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Epidemiologic Investigation of Health Effects in Air Force Personnel ...

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LIVING<br />

RANCH HAND<br />

INDIVIDUAL<br />

Figure 3.<br />

SELECTION PROCEDURE FOR THE QUESTIONNAIRE,<br />

PHYSICAL EXAMINATION, AND FOLLOW-UP STUDY<br />

Randomly Selected<br />

Mortality Controls<br />

Ji^<br />

CONTROL INDIVIDUALS<br />

t - t<br />

**<br />

t Deceased<br />

- Unwill<strong>in</strong>g<br />

* Volunteer<br />

** Replacement Candidates<br />

C. 0verview <strong>of</strong> Stat i st i ca1 Methodology<br />

The design <strong>of</strong> the study is presented <strong>in</strong> schematic form <strong>in</strong> Figure 4.<br />

R' refers to RANCH HAND personnel and C" refers to the collection <strong>of</strong> all possible<br />

control <strong>in</strong>dividuals. As def<strong>in</strong>ed, P' and C" will conta<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividuals who<br />

are deceased <strong>of</strong> noncombat causes. Combat deaths are excluded from R 1 and C".<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce C" is approximately 20 times larger than R 1 , a randomized subsample C'<br />

and C" will be obta<strong>in</strong>ed. C 1 will be constructed from C" by computer selection<br />

<strong>of</strong> the ten matched controls for each exposed study subject. As previously<br />

noted, close matches will be nude for the variables <strong>of</strong> age, AFSC, and race.<br />

The matched controls will form tan cohorts, Ci through C 10 , as shown <strong>in</strong> Figure<br />

1. A 50% random sample from each <strong>of</strong> the matched control sets <strong>of</strong> 10 will be<br />

selected for <strong>in</strong>clusion <strong>in</strong> the mortality assessment so that a group, C' is<br />

obta<strong>in</strong>ed that consists <strong>of</strong> 5 matched controls for each exposed subject. These<br />

controls will be designated as <strong>in</strong>itial replacement candidates for the morbidity<br />

and follow-up studies. The rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>in</strong> the control set will<br />

be additional replacement candidates <strong>in</strong> the event that replacement must occur<br />

beyond the members <strong>of</strong> the mortality set (see Figure 3). C' will be constructed<br />

without regard to whether the <strong>in</strong>dividual is currently liv<strong>in</strong>g or dead<br />

so that an assessment <strong>of</strong> noncombat mortality can be accomplished.<br />

28

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