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Demand and supply of labour by education in Norway towards 2030

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The macroeconomic model MODAG<br />

• Disaggregated model with 21 <strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>put-output cernal based<br />

on the National Accounts<br />

• Econometric equations describ<strong>in</strong>g behaviour<br />

• Man-hours, employed persons <strong>and</strong> wage rates<br />

• St<strong>and</strong>ard version homogenous <strong>labour</strong><br />

• Extended version: Labour divided <strong>in</strong> 5 categories <strong>by</strong> level <strong>of</strong> <strong>education</strong><br />

• Labour <strong>supply</strong> based on participation rates <strong>by</strong> <strong>education</strong>, gender <strong>and</strong><br />

age from LFS<br />

• Consistency: NA = LFS + foreigners work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Norwegian firms<br />

• Used for medium term analyses up to 20 years ahead<br />

9

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