Estimation of Educational Borrowing Constraints Using Returns to ...
Estimation of Educational Borrowing Constraints Using Returns to ...
Estimation of Educational Borrowing Constraints Using Returns to ...
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educational borrowing constraints 175<br />
insensitive <strong>to</strong> the number <strong>of</strong> children in the family (number <strong>of</strong> siblings).<br />
Once again, confidence intervals are tight, indicating that the null is<br />
rejected because <strong>of</strong> small coefficients, not lack <strong>of</strong> power.<br />
D. Evidence When R i Is Not Observed<br />
Failing <strong>to</strong> find evidence <strong>of</strong> heterogeneity in borrowing rates in observables,<br />
we extend the structural model <strong>to</strong> capture borrowing rate heterogeneity<br />
in unobservables. We assume that individuals come in one<br />
<strong>of</strong> two types: those borrowing at the market rate 1/d and those who are<br />
“constrained” and borrow at rate R c 1 1/d. We estimate the borrowing<br />
rate R c and the fraction <strong>of</strong> the population that borrows at the higher<br />
rate, denoted as P c . The distribution <strong>of</strong> borrowing rates is restricted <strong>to</strong><br />
be independent <strong>of</strong> the observables and other error terms.<br />
Unobserved ability enters the model through a single standard normal<br />
fac<strong>to</strong>r v i , which is known by the agent at the time schooling choices are<br />
made and is independent <strong>of</strong> observables. The error terms in the wage<br />
equations are defined as<br />
u p f v q , (32)<br />
Sit WS i Sit<br />
where fWS<br />
is the wage equation fac<strong>to</strong>r loading term, and qSit<br />
is inde-<br />
pendently and identically distributed over time and is orthogonal <strong>to</strong><br />
v i for all t. Ability may also be correlated with unobserved tastes for<br />
schooling. The taste residual for school level S is now defined as<br />
˜<br />
n p f v n , (33)<br />
Si TS i Si<br />
where f TS is the tastes equation fac<strong>to</strong>r loading for school level S, and<br />
ñ Si has a GEV distribution, which yields the nested logit model from the<br />
previous section.<br />
A major goal <strong>of</strong> the approach in this subsection is <strong>to</strong> identify the<br />
extent <strong>of</strong> borrowing constraints from economic influences regulating<br />
the behavioral interaction between interest rates and schooling costs<br />
and not from functional form assumptions on the distribution <strong>of</strong> the<br />
error terms. This goal led <strong>to</strong> two nonstandard estimation strategies. First,<br />
because we have no presumption about the form <strong>of</strong> the selection bias,<br />
we retain flexibility in its modeling. Ideally, we would place no restrictions<br />
on the joint distribution <strong>of</strong> the taste and wage errors (v 2i, v 4i,<br />
v , u , u , u , u ). However, full nonparametric estimation <strong>of</strong> this<br />
6i 0it 2it 4it 6it<br />
distribution is not computationally feasible. Even after we restrict the<br />
distribution <strong>of</strong> the error terms <strong>to</strong> specific functional forms with a onefac<strong>to</strong>r<br />
representation, there are still seven fac<strong>to</strong>r loading terms on v i<br />
that determine the form <strong>of</strong> the selection bias. We purposely overparameterize<br />
the selection bias function in order <strong>to</strong> force identification from