Climate change impact on recurrence and regime of ... - BALTEX
Climate change impact on recurrence and regime of ... - BALTEX
Climate change impact on recurrence and regime of ... - BALTEX
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Statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> the hydrological drought<br />
reoccurence (probability distributi<strong>on</strong>s)<br />
• selected periods: 1936‐1977, 1966‐2007 (summer <strong>and</strong> allyear<br />
droughts); 1936‐1987, 1956‐2007 (winter droughts);<br />
• threshold level for the distincti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> the hydrological drought<br />
periods: 70 %;<br />
• parameters: all‐year droughts; summer droughts (June 5 –<br />
November 9); winter droughts (November 10 –June 4);<br />
• estimated probability distributi<strong>on</strong>s: relative run<strong>of</strong>f deficit;<br />
real low‐flow durati<strong>on</strong>; full low‐flow durati<strong>on</strong>;<br />
• the program: Nizowka 2003 (Distributi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> Low Flow<br />
Extremes)*.<br />
* ‐ Dr. Wojciech Jakubowski, pr<strong>of</strong>. Laura Radczuk, Agricultural University <strong>of</strong> Wrocław, Pol<strong>and</strong>
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