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Business Lands Strategic Plan - Coffs Harbour City Council - NSW ...

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Contents<br />

GLOSSARY .................................................................................................. 4<br />

Executive Summary ..................................................................................... 5<br />

Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................ 5<br />

Background ............................................................................................................................................................. 5<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Land Hierarchy......................................................................................................................................... 6<br />

Strategies and Actions ............................................................................................................................................ 8<br />

Precinct Futures and Zoning................................................................................................................................... 8<br />

Conclusion............................................................................................................................................................... 9<br />

1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................. 10<br />

1.1 Background................................................................................................................................................ 10<br />

1.2 Scope of Work ........................................................................................................................................... 10<br />

1.3 Method and Structure............................................................................................................................... 10<br />

2 STUDY CONTEXT ................................................................................ 13<br />

2.1 Wider Economic Trends and Drivers......................................................................................................... 13<br />

2.2 Policy Context............................................................................................................................................ 15<br />

2.3 Economic Snapshot ................................................................................................................................... 23<br />

2.4 Assets and Infrastructure Overview ......................................................................................................... 24<br />

The Employment Challenge.................................................................................................................................. 27<br />

Issues and Opportunities...................................................................................................................................... 29<br />

3 SITUATION ANALYSIS .......................................................................... 33<br />

3.1 Audit Method and Coverage..................................................................................................................... 33<br />

3.2 Employment outside the Audit Area ........................................................................................................ 34<br />

3.3 Headline Audit Results .............................................................................................................................. 35<br />

3.4 Precinct-Level Results................................................................................................................................ 40<br />

4 THE EMPLOYMENT CHALLENGE ............................................................. 57<br />

4.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................... 57<br />

4.2 Demand Forecasts ..................................................................................................................................... 57<br />

5 MEETING THE CHALLENGE ................................................................... 60<br />

5.1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................... 60<br />

5.2 Issues and Opportunities........................................................................................................................... 60<br />

5.3 Strategies and Actions............................................................................................................................... 63<br />

5.4 Precinct Futures and Zoning...................................................................................................................... 68<br />

Precinct Futures and Zoning................................................................................................................................. 85<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Component – Page 1


APPENDIX 1 – Basic ABS Profile Data ........................................................... 87<br />

Demographic Profile ............................................................................................................................................. 87<br />

Labour Force Profile.............................................................................................................................................. 89<br />

Employment Profile .............................................................................................................................................. 93<br />

APPENDIX 2 – Land Audit Method...............................................................101<br />

APPENDIX 3 - Employment Forecast Method ................................................104<br />

APPENDIX 4 – Demand Adjustment Scenarios ...............................................105<br />

Scenario 2 – LGA Level Adjustment.................................................................................................................... 105<br />

Scenario 3 – Precinct Level Adjustment............................................................................................................. 105<br />

APPENDIX 5 – Floorspace Demand Forecasts (Totals by BLC) ..........................106<br />

Scenario 1 – Base Case........................................................................................................................................ 106<br />

Scenario 2 - LGA Level Adjustment .................................................................................................................... 108<br />

Scenario 3 - Precinct Level Adjustment.............................................................................................................. 111<br />

APPENDIX 6 – Proposed CBD By-Pass Route .................................................114<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Component – Page 2


<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Component – Page 3


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

GLOSSARY<br />

ABS<br />

ANZSIC<br />

B1<br />

B2<br />

B3<br />

B4<br />

B5<br />

B7<br />

BLC<br />

BLS<br />

CBD<br />

DCP<br />

DEEWR<br />

DoP<br />

EDP<br />

ELS<br />

FSR<br />

GFA<br />

ILS<br />

IN1<br />

IN2<br />

IN3<br />

JTW<br />

LEP<br />

LGA<br />

LGMS<br />

LQ<br />

MNC<br />

MNCRA<br />

NCREP<br />

SEPP<br />

TDC<br />

Australian Bureau of Statistics<br />

Australia and New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification<br />

Neighbourhood Centre (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP<br />

preparation)<br />

Local Centre (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

Commercial Core (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

Mixed Use (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Development (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP<br />

preparation)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Park (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

Broad Land-use Category<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy<br />

Central <strong>Business</strong> District<br />

Development Control <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations<br />

Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning<br />

Economic Development <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Employment <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy<br />

Floorspace Ratio<br />

Gross Floor Area<br />

Industrial <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy<br />

General Industrial (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

Light Industrial (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

Heavy Industrial (zone classification in the Standard Instrument for LEP preparation)<br />

Journey to Work<br />

Local Environmental <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Local Government Area<br />

Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Location Quotient<br />

Mid North Coast<br />

Mid North Coast Regional Strategy<br />

North Coast Regional Environmental <strong>Plan</strong><br />

State Environmental <strong>Plan</strong>ning Policy<br />

Transport Data Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 4


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Executive Summary<br />

Introduction<br />

The <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy (BLS) provides <strong>Council</strong> and the community with a<br />

strategic planning framework to guide the future development of commercial lands within the <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> Local Government Area (LGA). The Strategy forms the <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> component of the <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy (LGMS). The main objectives of the Strategy are:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Provide a current situational analysis and overview of employment land stock in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong><br />

LGA;<br />

Provide an understanding of key issues for employment land is <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> through<br />

consultation with key stakeholders;<br />

Identify the critical land characteristics required by various industry sectors;<br />

Outline demand forecasts for employment land in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LGA;<br />

Provide recommendations for short-term zoning and spatial prioritisation of land to accommodate<br />

future employment lands; and<br />

Develop strategies and actions to ensure a range of developable employment land is available to<br />

meet projected demand.<br />

Background<br />

In October 2008 <strong>Council</strong> commissioned SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning to prepare an Employment <strong>Lands</strong><br />

Strategy (ELS) to identify current and future employment land requirements for the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA.<br />

The ELS considered both Industrial and <strong>Business</strong> zoned lands within the LGA. Upon completion the<br />

final draft ELS was presented to <strong>Council</strong>. As <strong>Council</strong> and the Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning (DoP) had<br />

previously endorsed an Industrial <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy (ILS) sections of the ELS concerned with industrial<br />

land was noted but not endorsed as policy, the ILS was reinforced by <strong>Council</strong> resolution as <strong>Council</strong>’s<br />

adopted policy for industrial lands.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> and commercially zoned lands were therefore the focus of the ELS. Several resolutions of<br />

<strong>Council</strong> endorsed the ELS and associated site specific matters.<br />

The final ELS and accompanying <strong>Council</strong> report were forwarded to the DoP for endorsement as part of<br />

<strong>Council</strong>’s Local Growth Management Strategy.<br />

In July 2010 the DoP advised <strong>Council</strong> that the final ELS was not in a form which could be endorsed by<br />

the DoP or integrated with the other components of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LGMS.<br />

To accord with DoP’s direction on this matter, <strong>Council</strong> have developed this BLS to address the format<br />

and inclusions, required by the DoP.<br />

The ELS document, as prepared by the consultant and modified by resolution of <strong>Council</strong> will be used as<br />

a reference document.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 5


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Land Hierarchy<br />

The <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Hierarchy was established by <strong>Council</strong> with the preparation of Local Environmental<br />

<strong>Plan</strong> (LEP) 2000. The rationale for development of the hierarchy was to reduce duplication of business<br />

services, reinforce the role and function of business centres throughout the LGA and provide a clear<br />

direction for business pursuits. In this way the hierarchy would implement a more coordinated land<br />

use strategy that prioritised the role of centres and reinforce the role and function of the <strong>City</strong> Centre<br />

as the focus of major retail, commercial, housing, cultural and recreational activities.<br />

• Regional Context<br />

The <strong>NSW</strong> State Government’s Mid North Coast Regional Strategy (MNCRS) seeks to encourage the<br />

growth and redevelopment of the Region’s four major regional centres and six major towns. <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> is identified as one of the four major regional centres and Woolgoolga has been identified<br />

as one of the six major towns. The MNCRS aims to protect sensitive coastal and natural<br />

environments while strengthening the economic and administrative functions of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

and Woolgoolga while achieving increased housing density targets.<br />

• Local Context<br />

There are 18 areas within the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LGA currently serving as business areas, providing<br />

a range of sizes from neighbourhood or village centre to the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Central <strong>Business</strong><br />

District (CBD).<br />

These centres include:<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

<strong>City</strong> Centre (CBD)<br />

Park Beach Plaza<br />

Woolgoolga<br />

Toormina<br />

Moonee<br />

Sawtell<br />

Boambee<br />

North Side<br />

Bray Street<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

Jetty<br />

Sawtell<br />

Ulong<br />

Lowanna<br />

Coramba<br />

Red Rock<br />

Corindi Beach<br />

Nana Glen<br />

Emerald Beach<br />

Several other areas are currently zoned for business use activities that are yet to be developed for<br />

business purposes, these include:<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

Bakers Road;<br />

Korora;<br />

North Boambee Valley;<br />

South <strong>Coffs</strong>; and<br />

Safety Beach.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 6


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Under <strong>Council</strong>’s <strong>City</strong> Centre <strong>Plan</strong> and Standard Instrument LEP processes two other business zoned<br />

areas are proposed, these include:<br />

−<br />

−<br />

along the Pacific Highway, north of the CBD, from Marcia Street to Bray Street; and<br />

along the Pacific Highway, south of the CBD, in the vicinity of Thompsons Road.<br />

<strong>Council</strong> has developed a business centre hierarchy to reduce duplication of business centres.<br />

Detailed redevelopment plans of some centres have been completed. <strong>Council</strong> is continuing to<br />

revitalise the centres through physical works and assistance within marketing and events.<br />

Prevailing planning controls need to be flexible to deal with the dynamic changes of business<br />

activities. The conundrum to overcome is that while strict planning controls can give certainly in<br />

business, they may preclude business innovation and not respond to the changes in market<br />

demand.<br />

To achieve an appropriate balance, as business centres become more resilient, a more flexible<br />

approach can be adopted to allow a greater range of business activities.<br />

• Draft LEP Preparation: Proposed <strong>Business</strong> Zone Hierarchy<br />

<strong>Council</strong> is preparing its draft Standard Instrument LEP concurrently with the preparation of this<br />

Strategy.<br />

In draft LEP 2010 it is proposed that six business zones under the Standard Instrument be used,<br />

including: B1 Neighbourhood Centre, B2 Local Centre, B3 Commercial Core, B4 Mixed Use, B5<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Development and B6 Enterprise Corridor. The draft LEP aims to maintain the primacy of<br />

the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD as the principal business, office and retail hub of the city, and builds on the<br />

hierarchy of business zones which was established in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LEP 2000.<br />

The B1 Neighbourhood Centre zone is intended to directly equate to existing <strong>Business</strong> 3F<br />

Neighbourhood zones. The B2 Local Centre zone is being applied to larger regional shopping<br />

centres, including Toormina, Park Beach Plaza and Moonee.<br />

The B3 Commercial Core zone is intended to directly equate to the existing <strong>Business</strong> 3A <strong>City</strong> Centre<br />

zone. It is only being applied to the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD.<br />

The B4 Mixed Use zone is being applied to a number of existing business and retail localities, being<br />

Sawtell, Jetty Village, and Woolgoolga town centre areas, and to other appropriate smaller<br />

locations such as The Promenade. The B5 <strong>Business</strong> Development is a targeted bulky goods zone<br />

and has been applied to the localities to the north and south of the city centre previously<br />

identified in the Industrial <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy 2009. The B6 Enterprise Corridor is applicable to<br />

targeted commercial precincts operating along movement corridors and replaces several <strong>Business</strong><br />

3B <strong>City</strong> Support, <strong>Business</strong> 3D Tourist Service Centre, and <strong>Business</strong> 3G Mixed Use zones where<br />

appropriate.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 7


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Strategies and Actions<br />

Protecting the commercial core and recognising the role of other centres was seen as the key strategy<br />

to respond to issues identified from analysis. A number of general actions were developed to inform<br />

future land use for commercial lands within <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>:<br />

• A number of strategies specifically developed to inform the LEP preparation process are also<br />

separately reinforced.<br />

• The <strong>City</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> process will inform the land use outcomes for lands within the CBD, parts of Park<br />

Beach and the Jetty area.<br />

• <strong>Council</strong> work shopping and determinations have provided guidance for the employment lands in<br />

Woolgoolga and inform the zoning recommendations for these precincts.<br />

Precinct Futures and Zoning<br />

The current land-use in each precinct has been documented and the capacity to accommodate<br />

forecast demand under each scenario has been assessed. Future roles and recommended zoning for<br />

each precinct are summarised in the following table.<br />

Precinct Future Role Zoning<br />

Bakers Road<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No adjustments<br />

to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap are<br />

recommended.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

Boambee East<br />

(Ringtail Close)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Bray Street<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

North<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Coramba<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

The precinct has a mix of retail and service businesses, good<br />

accessibility and proximity to residential areas position. These<br />

factors position the precinct to function as a local centre providing<br />

retail and service functions. The Precinct has ample capacity to<br />

meet forecast demand to 2031<br />

The future role of the CBD has been recognised through its<br />

designation under the MNCRS as a Major Regional Centre. The<br />

CBD should continue to function as the principal office location in<br />

the LGA and development controls should facilitate this. Some<br />

higher density residential development may be appropriate<br />

subject to the findings of a residential study, but these should not<br />

‘sterilise’ the CBD for further retail or commercial development.<br />

The proposed by-pass route will likely to have short term effect on<br />

the level of passing trade but this can be minimised with<br />

appropriate highway signage. In the longer term this would likely<br />

be more than offset by natural growth and the positive impact on<br />

the amenity of the CBD, Gaps between supply and demand<br />

emerge over the forecast period, large driven by a shift in shares<br />

for commercial sector to the CBD in scenario 3 and assumptions<br />

about FSRs based on the current controls.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No<br />

adjustments to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap<br />

are recommended.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B6 Enterprise<br />

Corridor<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B5 <strong>Business</strong><br />

Development<br />

B3 Commercial Core,<br />

B2, Local Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 8


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Precinct Future Role Zoning<br />

Corindi Beach’<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

Emerald Beach Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No<br />

adjustments to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap<br />

are recommended.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

Jetty<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Korora Bay<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Moonee Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Nana Glen<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Safety Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Sawtell<br />

Toormina<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

West Woolgoolga<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Woolgoolga<br />

(Beach Street)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

The Jetty has an important future role to play as a mixed use<br />

precinct. The considerable amenity of the precinct may provide<br />

potential for the area to accommodate some higher density<br />

residential development. Industrial activities associated with the<br />

Marina should be preserved and conflict with other uses<br />

minimised.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the<br />

local community. The precinct should not grow to become a<br />

major employment destination in its own right.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No<br />

adjustments to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap<br />

are recommended.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre.<br />

The precinct should be preserved and enhanced as a coastal<br />

village. The centre should not expand to become a major<br />

employment destination.<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the<br />

local community. The precinct should not grow to become a<br />

major employment destination in its own right.<br />

The precinct’s local service functions should be preserved.<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the<br />

local community. The precinct has the opportunity to expand its<br />

function to serve the needs of the surrounding population and<br />

would be the most appropriate site for future retail development.<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

IN4 Working<br />

Waterfront<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use (Raj<br />

Mahal and River<br />

Street)<br />

B6 Enterprise<br />

Corridor<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

Conclusion<br />

<strong>Council</strong> is committed to continuing the provisions of the <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Hierarchy under this strategy<br />

and into the preparation of the Standard Instrument LEP. As such, the hierarchy provides important<br />

context for the outcomes of this study, particularly zoning recommendations.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 9


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

1 INTRODUCTION<br />

1.1 Background<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> <strong>Council</strong> resolved to prepare an ELS for the whole of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA in 2008.<br />

SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning were consequently engaged by <strong>Council</strong> to complete an ELS to identify<br />

current and future employment land requirements for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LGA.<br />

The study is aimed at optimising the performance of local and regional employment generating<br />

businesses and land-uses by determining the land needs of local industry and making provision for<br />

their future requirements.<br />

The Strategy will enable <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> <strong>Council</strong> to respond to the State Government’s<br />

requirements to ensure an adequate supply of land is available to support economic growth and the<br />

local share of the additional 47,000 jobs projected for the Mid-North Coast region in the next 25 years.<br />

1.2 Scope of Work<br />

The scope of work for this study is as follows:<br />

• A current situational analysis and overview of employment land stock in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LGA;<br />

• An understanding of key issues for employment land is <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> through consultation<br />

with key stakeholders;<br />

• Identification of critical land characteristics required by various industry sectors;<br />

• Demand forecasts for employment land in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LGA;<br />

• Recommendations for short-term zoning and spatial prioritisation of land to accommodate future<br />

employment lands; and<br />

• Strategies and actions to ensure a range of developable employment land is available to meet<br />

projected demand.<br />

1.3 Method and Structure<br />

The study has been completed using both quantitative and qualitative research elements. The basic<br />

research components of the work are described below:<br />

Task 1: Baseline Analysis<br />

−<br />

−<br />

Strategy and Policy review. A review of all existing relevant policy and strategy<br />

documentation. This included documentation targeted to the LGA level, and relevant<br />

Regional and State level documents. This included recent local planning and policy<br />

documents such as the Retail Strategy, Economic Development Strategy and the Industrial<br />

<strong>Lands</strong> audit, as well as State government documents such as the Innovation Statement,<br />

State <strong>Plan</strong> and MNCRS. This review also includes the local strategy document detailed in<br />

the brief.<br />

The aim of this exercise was to understand the planning and development parameters<br />

affecting development in the economic activity areas, and will ensure any resultant<br />

recommendations from this study recognise the existing strategy and policy framework.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 10


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

−<br />

Examination of Economic and Development Trends. Baseline analysis also included review<br />

of economic and development trends likely to affect prospects in the study region. The<br />

economy is changing rapidly and new challenges are looming – at a broad and local level.<br />

Drawing on the strategy and policy material, any documents supplied by <strong>Council</strong> and inhouse<br />

consultancy, we prepared a short paper of key considerations from these trends<br />

included in Chapter 2.<br />

Task 2: Supply Side Audit<br />

−<br />

Employment <strong>Lands</strong> Audit. Understanding the nature of existing industry and employment<br />

activities and their associated land consumption and needs is fundamental to this project.<br />

Zoning, cadastre and constrained land GIS layers were provided by <strong>Council</strong>. Activity (or<br />

vacancies) on each lot were recorded by ANZSIC (Australia and New Zealand Standard<br />

Industrial Classifications) and Broad Land-use (BLC) Category.<br />

Task 3: Demand Analysis<br />

−<br />

−<br />

Economic Baseline and Industry Specialisation. This task will examine the current<br />

economic and industry characteristics of the LGA by location – focussing on the different<br />

employment precincts. Data will be sourced largely from the Transport Data Centre (TDC)<br />

‘Journey to Work’ data sets.<br />

Employment and Floorspace Forecasting. We will use its employment and floorspace<br />

forecasting modelling to identify future growth. The employment forecasts are produced<br />

by taking both economic and population based drivers into account. The supply side survey<br />

material will assist, not only to inform appropriate floorspace ratios, but also of course to<br />

provide a base for ‘projecting from’. Data from the audit will also be used here to convert<br />

employment and floorspace by one digit ANZSIC into broad land-use categories BLCs. This<br />

is important as the BLC have a much better relationship to land-use than the ANZSIC<br />

categories.<br />

Task 4: Consultation<br />

−<br />

−<br />

Stakeholder Consultation. Project stakeholders were consulted to determine their visions<br />

for economic development in the LGA and to understand the nature of activity completed<br />

to date.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Focus Groups. Individual business contacts and small focus group discussion were<br />

completed to tease out local market dynamics and issues affecting the development of the<br />

various employment precincts. These discussions were also used as a means to test issues<br />

emerging from the study and to refine draft strategies.<br />

Task 5: Reporting and Refinement<br />

In October 2008 <strong>Council</strong> commissioned SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning to prepare an<br />

Employment <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy (ELS) to identify current and future employment land<br />

requirements for the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA.<br />

The ELS considered both Industrial and <strong>Business</strong> zoned lands within the LGA. Upon completion<br />

the final draft ELS was presented to <strong>Council</strong>. As <strong>Council</strong> and the Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning (DoP)<br />

had previously endorsed an Industrial <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy (ILS) sections of the ELS concerned with<br />

industrial land was noted but not endorsed as policy, the ILS was reinforced by <strong>Council</strong><br />

resolution as <strong>Council</strong>’s adopted policy for industrial lands.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> and commercially zoned lands were therefore the focus of the ELS. Several<br />

resolutions of <strong>Council</strong> endorsed the ELS and associated site specific matters.<br />

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The final ELS and accompanying <strong>Council</strong> report were forwarded to the DoP for endorsement as<br />

part of <strong>Council</strong>’s Local Growth Management Strategy.<br />

In July 2010 the DoP advised <strong>Council</strong> that the final ELS was not in a form which could be<br />

endorsed by the DoP or integrated with the other components of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong><br />

LGMS.<br />

To accord with DoP’s direction on this matter, <strong>Council</strong> have developed this BLS to address the<br />

format and inclusions, required by the DoP.<br />

The ELS document, as prepared by the consultant and modified by resolution of <strong>Council</strong> will be<br />

used as a reference document.<br />

This document is focussed on distilling the considerable amount of data generated by the study into a<br />

series of strategies and action for the employment precincts in the LGA. These are drawn directly from<br />

the combined assessment of all research components described above.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

2 STUDY CONTEXT<br />

2.1 Wider Economic Trends and Drivers<br />

Globalisation<br />

Globalisation has been marked by a rapid increase in global trade in goods and services and in<br />

particular capital flows. This has been facilitated by technological innovation in transport and<br />

communications, the promotion of deregulation in particular industry sectors, the removal of trade<br />

restrictions and exchange controls and innovation in the management and pricing of transaction risks<br />

(insurance, hedging, partnership formation etc).<br />

Globalisation is likely to continue to drive a separation between the ‘thinking’ sector of the value chain<br />

(design, brokerage, marketing, strategy formulation) and the ‘making’ (manufacturing) and<br />

‘distribution’ (transport, logistics, after sales service) aspects. Key services within the thinking part of<br />

the value adding process are showing increasing tendencies to centralise within one or two centres in<br />

advanced countries.<br />

More countries are opening up their economies and seizing the opportunities that come from closer<br />

integration into the global economy. China and India, as well as other countries such as Russia, Brazil<br />

and Mexico, are growing rapidly.<br />

Further, as communication and technology continue to improve, global production networks are<br />

becoming increasingly flexible, specialised and dispersed across continents. In an era where resources,<br />

technology and ideas can be moved rapidly to the most productive location, no economy can rely on<br />

its past strengths or traditional expertise.<br />

These trends have significant implications for the developed world. Under the globalisation paradigm,<br />

the current and future economic context is one of increased global competition, albeit also one of<br />

increasing interdependence of national and urban economies. For Australia the specific implications<br />

include:<br />

• Increased competition in lower order tertiary sectors of the economy; and<br />

• Opportunities for increased trade (namely in resources, advanced manufacturing and sophisticated<br />

services)<br />

The burgeoning middle classes in developing countries like China and India are providing new markets<br />

for very high quality manufactured goods from the developed world.<br />

Cities<br />

In the absence of trade barriers, the underlying characteristics and resources of nations have come to<br />

determine the activities in which they specialise. In general, more labour-intensive, lower-technology<br />

production is taking place in countries with an abundance of low-cost labour, whilst advanced<br />

economies with higher labour costs, and more developed skills and physical capital, concentrate on<br />

the production of high-value, knowledge-based goods and services. Importantly, these knowledge<br />

driven sectors rely on productivity and innovation for their competitive advantage.<br />

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High-value, knowledge based jobs have an acute preference for locating in cities. This is because cities<br />

provide the most productive business environment and enhance firms’ propensity to innovate as a<br />

result of agglomeration economies. Cities are now being increasingly recognised for the benefits<br />

simply arising from workers and firms being located close together.<br />

The attraction and retention of high-value, knowledge based sectors are crucial to long-term<br />

prosperity. Successful national economies are increasingly measured by their capacity to generate<br />

wealth through innovation and productivity, and to attract the labour and capital to support an<br />

innovation based economy. Because these functions are concentrated in cities, the efficiency, amenity<br />

and quality of life available in cities is an increasingly important factor in economic success.<br />

Competitiveness<br />

An indicative list for assessing ‘local’ competitiveness includes the following:<br />

• Enabling infrastructure: ‘hard’ infrastructure such as transport systems, but also ‘soft’<br />

infrastructure including R&D institutions, governance frameworks for economic development and<br />

peak body representation;<br />

• Education and health, which underpins a productive workforce and a lifelong learning and wellbeing<br />

agenda;<br />

• Adequate labour pool, within a reasonable geographic reach (which has implications for transport<br />

connections and adequacy);<br />

• <strong>Business</strong> sophistication, which relates to the quality of business leadership and management,<br />

which also includes maximising performance from sound locational decisions where clustering and<br />

agglomeration economies can be maximised;<br />

• Innovation and technological readiness, which refers to the ability of the economy to develop new<br />

technologies or ‘cutting-edge’ products in order to grow and maintain a competitive advantage,<br />

and/or adapt to existing technologies to enhance the productivity of its industries;<br />

• Sustainability, which will become increasingly relevant in ‘competitiveness’ judgements; and<br />

• Quality of life, covering lifestyle, amenities, access to recreation and quality residential offerings.<br />

While not necessarily definitive these variables do however display clear linkages, strengthening the<br />

assertion that competitiveness is the product of a range of interlocking factors.<br />

Home-based Work<br />

Home-based businesses are amongst the fastest growing industries annually, with an increasing<br />

number of people entering the marketplace in this fashion. The rise can be attributed to the<br />

affordability of computers, the internet and other communication technologies. In Australia,<br />

approximately 50% of business owners are occupied in home-based businesses, with this trend<br />

continuing to increase.<br />

When starting a home-based business, expansion is a key requirement for business choice. Industries<br />

that home-based businesses are more likely to be successful in include: e-commerce, health, nutrition,<br />

cosmetic, etc. These industries are new industries or industries that undergo frequent change.<br />

Because of the nature of home-based businesses innovation is critical.<br />

Consumer spending should also be considered; understanding consumer habits and trends of the<br />

market is crucial. Knowing where business is ‘going to deliver’ is important, so that target marks can<br />

be properly identified.<br />

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Changes that are affecting home-based businesses include:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

The rapid development of the internet and associated technologies;<br />

Globalisation of the marketplace; and<br />

Changing purchasing habits of consumers.<br />

These have an impact on the efficiency of goods and services being delivered to consumers. Homebased<br />

businesses are facing competition not just from local sources but also internationally and they<br />

have to deal with ever-changing customers’ wants and demands. However, positives to emerge from<br />

these changes include cheaper and more extensive advertising, promotions and sales for a company.<br />

The attraction of home based work is flexibility in work hours and the avoidance of a commute to<br />

work. Thus, incidence of home based work is usually highest in areas that are distant from<br />

employment centres. It is also important to note that home based work is more suited to some types<br />

of work than others and professional service, white collar work has traditionally made up a large<br />

percentage of this type of employment.<br />

Home-based work is also attractive to mature age and disabled workers. For example in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

almost 50% of people who work at home are 55 years and older.<br />

Defining home-based work can be difficult. The Australian Bureau of Statistics in 2005 indicated that<br />

around 2.5 million employed persons (24%) worked some hours from home. According to the Sensis<br />

Telework Insights Report (June 2005) 30% of individuals and 34% of small to medium size businesses<br />

reported some form of home-based work. The difficulty here is in understanding the proportion of<br />

home-based workers who are working for home-based businesses. This has important implications for<br />

this study as it impacts on the need for workspace in employment areas.<br />

2.2 Policy Context<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> State <strong>Plan</strong><br />

The <strong>NSW</strong> State <strong>Plan</strong> sets out a range of key initiatives for Government Action. The State <strong>Plan</strong> focuses<br />

on five areas of activity of the <strong>NSW</strong> government.<br />

Of relevance to this study, is Chapter 5 of the State <strong>Plan</strong>, titled ‘Growing Prosperity in <strong>NSW</strong>’. In this<br />

chapter, the <strong>NSW</strong> Government affirms that <strong>NSW</strong> is open for business and outlines the following<br />

priorities for achieving this:<br />

• maintaining and investing in infrastructure to support the growing economy;<br />

• cutting red tape;<br />

• increasing participation in education and training; and<br />

• maintaining the State’s AAA rating.<br />

The State <strong>Plan</strong> also proposes increasing business investment in rural and regional <strong>NSW</strong> as a high<br />

priority. The <strong>Plan</strong> clearly highlights that investing in regional and rural areas to foster economic<br />

development is a key priority for the <strong>NSW</strong> Government. This will potentially impact on demand for<br />

industrial land within many regions and rural areas throughout <strong>NSW</strong>.<br />

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State Infrastructure Strategy<br />

The State Infrastructure Strategy 2008/09-2017/18 is the guiding document for <strong>NSW</strong>’s infrastructure<br />

investment over the next 10 years. Key capital works for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, as outlined in the Strategy<br />

include:<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Education Campus (to include automotive, health facilities;<br />

• Upgrades to <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Base Hospital;<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Pacific Highway Bypass;<br />

• Regional sewerage works; and<br />

• Electricity distribution upgrades.<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> Government Statement on Innovation<br />

The <strong>NSW</strong> Government Statement on Innovation identifies clear comparative advantages for <strong>NSW</strong> in<br />

the sectors of:<br />

• High value-added manufacturing;<br />

• Entertainment, design, media and creative arts;<br />

• Financial and business services;<br />

• Logistics and transaction services; and<br />

• Energy and related services, particularly coal.<br />

The Statement proposes that these sectors be the focus of boosting infrastructure and capacity.<br />

Currently, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> <strong>Council</strong> has industry strengths in manufacturing and agriculture.<br />

However, ‘finance and business services’ was one of the fastest growing sectors (in terms of<br />

employment) between 2001 and 2006.<br />

It has since largely been repealed by the provision of the MNCRS. Select clauses from the REP<br />

continue to operate as a State Environmental <strong>Plan</strong>ning Policy – none of these however have direct<br />

bearing on the content of this strategy.<br />

Mid North Coast Regional Strategy<br />

The MNCRS is the key strategic planning document for the Mid North Coast. It applies to the eight<br />

local government areas of Clarence Valley, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, Bellingen, Nambucca, Kempsey, Port<br />

Macquarie-Hastings, Greater Taree and Great Lakes. The Strategy aims to ensure that adequate land is<br />

available and appropriately located to accommodate the projected housing and employment needs for<br />

the Region’s population over the next 25 years.<br />

The strategy forecasts an additional 47,000 jobs will need to be created by 2031 for the Mid North<br />

Coast. Of this 47,000, the Strategy outlines that 75% of these will be needed to meet the demands<br />

arising from the housing and servicing of additional population. The remaining 25% of jobs will need<br />

to be created in new industries or services supplying markets outside the Mid North Coast. The<br />

anticipated employment growth translates to a need for an additional 225 hectares or industrial land<br />

and about 203 hectares of commercial land.<br />

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The Strategy designates <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> as a major regional centre within the Mid North Coast Region.<br />

Due to the size and regional centre roles of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Port Macquarie, the draft Strategy<br />

recommends that the projected industrial land requirements will primarily be focused upon these<br />

areas to support their future growth. The <strong>Coffs</strong> Coast Region (<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, Bellingen and Nambucca<br />

Local Government Areas) will require an additional 83 hectares of industrial land within the next 25<br />

years. Similarly for commercial development, it is expected that Taree, Port Macquarie, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

and Grafton will take the majority of commercial development as these centres have the greatest<br />

capacity for redevelopment.<br />

The draft Strategy also defines potential areas for growth within each LGA. The Department has<br />

released these as the draft ‘Growth Areas Map’ for the region. The draft Growth Areas Maps indicate<br />

the land which is proposed as employment lands, which refers to land identified to provide the<br />

necessary projected industrial or commercial land.<br />

The proposed growth areas identified in the strategy for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> are confined to South<br />

Woolgoolga, on the western side of the Pacific Highway directly adjacent to the existing Woolgoolga<br />

industrial estate and within North Boambee Valley adjoining the existing Isles Drive Industrial Estate.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Figure 1.<br />

Draft Mid North Coast Regional Strategy Map<br />

Source: Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning, 2006<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

North Coast Regional Environmental <strong>Plan</strong><br />

The North Coast Regional Environmental <strong>Plan</strong> (REP) was prepared by the DoP to establish a regional<br />

planning framework for the North Coast region of New South Wales.<br />

It has since largely been repealed by the provisions of the MNCRS. Select clauses from the REP<br />

continue to operate as a State Environmental <strong>Plan</strong>ning Policy – none of these however have direct<br />

bearing on the content of this Strategy.<br />

Clause 47 <strong>Plan</strong> preparation and development control—principles for commercial and industrial<br />

Development<br />

This clause requires <strong>Council</strong>, when preparing a draft local environmental plan relating to commercial or<br />

industrial development, to take into consideration the following principles:<br />

• strong multi-functional town centres should be maintained to focus the drawing power of<br />

individual businesses and maintain the integrity of the main business area by only zoning land for<br />

further commercial or retail development where that development adjoins or is adjacent to the<br />

existing town centre<br />

• provisions contained in local environmental plans relating to retail, commercial, business and<br />

industrial zones should be flexible, especially to enable the development of light service industry<br />

near the central business district<br />

• there should be an adequate supply of zoned industrial land located where it is physically capable<br />

of development for industrial purposes, is not environmentally fragile and can be serviced at a<br />

reasonable cost<br />

Clause 48 <strong>Plan</strong> preparation—maintenance of industrial development zonings<br />

NCREP requires that a draft LEP applying to an urban area should not substantially reduce existing<br />

zonings of land for industrial development.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Local Environmental <strong>Plan</strong> 2000<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LEP 2000 is the principle Local Environmental <strong>Plan</strong>ning Instrument applying to all<br />

land within the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA. The <strong>Plan</strong> establishes a policy framework for land-use decisions<br />

embedded in the designated land-use zone categories. Each zone category sets out what development<br />

is allowed or not allowed.<br />

The land-use zones relevant to this study are business and industrial land-use zones. LEP 2000<br />

includes seven business zones and one industrial zone. These are:<br />

• Zone 3A – <strong>Business</strong> 3A <strong>City</strong> Centre Zone<br />

• Zone 3B – <strong>Business</strong> 3B <strong>City</strong> Support Zone<br />

• Zone 3C – <strong>Business</strong> 3C Town Centre Zone<br />

• Zone 3D - <strong>Business</strong> 3D Tourist Service Centre Zone<br />

• Zone 3E - <strong>Business</strong> 3E Town Centre Support Zone<br />

• Zone 3F - <strong>Business</strong> 3F Neighbourhood Zone<br />

• Zone 3G - <strong>Business</strong> 3G Mixed Use Zone<br />

• Zone 4A – Industrial 4A Zone<br />

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In addition, LEP 2000 allows employment generating uses in a number of other, more specialised<br />

zones including Residential 2E Tourist Zone, Special Uses 5A Community Purposes Zone and Open<br />

Space 6C Private Recreation Zone.<br />

As noted by GeoLink (2008), <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> has only one industrial zone. This has allowed a variety<br />

of uses, including commercial uses such as bulky goods to occupy industrial land in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>.<br />

Although these uses have a legitimate role and are sometimes justified within an industrial area,<br />

having them permissible in every industrial estate within the LGA is not considered best planning<br />

practice.<br />

Our Living <strong>City</strong> Settlement Strategy Document, 2008<br />

The Our Living <strong>City</strong> Settlement Strategy (OLCSS) Document was prepared by <strong>Council</strong> in accordance with<br />

the requirements of the North Coast Regional Environmental <strong>Plan</strong>. The overarching goal of the<br />

strategy is to provide a framework for economically, environmentally and socially sustainable growth<br />

and expansion of the LGA until 2031.<br />

The OLCSS identifies that the LGA will experience considerable population growth by 2031. This<br />

population growth will in turn create demand for business and employment opportunities, which will<br />

create demand for additional employment land.<br />

The Settlement Strategy outlines a number of specific recommendations that relate specifically to this<br />

employment lands strategy. These are discussed below.<br />

Land Availability<br />

• There is a need to make allowances to increase employment lands within <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA.<br />

However, limited data is available as to the current resources and potential land release areas.<br />

There is a need to assess the demand for additional employment zones, large lots and current<br />

zoning boundaries. <strong>Council</strong> needs to consider rezoning land to enable more appropriate land-uses.<br />

This is one of the key roles of this strategy.<br />

Retail Floorspace<br />

• There is limited demand for retail floorspace in the next five years due to a current estimated<br />

oversupply of 25,000m 2 of retail floorspace. Based on an assessment that average trading levels<br />

are not sustainable in key retail areas, it is concluded that consolidation must first occur before<br />

expansion. Not until the higher end of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> average or the low end of industry<br />

benchmarks are met can new retail development be considered. The expansion of the Grafton<br />

Shopping centre will also add to the current oversupply of retail space. This is supported by the<br />

AEC Group Retail Strategy; however the estimate of oversupply is significantly higher (45,000m 2 ).<br />

• Analysis projects that there will be additional demand for groceries and specialty food, food and<br />

liquor catering, clothing and accessories, motor vehicles and parts, other goods and personal<br />

services. This type of retailing is predominately driven by population growth. The Strategy makes<br />

it clear that there is no demand for any new supermarkets in the next five years given the recent<br />

approval of Moonee Beach Shopping Centre and Aldi developments.<br />

• There is no potential for additional bulky goods floorspace over the next 10 years as the market<br />

consolidates. Adding to this problem is the showroom developments opposite ‘The Good Guys’.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Economic Development <strong>Plan</strong>, 2005<br />

The <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Economic Development <strong>Plan</strong> (EDP) was produced in 2005. It provides a formal<br />

strategic plan for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> to facilitate the growth and establishment of business and industry.<br />

The Economic Development <strong>Plan</strong> is structured around a number of themes, these themes are:<br />

• Leadership – Promoting a shared economic vision by involving key stakeholders and establishing a<br />

coordinated approach that is inclusive of the community;<br />

• Infrastructure Facilitation – Endorsing appropriate infrastructure such as land,<br />

telecommunications, jobs, transport linkages and support facilities that will support economic<br />

growth and stimulate investment and population;<br />

• Industry Development – Encouraging cluster development to support growth and focussing on<br />

development in key industry sectors such as health, tourism, education, manufacturing,<br />

agribusiness, and communications and technology;<br />

• <strong>Business</strong> Development – assisting businesses in expanding and attracting new businesses to the<br />

area through seminars and workshops;<br />

• Liveability – Enhance the social, economic, service levels, environment, recreation, cultural, built<br />

and climatic characteristics; and<br />

• Investment Attraction – Attract new investment into the <strong>City</strong> to increase capacity and develop<br />

competitive advantages.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Gateway Strategy, 2005<br />

The <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Gateway Strategy is essentially an urban design strategy. The aim of the Strategy is<br />

to create a sense of arrival into the local community by creating ‘gateways’ into the <strong>City</strong> of <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong>, and to provide safe pedestrian movement between either side of the Pacific Highway. Whilst<br />

the focus of the study is on urban design, the Gateway Strategy makes a number of recommendations<br />

concerning land-use in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> that provide context for this study. These are summarised<br />

below:<br />

• A review of LEP 2000 in regards to development consent required for ‘home industry or ‘home<br />

occupation’ uses in residential areas should also be considered.<br />

• The LEP recognises the CBD as <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s commercial precinct. Adjustments to the LEP to<br />

support future development and business investments are recommended.<br />

• <strong>Council</strong> has attempted to address land-use and zoning conflict with LEP 2000. This is to protect<br />

businesses that are economically sound while also maintaining the low density residential<br />

character of the area. It has been suggested that the zoning changes to a mixed use zone allowing<br />

retail, commercial, social or housing development opportunities to occur. This will also assist<br />

maximising the land with appropriate development.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Regional Airport Master <strong>Plan</strong>, 2006<br />

The <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Regional Airport Master <strong>Plan</strong> (currently under review) establishes a framework for<br />

the potential future development of the lands surrounding the airport. The Master <strong>Plan</strong> proposes<br />

specific areas at the airport to be developed for a defined development focus to ensure like uses are<br />

situated in proximity and are compatible and appropriate to the existing use of the site. <strong>Council</strong> has<br />

prepared a land-use plan for the location which identifies a number of controls for the subject site.<br />

These are:<br />

• Zone A: Industrial Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: industries, light industries, warehouse or distribution centres, depot, vehicle<br />

repair station, vehicle body repair shop, subdivision of land.<br />

• Zone B: Industrial/Aviation Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: industries, light industries, warehouse or distribution centres, depot, vehicle<br />

repair station, vehicle body repair shop, aviation related, and subdivision of land.<br />

• Zone C: Airport Terminal Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: aviation related, shops (with a floor area less than 80 square metres) business<br />

premises (with a floor area less than 80 square metres), office premises (with a floor area less<br />

than 80 square metres), motel, service station, subdivision of land.<br />

• Zone D: Community Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: community facility, place of worship, child care centres, advertisement, car<br />

park, communications facility, subdivision of land.<br />

• Zone E: Employment Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: business premises (only permitted if associated with aviation uses), office<br />

premises (only permitted if associated with aviation uses), motel (only permitted if associated<br />

with aviation uses), shops (restricted to a gross floor area of no greater than 200 square<br />

metres), retail plant nursery, community facility, tourism facility, education facility, veterinary<br />

hospital, place of worship, child care centres, depot, light industry, advertisement, restaurant,<br />

car park, communications facility, dwelling or dwelling-houses (only permitted if associated<br />

with aviation uses), home industry, home occupation, subdivision of land.<br />

• Zone F: Residential Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: dwelling or dwelling-houses (only permitted if associated with aviation uses),<br />

multi unit housing (only permitted if associated with aviation uses), motel (only permitted if<br />

associated with aviation uses), subdivision of land.<br />

• Zone G: Aviation Focus<br />

− Permitted uses: associated with aviation uses, subdivision of land.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

2.3 Economic Snapshot<br />

Summary of Key Trends<br />

• Population in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is increasing. In 2006, the population of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> was 66,614.<br />

This equates to 23% of the population of the Mid North Coast. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> experienced a higher<br />

growth rate between 1996 to 2001 and 2001 to 2006, compared to both the Mid North Coast and<br />

<strong>NSW</strong>.<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is characterised by an Ageing Population. Compared to the <strong>NSW</strong> average, <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> has a higher proportion of older people and a lower proportion of people aged between<br />

25 and 39. This profile may be attributed to the flight of younger people to the capital cities, the<br />

‘sea change’ phenomenon and the movement of retirees to non-metropolitan areas, particularly<br />

coastal locations.<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a high proportion of low to middle income households. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a<br />

higher proportion of low to middle income households compared to <strong>NSW</strong>. This is particularly<br />

evident in the $250-$499 and $500-$799 income brackets. 22% of households in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

earn between $500 and $799 per week compared to 14.7% in <strong>NSW</strong>. Further, the proportion of<br />

households earning $1,700-$2,499 and $2,500 or higher in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is considerably lower<br />

than the <strong>NSW</strong> average.<br />

• Unemployment is above the <strong>NSW</strong> average. Unemployment in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is 6.7%. This is 2.1<br />

percentage points higher than the <strong>NSW</strong> average. Unemployment is a key challenge in the region.<br />

Interestingly, the labour force participation rate is below the <strong>NSW</strong> average for persons aged<br />

between 25 and 34. This also suggests that young adults are leaving <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> in search of<br />

work opportunities.<br />

• Retail trade is an important component of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> economy. Whilst <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is<br />

characterised by a diverse economy, retail trade accounts for a significant share of total jobs. In<br />

2006, retail trade accounted for around 20% of total jobs. Between 2001 and 2006, jobs in retail<br />

trade grew by 10%. This reflects <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s role as a service centre for the coastal hinterland<br />

and as well as being a tourist destination.<br />

• Health and education are strategic industry sectors. Employment in the health and education<br />

sectors account for a significant proportion of jobs in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. ‘Health and Community<br />

Services’ jobs account for 14% of total jobs, whilst the ‘Education’ sector accounts for 9%. Analysis<br />

also indicates that <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has specialisation in these industry sectors in the field of ‘hospital<br />

and nursing homes’ and ‘post school education’. This reflects many of the key assets in place at<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>.<br />

• Construction, Transport and Storage, Finance and Insurance and Health are high growth sectors.<br />

Industry sectors that experienced the highest growth include ‘Construction’ (33.2%), ‘Transport<br />

and Storage’ (30.6%), ‘Finance and Insurance’ (30.5%) and ‘Health and Community Services’<br />

(27.6%). However, while finance and insurance is a fast growing sector, the proportion of people<br />

employed this sector is small (2.6% of total working residents). Conversely, ‘Communication<br />

Services’, ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’, ‘Wholesale Trade’ and ‘Cultural and Recreational<br />

Services’ all experienced decline in employment between 2001 and 2006.<br />

• Horticulture and fruit growing remain key industry specialisations in <strong>Coffs</strong> harbour. Location<br />

quotient analysis demonstrates that the ‘Horticulture and Fruit Growing’, ‘Forestry and logging’<br />

and ‘Saw Milling and Timber Dressing’ are key industry specialisations in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. This is<br />

despite the fact that on the whole the ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’ industry sector<br />

experienced a decline in total employment.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 23


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

2.4 Assets and Infrastructure Overview<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is located approximately half way between the metropolitan areas of Sydney and<br />

Brisbane and is a regional centre providing a broad range of services to all communities within the<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> Coast Region. The <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA is bound to the north and northwest by the Clarence Valley<br />

LGA and to the south and south-west by the Bellingen Shire LGA. The LGA encompasses 1,174km 2 and<br />

has a coastline that is approximately 78.8 kilometres.<br />

The MNCRS designates <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> as a major centre for the Mid–North Coast Region. In its role as<br />

the major centre for the LGA, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> supports the major town of Woolgoolga as well as a<br />

number of other smaller coastal towns including Red Rock, Corindi Beach, Mullaway, Safety Beach,<br />

Emerald Beach, Moonee Beach, and Sawtell, and inland settlements including Coramba, Nana Glen<br />

and Glenreagh.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a number of key assets and infrastructure that support its role as the major hub of<br />

the LGA and that reflect many of the industry strengths of the region. These include:<br />

• Baringa Private Hospital;<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Base Hospital;<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Health Campus;<br />

• North Coast Institute of TAFE and Technology Centre;<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Regional Airport;<br />

• <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> International Marina;<br />

• Pacific Highway; and<br />

• North Coast Railway Line.<br />

These are illustrated in Figure 2 on the following page.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 24


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Figure 2.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA Overview<br />

Former<br />

* Health Campus<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning, 2009<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 25


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

• Issues<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> needs to overcome the traditional regional city challenges of above-average<br />

unemployment and below average earnings by creating strong job growth in a diversified<br />

economy.<br />

There is a need to encourage more commercial and retail development within easy walking<br />

distance of residential areas.<br />

It is imperative that the current business zone hierarchy be maintained whereby the <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Centre CBD is the primary retail and commercial centre for the LGA.<br />

There is a need to strengthen pedestrian-oriented retail precincts, such as the Jetty strip, to<br />

ensure that the <strong>City</strong> Centre includes a variety of retail experiences which enliven the<br />

surrounding areas.<br />

Over the last 10 years, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has experienced growth in the number of people working<br />

at home. Improvements in communication technology, a flexible working environment and<br />

relatively low establishment costs are the key drivers for this growth. Home occupations and<br />

industries are allowed, subject to certain restrictions, without the need for <strong>Council</strong> approval.<br />

Broadening the home occupation policy by permitting larger-scale home-based businesses<br />

may undermine the business centre hierarchy. Transfer of large-scale business activity to<br />

residential areas impacts on the critical mass of business activities and can negate the benefits<br />

of business centres as nodes of activity.<br />

Information on the planning rules for home-based business is not well communicated to the<br />

wider community. Disputes often arise in relation to the permissibility of retailing and hiring<br />

from dwellings.<br />

There is a need to plan for technological service provision as our <strong>City</strong> grows.<br />

Land suitable for business growth needs to be identified early to protect it from competing<br />

land uses.<br />

The highest priority should be in areas where the provision of land for employment close to<br />

the labour markets (i.e. residential areas) will reduce vehicle trips and deliver associated<br />

benefits.<br />

• Actions<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

Generally adopt a like for like strategy when applying new zones to existing land uses<br />

wherever possible i.e. B1 Neighbourhood Centre is equivalent to the <strong>Business</strong> 3F<br />

Neighbourhood zone under LEP 2000.<br />

Adopt “open zones” for all business zones. “Open zones” are those that specifically list the<br />

prohibited uses and permit all others.<br />

Introduce floor space ratios (FSRs) under the draft Standard Instrument LEP within the <strong>City</strong> to<br />

calculate allowable intensity of development of sites. The introduction of FSRs into a LEP<br />

offers incentives for site amalgamations and innovative building design, with the intention of<br />

improving urban design within the <strong>City</strong>.<br />

Apply six business zones in the draft LEP: B1 Neighbourhood Centre, B2 Local Centre, B3<br />

Commercial Core, B4 Mixed Use, B5 <strong>Business</strong> Development and B6 Enterprise Corridor.<br />

Maintain the primary use of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD as the principal business, office and retail<br />

hub of the <strong>City</strong> and continue the hierarchy of business zones which was established under LEP<br />

2000.<br />

Directly equate the existing <strong>Business</strong> 3F Neighbourhood zone with the B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre zone.<br />

Apply the B2 Local Centre zone to larger regional shopping centres such as Toormina, Park<br />

Beach Plaza and Moonee.<br />

Apply the B3 Commercial Core zone only to the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 26


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

− Apply the B4 Mixed Use zone to certain existing business localities such as Sawtell, Jetty<br />

Village, Woolgoolga Main (Beach) Street and River Street precincts and the Promenade.<br />

− Apply the B6 Enterprise Corridor zone to targeted commercial precincts operating along<br />

movement corridors. This will replace several areas where the <strong>Business</strong> 3B <strong>City</strong> Support,<br />

<strong>Business</strong> 3D Tourist Service Centre and <strong>Business</strong> 3G Mixed Use and Industrial 4A zones<br />

currently exist.<br />

− Incorporate height of building controls into the draft LEP instead of into the new consolidated<br />

DCP.<br />

− Generally apply an 8.5 metre height limit in the B1 and B6 zones, 15.5 metres in the B2 and B4<br />

zones, 11 metres in the B5 zone and show these clearly on the Height of Buildings Map.<br />

− Apply a 15.5 metre height limit in the Woolgoolga Beach Street business zone and an 8.5<br />

metre height limit in the Sawtell and Toormina town centres and show these clearly on the<br />

Height of Buildings Map.<br />

− Apply the following FSRs to business zones in the draft LEP:<br />

- B1 1:1<br />

- B2 (Moonee) 1:1<br />

- B2 (Toormina and Park Beach Plaza) 0.5:1<br />

- B4 1:1<br />

- B5 0.5:1<br />

- B6 (Stadium Drive, South <strong>Coffs</strong>) 0.5:1<br />

- B6 (all other areas) 0.8:1<br />

− Apply a B4 Mixed Use zone and a minimum tenancy size of 1,000m 2 gross floor area (GFA) to<br />

Lot 55, DP776362; corner of Pullen Street and Pacific Highway, Woolgoolga; to allow for the<br />

development of a major retail development (supermarket).<br />

The Employment Challenge<br />

The MNCRS forecasts an additional 47,000 jobs will need to be created in the region by 2031. The<br />

Strategy designates <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> as a major regional centre within the Mid North Coast Region. Due<br />

to the size and regional centre roles of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Port Macquarie, the draft Strategy<br />

recommends that the projected industrial land requirements will primarily be focused upon these<br />

areas to support their future growth. The employment challenge for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA will be<br />

accommodating changing forecast demand for business and industrial uses in its current precincts<br />

while translating the existing land-use zones to the Standard Instrument zones under draft LEP 2010.<br />

To test the capacity of the LGA to accommodate growth, three demand–side scenarios have been<br />

modelled:<br />

Scenario 1<br />

Scenario 2<br />

Trend-based forecast. Employment growth by industry at a national level is produced<br />

using the Treasury’s ‘TRYM’ model. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA shares of employment by<br />

sector in each forecast period are based on shares observed in 2001 and 2006.<br />

Employment by ANZSIC category is converted to Broad Land-use Categories (BLCs)<br />

using the ANZSIC-BLC matrix developed from land audit data.<br />

LGA Level adjustment. The LGA’s share of forecast regional growth in some sectors<br />

has been adjusted to take account of issues emerging from data analysis and<br />

consultation. Notes on the Adjustment for Scenario 2 are shown in Appendix 4. The<br />

conversion of employment forecasts by BLC to floorspace forecasts follows the same<br />

method outlined above.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 27


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Scenario 3<br />

Precinct-level adjustment. Floorspace shares produced in Scenario 2 have been<br />

adjusted between the precincts to take account of each precinct’s competitive position<br />

to accommodate employment in the various BLCs. The adjustment to the share of<br />

floorspace by BLC between the precincts is shown in Appendix 4.<br />

At an LGA level, the supply demand gap under each scenario is illustrated below.<br />

Industrial Capacity After Accommodating Forecast Demand (2006-2031)<br />

3,000,000<br />

2,500,000<br />

2,000,000<br />

1,500,000<br />

1,000,000<br />

500,000<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 1,904,428 1,883,190 1,873,987 1,874,508 1,874,250<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 2,436,639 2,415,401 2,406,198 2,406,719 2,406,461<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 1,916,510 1,854,574 1,834,420 1,820,520 1,814,534<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 2,448,721 2,386,785 2,366,631 2,352,731 2,346,745<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 1,940,887 1,881,225 1,863,048 1,850,690 1,845,505<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 2,473,098 2,413,436 2,395,259 2,382,901 2,377,716<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 1,432,985 1,373,323 1,355,146 1,342,788 1,337,603<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 28


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Commercial Capacity After Accommodating Forecast Demand (2006-2031)<br />

600,000<br />

500,000<br />

400,000<br />

300,000<br />

200,000<br />

100,000<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 222,076 201,297 188,350 179,921 173,878<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 494,352 473,572 460,626 452,196 446,153<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 230,965 204,391 186,681 175,413 168,036<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 503,241 476,667 458,957 447,689 440,312<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 235,269 206,817 187,227 174,480 166,390<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 480,679 452,228 432,637 419,891 411,800<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 76,591 48,140 28,549 15,803 7,712<br />

The LGA level supply demand gap analysis shows that there is sufficient capacity to accommodate<br />

demand to 2031 in all scenarios for both commercial and industrial zoned land. However, commercial<br />

capacity is very low in 2031 for scenario 3. This is largely driven by a shift in shares for the CBD to take<br />

account of its designation in the MNCRS and FSR assumptions based on the current controls.<br />

Issues and Opportunities<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is the hub of a growing region...<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is identified as a ‘major regional centre’ within the Mid North Coast Region in the<br />

MNCRS. Due to the size and regional centre roles of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Port Macquarie, the draft<br />

Strategy recommends that the projected industrial land requirements will primarily be focused upon<br />

these two areas to support future growth in the region. Similarly, for commercial development, it is<br />

expected that Taree, Port Macquarie, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Grafton will experience the majority of<br />

commercial development, as these centres have the greatest capacity for redevelopment.<br />

...with a socio-economic landscape that is typical of non-metropolitan coastal regions<br />

This includes higher than average unemployment, an aging population profile, under-representation of<br />

young adults and a higher proportion of low to middle income households. These trends have<br />

implications for the future economic development in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. The key issue will be to strike a<br />

balance between gearing towards a higher value-added economy and providing employment<br />

opportunities that match the local labour force profile, while meeting the needs of current and future<br />

resident populations.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 29


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s lifestyle attributes are an important attractor...<br />

The importance of the lifestyle attributes of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> area was a recurring theme raised by<br />

contacts during the consultation phase. The area has proved very attractive for empty nesters as well<br />

as families moving from the city seeking more space and a healthier lifestyle. In some cases, these<br />

families are prepared to accept poorer career opportunities and salaries as a trade off.<br />

...and tourism is still a significant employer in the LGA<br />

Accommodation, cafes and restaurants and retail trade are the ANZSIC categories most heavily<br />

influenced by tourist trade. Both of these sectors are forecast to experience strong growth between<br />

2006 and 2031.<br />

...but the area has other important strategic assets<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a number of key assets and infrastructure to support its role both as a service centre<br />

to the region, as a tourist destination and, potentially, for the attraction of other strategic industries.<br />

The area’s strategic assets include major health facilities, regional education and training facilities, a<br />

regional airport and an international marina.<br />

Retail trade is a prominent component of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> economy<br />

The results of the land audit indicate that retail trade makes up the greatest amount of employment<br />

floorspace, accounting for around 30% of total floorspace. In 2006, the Retail Trade ANZSIC category<br />

accounted for around 20% of total jobs. Previous studies have documented very high levels of retail<br />

floorspace in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA. Indeed, simple rule of thumb measures 1 suggest that the overall<br />

level of retail floorspace is in excess of requirements. In part, this level of retail activity is driven by the<br />

addition of tourist trade to the expenditure of local residents. However, retail floorspace levels are<br />

also driven by the fact that many smaller shop owners are prepared to accept lower than typical profit<br />

levels as a trade off for the lifestyle benefits of the area. The effect is a higher level of retail floorspace<br />

with lower average Retail Turnover Densities (RTDs).<br />

... but the retail land-use in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is complex, with a range of retail formats…<br />

Retailing in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is characterised by a range of different types of retailing formats and these<br />

have significant implications for land-use. Big Box Retailing, Bulky Goods Retailing, and Mainstreet<br />

Retail activities are all present in the LGA. These different broad land-use types have different landuse<br />

requirements and this should be reflected in planning policy and controls. For example, bulky<br />

goods retailing will typically require large, flat lots with good highway access and exposure.<br />

1<br />

2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA 68,021 73,992 79,836 85,650 91,425 96,934<br />

Regional Catchment 3,871 3,871 3,871 3,871 3,871 3,871<br />

Visitors 16,172 16,172 16,172 16,172 16,172 16,172<br />

Total Persons 88,064 94,035 99,879 105,693 111,468 116,977<br />

Retail Floorspace 372,598 372,598 391,985 395,014 391,379 384,715<br />

Rate of Provision 4.23 3.96 3.92 3.74 3.51 3.29<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 30


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

…and a significant level of retail activity occurring ‘out of centre’<br />

The presence of out-of-centre retailing, particularly in the form of Big Box Retail and Bulky Goods<br />

Retail could potentially impact the viability of businesses and industry in town centres. In addition the<br />

spatial distribution of different retailing formats could contribute to unsustainable travel patterns and<br />

negative land-use conflicts. This not only impacts on the local community, but it also impacts on the<br />

competitiveness of local business and industry. However, some Bulky Goods Retail activities are either<br />

unable to find suitable sites in centres or generate externalities (such as noise and traffic impacts) that<br />

warrant a position away from traditional retail areas.<br />

...with some of these businesses located in industrial zones<br />

There are numerous examples of Bulky Goods Retail activity occurring in industrial zones. Some of the<br />

operations are classed as ‘Timber and Building Supplies’ and so have a legitimate claim to being local<br />

service industrial operations. However, others are ostensibly retail functions that simply have a large<br />

retail format (rather than selling truly ‘bulky’ goods or having significant adverse impacts) and could<br />

just as easily operate from ‘in centre’ locations. The existence of these uses in industrial areas has the<br />

potential to adversely affect retail operators in the traditional (and more expensive) commercial<br />

centres as well as affecting the industrial operators located in the same industrial zone.<br />

...and others in extended strips along the highway<br />

Strips of Bulky Goods Retail and Local Light Industrial activity exist to the north and south of <strong>Coffs</strong> CBD<br />

along the highway. Some businesses require highway access and could not locate in centres – such<br />

businesses might be expected in these locations. However, extended strips of activity are not desirable<br />

from either a place-making or a trip minimisation (sustainability) perspective. Corridor activity is more<br />

desirable where it clearly connects to and supports the function of a commercial centre such as <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> CBD.<br />

The CBD is a vital component in the economy<br />

The CBD is a vital component of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> economy and its role is bolstered by the Major<br />

Regional Centre designation in the Mid North Coast Regional Strategy. At a local level the CBD is a first<br />

order centre in the business hierarchy – this role should be maintained. The CBD hosts the majority of<br />

the LGAs ‘Mainstreet Retail’ and ‘Office’ BLC floorspace and would be expected to accommodate an<br />

increasing level of regional administrative and community functions in the future.<br />

...but it struggles to attract commercial interest<br />

Although the CBD does already function as the administrative heart of the LGA (and despite its Major<br />

Regional Centre designation), it struggles to attract commercial interest. Many of those consulted<br />

suggested that the CBD lacks the competitive offer of other locations because it lacks a sense of place<br />

and is divided by the Pacific Highway. The proposed by-pass route would be likely to have a negative<br />

impact on trade in the CBD in the short term, but this would be more than offset by natural growth<br />

over the medium to long term and the substantial potential amenity improvements.<br />

...and it may be threatened by significant levels of retail activity at Park Beach Plaza<br />

The scale of retail activity at Park Beach Plaza is such that competition for trade with the CBD is likely.<br />

While there is no dispute that the retail operation at Park Beach Plaza serves an important function,<br />

it’s important that this activity does not jeopardise the economic viability of the CBD and threaten<br />

public investment in the CBD.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 31


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

At face value there is ample supply of employment land to meet demand<br />

At the LGA level, there is sufficient capacity in the existing employment lands to accommodate<br />

demand forecasts to 2031. Under scenario three, total demand for commercial floorspace by 2031 is<br />

114,994m 2 . Under the same scenario the total supply of commercial floorspace after demand has<br />

been accommodated is 116,390m 2 (maximum allowable) and 411,800 (maximum observed). For<br />

industrial precincts, total demand to 2031 is 96,381m 2 . After demand has been accommodated<br />

remaining supply is 1,845,505m 2 (maximum allowable) and 2,377,716m 2 (maximum observed).<br />

Some of the land is strategically positioned...<br />

At face value, there are some very large industrial land areas which are strategically positioned to<br />

accommodate jobs. For example, the Isles Industrial Estate and parts of Boambee South industrial<br />

areas have excellent access to the existing highway route and would also likely feel a positive impact<br />

from the proposed new by-pass route in terms of highway accessibility and visibility. Also, the South<br />

Jetty industrial precinct (Christmas Bells Road) is strategically positioned in proximity to the airport and<br />

rail line and is removed from populated areas.<br />

…but much of the available land is constrained<br />

Much of the ‘available’ land is subject to development constraints. The most notable constraint is<br />

flood prone land and large portions of some industrial precincts and the CBD are below the 1:100 flood<br />

level. In the supply-demand gap analysis, constrained land that is not already developed has been<br />

removed from the supply side of the equation.<br />

...and significant competition exists in the industrial land marketplace<br />

Industrial land areas in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> face some tough competition from areas such as Macksville and<br />

Grafton where large and relatively unencumbered lots are available at comparable or lower cost. The<br />

lack of clear definition of the role of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s industrial areas as well as the nature of the land<br />

areas themselves are thought to contribute to the position <strong>Coffs</strong> industrial land in the marketplace.<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 32


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3 SITUATION ANALYSIS<br />

3.1 Audit Method and Coverage<br />

The employment lands audit has been completed to provide an up to date record of land-use in the<br />

Study area. Audit data is important to show not only how much land is being used and by which<br />

industry sectors, but also the way in which land is being used. Key audit outputs include:<br />

• Land-use by industry and zone;<br />

• Site coverage ratios;<br />

• Actual FSRs;<br />

• Existing capacity under existing planning controls; and<br />

• Vacant land/ floorspace.<br />

Figure 3.<br />

Audited Areas in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

Although audited, the West Korora (Big Banana) Precinct numbers have been excluded from the LGA<br />

level summary data presented in this section, as the profile for this precinct skews the results. Figure 3<br />

illustrates the audited precincts (industrial and business zoned land).<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3.2 Employment outside the Audit Area<br />

A proportion of employment in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is generated on land outside the audited areas. This<br />

predominately includes employment associated with:<br />

• Agriculture;<br />

• Dispersed accommodation that services the tourism industry; and<br />

• Large education and health facilities on ‘special uses’ zoning.<br />

The purpose of this study is to provide an employment lands strategy for business zoned land. Some<br />

demand for land/floorspace (especially for the types of employment listed above) will be met by areas<br />

outside the business and industrial zoned land.<br />

To understand the extent to which employment is generated outside the audited areas, a spatial<br />

analysis of employment densities by census collector districts was completed for the following ANZSIC<br />

industry categories:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing;<br />

Accommodation and Food Services;<br />

Education and Training; and<br />

Health Care and Social Assistance.<br />

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing<br />

Previous analysis has indicated that <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has industry specialisations in horticulture and fruit<br />

growing, forestry and logging and saw milling and timber dressing. The spatial analysis of employment<br />

in ‘Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing’ shows a cluster of these types of jobs west and North West of the<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA.<br />

Accommodation and Food Services<br />

Clusters of employment associated with accommodation and food services are evident to the<br />

immediate south and east of the CBD and east of the Northern <strong>Business</strong> Area. Agglomerations are also<br />

evident around the Jetty area and the Sawtell precinct.<br />

Education and Training<br />

Spatial analysis of jobs in the ‘education and training’ industry sector reveals small concentrations to<br />

the east and south of the CBD and in the area around the Sawtell precinct. In addition to reflecting<br />

major education infrastructure in the area, this analysis would also reflect pre-schools and primary and<br />

secondary schools not located in the audited areas.<br />

Health Care and Social Assistance<br />

Spatial analysis of jobs in the ‘health care and social assistance’ industry sector reveals concentrations<br />

to the east and west of the CBD and in the area around the Sawtell precinct. As expected, these<br />

concentrations align with the location of major health infrastructure including the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Base<br />

Hospital and the Baringa Private Hospital.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3.3 Headline Audit Results<br />

Retail trade dominates<br />

Figure 4 shows the use of current floorspace in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> by one<br />

digit ANZSIC category. The top three uses of occupied floorspace are<br />

‘Retail Trade’, ‘Wholesale Trade’ and ‘Accommodation, Cafes and<br />

Restaurants’. ‘Retail Trade’ occupies the greatest proportion of<br />

floorspace, accounting for 280,676m 2 or 30% of the total occupied<br />

floorspace in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. ‘Wholesale Trade’ accounts for<br />

112,717m 2 or 12% and ‘Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants’<br />

accounts for 76,265m 2 or nine percent.<br />

Figure 4.<br />

350,000<br />

Floorspace by 1 digit ANZSIC Category<br />

316,764<br />

300,000<br />

250,000<br />

200,000<br />

150,000<br />

100,000<br />

50,000<br />

0<br />

777 0<br />

76,301<br />

1,298<br />

51,846<br />

119,406<br />

94,312<br />

57,993<br />

4,591<br />

17,083<br />

57,701<br />

38,371<br />

3,161<br />

25,892 29,355<br />

56,857<br />

89,004<br />

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing<br />

Mining<br />

Manufacturing<br />

Electricity, Gas & Water Supply<br />

Construction<br />

Wholesale Trade<br />

Retail Trade<br />

Accommodation, Cafes & Restaurants<br />

Transport & Storage<br />

Communication Services<br />

Finance & Insurance<br />

Property & <strong>Business</strong> Services<br />

Government Admin. & Defence<br />

Education<br />

Health & Community Services<br />

Cultural & Recreational Services<br />

Personal & Other Services<br />

Other<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

ANZSIC-BLC Matrix<br />

Figure 5 shows the ANZSIC by BLC matrix. The matrix illustrates how<br />

floorspace by ANZSIC industry categories have been split across the<br />

Broad Land-use Categories (BLCs). For example, in ‘Retail Trade’<br />

ANZSIC floorspace is split across the BLCs of ‘Mainstreet Retail, ‘Bulky<br />

Goods Retail’, ‘Big Box Retail’ and ‘Local Light Industry and Urban<br />

Support’. Similarly, the matrix illustrates that Manufacturing ANZSIC<br />

floorspace is predominately occupied by ‘Light Manufacturing.<br />

Figure 5.<br />

ANZSIC-BLC Floorspace Matrix<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Floorspace by BLC<br />

Using the ANZSIC to BLC matrix, Figure 6 shows the floorspace audited<br />

by Broad Land-use Category (BLC). The graph illustrates that ‘Local<br />

Light Industrial’ (205,795m 2 ), ‘Mainstreet Retail’ (170,158m 2 ), ‘Bulky<br />

Goods Retail’ (124,637m 2 ) and ‘Big Box Retail’ (80,148m 2 ) occupy the<br />

greatest proportions of floorspace. The dominance of retail<br />

emphasises <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s role as a retail service centre and aligns<br />

with trends in employment.<br />

Figure 6.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Floorspace BLC<br />

250,000<br />

232,713<br />

200,000<br />

198,898<br />

150,000<br />

125,567<br />

100,000<br />

59,834<br />

75,427<br />

77,633<br />

71,585<br />

90,076<br />

50,000<br />

0<br />

21,775<br />

0 0<br />

0<br />

5,638<br />

23,350 25,633<br />

32,582<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

Dispersed Activities<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Manufacturing Heavy<br />

Manufacturing Light<br />

Office<br />

Retail Big Box<br />

Retail Bulky Goods<br />

Retail Main Street<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

Residential<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Zone Split by BLC.<br />

4A zone has many uses<br />

Retail dominates centres<br />

Figure 7 shows the distribution of BLC floorspace across the various<br />

land-use zones that are in the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Local Environmental<br />

<strong>Plan</strong> (LEP). The graph shows that the majority of employment<br />

generating activity occurs in <strong>Business</strong> Zones 3A, 3B and 3C and<br />

Industrial Zone 4A.<br />

The highest proportion of floorspace is in Industrial Zone 4A (over<br />

450,000m 2 ). This is the only industrial zone in the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong><br />

LEP and there are a number of different land-uses occurring within the<br />

4A zoning including Bulky Goods Retail, light manufacturing, local light<br />

industry and urban services and freight and logistics.<br />

The business centre zones are predominately occupied by the office,<br />

Big Box Retail and Mainstreet Retail Broad Land-use Categories (BLCs).<br />

Figure 7.<br />

Zone Split by BLC<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Actual FSRs by BLC<br />

Figure 8 shows the actual floorspace ratios by Broad Land-use<br />

Category. The actual floorspace ratios were derived from the SGS land<br />

audit. Main Street Retail (0.60:1) Big Box Retail (0.57:1) and, Office<br />

(0.53:1) BLCs have the highest floorspace ratios.<br />

Figure 8.<br />

Actual FSR by BLC<br />

0.60<br />

0.50<br />

0.40<br />

0.36<br />

0.45<br />

0.41<br />

0.49<br />

0.52<br />

0.38<br />

0.43<br />

0.30<br />

0.25<br />

0.22<br />

0.28 0.28<br />

0.23<br />

0.20<br />

0.17<br />

0.10<br />

0.00<br />

0.00 0.00<br />

0.00<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

Dispersed Activities<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Manufacturing Heavy<br />

Manufacturing Light<br />

Office<br />

Retail Big Box<br />

Retail Bulky Goods<br />

Retail Main Street<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

Residential<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Site Coverage<br />

Figure 9 illustrates the site coverage ratios for each of the Broad Landuse<br />

Categories. The site coverage ratios vary from 0.52:1 for Office to<br />

0.1:1 for Urban Support.<br />

Figure 9.<br />

Site Coverage by BLC<br />

0.50<br />

0.45<br />

0.44<br />

0.40<br />

0.35<br />

0.35<br />

0.40<br />

0.39<br />

0.40<br />

0.32<br />

0.33<br />

0.30<br />

0.28<br />

0.27<br />

0.25<br />

0.23<br />

0.22<br />

0.22<br />

0.20<br />

0.17<br />

0.15<br />

0.10<br />

0.05<br />

0.00<br />

0.00 0.00<br />

0.00<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

Dispersed Activities<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Manufacturing Heavy<br />

Manufacturing Light<br />

Office<br />

Retail Big Box<br />

Retail Bulky Goods<br />

Retail Main Street<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

Residential<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning (2009)<br />

3.4 Precinct-Level Results<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA has numerous commercial areas. These have been split up into precincts and are<br />

analysed in detail in the following section. Land-use is described by Broad Land-use Categories (BLC).<br />

If a site is split between several land-use categories, the use with the largest share is shown.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Bray Street<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 0.5<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> is a small precinct, serving as a retail and entertainment centre<br />

for surrounding residents and visitors. Significant off street parking is provided for<br />

the centre. Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> precinct is currently zoned <strong>Business</strong> 3F-<br />

Neighbourhood Zone.<br />

AST<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

D<br />

FL<br />

LL<br />

MH<br />

ML<br />

O<br />

RB<br />

RBG<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

Dispersed Activities<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

Light Manufacturing<br />

Office<br />

Big Box Retail<br />

Bulky Goods Retail<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 2,214 76%<br />

S<br />

US<br />

VBL<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

RES Residential 708 24%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 29.8<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 1.9<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 1,462<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

The <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> precinct is located north of the North Coast rail<br />

line, with the Pacific Highway dissecting the precinct. The highway provides optimal<br />

exposure for businesses. The precinct is largely zoned <strong>Business</strong> 3B ‘<strong>City</strong> Support<br />

Zone’. With a smaller amount of <strong>Business</strong> 3D ‘Tourist Service Centre’. Lot Sizes<br />

within the precinct mainly range from 2000-6,000m 2 . However, there are a few very<br />

large lots occupied by Big Box Retail<br />

AST<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

D Dispersed Activities 1,299 1%<br />

FL<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support 1,334 1%<br />

MH<br />

ML<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

Light Manufacturing<br />

O Office 634 1%<br />

RB Big Box Retail 48,610 50%<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail 28,875 29%<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 15,906 16%<br />

S<br />

US<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

VBL Vacant Building 1,461 1%<br />

RES<br />

Residential<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 27.2<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 1.5<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 4,420<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

The CBD is the commercial heart of the LGA and hosts the largest share of<br />

floorspace in Office, Main Street Retail, and Short Term Accommodation BLCs. The<br />

CBD is also the administrative and cultural centre of the LGA and will play an<br />

increasingly important role in the social and economic function of the LGA and the<br />

wider region with its designation as a major regional centre.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) 11,100 4%<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities 48,587 19%<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support 8,495 3%<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office 56,279 22%<br />

RB Big Box Retail 14,175 6%<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail 10,430 4%<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 78,471 31%<br />

S Special Activities --<br />

US Urban Services 1,267 0%<br />

VBL Vacant Building 9,770 4%<br />

RES Residential 18,074 7%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Coramba<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 1.0<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

The Coramba <strong>Business</strong> Precinct is a small local service precinct fronting Gale Street<br />

consisting of a few small retail stores, a service station and a post office.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) --<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities 1,554 15%<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support 1,798 17%<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office --<br />

RB Big Box Retail --<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 5,656 55%<br />

S Special Activities --<br />

US Urban Services --<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential - 0%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Corindi Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Local Store<br />

Post Office<br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 0.25<br />

Vacant Site Area (Ha) 0.25<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) -<br />

Land Use Split (m 2 )<br />

Corindi Beach is situated east of the Pacific Highway, approximately 24 kilometres<br />

north of Woolgoolga. The area is predominantly comprised of low density detached<br />

dwellings with a caravan park located at the beachfront. The business zoned land is<br />

currently vacant. A general store and local post office are located on residentially<br />

zoned land as marked.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) - -<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining - -<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks - -<br />

D Dispersed Activities - -<br />

FL Freight and Logistics - -<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support - -<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing - -<br />

ML Light Manufacturing - -<br />

O Office - -<br />

RB Big Box Retail - -<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail - -<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail - -<br />

S Special Activities - -<br />

US Urban Services - -<br />

VBL Vacant Building - -<br />

RES Residential - -<br />

VSI Vacant Site 2,500 100%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Emerald Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 0.8<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Emerald Beach <strong>Business</strong> Precinct is a small retail centre which currently consists of a<br />

mixture of small shops and residential development.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) --<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities --<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support --<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office --<br />

RB Big Box Retail --<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 2,483 32%<br />

S Special Activities --<br />

US Urban Services --<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential 5,341 68%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

The Jetty<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 6.7<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.5<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 881<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Located east of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD, the Jetty precinct is an urban and tourist centre<br />

on the coast. High Street and Orlando Streets provide access to the centre and are<br />

the focus of activity in the precinct. The Jetty precinct is surrounded by residential<br />

areas and currently zoned 3B Town Centre Zone, 3E Tourist Service Centre Zone and<br />

3G Mixed Use Zone. Lot sizes in the Jetty precinct vary. Smaller lot sizes average<br />

500m 2 while large lot sizes average 3,000m 2 . <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Railway Station is<br />

located just outside the borders of the precinct; however it is not a significant<br />

feature of the centre because it is only served by Country Link trains.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) 820 2%<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

D Dispersed Activities 1,388 3%<br />

FL Freight and Logistics 1,400 3%<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support 1,692 4%<br />

MH<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

ML Light Manufacturing<br />

O Office 5,884 13%<br />

RB<br />

Big Box Retail<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail 275 1%<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 23,183 53%<br />

S<br />

Special Activities<br />

US Urban Services<br />

VBL Vacant Building 881 2%<br />

RES Residential 8,357 19%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Korora Bay<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 1.6<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 ) AST<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> precinct is located just off the Pacific Highway. It is bounded by<br />

Old Coast Road (east) and Korora Basin Road (north). The precinct is surrounded by<br />

bush land and is the smallest precinct in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. The area is zoned 3F<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Neighbourhood Zone, and is made up of three lots. The smallest lot size is<br />

3,929m 2 and the largest lot size is 8,087m 2 .<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

D<br />

FL<br />

LL<br />

MH<br />

ML<br />

O<br />

RB<br />

RBG<br />

RM<br />

S<br />

US<br />

VBL<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

Dispersed Activities<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

Light Manufacturing<br />

Office<br />

Big Box Retail<br />

Bulky Goods Retail<br />

Mainstreet Retail<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

RES Residential 1,145 100%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Moonee Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 14.3<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Moonee Beach <strong>Business</strong> precinct is a predominantly retail focussed centre which is<br />

positioned alongside the Pacific Highway and is to the west of the Moonee Beach<br />

residential area. The precinct has a rage of retail activities and, most significantly<br />

has a large Coles supermarket in the centre of the site.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) 90,073 63%<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities 2,450 2%<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support --<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office --<br />

RB Big Box Retail 27,143 19%<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 14,608 10%<br />

S Special Activities --<br />

US Urban Services --<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential 9,152 6%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Nana Glen<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 0.3<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Nana Glen is a small neighbourhood centre consisting of two small main street retail<br />

shops and some local light industrial activity. The precinct serves the population in<br />

the immediately surrounding area.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) --<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities --<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support 1,598 59%<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office --<br />

RB Big Box Retail --<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 1,100 41%<br />

S Special Activities --<br />

US Urban Services --<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential - 0%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Boambee East (Linden Avenue)<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 0.8<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Boambee East Precinct is situated on Linden Avenue, adjacent to Ringtail Close. It is<br />

a recently built retail centre to service the surrounding residents. There is a large<br />

supermarket within the complex as well as several smaller main street retail uses.<br />

The precinct is zoned <strong>Business</strong> 3F-Neighbourhood zone and has one lot covering<br />

nearly 8,200m 2 .<br />

AST<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

D<br />

FL<br />

LL<br />

MH<br />

ML<br />

O<br />

RB<br />

RBG<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

Dispersed Activities<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

Light Manufacturing<br />

Office<br />

Big Box Retail<br />

Bulky Goods Retail<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 3,304 100%<br />

S<br />

US<br />

VBL<br />

RES<br />

Special Activities<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

Residential<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Safety Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 0.5<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.5<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

The Safety Beach Precinct is a site of around 0.5 hectares zoned for neighbourhood<br />

business purposes. There is no current commercial activity on site.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) --<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities --<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support --<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office --<br />

RB Big Box Retail --<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail --<br />

S Special Activities --<br />

US Urban Services --<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential 4,764 100%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Sawtell<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 2.6<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 380<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

Sawtell <strong>Business</strong> precinct is a coastal village located south of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. The<br />

precinct is centred on First Avenue which is the focus for activity in the area.<br />

Sawtell is surrounded by residential areas, located close to the coast and away from<br />

the highway. The urban centre is zoned 3C Town Centre and attracts many small<br />

retail businesses. The average lot size is about 600m 2 the largest lot being 5,637m 2 .<br />

AST<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

D Dispersed Activities 114 1%<br />

FL<br />

LL<br />

MH<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

ML Light Manufacturing<br />

O Office 590 3%<br />

RB<br />

RBG<br />

Big Box Retail<br />

Bulky Goods Retail<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 20,227 92%<br />

S<br />

Special Activities<br />

US Urban Services<br />

VBL Vacant Building 379 2%<br />

RES Residential 621 3%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Toormina<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 7.9<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 ) AST<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> Precinct is surrounded by a residential area and bound by<br />

Toormina Road (west), Minorie Drive (south), Wirrabilla Drive (east) and Sawtell<br />

Road (north). The precinct is located south of Toormina Industrial with its<br />

connections to the highway being Lamberts Road and Lyons Road. Toormina<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct is zoned 3C Town Centre.<br />

AGM<br />

BP<br />

Accommodation (Short Term)<br />

Agriculture and Mining<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks<br />

D Dispersed Activities 4,158 16%<br />

FL<br />

LL<br />

MH<br />

ML<br />

Freight and Logistics<br />

Local light industrial and urban support<br />

Heavy Manufacturing<br />

Light Manufacturing<br />

O Office 783 3%<br />

RB Big Box Retail 16,130 61%<br />

RBG<br />

Bulky Goods Retail<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 5,281 20%<br />

S Special Activities<br />

US<br />

VBL<br />

RES<br />

Urban Services<br />

Vacant Building<br />

Residential<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

West Woolgoolga<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 10.9<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 2.3<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

The West Woolgoolga <strong>Business</strong> Precinct is a retail focussed area which runs<br />

alongside the Pacific Highway. It incorporates the River Street 3C area and the<br />

Highway tourist service centre zoned lands. Current uses in the precinct are a mix of<br />

main street retail activities, local service industrial, with some landmark buildings at<br />

the northern (the Raj Mahal emporium) and southern (Guru Nanak Sikh Temple)<br />

ends.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) 13,244 12%<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities 8,893 8%<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support 11,442 10%<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office 1,512 1%<br />

RB Big Box Retail --<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 16,817 15%<br />

S Special Activities 4,030 4%<br />

US Urban Services 816 1%<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential 22,592 21%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Description<br />

Woolgoolga (Beach Street)<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Gross Land Area (Ha) 10.4<br />

Vacant Sites (Ha) 0.0<br />

Vacant Buildings (m 2 ) 0.0<br />

45Land-use Split (m 2 )<br />

The Woolgoolga (Beach Street) <strong>Business</strong> Precinct is the main retail centre for<br />

Woolgoolga. The precinct is dominated by main street retail land-uses but also has<br />

pockets of residential development.<br />

AST Accommodation (Short Term) 19,016 18%<br />

AGM Agriculture and Mining --<br />

BP <strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks --<br />

D Dispersed Activities 30,639 30%<br />

FL Freight and Logistics --<br />

LL Local light industrial and urban support --<br />

MH Heavy Manufacturing --<br />

ML Light Manufacturing --<br />

O Office --<br />

RB Big Box Retail --<br />

RBG Bulky Goods Retail --<br />

RM Mainstreet Retail 23,478 23%<br />

S Special Activities 8,936 9%<br />

US Urban Services 2,749 3%<br />

VBL Vacant Building --<br />

RES Residential 18,920 18%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

4 THE EMPLOYMENT CHALLENGE<br />

4.1 Introduction<br />

The MNCRS forecasts an additional 47,000 jobs will need to be created in the region by 2031. The<br />

Strategy designates <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> as a major regional centre within the Mid North Coast Region. Due<br />

to the size and regional centre roles of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Port Macquarie, the draft Strategy<br />

recommends that the projected industrial land requirements will primarily be focused upon these<br />

areas to support their future growth. The draft Strategy also defines potential areas for growth within<br />

each LGA. The Department has released these as the draft ‘Growth Areas Map’ for the region. The<br />

proposed growth areas identified in the strategy for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> are confined to South Woolgoolga,<br />

on the western side of the Pacific Highway directly adjacent to the existing Woolgoolga industrial<br />

estate and within North Boambee Valley adjoining the existing Isles Drive Industrial Estate.<br />

The employment challenge for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA will be accommodating changing forecast demand<br />

for business and industrial uses in its current precincts while translating the existing land-use zones to<br />

the Standard Instrument zones.<br />

4.2 Demand Forecasts<br />

The employment forecasts used in this study have been generated by:<br />

• Scaling up 2006 base data to account for the Census undercount;<br />

• Examining National employment forecasts by sector using the TRYM model; and<br />

• Apportioning <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s share of the <strong>NSW</strong> employment forecasts according to 2001 and 2006<br />

shares.<br />

Three demand–side scenarios have been modelled:<br />

Scenario 1<br />

Scenario 2<br />

Trend-based forecast. Employment growth by industry at a national level is produced<br />

using the Treasury TRYM model. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA shares of employment by sector in<br />

each forecast period are based on shares observed in 2001 and 2006. Employment by<br />

ANZSIC category is converted to Broad Land-use Categories (BLCs) using the ANZSIC-<br />

BLC matrix developed from land audit data. Percentage growth by BLC is applied to<br />

the floorspace recorded in the land-use audit to produce floorspace forecasts by<br />

precinct by BLC.<br />

LGA Level adjustment. The LGA’s shares of forecast regional growth in some sectors<br />

have been adjusted to take account of issues emerging from data analysis and<br />

consultation. Shares were adjusted in the following sectors: Property and <strong>Business</strong><br />

Services, Government Administration and Defence, Cultural and Recreation Services,<br />

Personal and Other Services, and Retail Trade. Notes on the Adjustment for Scenario 2<br />

are shown in Appendix 4. The conversion of employment forecasts by BLC to<br />

floorspace forecasts follows the same method outlined above.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Scenario 3<br />

Precinct-level adjustment. Floorspace shares produced in Scenario 2 have been<br />

adjusted between the precincts to take account of each precinct’s competitive position<br />

to accommodate employment in the various BLCs. The adjustment to the share of<br />

floorspace by BLC between the precincts is shown in Appendix 4.<br />

Scenario 1<br />

For scenario 1, cumulative employment forecasts for the LGA are shown in Figure 10.<br />

Figure 10. Scenario 1 - Cumulative Employment Forecast 2006-2031<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

-500<br />

-1,000<br />

-1,500<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing -30 -80 -120 -160 -220<br />

Mining 0 10 10 10 10<br />

Manufacturing -50 -240 -450 -730 -920<br />

Electricity, Gas & Water Supply -10 -20 -30 -40 -60<br />

Construction 210 410 630 850 1,070<br />

Wholesale Trade 50 100 120 110 90<br />

Retail Trade 770 1,090 1,140 1,080 970<br />

Accommodation, Cafes & Restaurants -10 40 100 140 160<br />

Transport & Storage 60 140 220 310 400<br />

Communication Services -30 10 70 120 180<br />

Finance & Insurance 140 220 300 370 450<br />

Property & <strong>Business</strong> Services 50 250 460 670 870<br />

Government Admin. & Defence -70 -20 20 60 90<br />

Education 180 90 10 50 70<br />

Health & Community Services 770 1,140 1,500 1,850 2,190<br />

Cultural & Recreational Services -50 -20 10 40 70<br />

Personal & Other Services 100 120 140 150 160<br />

Source: SGS 2009<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Scenario 2<br />

For scenario 2, cumulative employment forecasts for the LGA are shown in Figure 11.<br />

Figure 11. Scenario 2 - Cumulative Employment Forecast 2006-2031<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

-500<br />

-1,000<br />

-1,500<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing -30 -80 -120 -160 -220<br />

Mining 0 10 10 10 10<br />

Manufacturing -50 -240 -450 -730 -920<br />

Electricity, Gas & Water Supply -10 -20 -30 -40 -60<br />

Construction 210 410 630 850 1,070<br />

Wholesale Trade 50 100 120 110 90<br />

Retail Trade 0 280 330 270 180<br />

Accommodation, Cafes & Restaurants -10 40 100 140 160<br />

Transport & Storage 60 140 220 310 400<br />

Communication Services -30 10 70 120 180<br />

Finance & Insurance 140 220 300 370 450<br />

Property & <strong>Business</strong> Services 210 430 650 880 1,090<br />

Government Admin. & Defence 50 100 150 200 230<br />

Education 180 90 10 50 70<br />

Health & Community Services 770 1,140 1,500 1,850 2,190<br />

Cultural & Recreational Services 60 100 130 170 200<br />

Personal & Other Services 80 160 240 320 330<br />

Source: SGS 2009<br />

Scenario 3<br />

For Scenario 3, the total figures for the LGA have been kept the same as Scenario 2. The change in<br />

shares between precincts is described in Appendix 4. The effect at a precinct level is documented in<br />

the next section.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

5 MEETING THE CHALLENGE<br />

5.1 Introduction<br />

This section summarises the main issues and opportunities emerging from this study. These issues are<br />

addressed in a series of strategic directions for employment lands in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. This section<br />

concludes with summaries of supply-demand gaps, proposed futures and recommended zoning for<br />

each precinct.<br />

5.2 Issues and Opportunities<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is the hub of a growing region...<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is identified as a ‘major regional centre’ within the Mid North Coast Region in the<br />

MNCRS. Due to the size and regional centre roles of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Port Macquarie, the draft<br />

Strategy recommends that the projected industrial land requirements for the region will primarily be<br />

focused on these areas to support future growth. Similarly, for commercial development, it is<br />

expected that Taree, Port Macquarie, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and Grafton will take the majority of commercial<br />

development as these centres have the greatest capacity for redevelopment.<br />

...with a socio-economic landscape that is typical of non-metropolitan coastal regions<br />

This includes higher than average unemployment, an aging population profile, under-representation of<br />

young adults and a higher proportion of low to middle income households. These trends have<br />

implications for the future economic development in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>. The key challenge will be to strike<br />

a balance between gearing towards a higher value-added economy and providing employment<br />

opportunities that match the local labour force profile while meeting the needs of current and future<br />

resident populations.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s lifestyle attributes are an important attractor...<br />

The importance of the lifestyle attributes of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> area was a recurring theme raised by<br />

contacts during the consultation phase. The area has proved very attractive for empty nesters as well<br />

as families moving from the city seeking more space and a healthier lifestyle. In some cases, these<br />

families are prepared to accept poorer career opportunities and salaries as a trade off.<br />

...and tourism is still a significant employer in the LGA<br />

Accommodation Cafes and Restaurants and Retail trade are the ANZSIC categories most heavily<br />

influenced by tourist trade. Both of these sectors are forecast to experience strong growth between<br />

2006 and 2031.<br />

...but the area has other important strategic assets<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a number of key assets and infrastructure to support its role both as a service centre<br />

to the region, as a tourist destination, and also potentially for the attraction of other strategic<br />

industries. The area’s strategic assets include major health facilities, regional education and training<br />

facilities, a regional airport, and an international marina.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Retail trade is a prominent component of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> economy<br />

The results of the land audit indicate that retail trade makes up the greatest amount of employment<br />

floorspace, accounting for around 30% of total floorspace. In 2006, the Retail Trade ANZSIC category<br />

accounted for around 20% of total jobs. Previous studies have documented very high levels of retail<br />

floorspace in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA. Indeed, simple rule of thumb measures 2 suggest that the overall<br />

level of retail floorspace is in excess of requirements. In part, this level of retail activity is driven by the<br />

addition of tourist trade to the expenditure of local residents. However, retail floorspace levels are<br />

also driven by the fact that many smaller shop owners are prepared to accept lower than typical profit<br />

levels as a trade off for the lifestyle benefits of the area. The effect is a higher level of retail floorspace<br />

with lower average Retail Turnover Densities (RTDs).<br />

... but the retail land-use in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is complex, with a range of retail formats…<br />

Retailing in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> is characterised by a range of different types of retailing formats and these<br />

have significant implications for land-use. Big Box Retailing, Bulky Goods Retailing, and Mainstreet<br />

Retail activities are all present in the LGA. These different broad land-use types have different landuse<br />

requirements and this should be reflected in planning policy and controls. For example, bulky<br />

goods retailing will typically require large, flat lots with good highway access and exposure.<br />

…and a significant level of retail activity occurring ‘out of centre’<br />

The presence of out-of-centre retailing, particularly in the form of Big Box Retail and Bulky Goods<br />

Retail could potentially impact the viability of businesses and industry in town centres. In addition the<br />

spatial distribution of different retailing formats could contribute to unsustainable travel patterns and<br />

negative land-use conflicts. This not only impacts on the local community, but it also impacts on the<br />

competitiveness of local business and industry. However, some Bulky Goods Retail activities are either<br />

unable to find suitable sites in centres or generate externalities (such as noise and traffic impacts) that<br />

warrant a position away from traditional retail areas.<br />

...with some of these businesses located in industrial zones<br />

There are numerous examples of Bulky Goods Retail activity occurring in industrial zones. Some of the<br />

operations are classed as ‘Timber and Building Supplies’ and so have a legitimate claim to being local<br />

service industrial operations. However, others are ostensibly retail functions that simply have a large<br />

retail format (rather than selling truly ‘bulky’ goods or having significant adverse impacts) and could<br />

just as easily operate from ‘in centre’ locations. The existence of these uses in industrial areas has the<br />

potential to adversely affect retail operators in the traditional (and more expensive) commercial<br />

centres as well as affecting the industrial operators located in the same industrial zone.<br />

2<br />

2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA 68,021 73,992 79,836 85,650 91,425 96,934<br />

Regional Catchment 3,871 3,871 3,871 3,871 3,871 3,871<br />

Visitors 16,172 16,172 16,172 16,172 16,172 16,172<br />

Total Persons 88,064 94,035 99,879 105,693 111,468 116,977<br />

Retail Floorspace 372,598 372,598 391,985 395,014 391,379 384,715<br />

Rate of Provision 4.23 3.96 3.92 3.74 3.51 3.29<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

...and others in extended strips along the highway<br />

Strips of Bulky Goods Retail and Local Light Industrial activity exist to the north and south of <strong>Coffs</strong> CBD<br />

along the highway. Some businesses require highway access and could not operate from sites within<br />

centres. These businesses might be expected in industrial locations. However, extended strips of<br />

activity are not desirable from either a place-making or a trip minimisation (sustainability) perspective.<br />

Corridor activity is more desirable where it clearly connects to and supports the function of a<br />

commercial centre such as <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD.<br />

The CBD is a vital component in the economy<br />

The CBD is a vital component of the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> economy and its role is bolstered by the Major<br />

Regional Centre designation in the Mid North Coast Regional Strategy. The CBD hosts the majority of<br />

the LGAs ‘Mainstreet Retail’ and ‘Office’ BLC floorspace and would be expected to accommodate an<br />

increasing level of regional administrative and community functions in the future.<br />

...but it struggles to attract commercial interest<br />

Although the CBD does already function as the administrative heart of the LGA (and despite its Major<br />

Regional Centre designation), it struggles to attract significant commercial interest. Many of those<br />

consulted suggested that the CBD lacks the competitive offer of other locations because it lacks a<br />

sense of place and is divided by the Pacific Highway. The proposed by-pass route would likely to have<br />

a negative impact on trade in the CBD in the short term but this would be more than offset by natural<br />

growth over the medium to long term and the substantial amenity improvements.<br />

...and it may be threatened by significant levels of retail activity at Park Beach Plaza<br />

The scale of retail activity at Park Beach Plaza is such that competition for trade with the CBD is likely.<br />

While there is no dispute that the retail operation at Park Beach Plaza serves an important function,<br />

it’s important that this activity does not jeopardise the economic viability of the CBD and threaten<br />

public investment in the CBD.<br />

At face value there is ample supply of employment land to meet demand<br />

At the LGA level, there is sufficient capacity in the existing employment lands to accommodate<br />

demand forecasts to 2031. Under scenario three, total demand for commercial floorspace by 2031 is<br />

114,994m 2 . Under the same scenario the total supply of commercial floorspace after demand has been<br />

accommodated is 116,390 m 2 (maximum allowable) and 411,800 (maximum observed). For industrial<br />

precincts, total demand to 2031 is 96,381 m 2 . After demand has been accommodated remaining<br />

supply is 1,845,505m 2 (maximum allowable) and 2,377,716m 2 (maximum observed).<br />

Some of the land is strategically positioned but much of the available land is constrained<br />

Much of the ‘available’ land is subject to development constraints. The most notable constraint is<br />

flood prone land in the CBD with areas below the 1:100 flood level. In the supply-demand gap<br />

analysis, constrained land that is not already developed has been removed from the supply side of the<br />

equation.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

5.3 Strategies and Actions<br />

General Strategies<br />

The strategic directions emerging from this study, community consultation and <strong>Council</strong> resolution are<br />

summarised below:<br />

Strategy 1<br />

Action 1.1<br />

Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD is a vital component of the LGAs economy and its role has been<br />

bolstered by ‘Major Regional Centre’ designation. As the city grows into this role,<br />

increased government and administrative functions are expected. It is important that<br />

future retail or commercial activity elsewhere in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> does not undermine the<br />

function of the CBD. The <strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Hierarchy will be maintain in this regard and<br />

will continue to inform land use policy for commercially zoned lands.<br />

Zone Some Corridor Activity as B5 ‘<strong>Business</strong> Development’<br />

Some uses requiring direct arterial access and large sites simply cannot locate in centres.<br />

Expansive strips of activity along the highway can produce poor built form and<br />

sustainability outcomes. If of a significant scale, these activities can also threaten the<br />

viability of centres. Currently, these areas have 4A industrial zoning.<br />

In <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, strips of mixed light industrial and bulky goods retail activity have<br />

emerged along the highway at the Boambee North Precinct and North <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

Precinct. These areas are appropriate for B5 <strong>Business</strong> Development zoning.<br />

Action 1.2<br />

Investigate Options to Improve the Competitive Offer of the CBD<br />

The CBD has struggled to attract any significant commercial or high density residential<br />

development. As the CBD is such an important component of the economy and is the<br />

focus of significant public investment, it is important that its economic viability is<br />

maintained.<br />

<strong>Council</strong> should explore options to improve the competitive offer of the city for<br />

development. This will require some understanding of the market for development and<br />

the competitor set in which the CBD operates. The feasibility of various development<br />

forms at selected sites is currently being tested as part of the work on the <strong>City</strong> Strategy.<br />

Outcomes from this process should help to inform decision-making.<br />

Consideration should be given to zoning part of the CBD as B3 Commercial core with<br />

appropriate controls to attract investment.<br />

Action 1.3<br />

Zone ‘Satellite’ Centres as B2 ‘Local Centre’<br />

The centres to the north and south of <strong>Coffs</strong> CBD (Park Beach Plaza and Toormina Centro)<br />

should be zoned as local centres in recognition of the existing levels of retail and related<br />

floorspace and the function that these centres perform in providing services for the local<br />

community.<br />

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However, these centres should not function as significant employment destinations such<br />

that the role and function of the CBD is jeopardised.<br />

The local centre function of Moonee Beach and Woolgoogla East should also be<br />

recognised by B2 Local Centre zoning.<br />

Action 1.4<br />

Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

The small outlying centres have an important role to play as neighbourhood centres to<br />

serve the needs of the residents in the immediately surrounding area. These areas<br />

should not accommodate any users that draw trade from a broad catchment nor should<br />

they host any significant employers that would position the centre as an employment<br />

destination. B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centre’ zoning is appropriate for these areas.<br />

In <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA, the B1 Neighbourhood Centre zone should be applied to:<br />

- Bakers Road<br />

- Bray Street<br />

- Coramba<br />

- Corindi<br />

- Emerald Beach<br />

- Korora Bay<br />

- Nana Glen<br />

- Ringtail Close<br />

- Safety Beach<br />

- Sawtell South<br />

Action 1.5<br />

Discourage Retail Activity outside Established <strong>Business</strong> Centres<br />

Out of centre retail activity can threaten the viability of centres and promote poor<br />

sustainability and place making outcomes. Retail activity should be strongly discouraged<br />

from areas that are outside of the centres particularly where located in B5 zones. In<br />

general industrial areas, retail should be prohibited.<br />

Strategies for LEP Preparation<br />

<strong>Council</strong> is preparing its draft Standard Instrument LEP concurrently with the preparation of this<br />

Strategy.<br />

In draft LEP 2010 it is proposed that six business zones under the Standard Instrument be used,<br />

including: B1 Neighbourhood Centre, B2 Local Centre, B3 Commercial Core, B4 Mixed Use, B5 <strong>Business</strong><br />

Development and B6 Enterprise Corridor. The draft LEP aims to maintain the primacy of the <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

<strong>Harbour</strong> CBD as the principal business, office and retail hub of the city, and builds on the hierarchy of<br />

business zones which was established in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LEP 2000.<br />

The B1 Neighbourhood Centre zone is intended to directly equate to existing <strong>Business</strong> 3F<br />

Neighbourhood zones. The B2 Local Centre zone is being applied to larger regional shopping centres,<br />

including Toormina, Park Beach Plaza and Moonee.<br />

The B3 Commercial Core zone is intended to directly equate to the existing <strong>Business</strong> 3A <strong>City</strong> Centre<br />

zone. It is only being applied to the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

The B4 Mixed Use zone is being applied to a number of existing business and retail localities, being<br />

Sawtell, Jetty Village, and Woolgoolga town centre areas, and to other appropriate smaller locations<br />

such as The Promenade. The B5 <strong>Business</strong> Development is a targeted bulky goods zone and has been<br />

applied to the localities to the north and south of the city centre previously identified in the Industrial<br />

<strong>Lands</strong> Strategy 2009. The B6 Enterprise Corridor is applicable to targeted commercial precincts<br />

operating along movement corridors and replaces several <strong>Business</strong> 3B <strong>City</strong> Support, <strong>Business</strong> 3D<br />

Tourist Service Centre, and <strong>Business</strong> 3G Mixed Use zones where appropriate.<br />

The proposed hierarchy of these centres is shown on the following table:<br />

Centre<br />

<strong>City</strong> Centre (CBD)<br />

Park Beach Plaza<br />

Woolgoolga<br />

− Beach Street<br />

− River Street<br />

− Clarence Street<br />

Moonee<br />

Sawtell<br />

Jetty<br />

Toormina<br />

Boambee<br />

Coramba<br />

Corindi Beach<br />

Emerald Beach<br />

Lowanna<br />

Nana Glen<br />

Red Rock<br />

Ulong<br />

Bray Street<br />

Korora<br />

North Boambee Valley<br />

North Side<br />

Safety Beach<br />

South <strong>Coffs</strong><br />

Pacific Highway North<br />

Marcia Street to Bray Street<br />

Pacific Highway South<br />

Hierarchy/Status<br />

Primary Regional Centre/<strong>City</strong> Centre<br />

<strong>City</strong> Centre Support<br />

Town Centre<br />

Town Centre<br />

Neighbourhood/Shopping Centre Site<br />

Town Centre<br />

Town Centre<br />

Town Centre<br />

Town Centre Support<br />

Town Centre Support<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood (Village) Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Centre<br />

Neighbourhood Enterprise Corridor<br />

Neighbourhood Enterprise Corridor<br />

} Major<br />

} Town<br />

} Centre<br />

Note:<br />

The Bakers Road site is proposed to be a Neighbourhood Centre, however due to site constraints<br />

the location may not be appropriate and further research is required to confirm a suitable business<br />

site in this precinct.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Draft Standard LEP – <strong>City</strong> Centre <strong>Plan</strong> Project<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> LEP 2000 is currently the sole LEP for the entire <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Government<br />

Area. The focus of draft <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Centre LEP 2010 is the <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Centre area.<br />

<strong>Lands</strong> outside the <strong>City</strong> Centre <strong>Plan</strong> boundary will continue to be governed by LEP 2000 until a new LEP<br />

is prepared for these lands in accordance with the Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning’s Standard Instrument<br />

requirements. This means that for short period, until a new LEP is prepared for the whole of the LGA,<br />

the <strong>City</strong> Centre area of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> will have its own LEP (<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> <strong>City</strong> Centre LEP 2010).<br />

Proposed Woolgoolga <strong>Business</strong> Zones<br />

The ELS and report to <strong>Council</strong> of 13 May 2010 identified a shortfall of commercial land in Woolgoolga<br />

and made recommendations that the findings of the ELS be incorporated into draft LEP 2010. Initially,<br />

it was recommended that the character of the Woolgoolga beach side area be retained as a local<br />

centre, but that some additional land on the northern side of Beach Street between Boundary Street<br />

and Wharf Street be zoned a business (neighbourhood) zone, and that land adjacent to the current<br />

Pacific Highway in the located of Pullen Street to the Woolgoolga Street bridge on both sides of the<br />

highway be zoned to a business zone permitting retail development. At present, this highway land is<br />

zoned <strong>Business</strong> 3D Tourist Service Centre under LEP 2000, and retail premises (shops) are prohibited.<br />

DoP have advised that <strong>Council</strong> needs to consider Woolgoolga in light of the business hierarchy<br />

proposed for the remainder of the LGA, in accordance with Ministerial 117 Direction “1.1 <strong>Business</strong> and<br />

Industrial Zones” (which requires that areas and locations of existing business and industrial zones<br />

must be retained, and that new zones must be in accordance with a planning strategy).<br />

The DoP have further advised that <strong>Council</strong> must consider Ministerial 117 Direction “5.4 Commercial<br />

and Retail Development along the Pacific Highway, North Coast”. This requires that new commercial<br />

and retail development along “in town” segments of the Pacific Highway must be concentrated within<br />

distinct centres, and must consider the impact the proposed development has on the safety and<br />

efficiency of the highway. They also requested that <strong>Council</strong> discuss the matter with the RTA.<br />

<strong>Council</strong> has consulted with the RTA in terms of the possible future use of the Raj Mahal site for a<br />

supermarket. Initial feedback from the RTA is that while the contract for the Sapphire to Woolgoolga<br />

Pacific Highway upgrade has been let, it is likely that the highway will remain in use in its current<br />

location until late 2013. Any planning proposal (rezoning) or major development application such as a<br />

supermarket could be considered on the current highway route, but only if accompanied by a<br />

comprehensive Traffic Impact Assessment.<br />

Such an assessment would need to demonstrate that there would be no significant adverse impact on<br />

the operation of the road’s functionality and safety, or that appropriate mitigation measures could be<br />

implemented to ensure no significant impact on the operation of the road as a consequence of the<br />

rezoning or development. Given a major development project would take time to achieve approval<br />

and construction, the timeframe between finalisation of the Pacific Highway upgrade in 2013 and the<br />

major development may be similar and thus the impact on the highway may only be for a short period.<br />

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A Traffic Impact Assessment was undertaken by RoadNet for this site as part of a development<br />

proposal in 2007. This assessment found that there would be no impact to the Pacific Highway if a<br />

supermarket was built in this location. Whilst the assessment has not formally been referred to the<br />

RTA, <strong>Council</strong>’s engineers have advised that, whilst a detailed assessment of the RoadNet model has not<br />

been undertaken, it seems that the conclusion that the Pacific Highway/Pullen Street roundabout has<br />

capacity to cater for increased traffic from redevelopment of the site without adversely affecting<br />

Pacific Highway service levels is valid. Impact on pedestrian access across the Pacific Highway however<br />

was not adequately addressed in the report.<br />

<strong>Council</strong>’s engineers have further advised that given the now committed timeframe for the Pacific<br />

Highway Woolgoolga Bypass, the information provided in the RoadNet report is sufficient to allow<br />

consideration of a <strong>Plan</strong>ning Proposal for the Raj Mahal site without the need for a Pacific Highway<br />

Traffic Study.<br />

Workshopping the proposed hierarchy of business zones in Woolgoolga with <strong>Council</strong>lors has revealed<br />

the general thought that the Beach Street and River Street areas need to retain their existing<br />

commercial and retail permissibilities under the draft LEP, and that the area north of Beach Street<br />

should be included. In the longer term it is preferred that <strong>Council</strong> prepare a new Masterplan for the<br />

Woolgoolga business lands.<br />

Given that <strong>Council</strong> needs to finalise draft LEP 2010, it is recommended that the entire Beach Street<br />

area, including additions on the northern side of the street, be zoned to the B4 Mixed Use zone to<br />

allow for a mix of commercial, business, retail, shops, residential and tourist and visitor<br />

accommodation. It is also recommended that a B4 Mixed Use zone would be appropriate for use in<br />

the River Street area, which currently permits retail development. This is consistent with the proposed<br />

business hierarchy for the LGA.<br />

It is recommended that a B4 zone be permitted on the Raj Mahal site, which would allow for retail<br />

development, but that the remainder of land on both sides of the highway be given a B6 Enterprise<br />

Corridor zone as this is the most equivalent zone under the Standard Instrument LEP. This zone would<br />

allow for neighbourhood shops, offices and some business development, but not retail development.<br />

Modification of the ELS to reflect these recommended zonings will allow <strong>Council</strong> to comply with<br />

Ministerial 117 Direction 5.4.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

5.4 Precinct Futures and Zoning<br />

Precinct by precinct summaries to illustrate supply demand gaps under each scenario and the<br />

recommended future role and zoning are given over the following pages.<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Bakers Road<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Is well positioned to provide small retail services for the surrounding residential areas. Has<br />

a small supply-demand gap in Scenario 3.<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

-500<br />

-1,000<br />

Future Role<br />

-1,500<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 821 823 825 826 829<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 781 783 785 787 789<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 821 823 825 826 829<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 781 783 785 787 789<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) -76 -183 -236 -253 -247<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) -1,105 -1,211 -1,265 -1,282 -1,276<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) -570 -677 -731 -748 -742<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. We do not recommend any adjustment<br />

to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

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Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Bray Street<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

Is well positioned to provide small retail services for the surrounding residential areas<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

-500<br />

-1,000<br />

-1,500<br />

-2,000<br />

Future Role<br />

-2,500<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) -1,533 -1,696 -1,779 -1,829 -1,862<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) -1,638 -1,801 -1,884 -1,933 -1,966<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) -1,311 -1,375 -1,386 -1,380 -1,350<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) -1,416 -1,479 -1,491 -1,485 -1,455<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 1,423 1,300 1,238 1,219 1,227<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) -1,296 -1,419 -1,481 -1,500 -1,492<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 116 -7 -69 -88 -80<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North Precinct hosts Park Beach Plaza shopping centre and ‘Homebase’<br />

bulky goods retail outlets.<br />

The Precinct functions well as a retail centre serving the local community. In total, the<br />

precinct has some 98,122m 2 of floorspace of which 48,610m 2 is taken up by an enclosed<br />

Big Box shopping centre. The scale of development and proximity to the CBD means that<br />

great care should be taken that any further development at this precinct does not affect<br />

economic viability in the CBD and trade.<br />

90,000<br />

80,000<br />

70,000<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

-10,000<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 73,096 67,901 66,179 66,107 66,707<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 47,839 42,644 40,922 40,850 41,450<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 80,157 74,086 70,495 69,549 69,753<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 54,900 48,829 45,238 44,292 44,496<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 76,376 69,443 64,796 62,490 61,321<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 47,699 40,766 36,119 33,813 32,644<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 11549 4617 -30 -2336 -3506<br />

Future Role<br />

The precinct has a mix of retail and service businesses, good accessibility and proximity to<br />

residential areas. These factors position the precinct to function as a local centre providing<br />

retail and service functions. The Precinct has ample capacity to meet forecast demand to<br />

2031<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core<br />

Action 1.1 Zone some corridor activity as B5 ‘<strong>Business</strong> Development’<br />

Action 1.3 Zone ‘Satellite’ Centres as B2 ‘Local Centre’<br />

Zoning<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B5 <strong>Business</strong> Development (Homebase)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The CBD is the commercial heart of the LGA and hosts the largest share of floorspace in<br />

Office, Main Street Retail, and Short Term Accommodation. The CBD is also the<br />

administrative and cultural centre of the LGA and will play an increasingly important role in<br />

the social and economic function of the LGA and the wider region with its designation as a<br />

major regional centre.<br />

The CBD has not been successful in attracting any significant volume of commercial<br />

development or high density residential development. Consultation also suggests that retail<br />

performance is patchy with significant vacancy levels. These issues are partly driven by the<br />

CBDs poorer competitive offer for development than other locations. In particular, there is<br />

a need to increase permeability and accessibility in the CBD.<br />

The CBD has sufficient capacity to meet the forecast demand for floorspace in 2031 if future<br />

development capacity is assumed to be at the maximum FSR currently observed. Large<br />

supply shortfalls are observed when development capacity is assumed to be at the max<br />

allowable FSR or 75% of the max allowable FSR. However, this result is driven by the max<br />

FSR assumptions required in this study rather than real supply shortfalls.<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

60,000<br />

40,000<br />

20,000<br />

0<br />

-20,000<br />

-40,000<br />

-60,000<br />

-80,000<br />

-100,000<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) -4,419 -13,519 -20,842 -26,960 -32,130<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 38,358 29,258 21,935 15,816 10,646<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) -6,670 -19,225 -28,967 -37,007 -43,711<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 36,107 23,552 13,809 5,770 -935<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) -40,440 -53,347 -63,177 -70,760 -76,639<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 30,995 18,087 8,257 674 -5,205<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) -56,318 -69,226 -79,056 -86,639 -92,518<br />

Future Role<br />

Strategies and<br />

Actions<br />

Zoning<br />

The future role of the CBD has been recognised by the Major Regional Centre designation.<br />

The CBD should continue to function as the principal office location in the LGA and<br />

development controls should facilitate this. Some higher density residential development<br />

may be appropriate subject to the findings of a residential study, but these should not<br />

‘sterilise’ the CBD for further retail or commercial development. The proposed by-pass<br />

route will be likely to have short term effect on the level of passing trade but this can be<br />

minimised with appropriate highway signage. In the longer term this would likely be more<br />

than offset by natural growth and the positive impact on the amenity of the CBD,<br />

Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.2 Investigate Options to Improve the Competitive Offer of the CBD<br />

B3 Commercial Core,<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

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Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Coramba<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The centre is well positioned to provide small-scale retail services for the surrounding<br />

residential areas<br />

9,000<br />

8,000<br />

7,000<br />

6,000<br />

5,000<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

Future Role<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 2,970 2,863 2,789 2,744 2,706<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 2,764 2,657 2,584 2,539 2,500<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 3,115 2,986 2,891 2,845 2,801<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 2,909 2,780 2,685 2,639 2,596<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 8,241 8,137 8,076 8,035 8,024<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 2,892 2,788 2,727 2,686 2,675<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 5,669 5,565 5,504 5,463 5,452<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand<br />

Gaps<br />

Corindi Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

There is currently no development on business zoned land in Corindi. There is a small retail<br />

development positioned on land currently zoned residential.<br />

The current vacant site would suit convenience retail uses for the surrounding population.<br />

This would be permitted under the B1 Neighbourhood Centre Zone. Given the amount of<br />

land area zoned and size of the surrounding population, the supply and demand analysis<br />

assumes that if developed, the site would possess a similar floorspace composition to<br />

Coramba, however as there is no existing activity this would need to be confirmed through<br />

local study.<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 1,080 973 899 854 816<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 1,030 923 849 804 766<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 1,225 1,096 1,001 955 911<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 1,175 1,046 951 905 861<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 2,458 2,354 2,293 2,252 2,241<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 1,158 1,054 993 952 941<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 1,833 1,729 1,668 1,627 1,616<br />

Future Role<br />

Strategies and<br />

Actions<br />

Zoning<br />

Corindi should develop as a small neighbourhood centre to serve the local population.<br />

Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Emerald Beach<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The centre is well positioned to provide small-scale retail services for the surrounding<br />

residential areas<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

-500<br />

-1,000<br />

-1,500<br />

-2,000<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 443 397 385 389 402<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 298 252 241 245 257<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 475 399 356 342 359<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 330 254 211 197 214<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 2,430 2,274 2,224 2,233 2,266<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) -1,334 -1,490 -1,539 -1,531 -1,497<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 620 465 415 424 457<br />

Future Role<br />

Strategies and<br />

Actions<br />

Zoning<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No adjustments to the controls to<br />

respond to the supply-demand gap are recommended.<br />

Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 74


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Jetty<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The Jetty precinct is a thriving mixed use area with a small cafe and retail strip, short term<br />

accommodation, residential and a small pocket of light industrial uses.<br />

The precinct has the potential for expansion of higher density residential development to<br />

supplement existing strip development.<br />

100,000<br />

90,000<br />

Future Role<br />

80,000<br />

70,000<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 18,122 16,413 15,092 14,134 13,346<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 77,697 75,988 74,667 73,709 72,920<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 17,890 15,444 14,114 13,029 12,301<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 77,464 75,019 73,689 72,604 71,876<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 28,443 26,707 25,540 24,770 24,246<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 88,017 86,282 85,115 84,345 83,821<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 11,983 10,247 9,081 8,311 7,786<br />

The Jetty has an important future role to play as a mixed use precinct. The considerable<br />

amenity of the precinct may provide potential for the area to accommodate some higher<br />

density residential development. Industrial activities associated with marina function<br />

should be preserved via an appropriate land use zoning.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core<br />

Action 1.3 Zone ‘Satellite’ Centres as B2 ‘Local Centre’<br />

Zoning<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

IN4 Working Waterfront<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 75


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Korora Bay<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The centre is well positioned to provide small-scale retail services for the surrounding<br />

residential areas<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 6,967 6,967 6,967 6,967 6,967<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 6,643 6,643 6,643 6,643 6,643<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 6,967 6,967 6,967 6,967 6,967<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 6,643 6,643 6,643 6,643 6,643<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 13,080 12,970 12,916 12,900 12,907<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 4,642 4,532 4,478 4,462 4,469<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 9,023 8,913 8,859 8,843 8,850<br />

Future Role<br />

Strategies and<br />

Actions<br />

Zoning<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 76


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Moonee Beach<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The centre is well positioned to provide small-scale retail services for the surrounding<br />

residential areas<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

Future Role<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 36,140 35,794 35,639 35,570 35,545<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 27,100 26,753 26,598 26,529 26,505<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 36,519 36,253 36,146 36,145 36,215<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 27,479 27,213 27,106 27,105 27,174<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 51,961 50,970 50,436 50,224 50,217<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 16,244 15,253 14,719 14,507 14,500<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 30,649 29,659 29,124 28,913 28,906<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the local community. The<br />

precinct should not grow to become a major employment destination in its own right.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core<br />

Action 1.3 Zone ‘Satellite’ Centres as B2 ‘Local Centre’<br />

Zoning<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 77


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Nana Glen<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The centre is well positioned to provide small-scale retail services for the surrounding<br />

residential areas<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

Future Role<br />

-200<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 170 130 108 100 94<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 138 98 76 68 62<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 198 160 141 139 143<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 166 128 109 107 111<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 849 805 781 771 772<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 18 -26 -50 -60 -60<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 450 405 381 372 372<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. We do not recommend any adjustment<br />

to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 78


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Boambee East (Ringtail Close)<br />

A small neighbourhood centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The centre is well positioned to provide small-scale retail services for the surrounding<br />

residential areas<br />

6,000<br />

5,000<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

0<br />

Future Role<br />

-1,000<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 80 -117 -147 -111 -43<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) -36 -233 -263 -226 -159<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 358 164 86 125 203<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 242 48 -30 9 87<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 4,835 4,728 4,675 4,658 4,664<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 1,820 1,714 1,660 1,643 1,649<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 3,385 3,279 3,225 3,208 3,214<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 79


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Safety Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The precinct supports a commercial zone but currently has no employment activity.<br />

Although the precinct currently has no employment activity, it is well positioned to provide<br />

small-scale retail services for the surrounding residential areas<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

Future Role<br />

0<br />

0<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core and Recognise the Role of Other Centres<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B1 Neighbourhood Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 80


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Sawtell<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Sawtell village functions as a small retail and services centre.<br />

The precinct functions well as a mall centre serving the location community. There may be<br />

some future opportunities for higher density residential to complement uses in this location.<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

-10,000<br />

-20,000<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 2,574 1,965 1,460 1,128 914<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 47,239 46,630 46,124 45,793 45,578<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 2,751 1,803 1,421 1,355 1,420<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 47,416 46,468 46,086 46,019 46,084<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) -548 -1,709 -2,322 -2,553 -2,542<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 44,117 42,956 42,343 42,112 42,123<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) -5,347 -6,508 -7,121 -7,352 -7,341<br />

Future Role<br />

Strategies and<br />

Actions<br />

Zoning<br />

The precinct should be preserved and enhanced as a coastal village. The centre should not<br />

expand to become a major employment destination.<br />

Strategy 1<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

Protect the Commercial Core<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 81


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Toormina<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> Precinct is dominated by the Centro Shopping Centre. The precinct<br />

provides retail and service functions for the surrounding residential areas<br />

The precinct serves the local community well but consultation suggests that there are<br />

issues surrounding the viability of any significant volumes of specialty retail at the precinct.<br />

180,000<br />

160,000<br />

140,000<br />

120,000<br />

100,000<br />

80,000<br />

60,000<br />

40,000<br />

20,000<br />

Future Role<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 19,262 17,696 16,982 16,665 16,526<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 154,156 152,590 151,876 151,559 151,420<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 20,856 19,354 18,467 18,139 18,095<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 155,750 154,248 153,361 153,033 152,989<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 16,459 14,467 13,098 12,248 11,823<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 151,353 149,361 147,992 147,142 146,717<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 22,843 20,851 19,482 18,633 18,207<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the local community. The<br />

precinct should not grow to become a major employment destination in its own right.<br />

There is no identified shortfall of employment zoned land in the Toormina locality.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core<br />

Action 1.3 Zone ‘Satellite’ Centres as B2 ‘Local Centre’<br />

Zoning<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 82


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

West Woolgoolga <strong>Business</strong> Industrial<br />

The West Woolgoolga <strong>Business</strong> Pricinct adjoins the Pacific Highway, it incorporates the<br />

River Street business area and Tourist Service Centre lands.<br />

The Precinct is spread out along the highway with a mixture of uses. Some 2.3 hectares of<br />

the precinct is currently taken up by vacant sites. Consolidation of a retail core would help<br />

to create a better sense of place for the precinct. Care should be taken that activity in this<br />

precinct does not jeopardise the role and function of the main Woolgoolga commercial<br />

area to the east.<br />

80,000<br />

70,000<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

Future Role<br />

0<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) 69,597 69,116 68,873 68,776 68,757<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 37,612 37,131 36,888 36,791 36,772<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) 69,844 69,033 68,547 68,285 68,292<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 37,859 37,049 36,563 36,301 36,308<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) 71,818 71,181 70,820 70,547 70,452<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 39,833 39,196 38,835 38,562 38,468<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) 50,537 49,900 49,539 49,266 49,172<br />

The local service functions of the retail and industrial components play an important future<br />

role and zoning should aim to preserve and enhance these. In addition, given the<br />

precinct’s land availability and arterial access, there is an opportunity to provide space for<br />

bulkier land uses that are unable to find sites in the main Woolgoolga <strong>Business</strong> Precinct and<br />

serve a broad catchment. Some such uses (e.g. building supplies) might locate in the light<br />

industrial zone. Though significant retail or commercial expansion is not anticipated in this<br />

study, this may be appropriate where detailed local planning investigations and retail<br />

simulation modelling demonstrates that expansion would not be to the detriment of the<br />

Woolgoolga East precinct and where expansion to accommodate forecast demand at<br />

Woolgoolga East is not possible given development encumbrances.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core<br />

Action 1.4 Preserve Small Outlying Centres as B1 ‘Neighbourhood Centres’<br />

Zoning<br />

B4 Mixed Use (Raj Mahal and River Street)<br />

B6 Enterprise Corridor<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 83


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Current Role<br />

Issues and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Supply Demand Gaps<br />

Woolgoolga (Beach Street)<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

The Woolgoolga (Beach Street) <strong>Business</strong> precinct is the main Woolgoolga shopping area.<br />

The precinct is dominated by main street retail land-uses but also has pockets of residential<br />

development within the precinct.<br />

Although demand forecasts for the Precinct are relatively low, the Precinct has no vacant<br />

sites or vacant floorspace and so has little opportunity to accommodate future demands<br />

other than through redevelopment (and intensification of uses) on existing sites.<br />

60,000<br />

50,000<br />

40,000<br />

30,000<br />

20,000<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

-10,000<br />

Future Role<br />

-20,000<br />

2006-2011 2006-2016 2006-2021 2006-2026 2006-2031<br />

Scenario One (Max Allowable) -3,294 -4,411 -5,080 -5,442 -5,695<br />

Scenario One (Max Observed) 54,371 53,254 52,585 52,223 51,970<br />

Scenario Two (Max Allowable) -2,230 -3,579 -4,422 -4,901 -5,192<br />

Scenario Two (Max Obserevd) 55,435 54,086 53,243 52,764 52,473<br />

Scenario Three (Max Allowable) -2,039 -3,279 -3,930 -4,300 -4,340<br />

Scenario Three (Max Observed) 55,626 54,386 53,735 53,365 53,325<br />

Scenario Three (75% of Max Allowable) -9,832 -11,072 -11,723 -12,093 -12,133<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the local community and the<br />

principal retail centre for Woolgoolga. Under Scenario 3, the precinct has a supply-demand<br />

shortfall of around 12,000m 2 . Opportunities to accommodate demand (through an<br />

expansion of the zoned B2 area or through an adjustment to development controls) to<br />

meet future demand should be explored through detailed local planning studies.<br />

Strategies and Actions Strategy 1 Protect the Commercial Core<br />

Zoning<br />

B4 Mixed Use (this includes additional land parcels fronting Beach Street to Boundary<br />

Street which were previously zoned for residential purposes).<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 84


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Precinct Futures and Zoning<br />

The current land-use in each precinct has been documented and the capacity to accommodate<br />

forecast demand under each scenario has been assessed. Future roles and recommended zoning for<br />

each precinct are summarised in the following table.<br />

Precinct Future Role Zoning<br />

Bakers Road<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No adjustments<br />

to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap are<br />

recommended.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

Boambee East<br />

(Ringtail Close)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Bray Street<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

North<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Coramba<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

The precinct has a mix of retail and service businesses, good<br />

accessibility and proximity to residential areas position. These<br />

factors position the precinct to function as a local centre providing<br />

retail and service functions. The Precinct has ample capacity to<br />

meet forecast demand to 2031<br />

The future role of the CBD has been recognised through its<br />

designation under the MNCRS as a Major Regional Centre. The<br />

CBD should continue to function as the principal office location in<br />

the LGA and development controls should facilitate this. Some<br />

higher density residential development may be appropriate<br />

subject to the findings of a residential study, but these should not<br />

‘sterilise’ the CBD for further retail or commercial development.<br />

The proposed by-pass route will likely to have short term effect on<br />

the level of passing trade but this can be minimised with<br />

appropriate highway signage. In the longer term this would likely<br />

be more than offset by natural growth and the positive impact on<br />

the amenity of the CBD, Gaps between supply and demand<br />

emerge over the forecast period, large driven by a shift in shares<br />

for commercial sector to the CBD in scenario 3 and assumptions<br />

about FSRs based on the current controls.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No<br />

adjustments to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap<br />

are recommended.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B6 Enterprise<br />

Corridor<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B5 <strong>Business</strong><br />

Development<br />

B3 Commercial Core,<br />

B2, Local Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

Corindi Beach’<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Emerald Beach<br />

Jetty<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Korora Bay<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Moonee Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No<br />

adjustments to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap<br />

are recommended.<br />

The Jetty has an important future role to play as a mixed use<br />

precinct. The considerable amenity of the precinct may provide<br />

potential for the area to accommodate some higher density<br />

residential development. Industrial activities associated with the<br />

Marina should be preserved and conflict with other uses<br />

minimised.<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the<br />

local community. The precinct should not grow to become a<br />

major employment destination in its own right.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

IN4 Working<br />

Waterfront<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 85


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Precinct Future Role Zoning<br />

Nana Glen<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre. No<br />

adjustments to the controls to respond to the supply-demand gap<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

are recommended.<br />

Safety Beach<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Should continue as a small neighbourhood centre.<br />

B1 Neighbourhood<br />

Centre<br />

Sawtell<br />

The precinct should be preserved and enhanced as a coastal<br />

village. The centre should not expand to become a major<br />

employment destination.<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

Toormina<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

West Woolgoolga<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

Woolgoolga<br />

(Beach Street)<br />

<strong>Business</strong> Precinct<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the<br />

local community. The precinct should not grow to become a<br />

major employment destination in its own right.<br />

The precinct’s local service functions should be preserved.<br />

The precinct should continue as a small local centre serving the<br />

local community. The precinct has the opportunity to expand its<br />

function to serve the needs of the surrounding population and<br />

would be the most appropriate site for future retail development.<br />

B2 Local Centre<br />

B4 Mixed Use (Raj<br />

Mahal and River<br />

Street)<br />

B6 Enterprise<br />

Corridor<br />

B4 Mixed Use<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 86


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

APPENDIX 1 – Basic ABS Profile Data<br />

Demographic Profile<br />

Population Growth<br />

In 2006, the population of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> was 66,614. This equates to 23.0% of the population of the<br />

Mid North Coast. Table 1 shows the population change that has occurred between 1996 and 2006<br />

based on ABS Estimated Resident Population (ERP) data. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> experienced a higher growth<br />

rate between 1996 to 2001 and 2001 to 2006, compared to both the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong>.<br />

Table 1. Population Change 1996-2006<br />

1996<br />

Change 1996-<br />

2001<br />

2001<br />

Change<br />

2001-2006<br />

2006<br />

Change<br />

1996-2006<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 59,818 5.7% 63,213 5.4% 66,614 10.2%<br />

Mid North Coast 262,849 4.7% 275,089 4.5% 287,592 8.6%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 6,038,696 5.5% 6,371,745 3.4% 6,585,733 8.3%<br />

Source: ABS ERP data, 2008<br />

Age Profile<br />

Figure 12 shows the age profile of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong> in 2006. It shows that<br />

both <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and the Mid North Coast have a lower proportion of 25-39 year olds (15.7% and<br />

14.4%) compared to <strong>NSW</strong> (20.9%).<br />

However, both <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and the Mid North Coast have a significantly higher proportion of 50-64<br />

year olds, with 20.1% and 21% compared to 17.5% respectively. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and the Mid North<br />

Coast also have higher proportions of 65-74 and 75 plus year categories. To some extent, this trend<br />

may be attributed to the ‘sea change’ movement and retirees choosing to move out of the city.<br />

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Figure 12.<br />

Age Distribution<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

0-14 years 15-24 years 25-39 years 40-49 years 50-64 years 65-74 years 75+ years<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 20.3% 12.4% 15.7% 14.9% 20.1% 8.6% 8.0%<br />

Mid North Coast 19.6% 10.9% 14.4% 14.6% 21.0% 10.2% 9.3%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 19.8% 13.3% 20.9% 14.6% 17.5% 7.1% 6.7%<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

Household Income<br />

Figure 13 shows household income for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> against the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong>. It is<br />

apparent that both <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and the Mid North Coast share a similar trend, with a higher<br />

proportion of households having an income between the $250-$499, the $500-$799 and the $800-<br />

$1199 income brackets compared to <strong>NSW</strong>. This is particularly evident in the $500 to $799 income<br />

bracket, with 22% of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> households and 23% of Mid North Coast households being in this<br />

income category. This compares to 14.7% of households being within this income bracket for in <strong>NSW</strong><br />

as a whole.<br />

However, <strong>NSW</strong> has a considerable proportion more households earning over $1,700. 14.1% of <strong>NSW</strong><br />

households earn over $2,500, compared to <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> (4.3%) and the Mid North Coast (3.7%). This<br />

indicates that wealth is less evenly balanced compared to <strong>NSW</strong>, as there is a strong cluster of middle<br />

income earners.<br />

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Figure 13.<br />

Household Income<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

$0-$249 $250-$499 $500-$799 $800-$1199 $1200-$1699 $1700-$2499 $2500+<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 3.2% 14.4% 22.0% 20.8% 14.0% 9.2% 4.3%<br />

Mid North Coast 3.5% 16.8% 23.0% 20.7% 12.4% 8.1% 3.7%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 3.3% 9.8% 14.7% 17.0% 14.3% 14.5% 14.1%<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

Labour Force Profile<br />

Labour Force Participation<br />

The labour force participation rate for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong> is shown in Figure<br />

14. The labour force includes all people who are of working age, between 15 and 64.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a higher labour force participation rate in younger people compared to <strong>NSW</strong>. This is<br />

particularly evident in the 15-19 year old age category with 52.5%, compared to <strong>NSW</strong> with 46.2%.<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s participation rate declines below <strong>NSW</strong>’s in the 25-34 and 55-64 year age groups.<br />

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Figure 14.<br />

Labour Force Participation Rate<br />

90.0%<br />

80.0%<br />

70.0%<br />

60.0%<br />

50.0%<br />

40.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

15-19 years 20-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45-54 years 55-64 years<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 52.5% 73.5% 73.6% 77.4% 76.0% 47.7%<br />

Mid North Coast 49.5% 72.5% 71.0% 75.2% 73.7% 43.8%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 46.2% 73.6% 75.9% 77.0% 76.8% 53.7%<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

Unemployment<br />

Table 2 shows the 2008 unemployment rate for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong> from the<br />

Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations (DEEWR) data. The labour force for<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> in 2008 was 30,170, with an unemployment rate of 6.7%. This is relatively high<br />

compared to <strong>NSW</strong>’s unemployment rate of 4.6%. This reinforces unemployment is a key challenge in<br />

the region.<br />

Table 2.<br />

Unemployment Rate (DEEWR)<br />

Unemployment June 2008 Unemployment % June 2008 Labour Force 2008<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 2,024 6.7% 30,170<br />

Mid North Coast 8,508 7.0% 121,056<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 163,400 4.6% 3,562,700<br />

Source: DEEWR, 2008<br />

Figure 15 shows the labour force unemployment rate by age from ABS 2006 data. This shows that<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a higher rate of unemployment for all age categories compared to <strong>NSW</strong>; but is lower<br />

than the Mid North Coast.<br />

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Figure 15.<br />

Labour Force Unemployment Rate by Age<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

Qualifications<br />

20.0%<br />

18.0%<br />

16.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

12.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 16.2% 14.1% 9.5% 7.5% 6.1% 8.8%<br />

Mid North Coast 17.8% 16.1% 10.9% 8.7% 7.5% 9.0%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 15.1% 9.3% 5.6% 4.9% 4.3% 4.6%<br />

Post-school qualifications are shown in Figure 16 for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong>. A<br />

high proportion of <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s population has obtained a ‘Certificate III or IV’ (34.1%) or a<br />

‘Bachelor Degree’ (15.6%). This is compared to <strong>NSW</strong> that has 25.1% and 22.2%, respectively. When<br />

benchmarked against the Mid North Coast, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a higher proportion of people with<br />

qualifications expect for in ‘Certificate III or IV’. There is a lower proportion of ‘Bachelor Degrees’ and<br />

‘Postgraduate Degrees’ compared to <strong>NSW</strong>.<br />

Occupations<br />

Figure 17 shows the number of people who live in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> and their occupation type. The<br />

majority of people who live in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> are either ‘Professionals’ (17.9%), ‘Clerical and<br />

Administrative Workers’ (15.1%) and ‘Technicians and Trades Workers’ (13.3%). ‘Machinery Operators<br />

and Drivers’ account for the lowest proportion of occupations (4.9%).<br />

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Figure 16.<br />

Qualification<br />

40.0%<br />

35.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

Postgraduate<br />

Degree<br />

Graduate<br />

Diploma and<br />

Graduate<br />

Certificate<br />

Bachelor Degree<br />

Advanced<br />

Diploma and<br />

Diploma<br />

Certificate nfd<br />

Certificate III &<br />

IV<br />

Certificate I &<br />

II<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 2.3% 2.2% 15.6% 13.5% 4.1% 34.1% 3.1%<br />

Mid North Coast 1.8% 2.1% 13.3% 12.5% 4.0% 35.4% 3.2%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 5.7% 2.3% 22.2% 13.6% 3.5% 25.1% 2.2%<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

Figure 17.<br />

Occupation by Residents, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

20.0%<br />

18.0%<br />

16.0%<br />

14.0%<br />

12.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

8.0%<br />

6.0%<br />

4.0%<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

Managers<br />

Professionals<br />

Technicians<br />

and Trades<br />

Workers<br />

Community<br />

and Personal<br />

Service<br />

Workers<br />

Clerical and<br />

Administrative<br />

Workers<br />

Sales Workers<br />

Machinery<br />

Operators And<br />

Drivers<br />

Labourers<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 12.8% 17.9% 13.3% 11.2% 15.1% 12.8% 4.9% 11.1%<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

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Employment Profile<br />

Employment by Industry<br />

Figure 18 shows employment by industry at a 1 digit level, from ABS JTW data. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a<br />

high proportion of Retail Trade (20.7%); this is compared to the Mid North Coast (19.6%) and <strong>NSW</strong><br />

(14.3%). This reflects <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s role as a regional service centre. This is followed by Health and<br />

Community Services with 14.4% and Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants with 9.8%. Electricity,<br />

Gas and Water Supply and Mining had the lowest employment.<br />

Figure 18.<br />

Employment by Industry, 1 digit<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Mid North Coast <strong>NSW</strong><br />

Source: ABS JTW data, 2006<br />

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Figure 19 illustrates the change in employment by industry from 2001 to 2006. Industry sectors that<br />

experienced the highest growth include Construction (33.2%), Transport and Storage (30.6%), Finance<br />

and Insurance (30.5%) and Health and Community Services (27.6%). However, whilst finance and<br />

insurance is a fast growing sector, the proportion of people this sector employs is small (2.6% of total<br />

working residents).<br />

Communication Services, Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing, Wholesale Trade and Cultural and<br />

Recreational Services all experienced decline in employment.<br />

Figure 19. Employment by Industry, Change 2001-2006<br />

40.0%<br />

30.0%<br />

33.2%<br />

30.6% 30.5%<br />

27.6%<br />

20.0%<br />

16.8% 14.9% 13.6%<br />

10.4% 8.9% 8.5%<br />

6.3% 6.3%<br />

0.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-10.0%<br />

-6.9%<br />

-9.2%<br />

-10.6%<br />

-14.3%<br />

-20.0%<br />

Source: JTW, TPDC 2006, 1993 ANZSIC Category<br />

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Table 3 shows employment by industry for the top 20 industries, at a three digit level. At a three digit<br />

level we are able to gain a finer grain of employment within certain industries. Table 3 shows that 6%<br />

of jobs in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> are e in ‘School Education’, compared to 6.4% for the Mid North Coast and<br />

4.6% for <strong>NSW</strong>. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> also has high proportions of employment in ‘Hospitals and Nursing<br />

Homes’ (5.8%), ‘Government Administration’ (4.6%) and ‘Specialised Food Retailing’ (4%).<br />

Table 3.<br />

Employment by Industry, 3 digit, Top 20 Industries<br />

Industry<br />

Code Industry <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

Mid North<br />

Coast<br />

842 School Education 6.0% 6.4% 4.6%<br />

861 Hospitals and Nursing Homes 5.8% 5.7% 4.2%<br />

811 Government Administration 4.6% 4.7% 3.8%<br />

512 Specialised Food Retailing 4.0% 3.9% 2.8%<br />

571 Accommodation 3.9% 2.7% 1.2%<br />

511 Supermarket and Grocery Stores 3.6% 3.5% 2.2%<br />

872 Community Care Services 2.7% 3.0% 1.9%<br />

573 Cafes and Restaurants 2.5% 2.3% 2.1%<br />

525 Other Personal and Household Good Retailing 2.4% 2.3% 1.7%<br />

011 Horticulture and Fruit Growing 2.3% 1.3% 0.4%<br />

786 Other <strong>Business</strong> Services 2.3% 2.0% 3.0%<br />

523 Furniture, Houseware and Appliance Retailing 2.1% 2.0% 1.5%<br />

532 Motor Vehicle Services 2.1% 2.2% 1.5%<br />

411 Building Construction 2.1% 2.1% 2.3%<br />

784 Legal and Accounting Services 2.0% 1.7% 2.4%<br />

952 Other Personal Services 1.8% 1.7% 1.6%<br />

862 Medical and Dental Services 1.8% 1.8% 1.5%<br />

611 Road Freight Transport 1.8% 1.7% 1.7%<br />

522 Clothing and Soft Good Retailing 1.7% 1.5% 1.2%<br />

863 Other Health Services 1.6% 1.4% 1.2%<br />

Source: ABS JTW data, 2006<br />

<strong>NSW</strong><br />

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Industry by Occupation<br />

Figure 20 shows the number of people who work in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>, the Mid North Coast and <strong>NSW</strong>, and<br />

their occupation type. <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> has a higher proportion of ‘Technicians and Trades Workers’<br />

(14.5%), ‘Community and Personal Service Workers’ (10.9%), Sales Workers (12.2%) and ‘Labourers’<br />

(21.1%) than <strong>NSW</strong>. The High proportion of ‘Technicians and Trades Workers’ is representative of the<br />

higher proportion of ‘Certificate III and IV’ qualifications.<br />

Figure 20.<br />

Industry by Occupation<br />

25.0%<br />

20.0%<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

Managers<br />

Professionals<br />

Technicians and<br />

trades workers<br />

Community and<br />

personal service<br />

workers<br />

Clerical and<br />

administrative<br />

workers<br />

Sales workers<br />

Machinery<br />

operators and<br />

drivers<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 12.7% 16.8% 14.5% 10.9% 14.1% 12.2% 5.1% 12.1%<br />

Mid North Coast 13.3% 15.7% 15.0% 10.8% 13.0% 11.4% 6.0% 13.2%<br />

<strong>NSW</strong> 13.6% 21.2% 13.6% 8.6% 15.4% 9.7% 6.4% 9.5%<br />

Source: ABS, 2006<br />

Labourers<br />

Industry Specialisation<br />

The capacity of a region to provide more goods and services than required, and to then export the<br />

products of these industries to other regions is known as industry specialisation and can be illustrated<br />

by Location Quotient Analysis (LQ). This involves dividing the share of jobs in an industry in the study<br />

region (in this case <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA) by the share of that industry in a benchmark region.<br />

• Where the ratio, or LQ value is close to, or equal to, one it suggests that the local industry sector<br />

produces just sufficient to satisfy local demand for the products of that industry;<br />

• An LQ value less than 1 suggests the local industry produces less than sufficient to satisfy local<br />

demand and that such products must be imported into the community;<br />

• An LQ value greater than 1 assumes that the local industry produces well above the amount to<br />

satisfy local demand and that some goods and services will be exported to other regions and<br />

communities. A high LQ will normally be one in which the community will have clearly developed<br />

as a specialist industry.<br />

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Figure 21 illustrates location quotient analysis at a one-digit ANZSIC level correlated with industry<br />

employment shares. The matrix shows that the following industries have an LQ greater than one:<br />

• Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants (1.2 LQ)<br />

• Cultural and Recreational Services (1.2 LQ)<br />

• Property and <strong>Business</strong> Services (1.2 LQ)<br />

• Finance and Insurance (1.1 LQ)<br />

• Retail Trade (1.1 LQ)<br />

Figure 21.<br />

Employment Analysis Matrix (<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> vs. Mid-North Coast)<br />

Source: SGS Economics and <strong>Plan</strong>ning, 2009<br />

Interestingly, Figure 21 shows that whilst some of these industries have a high LQ ratio, they do<br />

account for a large proportion of jobs. ‘Retail Trade’ and ‘Health and Community Services’ display<br />

industry specialisation and also account for a high proportion of jobs (i.e. > 10%).<br />

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Table 4 shows the three-digit ANZSIC LQ for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> benchmarked against the Mid North Coast,<br />

for the top 20 industries. The industries with the highest specialisation at a three digit industry level in<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> are:<br />

• ‘Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing, undefined’ – 2.5 LQ with 66 jobs;<br />

• ‘Electrical Equipment and Appliance Manufacturing’ – 1.9 LQ with 66 jobs;<br />

• ‘Horticulture and Fruit Growing’ – 1.8 LQ with 550 jobs;<br />

• ‘Post School Education’ – 1.5 LQ with 358 jobs;<br />

• ‘Fabricated Metal Production’ – 1.5 LQ with 91 jobs; and<br />

• ‘Accommodation’ – 1.5 LQ with 925 jobs.<br />

Table 4.<br />

Location Quotient (LQ) Analysis, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> to Mid North Coast, Top 20 Industries (with<br />

greater than 50 jobs)<br />

Industry LQ Number of Jobs<br />

280 Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing, undefined 2.5 66<br />

285 Electrical Equipment and Appliance Manufacturing 1.9 66<br />

011 Horticulture and Fruit Growing 1.8 550<br />

843 Post School Education 1.5 358<br />

276 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 1.5 91<br />

571 Accommodation 1.5 925<br />

774 Machinery and Equipment Hiring and Leasing 1.4 69<br />

751 Services to Finance and Investment 1.4 117<br />

923 Parks and Gardens 1.3 54<br />

742 Other Insurance 1.3 72<br />

521 Department Stores 1.3 328<br />

785 Marketing and <strong>Business</strong> Management Services 1.3 168<br />

526 Household Equipment Repair Services 1.2 70<br />

783 Computer Services 1.2 103<br />

030 Forestry and Logging 1.2 102<br />

286 Industrial Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing 1.2 57<br />

425 Other Construction Services 1.2 125<br />

771 Property Operators and Developers 1.2 115<br />

784 Legal and Accounting Services 1.2 477<br />

531 Motor Vehicle Retailing 1.2 249<br />

Source: TDC, 2006<br />

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Table 5 shows the LQ for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> benchmarked against <strong>NSW</strong>, for the top 20 industries. The<br />

industries with the highest specialisation in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> are:<br />

• ‘Horticulture and Fruit Growing’ –5.6 LQ with 550 jobs;<br />

• ‘Forestry and Logging’ – 4.7 LQ with 1.2 jobs;<br />

• ‘Log Sawmilling and Timber Dressing’ – with 3.6 LQ with 101 jobs; and<br />

• ‘Accommodation’ – 3.2 LQ with 925 jobs.<br />

Table 5.<br />

Location Quotient (LQ) Analysis, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> to <strong>NSW</strong>, Top 20 Industries<br />

Industry LQ Number of Jobs<br />

011 Horticulture and Fruit Growing 5.6 550<br />

030 Forestry and Logging 4.7 102<br />

231 Log Sawmilling and Timber Dressing 3.6 101<br />

571 Accommodation 3.2 925<br />

280 Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing, undefined 2.4 66<br />

923 Parks and Gardens 2.3 54<br />

294 Other Manufacturing 1.8 66<br />

572 Pubs, Taverns and Bars 1.7 307<br />

841 Preschool Education 1.6 130<br />

524 Recreational Good Retailing 1.6 252<br />

511 Supermarket and Grocery Stores 1.6 845<br />

531 Motor Vehicle Retailing 1.6 249<br />

521 Department Stores 1.6 328<br />

274 Structural Metal Product Manufacturing 1.6 88<br />

864 Veterinary Services 1.6 55<br />

574 Clubs (Hospitality) 1.6 309<br />

526 Household Equipment Repair Services 1.5 70<br />

872 Community Care Services 1.4 635<br />

512 Specialised Food Retailing 1.4 946<br />

523 Furniture, Houseware and Appliance Retailing 1.4 506<br />

Source: TPDC, 2006<br />

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Self Sufficiency and Self Containment<br />

Employment self-containment and self sufficiency can be assessed by examining ABS data for persons<br />

who work in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA but live elsewhere and conversely, persons who live in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

LGA but work elsewhere. The results of this analysis are shown in Table 6.<br />

Table 6.<br />

Self Containment and Self Sufficiency<br />

Area Jobs in the LGA Resident Workers Self Sufficiency Self Containment<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 23,662 21,790 92.1% 84.9%<br />

Source: ABS unpublished Journey to Work data, 2006<br />

Self-containment is measured by the share of the resident workforce that works within <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

LGA. In 2006, <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA had a rate of self containment of 84.9%. This high rate of self<br />

containment is typical of a regional centre.<br />

Self sufficiency is measured by the share of jobs in an LGA occupied by residents of that LGA. In 2006,<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA had a rate of self sufficiency of 92.1%. This indicates that the remaining 7.9% of<br />

jobs in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA are held by persons who travel from other locations.<br />

Home based Work<br />

Whilst it is not possible to provide an exact measure of the number of home-based businesses, on the<br />

day of census, 1,362 <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> residents worked from home. This equates to 5.7% of the resident<br />

workforce. This is higher than the <strong>NSW</strong> average, but lower than the Mid-North Coast average.<br />

Table 7.<br />

Home-Based Work,2006<br />

Total worked at home Total Workforce % home-based work<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> 1,362 23,661 5.76%<br />

Mid North Coast 6,518 91,592 7.12%<br />

New South Wales 135,726 2,748,398 4.94%<br />

Source: ABS Census, 2006<br />

Mangers, Clerical and Administrative Workers and Professionals make up the highest proportions of<br />

residents who work from home in <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>.<br />

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APPENDIX 2 – Land Audit Method<br />

Audit Method<br />

Audits were completed using a method developed in association with the Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning.<br />

Three levels of information are collected about each lot:<br />

Data Collected<br />

Source of Data<br />

Level 1. Zoning, size of lot, Cadastre with LEP overlay<br />

Level 2<br />

Level 3<br />

Building envelope, above-ground car<br />

parking<br />

Building size, condition<br />

Land-use activity (categories of land-use)<br />

GIS base for on-ground verification (digitised<br />

building outlines using aerial photographs)<br />

On-ground field survey<br />

The field work builds on the Level 1 and Level 2 data inputted via GIS. Each consultant in the field<br />

inputs data directly through the use of hand-held Palm Pilots. The audit has been completed for<br />

commercial centres, industrial/ business precincts, education precincts and health precincts.<br />

The audit results for occupied sites report the total floorspace implied by the lot size and digitised site<br />

coverage (from level 1 and 2 GIS analysis) and the reported number of floors, building podiums and<br />

usage from the audit (Level 3 analysis). As internal building inspections were not completed, internal<br />

voids, circulation space, storage space, etc could not be determined. The reported figures are<br />

therefore gross floorspace figures and do not take into account building efficiency. For the analysis of<br />

supply demand gaps under existing controls, in later sections of this report, building efficiency has<br />

been taken into account and the gross current floorspace figures have been reduced accordingly.<br />

Broad Land-use Categories (BLCs)<br />

Data has been gathered at a fine grain (3 digit ANZSIC) and coarse grain (1 digit ANZSIC) 3 .<br />

Table 8.<br />

1 Digit ANZSIC Categories<br />

1 Digit Code ANZSIC 1 Digit Category<br />

A<br />

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing<br />

B<br />

Mining<br />

C<br />

Manufacturing<br />

D<br />

Electricity, Gas and Water Supply<br />

E<br />

Construction<br />

F<br />

Wholesale Trade<br />

G<br />

Retail Trade<br />

H<br />

Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants<br />

I<br />

Transport and Storage<br />

J<br />

Communication Services<br />

3 ANZSIC stands for ‘Australian and New Zealand Standard Industry Classification. These are the categories used by the ABS to<br />

classify industry groups.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

1 Digit Code ANZSIC 1 Digit Category<br />

K<br />

L<br />

M<br />

N<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Q<br />

Finance and Insurance<br />

Property and <strong>Business</strong> Services<br />

Government Administration and Defence<br />

Education<br />

Health and Community Services<br />

Cultural and Recreational Services<br />

Personal and Other Services<br />

However, the ANZSIC industry categories are not the most useful way to understand land-use patterns<br />

as the categories cut across land-use types and zones. For example, for the manufacturing industry<br />

category, parts of a manufacturing business may be in heavy industrial areas, other parts may be in<br />

light industrial areas and jobs in head office/ administrative functions in the same manufacturing firms<br />

may be in commercial areas (in offices).<br />

Different industries operate at different geographic scales and have different key drivers. Local service<br />

industries – automotive repairs, printing, domestic storage etc – need to be relatively close to<br />

customers, and are responsive to (and changes with) population growth. On the other hand, large<br />

transport and warehouse distribution centres are more sensitive to state or nationwide population<br />

growth and shifts in freighting technologies and dependencies. They have different locational and<br />

access needs. These issues have significant implications for forecasting the demand for industrial or<br />

employment lands.<br />

In response to these issues, ‘Broad Land-use Categories’ (BLCs), initially developed with the<br />

Department of <strong>Plan</strong>ning in previous employment land planning investigations, have also been used to<br />

assess floorspace. The BLCs are listed in Table 9.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Table 9.<br />

Broad Land-use Categories (BLCs)<br />

Land-use Category<br />

Description<br />

Freight and Logistics (FL) • Warehousing and distribution activities. Includes buildings<br />

with a number of docking facilities; ‘hard stand’ areas with<br />

trucks or goods awaiting distribution; and large storage<br />

facilities.<br />

Local light industrial and urban support (LL) • Car service and repair; joinery, construction and building<br />

supplies; and domestic storage.<br />

Manufacturing – Heavy (MH) • Large scale production activity. Likely to be characterised by<br />

high noise emission; emission stacks; use of heavy machinery;<br />

and frequency of large trucks.<br />

Manufacturing – Light (ML) • Clothing manufacturing, boat building and electrical<br />

equipment manufacturing<br />

• Small scale production with lower noise and emission levels<br />

than heavy manufacturing.<br />

Urban Services (US) • Concrete batching, waste recycling and transfer, construction<br />

and local and state government depots, sewerage, water<br />

supply, electricity construction yards.<br />

• These typically have noise dust and traffic implications and<br />

need to be isolated or buffered from other land-uses. Needed<br />

in each sub-region.<br />

Office (O) • Administration, clerical, business services, research.<br />

• Office buildings that are independent (i.e., are not ancillary to<br />

another use on site) and likely to accommodate a significant<br />

number of administration staff (>10 people).<br />

<strong>Business</strong> / Office Parks (BP) • Integrated warehouse, storage, R&D, ‘back-room’<br />

management and administration with up to 40% office<br />

component.<br />

Retail - Main Street (RM) • Retailing services traditionally found in main street locations<br />

(e.g., supermarkets) and small cluster or strips of stores<br />

located next to a street or road.<br />

Retail – Big Box (RB) • Large shopping complexes, including Westfield.<br />

Bulky Goods Retail (RBG) • Typically large, one-story buildings surrounded by car-parking,<br />

usually located out of centre and in high exposure (main road)<br />

locations.<br />

Special Activities (S) • Tertiary level education, health, and community services.<br />

Typically require strategic locations and needed in each subregion.<br />

Dispersed Activities (D) • Primary and secondary education, lower level health, social<br />

and community services, trades construction, other ‘nomads’.<br />

Residential (R) • Residential development.<br />

Accommodation (Short Term) (AST) • Hotels and Motels (not including pubs), backpacker<br />

establishments.<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

APPENDIX 3 - Employment Forecast Method<br />

The baseline level of employment for <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> LGA (2001 and 2006) has been derived by ‘scaling<br />

up’ the ABS Journey to work data. Scaling up is required because of problems with Census data from<br />

which Journey to work data is collated including:<br />

• Not every person actually fills out a Census questionnaire.<br />

• People who do fill in the Census questionnaire may not complete the employment questions.<br />

• People may not provide any information on their place of work.<br />

• The detail people provide on their place of employment may not be detailed enough to correctly<br />

assign them to a particular area (for example, a specific LGA).<br />

The ABS Labour Force Survey provides a more accurate indication of employment. Scaling up is done<br />

by taking <strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong>’s share of employment in the Mid North Coast, then applying this proportion<br />

to the ABS Labour Force Survey result for the Statistical Districts identified 4<br />

From this baseline data, employment projections out to 2031 are derived. This firstly requires an<br />

estimate of national employment at 5 year intervals using the TRYM (Treasury Macroeconomic Model)<br />

and data obtained from a variety of different sources (including the Australian Bureau of Statistics<br />

(ABS), Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and the Joint Economic Forecasting<br />

Group).<br />

The total growth for all industries is benchmarked to the projected total economic growth from the<br />

TRYM. This ensures that the projected industry growth can be met within the limited economic<br />

resources which Australia has at its disposal.<br />

<strong>NSW</strong>’s projected share of national employment is then derived by adjusting the current <strong>NSW</strong> share for<br />

each industry 5 for changes in the projected population 6 relative to the other states. Similarly, the <strong>NSW</strong><br />

employment is then split between ‘Sydney Metropolitan’ and ‘Balance of <strong>NSW</strong>’.<br />

Finally the LGAs share of the ‘Balance of <strong>NSW</strong>’ employment is derived by applying its 2001 share, its<br />

2006 share or a growth share determined by the increase from 2001 to 2006.<br />

4 This selection of Statistical Districts was chosen because there is likely to be very little net migration.<br />

5 From the ABS’s Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly (cat. no. 6291.0.55.003)<br />

6 From the ABS’s Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101 (cat. no. 3222.0)<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

APPENDIX 4 – Demand Adjustment Scenarios<br />

Scenario 2 – LGA Level Adjustment<br />

Adjustments were made at the LGA level so that employment forecasts by ANZSIC and BLC categories<br />

were better aligned with the policy and strategy framework – particularly the Mid North Coast<br />

Regional Strategy and the economic development vision of <strong>Council</strong>. Adjustment was made in the<br />

following sectors:<br />

Retail Trade<br />

Property and <strong>Business</strong> Services<br />

Government Admin and Defence<br />

Cultural and Recreation Services<br />

Personal and Other Services<br />

Adjusted 0% from 14.31%. Assumes no growth due to<br />

oversupply cited in AEC report.<br />

changed from 2.1% to 8.78%. Assumes population industries<br />

will grow in conjunction with population.<br />

Changed from 2006 share to 2001. <strong>Coffs</strong> has been designated a<br />

major regional centre and can expect growth in govt.<br />

changed from -7% to 8.78%. Assumes population industries will<br />

grow in conjunction with population.<br />

Changed to align with growth in population<br />

Scenario 3 – Precinct Level Adjustment<br />

Adjustments were made at the precinct level to take account of the competitive position of different<br />

precincts to accommodate different employment types. Adjustment to the percentage share of<br />

floorspace by BLC is shown below.<br />

BLC Code<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Orlando St Industrial<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong><br />

Industrial<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Sawtell South<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Sawtell Industrial<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong><br />

Toormina Industrial<br />

Boambee North<br />

Isles Drive<br />

Boambee South<br />

Jetty Precinct<br />

Boambee East<br />

Industrial<br />

Bray Street<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

South Jetty<br />

Industrial<br />

Ringtail Close<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Korora Bay<br />

<strong>Business</strong><br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong><br />

Coramba<br />

Emerald Beach<br />

Moonee Beach<br />

Nana Glen<br />

Woolgoolga<br />

Woolgoolga East<br />

Woolgoolga<br />

Industrial<br />

AST 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% -12% -13% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 6% 0% 0% 1% 0%<br />

AGM 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

BP 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

D 0% 0% -1% 1% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

FL 0% -2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% -6% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1%<br />

LL 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 5% 0% -2% -1% -10% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

MH 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

ML 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% -14% 0% 1% -1% 16% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -6%<br />

O 0% -1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

RB -1% 0% 0% -2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

RBG 9% -9% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% -18% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

RM 0% -1% -3% 0% 2% 1% 2% -1% 0% 1% 0% -5% 0% 0% 0% -1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 5% 0% -1% 0% 0%<br />

S 0% 0% 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -2% -8% 0%<br />

US 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -4% 0% 0% -2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1%<br />

V BL 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

RES 0% 3% 0% 22% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% -63% 0% 2% 0% 0% 4% -1% 0% 5% 1% 0% 5% 17% 0%<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

APPENDIX 5 – Floorspace Demand Forecasts (Totals by BLC)<br />

Scenario 1 – Base Case<br />

3<br />

CURRENT (2006)<br />

4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,299 0 1,335 0 0 634 48,610 28,876 15,461 0 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 915 18,459 40,169 0 6,462 1,620 0 16,907 4,296 0 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 6,918 1,895 22,050 0 1,591 0 0 8,494 8,630 829 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,175 0 0 24,145 0 5,274 0 0 50,063 15,408 5,056 74,928 140 470 0 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 114 0 0 0 0 590 0 0 16,269 0 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 949 4,760 12,095 0 15,989 0 0 1,858 672 0 741 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,026 0 0 0 0 783 16,131 0 5,282 0 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,051 9,214 26,439 0 5,998 0 0 3,308 3,643 0 159 0 0<br />

Boambee North 1,909 0 0 1,969 12,770 45,003 0 25,379 0 0 32,257 2,734 0 2,440 0 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,124 0 0 3,099 11,669 35,711 0 10,515 0 0 26,934 850 0 67 2,365 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 7,645 1,352 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 821 0 0 1,388 1,401 1,692 0 0 5,884 0 276 22,601 0 0 0 2,196<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 10,304 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,214 0 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,342 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,051 0 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,304 0 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 389 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 1,087 0 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,193 0 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 650 0 0 611 0 0 0 0 0 2,482 0 2,001 0 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 331 0 0 0 0 0 280 0 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 2,999 0 0 1,960 0 2,652 0 0 455 0 0 3,568 1,353 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,590 0 0 3,278 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14,977 1,258 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 962 7,274 23,549 0 10,547 0 0 930 0 0 511 0 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 389 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 1,087 0 0 0 0<br />

Total 16,267 0 0 58,415 75,088 228,343 0 76,480 60,029 82,630 124,895 183,991 3,580 22,338 2,365 2,246<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2011)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES TOTAL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,468 0 1,526 0 0 742 54,648 32,906 16,598 0 0 0 0 107,888<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 910 19,466 44,227 0 6,911 1,697 0 18,730 4,793 0 0 0 0 96,735<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 6,730 2,021 24,891 0 1,602 0 0 9,285 9,456 829 0 0 0 54,813<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,153 0 0 26,458 0 5,953 0 0 51,812 14,494 5,641 79,449 171 422 0 0 189,552<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 140 0 0 0 0 641 0 0 16,833 0 0 0 0 17,613<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,050 4,903 13,517 0 15,845 0 0 2,046 750 0 720 0 0 38,832<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,532 0 0 0 0 880 18,346 0 5,673 0 0 0 0 29,432<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 4,894 9,839 28,381 0 6,114 0 0 3,781 4,065 0 155 0 0 57,228<br />

Boambee North 1,901 0 0 1,969 13,608 49,223 0 24,842 0 0 35,669 2,924 0 2,371 0 0 132,506<br />

Isles Drive 2,178 0 0 3,236 12,444 38,869 0 10,419 0 0 30,062 929 0 65 2,481 0 100,684<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 8,185 1,432 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0 25,515<br />

Jetty Precinct 817 0 0 1,679 1,483 1,695 0 0 5,980 0 315 24,363 0 0 0 2,187 38,520<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 10,956 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,956<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,583 0 0 0 0 2,583<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,639 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,980 0 0 3,619<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,777 0 0 0 0 3,777<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 48<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 434 0 441 0 0 0 0 0 1,156 0 0 0 0 2,031<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,291 0 0 0 0 1,291<br />

Moonee Beach 647 0 0 746 0 0 0 0 0 2,853 0 2,228 0 0 0 0 6,473<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 379 0 0 0 0 0 294 0 0 0 0 673<br />

Woolgoolga 2,986 0 0 2,001 0 3,032 0 0 501 0 0 3,917 1,453 0 0 0 13,891<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,579 0 0 3,657 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,646 1,439 0 0 0 24,321<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,030 7,696 25,997 0 10,522 0 0 1,063 0 0 533 0 0 46,841<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 434 0 441 0 0 0 0 0 1,156 0 0 0 0 2,031<br />

Total 16,262 0 0 63,006 79,646 250,958 0 76,255 62,253 90,340 139,497 198,884 3,893 22,145 2,481 2,235 1,007,853<br />

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<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2016)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES TOTAL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,519 0 1,605 0 0 804 57,341 34,631 17,183 0 0 0 0 113,083<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 891 20,384 46,643 0 7,200 1,793 0 19,782 5,032 0 0 0 0 101,726<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 6,864 2,177 26,313 0 1,520 0 0 9,786 9,981 829 0 0 0 57,470<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,262 0 0 27,873 0 6,311 0 0 55,133 15,146 5,952 82,303 186 487 0 0 198,652<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 152 0 0 0 0 685 0 0 17,386 0 0 0 0 18,223<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,070 5,368 14,370 0 14,578 0 0 2,081 790 0 642 0 0 38,899<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,831 0 0 0 0 941 19,307 0 5,917 0 0 0 0 30,997<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,072 10,597 30,575 0 5,916 0 0 3,978 4,307 0 138 0 0 60,581<br />

Boambee North 1,941 0 0 1,969 14,619 52,008 0 22,401 0 0 37,563 3,005 0 2,112 0 0 135,619<br />

Isles Drive 2,239 0 0 3,264 13,228 41,409 0 9,623 0 0 31,709 968 0 58 2,561 0 105,059<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 8,904 1,511 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0 26,314<br />

Jetty Precinct 835 0 0 1,817 1,566 1,667 0 0 6,308 0 331 25,471 0 0 0 2,233 40,229<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 11,563 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11,563<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,746 0 0 0 0 2,746<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,781 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,883 0 0 3,664<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,974 0 0 0 0 3,974<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 46<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 475 0 464 0 0 0 0 0 1,200 0 0 0 0 2,138<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,336 0 0 0 0 1,336<br />

Moonee Beach 661 0 0 811 0 0 0 0 0 3,010 0 2,339 0 0 0 0 6,820<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 399 0 0 0 0 0 315 0 0 0 0 714<br />

Woolgoolga 3,049 0 0 2,042 0 3,189 0 0 542 0 0 4,076 1,474 0 0 0 14,371<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,634 0 0 3,755 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,548 1,502 0 0 0 25,438<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,063 8,120 27,531 0 9,706 0 0 1,118 0 0 534 0 0 48,072<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 475 0 464 0 0 0 0 0 1,200 0 0 0 0 2,138<br />

Total 16,620 0 0 65,722 84,963 266,022 0 70,944 66,206 94,805 146,931 207,076 3,990 21,752 2,561 2,279 1,049,871<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2021)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES TOTAL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,568 0 1,617 0 0 866 58,216 35,043 17,495 0 0 0 0 114,805<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 869 20,832 47,824 0 7,518 1,870 0 20,153 5,088 0 0 0 0 104,154<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 6,971 2,312 26,834 0 1,428 0 0 9,997 10,287 829 0 0 0 58,659<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,392 0 0 29,219 0 6,476 0 0 58,365 15,669 6,048 84,022 201 584 0 0 205,975<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 164 0 0 0 0 731 0 0 17,834 0 0 0 0 18,728<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,091 5,875 14,828 0 13,144 0 0 2,040 800 0 555 0 0 38,332<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 5,122 0 0 0 0 1,002 19,541 0 6,045 0 0 0 0 31,711<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,330 11,245 32,509 0 5,696 0 0 4,008 4,450 0 119 0 0 63,357<br />

Boambee North 1,989 0 0 1,969 15,441 53,538 0 19,695 0 0 38,069 3,064 0 1,826 0 0 135,590<br />

Isles Drive 2,286 0 0 3,292 13,766 43,307 0 8,725 0 0 32,198 980 0 50 2,625 0 107,229<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 9,624 1,543 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0 27,065<br />

Jetty Precinct 855 0 0 1,942 1,599 1,623 0 0 6,633 0 334 26,277 0 0 0 2,289 41,550<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 11,797 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11,797<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,829 0 0 0 0 2,829<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,920 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,781 0 0 3,701<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,005 0 0 0 0 4,005<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44 44<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 521 0 467 0 0 0 0 0 1,223 0 0 0 0 2,211<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,348 0 0 0 0 1,348<br />

Moonee Beach 677 0 0 874 0 0 0 0 0 3,051 0 2,372 0 0 0 0 6,975<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 402 0 0 0 0 0 334 0 0 0 0 735<br />

Woolgoolga 3,125 0 0 2,079 0 3,214 0 0 584 0 0 4,119 1,494 0 0 0 14,614<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,699 0 0 3,853 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,992 1,562 0 0 0 26,107<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,095 8,353 28,437 0 8,740 0 0 1,126 0 0 535 0 0 48,286<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 521 0 467 0 0 0 0 0 1,223 0 0 0 0 2,211<br />

Total 17,023 0 0 68,399 89,046 274,883 0 64,945 70,051 96,477 149,017 211,787 4,086 21,348 2,625 2,333 1,072,021<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2026)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES TOTAL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,606 0 1,602 0 0 920 58,265 34,905 17,579 0 0 0 0 114,877<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 841 20,853 48,179 0 7,767 1,935 0 20,107 5,052 0 0 0 0 104,733<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 7,079 2,440 26,942 0 1,291 0 0 10,047 10,456 829 0 0 0 59,084<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,479 0 0 30,493 0 6,549 0 0 61,553 16,191 6,024 84,925 215 665 0 0 212,094<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 175 0 0 0 0 773 0 0 18,111 0 0 0 0 19,060<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,101 6,350 15,126 0 11,165 0 0 1,953 792 0 439 0 0 36,925<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 5,395 0 0 0 0 1,057 19,467 0 6,109 0 0 0 0 32,028<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,522 11,849 34,360 0 5,324 0 0 3,972 4,544 0 94 0 0 65,665<br />

Boambee North 2,021 0 0 1,969 16,158 54,296 0 16,042 0 0 37,709 3,104 0 1,445 0 0 132,743<br />

Isles Drive 2,310 0 0 3,305 14,092 44,717 0 7,466 0 0 32,053 979 0 40 2,629 0 107,591<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 10,433 1,527 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0 27,859<br />

Jetty Precinct 869 0 0 2,058 1,582 1,525 0 0 6,946 0 331 26,871 0 0 0 2,326 42,508<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 11,676 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11,676<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,879 0 0 0 0 2,879<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 2,055 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,665 0 0 3,721<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,968 0 0 0 0 3,968<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 43 43<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 561 0 463 0 0 0 0 0 1,233 0 0 0 0 2,256<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,344 0 0 0 0 1,344<br />

Moonee Beach 688 0 0 935 0 0 0 0 0 3,046 0 2,375 0 0 0 0 7,044<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 398 0 0 0 0 0 346 0 0 0 0 744<br />

Woolgoolga 3,175 0 0 2,115 0 3,184 0 0 623 0 0 4,110 1,504 0 0 0 14,711<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,743 0 0 3,917 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18,196 1,613 0 0 0 26,469<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,126 8,409 29,070 0 7,403 0 0 1,116 0 0 526 0 0 47,651<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 521 0 467 0 0 0 0 0 1,223 0 0 0 0 2,211<br />

Total 17,285 0 0 70,775 92,167 280,083 0 56,458 73,807 96,969 148,216 214,195 4,161 20,773 2,629 2,368 1,079,884<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 107


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2031)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,643 0 1,575 0 0 982 58,014 34,507 17,556 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 821 20,753 48,328 0 8,103 1,988 0 19,907 4,974 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 7,159 2,560 26,867 0 1,213 0 0 10,026 10,567 829 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,522 0 0 31,711 0 6,583 0 0 64,600 16,583 5,951 85,323 229 762 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 186 0 0 0 0 818 0 0 18,270 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,111 6,852 15,343 0 9,864 0 0 1,876 778 0 360 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 5,656 0 0 0 0 1,116 19,260 0 6,135 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,775 12,415 36,112 0 5,148 0 0 3,904 4,614 0 77 0<br />

Boambee North 2,037 0 0 1,969 16,813 54,842 0 13,601 0 0 37,018 3,139 0 1,186 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,315 0 0 3,319 14,336 45,958 0 6,648 0 0 31,651 970 0 33 2,667<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 11,243 1,495 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 876 0 0 2,169 1,549 1,472 0 0 7,233 0 325 27,328 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 11,436 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,912 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 2,186 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,491 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,900 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 607 0 455 0 0 0 0 0 1,233 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,332 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 693 0 0 995 0 0 0 0 0 3,019 0 2,361 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 391 0 0 0 0 0 359 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,200 0 0 2,148 0 3,130 0 0 664 0 0 4,074 1,514 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,764 0 0 3,983 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18,312 1,663 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,157 8,423 29,623 0 6,502 0 0 1,097 0 0 530 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 521 0 467 0 0 0 0 0 1,223 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,409 0 0 73,117 94,945 284,077 0 51,078 77,401 96,876 146,262 215,359 4,234 20,337 2,667<br />

Scenario 2 - LGA Level Adjustment<br />

3<br />

CURRENT (2006)<br />

4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,299 0 1,335 0 0 634 48,610 28,876 15,461 0 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 915 18,459 40,169 0 6,462 1,620 0 16,907 4,296 0 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 6,918 1,895 22,050 0 1,591 0 0 8,494 8,630 829 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,175 0 0 24,145 0 5,274 0 0 50,063 15,408 5,056 74,928 140 470 0 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 114 0 0 0 0 590 0 0 16,269 0 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 949 4,760 12,095 0 15,989 0 0 1,858 672 0 741 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,026 0 0 0 0 783 16,131 0 5,282 0 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,051 9,214 26,439 0 5,998 0 0 3,308 3,643 0 159 0 0<br />

Boambee North 1,909 0 0 1,969 12,770 45,003 0 25,379 0 0 32,257 2,734 0 2,440 0 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,124 0 0 3,099 11,669 35,711 0 10,515 0 0 26,934 850 0 67 2,365 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 7,645 1,352 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 821 0 0 1,388 1,401 1,692 0 0 5,884 0 276 22,601 0 0 0 2,196<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 10,304 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,214 0 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,342 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,051 0 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,304 0 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 389 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 1,087 0 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,193 0 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 650 0 0 611 0 0 0 0 0 2,482 0 2,001 0 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 331 0 0 0 0 0 280 0 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 2,999 0 0 1,960 0 2,652 0 0 455 0 0 3,568 1,353 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,590 0 0 3,278 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14,977 1,258 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 962 7,274 23,549 0 10,547 0 0 930 0 0 511 0 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 389 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 1,087 0 0 0 0<br />

Total 16,267 0 0 58,804 75,088 228,729 0 76,480 60,029 82,630 124,895 185,078 3,580 22,338 2,365 2,246<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 108


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2011)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES TOTAL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,420 0 1,413 0 0 568 50,665 30,526 16,235 0 0 0 0 100,828<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 978 20,038 42,023 0 6,167 1,768 0 18,115 4,555 0 0 0 0 93,644<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 7,512 1,954 23,228 0 1,564 0 0 9,260 8,950 899 0 0 0 53,369<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,175 0 0 26,313 0 5,472 0 0 54,907 16,745 5,392 77,718 152 504 0 0 192,377<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 0 610 0 0 16,703 0 0 0 0 17,437<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,040 4,912 12,553 0 15,968 0 0 1,941 722 0 741 0 0 37,876<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,456 0 0 0 0 784 17,007 0 5,591 0 0 0 0 27,837<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,431 9,504 27,644 0 5,865 0 0 3,502 3,710 0 159 0 0 55,816<br />

Boambee North 1,909 0 0 2,136 13,307 47,817 0 25,317 0 0 34,829 2,911 0 2,440 0 0 130,665<br />

Isles Drive 2,149 0 0 3,375 12,478 37,071 0 10,481 0 0 28,809 883 0 67 2,499 0 97,814<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 7,613 1,495 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,251 0 0 26,359<br />

Jetty Precinct 821 0 0 1,500 1,549 1,777 0 0 6,628 0 292 23,990 0 0 0 2,196 38,753<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 11,366 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11,366<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,361 0 0 0 0 2,361<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,455 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,014 0 0 3,468<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,499 0 0 0 0 3,499<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 48<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 362 0 408 0 0 0 0 0 1,116 0 0 0 0 1,886<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,258 0 0 0 0 1,258<br />

Moonee Beach 650 0 0 662 0 0 0 0 0 2,633 0 2,149 0 0 0 0 6,094<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 351 0 0 0 0 0 294 0 0 0 0 645<br />

Woolgoolga 2,999 0 0 2,127 0 2,808 0 0 467 0 0 3,764 1,478 0 0 0 13,643<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,590 0 0 3,545 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,750 1,373 0 0 0 23,258<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,044 7,812 24,356 0 10,580 0 0 984 0 0 495 0 0 45,271<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 362 0 408 0 0 0 0 0 1,116 0 0 0 0 1,886<br />

Total 16,292 0 0 63,840 79,168 240,191 0 75,943 65,733 87,050 133,649 193,275 3,902 23,670 2,499 2,244 987,457<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2016)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,475 0 1,492 0 0 656 54,021 32,085 17,171 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,131 21,827 44,745 0 6,744 1,888 0 19,282 4,833 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 8,119 2,043 24,342 0 2,124 0 0 9,912 9,299 970 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,444 0 0 27,187 0 5,668 0 0 59,729 18,145 5,720 82,346 146 548 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 119 0 0 0 0 677 0 0 17,588 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,100 5,156 13,067 0 22,749 0 0 2,252 770 0 1,112 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,562 0 0 0 0 872 17,989 0 5,916 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 6,043 9,922 28,742 0 7,670 0 0 3,697 3,799 0 239 0<br />

Boambee North 2,008 0 0 2,304 14,004 51,201 0 37,320 0 0 37,317 3,063 0 3,659 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,263 0 0 3,611 13,318 38,562 0 14,889 0 0 30,612 931 0 101 2,872<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 7,774 1,631 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18,604 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 864 0 0 1,462 1,689 2,292 0 0 7,135 0 308 25,138 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 12,379 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,425 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,398 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,100 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,693 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 412 0 431 0 0 0 0 0 1,172 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,334 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 683 0 0 636 0 0 0 0 0 2,759 0 2,282 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 370 0 0 0 0 0 313 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,155 0 0 2,262 0 2,964 0 0 521 0 0 3,979 1,573 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,725 0 0 3,755 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,717 1,409 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,086 8,561 25,765 0 15,038 0 0 1,039 0 0 600 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 412 0 431 0 0 0 0 0 1,172 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,142 0 0 67,075 84,295 254,081 0 106,533 71,477 92,914 142,222 203,940 4,098 26,962 2,872<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2021)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,514 0 1,523 0 0 787 56,321 32,665 17,680 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,194 23,425 45,980 0 6,449 1,973 0 20,157 4,986 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 8,726 2,144 24,859 0 2,098 0 0 10,425 9,503 1,040 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,492 0 0 27,901 0 5,735 0 0 64,708 19,546 5,948 84,612 141 592 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 115 0 0 0 0 762 0 0 17,889 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,145 5,420 13,340 0 22,706 0 0 2,285 805 0 1,112 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,671 0 0 0 0 988 18,478 0 6,090 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 6,441 10,396 29,802 0 7,537 0 0 3,775 3,791 0 239 0<br />

Boambee North 2,026 0 0 2,471 14,786 52,942 0 37,253 0 0 39,315 3,185 0 3,659 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,289 0 0 3,826 14,228 39,556 0 14,857 0 0 31,854 947 0 101 2,963<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 7,966 1,780 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19,958 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 871 0 0 1,423 1,844 2,361 0 0 7,624 0 314 25,759 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 13,471 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,436 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,348 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,956 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,771 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 484 0 440 0 0 0 0 0 1,186 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,377 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 689 0 0 614 0 0 0 0 0 2,805 0 2,359 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 378 0 0 0 0 0 324 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,183 0 0 2,398 0 3,026 0 0 592 0 0 4,088 1,653 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,749 0 0 3,934 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,333 1,433 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,130 9,170 26,276 0 15,031 0 0 1,061 0 0 583 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 484 0 440 0 0 0 0 0 1,186 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,299 0 0 69,818 89,380 261,908 0 105,932 77,434 97,149 147,798 209,308 4,267 28,198 2,963<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 109


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2026)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,584 0 1,507 0 0 896 57,116 32,366 17,965 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,256 24,951 46,561 0 6,154 2,023 0 20,680 5,017 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 9,346 2,234 24,753 0 2,072 0 0 10,761 9,562 1,111 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,434 0 0 29,229 0 5,670 0 0 69,263 21,010 6,062 85,260 144 642 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 117 0 0 0 0 836 0 0 17,880 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,205 5,673 13,331 0 22,642 0 0 2,268 823 0 1,112 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,882 0 0 0 0 1,089 18,436 0 6,147 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 6,863 10,822 30,590 0 7,404 0 0 3,736 3,697 0 239 0<br />

Boambee North 2,005 0 0 2,639 15,506 53,875 0 37,182 0 0 40,693 3,302 0 3,659 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,265 0 0 4,062 15,121 40,212 0 14,826 0 0 32,455 937 0 101 3,035<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 8,095 1,929 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21,311 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 862 0 0 1,443 1,999 2,424 0 0 8,111 0 311 26,156 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 14,543 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,430 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,373 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,758 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,732 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 546 0 435 0 0 0 0 0 1,175 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,391 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 682 0 0 625 0 0 0 0 0 2,782 0 2,379 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 374 0 0 0 0 0 330 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,149 0 0 2,551 0 2,995 0 0 652 0 0 4,108 1,747 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,720 0 0 4,160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,553 1,495 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,191 9,762 26,316 0 14,983 0 0 1,050 0 0 566 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 546 0 435 0 0 0 0 0 1,175 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,117 0 0 73,618 94,163 265,952 0 105,263 82,871 99,345 150,380 211,022 4,496 29,387 3,035<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2031)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,636 0 1,476 0 0 1,028 57,275 31,739 18,078 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,264 26,231 46,444 0 5,564 2,075 0 21,045 5,008 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 9,661 2,313 24,309 0 2,020 0 0 11,016 9,399 1,120 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,348 0 0 30,026 0 5,492 0 0 74,157 22,347 6,120 85,093 145 692 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 118 0 0 0 0 914 0 0 17,736 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,251 5,902 13,137 0 22,456 0 0 2,235 836 0 1,112 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 5,043 0 0 0 0 1,205 18,219 0 6,131 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 7,109 11,178 31,097 0 7,139 0 0 3,658 3,512 0 239 0<br />

Boambee North 1,973 0 0 2,660 16,164 54,274 0 37,040 0 0 41,856 3,295 0 3,659 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,226 0 0 4,143 15,969 40,080 0 14,718 0 0 32,791 919 0 101 3,090<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 8,159 2,079 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21,480 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 848 0 0 1,449 2,154 2,487 0 0 8,577 0 305 26,251 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 15,609 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,400 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,386 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,623 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,654 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 618 0 426 0 0 0 0 0 1,155 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,375 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 671 0 0 631 0 0 0 0 0 2,730 0 2,367 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 367 0 0 0 0 0 334 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,099 0 0 2,593 0 2,933 0 0 722 0 0 4,051 1,797 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,677 0 0 4,346 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,657 1,539 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,201 10,339 26,017 0 14,887 0 0 1,028 0 0 533 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 618 0 426 0 0 0 0 0 1,155 0 0 0<br />

Total 16,842 0 0 75,752 98,409 266,653 0 103,823 88,678 100,572 151,791 210,405 4,600 29,437 3,090<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 110


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Scenario 3 - Precinct Level Adjustment<br />

3<br />

CURRENT (2006)<br />

4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL RES<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,299 0 1,335 0 0 634 48,610 28,876 15,461 0 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 915 18,459 40,169 0 6,462 1,620 0 16,907 4,296 0 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 6,918 1,895 22,050 0 1,591 0 0 8,494 8,630 829 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,175 0 0 24,145 0 5,274 0 0 50,063 15,408 5,056 74,928 140 470 0 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 114 0 0 0 0 590 0 0 16,269 0 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 949 4,760 12,095 0 15,989 0 0 1,858 672 0 741 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,026 0 0 0 0 783 16,131 0 5,282 0 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,051 9,214 26,439 0 5,998 0 0 3,308 3,643 0 159 0 0<br />

Boambee North 1,909 0 0 1,969 12,770 45,003 0 25,379 0 0 32,257 2,734 0 2,440 0 0<br />

Isles Drive 2,124 0 0 3,099 11,669 35,711 0 10,515 0 0 26,934 850 0 67 2,365 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 7,645 1,352 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,898 0 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 821 0 0 1,388 1,401 1,692 0 0 5,884 0 276 22,601 0 0 0 2,196<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 10,304 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,214 0 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,342 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,051 0 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,304 0 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 389 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 1,087 0 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,193 0 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 650 0 0 611 0 0 0 0 0 2,482 0 2,001 0 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 331 0 0 0 0 0 280 0 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 2,999 0 0 1,960 0 2,652 0 0 455 0 0 3,568 1,353 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,590 0 0 3,278 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14,977 1,258 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 962 7,274 23,549 0 10,547 0 0 930 0 0 511 0 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 389 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 1,087 0 0 0 0<br />

Total 16,267 0 0 58,804 75,088 228,729 0 76,480 60,029 82,630 124,895 185,078 3,580 22,338 2,365 2,246<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2011)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,405 0 1,375 0 0 657 48,748 40,095 15,749 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 990 19,792 47,957 0 6,381 657 0 6,682 1,922 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 7,482 1,989 23,978 0 1,571 0 0 26,730 1,922 1,260 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,702 0 0 26,114 0 5,434 0 0 57,187 17,410 5,672 78,785 213 477 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 124 0 0 0 0 542 0 0 20,027 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,027 4,997 23,978 0 6,075 0 0 2,221 1,922 0 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,497 0 0 0 0 719 17,410 0 9,608 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,620 10,027 23,978 0 6,343 0 0 3,520 1,922 0 161 0<br />

Boambee North 0 0 0 2,129 13,403 47,294 0 26,580 0 0 42,768 2,707 0 2,473 0<br />

Isles Drive 0 0 0 3,351 7,917 11,989 0 22,783 0 0 5,346 1,922 0 68 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 11,875 1,393 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,516 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 1,629 0 0 1,502 1,470 1,744 0 0 5,403 0 293 15,373 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 23,978 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,192 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,451 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,840 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,922 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,922 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,922 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 420 0 397 0 0 0 0 0 1,076 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 1,629 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,181 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 1,629 0 0 661 0 0 0 0 0 3,482 0 11,530 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 341 0 0 0 0 0 452 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 2,933 0 0 2,120 0 2,733 0 0 418 0 0 1,922 1,432 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,770 0 0 3,545 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15,373 997 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,040 7,635 24,264 0 6,075 0 0 989 0 0 237 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 420 0 397 0 0 0 0 0 1,076 0 0 0<br />

Total 16,292 0 0 63,899 79,105 241,233 0 75,808 65,585 87,050 134,317 192,422 3,902 23,772 0<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 111


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2016)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,476 0 1,455 0 0 715 52,032 42,667 16,618 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,040 21,074 50,730 0 8,951 715 0 7,111 2,028 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 7,857 2,117 25,365 0 2,203 0 0 28,444 2,028 1,323 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 6,000 0 0 27,424 0 5,749 0 0 62,185 18,583 6,036 83,135 224 543 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 130 0 0 0 0 589 0 0 21,133 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,078 5,320 25,365 0 8,523 0 0 2,364 2,028 0 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,723 0 0 0 0 782 18,583 0 10,138 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 5,902 10,677 25,365 0 8,897 0 0 3,746 2,028 0 184 0<br />

Boambee North 0 0 0 2,236 14,271 50,029 0 37,287 0 0 45,511 2,856 0 2,817 0<br />

Isles Drive 0 0 0 3,519 8,429 12,682 0 31,960 0 0 5,689 2,028 0 77 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 12,644 1,474 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19,952 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 1,714 0 0 1,577 1,566 1,845 0 0 5,875 0 312 16,221 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 25,365 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,313 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,524 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,235 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,028 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,028 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,028 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 441 0 420 0 0 0 0 0 1,135 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 1,714 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,246 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 1,714 0 0 694 0 0 0 0 0 3,717 0 12,166 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 361 0 0 0 0 0 477 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,086 0 0 2,226 0 2,891 0 0 454 0 0 2,028 1,504 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,914 0 0 3,723 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,221 1,047 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,093 8,130 25,667 0 8,523 0 0 1,053 0 0 270 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 441 0 420 0 0 0 0 0 1,135 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,142 0 0 67,104 84,228 255,183 0 106,344 71,316 92,914 142,933 203,046 4,098 27,078 0<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2021)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,535 0 1,499 0 0 774 54,404 44,339 17,057 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,081 22,345 52,294 0 8,901 774 0 7,390 2,081 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 8,172 2,245 26,147 0 2,191 0 0 29,560 2,081 1,377 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 6,055 0 0 28,523 0 5,926 0 0 67,367 19,430 6,272 85,330 233 568 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 135 0 0 0 0 639 0 0 21,691 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,121 5,641 26,147 0 8,475 0 0 2,456 2,081 0 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 4,912 0 0 0 0 847 19,430 0 10,406 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 6,139 11,321 26,147 0 8,847 0 0 3,893 2,081 0 192 0<br />

Boambee North 0 0 0 2,325 15,132 51,571 0 37,076 0 0 47,295 2,932 0 2,946 0<br />

Isles Drive 0 0 0 3,660 8,938 13,073 0 31,779 0 0 5,912 2,081 0 81 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 13,407 1,519 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20,867 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 1,730 0 0 1,640 1,660 1,902 0 0 6,365 0 324 16,650 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 26,147 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,374 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,585 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,384 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,081 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,081 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,081 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 459 0 433 0 0 0 0 0 1,165 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 1,730 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,279 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 1,730 0 0 721 0 0 0 0 0 3,886 0 12,487 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 372 0 0 0 0 0 489 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,114 0 0 2,316 0 2,980 0 0 492 0 0 2,081 1,566 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,941 0 0 3,872 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,650 1,090 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,136 8,620 26,459 0 8,475 0 0 1,094 0 0 282 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 459 0 433 0 0 0 0 0 1,165 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,299 0 0 69,793 89,309 263,049 0 105,743 77,259 97,149 148,537 208,407 4,267 28,320 0<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2026)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,618 0 1,523 0 0 829 55,633 45,114 17,198 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,140 23,541 53,103 0 8,845 829 0 7,519 2,098 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 8,613 2,365 26,552 0 2,177 0 0 30,076 2,098 1,451 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,991 0 0 30,061 0 6,018 0 0 72,098 19,869 6,382 86,037 246 592 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 142 0 0 0 0 683 0 0 21,870 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,182 5,943 26,552 0 8,421 0 0 2,499 2,098 0 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 5,177 0 0 0 0 907 19,869 0 10,492 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 6,470 11,927 26,552 0 8,791 0 0 3,961 2,098 0 200 0<br />

Boambee North 0 0 0 2,451 15,942 52,370 0 36,842 0 0 48,122 2,956 0 3,070 0<br />

Isles Drive 0 0 0 3,858 9,416 13,276 0 31,579 0 0 6,015 2,098 0 84 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 14,124 1,543 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21,746 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 1,712 0 0 1,729 1,749 1,931 0 0 6,812 0 330 16,788 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 26,552 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,394 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,671 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,526 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,098 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,098 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,098 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 484 0 440 0 0 0 0 0 1,175 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 1,712 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,290 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 1,712 0 0 760 0 0 0 0 0 3,974 0 12,591 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 378 0 0 0 0 0 493 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,081 0 0 2,440 0 3,026 0 0 527 0 0 2,098 1,650 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,910 0 0 4,081 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,788 1,149 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,198 9,081 26,868 0 8,421 0 0 1,113 0 0 294 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 484 0 440 0 0 0 0 0 1,175 0 0 0<br />

Total 17,117 0 0 73,556 94,088 267,122 0 105,076 82,684 99,345 151,132 210,133 4,496 29,513 0<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 112


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

3<br />

FORECAST FUTURE FLOORSPACE (2031)<br />

19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34<br />

Precinct AST AGM BP D FL LL MH ML O RB RBG RM S US VBL<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> North <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 1,663 0 1,527 0 0 887 56,320 45,537 17,149 0 0 0<br />

Orlando St Industrial 0 0 0 1,172 24,602 53,245 0 8,724 887 0 7,590 2,093 0 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Industrial 0 0 0 8,855 2,472 26,623 0 2,147 0 0 30,358 2,093 1,485 0 0<br />

<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> CBD <strong>Business</strong> 5,895 0 0 30,909 0 6,034 0 0 77,150 20,114 6,442 85,793 251 593 0<br />

Sawtell South <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 147 0 0 0 0 731 0 0 21,808 0 0 0<br />

Sawtell Industrial 0 0 0 1,215 6,211 26,623 0 8,306 0 0 2,523 2,093 0 0 0<br />

Toormina <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 5,323 0 0 0 0 970 20,114 0 10,463 0 0 0<br />

Toormina Industrial 0 0 0 6,652 12,464 26,623 0 8,671 0 0 3,998 2,093 0 201 0<br />

Boambee North 0 0 0 2,520 16,660 52,510 0 36,338 0 0 48,573 2,947 0 3,075 0<br />

Isles Drive 0 0 0 3,966 9,841 13,311 0 31,147 0 0 6,072 2,093 0 85 0<br />

Boambee South 0 0 0 0 14,761 1,547 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21,784 0<br />

Jetty Precinct 1,684 0 0 1,777 1,828 1,936 0 0 7,289 0 333 16,740 0 0 0<br />

Boambee East Industrial 0 0 0 0 0 26,623 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0<br />

Bray Street <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,387 0 0 0<br />

South Jetty Industrial 0 0 0 1,718 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,532 0<br />

Ringtail Close <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,093 0 0 0<br />

Korora Bay <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,093 0 0 0<br />

Bakers Rd <strong>Business</strong> 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,093 0 0 0<br />

Coramba 0 0 0 497 0 441 0 0 0 0 0 1,172 0 0 0<br />

Emerald Beach 1,684 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,286 0 0 0<br />

Moonee Beach 1,684 0 0 782 0 0 0 0 0 4,023 0 12,555 0 0 0<br />

Nana Glen 0 0 0 0 0 379 0 0 0 0 0 492 0 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga 3,032 0 0 2,509 0 3,034 0 0 564 0 0 2,093 1,688 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga East 2,863 0 0 4,196 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16,740 1,175 0 0<br />

Woolgoolga Industrial 0 0 0 1,232 9,491 26,940 0 8,306 0 0 1,124 0 0 294 0<br />

Corindi 0 0 0 497 0 441 0 0 0 0 0 1,172 0 0 0<br />

Total 16,842 0 0 75,631 98,330 267,836 0 103,639 88,478 100,572 152,550 209,536 4,600 29,564 0<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 113


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

APPENDIX 6 – Proposed CBD By-Pass Route<br />

Figure 22.<br />

Proposed By-Pass Route<br />

Source: Connell Wagner 2008<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 114


<strong>Coffs</strong> <strong>Harbour</strong> Local Growth Management Strategy<br />

Figure 23.<br />

Proposed On/ Off Ramp at Isles Drive<br />

Source: Connell Wagner 2008<br />

<strong>Business</strong> <strong>Lands</strong> Strategy – Page 115

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