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Managing Traffic Incidents - University of Queensland

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Publications<br />

Dia, H (2000a) A conceptual framework for modelling<br />

the environmental impacts <strong>of</strong> intelligent transport<br />

systems, Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the XI Pan American<br />

Conference in <strong>Traffic</strong> and Transportation Engineering,<br />

19-23 November 2000, Gramado, Rio Grande do<br />

Sul, Brazil.<br />

The work reported in this paper is part <strong>of</strong> an ongoing<br />

research project which aims to evaluate a<br />

modelling framework that can be used to assess<br />

the environmental impacts <strong>of</strong> Intelligent Transportation<br />

Systems (ITS).<br />

These systems aim to reduce traffic congestion<br />

and enhance air quality through the application<br />

<strong>of</strong> advanced communications, electronics<br />

and computing technologies. It is still not clear,<br />

however, whether the potential environmental<br />

benefits <strong>of</strong> improved system efficiencies could<br />

be partially <strong>of</strong>fset by the induced travel associated<br />

with ITS services. The techniques currently<br />

available to evaluate the impacts <strong>of</strong> ITS on the<br />

environment are not capable <strong>of</strong> addressing this<br />

question because they do not take the induced<br />

travel, demographics, land use and growth-indemand<br />

changes into consideration. As a result,<br />

a number <strong>of</strong> new techniques aimed at evaluating<br />

the full traffic and environmental implications<br />

<strong>of</strong> ITS deployment have been proposed in the<br />

literature.<br />

This research will contribute to progressions<br />

in the needed methodologies by evaluating a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> modelling platforms that address the<br />

short and long-term potential deployment<br />

outcomes, including induced travel effects, for<br />

specific ITS components. Emissions and fuel<br />

consumption models can then be linked to these<br />

modelling frameworks to assess the effects <strong>of</strong><br />

ITS deployment.<br />

This paper first highlights the limitations <strong>of</strong><br />

using conventional transportation and emissions<br />

models to assess the environmental impacts <strong>of</strong><br />

ITS services. It also describes the modelling<br />

approaches needed to capture the short and<br />

long-term impacts <strong>of</strong> ITS deployment. A<br />

generic modelling framework for assessing the<br />

environmental impacts <strong>of</strong> ITS, based on techniques<br />

that integrate travel demand and traffic<br />

simulation models, is then presented. In this<br />

modelling approach, the travel demand models<br />

are used to assess the impacts <strong>of</strong> ITS services<br />

that affect traveller behaviour, while traffic<br />

simulation models are used to analyse the<br />

effects <strong>of</strong> specific ITS services on network<br />

performance.<br />

The paper then describes how this generic<br />

approach will be applied to develop and evaluate<br />

modelling frameworks suitable for addressing<br />

the short and long-term impacts <strong>of</strong> two<br />

specific ITS components: incident management<br />

and traveller information systems. The paper<br />

also discusses a number <strong>of</strong> challenges related to<br />

the implementation <strong>of</strong> feedback mechanisms<br />

between traffic simulation and travel demand<br />

models, the limitations <strong>of</strong> the approach and data<br />

collection requirements.<br />

Dia, H (2000b) A conceptual framework for modelling<br />

dynamic driver behaviour using intelligent agents,<br />

Proceedings <strong>of</strong> the 6th International Conference on<br />

Applications <strong>of</strong> Advanced Technologies in Transportation<br />

Engineering, 28-30 June 2000, Singapore.<br />

This paper presents a dynamic driver behaviour<br />

modelling framework based on Intelligent<br />

Agents. This is a relatively recent computing<br />

paradigm comprising autonomous s<strong>of</strong>tware<br />

components that can each be assigned a set <strong>of</strong><br />

goals to achieve (e.g. travel between points A<br />

and B in a network) and a database <strong>of</strong> knowledge<br />

comprising certain beliefs, intentions and<br />

preferences concerning the task under consideration.<br />

The characteristics <strong>of</strong> Intelligent Agents<br />

suggest that they have the potential for successful<br />

implementation in modelling dynamic driver<br />

behaviour and driver response to information.<br />

The work reported in this paper is part <strong>of</strong> an<br />

ongoing research project which aims to demonstrate<br />

the feasibility <strong>of</strong> using Intelligent Agents<br />

to model travel behaviour on a congested traffic<br />

commuting corridor based on a behavioural<br />

survey <strong>of</strong> drivers. The Intelligent Agents<br />

modelling framework represents a departure<br />

from the classical view <strong>of</strong> route choice as an<br />

individual issue and attempts to study the<br />

collective behaviour <strong>of</strong> individual drivers as<br />

more than rational decision makers who react<br />

only according to pre-defined rules.<br />

The modelling approach proposed in this<br />

study allows for modelling the interaction<br />

between drivers, co-ordination <strong>of</strong> their goals<br />

and updating <strong>of</strong> their decisions on a real-time<br />

and day-today basis. The Intelligent Agents<br />

model developed in this study will be used in<br />

conjunction with a traffic simulation component<br />

to evaluate the impacts <strong>of</strong> providing drivers<br />

with real-time information. The proposed<br />

models will provide road authorities with a<br />

valuable tool to evaluate and design effective<br />

traveller information systems aimed at influencing<br />

travel behaviour, reducing congestion and<br />

enhancing the performance <strong>of</strong> the road network.<br />

24 DECEMBER 2001

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