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Advanced statistical analysis of epidemiological studies

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Two-state model for survival data<br />

0<br />

Alive<br />

h(t)<br />

✲<br />

1<br />

Dead<br />

h(t) ≈ Prob(state 1 time t + ∆ | state 0 time t)/∆<br />

S(t) = Prob(state 0 time t).<br />

F(t) = 1 − S(t) = Prob(state 1 time t) is the cumulative probability<br />

(“risk”) <strong>of</strong> death over the interval from 0 to t.<br />

4

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