African. 26 March<br />
2001.<br />
Republic of Rwanda (2000). Ishaka Dry Port seeks more Rwandan Business. Republic of<br />
Rwanda Official Press Release. 13 June 2000.<br />
Reuters (2002a). Who's who in Congo war as peace beckons. Reuters AlertNet. 17 December<br />
2002.<br />
Reuters (2002b). Congo Parties Strike Peace Deal in South Africa. Reuters. 17 December<br />
2002.<br />
Roningen, V. and D. DeRosa (2002). Rwanda as a Free Trade Zone, ADR International Ltd.<br />
Policy Breif No. 11.<br />
The East African (2002). Dar Wants Refugees Out by Dec 31. The East African. Nairobi. 14<br />
October 2002.<br />
TRC (2002). Isaka Dry Port, Tanzania Railway Corporation,<br />
http://www.trctz.com/isakaa1.htm.<br />
UNCTAD (2001). Review of Progress In The Development Of Transit Transport Systems In<br />
Eastern and Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa. New York, UNCTAD: Trade and Development Board.<br />
UNCTAD/LDC/115.<br />
US DoS (2002). Rwanda: Consular Information Sheet, US Department of State: Bureau of<br />
Consular Affairs, http://travel.state.gov/rwanda.html.<br />
- 137 -
- 138 -
AFRICA - WESTERN<br />
ECOWAS (1999). Development of Physical Infrastructure for Roads, Telecommunications<br />
and Energy, Economic Community Of West African States.<br />
UNCTAD (1999). Improvement of Transit Transportation System in Land-locked and<br />
Transit Developing Countries: Issues for Consideration. New York, United Nations<br />
Conference on Trade and Development. UNCTAD/TD/B/LDC/AC.1/13.<br />
BURKINA FASO<br />
AllAfrica (2003). Ivorian, Burkina Faso Relations Hit Rock Bottom. 27 January 2003.<br />
Accra Mail (2002). Ghana: Ghana, Burkina Faso Talks End. 3 June 2002.<br />
Burkina Faso Ministry of Economy and Finance (2000). Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper.<br />
Ougadougou, Burkina Faso Ministry of Economy and Finance.<br />
Burkina Faso Ministry of Economy and Finance (2001). Burkina Faso: Poverty Reduction<br />
Strategy Paper (Progress Report). Ougadougou, Government of Burkina Faso.<br />
ECOWAS (1999). Resolution C/RES.1/12/88 on <strong>the</strong> Implementation of <strong>the</strong> Programme of<br />
<strong>the</strong> Higher Committee on Land Transport, Economic Community of West African State,<br />
http://www.sec.ecowas.int/sitecedeao/english/cres011288.htm.<br />
EIU (2001). Country Profile Burkina Faso. Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
IMF (1999). Burkina Faso; Enhance Structural Adjustment Facility Policy Framework Paper,<br />
2000-2002. Washington, International Monetary Fund.<br />
IMF (2002). Burkina Faso: Selected Issues and Statistical Annex. Washington, International<br />
Monetary Fund. 02/93.<br />
IMF DOTS (2002). Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook. Washington, IMF.<br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (1993). Burkina Faso:<br />
Environmental Synopsis of Burkina Faso, Sustainable Development Information Service,<br />
http://www.wri.org/wdces/bu91_329.html.<br />
ITDN (1998). Trade Policy Reviews- Burkina Faso, International Trade Data Network,<br />
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- 139 -
Jean-Bertin, O. (2002). Burkina Faso- Burkina Faso Transport Sector Program, Ministry of<br />
Infrastructure, Transport and Housing. PID11438.<br />
Mitchell, B. and K.-J. Budin (1998). African Transport Technical Note, Sub- saharan Africa<br />
Transport policy program (SSATP). Note No. 13.<br />
News in Ghana (2002). Ghana, Burkina Faso agree on Bilateral Relations. News in Ghana.<br />
16 December 2002.<br />
OECD/AfDB (2002). African Economic Outlook 2002/03 - Country Studies: Burkina Faso.<br />
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, and African Development Bank.<br />
Some, L. (2002). Analysis of Climate Variability in Burkina Faso. Conference on<br />
Understanding Poverty and Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, University of Oxford.<br />
UN DHA (1998). Burkina Faso Floods, UN Department of Humanitarian Affairs (DHA),<br />
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UNCTAD (1999). Improvement of Transit Transportation System in Land-locked and<br />
Transit Developing Countries: Issues for Consideration. New York, United Nations<br />
Conference on Trade and Development. UNCTAD/TD/B/LDC/AC.1/13.<br />
US DoS (2001). Background Note: Burkina Faso, U.S Department of State, Bureau of<br />
African Affairs, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/2834.htm.<br />
World Bank (2000). Memorandum of <strong>the</strong> President of <strong>the</strong> International Development<br />
Association To <strong>the</strong> Executive Directors on a Country Assistance Strategy of <strong>the</strong> World Bank<br />
Group for Burkina Faso. Washington, World Bank, Country Department for Burkina Faso,<br />
AFC15.<br />
WTO (1998). Trade policy Reviews: First press release, Secretariat and Government<br />
Summaries, World Trade Organisation,<br />
http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tpr_e/tp89_e.htm.<br />
WTO (1999). Trade Policy Review: Burkina Faso and Mali, World Trade Organization,<br />
Trade Policy Review Body. 99-0734.<br />
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC<br />
Atlapedia (2001). Central African Republic, Atlapedia Online Countries Atoz,<br />
http://www.atlapedia.com/online/<strong>countries</strong>/centafri.htm.<br />
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- 140 -
Economist (2002). The Road to Hell is Unpaved. The Economist. 19 December 2002.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Report Central African Republic, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Government of <strong>the</strong> Central African Republic (2000). Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper,<br />
Interim Version. Bangui.<br />
ICO (2000). Central African Republic, International Coffee Organisation,<br />
http://www.ico.org/libser/car.htm.<br />
IRIN (1998). Guinea Bissau: Vieira declares ceasefire as rebels advance, United Nations,<br />
Office for <strong>the</strong> Co-ordination of Humanitarian Affairs Integrated Regional Information<br />
Network for West Africa, http://www.cidi.org/humanitarian/irin/wafrica/98b/0016.html.<br />
ITDN (2001). CAR Country Commercial Guides, International Trade Data Network,<br />
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Karl, K. (2002). CAR Country Report,<br />
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CHAD & NIGER<br />
Arabic Germanic Consulting (1999). Libya History, Arabic German Consulting,<br />
http://www.arab.de/arabinfo/libyahis.htm.<br />
Atlapedia (2001). Niger, Atlapedia Online Countries Atoz,<br />
http://www.atlapedia.com/online/<strong>countries</strong>/niger.htm.<br />
Bamford, D. (2001). CAR fighting drags in neighbors. BBC. 4 June 2001.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Chad Foreign Relations, CountryWatch.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Niger Foreign Relations. CountryWatch<br />
EIU (2002). Chad Country Profile. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Profile Niger 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Report Chad 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Report Niger 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Niger Country Profile. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
- 141 -
Evlo, K. (1995). Transit Transport Systems in West and Central Africa. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
UNCTAD/LDC/94.<br />
ExxonMobil (2002). Project Description. Environmental Assessment - Executive Summary<br />
& Update, ExxonMobil Chad Development Project. 2002.<br />
Global Road Warrior (2001). Niger Transportation,<br />
http://www.worldcell.com/wrldrw/grw/country/niger/08grw.html.<br />
IRIN (2002). Benin- Niger: Border dispute agreement ratified. UN Office for <strong>the</strong><br />
Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Abidjan. 12 April 2002.<br />
ITDN (2001). Niger Country Commercial Guides, International Trade Data Network,<br />
http://www.itdn.net/cgi-bin/ctrydisp.exe?db=ccgrpts&country=Niger&field=regulation.<br />
ITDN (2002). Chad Country Commercial Guides, International Trade Data network,<br />
http://www.itdn.net/cgi-bin/ctrydisp.exe?db=ccgrpts&country=Chad&field=financing.<br />
Niger MEI & MOT (1997). Niger Transport Infrastructure Rehabilitation Project, Ministry of<br />
Equipment and Infrastructure, and Ministry Of Transport. PIC4674.<br />
OTAL (2002). Port Focus- Nigeria, OT Africa Line, http://www.otal.com/ponig.htm.<br />
Phillips, B. (1999). World: Africa Fatal clashes at Lagos Port, BBC, 9 September 1999.<br />
Tassy, A. N. (2000). Chad- National Transport Program, Ministry of Planning Ministry of<br />
Public Works, Transport, Habitat and Urban Development.<br />
World Bank (1997). Staff Appraisal Report: Republic Of Niger Transport Infrastructure<br />
Rehabilitation Project, World Bank. 16315-NIR.<br />
World Bank (2000). Project Appraisal Document on a Proposed Credit in <strong>the</strong> Amount of<br />
SDR 50.8 Million (US$67 Million Equivalent) to <strong>the</strong> Republic of Chad for <strong>the</strong> National<br />
Transport Program Support Project. Washington, World Bank. 20986 CD.<br />
World Bank (2003). The Chad - Cameroon Petroleum Development and Pipeline Project,<br />
World Bank, http://www.worldbank.org/afr/ccproj/.<br />
World Travel Guide (2003). Niger Travel Internal, World Travel Guide, http://www.travelguide.com/data/ner/ner100.asp.<br />
MALI<br />
Columbia Encylopedia (2001). Mali, Sixth Edition (Bartleby.com).<br />
- 142 -
El. Badawy, E. S. (1982). "Transportation and its Relation to Natural Resources in West<br />
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UNCTAD/LDC/94.<br />
IMF (2002). Mali: Selected Issues and Statistical Annex. Washington, International<br />
Monetary Fund. IMF Country Report No. 02/1.<br />
Piot, C. (2000). Placing <strong>the</strong> Local at <strong>the</strong> Millennium: Thoughts on an African Postcolony.<br />
Place, Locality and Globalization, UC Santa Cruz, Duke University: Department of Cultural<br />
Anthropology.<br />
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- 143 -
ASIA - CENTRAL<br />
United Nations (1994). Transit Transport Systems of <strong>the</strong> Newly Independent and Developing<br />
Land-locked States in Central Asia and <strong>the</strong>ir Transit Developing Neighbors: Current<br />
Situation and Proposals for Future Action. New York, UN General Assembly. A/49/277.<br />
UNESCAP (2001). Review of Developments in Transport and Communication in <strong>the</strong><br />
ESCAP region 1996 – 2001: Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific. United Nations Economic and Social<br />
Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific, ST/ESCAP/2157.<br />
UNESCAP (2003). The Asian Highway Homepage, United Nations Economic and Social<br />
Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific Transport and Tourism Division,<br />
http://www.unescap.org/tctd/ah/<br />
AFGHANISTAN<br />
AACA (2002). Afghanistan- Emergency Transport Rehabilitation. Afghanistan, Ministry of<br />
Public Works, Min. of Civil Aviation & Tourism: Afghanistan Assistance Coordination<br />
Agency (AACA). PID11352.<br />
AFP (2002). Second Child dies from Afghan tunnel ordeal- Officials, Relief Web: Agence<br />
France-Presse, 8 February 2002.<br />
BBC (2002). Pakistan renews Afghan duty-free trade, BBC. 14 May 2002.<br />
Business Week (2001). Dark days for a Black Market: Afghanistan and Pakistan Rely<br />
heavily on smuggling, Business Week magazine, 15 October 2001.<br />
CCC (2002). Pakistan-Afghanistan Relations Rough Neighbors, Center for Contemporary<br />
Conflict (CCC), http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/rsepResources/si/jan03/southAsia.asp.<br />
CNN (2002). Afghan rail plan among proposals for donors, CNN,<br />
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CountryWatch (2002). Afghanistan Foreign Relations, CountryWatch.<br />
DAWN (2001). Exporters reluctant to trade with Afghanistan, The DAWN Group of<br />
Newspapers, http://www.dawn.com/2001/09/29/nat16.htm.<br />
EIU (2002). Afghanistan Country Profile. London, The Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Afghanistan Country Report. London, The Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Asia Transport Hub (2002). Pakistan Infrastructure Ports, Asia Trade Hub VYAPAARASIA,<br />
http://www.asiatradehub.com/pakistan/ports.asp.<br />
- 144 -
IAS (2002). Afghanistan Foreign Relations, Institute for Afghan Studies,<br />
http://www.institute-for-afghan-studies.org/Foreign%20Affairs/overview_0.htm.<br />
Illinois Institute of Technology (2001). Afghanistan Country Study, Illinois Institute of<br />
Technology: Paul V. Galvin Library,<br />
http://www.gl.iit.edu/govdocs/afghanistan/Infrastructure.html.<br />
International Development Association (2002). Environmental and Social management Plan:<br />
Kabul-Salang-Doshi and Pol-E Khomri- Kunduz Roads, Afghanistan Emergency Transport<br />
Rehabilitation Project, E621 Volume 1.<br />
IRIN (2002). Afghanistan: Focus on <strong>the</strong> Salang tunnel- Key Humanitarian Lifeline, UN<br />
Office for <strong>the</strong> Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs,<br />
http://www.irinnews.org/report.asp?ReportID=28756.<br />
ITDN (2002). Country Reports- Afghanistan trade, ITDN.<br />
Jalal, B. (2002). New Developments in Iran-Afghanistan Ties, Iran (Persian Morning Daily)<br />
Economy-FRGN Clippings,<br />
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Logistic Network (2002). Corridors to and within Afghanistan, The Logistical Network,<br />
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LSP (2002). Logistics Services for Afghan, Logistic Services Pakistan (Pvt) Ltd,<br />
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Muir, J. (2001). Iran weighs up its options, BBC, 16 September 2001<br />
Peimani, H. (2002). Russian-Iranian Relations and American Military Presence in Central<br />
Asia, Central Asia Caucasus Analyst, http://www.cacianalyst.org/2002-02-<br />
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Russia Journal (2002). "Karzai discusses plans for Russia's help." The Russian Journal<br />
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Starr, F. (2002). Afghanistan: Free Trade and Regional Transformation, Central Asia-<br />
Caucasus Institute, Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins<br />
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Tahir, A. and K. Dachiku (2002). Afghanistan: Present State of Transport Infrastructure, IDI<br />
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UNESCAP (2002). Afghanistan: Status of <strong>the</strong> Asian Highway (AH) project, United Nations<br />
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific: Transport and Tourism division,<br />
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UNESCAP (2003). Afghanistan- related links in Transport and Tourism, Transport and<br />
Tourism Division (TTD) of <strong>the</strong> United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia<br />
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UNSMA (1999). Afghanistan Outlook, The United Nations Office of <strong>the</strong> Co-ordinator for<br />
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World Bank (2001). Afghanistan Border States Development Framework, World Bank, No.<br />
24646.<br />
KAZAKHSTAN<br />
CIA (2002). Kazakhstan, The World Fact Book,<br />
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/kz.html.<br />
DOE EIA (2002). World Oil Transit Chokepoints. Washington. Department of Energy,<br />
Energy Information Administration, http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/choke.html.<br />
EU (2003). The EU's relations with Kazakhstan, European Union External Relations,<br />
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EIU (2002). Kazakhstan Country Profile 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Gateway to Kazakhstan (2002). Transport Activity, http://kazakhstangateway.kz/economy/transport/transportactivity.htm.<br />
IMF DOTS (2002). Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook. Washington, IMF.<br />
Kazakhstan Embassy (2003). Highways. Embassy of Kazakhstan in Washington D.C.<br />
http://www.homestead.com/prosites-kazakhembus/MinTransCom.html.<br />
Kazakhstan Railways (2003). Prospects of Development of Transit Transportation,<br />
Kazakhstan Railways, http://www.railways.kz/transit/eng.asp.<br />
Kazakhstan Statistics (2001). Transport activity, Agency of <strong>the</strong> Republic of Kazakhstan on<br />
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KIPC (2000). Pipelines, Kazakhstan State Directory, Kazakhstan Investment Promotion<br />
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KIPC (2000). Transport, Agency of <strong>the</strong> RK on Statistics, Kazakhstan State Directory,<br />
Kazakhstan Investment Promotion Centre, http://kazakhstan-gateway.kz/economy/transport/.<br />
KIPC (2001). Motor Roads, Agency of <strong>the</strong> RK on Statistics, Kazakhstan Investment<br />
Promotion Centre, http://kazakhstan-gateway.kz/economy/transport/motorroads.htm.<br />
Mayhew, B. (2002). Upgrades: Central Asia 2, Lonely Planet,<br />
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UNESCAP (2001). Asian Highway: Roads Connecting China, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, <strong>the</strong><br />
Russian Federation and <strong>the</strong> Korean Peninsula, United Nations Economic and Social<br />
Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific, ST/ESCAP/2173.<br />
UNESCAP (2002). Kazakhstan: Status of <strong>the</strong> Asian Highway (AH) Project, United Nations<br />
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific,<br />
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KYRGYZSTAN<br />
1 Up Info (1996). Transportation and Telecommunications in Kyrgyzstan, 1 Up Info,<br />
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ADB (2000). Tajikistan 2001-2003: Country Assistance Plans, Asian Development Bank,<br />
Phillipines.<br />
Albion, A. (2003). Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan checkpoints removed after violence. Radio Free<br />
Europe/Radio Liberty. 10 January 2003.<br />
American Embassy, M. (2000). Kazakshtan/ Kyrgyz Republic<br />
Almaty- Bishkek Regional Road Rehabilitation Project, International copyright U.S &<br />
Foreign Commercial Service and U.S Department of State,<br />
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Burke, J. (2000). Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to build major road to bypass Uzbekistan.<br />
Kyrgyz News Agency (EURASIANET.org). 7 March 2000.<br />
CIA (2002). World FactBook, 2002. Central Intelligence Agency.<br />
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EIU (2001). Railways in Kyrgyz Republic. London, Economist Intelligence Unit, from<br />
Business Eastern Europe.<br />
EIU (2002). Kyrgyz Republic Country Profile. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Kyrgyz Republic Country Report. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
FT (2002). Russian Border Freight Threat. Financial Times. 11 December 2002.<br />
Interfax (2003). Interfax Central Asia & Caucasus Business Report: Transport System in<br />
Tajikistan, Interfax, http://www.interfax.com/com?item=Tajik&a=on&id=2542683<br />
IRIN (2002). Central Asia: Border disputes increase potential for conflict. UN Office for <strong>the</strong><br />
Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs Integrated Regional Information Networks. 15 April<br />
2002.<br />
Kyrgyzstan Development Gateway (2001). Uzbekistan Dismantles Half of Bridge Over <strong>the</strong><br />
Border in Karasuu, http://eng.gateway.kg/cgi-bin/page.pl?id=1&story-name=doc3799.shtml.<br />
Mukambaeva, I. (1999). Kyrgyz Transport Projects, American Embassy, Kyrgyzstan,<br />
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Pannier, B. (2000). Kyrgyzstan: Demonstrators protest Election results By Blocking Key<br />
Road. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 2 November 2000.<br />
Pannier, B. (2001). Uzbekistan/ Kyrgyzstan: Prime Ministers Agreed On Land Swap. Radio<br />
Free Europe. 26 April 2001.<br />
PRAVDA (1999). No More Transit Charges between Russia and Kyrgyzstan. PRAVDA. 17<br />
April 2002.<br />
PRAVDA (2002). Blockade of Bishkek-Osh highway lifted in Kirghizia,<br />
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PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs (2002). Premier Zhu Rongji Met With Kyrgyzstan President<br />
Akayev., Ministry of Foreign Affairs of <strong>the</strong> People's Republic of China,<br />
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Reuters Alertnet (2002). Country Profile Kyrgyzstan, Reuters Foundation,<br />
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RFE/RL (2003). Kyrgyz and Tajik Border Posts are removed in Batken and Vorukh. Radio<br />
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RFE/RL (2003). Kyrgyz, Tajik Government Officials Meet. Radio Free Europe/Radio<br />
Liberty. 14 January 2003.<br />
RFE/RL (2003). Kyrgyzstan sees Russia as main partner, values friendship with <strong>the</strong> U.S and<br />
China- Akayev. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 14 January 2003.<br />
Sallanmaa, R. (2002). Your Way to Sustainable Mobility, New Challenges for Finnroad.<br />
Helsinki, Finnroad.<br />
Synovitz, R. (1998). Kyrgyzstan/Tajikistan: Improved Transport Infrastructure Likely To<br />
Link To China. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 29 June 1998.<br />
TACIS (2001). Trade Agreements between CIS Countries. Support to improving agricultural<br />
and food trade among <strong>the</strong> NIS – FDNIS 9801, TACIS.<br />
Washington Times (1999). Reaching <strong>the</strong> Markets. Washington Times Advertising<br />
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TRACECA (2001). Customs Facilities at Central Asian Road Border Crossings, Transport<br />
Corridor Europe Caucasus Asia.<br />
United Nations (2000). Transit Environment in <strong>the</strong> <strong>landlocked</strong> States in Central Asia and<br />
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12410-KG.<br />
MOLDOVA<br />
Economist (2000). The <strong>countries</strong> of Russia's former empire face a winter squeeze by <strong>the</strong><br />
Kremlin. The Economist. 30 September 2000.<br />
EIU (2002). Moldova Country Profile 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
IMF BOPS (2001). Balance of Payment Statistics Yearbook. Washington, IMF.<br />
Library of Congress (1995). Moldova Transportation and Telecommunications. The Library<br />
of Congress - Country Studies.<br />
MEPO (2001). Foreign Trade Activities In <strong>the</strong> Republic of Moldova, Moldova Export<br />
Promotion Organization, http://www.mepo.net/?id=1921.<br />
MEPO (2002). Moldova: Important Economic Data, Moldovan Export Promotion<br />
Organization, http://www.mepo.net/?id=1918.<br />
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Spiegel Online (2002). Moldawien, Spiegel Online Jahrbuch,<br />
http://www.spiegel.de/jahrbuch/0,1518,MDA,00.html.<br />
UNESCAP (2001). Roads and Road Transport. Review of Developments in Transport and<br />
Communications in <strong>the</strong> ESCAP Region 1996-2001, UN Economic and Social Commission<br />
for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific.<br />
US Embassy Chisinau (2001). Country Commercial Guide to Moldova, FY 2002, US<br />
Embassy Chisinau, http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/country/010725MoldCCG.htm.<br />
Williams, N. and K. Wildman (2001). Romania and Moldova. Singapore, Lonely Planet.<br />
TAJIKISTAN<br />
ADB (1998). First ADB Loan To Tajikistan Focuses On Reform Of Transport and Enegy<br />
Sectors. Asian Development Bank News Release. No. 087/98, 8 December 1998.<br />
ADB (2000). Country Assistance Plans (2001-2003): Tajikistan. Manila, Asian Development<br />
Bank.<br />
ADB (2001). Annual Report 2001. Manila, Asian Development Bank.<br />
AFP (1999). At least 23 killed in Tajikistan Flooding. Agence France- Presse. 8 July 1999.<br />
Burke, J. (2000). Tajikistan Daily Digest. Voice of <strong>the</strong> Islamic Republic of Iran, translated<br />
and published in EurasiaNet.org. 14 Dec 2000.<br />
CIA (2002). World Factbook 2002. Washington, Central Intelligence Agency.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Tajikistan Foreign Relations, CountryWatch.<br />
EIU (2002). EIU Country Report. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EurasiaNet (2003). Kyrgyz-Tajik border Riots Highlight Building Inter-Ethnic Tension in<br />
Central Asia. EurasiaNet. 8 January 2003.<br />
EurasiaNet (2003). Russia, Tajikistan Spar Over Illegal Labor Migration. Eurasianet. 9<br />
January 2003.<br />
Evers, H.-D. and M. Kaiser (2000). Two Continents, One Area? The European Union and<br />
Pacific Asia: Inter-Regional Linkages in a Changing Global System. P. Preston and J. Gilson.<br />
Cheltenham, Edward Elgar Publishing House: 65-90.<br />
ICG (2002). Central Asia: Border Disputes and Conflict Potential. Brussels, International<br />
Crisis Group. Asia Report No. 33.<br />
- 150 -
IMF (2003). Rupublic of Tajikistan: Selected Issues and Statistical Annex. Washington,<br />
International Monetary Fund. Country Report No. 03/5.<br />
Interfax (2003). Transport Systems in Tajikistan, Interfax Central Asia & Caucasus Business<br />
Report, http://www.interfax.com/com?item=Tajik&a=on&id=2542683.<br />
IRIN (2002). Border disputes increase potential for conflict. Integrated Regional Information<br />
Networks, UN Office for <strong>the</strong> Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. 15 April 2002.<br />
IRIN (2002). Tajikistan: Reconstruction of vital aid route welcomed. Integrated Regional<br />
Information Networks, UN Office for <strong>the</strong> Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. 27 Aug<br />
2002.<br />
Lonely Planet (2002). Tajikistan: History, Lonely Planet.<br />
McDermott, R. N. (2002). Tajikistan Hurries to Streng<strong>the</strong>n Border Protections. EurasiaNet. 7<br />
October 2002.<br />
Najibullah, F. (1997). Tajikistan: Isolated Nation Seeks Transport Links. Radio Free<br />
Europe/Radio Liberty. 8 October 1997.<br />
Rotar, I. (2002). Government Tries to Clamp Down, as Islam's Influence Builds in Nor<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Tajikistan. EurasiaNet. 8 September 2002.<br />
Synovitz, R. (2002). Kyrgyzstan/ Tajikistan: Improved Transport Infrastructure Likely to<br />
Link to China. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 29 June 1998.<br />
Turaev, F. (2002). Uzbekistan: Death at <strong>the</strong> border. Transitions Online. 26 August 2002.<br />
UNESCAP (2001). Selected road investments --China-Tajili Road, Review of Developments<br />
in Transport and Communications in <strong>the</strong> ESCAP Region 1996-2001, United Nations<br />
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific.<br />
UNESCAP (2001). Tajikistan: Status of <strong>the</strong> Asian Highway (AH) Project, United Nations<br />
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific,<br />
http://www.unescap.org/tctd/ah/tajikistan.htm.<br />
UNFVDP (2002). Statement of Vision Ferghana Valley Development Programme, United<br />
Nations Ferghana Development Programme, http://www.ferghana.elcat.kg/pe-fvdp.htm.<br />
UNJLC (2002). Border Crossing Information - Tajikistan, United Nations Joint Logistics<br />
Centre, http://www.unjlc.org/SectorInfo/BorderCrossing/BCTajik.htm.<br />
US Embassy Manilla (2001). Tajikistan Lead - ADB Funded Road Rehabilitation Project, US<br />
Embassy Manilla, http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/isa/0109ADBTajikistanRoadLead.htm.<br />
- 151 -
USDA FSA (2002). Tajikistan Shipping Status Report, USDA Farm Service Agency Online,<br />
Export Operations Branch, http://www.fsa.usda.gov/daco/pdd/eob/tajikistanship.asp.<br />
World Bank (1994). Tajikistan. Washington, World Bank. No. 13796.<br />
World Bank (1998). World Bank to Support Reconstruction Efforts in Tajikistan. World<br />
Bank. No. 98/1627/ECA, 29 January 1998.<br />
TURKMENISTAN<br />
EIU (2002). Turkmenistan Country Profile 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Turkmenistan Country Report 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Lelyveld, M. (2002). Iran: Caspian Oil Exports Ground To A Halt, Radio Free Europe/Radio<br />
Liberty, 27 March 2002.<br />
Mayhew, B. (2002). Upgrades: Central Asia 2, Lonely Planet,<br />
http://www.lonelyplanet.com/upgrades/pdf/central-asia.pdf.<br />
Nazar, N., Magauin, E. and Pannier, B. (1999). Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan turn east for oil<br />
exports. Asia Times. 20 April 1999.<br />
Synovitz, R. (1998). Turkmenistan/Uzbekistan: All Transport Need Not Lead To Russia.<br />
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 29 June 1998.<br />
TED (2002). Turkmen Oil and Natural Gas: The Viability of Delivering Prosperity to Global<br />
Markets, Trade and Enviroment Database,<br />
http://www.american.edu/TED/TURKMEN.HTM.<br />
UNECE (2002). Brief description of <strong>the</strong> status of road transport in Turkmenistan, UN<br />
Economic Commission for Europe, http://www.unece.org/doc/poja/poja.fp.tm.1.e.pdf<br />
UZBEKISTAN<br />
BBC News (2002). Central Asia pipeline deal signed. BBC. 30 May 2002.<br />
BISNIS (2001). Transportation/Freight Forwarding Services and Infrastructure Overview,<br />
Business Information Service for <strong>the</strong> Newly Independent States,<br />
http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/country/010125trans.htm<br />
Dion, R. (2000). The Decline of Central Asian Integration. Central Asia Caucasus Analyst<br />
Biweekly Briefing, John Hopkins University.<br />
- 152 -
EIU (2003). Country Profile Uzbekistan. Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EU (2003). The EU's relations with Uzbekistan, European Union External Relations,<br />
http://europa.eu.int/comm/external_relations/uzbekistan/intro/.<br />
FT (2003). Awkward times in land of poverty and promise. Financial Times. 29 April 2003.<br />
Mayhew, B. (2002). Upgrades: Central Asia 2, Lonely Planet,<br />
http://www.lonelyplanet.com/upgrades/pdf/central-asia.pdf.<br />
Pannier, B. (2003). Uzbekistan: Tashkent At The Center Of Regional Tensions. Radio Free<br />
Europe/Radio Liberty. 27 January 2003.<br />
Synovitz, R. (1998). Turkmenistan/Uzbekistan: All Transport Need Not Lead To Russia.<br />
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. 29 June 1998.<br />
US Embassy Tashkent (2001). Transportation/ Freight Fowarding services and Infrastructure<br />
Overview, http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/country/010125trans.htm.<br />
- 153 -
CAUCASUS<br />
ARMENIA<br />
Armenia Foreign Ministry (2002). Armenia Objects Turkey's Obstructionism in TRACECA,<br />
http://www.armeniaforeignminister.com/htms/PR/PR147.html.<br />
Armenian Reporter (2002). TABDC Welcomes New TRACERA Map. Armenian Reporter.<br />
New York.<br />
ARMINCO (2002). Armenia Business Travel, ARMINCO,<br />
http://www.arminco.com/Armenia/CCG/CCG96/chapter9.htm.<br />
Bagaturia, G. and T. Gorshkov (2002). "TRACECA- Restoration of <strong>the</strong> Silk Route." Japan<br />
Railway & Transport Review 28: 50-55.<br />
BISNIS (2002). ERBD activities in Armenia, Business Information System for <strong>the</strong> Newly<br />
Independent States, http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/country/020802EBRDArmenia.htm.<br />
BSTDB (1999). Annual Report. Yerevan, Black Sea Trade and Development Bank.<br />
Charter 97 (2002). Belarus Due to Open Transport Corridor with Iran.<br />
CIA (2002). The World FactBook 2002 Armenia. Washington, CIA.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Armenia Foreign Relations.<br />
EU External Relations (2001). The EU's relations with Armenia, EU External Relations,<br />
http://europa.eu.int/comm/external_relations/armenia/intro/.<br />
EUI (2002). Armenia: Country Profile 2002, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
FABR (2001). Armenia and <strong>the</strong> TRACECA Program for Global Integration. Forum<br />
Armenian Business Review.<br />
Gorvett, J. (2002). Armenia, Turkey Move Cautiously Towards Rapprochement at Istanbul<br />
Meeting, EurasiaNet Eurasia Insight,<br />
http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav062602.shtml.<br />
IMF (2001). Armenia- Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility Policy Framework paper,<br />
1998-2001, International Monetary Fund,<br />
http://www.imf.org/external/np/pfp/armenia/120898.htm.<br />
Inaishvili, J. (2002). Port of Poti Information, Port of Poti, http://www.oeytiflis.org.ge/poti.htm.<br />
- 154 -
ITDN (2002). Conflict with Azerbaijan - Investor Confidence, International Trade and Data<br />
Network.<br />
Khachatrian, H. (2002). Is Armenia Blockaded, http://wwwscf.usc.edu/~baguirov/azeri/khachatrian.htm.<br />
Petrosyan, S. (2002). Turkey Considers Armenian Genocide To Be <strong>the</strong> problem Of Its<br />
National Security, Noyan Tapan Highlights.<br />
Reed, A. (2000). The Caucasus' Changing Transport System, BISNIS Bulletin,<br />
http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/bulletin/0009bull1.htm.<br />
Relief Web (1996). Armenia- Roads and Railways,<br />
http://www.reliefweb.int/w/map.nsf/wByCLatest/904184F693C06F6885256A2400721849?<br />
Opendocument.<br />
Synovitz, R. (1998). Armenia/Kazakhstan: Aviation A Priority In Armenia; Transport<br />
Deteriorating In Kazakhstan, Radio Free Europe- Radio Liberty, 29 June 1998.<br />
TACIS (2002). Regional Trade Agreement Among CIS Countries and WTO Accession.<br />
Brussels, TACIS.<br />
Tavassoli, M. (2002). Iran, Armenia Won't Allow O<strong>the</strong>rs to Disrupt Their Friendly Ties, Iran<br />
News, Iran Embassy in Armenia,<br />
http://www.iranembassy.am/embassy.php?module=interiran.html.<br />
Tavitan, N. (2001). The Blockade of Armenia by Turkey: None of your Business? Geneva,<br />
Forum of Armenian Associations of Europe.<br />
Times, W. (2002). Rebuilding <strong>the</strong> "Great Silk Road", Washinton Times,<br />
http://www.internationalspecialreports.com/ciscentralasia/98/georgia/trade_investment/.<br />
TRACECA (2002). Caucasian Road Sector: Feasibility Study For The Rehabilitatiion And<br />
Reconstruction Of The Road Link Between Baku, Tsilibisi And Yereva. Baku, Transport<br />
Corridor Europe Caucasus Asia.<br />
World Bank (1997). Republic of Armenia: Transport Sector Review, The World Bank:<br />
Infrastructure Operation Division, Country department IV, Europe and Central Asia Region.<br />
16625-AM.<br />
World Bank (2000). Armenia and Azerbaijan Post Conflict Transport Study. Washington,<br />
DC, World Bank.<br />
- 155 -
World Bank (2000). Project Appraisal Document On A proposed Credit In The Amount Of<br />
SDR 29.9 Million US$40.0 Million Equivalent To The Republic Of Armenia For A<br />
Transport Project. Washington, World Bank. 20406.<br />
World Bank (2002). Growth Challenges and Government Policies in Armenia. Washington,<br />
World Bank.<br />
AZERBAIJAN<br />
American Embassy in Baku (1998). Azerbaijan The Economy of an Enclave: How<br />
Nakhchivan Survives, Business Information Service for <strong>the</strong> Newly Independent States,<br />
http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/country/981203az.htm.<br />
ASSA-Irada (2001). Russia, Azerbaijan Mitigate Transport Terms. Azerbaijan International<br />
Independent News Agency. 16 January 2001.<br />
Azerbaijan Special Report (2002). Azerbaijan Special Report. Washington, The Washington<br />
Times.<br />
BEM (2002). Azerbaijan Infrastructure Overview, Business Events Management Ltd.,<br />
http://www.bemltd.com/Pages/country/azerbaijan.htm.<br />
BISNIS (1997). Azerbaijan: Economic and Trade Overview, Business Information Service<br />
for <strong>the</strong> Newly Independent States, http://www.bisnis.doc.gov/bisnis/isa/AZECON.HTM.<br />
BSTDB (1999). Annual Report, Azerbaijan. Baku, Black Sea Trade and Development Bank.<br />
CIA (2002). The World FactBook, 2002 Azerbaijan. Washington, CIA.<br />
EIU (2002). Azerbaijan: Country Profile. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Golden Book of Russia (2000). Volga-Don State Basin Administration of Aquatic Ways and<br />
Shipment. Volgograd.<br />
Guliyev, V. (2002). Statement of <strong>the</strong> Minister of Foreign Affairs of <strong>the</strong> Republic of<br />
Azerbaijan H.E. Dr. Vilayat Guliyev. Silk Road in <strong>the</strong> 21st Century Conference, Yale<br />
University, 21 September 2002.<br />
Hadjy-zadeh, H. (2000). The Chechen War Echoes in Azerbaijan. EurasiaNet. 24 August<br />
2000.<br />
Jabrayilli, A. and S. Agayeva (2001). Azerbaijan, Geogia Finally Sign Transit Deal.<br />
Azernews. October, 3, 2001.<br />
- 156 -
Nassibli, N. (2000). "Azerbaijan's Geopolitics and Oil Pipeline Issue." Journal of<br />
International Affairs 4(4).<br />
Oil & Gas International (2001). Contested Caspian waters causing Azeri-Irani conflict. Oil<br />
and Gas International. 7/27/2001.<br />
Sharifov, A. (2002). "The Transport of <strong>the</strong> Black Sea Region- II Black Sea Transport<br />
Conference." International Transport Journal: January 2002.<br />
Sheets, L. (2002). Leaders hail forging of new "Silk Road". Middle East Times.<br />
Spector, R. (2002). The North - South Transport Corridor. Central Asia Caucasus Analyst. 3<br />
July 2002.<br />
TACIS - TRACECA (2002). Technical Assistance to <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Republics of <strong>the</strong> CIS and<br />
Geogia. Brussels, TACIS- TRACECA Project.<br />
TED (1997). The New Silk Road: Boon or Boondoggle?, Trade and Environment Database,<br />
http://www.american.edu/TED/silkroad.htm.<br />
TRACECA (2002). Caucasian Road Sector feasibility Study For The Rehabilitatiion And<br />
Reconstruction Of The Road Link Between Baku, Tsilibisi And Yereva, Transport Corridor<br />
Europe Caucasus Asia, http://www.traceca.org/rep/tarep/26sr/26sr1.pdf.<br />
UNESCAP (2002). Azerbaijan-related links in Transport and Tourism, United Nations<br />
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific: Transport and Tourism Division,<br />
http://www.unescap.org/tctd/azerbaijan.htm.<br />
US DOE EIA (2002). Azerbaijan: Country Briefs, US Department of Energy, Energy<br />
Information Administration,<br />
http://www.marcon.com/main/marcon_st1.cfm?Archive=403&StoryID=221.<br />
Washington Times (2002). As bright future beckons, Azerail seeks foreign investors,<br />
Washington Times,<br />
http://www.internationalspecialreports.com/ciscentralasia/01/azerbaijan/asbrightfuture.html.<br />
Washington Times (2002). Azerbaijan Road Transport at <strong>the</strong> Cross Roads of Europe and<br />
Asia, Washington Times,<br />
http://www.internationalspecialreports.com/ciscentralasia/01/azerbaijan/azerbaijanroad.html.<br />
Washington Times (2002). Regional stability a concern, but Azerbaijan oil hunters press on,<br />
Washington Times,<br />
http://www.internationalspecialreports.com/ciscentralasia/01/azerbaijan/regionalstability.htm<br />
l.<br />
- 157 -
World Audit (2001). World Democracy Audit - Corruption Rankings, World Audit,<br />
http://www.worldaudit.org/corruption.htm.<br />
World Bank (2000). Armenia and Azerbaijan Post Conflict Transport Study. Washington,<br />
World Bank.<br />
World Bank (2001). Project Appraisal Document on a Proposed Credit in <strong>the</strong> amount of SDR<br />
31.5 Million (US$40.0 Million Equivalent) to <strong>the</strong> Azerbaijan Republic for a Highway<br />
Project. Washington, World Bank Infrastructure Sector Unit, Armenia, Georgia and<br />
Azerbaijan Country Unit Europe and Central Asian Region. 21888-AZ.<br />
World Bank (2002). Trade, Transport and Telecommunications in <strong>the</strong> South Caucasus:<br />
Current Obstacles to Regional Cooperation. Washington, World Bank.<br />
- 158 -
ASIA - EASTERN<br />
BHUTAN<br />
ADB (2002). Annual Report 2001. Manila, Asian Development Bank.<br />
Canning, D. (1998). A Database of World Infrastructure Stocks, 1950-95. Washington,<br />
World Bank.<br />
Chakra Infrastructure Consultants (2001). Review of Progress in <strong>the</strong> Development of Transit<br />
Transport Systems in <strong>the</strong> India, Nepal and Bhutan Subregion. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
UNCTAD/LDC/114.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Bhutan Country Review, CountryWatch.<br />
IFS (2002). International Financial Statistics. Washington, IMF.<br />
IMF (1999). Bhutan: Statistical Annex to IMF Staff Country Report 99/63. Washington,<br />
IMF.<br />
WDI (2002). World Development Indicators. Washington, World Bank.<br />
LAOS<br />
Cabanius, P. and K. Bouaphanh (2001). Review of Progress in <strong>the</strong> Developments of Transit<br />
Transport Systems in South-East Asia. Geneva, UNCTAD. UNCTAD/LDC/110.<br />
Hirsch, P. (1996). Development, <strong>the</strong> Environment and Hydro Projects in Laos. Generating<br />
Power and Money: Australia's and Thailand's Roles in Hydro Projects in Laos.<br />
IMF DOTS (2002). Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook. Washington, IMF.<br />
Narayanan, K. C. A. (1995). Transit Transport Systems in Asia. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
UNCTAD/LDC/98.<br />
Library of Congress (2002). Laos - A Country Study, Library of Congress.<br />
MITI (2002). Developments in <strong>the</strong> implementation of <strong>the</strong> CEPT Scheme for ASEAN Free<br />
Trade Area (AFTA). Kuala Lumpur, Malaysian Government Ministry of International Trade<br />
and Industry.<br />
UNCTAD (1999a). Policies and Actions Taken by Individual Countries, and by International<br />
Organisations to Improve Transit Transport Systems. New York, UNCTAD.<br />
TD/B/LDC/AC.1/14/Add.1.<br />
- 159 -
MONGOLIA<br />
Canning, D. (1998). A Database of World Infrastructure Stocks, 1950-95. Washington,<br />
World Bank.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Mongolia Country Review, CountryWatch.<br />
EIU (2001). Country Profile 2001: Nepal, Mongolia, Bhutan. London, Economist<br />
Intelligence Unit.<br />
IMF DOTS (2002). Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook. Washington, IMF.<br />
Narayanan, K. C. A. (1995). Transit Transport Systems in Asia. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
UNCTAD/LDC/98.<br />
Stone, J. I. (2001). Infrastructure Development in Landlocked and Transit Developing<br />
Countries: Foreign Aid, Private Investment and <strong>the</strong> Transport Cost Burden of Landlocked<br />
Developing Countries. Geneva, UNCTAD. UNCTAD/LDC/112.<br />
UNCTAD (1999a). Policies and Actions Taken by Individual Countries, and by International<br />
Organisations to Improve Transit Transport Systems. New York, UNCTAD.<br />
TD/B/LDC/AC.1/14/Add.1.<br />
UNCTAD (2002a). Draft Transit Traffic Framework Agreement between <strong>the</strong> Governments<br />
of <strong>the</strong> People's Republic of China, Mongolia and <strong>the</strong> Russian Federation. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
LDC/Misc.47/Add.3.<br />
UNCTAD (2002b). World Investment Report: Transnational Corporations and Export<br />
Competitiveness. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
United Nations General Assembly (2000). Transit Environment in <strong>the</strong> Landlocked States in<br />
Central Asia and Their Transit Developing Neighbors. New York, United Nations. A/55/150.<br />
USCS (2001). Country Commercial Guides: Mongolia, US Commercial Service, Department<br />
of Commerce, USA.<br />
WDI (2002). World Development Indicators. Washington, World Bank.<br />
World Bank Transport Sector Unit (1999). Mongolia: Taming <strong>the</strong> Tyrannies of Distance and<br />
Isolation: A Transport Strategy for Mongolia. Washington DC, World Bank. 18242-MOG.<br />
NEPAL<br />
- 160 -
Agrawal, G. R. and A. K. Lal Das (1986). Transport Linkages in Nepal: Prospects for<br />
Regional Cooperation. Kirtipur, Kathmandu, Tribhuvan University Centre for Economic<br />
Development and Administration.<br />
Bala, I. (2001). Compulsions of a Land-locked State: A Study of Nepal-India Relations. New<br />
Delhi, Batra.<br />
Cabanius, P. and K. Bouaphanh (2001). Review of Progress in <strong>the</strong> Developments of Transit<br />
Transport Systems in South-East Asia. Geneva, UNCTAD. UNCTAD/LDC/110.<br />
Chakra Infrastructure Consultants (2001). Review of Progress in <strong>the</strong> Development of Transit<br />
Transport Systems in <strong>the</strong> India, Nepal and Bhutan Subregion. Geneva, UNCTAD.<br />
UNCTAD/LDC/114.<br />
CountryWatch (2002). Nepal Country Review, CountryWatch.<br />
EIU (2001). Country Profile 2001: Nepal, Mongolia, Bhutan. London, Economist<br />
Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Report: Nepal, Mongolia, Bhutan, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Government of Nepal (2002). Treaty of Transit Between His Majesty's Government of Nepal<br />
and <strong>the</strong> Government of India. Calcutta, Government of Nepal Trade Promotion Centre.<br />
ICIMOD-SNV (1997). Districts of Nepal: Indicators of Development. Kathmandu, ICIMOD.<br />
IMF DOTS (2002). Direction of Trade Statistics Yearbook. Washington, IMF.<br />
Kahn, A. R. (2000). Globalisation and Sustainable Human Development: An Assessment of<br />
Challenges Facing Nepal. Geneva, UNCTAD. UNCTAD/EDM/Misc.124.<br />
Mishra, R. R. (2002). Does Nepal Deserve a Better Deal? The Kathmandu Post. Kathmandu.<br />
14 March 2002.<br />
Pradhan, G. M. (1990). Transit of Land-Locked Countries and Nepal. Jaipur, Nirala<br />
Publications.<br />
Stone, J. I. (2001). Infrastructure Development in Landlocked and Transit Developing<br />
Countries: Foreign Aid, Private Investment and <strong>the</strong> Transport Cost Burden of Landlocked<br />
Developing Countries. Geneva, UNCTAD. UNCTAD/LDC/112.<br />
Subramanian, U. and J. Arnold (2001). Forging Subregional Links in Transportation and<br />
Logistics in South Asia. Washington, World Bank.<br />
UNCTAD (1999b). Improvement of Transit Transport Systems in Landlocked and Transit<br />
Developing Countries: Issues for Consideration. New York, UNCTAD. TD/B/LDC/AC.1/13.<br />
- 161 -
WDI (2002). World Development Indicators. Washington, World Bank.<br />
WTNN (1995). China to <strong>study</strong> Nepal trade route proposal. World Tibet News. Kathmandu. 1<br />
May 1995.<br />
- 162 -
SOUTH AMERICA<br />
BOLIVIA<br />
Bojanic, A. (2001). "Bolivia's Participation in International Trade." Overseas Development<br />
Institute Working Paper.<br />
Castellón, R. P. (2001). Review of Recent Progress in <strong>the</strong> Development of Transit Transport<br />
Systems in Latin America, UNCTAD: Geneva. UNCTAD/LDC/113.<br />
EIU (2002). Bolivia Country Profile 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Report 2002. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Country Report 2003-04. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Langman, Jimmy (2000). "Sad state of roads a sign of Bolivia's rocky path to development."<br />
The Dallas Morning News.<br />
St. John, R. B. (2001). "Same Space, Different Dreams: Bolivia's Quest for a Pacific Port."<br />
The Bolivian Research Review 1(1).<br />
UNESCAP (2001). Roads and Road Transport. Review of Developments in Transport and<br />
Communications in <strong>the</strong> ESCAP Region 1996-2001, UN Economic and Social Commission<br />
for Asia and <strong>the</strong> Pacific.<br />
US DoS (2002). Consular Information Sheet : Bolivia, US Department of State,<br />
http://travel.state.gov/bolivia.html.<br />
World Bank (2002). Project Information Document: Bolivia-Road Rehabilitation and<br />
Maintenance Project. Washington DC, World Bank.<br />
PARAGUAY<br />
Aguirre, A. V. (1997). "Transport Infrastructure in Latin America." Inter-American<br />
Development Bank Working Paper Series.<br />
Castellón, R. P. (2001). Review of Recent Progress in <strong>the</strong> Development of Transit Transport<br />
Systems in Latin America, UNCTAD: Geneva. UNCTAD/LDC/113.<br />
EIU (2001). Paraguay Country Profile 2001. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
EIU (2002). Paraguay Country Report. London, Economist Intelligence Unit.<br />
Planet Latino (2002). Paraguay, Planet Latino, http://www.planetlatino.net/paraguay.htm.<br />
- 163 -
UN DHA (1997). Paraguay El Niño Floods Situation Report No. 2. Geneva, UN Department<br />
of Humanitarian Affairs. DHAGVA-97/0881.<br />
US DoC (1999). Paraguay - Economic Trends and Outlook, U.S. Department of Commerce,<br />
http://www.tradeport.org/ts/<strong>countries</strong>/paraguay/trends.html.<br />
WTO (1997). WTO and Regional Commitments Shape Paraguay's Integration, World Trade<br />
Organisation. WTO-PRESS/TPRB/1997.<br />
- 164 -
APPENDICES<br />
- 165 -
Map 1
HDI<br />
rank<br />
Table 1: Human Development - Rankings and Components<br />
Country HDI HDI Components<br />
HDI Country HDI<br />
rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy Education<br />
GDP<br />
/capita<br />
HDI Components<br />
Life<br />
Expectancy Education<br />
Medium human development 117 Gabon 0.64 6,237 0.46 0.76<br />
54 Mexico 0.80 9,023 0.79 0.84 118 Nicaragua 0.64 2,366 0.72 0.65<br />
55 Cuba 0.80 0.85 0.90 119 Sao Tome and Principe 0.63 1,792 0.67 0.75<br />
56 Belarus 0.79 7,544 0.73 0.92 120 Guatemala 0.63 3,821 0.66 0.62<br />
57 Panama 0.79 6,000 0.82 0.86 121 Solomon Islands 0.62 1,648 0.72 0.68<br />
58 Belize 0.78 5,606 0.82 0.86 122 Namibia 0.61 6,431 0.33 0.81<br />
59 Malaysia 0.78 9,068 0.79 0.80 123 Morocco 0.60 3,546 0.71 0.50<br />
60 Russian Federation 0.78 8,377 0.68 0.92 124 India 0.58 2,358 0.64 0.57<br />
61 Dominica 0.78 5,880 0.80 0.86 125 Swaziland 0.58 4,492 0.32 0.77<br />
62 Bulgaria 0.78 5,710 0.76 0.90 126 Botswana 0.57 7,184 0.25 0.75<br />
63 Romania 0.78 6,423 0.75 0.88 127 Myanmar 0.55 1,027 0.52 0.75<br />
64 Libya 0.77 7,570 0.76 0.84 128 Zimbabwe 0.55 2,635 0.30 0.81<br />
65 Macedonia 0.77 5,086 0.80 0.86 129 Ghana 0.55 1,964 0.53 0.62<br />
66 Saint Lucia 0.77 5,703 0.81 0.83 130 Cambodia 0.54 1,446 0.52 0.66<br />
67 Mauritius 0.77 10,017 0.77 0.77 131 Vanuatu 0.54 2,802 0.72 0.35<br />
68 Colombia 0.77 6,248 0.77 0.85 132 Lesotho 0.54 2,031 0.34 0.76<br />
69 Venezuela 0.77 5,794 0.80 0.83 133 Papua New Guinea 0.54 2,280 0.53 0.55<br />
70 Thailand 0.76 6,402 0.75 0.84 134 Kenya 0.51 1,022 0.43 0.72<br />
71 Saudi Arabia 0.76 11,367 0.78 0.71 135 Cameroon 0.51 1,703 0.42 0.65<br />
72 Fiji 0.76 4,668 0.73 0.90 136 Congo 0.51 825 0.44 0.75<br />
73 Brazil 0.76 7,625 0.71 0.83 137 Comoros 0.51 1,588 0.58 0.49<br />
74 Suriname 0.76 3,799 0.76 0.90<br />
75 Lebanon 0.76 4,308 0.80 0.83 Low human development<br />
76 Armenia 0.75 2,559 0.80 0.92 138 Pakistan 0.50 1,928 0.58 0.42<br />
77 Philippines 0.75 3,971 0.74 0.91 139 Sudan 0.50 1,797 0.52 0.50<br />
78 Oman 0.75 13,356 0.77 0.67 140 Bhutan 0.49 1,412 0.62 0.42<br />
79 Kazakhstan 0.75 5,871 0.66 0.91 141 Togo 0.49 1,442 0.45 0.59<br />
80 Ukraine 0.75 3,816 0.72 0.92 142 Nepal 0.49 1,327 0.56 0.48<br />
81 Georgia 0.75 2,664 0.80 0.89 143 Laos 0.49 1,575 0.47 0.52<br />
82 Peru 0.75 4,799 0.73 0.87 144 Yemen 0.48 893 0.59 0.48<br />
83 Grenada 0.75 7,580 0.67 0.85 145 Bangladesh 0.48 1,602 0.57 0.40<br />
84 Maldives 0.74 4,485 0.69 0.90 146 Haiti 0.47 1,467 0.46 0.50<br />
85 Turkey 0.74 6,974 0.75 0.77 147 Madagascar 0.47 840 0.46 0.59<br />
86 Jamaica 0.74 3,639 0.84 0.79 148 Nigeria 0.46 896 0.44 0.58<br />
87 Turkmenistan 0.74 3,956 0.69 0.92 149 Djibouti 0.45 2,377 0.30 0.50<br />
88 Azerbaijan 0.74 2,936 0.78 0.88 150 Uganda 0.44 1,208 0.32 0.60<br />
89 Sri Lanka 0.74 3,530 0.79 0.84 151 Tanzania 0.44 523 0.43 0.61<br />
90 Paraguay 0.74 4,426 0.75 0.83 152 Mauritania 0.44 1,677 0.44 0.40<br />
91 Saint Vincent and <strong>the</strong> Gre0.73 5,555 0.74 0.79 153 Zambia 0.43 780 0.27 0.68<br />
92 Albania 0.73 3,506 0.80 0.80 154 Senegal 0.43 1,510 0.47 0.37<br />
93 Ecuador 0.73 3,203 0.75 0.87 155 Congo, DR 0.43 765 0.44 0.51<br />
94 Dominican Republic 0.73 6,033 0.70 0.80 156 Côte d'Ivoire 0.43 1,630 0.38 0.44<br />
95 Uzbekistan 0.73 2,441 0.73 0.91 157 Eritrea 0.42 837 0.45 0.46<br />
96 China 0.73 3,976 0.76 0.80 158 Benin 0.42 990 0.48 0.40<br />
97 Tunisia 0.72 6,363 0.75 0.72 159 Guinea 0.41 1,982 0.38 0.37<br />
98 Iran, Islamic Rep. of 0.72 5,884 0.73 0.75 160 Gambia 0.41 1,649 0.35 0.39<br />
99 Jordan 0.72 3,966 0.76 0.78 161 Angola 0.40 2,187 0.34 0.36<br />
100 Cape Verde 0.72 4,863 0.75 0.75 162 Rwanda 0.40 943 0.25 0.58<br />
101 Samoa (Western) 0.72 5,041 0.74 0.75 163 Malawi 0.40 615 0.25 0.65<br />
102 Kyrgyzstan 0.71 2,711 0.71 0.87 164 Mali 0.39 797 0.44 0.37<br />
103 Guyana 0.71 3,963 0.63 0.88 165 CAR 0.38 1,172 0.32 0.39<br />
104 El Salvador 0.71 4,497 0.75 0.74 166 Chad 0.37 871 0.35 0.39<br />
105 Moldova 0.70 2,109 0.69 0.90 167 Guinea-Bissau 0.35 755 0.33 0.38<br />
106 Algeria 0.70 5,308 0.74 0.69 168 Ethiopia 0.33 668 0.31 0.35<br />
107 South Africa 0.70 9,401 0.45 0.88 169 Burkina Faso 0.33 976 0.36 0.23<br />
108 Syrian Arab Republic 0.69 3,556 0.77 0.71 170 Mozambique 0.32 854 0.24 0.37<br />
109 Viet Nam 0.69 1,996 0.72 0.84 171 Burundi 0.31 591 0.26 0.38<br />
110 Indonesia 0.68 3,043 0.69 0.79 172 Niger 0.28 746 0.34 0.16<br />
111 Equatorial Guinea 0.68 15,073 0.43 0.77 173 Sierra Leone 0.28 490 0.23 0.33<br />
112 Tajikistan 0.67 1,152 0.71 0.88 . Afghanistan . . . .<br />
113 Mongolia 0.66 1,783 0.63 0.85<br />
114 Bolivia 0.65 2,424 0.62 0.80 Average 0.61 3636.01 0.60 0.69<br />
115 Egypt 0.64 3,635 0.70 0.62 Average over maritime 0.82 4902.48 0.80 0.93<br />
116 Honduras 0.64 2,453 0.68 0.70 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.55 2420.03 0.50 0.67<br />
Source: Human Development Report (2002)<br />
Note: No data available for Afghanistan
Table 2: Human Development - Rankings and Components by Region<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa<br />
East Asia<br />
HDI Country HDI HDI Components<br />
HDI Country HDI<br />
HDI Components<br />
rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy Education rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy<br />
Education<br />
107 South Africa 0.70 9401 0.45 0.88 70 Thailand 0.76 6402 0.75 0.84<br />
122 Namibia 0.61 6431 0.33 0.81 109 Vietnam 0.69 1996 0.72 0.84<br />
125 Swaziland 0.58 4492 0.32 0.77 124 India 0.58 2358 0.64 0.57<br />
126 Botswana 0.57 7184 0.25 0.75 127 Myanmar 0.55 1027 0.52 0.75<br />
128 Zimbabwe 0.55 2635 0.3 0.81 130 Cambodia 0.54 1446 0.52 0.66<br />
132 Lesotho 0.54 2031 0.34 0.76 140 Bhutan 0.49 1412 0.62 0.42<br />
153 Zambia 0.43 780 0.27 0.68 142 Nepal 0.49 1327 0.56 0.48<br />
161 Angola 0.40 2187 0.34 0.36 143 Laos 0.49 1575 0.47 0.52<br />
163 Malawi 0.40 615 0.25 0.65 145 Bangladesh 0.48 1602 0.57 0.40<br />
170 Mozambique 0.32 854 0.24 0.37 Average over maritime 0.60 2472 0.62 0.68<br />
Average over maritime 0.51 5211 0.32 0.63 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.49 1438 0.55 0.47<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.51 2111 0.30 0.73<br />
Western Africa<br />
Central Asia<br />
HDI Country HDI HDI Components<br />
HDI Country HDI<br />
HDI Components<br />
rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy Education rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy<br />
Education<br />
111 Equatorial Guinea 0.68 15073 0.43 0.77 60 Russia 0.78 8377 0.68 0.92<br />
117 Gabon 0.64 6237 0.46 0.76 62 Bulgaria 0.78 5710 0.76 0.90<br />
129 Ghana 0.55 1964 0.53 0.62 63 Romania 0.78 6423 0.75 0.88<br />
135 Cameroon 0.51 1703 0.42 0.65 76 Armenia 0.75 2559 0.80 0.92<br />
136 Congo 0.51 825 0.44 0.75 79 Kazakhstan 0.75 5871 0.66 0.91<br />
141 Togo 0.49 1442 0.45 0.59 80 Ukraine 0.75 3816 0.72 0.92<br />
148 Nigeria 0.46 896 0.44 0.58 81 Georgia 0.75 2664 0.80 0.89<br />
152 Mauritania 0.44 1677 0.44 0.40 85 Turkey 0.74 6974 0.75 0.77<br />
154 Senegal 0.43 1510 0.47 0.37 87 Turkmenistan 0.74 3956 0.69 0.92<br />
156 Cote d'Ivoire 0.43 1630 0.38 0.44 88 Azerbaijan 0.74 2936 0.78 0.88<br />
158 Benin 0.42 990 0.48 0.40 95 Uzbekistan 0.73 2441 0.73 0.91<br />
159 Guinea 0.41 1982 0.38 0.37 102 Kyrgyzstan 0.71 2711 0.71 0.87<br />
160 Gambia 0.41 1649 0.35 0.39 105 Moldova 0.70 2109 0.69 0.90<br />
164 Mali 0.39 797 0.44 0.37 112 Tajikistan 0.67 1152 0.71 0.88<br />
165 Central African Republic 0.38 1172 0.32 0.39 113 Mongolia 0.66 1783 0.63 0.85<br />
166 Chad 0.37 871 0.35 0.39 . Afghanistan . . . .<br />
167 Guinea-Bissau 0.35 755 0.33 0.38 Average over maritime 0.76 5661 0.74 0.88<br />
169 Burkina Faso 0.33 976 0.36 0.23 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.72 2835 0.71 0.89<br />
172 Niger 0.28 746 0.34 0.16<br />
173 Sierra Leone 0.28 490 0.23 0.33<br />
Average over maritime 0.47 2588 0.42 0.52<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.35 912 0.36 0.31<br />
Eastern Africa<br />
Latin America<br />
HDI Country HDI HDI Components<br />
HDI Country HDI<br />
HDI Components<br />
rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy Education rank<br />
GDP Life<br />
/capita Expectancy<br />
Education<br />
134 Kenya 0.51 1022 0.43 0.72 34 Argentina 0.84 12377 0.81 0.92<br />
139 Sudan 0.50 1797 0.52 0.50 38 Chile 0.83 9417 0.84 0.90<br />
149 Djibouti 0.45 2377 0.30 0.50 40 Uruguay 0.83 9035 0.82 0.92<br />
150 Uganda 0.44 1208 0.32 0.60 73 Brazil 0.76 7625 0.71 0.83<br />
151 Tanzania 0.44 523 0.43 0.61 82 Peru 0.75 4799 0.73 0.87<br />
157 Eritrea 0.42 837 0.45 0.46 90 Paraguay 0.74 4426 0.75 0.83<br />
162 Rwanda 0.40 943 0.25 0.58 114 Bolivia 0.65 2424 0.62 0.80<br />
168 Ethiopia 0.33 668 0.31 0.35 Average over maritime 0.80 8651 0.78 0.89<br />
171 Burundi 0.31 591 0.26 0.38 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.70 3425 0.69 0.82<br />
Average over maritime 0.46 1311 0.43 0.56<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.37 853 0.29 0.48 Source: Human Development Report (2002)
Table 3: Cost of Trade - Ratio of Transportation and Insurance to Value of Exports<br />
Country<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa<br />
Ratio of Transport Costs<br />
to Value of Exports<br />
Country<br />
Ratio of Transport Costs to<br />
Value of Exports<br />
Swaziland 0.02 Nepal 0.05<br />
Angola 0.08 Laos 0.08<br />
South Africa 0.08 Thailand 0.08<br />
Namibia 0.09 Cambodia 0.11<br />
Lesotho 0.12 India 0.13<br />
Zimbabwe 0.15 Bangladesh 0.14<br />
Botswana 0.16 Myanmar .<br />
Zambia 0.17 Vietnam .<br />
Mozambique 0.28 Bhutan .<br />
Malawi 0.55 Average over maritime 0.12<br />
Average over maritime 0.13 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.07<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.20<br />
Western Africa<br />
East Asia<br />
Central Asia<br />
Country<br />
Ratio of Transport Costs<br />
to Value of Exports<br />
Country<br />
Ratio of Transport Costs to<br />
Value of Exports<br />
Nigeria 0.05 Russia 0.00<br />
Sierra Leone 0.09 Ukraine 0.02<br />
Cameroon 0.09 Kazakhstan 0.04<br />
Cote d'Ivoire 0.11 Romania 0.05<br />
Mauritania 0.12 Turkey 0.06<br />
Guinea 0.14 Azerbaijan 0.07<br />
Gabon 0.15 Georgia 0.08<br />
Congo 0.17 Moldova 0.10<br />
Senegal 0.18 Bulgaria 0.11<br />
Ghana 0.18 Kyrgyzstan 0.13<br />
Gambia 0.18 Turkmenistan 0.15<br />
Togo 0.21 Mongolia 0.16<br />
Central African Republic 0.26 Armenia 0.29<br />
Burkina Faso 0.27 Afghanistan 0.35<br />
Niger 0.28 Tajikistan .<br />
Guinea-Bissau 0.30 Uzbekistan .<br />
Mali 0.35 Average over maritime 0.05<br />
Benin 0.37 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.16<br />
Chad 0.51<br />
Liberia .<br />
Equatorial Guinea .<br />
Average over maritime 0.17<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.33<br />
Eastern Africa<br />
Latin America<br />
Country<br />
Ratio of Transport Costs<br />
to Value of Exports<br />
Country<br />
Ratio of Transport Costs to<br />
Value of Exports<br />
Kenya 0.13 Brazil 0.08<br />
Tanzania 0.18 Argentina 0.08<br />
Djibouti 0.21 Uruguay 0.10<br />
Ethiopia 0.29 Peru 0.11<br />
Sudan 0.29 Chile 0.11<br />
Burundi 0.31 Paraguay 0.17<br />
Uganda 0.35 Bolivia 0.21<br />
Rwanda 0.51 Average over maritime 0.10<br />
Eritrea . Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.19<br />
Somalia .<br />
Average over maritime 0.20<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 0.36<br />
Source: IMF Balance of Payments Statistics (2001); World Development Indicators (2002); Transport Costs & Exports have been matched by year.
Table 4: Exports per Capita (2000 current US$)<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa<br />
East Asia<br />
Country Exports per Capita Country Exports per Capita<br />
Swaziland 927 Thailand 1349<br />
South Africa 854 Bhutan 179<br />
Angola 606 Cambodia 106<br />
Zimbabwe 178 India 63<br />
Lesotho 126 Nepal 57<br />
Zambia 88 Bangladesh 50<br />
Malawi 43 Laos .<br />
Mozambique 32 Myanmar .<br />
Botswana . Viet Nam .<br />
Namibia . Average over maritime 391.9<br />
Average over maritime 497.6 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 117.9<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 272.5<br />
Western Africa<br />
Central Asia<br />
Country Exports per Capita Country Exports per Capita<br />
Equatorial Guinea 2784 Bulgaria 859<br />
Gabon 1484 Russian Federation 791<br />
Congo, Rep. 837 Turkey 746<br />
Cote d'Ivoire 268 Kazakhstan 722<br />
Cameroon 183 Romania 557<br />
Nigeria 169 Turkmenistan 534<br />
Gambia, The 155 Ukraine 394<br />
Mauritania 145 Azerbaijan 266<br />
Senegal 140 Mongolia 265<br />
Ghana 132 Georgia 226<br />
Guinea 105 Moldova 150<br />
Togo 96 Uzbekistan 137<br />
Guinea-Bissau 57 Tajikistan 130<br />
Benin 53 Armenia 117<br />
Mali 53 Kyrgyz Republic 115<br />
Central African Republic 34 Afghanistan .<br />
Chad 30 Average over maritime 595.66<br />
Niger 26 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 271<br />
Sierra Leone 22<br />
Burkina Faso 21<br />
Liberia .<br />
Average over maritime 442.12<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 33<br />
Eastern Africa<br />
Country Exports per Capita Country Exports per Capita<br />
Djibouti 390 Chile 1477.1<br />
Kenya 91 Uruguay 1140.4<br />
Sudan 62 Argentina 829.8<br />
Tanzania 39 Brazil 380.0<br />
Uganda 28 Peru 333.0<br />
Eritrea 23 Paraguay 277.5<br />
Rwanda 18 Bolivia 174.5<br />
Ethiopia 15 Average over maritime 832.07<br />
Burundi 9 Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 225.98<br />
Somalia .<br />
Average over maritime 121.17<br />
Average over <strong>landlocked</strong> 17.54<br />
Source: World Development Indicators (2002)<br />
Latin America
Table 5: Degree of Landlockedness<br />
Measure of Distance<br />
Proportion TC's<br />
of paved proportion of<br />
roads paved roads<br />
(index) (index)<br />
Paved Road<br />
Quality<br />
(index)<br />
Paved Road<br />
Quality of<br />
Neighbours<br />
(index)<br />
Normalized Measures of Civil and External Conflict (1981-2001)<br />
TC's<br />
TC's<br />
Length & length &<br />
Length & length & TC's length Length & severity of severity of<br />
severity of severity of & severity of severity of external external<br />
civil conflict<br />
(index)<br />
civil<br />
conflict<br />
civil conflict<br />
(index)<br />
external<br />
conflict<br />
conflict<br />
(index)<br />
conflict<br />
(index)<br />
Country<br />
Freight Costs<br />
(index)<br />
Export volume<br />
(index)<br />
Distance to Port<br />
(km)<br />
Afghanistan 0.38 1960 0.01 1.00 0.28 0.76 0.57 0.88 0.97<br />
Armenia 0.51 0.08 693 0.36 0.00 0.78 0.00 0.29 0.74 0.60<br />
Azerbaijan 0.92 0.15 870 0.70 0.52 0.88 0.29 0.74 1.00<br />
Burundi 0.47 0.00 1254 0.37 0.16 0.72 0.49 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Burkina Faso 0.54 0.01 1154 0.41 0.68 0.48 0.12 0.19 0.02 0.19 0.14 0.59<br />
Bolivia 0.64 0.16 414 0.07 0.22 0.44 0.16 0.00 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Bhutan 775 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Botswana 0.75 1.00 905 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Central African Republic 0.55 0.03 1518 0.01 0.00 0.53 0.27 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.21 0.82<br />
Ethiopia 0.50 0.00 781 0.33 0.36 0.69 0.74 0.98 0.06 0.46 0.55 0.87<br />
Kazakhstan 0.96 0.47 3750 0.61 0.07 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Kyrgyzstan 0.81 0.10 3600 0.61 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.36 0.74<br />
Laos 0.89 0.07 620 0.63 0.61 0.46 0.06 0.46 0.07 0.44 0.45<br />
Lesotho 0.81 0.10 575 0.36 1.00 0.72 0.19 0.91 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Moldova 0.86 0.15 170 1.00 0.33 0.02 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Mali 0.38 0.04 1225 0.36 0.41 0.81 0.47 0.33 0.08 0.51 0.02 0.21 0.60<br />
Mongolia 0.75 0.22 1693 0.45 0.61 0.07 0.00 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Malawi 0.00 0.03 803 0.40 0.21 0.76 0.34 0.00 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Niger 0.52 0.02 1057 0.52 0.84 0.73 0.37 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Nepal 0.95 0.04 1160 0.95 0.58 0.00 0.54 0.97 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Paraguay 0.73 0.34 1022 0.30 0.87 0.16 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Rwanda 0.08 0.00 1867 0.11 0.26 0.62 0.23 0.84 0.51 0.87 0.36 0.78 0.58<br />
Swaziland 1.00 0.89 193 0.65 0.51 0.52 0.19 0.00 0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Chad 0.08 0.02 1669 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.62 0.01 0.06 0.98 0.99 0.21<br />
Tajikistan 0.09 3100 0.61 0.07 0.67 0.50 0.87 0.43 0.82 0.83<br />
Turkmenistan 0.77 0.27 1700 0.00 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Uganda 0.39 0.02 1187 0.34 0.16 0.40 0.47 1.00 0.15 0.64 0.26 0.72 0.56<br />
Uzbekistan 0.12 2950 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.29 0.74 0.89<br />
Zambia 0.72 0.07 1975 0.40 0.47 0.55 0.91 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00<br />
Zimbabwe 0.76 0.20 464 0.36 0.72 0.86 0.82 0.00 0.61 0.00 0.26 0.72 0.68<br />
TC = Transit Country<br />
Normalized Measures of Trade<br />
Normalized Measures of Infrastructure Quality<br />
Note: All variables, except distance to port, have been nornalized to a 0-1 scale with 1 as <strong>the</strong> "best" score<br />
Sources: Trade Data: IMF BOPS (2001), WDI (2002)<br />
Distance Data: Various<br />
Infrastructure Data: Canning (World Bank) (2002)<br />
Conflict Data: PRIO (2002)
Figure 1: Human Development Indicator (HDI):<br />
Landlocked Countries vs. <strong>the</strong>ir Regional Neighbours<br />
Ratio of Country HDI / Average Regional HDI<br />
1.2<br />
1<br />
.8<br />
.6<br />
Uganda<br />
Rwanda<br />
Ethiopia<br />
Mali<br />
CAR<br />
Chad<br />
Burkina Faso<br />
Burundi<br />
East<br />
Africa<br />
(0.42)<br />
Niger<br />
West<br />
Africa<br />
(0.44)<br />
Swaziland<br />
Botswana<br />
Zimbabwe<br />
Lesotho<br />
Zambia<br />
Malawi<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Africa<br />
(0.51)<br />
Bhutan<br />
Nepal<br />
Laos<br />
East<br />
Asia<br />
(0.56)<br />
Average Regional HDI<br />
Belarus<br />
Armenia<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
Turkmenistan<br />
Azerbaijan<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Kyrgyzstan<br />
Moldova<br />
Paraguay<br />
Tajikistan<br />
Mongolia<br />
Central<br />
Asia<br />
(0.74)<br />
Bolivia<br />
South<br />
America<br />
(0.77)<br />
Figure 2: Exports per Capita:<br />
Landlocked Countries vs. <strong>the</strong>ir Regional Neighbours<br />
3<br />
a<br />
Ratio of Exports/capita of <strong>landlocked</strong> country<br />
to <strong>the</strong> regional average exports/capita<br />
2<br />
1<br />
0<br />
Uganda<br />
Swaziland<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
Turkmenistan<br />
Azerbaijan<br />
Mongolia<br />
Rwanda<br />
Zimbabwe<br />
Ethiopia<br />
Moldova<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Lesotho Tajikistan<br />
Burundi Mali Zambia Armenia<br />
Central African Nepal Kyrgyzstan<br />
Chad<br />
Niger<br />
Malawi<br />
Burkina Faso<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa ($367.2)<br />
Eastern Asia ($327.9)<br />
Paraguay<br />
Bolivia<br />
Eastern<br />
Africa<br />
($37.0)<br />
Western<br />
Africa<br />
($217.1)<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
America<br />
($ 667.5)<br />
Central Asia ($381.9)<br />
Exports per capita (US$), by region
Figure 3: FDI per Capita:<br />
Landlocked Countries vs. <strong>the</strong>ir Regional Neighbours<br />
2<br />
Uganda<br />
Ratio of FDI/capita of <strong>landlocked</strong> country<br />
to <strong>the</strong> regional average FDI/capita<br />
1.5<br />
1<br />
.5<br />
0<br />
Rwanda<br />
Ethiopia<br />
Burundi<br />
Laos<br />
Nepal<br />
Chad<br />
Mali<br />
Burkina Faso<br />
Central African<br />
Niger<br />
Swaziland<br />
Lesotho<br />
Botswana<br />
Zambia<br />
Malawi<br />
Zimbabwe<br />
Bolivia<br />
Paraguay<br />
Eastern<br />
Africa<br />
($5.4)<br />
Eastern<br />
Asia<br />
($12)<br />
West<br />
Africa<br />
($18.6)<br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />
Africa<br />
($49.4)<br />
Latin<br />
America<br />
($119.4)<br />
FDI per capita (US$), by region<br />
(logarithmic scale)