NBA Schedule/Log

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“REST VS NO REST” AND “NO REST VS REST” Of the 990 NBA games this season, 371 feature a rested team vs an unrested team. This number is actually higher than last season even though there are 240 fewer games this season. This makes the rest combination an important factor when handicapping NBA basketball. A team with at least one days rest has a definite advantage over a team that played the previous night. Young, well-disciplined teams often can perform well even though they played the previous night whereas older teams tend to struggle when playing their second game in two days—especially if a long trip is involved. Of course, the number of these “no rest vs rest” games is determined when the schedule is finalized. The table to the right gives the number of occurrences of the rest vs no rest (R v NR) and no rest vs rest (NR v R) for each of the 30 NBA teams over the 2011-12 NBA regular season. The “+/- R vs NR” column on the far right gives the difference between the “R v NR” and “NR v R” columns. A high positive number indicates a favorable schedule and a high negative number indicates an unfavorable schedule. First, let’s look at the “Rest vs No Rest” numbers. The Wizards have the greatest number of rest vs no rest games in 2011-12 at 17. Next we have the Jazz, Warriors and Hawks, each with 16 games in which they are rest and their opponent played the previous day. On the unfortunate end of the spectrum we find the Cleveland Cavaliers, who only get THREE games all season in which they are rested vs an unrested opponent. Also getting the short end of the stick is the Miami Heat, who only get five “R vs NR” games this season. In the “No Rest vs Rest” column we see that the schedule-makers were much more balanced. The Suns have the most games in which their opponent is rested and they have no rest this season, with sixteen. The Knicks and the Clippers have the fewest with only nine. Now let’s check out the difference column. Here the number of times a team is playing a no rest vs rest game is subtracted from the number of times a team is playing a rest vs no rest game. The higher the number, the more favorable the schedule. The Atlanta Hawks have the highest positive differential at plus six. This is followed by the followed by the Bulls and Bobcats, each with plus-five. The Cavaliers got the unluckiest schedule with regard to rest-vsno-rest games, as they have a differential of minus-ten. The Heat, at minus nine, also has a very unfortunate schedule. These numbers are useful when playing NBA futures, but of course, other factors such as personnel changes can be more important than scheduling. Also, some teams can handle the no rest vs rest combination whereas other struggle. To investigate past records in rest-vs-no-rest NBA 1995-96 Through 2010-11: Rest vs No Rest, Overall, Home, Away 10 | KillerSports.com games, use the NBA query page at KillerSports.com. Play Smart. Play Informed. Watch the rest combinations. # of Rest Combos 2011-12 Team R v NR NR v R +/- R vs NR ATL 16 10 +6 BOS 9 13 -4 CBC 15 10 +5 CHI 15 10 +5 CLE 3 13 -10 DAL 14 15 -1 DEN 13 11 +2 DET 13 14 -1 GSW 16 15 +1 HOU 13 11 +2 IND 14 14 0 LAC 12 9 +3 LAL 11 15 -4 MEM 14 14 0 MIA 5 14 -9 MIL 15 13 +2 MIN 14 13 +1 NJN 10 12 -2 NOR 14 10 +4 NYK 11 9 +2 OKC 8 13 -5 ORL 14 12 +2 PHI 11 10 +1 PHO 12 16 -4 POR 12 12 0 SAC 9 10 -1 SAS 14 12 +2 TOR 11 12 -1 UTH 16 15 +1 WAS 17 14 +3 W/L record Winning % Avg SUm ATS Rec Avg ATSm Avg Line Overall 3596-2410 59.9% (+3.2) 3050-2844-112 (+0.5) -2.8 Home 3005-1677 64.2% (+4.6) 2355-2235-92 (+0.3) -4.2 Away 591-733 44.6% (-1.5) 695-609-20 (+0.9) +2.4
2011–2012 DAYS REST DISTRIBUTION A typical NBA regular season lasts about 170 days and contains 82 games. This season, however, the regular season will last only 124 days and contain 66 games. The average days rest for a team in a normal season is about 1.07. This season, it is 0.89, which is a significant difference. This NBA season, a team will have only about 57 days off. The manner in which a team’s days off are dispersed among the game days is an important factor in determining the difficulty of a team’s schedule. For example, it is a distinct disadvantage if a team has a large number of games in which they play with no rest. The table below gives the days rest distribution of each of the 30 NBA teams for the 2011-12 NBA regular season. The days rest are grouped into three categories; 0, 1, 2, and 3+ days rest. # Occur of Days Rest 2011-12 TEAm 0 1 2 3+ ATL 19 41 2 4 BOS 21 36 5 4 CBC 23 33 6 4 CHI 19 38 6 3 CLE 22 34 6 4 DAL 22 34 6 4 DEN 18 41 4 3 DET 22 33 8 3 GSW 19 38 6 3 HOU 23 32 7 4 IND 23 34 4 5 LAC 20 36 8 2 LAL 19 38 6 3 MEM 20 39 4 3 MIA 20 37 6 3 MIL 22 34 6 4 MIN 20 37 6 3 NJN 20 37 6 3 NOR 18 41 4 3 NYK 21 34 8 3 OKC 20 37 6 3 ORL 21 34 8 3 PHI 20 37 6 3 PHO 21 38 4 3 POR 20 38 6 2 SAC 17 42 5 2 SAN 21 35 7 3 TOR 20 39 3 4 UTH 22 34 7 3 WAS 20 36 8 2 AVG 20.4 36.6 5.8 3.2 From this table we see that the Bobcats, Rockets and Pacers each have 23 games this season in which they have no rest. This is tops in the league. At the other end we have the Sacramento Kings, who only have to play 17 games this season without rest. The number of times a team plays with no rest always has a narrower range than the distribution of each team’s opponent’s rest. The reason for this is that the number of times a team gets an unrested opponent is basically unrestricted whereas the number of times a team plays with no rest is somewhat limited by the fact that they must have about 57 days of rest over the season. So, the main difference between one team’s schedule and another’s lies not so much in their rest distribution but in the rest distribution of their opponents. The data for the 2011-12 season are shown in the table below. # of Occur of Opp Days Rest 2011-12 ATL 25 37 2 2 BOS 17 40 5 4 CBC 28 29 7 2 CHI 24 33 5 4 CLE 12 45 6 3 DAL 21 37 3 5 DEN 20 38 5 3 DET 21 32 8 5 GST 20 36 5 5 HOU 25 34 6 1 IND 23 29 10 4 LAC 23 32 9 2 LAL 15 41 6 4 MEM 20 39 5 2 MIA 11 44 8 3 MIL 24 35 4 3 MIN 21 41 0 4 NJN 18 37 7 4 NOR 22 34 4 6 NYK 23 35 6 2 OKC 15 42 7 2 ORL 23 32 9 2 PHI 21 38 4 3 PHO 17 40 8 1 POR 20 37 5 4 SAC 16 42 3 5 SAS 23 36 5 2 TOR 19 36 8 3 UTH 23 33 8 2 WAS 23 33 6 4 AVG 20.4 36.6 5.8 3.2 Here we find some gross inequities. The Miami Heat get only 11 unrested opponents all season but the Bobcats get 28. This gives the Bobcats a significant scheduling advantage over the Miami Heat. A difference of this magnitude can be worth as many as 5-8 wins over the course of a season – especially if the team has the personnel to take advantage of the favorable scheduling. This difference in win total can be enough to turn a six seed into a three seed, and certainly can turn an NBA futures loser into an NBA futures winner. 2011–2012 NBA Schedule Log | 11
Page 1 and 2: The 2011-12 KillerSports.com NBA Sc
Page 3 and 4: 2011-2012 NBA SCHEDULE OVERVIEW The
Page 5 and 6: 2011-2012 NBA OPPONENT BREAKDOWN CO
Page 7 and 8: 2011-2012 BACK-TO-BACK ROAD GAmES (
Page 9: BACK-TO-BACK ROAD GAmES - HOSTING T
Page 13 and 14: PLAYING FOUR GAmES IN FIVE DAYS (CO
Page 15 and 16: THIRD GAmE IN THREE DAYS 2011-2012
Page 17 and 18: QUICK SDQL OVERVIEW SDQL stands for
Page 19 and 20: The 2011-12 KillerSports.com NBA Sc
Page 21 and 22: ATLANTA HAWKS 2011-12 Schedule DATE
Page 23 and 24: BOSTON CELTICS 2011-12 Schedule DAT
Page 25 and 26: CHARLOTTE BOBCATS 2011-12 Schedule
Page 27 and 28: CHICAGO BULLS 2011-12 Schedule DATE
Page 29 and 30: CLEVELAND CAVALIERS 2011-12 Schedul
Page 31 and 32: DALLAS mAVERICKS 2011-12 Schedule D
Page 33 and 34: DENVER NUGGETS 2011-12 Schedule DAT
Page 35 and 36: DETROIT PISTONS 2011-12 Schedule DA
Page 37 and 38: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS 2011-12 Sched
Page 39 and 40: HOUSTON ROCKETS 2011-12 Schedule DA
Page 41 and 42: INDIANA PACERS 2011-12 Schedule DAT
Page 43 and 44: LA CLIPPERS 2011-12 Schedule DATE D
Page 45 and 46: LA LAKERS 2011-12 Schedule DATE DAY
Page 47 and 48: mEmPHIS GRIZZLIES 2011-12 Schedule
Page 49 and 50: mIAmI HEAT 2011-12 Schedule DATE DA
Page 51 and 52: mILWAUKEE BUCKS 2011-12 Schedule DA
Page 53 and 54: mINNESOTA TImBERWOLVES 2011-12 Sche
Page 55 and 56: NEW JERSEY NETS 2011-12 Schedule DA
Page 57 and 58: NEW ORLEANS HORNETS 2011-12 Schedul
Page 59 and 60: NEW YORK KNICKS 2011-12 Schedule DA
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OKLAHOmA CITY THUNDER 2011-12 Sched
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ORLANDO mAGIC 2011-12 Schedule DATE
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PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 2011-12 Schedule
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PHOENIX SUNS 2011-12 Schedule DATE
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PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 2011-12 Sched
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SACRAmENTO KINGS 2011-12 Schedule D
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SAN ANTONIO SPURS 2011-12 Schedule
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TORONTO RAPTORS 2011-12 Schedule DA
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UTAH JAZZ 2011-12 Schedule DATE DAY
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WASHINGTON WIZARDS 2011-12 Schedule
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The 2011-12 KillerSports.com NBA Sc
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BOSTON CELTICS PLAY ON TREND ID DES
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CHICAGO BULLS PLAY ON TREND ID DESC
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DALLAS mAVERICKS PLAY ON TREND ID D
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DETROIT PISTONS PLAY ON TREND ID DE
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HOUSTON ROCKETS PLAY ON TREND ID DE
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LA CLIPPERS PLAY ON TREND ID DESCRI
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mEmPHIS GRIZZLIES PLAY ON TREND ID
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mILWAUKEE BUCKS PLAY ON TREND ID DE
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NEW JERSEY NETS PLAY ON TREND ID DE
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NEW YORK KNICKS PLAY ON TREND ID DE
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ORLANDO mAGIC PLAY ON TREND ID DESC
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PHOENIX SUNS PLAY ON TREND ID DESCR
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SACRAmENTO KINGS PLAY ON TREND ID D
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TORONTO RAPTORS PLAY ON TREND ID DE
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WASHINGTON WIZARDS PLAY ON TREND ID
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NBA Schedule/Log

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