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Collection of Cycle Concepts 2012.pdf - Fietsberaad

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COST-BENEFIT AND TRAFFIC MODELS<br />

COST-BENEFIT IN GENERAL<br />

Basically, what society wants is maximum value<br />

for public money, which is why economic<br />

considerations and cost-benefit analysis<br />

have become an integral part <strong>of</strong> the political<br />

prioritization process in a number <strong>of</strong> areas,<br />

including the infrastructure. For many years<br />

cost-benefit analyses have been mandatory when<br />

assessing the pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> major infrastructure<br />

projects, just as medical technology and third<br />

world development projects are subject to costbenefit<br />

analysis in order to determine the project’s<br />

value to society.<br />

In a cost-benefit analysis a project’s advantages<br />

(benefits) are compared with its disadvantages<br />

(costs), and if the benefits outweigh the costs<br />

the project is <strong>of</strong> benefit to society. Every relevant<br />

type <strong>of</strong> advantage and disadvantage is assigned a<br />

monetary value if possible.<br />

Costs are primarily incurred in the initial phases<br />

(establishment phase), whereas benefits are<br />

recurrent as long as the infrastructure is in<br />

use (operational phase). Thus, the choice <strong>of</strong><br />

time horizon in the calculations is <strong>of</strong> primary<br />

importance. Typically, a payback period <strong>of</strong> 5-8<br />

years on cycling infrastructure is considered<br />

satisfactory.<br />

DTU Transport, Technical University <strong>of</strong> Denmark,<br />

published Transportøkonomiske Enhedspriser<br />

(the former Nøgletalskatalog) for the Ministry <strong>of</strong><br />

Transport, showing a number <strong>of</strong> assumptions and<br />

parameters for calculating socioeconomic costs<br />

and benefits. Unit prices include assumptions<br />

regarding economic growth, car ownership and<br />

transport costs.<br />

Cycling is good business for society<br />

used to compare the different transport modes’<br />

costs and benefits.<br />

Unit costs consist <strong>of</strong> two parts: a) what the<br />

individual making the transport mode decision<br />

considers significant and b) the impact that<br />

decision has on the rest <strong>of</strong> society. In economic<br />

terms these are referred to as internalized and<br />

externalized costs. Internalized costs include<br />

value <strong>of</strong> time, vehicle attrition, petrol (for cars)<br />

and health, while externalized costs include<br />

expenses in connection with traffic accidents,<br />

hospital costs, negative environmental impact,<br />

congestion, etc.<br />

When all these factors are added up, each cycled<br />

kilometer costs society DKK 0.60, whereas each<br />

kilometer driven by car costs DKK 3.74. The<br />

table below shows the costs <strong>of</strong> driving vs. cycling<br />

calculated for different parameters.<br />

COST-BENEFIT IN RELATION TO<br />

CYCLING INFRASTRUCTURE<br />

AND OTHER CYCLING<br />

FACILITIES<br />

Cost-benefit analysis can be used to assess the<br />

value to society <strong>of</strong> cycle projects. If bicycle traffic<br />

is to get equal treatment with other transport<br />

modes it is crucial to have a solid planning basis<br />

to help decision makers prioritize transport<br />

spending.<br />

SYSTEMIC COSTS AND BENEFITS<br />

Recreational<br />

value<br />

Time<br />

costs<br />

Transport<br />

costs<br />

Accident<br />

costs<br />

Branding<br />

value<br />

A preliminary set <strong>of</strong> unit values methodology<br />

for cost-benefit analyses <strong>of</strong> cycling initiatives<br />

was established for a project in the City <strong>of</strong><br />

Copenhagen. The unit values can be used to<br />

perform cycling specific cost-benefit analyses,<br />

including new infrastructure construction,<br />

renovation <strong>of</strong> existing infrastructure (e.g.<br />

accident reduction measures), and campaign<br />

implementation. In addition, unit values can be<br />

Discomfort<br />

costs<br />

Health<br />

benefits<br />

Air pollution<br />

costs<br />

Insecurity<br />

costs<br />

Value for<br />

urban space<br />

Socioeconomic effects <strong>of</strong> cycling.

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