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www.coaltrans.com/russia CONFERENCE AGENDA Simultaneous Russian/English & English/Russian translation will be provided Синхронный перевод с русского на английский и с английского на русский PRE-CONFERENCE PROGRAMME MONDAY 20 MAY 2013 14.00-17.15 Odessa Walking Tour Enjoy the opportunity to take a walking tour through the historic city centre of Odessa. This tour will take you through two hundred years of the city's history. Participants will get to see the city's landmark sights as well as picturesque backstreets and Odessa's hidden gems. Among other sights the group will visit include the Potemkin steps, Primorsky boulevard, some of Odessa’s palaces as well as Palais Royal. This trip will provide a perfect background to meet fellow conference attendees. Places will be limited and allocated on a first-come, first-served basis. Please register on p. 10. DAY ONE: TUESDAY 21 MAY 2013 08.00 Registration and coffee 08.15 Exhibition opens 09.00 Welcoming and opening remarks Henry Hely Hutchinson, Managing Director, Coaltrans Conferences Ltd SESSION 1: MACROENVIRONMENT FOR COAL AND ENERGY IN THE REGION 09.10 Challenges for coal-fired power generation in Russia • Future for coal use in Russia • Status of power generation • Drive towards cleaner coal technologies • Potential for lower carbon emissions. Dr. Keith Burnard, Senior Energy Analyst, International Energy Agency 09.35 Outlook for the economies of Russia, Ukraine and CIS and the consequences for energy demand • Macroeconomic economic outlook for 2013-2014 for Russia and its key markets • Forecasting energy demands – where are the opportunities and challenges for the Russian coal industry • How the economic outlook may affect the financing of planned industrial sector and infrastructure projects Please visit www.coaltrans.com/russia for a full list of speakers for this session 10.00 Matching infrastructure with demand in rail coal transportation • Overview of rail infrastructure capacity in Russia • Assessing long-term infrastructure development plans for coal transportation • How competitive is the coal transport market in Russia • Risks and rewards for private sector coal companies entering the market Vladimir Savchuk, Head of Department, Rail Research, Institute of Natural Monopolies 10.25 Questions and discussion 10.40 Networking refreshment break SESSION 2: BUYER PERSPECTIVES ON THE COMPETITIVENESS OF RUSSIAN COAL 11.10 Germany – what is the future for coal-fired power generation • Reactionary or inspired – what impact is the decision to close nuclear plants in Germany having on power markets • Alternatives to nuclear – where does coal fit into the mix • What is the status of coal-fired power plants in Germany • Costs and challenges ahead Erich Schmitz, Managing Director, Verein der Kohlenimporteure e.V. 11.35 Coal supply and demand for the Europe’s cement industry • Fuel options for the cement business – coal, petcoke, alternative fuels, alternative additives • How important is coal quality • How competitive is the Russian coal relative to other supply sources Jo Gardner, Senior Manager, Fuel Trading, HC Trading, Malta 12.00 What are the prospects for increased imports of Russian coal into India • Demand for and supply of coal in India • Different varieties of coal which industries are looking for in India • Demand for Russian coal in India – it’s drawbacks and growth prospects • Prospects for thermal coal in India Sidhartha Kasera, Chief, Coal Sourcing, Visa Resources, India 12.20 Questions and discussion 12.40 Lunch 4 "A very well organized and interesting conference, disclosing different aspects of the coal market all over the world and especially in Russia.” Alexander Makarov Alfa-Bank
Early Bird Discount - Register by 5 April 2013 and save €300 SESSION 3: PRODUCER PERSPECTIVES: MEETING DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL DEMAND 14.10 Capitalising on the export opportunities for Russian coal • Export markets West and East – where will growth come from • Emerging coal buying countries • Operating in a price sensitive market • Prospects for Russia coal exports in the coming year Alexander Andreev, Deputy General Director for Strategic Planning, Raspadskaya Coal Company 14.35 Opportunities and challenges in exporting coal to Asia • Outlook for coal demand in Asia • Competing with other key exporting countries • Overcoming logistical and infrastructure difficulties to ensure cost efficient exports Evgeny Masternak, Managing Director, Coal, EN+, Chief Executive Officer, VostSibUgol 15.00 Matching production to demand • Investing to boost coal output • Outlook for key export markets • Kolmar’s growth and development strategy for the years ahead Andrey Churin, Chief Executive Officer, MC Kolmar 15.20 Questions and discussion 15.30 Networking refreshment break SESSION 4: RUSSIAN COAL IN A COMPETITIVE MARKET 16.00 Exploring price competition between gas and coal • Are more buyers looking to gas as a cost effective alternative to coal • Can gas prices remain competitive against coal in the long-term • Opportunities for shale gas development in Russia – how could this impact on the market for coal Peter Ramsay, Managing Editor – Generating Fuels, Argus Media 16.25 Steam coal price drivers and outlook • Atlantic developments and view • Asia-Pacific: Chinese arbitrage remains the key • Relative competitiveness of coal and gas generation; spark and dark spreads David Doorly, Senior Coal Analyst, E.ON Energy Trading, Germany 16.50 Coal price vs. coal quality – what takes priority in today’s market • How has fuel purchasing in the cement industry been impacted by the economic downturn • The importance of price over quality • Buying gas or coal in the Russian market – balancing the costs and benefits • Price competitiveness of coal in the CIS markets Patrick Peenaert, Consultant, Solid Fuels, Lafarge 17.15 Questions and discussion 17.30 Close of day one DAY TWO: WEDNESDAY 22 MAY 2013 08.00 Morning coffee 08.30 Exhibition opens 09.00 Welcome and opening remarks Sarah Robertson, Conference Manager, Coaltrans Conference Ltd SESSION 5: EVOLUTION OF UKRAINE’S COAL INDUSTRY 09.10 Opportunities and challenges facing smaller coal producers in Ukraine • Supply and demand of coal in Ukraine • Rate of import vs. domestic coal production • How will proposed privatisation impact on coal miners • Working with the authorities to plan for the future Konstantin Avtonomov, Chairman of the Board, Coal Enterprises Association (Ukraine) 09.35 Prospects for the development of Ukraine’s and Russia’s ports on the Black Sea and Sea of Azov • Exploring the throughput capacity of ports and bulk cargo • Assessing the adaptability of port infrastructure to the structural changes needed to improve facilities • What level of investment is required for modernisation and reconstruction in ports • Analysing the coal transit potential of ports in this region, now and for the coming years Professor M. Doubrovsky, PhD, D.Sc., Head of Department "Sea, River Ports and Waterways", Odessa National Maritime University Victor Petrosyan, Assistant Professor, Odessa National Maritime University 10.10 Developments in coal transportation in Ukraine with the construction of deep-water terminal in port of Yuzhny • Reviewing trends in bulk cargo handling in Ukraine in recent years, using real-time data • Overview of the planned deep water terminal at Yuzhny and the implications for transloading of bulk cargo including steam and coking coal etc. • Future prospects and efficiencies for coal import and export handling in the new deep water terminal Oleksandr Smyrnov, General Director, Portinvest 10.35 Questions and discussion 10.50 Networking refreshment break SESSION 6: TURKEY AS A KEY MARKET FOR RUSSIAN, UKRAINE & CIS COAL 11.20 Turkey as a key coal import market • Assessing trends in coal consumption in Turkey • Power plant demand – will this be sustained • Russian coal versus other sources for Turkish requirements Ahmet Nalci, Vice President (Coke & Coal), Yildirim Group, Turkey CONFERENCE AGENDA Simultaneous Russian/English & English/Russian translation will be provided 5
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