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Advanced statistical analysis of epidemiological studies

Advanced statistical analysis of epidemiological studies

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Sample from register data.<br />

• All patients identified in DCPR before 1 January 1994 with a<br />

bipolar (“manic”) diagnosis at first discharge.<br />

• Restrict attention to patients younger than 52 years at diagnosis,<br />

1307 men and 1655 women.<br />

• Followed to 31 December 1999 w.r.t. later psychiatric<br />

admissions, death, diagnosis <strong>of</strong> schizophrenia or emigration.<br />

Purpose <strong>of</strong> study: Evaluate theory <strong>of</strong> “sensitization” (or “kindling”).<br />

According to this theory, mood episodes themselves stress the brain<br />

so that its sensitivity to biologic and psychosocial stressors increases.<br />

This leads to shorter and shorter intervals between successive<br />

episodes, e.g. (Post, 1992, Amer. J. Psych.)<br />

26

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