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Demand and supply of labour by education in Norway towards 2030

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A system <strong>of</strong> projection models <strong>in</strong> Statistics<br />

<strong>Norway</strong><br />

• BEFREG:<br />

– Projections <strong>of</strong> population <strong>by</strong> age <strong>and</strong> gender<br />

• MODAG:<br />

– Macroeconomic model with 21 <strong>in</strong>dustries<br />

– Employment <strong>in</strong> man-hours <strong>and</strong> persons, <strong>supply</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>labour</strong>, wages<br />

– Extended version with 5 k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> <strong>labour</strong> <strong>by</strong> skill<br />

– <strong>Dem<strong>and</strong></strong> further divided <strong>in</strong>to 30 k<strong>in</strong>ds <strong>of</strong> <strong>labour</strong> <strong>in</strong> a sub-model<br />

• MAKKO, HELSEMOD, LÆRERMOD:<br />

– Partial models for dem<strong>and</strong> for <strong>labour</strong> divided <strong>by</strong> <strong>education</strong> <strong>in</strong> the public<br />

sector<br />

• MOSART:<br />

– Dynamic microsimulation model project<strong>in</strong>g population <strong>and</strong> <strong>supply</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>labour</strong><br />

<strong>by</strong> <strong>education</strong> for given transition probabilities <strong>in</strong> the <strong>education</strong>al system <strong>and</strong><br />

the <strong>labour</strong> market<br />

5

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