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An Economic Analysis of GRDC Investment in the - Grains Research ...

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6.5. Attribution <strong>of</strong> Benefits from Resistance Breed<strong>in</strong>g to ACRCP<br />

There are o<strong>the</strong>r activities that could have claim to part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> benefits from resistance<br />

breed<strong>in</strong>g. The <strong>in</strong>vestment by extension agencies <strong>in</strong> giv<strong>in</strong>g advice regard<strong>in</strong>g cultural<br />

practices and <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> fungicides has already been excluded <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> estimate <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> value<br />

<strong>of</strong> control attribution from resistance. O<strong>the</strong>r attribution claims could <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

• <strong>the</strong> 14 cereal breed<strong>in</strong>g programs across Australia and <strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>corporation <strong>of</strong> resistance<br />

<strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong>ir breed<strong>in</strong>g l<strong>in</strong>es, mostly <strong>in</strong> conjunction with ACRCP; <strong>the</strong>ir comb<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

expenditure on <strong>the</strong>se activities is likely to be significantly less than <strong>the</strong> expenditure by<br />

ACRCP.<br />

• orig<strong>in</strong>al imported germplasm, although any add<strong>in</strong>g value to such is part <strong>of</strong> ACRCP<br />

activities.<br />

• <strong>the</strong> activities and outputs <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rs <strong>in</strong>volved with <strong>the</strong> ACRCP.<br />

A conservative estimate <strong>of</strong> 50% <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> benefits from cereal rust resistance breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

Australia has been attributed to ACRCP.<br />

6.6. Benefits from Resistance Breed<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Table 13 <strong>in</strong>tegrates <strong>the</strong> assumptions used to produce <strong>the</strong> annual benefits that can be<br />

attributed to ACRCP for its <strong>in</strong>vestment over <strong>the</strong> period 1991 to 2007.<br />

Table 13: <strong>An</strong>nual Estimated Benefits for <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>in</strong> ACRCP over <strong>the</strong> Period 1991-2007<br />

Year<br />

ended<br />

June<br />

<strong>An</strong>nual<br />

benefits<br />

produced<br />

from<br />

resistance<br />

(m $)<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

benefits that<br />

can be<br />

attributed to<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />

breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

period 1991 to<br />

2007<br />

(c)<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

resistance<br />

benefits that<br />

can be<br />

attributed to<br />

ACRCP<br />

(d)<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong><br />

resistance<br />

benefits<br />

estimated that<br />

would have<br />

occurred <strong>in</strong><br />

absence <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>GRDC</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong><br />

a national<br />

program<br />

(e)<br />

Estimated<br />

Benefit<br />

from<br />

ACRCP<br />

that can be<br />

attributed<br />

to <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>Investment</strong><br />

(f)<br />

1991 289 (a) 0 50 50 0<br />

1992 289 10 50 50 7.2<br />

1993 289 20 50 50 14.4<br />

1994 289 30 50 50 21.7<br />

1995 289 40 50 50 28.9<br />

1996 289 50 50 50 36.1<br />

1997 289 60 50 50 43.4<br />

1998 345 (b) 70 50 50 60.4<br />

1999 345 80 50 50 69.0<br />

2000 345 90 50 50 77.6<br />

2001 345 100 50 50 86.2<br />

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Agtrans <strong>Research</strong> Page 20

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