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Download Report - Independent Evaluation Group - World Bank

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The Economic Importance of Brazil’s Forests<br />

cost of inputs and machinery, and leading to rapid forest conversion.<br />

Trade liberalization has supported Brazil’s comparative advantage in<br />

agriculture and livestock, and has stimulated expansion of the service<br />

and durable goods sectors (EIU 1999b) as well as growth of agriculture<br />

along the forest margin.<br />

International trade has been a small share of the market for forest<br />

products, unlike in Indonesia. 8 Although forest-related exports in Brazil<br />

grew from US$100 million in 1985 to about US$500 million in 1997,<br />

Brazil currently supplies only 4 percent of the global market for tropical<br />

wood (Barreto et al. 1998). Since 1980, the relative importance of<br />

the forest sector to Brazil’s international trade has increased only slightly.<br />

In that year, it accounted for 5.42 percent of total exports and 1.2 percent<br />

of imports. In 1998, these values had risen to 7.14 percent and<br />

1.98 percent, respectively. 9 About 50 percent of exports are cut wood,<br />

25 percent are plywood, and 12 percent are laminates (Verissimo and<br />

Lima 1998). The modest size of the export market, therefore, may mean<br />

that certification, which has begun to attract much attention in Brazil<br />

and internationally will have less impact than its proponents hope. However,<br />

this situation could well change in the future.<br />

Trade liberalization, which began in earnest in the early 1990s and<br />

received a major boost with the 1995 implementation of Mercosul and<br />

recent currency devaluations, has already boosted exports, including<br />

the export of forest products. Brazil is therefore poised to increase its<br />

supply of wood products on the global market as other traditional suppliers<br />

of tropical timber, such as Indonesia and Malaysia, exhaust their<br />

resources.<br />

15

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