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Demand and supply of labour by education in Norway towards 2030

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Ma<strong>in</strong> assumptions beh<strong>in</strong>d the macroeconomic<br />

projections<br />

• <strong>Norway</strong> only gently hurt <strong>by</strong> the<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises<br />

• Assumptions about a rapid<br />

recovery<br />

• Back to long term trend levels <strong>in</strong> a<br />

few years<br />

• 2-2.5 yearly percent growth <strong>in</strong><br />

GDP<br />

• Total LFS unemployment rate<br />

stable at 3.1 per cent from 2016<br />

• Small decrease <strong>in</strong> average<br />

<strong>in</strong>come tax from 2011 to 2023,<br />

followed <strong>by</strong> a small <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

10

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