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of pesticides will result in a smaller number of active<br />

chemical ingredients. This will lead to greater difficulty<br />

in <strong>the</strong> delivery of effective, robust, pest <strong>and</strong> disease<br />

control <strong>for</strong> farmers who are reliant on chemical-based<br />

programmes to return economic yields. The EU has<br />

been at <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>efront of <strong>the</strong> basic research on plant<br />

defence mechanisms that could support development of<br />

alternative genetic-based approaches to crop protection.<br />

1.4 Assessing impact of new technologies<br />

Much ef<strong>for</strong>t has been devoted to analysing <strong>the</strong><br />

productivity <strong>and</strong> environmental <strong>and</strong> socio-economic<br />

impacts of <strong>the</strong> first generation of GM crops. This analysis<br />

has included assessment of yield, ease <strong>and</strong> predictability<br />

of crop management, applied herbicide use <strong>and</strong> resultant<br />

soil conditions, use of pesticides, crop mycotoxin<br />

contamination, farmer income <strong>and</strong> farmer health (Qaim,<br />

2009; National Research Council, 2010; Brookes <strong>and</strong><br />

Barfoot, 2012; James, 2012; Mannion <strong>and</strong> Morse, 2012;<br />

ISAAA, 2013). The peer-reviewed results from some of<br />

<strong>the</strong> socio-economic <strong>and</strong> environmental assessments will<br />

be discussed in more detail in subsequent chapters of<br />

<strong>the</strong> present report. In aggregate, <strong>the</strong> conclusion from <strong>the</strong><br />

scientific literature is that <strong>the</strong>re is no validated evidence<br />

to associate <strong>the</strong> first generation of GM crops, that have<br />

been cultivated <strong>for</strong> more than 15 years worldwide (<strong>and</strong><br />

commercialisation was dependent on more than 20 years<br />

of prior art in plant sciences), with higher risks to <strong>the</strong><br />

environment or <strong>for</strong> food <strong>and</strong> feed safety compared with<br />

conventional varieties of <strong>the</strong> same crop (DG Research,<br />

2010a; Fagerstrom et al., 2012).<br />

Statements about <strong>the</strong> adverse impacts of GM crops<br />

have too often been based on contested science,<br />

(exemplified by <strong>the</strong> recent controversy associated with<br />

<strong>the</strong> experimental assessment of GM maize NK603<br />

(Academies nationales, 2012). 1 Some controversies<br />

have also confounded trait-specific effects <strong>and</strong> GM<br />

crop-related issues. Deploying herbicide-resistant<br />

varieties, <strong>for</strong> example, may have indirect beneficial or<br />

detrimental environmental effects irrespective of whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

such varieties have been produced by GM technology<br />

or not (see Box 2 <strong>for</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r discussion). Any new tool<br />

or technology can cause unintended effects if used<br />

unwisely by adopting poor agronomic practice <strong>and</strong> it is<br />

vital to share lessons learned from <strong>the</strong> implementation<br />

of innovation. For <strong>the</strong> <strong>future</strong>, it is important not to<br />

generalise about <strong>the</strong> safety of conferred traits based on<br />

<strong>the</strong> technology used. Each new product must be assessed<br />

according to consistent risk assessment principles that<br />

examine <strong>the</strong> trait ra<strong>the</strong>r than <strong>the</strong> means by which <strong>the</strong><br />

trait was conferred (see Chapter 4). It is also essential to<br />

ensure that benefit–risk is evaluated ra<strong>the</strong>r than foc<strong>using</strong><br />

exclusively on risk (Box 2 <strong>and</strong> Chapter 4). In addition, <strong>the</strong><br />

risk of not adopting any particular innovation should be<br />

assessed.<br />

It is equally important to appreciate that <strong>the</strong>re are o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

established techniques now emerging from advances<br />

in biotechnology <strong>for</strong> use in programmes of crop<br />

improvement. Collectively, all of <strong>the</strong> methodologies<br />

covered in <strong>the</strong> present report may be regarded as crop<br />

genetic improvement technologies. The mix of new tools<br />

coming within range is exp<strong>and</strong>ing rapidly <strong>and</strong> significant<br />

impact can be anticipated (Box 3).<br />

For several of <strong>the</strong>se New Breeding Techniques, <strong>the</strong><br />

commercialised crop will be free of genes <strong>for</strong>eign to <strong>the</strong><br />

species, which raises issues <strong>for</strong> detection <strong>and</strong> regulation<br />

as it will not be possible to discern <strong>the</strong> methodology by<br />

which <strong>the</strong> genetic improvements were achieved. The<br />

<strong>challenges</strong> <strong>for</strong> EU regulation of <strong>the</strong>se New Breeding<br />

Techniques will be discussed later in Chapter 4.<br />

1.5 Previous work by national academies of<br />

science in <strong>the</strong> EU<br />

Prospects <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> use of molecular biosciences in general,<br />

genetic modification in particular, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir contribution<br />

to agricultural innovation have been discussed previously<br />

by many of <strong>the</strong> constituent academies of <strong>EASAC</strong>. Their<br />

publications have documented where <strong>the</strong>re is excellent<br />

relevant science to be nurtured <strong>and</strong> used. The academies<br />

have also highlighted where <strong>the</strong>re are problems caused by<br />

<strong>the</strong> failure to take account of <strong>the</strong> accumulating scientific<br />

evidence in modernising <strong>and</strong> streamlining regulatory<br />

approaches to benefit–risk assessment. Concerns have<br />

repeatedly been raised that EU regulatory policy is not<br />

coherently supporting a strategy <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> bioeconomy;<br />

some of <strong>the</strong> recent <strong>EASAC</strong>-academy publications are<br />

listed in Appendix 2.<br />

Although no single technology can be regarded as a<br />

panacea (EGE, 2008; Bennett <strong>and</strong> Jennings, 2013), this<br />

1<br />

This particular controversy relates to research published on GM maize NK603 where <strong>the</strong> study authors (Seralini et al., 2012)<br />

claimed a strong tumorigenic <strong>and</strong> toxic effect in rats. However, analysis of this research by <strong>the</strong> French academies, by EFSA (2012a)<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> European Society of Toxicological Pathology (2013) raised many concerns about <strong>the</strong> initial publication in terms of its unclear<br />

objectives, inadequate disclosure of detail on study design, conduct <strong>and</strong> analysis, <strong>and</strong> small group sizes used. EFSA concluded<br />

that <strong>the</strong> study was of insufficient scientific quality <strong>for</strong> safety assessment. Criticisms of <strong>the</strong> original research publication, its<br />

methodology <strong>and</strong> reporting procedures have also been made by several o<strong>the</strong>r advisory bodies, <strong>for</strong> example <strong>the</strong> Federal Institute <strong>for</strong><br />

Risk Assessment in Germany (2012) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Italian Federation of Life Sciences (Federazione Italiana Scienze della Vita, 2013), <strong>and</strong><br />

have been discussed in <strong>the</strong> scientific literature (see, <strong>for</strong> example, Butler, 2012). A comprehensive review of <strong>the</strong> literature on animal<br />

research, including long-term <strong>and</strong> multigenerational studies (Snell et al., 2012) had previously concluded that no such adverse<br />

effects were demonstrable. Recently, EFSA has made public its data <strong>and</strong> documents relating to <strong>the</strong> initial authorisation of GM maize<br />

NK 203 (Butler, 2013).<br />

<strong>EASAC</strong> <strong>Planting</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>future</strong> | June 2013 | 5

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