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Demand and supply of labour by education in Norway towards 2030

Demand and supply of labour by education in Norway towards 2030

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<strong>Dem<strong>and</strong></strong> for <strong>labour</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>education</strong>al field<br />

• Diversification <strong>of</strong> employment <strong>in</strong>to 30 <strong>education</strong>al groups <strong>by</strong><br />

field based on <strong>in</strong>formation from adm<strong>in</strong>istrative registers <strong>and</strong><br />

LFS<br />

• In private <strong>in</strong>dustries <strong>education</strong>-specific employment shares<br />

are projected <strong>by</strong> assum<strong>in</strong>g cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g trends<br />

• Partial models are used to project dem<strong>and</strong> for <strong>labour</strong> <strong>by</strong><br />

<strong>education</strong> <strong>in</strong> public sectors<br />

• Assumptions about some possibilities for growth <strong>in</strong> service<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>in</strong> the first years<br />

• Smaller possibilities for growth <strong>in</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ards as time passes<br />

because <strong>of</strong> tighter f<strong>in</strong>ancial constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>and</strong> a grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

population <strong>of</strong> elderly persons<br />

12

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