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Introduction

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146 DIRECTED RESEARCH<br />

would be resistant to other protease inhibitors when they came along<br />

The University of Washington’s Collier, who was the study’s principal<br />

investigator, briefly left the room with the Roche representative to discuss<br />

the company’s earlier European studies, whose results had not been<br />

fully released to the committee. 9 “We wanted to make sure there’s an<br />

effective dose, shown to have activity,” said Collier. “A small group of<br />

leaders of the ACTG were shown confidential data that proved we had<br />

an adequate dose that had activity. In the end, there is a limit to the number<br />

of pills any one person can take. The dose was subjected to a lot of<br />

scrutiny—by me, by the ACTG, and by Roche itself.” 10<br />

The committee voted to allow ACTG 229 to move forward. Collier<br />

and her colleagues enrolled 302 patients between March and July 1993<br />

for a twenty-four-week trial that used surrogate markers to evaluate the<br />

various drug regimens. New tests that had recently come on the market<br />

allowed the clinicians to measure not only the level of CD4 cells in the<br />

blood, but the patient’s level of HIV. These viral load tests, as they<br />

became known, were considered a superior indicator. The preliminary<br />

results weren’t released until May 1994 and showed slightly better results<br />

in the three-drug combination than with either AZT alone or in combination<br />

with ddC. “While the results weren’t fabulous compared to what<br />

came later, it was clearly better than we had at the time,” Collier later<br />

said.<br />

Roche management’s failure to fund tests of higher doses of the drug<br />

may have saved the company money in the short run, but its long-term<br />

costs were enormous. Because ACTG 229 used a suboptimal dose of<br />

saquinavir, the scientific community lost a golden opportunity to obtain<br />

early knowledge of the potential effectiveness of triple-combination<br />

therapy.<br />

It wasn’t just bad science, it was bad business since the company lost<br />

its first-mover advantage. In the drug industry, the first company to<br />

develop an entry for a new class of drugs—assuming its entry is effective—almost<br />

always gains the lion’s share of the market. But as subsequent<br />

tests would show, saquinavir in its original formulation was not a<br />

very effective drug because of its poor bioavailability.<br />

Fearing Roche would use ACTG 229 to pursue accelerated approval<br />

at the FDA, a coalition of AIDS activist groups centered on the East<br />

Coast asked the agency to hold off on rapid approval for saquinavir. “We<br />

feel that such an approval would penalize people with AIDS/HIV by setting<br />

an inappropriately low standard of evidential requirements that<br />

would govern the regulation of this entire class of therapies,” they wrote

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